United States House of Representatives elections in Montana, 2014

| Montana's 2014 elections

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Montana's At-Large Congressional District

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General Election Date
November 4, 2014

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Primary Date
June 3, 2014

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District history • Candidates

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November 4 Election Winner:
Ryan Zinke
Incumbent prior to election:
Steve Daines

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Race Ratings
Cook Political Report: Likely R[1]

FairVote's Monopoly Politics: Safe R[2]
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Likely R[3]

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Montana U.S. House Elections At-Large District

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2014 U.S. Senate Elections

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## Contents

* 1 Race background
* 1.1 Zinke's military records
* 2 Partisan breakdown
* 3 Margin of victory
* 4 Candidates
* 5 Election results
* 5.1 General election
* 5.2 Primary election
* 6 Polls
* 6.1 General election polls
* 7 Key votes
* 7.1 Government affairs
* 7.1.1 HR 676
* 8 Campaign contributions
* 8.1 Steve Daines
* 8.2 Ryan Zinke
* 8.3 John Lewis
* 8.4 Matt Rosendale
* 8.5 Corey Stapleton
* 8.6 Drew Turiano
* 9 District history
* 9.1 2012
* 9.2 2010
* 10 Media
* 10.1 Ryan Zinke
* 11 See also
* 12 Footnotes

The 2014 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Montana took place on November 4, 2014. Voters elected one candidate to serve in the U.S. House from the state's At-Large Congressional District. Ryan Zinke (R) defeated John Lewis (D) and Mike Fellows (Montana) (L) in the general election.

Incumbent Rep. Steve Daines (R) chose to run for a U.S. Senate seat in 2014 instead of seeking re-election to the House, so Montana's At-Large District was left as an open seat. Open seats often lead to more competitive races, but Montana had not had a Democratic U.S. Representative since 1997, and this election was expected to follow suit. The Cook Political Report rated Montana's U.S. House seat as "Likely Republican."[4]

Zinke had an advantage in fundraising leading up to the November general election. He reported $423,774.43 in cash on hand as of the April Quarterly Federal Election Commission (FEC) reports, whereas Lewis and Fellows had not reported any contributions at all. One early general election poll from November 2013 showed Zinke leading Lewis by only 5 percent, but 30 percent of voters were still undecided. In a debate between all three general election candidates on June 14, 2014, Lewis said that he wanted to raise the minimum wage, improve the Affordable Care Act and encourage development on renewable energy. Fellows focused primarily on smaller government, emphasizing a substantial decrease in spending. Meanwhile, Zinke characterized himself as a moderate Republican, saying, "If you’re on the far left, I’m just way too conservative for you. If you’re on the far right, I’m probably not conservative enough. But for Montana, I guess I’m just about right."[5]

In the June 3, 2014, primary election, Lewis easily defeated John Driscoll for the Democratic nomination. In contrast, Zinke faced a more competitive race against four other candidates. Corey Stapleton and Matt Rosendale each ended up with close to 30 percent of the vote.[6]

Candidate Filing Deadline  | Primary Election  | General Election

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March 10, 2014 | June 3, 2014 | November 4, 2014

Primary: A primary election is an election in which registered voters select a candidate that they believe should be a political party's candidate for elected office to run in the general election. They are also used to choose convention delegates and party leaders. Primaries are state-level and local-level elections that take place prior to a general election. Montana utilizes an open primary system, in which registered voters do not have to be members of a party to vote in that party's primary.[7][8][9]

For information about which offices are nominated via primary election, see this article.

Voter registration: To vote in the primary, voters had to register by May 6, 2014. However, if the deadline was missed, late registration was available at county election offices up until close of polls on election day. For the general election, the voter registration deadline was October 5, 2014 (30 days before election day).[10]

See also: Montana elections, 2014

Incumbent: Heading into the election the incumbent was Steve Daines (R), who was first elected in 2012. Daines won election to the U.S. Senate in 2014.

Montana has a single at-large congressional district, which makes up the entire state.

## Race background[edit]

In the 2012 election, Steve Daines secured election by a 10.5 percent margin of victory. In 2012, the incumbent, Denny Rehberg, chose not to run for re-election so that he could compete for the U.S. Senate seat up for election. As a result, Steve Daines and Kim Gillan ran against each other for the open seat. The district was listed in the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee's "Red to Blue List," which identified districts that the organization specifically targeted to flip from Republican to Democratic control.[11] Daines was able to outspend his opponent, spending $2,021,596, more than twice the $991,016 that Gillan spent.[12]

### Zinke's military records[edit]

The Montana Democratic Party asked that Ryan Zinke release all of his military records from his service as a Navy SEAL. The records, some of which can be found here, highlighted Zinke's extensive awards, praise from superior officers and medical evaluations after injury.[13] The Democratic Party blamed Zinke for redacting key information, and asked specifically for Zinke to release any letters of reprimand that he had received. Zinke explained that at one point in his military career, he had used $211 of Navy money to buy a plane ticket in order to "scout out potential SEAL training sites in Montana," and he was later asked to pay the money back. However, Zinke said that the Navy never issued a letter of reprimand over the money, and he paid it back.[14]

## Partisan breakdown[edit]

Heading into the November 4 election, the Republican Party held the one congressional seat from Montana.

Members of the U.S. House from Montana -- Partisan Breakdown

Party  | As of November 2014  | After the 2014 Election
| Democratic Party | 0  | 0
| Republican Party | 1 | 1
Total |  1 |  1

## Margin of victory[edit]

The margin of victory in Montana's U.S. House race was 15.0 percent. This was calculated by examining the percentage difference between the two candidates who received the most votes.

## Candidates[edit]

Candidate ballot access

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Find detailed information on ballot access requirements in all 50 states and Washington, D.C.

General election candidates

* Ryan Zinke a
* John Lewis
* Mike Fellows

June 3, 2014, primary results

Republican Primary

* Elsie Arntzen \- State senator
* Matt Rosendale
* Corey Stapleton
* Drew Turiano
* Ryan Zinkea

Democratic Primary

* John Lewis[15]a
* John Driscoll

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Libertarian Primary

* Mike Fellowsa

Declined to run

* Stephanie Schriock: President of EMILY's List[16]
* Denny Rehberg[17]

## Election results[edit]

### General election[edit]

U.S. House, Montana's At-Large District General Election, 2014

Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes
| Republican  | Ryan Zinke | 55.4% | 203,871
| Democratic  |  John Lewis  | 40.4% | 148,690
| Libertarian  |  Mike Fellows  | 4.2% | 15,402
Total Votes | 367,963
Source: Montana Secretary of State

### Primary election[edit]

U.S. House, Montana's At-Large District Republican Primary, 2014

Candidate | Vote % | Votes
Ryan Zinke | 33.3% | 43,766
Corey Stapleton  | 29.3% | 38,591
Matt Rosendale  | 28.8% | 37,965
Elsie Arntzen  | 6.8% | 9,011
Drew Turiano  | 1.7% | 2,290
Total Votes | 131,623
Source: Montana Secretary of State - Official Primary Results
U.S. House, Montana's At-Large District Democratic Primary, 2014

Candidate | Vote % | Votes
John Lewis | 59.8% | 42,588
John Driscoll  | 40.2% | 28,580
Total Votes | 71,168
Source: Montana Secretary of State - Official Primary Results

## Polls[edit]

### General election polls[edit]

General election candidates

Poll | Ryan Zinke (R) | John Lewis (D)| Mike Fellows (L)| Unsure| Margin of Error| Sample Size
Montana State University-Billings[18]
(October 2014)
| 39.8%| 32.9%| 2.2%| 25%| +/-5| 410
Human Events and Gravis Marketing
(July 20-22, 2014)
| 47%| 35%| 6%| 11%| +/-4| 741
Note: A "0%" finding means the candidate was not a part of the poll. The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org

John Lewis vs. Ryan Zinke

Poll | John Lewis (D) | Ryan Zinke (R)| Not sure| Margin of Error| Sample Size
Gravis Marketing
(October 23–24, 2014)
| 41%| 53%| 6%| +/-4| 604
Vox Populi Polling
(August 3-4, 2014)
| 37%| 44%| 19%| +/-3.5| 798
Public Policy Polling
(Nov. 15-17, 2014)
| 32%| 37%| 30%| +/-3.2| 952
Note: A "0%" finding means the candidate was not a part of the poll. The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org

## Key votes[edit]

### Government affairs[edit]

#### HR 676[edit]

See also: Boehner's lawsuit against the Obama administration

On July 30, 2014, the U.S. House approved a resolution 225 to 201 to sue President Barack Obama for exceeding his constitutional authority. Five Republicans—Thomas Massie of Kentucky, Paul Broun of Georgia, Scott Garrett of New Jersey, Walter Jones of North Carolina and Steve Stockman of Texas—voted with Democrats against the lawsuit.[19] Daines joined the other 224 Republicans in favor of the lawsuit. All Democrats voted against the resolution.[20][21]

## Campaign contributions[edit]

### Steve Daines[edit]

Candidates for Congress were required to file up to seven main reports with the Federal Election Commission during the 2014 elections season. Below are Daines' reports.[22]

Steve Daines (2014) Campaign Finance Reports

Report| Date Filed| Beginning Balance| Total Contributions
for Reporting Period| Expenditures| Cash on Hand
April Quarterly[23]| April 12, 2013| $15,407.18| $252,869.34| $(77,952.52)| $190,324.00
July Quarterly[24]| July 15, 2013| $190,324.00| $430,922.42| $(60,392.38)| $560,854.04
October Quarterly[25]| October 15, 2013| $560,854.04| $642,537.15| $(64,600.10)| $1,138,791.09
Year-End Quarterly[26]| December 31, 2013| $1,138,791| $827,134| $(271,846)| $1,897,935
April Quarterly[27]| April 15, 2014| $1,897,935.17| $1,215,460.20| $(901,798.02)| $2,211,597.35
Pre-Primary[28]| May 19, 2014| $2,211,597.35| $512,327.71| $(842,191.50)| $1,881,733.56
July Quarterly[29]| July 15, 2014| $1,881,733.56| $911,538.12| $(1,065,472.52)| $1,727,797.16
October Quarterly[30]| October 15, 2014| $1,727,797.16| $1,853,201.41| $(1,961,632.23)| $1,619,366.34
Pre-General[31]| October 20, 2014| $1,619,366.34| $307,857.50| $(676,673.59)| $1,250,550.25
| | | Running totals|
| | | $6,953,847.85| $(5,922,558.86)|

### Ryan Zinke[edit]

Candidates for Congress were required to file up to seven main reports with the Federal Election Commission during the 2014 elections season. Below are Zinke's reports.[32]

Ryan Zinke (2014) Campaign Finance Reports

Report| Date Filed| Beginning Balance| Total Contributions
for Reporting Period| Expenditures| Cash on Hand
Year-End[33]| January 31, 2014| $0.00| $447,610.40| $(102,714.91)| $344,895.49
April Quarterly[34]| April 15, 2014| $344,895.49| $460,260.12| $(381,381.18)| $423,774.43
Pre-Primary[35]| July 22, 2014| $423,774.43| $290,759.59| $(563,834.25)| $150,699.77
July Quarterly[36]| October 21, 2014| $150,699.77| $405,657.76| $(459,051.32)| $97,306.21
October Quarterly[37]| October 15, 2014| $97,306.21| $1,930,612.90| $(1,537,128.32)| $490,790.79
Pre-General[38]| October 23, 2014| $490,790.79| $447,692.12| $(318,436.66)| $620,046.25
| | | Running totals|
| | | $3,982,592.89| $(3,362,546.64)|

### John Lewis[edit]

Candidates for Congress were required to file up to seven main reports with the Federal Election Commission during the 2014 elections season. Below are Lewis' reports.[39]

John Lewis (2014) Campaign Finance Reports

Report| Date Filed| Beginning Balance| Total Contributions
for Reporting Period| Expenditures| Cash on Hand
October Quarterly[40]| January 30, 2014| $0.00| $189,571.42| $(7,459.19)| $182,112.23
Year-End[41]| January 31, 2014| $182,112.23| $204,899.37| $(67,914.72)| $319,096.88
April Quarterly[42]| April 15, 2014| $319,096.88| $300,033.55| $(107,374.62)| $511,755.81
Pre-Primary[43]| May 22, 2014| $511,755.81| $60,984.26| $(53,878.27)| $518,861.80
July Quarterly[44]| July 15, 2014| $518,861.80| $274,652.43| $(170,803.42)| $622,710.81
October Quarterly[45]| October 15, 2014| $622,710.81| $392,847.28| $(754,208.24)| $261,349.85
Pre-General[46]| October 23, 2014| $261,349.85| $129,863.47| $(202,464.09)| $188,749.23
| | | Running totals|
| | | $1,552,851.78| $(1,364,102.55)|

### Matt Rosendale[edit]

Candidates for Congress were required to file up to seven main reports with the Federal Election Commission during the 2014 elections season. Below are Rosendale's reports.[47]

Matt Rosendale (2014) Campaign Finance Reports

Report| Date Filed| Beginning Balance| Total Contributions
for Reporting Period| Expenditures| Cash on Hand
October Quarterly[48]| November 1, 2013| $0.00| $320,899.95| $(40,572.92)| $280,327.03
Year-End[49]| January 31, 2014| $280,327.03| $286,437.00| $(133,820.65)| $432,943.38
April Quarterly[50]| April 15, 2014| $432,943.38| $34,504.00| $(245,496.59)| $221,950.79
| | | Running totals|
| | | $641,840.95| $(419,890.16)|

### Corey Stapleton[edit]

Candidates for Congress were required to file up to seven main reports with the Federal Election Commission during the 2014 elections season. Below are Stapleton's reports.[51]

Corey Stapleton (2014) Campaign Finance Reports

Report| Date Filed| Beginning Balance| Total Contributions
for Reporting Period| Expenditures| Cash on Hand
April Quarterly[52]| April 12, 2013| $0.00| $140,151.27| $(53,454.46)| $86,696.81
July Quarterly[53]| July 11, 2013| $86,696.81| $91,881.23| $(101,409.98)| $77,168.06
October Quarterly[54]| November 4, 2013| $77,168.06| $67,751.27| $(70,153.79)| $74,765.54
Year-End[55]| January 31, 2014| $74,765.54| $30,796.14| $(48,125.47)| $57,436.21
April Quarterly[56]| April 15, 2014| $57,436.21| $43,231.38| $(45,215.64)| $55,451.95
| | | Running totals|
| | | $373,811.29| $(318,359.34)|

### Drew Turiano[edit]

Candidates for Congress were required to file up to seven main reports with the Federal Election Commission during the 2014 elections season. Below are Turiano's reports.[57]

Drew Turiano (2014) Campaign Finance Reports

Report| Date Filed| Beginning Balance| Total Contributions
for Reporting Period| Expenditures| Cash on Hand
Year-End[58]| January 17, 2014| $0.00| $2,540.00| $(1,717.40)| $822.60
April Quarterly[59]| April 7, 2014| $822.60| $4,300.00| $(4,401.73)| $720.87
| | | Running totals|
| | | $6,840| $(6,119.13)|

## District history[edit]

### 2012[edit]

On November 6, 2012, Steve Daines (R) won election to the United States House. He defeated Kim Gillan (D) and David Kaiser (L) in the general election.

U.S. House, Montana, At-Large District General Election, 2012

Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes
| Democratic  |  Kim Gillan  | 42.7% | 204,939
| Republican  | Steve Daines | 53.3% | 255,468
| Libertarian  |  David Kaiser  | 4% | 19,333
Total Votes | 479,740
Source: Montana Secretary of State "2012 Election Center"

### 2010[edit]

On November 2, 2010, Denny Rehberg won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Dennis McDonald (D) and Mike Fellows (Libertarian) in the general election.[60]

U.S. House, Montana At-Large District General Election, 2010

Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes
| Republican  | Denny Rehberg incumbent | 60.4% | 217,696
| Democratic  |  Dennis McDonald  | 33.8% | 121,954
| Libertarian  |  Mike Fellows  | 5.7% | 20,691
Total Votes | 360,341

## Media[edit]

### Ryan Zinke[edit]

Ryan Zinke campaign ad[61]

## See also[edit]

* United States House of Representatives elections, 2014
* United States Senate elections in Montana, 2014

## Footnotes[edit]

1. ↑ Cook Political Report, "2014 House Race Ratings for August 8, 2014," accessed August 25, 2014
2. ↑ FairVote's Monopoly Politics, "2014 House Projections," accessed August 25, 2014
3. ↑ Sabato's Crystal Ball, "2014 House Races," accessed August 25, 2014
4. ↑ The Cook Political Report, "2014 House Race Ratings for June 26, 2014," accessed July 1, 2014
5. ↑ Helena Independent Record, "Debate: Zinke, Lewis stake out talking points — but few shots at each other," accessed July 2, 2014
6. ↑ Associated Press, "Montana - Summary Vote Results," accessed July 2, 2014
7. ↑ National Conference of State Legislatures,"State Primary Election Types," accessed October 25, 2019
8. ↑ FairVote,"Primaries," accessed October 25, 2019
9. ↑ Corey Stapleton Montana Secretary of State,"Frequently Asked Questions," accessed October 25, 2019
10. ↑ Montana Secretary of State Website, "Montana Voter Information," accessed January 3, 2014
11. ↑ DCCC "Red to Blue 2012," accessed May 17, 2013
12. ↑ Open Secrets, "2012 Race: Montana District 01," accessed May 17, 2013
13. ↑ The Billings Gazette, "Ryan Zinke documents," accessed August 12, 2014
14. ↑ The Billings Gazette, "Zinke releases some Navy records on SEAL career; Dems seek more," accessed August 12, 2014
15. ↑ Washington Post, "Former Baucus state director files paperwork for House race," accessed August 26, 2013
16. ↑ USA Today, "EMILY's List president not running for Senate," accessed July 31, 2013
17. ↑ The Hill, "Rehberg eyes bid for former House seat," accessed January 3, 2014
18. ↑ Billings KTVQ, "MSUB poll shows Daines, Zinke leading races," accessed October 20, 2014
19. ↑ U.S. House, "House Resolution 676," accessed July 30, 2014
20. ↑ Associated Press, "Suing Obama: GOP-led House gives the go-ahead," July 31, 2014
21. ↑ Washington Post, "House clears way for lawsuit against Obama," accessed July 30, 2014
22. ↑ Federal Election Commission, "Daines 2014 Summary reports," accessed July 18, 2014
23. ↑ FEC, "April Quarterly," accessed July 18, 2013
24. ↑ FEC, "July Quarterly," accessed July 18, 2013
25. ↑ FEC, "October Quarterly," accessed October 24, 2013
26. ↑ FEC, "Year-End Quarterly," accessed February 12, 2014
27. ↑ FEC, "April Quarterly," accessed May 16, 2014
28. ↑ FEC, "Pre-Primary," accessed October 22, 2014
29. ↑ FEC, "July Quarterly," accessed October 22, 2014
30. ↑ FEC, "October Quarterly," accessed October 31, 2014
31. ↑ FEC, "Pre-General," accessed October 31, 2014
32. ↑ Federal Election Commission, "Ryan Zinke Summary Report," accessed April 29, 2014
33. ↑ Federal Election Commission, "Ryan Zinke Year-End," accessed April 29, 2014
34. ↑ Federal Election Commission, "Ryan Zinke April Quarterly," accessed April 29, 2014
35. ↑ Federal Election Commission, "Ryan Zinke Pre-Primary," accessed November 3, 2014
36. ↑ Federal Election Commission, "Ryan Zinke July Quarterly," accessed November 3, 2014
37. ↑ Federal Election Commission, "Ryan Zinke October Quarterly," accessed November 3, 2014
38. ↑ Federal Election Commission, "Ryan Zinke Pre-General," accessed November 3, 2014
39. ↑ Federal Election Commission, "John Lewis Summary Report," accessed November 3, 2014
40. ↑ Federal Election Commission, "John Lewis October Quarterly," accessed November 3, 2014
41. ↑ Federal Election Commission, "John Lewis Year-End," accessed November 3, 2014
42. ↑ Federal Election Commission, "John Lewis April Quarterly," accessed November 3, 2014
43. ↑ Federal Election Commission, "John Lewis Pre-Primary," accessed November 3, 2014
44. ↑ Federal Election Commission, "John Lewis July Quarterly," accessed November 3, 2014
45. ↑ Federal Election Commission, "John Lewis October Quarterly," accessed November 3, 2014
46. ↑ Federal Election Commission, "John Lewis Pre-General," accessed November 3, 2014
47. ↑ Federal Election Commission, "Matt Rosendale Summary Report," accessed April 29, 2014
48. ↑ Federal Election Commission, "Matt Rosendale October Quarterly," accessed April 29, 2014
49. ↑ Federal Election Commission, "Matt Rosendale Year-End," accessed April 29, 2014
50. ↑ Federal Election Commission, "Matt Rosendale April Quarterly," accessed April 29, 2014
51. ↑ Federal Election Commission, "Corey Stapleton Summary Report," accessed April 29, 2014
52. ↑ Federal Election Commission, "Corey Stapleton April Quarterly," accessed April 29, 2014
53. ↑ Federal Election Commission, "Corey Stapleton July Quarterly," accessed April 29, 2014
54. ↑ Federal Election Commission, "Corey Stapleton October Quarterly," accessed April 29, 2014
55. ↑ Federal Election Commission, "Corey Stapleton Year-End," accessed April 29, 2014
56. ↑ Federal Election Commission, "Corey Stapleton April Quarterly," accessed April 29, 2014
57. ↑ Federal Election Commission, "Drew Turiano Summary Report," accessed April 29, 2014
58. ↑ Federal Election Commission, "Drew Turiano Year-End," accessed April 29, 2014
59. ↑ Federal Election Commission, "Drew Turiano April Quarterly," accessed April 29, 2014
60. ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010," accessed March 28, 2013
61. ↑ YouTube, "The Right Conservative for Montana," accessed April 29, 2014

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[show]

Montana's current delegation to the United States Congress

Senators

Steve Daines (R)

Jon Tester (D)

Representatives

Matt Rosendale (R)

Republican Party (2)

Democratic Party (1)