United States Senate election in Missouri (August 7, 2018 Republican primary)

Elections in Missouri, 2018

* General election: Nov. 6
* Voter registration deadline: Oct. 10
* Early voting: N/A
* Absentee voting deadline: Nov. 6

* Online registration: Yes
* Same-day registration: No
* Voter ID: Non-photo ID required
* Poll times: 6:00 a.m. to 7:00 p.m.

* * *

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U.S. Senate, Missouri

Democratic primary
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: March 27, 2018
Primary: August 7, 2018
General: November 6, 2018

* * *

Pre-election incumbent:
Claire McCaskill (Democrat)
How to vote
Poll times: 6 a.m. to 7 p.m.
Voting in Missouri
Race ratings
Cook Political Report: Toss-up
Inside Elections: Tilt Republican
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Toss-up
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds
U.S. House battlegrounds
Federal and state primary competitiveness
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2018
See also
U.S. Senate, Missouri
U.S. Senate • 1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th • 5th • 6th • 7th • 8th
Missouri elections, 2018
U.S. Congress elections, 2018
U.S. Senate elections, 2018
U.S. House elections, 2018

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Eleven Republicans ran for the party's nomination to challenge incumbent Sen. Claire McCaskill, the last Democrat in Missouri to win a statewide election since 2012, in the general election.[1] CNN named it the Democratic seat most likely to flip in March 2018.[2]

The Republican field included Missouri Attorney General Josh Hawley, retired Air Force Lt. Col. Tony Monetti, 2016 Libertarian presidential candidate Austin Petersen, and Navy veteran Courtland Sykes.

Hawley received early support from across the Republican Party, including President Donald Trump (R), Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.), and the Senate Conservatives Fund. Club for Growth also raised $10 million to support Hawley's run, before he had declared his candidacy.[3]

This page focuses on the Republican primary. For an overview of the general election, click here.

## Contents

* 1 Candidates and election results
* 2 Campaign contributions
* 3 Satellite spending
* 3.1 Acceptance of Bitcoin campaign contributions
* 4 Polls
* 5 Noteworthy events
* 5.1 Gender issues
* 6 Campaign tactics and strategies
* 6.1 Noteworthy events
* 6.1.1 President Trump campaign appearance
* 7 Endorsements
* 8 Race ratings
* 9 Election history
* 10 2016
* 11 2012
* 11.1 Pivot Counties
* 11.1.1 Presidential results by legislative district
* 11.2 State overview
* 11.2.1 Partisan control
* 11.2.1.1 Congressional delegation
* 11.2.1.2 State executives
* 11.2.1.3 State legislature
* 11.2.1.4 Trifecta status
* 11.2.2 2018 elections
* 11.2.3 Demographics
* 11.3 State election history
* 11.3.1 Historical elections
* 11.3.1.1 Presidential elections, 2000-2016
* 11.3.1.2 U.S. Senate elections, 2000-2016
* 11.3.1.3 Gubernatorial elections, 2000-2016
* 11.3.1.4 Congressional delegation, 2000-2016
* 11.3.1.5 Trifectas, 1992-2017
* 11.4 See also
* 11.5 Footnotes

## Candidates and election results[edit]

See also: Statistics on U.S. Congress candidates, 2018

The following candidates ran in the Republican primary for U.S. Senate Missouri on August 7, 2018.

#### Republican primary election

#####  Republican primary for U.S. Senate Missouri

Candidate

Votes

|
|
|

| Josh Hawley|

58.6

| 389,006

| Tony Monetti|

9.8

| 64,718

| Austin Petersen|

8.3

| 54,810

| Kristi Nichols|

7.5

| 49,554

| Christina Smith|

5.3

| 34,948

Submit photo

| Ken Patterson|

2.9

| 19,537

| Peter Pfeifer|

2.5

| 16,557

| Courtland Sykes|

2.1

| 13,862

| Fred Ryman|

1.3

| 8,763

Submit photo

| Brian Hagg|

1.0

| 6,913

Submit photo

| Bradley Krembs |

0.7

| 4,885

* * *

There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source

| Total votes: 663,553

|
|

= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

#### Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

* Camille Lombardi-Olive (R)
* Robert Marshner (R)

## Campaign contributions[edit]

The table below contains data from FEC Quarterly October 2017 reports. It includes only candidates who reported at least $10,000 in campaign contributions as of September 30, 2017.[4]

Republicans

## Satellite spending[edit]

* The nonprofit organization One Nation spent over $2 million in ads supporting Josh Hawley.[5]

### Acceptance of Bitcoin campaign contributions[edit]

During the primary election, the Petersen campaign accepted campaign contributions denominated in Bitcoin, a digital currency not associated with any government. In an interview with The Western Journal dated December 18, 2017, Petersen explained his support for the currency: "Basically it represents freedom. It’s the real people’s currency because it does not require a central bank." At the time of the article's publication, the largest Bitcoin campaign contribution received by Petersen was equivalent to $500, although Petersen noted that he had been required to turn down a separate Bitcoin contribution because it exceeded the individual contribution limit.[6]

## Polls[edit]

See also: Ballotpedia's approach to covering polls
United States Senate election in Missouri, 2018

Poll | Josh Hawley | Claire McCaskill| Margin of Error| Sample Size
Daily Kos
January 3-4, 2018 | 49%| 45%| +/-2.9| 1,122
Public Policy Polling
January 8-9, 2018 | 44%| 45%| +/-3.2| 965
Axios/Survey Monkey
February 12-March 5, 2018 | 52%| 44%| +/-N/A| 17,289
Note: A "0%" finding means the candidate was not a part of the poll. The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org

## Noteworthy events[edit]

This section highlights issues raised during the campaign and major policy differences between candidates.

### Gender issues[edit]

* During an event hosted by the Missouri Renewal Project in December 2017, Hawley attributed an increase in sex trafficking to the sexual revolution of the 1960s. He said, "We have a human trafficking crisis in our state and in this city and in our country because people are willing to purchase women, young women, and treat them like commodities. There is a market for it. Why is there? Because our culture has completely lost its way. The sexual revolution has led to exploitation of women on a scale that we would never have imagined, never have imagined."[7] Incumbent Sen. Claire McCaskill (D) responded in a tweet, "I didn’t go to one of those fancy private schools, but the history I learned in public schools & Mizzou taught me that the evidence of trafficking of women for sex goes back to before 2000 BC. It didn’t begin with women’s rights and the birth control pill."[7]

* In a Facebook post on January 30, 2018, Sykes detailed his views on women's rights. "I want daughters to have their own intelligence, their own dignity, their own workspace, and their own degrees. I want them to build home-based enterprises and live in homes shared with good husbands, and I don't want to them [to] grow up into career-obsessed banshees who forego home life and children and the happiness of family to become nail-biting manophobic [sic] hell-bent feminist she-devils who shriek from the tops of a thousand tall buildings they are [sic] think they could have leaped over in a single bound—had men not 'suppressed them.' That's just nuts. It always was. I support women's rights but not the kind that has oppressed natural womanhood for five long decades," he wrote.[8]

## Campaign tactics and strategies[edit]

### Noteworthy events[edit]

#### President Trump campaign appearance[edit]

On March 14, 2018, Pres. Donald Trump (R) visited Missouri for a campaign appearance on behalf of Josh Hawley (R). The president said that "Josh is doing a fantastic job, I can tell you that. He’s working hard."[9] The president also appeared at a fundraiser where an estimated $2 million was raised for the Hawley campaign and the Republican Party of Missouri.[10]

## Endorsements[edit]

Republican candidate endorsements

Endorsement  | Hawley  | Sykes
Elected officials
President Donald Trump (R)[11] | ✔ |
Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.)[11] | ✔ |
Sen. Roy Blunt (R-Mo.)[12] | ✔ |
Missouri Treasurer Eric Schmitt (R)[13] | ✔ |
Former Alabama Supreme Court Chief Justice Roy Moore (R)[14] |  | ✔
Missouri State Rep. Bryan Spencer (R)[15] |  | ✔
Former Maricopa County Sheriff Joe Arpaio (R)[16] |  | ✔
National party figures
Former White House chief strategist Steve Bannon[11] | ✔ |
Organizations
Club for Growth PAC[17] | ✔ |
Senate Conservatives Fund[18] | ✔ |

## Race ratings[edit]

Race ratings: U.S. Senate election in Missouri, 2018

Race tracker| Race ratings
| October 30, 2018| October 23, 2018| October 16, 2018| October 9, 2018
The Cook Political Report| Toss-up| Toss-up| Toss-up| Toss-up
Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales| Tilt Republican| Toss-up| Toss-up| Toss-up
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball| Toss-up| Toss-up| Toss-up| Toss-up
Note: Ballotpedia updates external race ratings every two weeks throughout the election season.

## Election history[edit]

# 2016[edit]

See also: United States Senate election in Missouri, 2016

Ballotpedia rated the race for Missouri's U.S. Senate seat as a battleground, in part, because of the Democratic Party's effort to turn a state that leaned Republican into Democratic territory. However, incumbent Roy Blunt (R) won re-election, defeating Jason Kander (D) in the general election on November 8, 2016. Blunt also defeated Jonathan Dine (L), Fred Ryman (Constitution Party), Johnathan McFarland (G), and write-in candidates Gina Bufe and Patrick Lee.

Kander's strategy was to run as a political outsider and try to paint Blunt as a Washington insider. According to The Kansas City Star, “Kander labels Blunt the 'consummate Washington insider' and insists Blunt has lost touch with voters who sent him to the Capitol. Kander further contends that Blunt is far too cozy with lobbyists and is in fact married to one while three of his children are lobbyists.” In response, Blunt tried to tie Kander to "Hillary Clinton and President Barack Obama, both of whom are unpopular in the state.”[19]

Satellite groups also sought to influence the race by spending $44,961,510. In the last weeks of the race, the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee planned to spend $3.5 million to support Kander's bid to unseat Blunt. Republicans also spent money on the race to protect Blunt's seat and their majority in the Senate. The Senate Leadership Fund invested $2.5 million in Missouri in September.[20][21][22]

In his concession speech, Kander encouraged his supporters, especially his young supporters, to stay involved in politics despite the results. He said, "They need to know that I'm not OK with them stepping away, that this country is a place you've got to stay invested in. This generation is not going anywhere."[23]

In his victory speech, Blunt said, "What a great moment for our state." Blunt, who distanced himself from Trump during the campaign, was optimistic about Republican control of the presidency and Congress. He said, "A Republican president and a Republican Senate and a Republican House can do things to change this country and focus again on opportunity."[23]

U.S. Senate, Missouri General Election, 2016 Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes

|
|
|

| Republican  | Roy Blunt Incumbent | 49.2% | 1,378,458
| Democratic  |  Jason Kander  | 46.4% | 1,300,200
| Libertarian  |  Jonathan Dine  | 2.4% | 67,738
| Green  |  Johnathan McFarland  | 1.1% | 30,743
| Constitution  |  Fred Ryman  | 0.9% | 25,407
| N/A  |  Write-in  | 0% | 95
Total Votes | 2,802,641
Source: Missouri Secretary of State

U.S. Senate, Missouri Democratic Primary, 2016 Candidate | Vote % | Votes
Jason Kander | 69.9% | 223,492
Cori Bush  | 13.3% | 42,453
Chief Wana Dubie  | 9.5% | 30,432
Robert Mack  | 7.3% | 23,509
Total Votes | 319,886
Source: Missouri Secretary of State

U.S. Senate, Missouri Republican Primary, 2016 Candidate | Vote % | Votes
Roy Blunt | 72.6% | 481,444
Kristi Nichols  | 20.2% | 134,025
Ryan Luethy  | 4.4% | 29,328
Bernie Mowinski  | 2.8% | 18,789
Total Votes | 663,586
Source: Missouri Secretary of State

# 2012[edit]

See also: United States Senate elections in Missouri, 2012

On November 6, 2012, Incumbent Claire McCaskill (D) won re-election to the United States Senate. She defeated Todd Akin (R), Jonathan Dine (L) and several write-in candidates in the general election.

U.S. Senate, Missouri, General Election, 2012 Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes

|
|
|

| Democratic  | Claire McCaskill Incumbent | 54.8% | 1,494,125
| Republican  |  Todd Akin  | 39.1% | 1,066,159
| Libertarian  |  Jonathan Dine  | 6.1% | 165,468
| Write-in  |  Ted Kimzey  | 0% | 15
| Write-in  |  Bernard J. "Spark" Duraski, Jr.  | 0% | 9
| Write-in  |  William Dean  | 0% | 6
| Write-in  |  Bernie Mowinksi  | 0% | 5
| Write-in  |  Charlie L. Bailey  | 0% | 4
| Write-in  |  Arnie C. "AC" Dienoff  | 0% | 2
Total Votes | 2,725,793
Source: Missouri Secretary of State "Official Election Results, 2012 General Election"

## Pivot Counties[edit]

See also: Pivot Counties by state

There are no Pivot Counties in Missouri. Pivot Counties are counties that voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012 and for Donald Trump (R) in 2016. Altogether, the nation had 206 Pivot Counties, with most being concentrated in upper midwestern and northeastern states.

In the 2016 presidential election, Donald Trump (R) won Missouri with 56.8 percent of the vote. Hillary Clinton (D) received 38.1 percent. In presidential elections between 1820 and 2016, Missouri voted Democratic 60 percent of the time and Republican 36 percent of the time. In the five presidential elections between 2000 and 2016, Missouri voted Republican all five times.[24]

#### Presidential results by legislative district[edit]

The following table details results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections by state House districts in Missouri. Click [show] to expand the table. The "Obama," "Romney," "Clinton," and "Trump" columns describe the percent of the vote each presidential candidate received in the district. The "2012 Margin" and "2016 Margin" columns describe the margin of victory between the two presidential candidates in those years. The "Party Control" column notes which party held that seat heading into the 2018 general election. Data on the results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections broken down by state legislative districts was compiled by Daily Kos.[25][26]

In 2012, Barack Obama (D) won 43 out of 163 state House districts in Missouri with an average margin of victory of 42.1 points. In 2016, Hillary Clinton (D) won 43 out of 163 state House districts in Missouri with an average margin of victory of 42.3 points. Clinton won two districts controlled by Republicans heading into the 2018 elections.

In 2012, Mitt Romney (R) won 120 out of 163 state House districts in Missouri with an average margin of victory of 28.3 points. In 2016, Donald Trump (R) won 120 out of 163 state House districts in Missouri with an average margin of victory of 39.8 points. Trump won four districts controlled by Democrats heading into the 2018 elections.

2016 presidential results by state House district

District | Obama | Romney | 2012 Margin | Clinton | Trump | 2016 Margin | Party Control
1 | 32.04% | 65.70% | R+33.7 | 23.21% | 71.82% | R+48.6 | R
2 | 29.11% | 68.37% | R+39.3 | 18.22% | 77.17% | R+58.9 | R
3 | 36.98% | 60.40% | R+23.4 | 28.44% | 66.83% | R+38.4 | R
4 | 36.39% | 60.98% | R+24.6 | 20.37% | 75.59% | R+55.2 | R
5 | 32.79% | 65.39% | R+32.6 | 22.37% | 73.86% | R+51.5 | R
6 | 32.16% | 65.56% | R+33.4 | 22.08% | 73.71% | R+51.6 | R
7 | 31.65% | 65.57% | R+33.9 | 19.56% | 76.25% | R+56.7 | R
8 | 35.79% | 61.61% | R+25.8 | 23.95% | 70.41% | R+46.5 | R
9 | 34.60% | 63.39% | R+28.8 | 26.94% | 68.17% | R+41.2 | R
10 | 50.19% | 47.16% | D+3 | 39.22% | 53.18% | R+14 | D
11 | 43.38% | 53.92% | R+10.5 | 30.42% | 63.56% | R+33.1 | R
12 | 37.20% | 60.93% | R+23.7 | 31.35% | 63.12% | R+31.8 | R
13 | 39.45% | 58.95% | R+19.5 | 39.73% | 54.44% | R+14.7 | R
14 | 47.29% | 51.12% | R+3.8 | 47.62% | 46.38% | D+1.2 | R
15 | 49.87% | 47.99% | D+1.9 | 47.19% | 46.22% | D+1 | D
16 | 40.63% | 57.87% | R+17.2 | 40.67% | 53.57% | R+12.9 | R
17 | 47.93% | 49.73% | R+1.8 | 43.14% | 49.84% | R+6.7 | D
18 | 53.60% | 44.12% | D+9.5 | 51.64% | 41.89% | D+9.8 | D
19 | 67.20% | 30.31% | D+36.9 | 62.62% | 31.57% | D+31 | D
20 | 44.19% | 53.35% | R+9.2 | 33.67% | 59.95% | R+26.3 | R
21 | 48.06% | 49.62% | R+1.6 | 41.99% | 51.24% | R+9.2 | D
22 | 87.84% | 11.29% | D+76.6 | 82.46% | 13.76% | D+68.7 | D
23 | 93.66% | 5.77% | D+87.9 | 88.79% | 7.90% | D+80.9 | D
24 | 80.14% | 17.61% | D+62.5 | 80.82% | 13.12% | D+67.7 | D
25 | 64.74% | 33.81% | D+30.9 | 70.87% | 23.52% | D+47.3 | D
26 | 89.47% | 9.61% | D+79.9 | 87.67% | 8.60% | D+79.1 | D
27 | 83.11% | 16.02% | D+67.1 | 79.84% | 16.39% | D+63.5 | D
28 | 60.04% | 37.98% | D+22.1 | 57.30% | 37.43% | D+19.9 | D
29 | 50.35% | 47.90% | D+2.5 | 47.10% | 47.36% | R+0.3 | D
30 | 41.77% | 56.80% | R+15 | 42.87% | 52.37% | R+9.5 | R
31 | 41.89% | 56.06% | R+14.2 | 37.13% | 56.61% | R+19.5 | R
32 | 36.75% | 61.69% | R+24.9 | 32.11% | 62.33% | R+30.2 | R
33 | 33.61% | 64.40% | R+30.8 | 26.00% | 68.90% | R+42.9 | R
34 | 38.59% | 59.89% | R+21.3 | 39.06% | 55.18% | R+16.1 | R
35 | 45.76% | 52.62% | R+6.9 | 46.39% | 47.86% | R+1.5 | R
36 | 64.52% | 34.34% | D+30.2 | 63.12% | 32.17% | D+30.9 | D
37 | 55.42% | 43.24% | D+12.2 | 52.86% | 42.34% | D+10.5 | D
38 | 40.05% | 58.13% | R+18.1 | 34.96% | 59.08% | R+24.1 | R
39 | 36.54% | 61.11% | R+24.6 | 24.45% | 70.95% | R+46.5 | R
40 | 34.56% | 63.42% | R+28.9 | 22.51% | 73.96% | R+51.5 | R
41 | 33.99% | 63.43% | R+29.4 | 22.43% | 72.76% | R+50.3 | R
42 | 33.55% | 64.46% | R+30.9 | 23.28% | 72.55% | R+49.3 | R
43 | 34.21% | 63.36% | R+29.1 | 24.43% | 70.37% | R+45.9 | R
44 | 43.51% | 53.49% | R+10 | 38.05% | 54.07% | R+16 | R
45 | 61.22% | 35.75% | D+25.5 | 59.76% | 32.21% | D+27.5 | D
46 | 56.84% | 40.60% | D+16.2 | 60.06% | 32.92% | D+27.1 | D
47 | 43.59% | 53.79% | R+10.2 | 41.34% | 51.63% | R+10.3 | R
48 | 33.63% | 64.07% | R+30.4 | 24.02% | 70.88% | R+46.9 | R
49 | 33.37% | 64.57% | R+31.2 | 27.21% | 67.14% | R+39.9 | R
50 | 37.65% | 60.00% | R+22.3 | 36.72% | 57.51% | R+20.8 | R
51 | 39.89% | 57.59% | R+17.7 | 30.22% | 63.32% | R+33.1 | R
52 | 36.97% | 60.45% | R+23.5 | 26.53% | 67.54% | R+41 | R
53 | 35.17% | 62.69% | R+27.5 | 25.28% | 69.68% | R+44.4 | R
54 | 34.83% | 62.46% | R+27.6 | 25.65% | 68.40% | R+42.8 | R
55 | 33.16% | 65.23% | R+32.1 | 29.21% | 65.54% | R+36.3 | R
56 | 37.67% | 60.09% | R+22.4 | 31.94% | 61.49% | R+29.5 | R
57 | 32.66% | 64.87% | R+32.2 | 21.67% | 74.19% | R+52.5 | R
58 | 29.14% | 68.67% | R+39.5 | 18.77% | 77.84% | R+59.1 | R
59 | 25.50% | 73.08% | R+47.6 | 21.62% | 74.26% | R+52.6 | R
60 | 40.31% | 57.95% | R+17.6 | 38.04% | 56.67% | R+18.6 | R
61 | 29.60% | 68.70% | R+39.1 | 21.47% | 74.52% | R+53.1 | R
62 | 25.25% | 72.82% | R+47.6 | 16.85% | 79.86% | R+63 | R
63 | 36.01% | 62.54% | R+26.5 | 28.27% | 67.21% | R+38.9 | R
64 | 36.53% | 61.49% | R+25 | 28.02% | 67.41% | R+39.4 | R
65 | 44.10% | 53.73% | R+9.6 | 39.09% | 55.12% | R+16 | R
66 | 89.44% | 9.97% | D+79.5 | 86.60% | 11.08% | D+75.5 | D
67 | 82.02% | 17.23% | D+64.8 | 81.39% | 15.76% | D+65.6 | D
68 | 67.12% | 31.46% | D+35.7 | 64.92% | 30.31% | D+34.6 | D
69 | 60.17% | 38.22% | D+21.9 | 57.88% | 37.44% | D+20.4 | D
70 | 48.02% | 50.51% | R+2.5 | 47.82% | 47.06% | D+0.8 | R
71 | 57.48% | 40.71% | D+16.8 | 57.73% | 36.87% | D+20.9 | D
72 | 57.80% | 40.30% | D+17.5 | 52.30% | 41.87% | D+10.4 | D
73 | 83.56% | 15.27% | D+68.3 | 77.64% | 18.55% | D+59.1 | D
74 | 81.89% | 17.08% | D+64.8 | 77.97% | 18.23% | D+59.7 | D
75 | 94.12% | 5.36% | D+88.8 | 92.25% | 5.61% | D+86.6 | D
76 | 98.95% | 0.83% | D+98.1 | 96.81% | 1.63% | D+95.2 | D
77 | 90.86% | 8.52% | D+82.3 | 89.47% | 7.52% | D+81.9 | D
78 | 87.25% | 11.43% | D+75.8 | 83.50% | 11.60% | D+71.9 | D
79 | 88.10% | 10.89% | D+77.2 | 87.25% | 8.68% | D+78.6 | D
80 | 79.81% | 18.20% | D+61.6 | 77.86% | 16.56% | D+61.3 | D
81 | 74.58% | 23.51% | D+51.1 | 70.04% | 24.84% | D+45.2 | D
82 | 61.35% | 36.62% | D+24.7 | 61.74% | 32.37% | D+29.4 | D
83 | 65.35% | 32.40% | D+32.9 | 65.49% | 27.91% | D+37.6 | D
84 | 87.74% | 11.29% | D+76.4 | 85.75% | 10.26% | D+75.5 | D
85 | 83.85% | 14.94% | D+68.9 | 78.91% | 17.39% | D+61.5 | D
86 | 88.19% | 10.91% | D+77.3 | 86.59% | 9.76% | D+76.8 | D
87 | 57.51% | 41.40% | D+16.1 | 66.36% | 29.30% | D+37.1 | D
88 | 52.34% | 46.64% | D+5.7 | 58.85% | 36.90% | D+22 | D
89 | 33.74% | 65.35% | R+31.6 | 41.97% | 53.65% | R+11.7 | R
90 | 49.71% | 48.99% | D+0.7 | 55.22% | 39.52% | D+15.7 | D
91 | 53.68% | 44.73% | D+8.9 | 57.91% | 35.87% | D+22 | D
92 | 50.25% | 47.87% | D+2.4 | 47.69% | 46.02% | D+1.7 | D
93 | 55.84% | 41.87% | D+14 | 48.85% | 45.46% | D+3.4 | D
94 | 47.09% | 51.41% | R+4.3 | 43.28% | 51.39% | R+8.1 | R
95 | 37.68% | 61.12% | R+23.4 | 35.16% | 60.52% | R+25.4 | R
96 | 35.34% | 63.39% | R+28 | 36.57% | 58.75% | R+22.2 | R
97 | 42.64% | 55.44% | R+12.8 | 33.31% | 61.14% | R+27.8 | D
98 | 36.69% | 61.92% | R+25.2 | 37.69% | 57.34% | R+19.6 | R
99 | 43.11% | 55.19% | R+12.1 | 44.44% | 49.42% | R+5 | R
100 | 36.43% | 62.31% | R+25.9 | 40.91% | 54.30% | R+13.4 | R
101 | 28.87% | 70.23% | R+41.4 | 35.04% | 60.81% | R+25.8 | R
102 | 34.49% | 64.35% | R+29.9 | 32.40% | 62.92% | R+30.5 | R
103 | 35.54% | 63.00% | R+27.5 | 31.48% | 63.41% | R+31.9 | R
104 | 42.14% | 55.94% | R+13.8 | 36.80% | 57.49% | R+20.7 | R
105 | 40.02% | 58.23% | R+18.2 | 36.85% | 57.40% | R+20.6 | R
106 | 43.86% | 54.29% | R+10.4 | 40.91% | 52.87% | R+12 | R
107 | 41.26% | 56.76% | R+15.5 | 34.90% | 59.68% | R+24.8 | R
108 | 34.97% | 63.67% | R+28.7 | 31.12% | 64.19% | R+33.1 | R
109 | 34.37% | 63.30% | R+28.9 | 25.25% | 69.86% | R+44.6 | R
110 | 32.74% | 65.78% | R+33 | 31.86% | 63.33% | R+31.5 | R
111 | 40.22% | 57.43% | R+17.2 | 28.08% | 66.82% | R+38.7 | R
112 | 41.60% | 56.14% | R+14.5 | 29.74% | 65.06% | R+35.3 | R
113 | 42.97% | 55.18% | R+12.2 | 31.77% | 63.08% | R+31.3 | R
114 | 44.32% | 53.83% | R+9.5 | 30.07% | 64.68% | R+34.6 | R
115 | 43.73% | 53.77% | R+10 | 26.77% | 68.89% | R+42.1 | R
116 | 39.07% | 58.78% | R+19.7 | 26.07% | 69.37% | R+43.3 | R
117 | 40.34% | 57.36% | R+17 | 25.24% | 70.97% | R+45.7 | R
118 | 42.84% | 54.85% | R+12 | 24.96% | 70.53% | R+45.6 | D
119 | 37.08% | 60.66% | R+23.6 | 23.82% | 71.94% | R+48.1 | R
120 | 30.41% | 67.53% | R+37.1 | 20.06% | 75.96% | R+55.9 | R
121 | 31.61% | 65.66% | R+34 | 24.74% | 69.39% | R+44.7 | R
122 | 34.34% | 63.53% | R+29.2 | 25.48% | 68.80% | R+43.3 | R
123 | 27.61% | 70.25% | R+42.6 | 17.62% | 78.74% | R+61.1 | R
124 | 28.10% | 70.10% | R+42 | 20.48% | 76.31% | R+55.8 | R
125 | 33.23% | 64.37% | R+31.1 | 20.75% | 75.50% | R+54.8 | R
126 | 31.58% | 66.12% | R+34.5 | 20.06% | 75.46% | R+55.4 | R
127 | 22.58% | 75.67% | R+53.1 | 14.13% | 82.55% | R+68.4 | R
128 | 27.32% | 70.51% | R+43.2 | 18.95% | 76.41% | R+57.5 | R
129 | 27.78% | 69.97% | R+42.2 | 16.36% | 80.03% | R+63.7 | R
130 | 28.04% | 70.17% | R+42.1 | 21.13% | 74.22% | R+53.1 | R
131 | 35.35% | 62.39% | R+27 | 30.11% | 63.51% | R+33.4 | R
132 | 54.62% | 41.76% | D+12.9 | 47.48% | 43.78% | D+3.7 | D
133 | 33.97% | 64.11% | R+30.1 | 30.10% | 63.89% | R+33.8 | R
134 | 39.49% | 58.44% | R+19 | 38.57% | 54.45% | R+15.9 | R
135 | 46.12% | 51.01% | R+4.9 | 43.73% | 48.68% | R+5 | R
136 | 32.89% | 65.46% | R+32.6 | 33.82% | 61.06% | R+27.2 | R
137 | 29.28% | 68.94% | R+39.7 | 22.46% | 73.16% | R+50.7 | R
138 | 24.97% | 73.31% | R+48.3 | 17.62% | 79.22% | R+61.6 | R
139 | 26.11% | 72.20% | R+46.1 | 21.92% | 73.26% | R+51.3 | R
140 | 25.27% | 72.87% | R+47.6 | 19.34% | 76.01% | R+56.7 | R
141 | 25.58% | 72.23% | R+46.6 | 15.31% | 81.45% | R+66.1 | R
142 | 27.29% | 70.19% | R+42.9 | 16.35% | 80.26% | R+63.9 | R
143 | 29.09% | 68.03% | R+38.9 | 16.97% | 79.81% | R+62.8 | R
144 | 36.12% | 61.41% | R+25.3 | 19.14% | 77.84% | R+58.7 | R
145 | 26.77% | 70.97% | R+44.2 | 15.99% | 80.73% | R+64.7 | R
146 | 20.92% | 77.46% | R+56.5 | 16.18% | 80.39% | R+64.2 | R
147 | 35.21% | 62.92% | R+27.7 | 32.57% | 62.66% | R+30.1 | R
148 | 28.61% | 69.95% | R+41.3 | 20.84% | 76.42% | R+55.6 | R
149 | 43.48% | 54.87% | R+11.4 | 30.87% | 67.01% | R+36.1 | R
150 | 34.94% | 63.58% | R+28.6 | 23.89% | 74.47% | R+50.6 | R
151 | 24.82% | 73.46% | R+48.6 | 14.15% | 83.22% | R+69.1 | R
152 | 29.54% | 68.76% | R+39.2 | 20.62% | 76.11% | R+55.5 | R
153 | 25.21% | 72.83% | R+47.6 | 14.81% | 82.43% | R+67.6 | R
154 | 26.84% | 70.66% | R+43.8 | 16.74% | 79.61% | R+62.9 | R
155 | 27.06% | 70.27% | R+43.2 | 16.01% | 80.94% | R+64.9 | R
156 | 24.65% | 73.46% | R+48.8 | 19.20% | 77.30% | R+58.1 | R
157 | 25.44% | 72.55% | R+47.1 | 17.36% | 78.46% | R+61.1 | R
158 | 26.53% | 71.26% | R+44.7 | 18.47% | 78.33% | R+59.9 | R
159 | 23.37% | 74.32% | R+50.9 | 15.21% | 81.38% | R+66.2 | R
160 | 26.02% | 72.10% | R+46.1 | 18.82% | 77.45% | R+58.6 | R
161 | 33.26% | 63.98% | R+30.7 | 27.50% | 66.51% | R+39 | R
162 | 30.13% | 67.39% | R+37.3 | 24.35% | 69.95% | R+45.6 | R
163 | 25.36% | 72.66% | R+47.3 | 19.41% | 75.70% | R+56.3 | R
Total | 44.38% | 53.76% | R+9.4 | 38.23% | 56.92% | R+18.7 | \-
Source: Daily Kos

## State overview[edit]

### Partisan control[edit]

This section details the partisan control of federal and state positions in Missouri heading into the 2018 elections.

#### Congressional delegation[edit]

* Following the 2016 elections, Democrats and Republicans each held one U.S. Senate seat in Missouri.
* Republicans held six of 8 U.S. House seats in Missouri.

#### State executives[edit]

* As of May 2018, Republicans held three of 12 state executive positions, Democrats held one, and the remaining positions were officially nonpartisan.
* The governor of Missouri was Republican Mike Parson. The state held elections for governor and lieutenant governor on November 6, 2020.

#### State legislature[edit]

* Republicans controlled both chambers of the Missouri General Assembly. They had a 109-45 majority in the state House and a 23-10 majority in the state Senate.

#### Trifecta status[edit]

* Missouri was a Republican trifecta, meaning that the Republican Party controlled the office of the governor, the state House, and the state Senate.

### 2018 elections[edit]

See also: Missouri elections, 2018

Missouri held elections for the following positions in 2018:

* One U.S. Senate seat
* Eight U.S. House seats
* One lower state executive position
* 17 of 34 state Senate seats
* 163 state House seats
* Municipal elections in Missouri

### Demographics[edit]

Demographic data for Missouri

| Missouri| U.S.
Total population:| 6,076,204| 316,515,021
Land area (sq mi):| 68,742| 3,531,905
Race and ethnicity**
White:| 82.6%| 73.6%
Black/African American:| 11.5%| 12.6%
Asian:| 1.8%| 5.1%
Native American:| 0.4%| 0.8%
Pacific Islander:| 0.1%| 0.2%
Two or more:| 2.4%| 3%
Hispanic/Latino:| 3.9%| 17.1%
Education
High school graduation rate:| 88.4%| 86.7%
College graduation rate:| 27.1%| 29.8%
Income
Median household income:| $48,173| $53,889
Persons below poverty level:| 18.2%| 11.3%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2010-2015)
Click here for more information on the 2020 census and here for more on its impact on the redistricting process in Missouri.

* * *

**Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here.

As of July 2016, Missouri's three largest cities were Kansas City (pop. est. 488,943), St. Louis (pop. est. 308,626), and Springfield (pop. est. 167,376).[27][28]

## State election history[edit]

This section provides an overview of federal and state elections in Missouri from 2000 to 2016. All data comes from the Missouri Secretary of State.

### Historical elections[edit]

#### Presidential elections, 2000-2016[edit]

This chart shows the results of the presidential election in Missouri every year from 2000 to 2016.

Election results (President of the United States), Missouri 2000-2016

Year  | First-place candidate  | First-place candidate votes (%)  | Second-place candidate  | Second-place candidate votes (%)  | Margin of victory (%)
2016 |  Donald Trump | 56.4% |  Hillary Clinton | 37.9% | 18.5%
2012 |  Mitt Romney | 53.8% |  Barack Obama | 44.4% | 9.4%
2008 |  John McCain | 49.4% |  Barack Obama | 49.3% | 0.1%
2004 |  George W. Bush | 53.3% |  John Kerry | 46.1% | 7.2%
2000 |  George W. Bush | 50.4% |  Al Gore | 47.1% | 3.3%

#### U.S. Senate elections, 2000-2016[edit]

This chart shows the results of U.S. Senate races in Missouri from 2000 to 2016. Every state has two Senate seats, and each seat goes up for election every six years. The terms of the seats are staggered so that roughly one-third of the seats are up every two years.

Election results (U.S. Senator), Missouri 2000-2016

Year  | First-place candidate  | First-place candidate votes (%)  | Second-place candidate  | Second-place candidate votes (%)  | Margin of victory (%)
2016 |  Roy Blunt | 49.2% |  Jason Kander | 46.4% | 2.8%
2012 |  Claire McCaskill | 54.8% |  Todd Akin | 39.1% | 15.7%
2010 |  Roy Blunt | 54.2% |  Robin Carnahan | 40.6% | 13.6%
2006 |  Claire McCaskill | 49.6% |  Jim Talent | 47.3% | 2.3%
2004 |  Kit Bond | 56.1% |  Nancy Farmer | 42.8% | 13.3%
2000 |  Mel Carnahan | 50.5% |  John Ashcroft | 48.4% | 2.1%

#### Gubernatorial elections, 2000-2016[edit]

This chart shows the results of the four gubernatorial elections held between 2000 and 2016. Gubernatorial elections are held every four years in Missouri.

Election results (Governor), Missouri 2000-2016

Year  | First-place candidate  | First-place candidate votes (%)  | Second-place candidate  | Second-place candidate votes (%)  | Margin of victory (%)
2016 |  Eric Greitens | 51.1% |  Chris Koster | 45.5% | 5.6%
2012 |  Jay Nixon | 54.8% |  Dave Spence | 42.5% | 12.3%
2008 |  Jay Nixon | 58.4% |  Kenny Hulshof | 39.5% | 18.9%
2004 |  Matt Blunt | 50.8% |  Claire McCaskill | 47.9% | 2.9%
2000 |  Bob Holden | 49.1% |  Jim Talent | 48.2% | 0.9%

#### Congressional delegation, 2000-2016[edit]

This chart shows the number of Democrats and Republicans who were elected to represent Missouri in the U.S. House from 2000 to 2016. Elections for U.S. House seats are held every two years.

Congressional delegation, Missouri 2000-2016

Year  | Republicans  | Republicans (%)  | Democrats  | Democrats (%)  | Balance of power
2016 |  6 | 75% |  2 | 25% | R+4
2014 |  6 | 75% |  2 | 25% | R+4
2012 |  6 | 75% |  2 | 25% | R+4
2010 |  6 | 33.3% |  3 | 66.7% | R+3
2008 |  5 | 55.5% |  4 | 44.4% | R+1
2006 |  5 | 55.5% |  4 | 44.4% | R+1
2004 |  5 | 55.5% |  4 | 44.4% | R+1
2002 |  5 | 55.5% |  4 | 44.4% | R+1
2000 |  5 | 55.5% |  4 | 44.4% | R+1

#### Trifectas, 1992-2017[edit]

A state government trifecta occurs when one party controls both chambers of the state legislature and the governor's office.

Missouri Party Control: 1992-2025
Eight years of Democratic trifectas • Thirteen years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.

Year  | 92  | 93  | 94  | 95  | 96  | 97  | 98  | 99  | 00  | 01  | 02  | 03  | 04  | 05  | 06  | 07  | 08  | 09  | 10  | 11  | 12  | 13  | 14  | 15  | 16  | 17  | 18  | 19  | 20  | 21  | 22  | 23  | 24  | 25

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Governor | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R
Senate | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R
House | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R

## See also[edit]

* United States Senate election in Missouri, 2018
* United States Senate election in Missouri (August 7, 2018 Democratic primary)
* United States Senate elections, 2018
* United States House of Representatives elections in Missouri, 2018

## Footnotes[edit]

1. ↑ RealClearPolitics, "Missouri Republican Hawley Announces Run for Senate," October 10, 2017
2. ↑ CNN, "The 10 Senate seats most likely to switch parties: March edition," March 4, 2018
3. ↑ Politico, "Missouri’s $10M man," August 14, 2017
4. ↑ FEC, "Federal Election Commission," accessed November 5, 2017
5. ↑ Politico, "Anti-Trump candidates retreat," June 14, 2018
6. ↑ The Western Journal, "Republican Senate Candidate Reveals New Plan for Political Donations," December 18, 2017
7. ↑ 7.0 7.1 Kansas City Star, "Josh Hawley blames sex trafficking on ‘sexual revolution’ of 1960s in speech to pastors," January 31, 2018
8. ↑ Facebook, "Courtland Sykes for Senate," January 30, 2018
9. ↑ St. Louis Post-Dispatch, "Trump pitches benefits of his tax cuts in Boeing appearance," March 15, 2018
10. ↑ St. Louis Public Radio, "Trump touches down in St. Louis to bolster Hawley’s Senate bid," March 14, 2018
11. ↑ 11.0 11.1 11.2 Politico, "The top 10 Senate races of 2018," December 24, 2017
12. ↑ Kansas City Star, "What does Sen. Blunt think about Hawley’s sex trafficking remarks? ‘I haven’t looked,'" February 2, 2018
13. ↑ St. Louis Post Dispatch, "Schmitt out of Missouri's U.S. Senate race, backs Hawley for GOP nomination," August 15, 2017
14. ↑ The Huffington Post, "Roy Moore Endorses Missouri GOP Candidate Who Expects ‘Home Cooked Dinner At Six,'" February 26, 2018
15. ↑ Facebook, "Courtland Sykes," July 23, 2018
16. ↑ Twitter, "Joe Arpaio," August 4, 2018
17. ↑ Kansas City Star, "McCaskill tears into GOP challenger Hawley during Jackson County visit," October 10, 2017
18. ↑ Senate Conservatives Fund, "Josh Hawley for Senate in Missouri," December 15, 2017
19. ↑ Kansas City Star, "Roy Blunt the insider vs. Jason Kander the outsider sums up U.S. Senate contest in Missouri," accessed September 27, 2016
20. ↑ OpenSecrets.org, "Outside Spending," accessed November 12, 2016
21. ↑ St. Louis Post-Dispatch, "Missouri Senate race unique in complex national cross-currents of 2016," accessed September 30, 2016
22. ↑ National Review, "Missouri’s Senate Race Wasn’t Supposed to Be This Close," accessed September 30, 2016
23. ↑ 23.0 23.1 The Military Times, "Incumbent Blunt defeats Kander in Missouri Senate race," accessed November 12, 2016
24. ↑ 270towin.com, "Missouri," accessed June 29, 2017
25. ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts," July 9, 2013
26. ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2016 presidential results for congressional and legislative districts," February 6, 2017
27. ↑ Missouri Demographics, "Missouri Cities by Population," accessed September 5, 2018
28. ↑ U.S. Census Bureau, "Quickfacts Missouri," accessed September 5, 2018

[show]

Missouri's current delegation to the United States Congress

Senators

Josh Hawley (R)

Eric Schmitt (R)

Representatives

District 1

Wesley Bell (D)

District 2

Ann Wagner (R)

District 3

Bob Onder (R)

District 4

Mark Alford (R)

District 5

Emanuel Cleaver (D)

District 6

Sam Graves (R)

District 7

Eric Burlison (R)

District 8

Jason Smith (R)

Republican Party (8)

Democratic Party (2)

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