Arizona gubernatorial election, 2018

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# Arizona gubernatorial election, 2018

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Elections in Arizona, 2018

* General election: Nov. 6
* Voter registration deadline: Oct. 9
* Early voting: Oct. 10 - Nov. 2
* Absentee voting deadline: Postmark Nov. 6

* Online registration: Yes
* Same-day registration: No
* Voter ID: Non-photo ID
* Poll times: 6:00 a.m. to 7:00 p.m.

* * *

On the ballot: U.S. Senate • U.S. House • Congressional special elections • Governor • Attorney General • Secretary of State • State executive offices • State Senate • State House • Supreme court • Appellate courts • Local judges • State ballot measures • Local ballot measures • School boards • Municipal • Recalls • Democratic primaries • Republican primaries

<- 2014

Governor of Arizona

Democratic primary
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: May 30, 2018
Primary: August 28, 2018
General: November 6, 2018

* * *

Pre-election incumbent(s):
Doug Ducey (Republican)
How to vote
Poll times: 6 a.m. to 7 p.m.
Voting in Arizona
Race ratings
Cook Political Report: Likely Republican
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Likely Republican
Inside Elections: Likely Republican
Ballotpedia analysis
Federal and state primary competitiveness
State executive elections in 2018
Impact of term limits in 2018
State government trifectas and triplexes
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2018
Arizona
executive elections
Governor

Attorney general
Secretary of state
Treasurer
Superintendent of public instruction
Mine inspector
Corporation commission

Incumbent Doug Ducey (R) defeated professor David Garcia (D) and Angel Torres (G) in the general election on November 6, 2018, for governor of Arizona.

Ducey was first elected in 2014 by a margin of 12 percentage points. Of the ten preceding gubernatorial elections, a Republican candidate won six—including Ducey's victory in 2014—and a Democratic candidate won four. In 2016, Donald Trump (R) carried the state by a margin of 4 percentage points. As of November 2018, three race rating outlets rated the race Likely Republican.

Ducey's victory preserved the state's Republican trifecta. At the time of the 2018 election, Arizona had been a Republican trifecta since Gov. Jan Brewer (R) took office in 2009.

Arizona was one of 36 states that held an election for governor in 2018. Democrats gained seven previously Republican-held seats, and Republicans gained one previously independent-held seat. Heading into the 2018 elections, there were 16 Democratic governors, 33 Republican governors, and one independent governor. In 2018, 26 of the 33 states with a Republican governor held a gubernatorial election, while nine out of the 16 states with a Democratic governor held a gubernatorial election. Seventeen of the 36 seats up for election were open seats (four Democratic, 12 Republican, and one independent), meaning that the sitting governor was not seeking re-election. Click here for more information on other 2018 gubernatorial elections.

For more information about the Democratic primary, click here.
For more information about the Republican primary, click here.

## Contents

* 1 Candidates and election results
* 2 Candidate profiles
* 3 Polls
* 3.1 PredictIt Prices
* 4 Campaign finance
* 5 Satellite spending
* 6 Race ratings
* 7 Noteworthy endorsements
* 8 Timeline
* 9 Campaign ads
* 9.1 Doug Ducey
* 9.1.1 Support
* 9.2 David Garcia
* 9.2.1 Support
* 9.2.2 Oppose
* 10 Noteworthy events
* 10.1 Bernie Sanders campaign appearance
* 11 Debates and forums
* 12 Campaign themes
* 12.1 David Garcia
* 12.2 Doug Ducey
* 13 Social media
* 13.1 Twitter accounts
* 13.2 Facebook accounts
* 14 Other 2018 statewide elections
* 15 Pivot Counties
* 15.1 Presidential results by legislative district
* 16 Election history
* 16.1 2014
* 16.2 2010
* 16.3 2006
* 16.4 2002
* 17 Wave election analysis
* 18 State overview
* 18.1 Partisan control
* 18.1.1 Congressional delegation
* 18.1.2 State executives
* 18.1.3 State legislature
* 18.1.4 Trifecta status
* 18.2 2018 elections
* 18.3 Demographics
* 19 State election history
* 19.1 Historical elections
* 19.1.1 Presidential elections, 2000-2016
* 19.1.2 U.S. Senate elections, 2000-2016
* 19.1.3 Gubernatorial elections, 2000-2016
* 19.1.4 Congressional delegation, 2000-2016
* 19.1.5 Trifectas, 1992-2017
* 20 Recent news
* 21 See also
* 22 External links
* 23 Footnotes

## Candidates and election results

General election

##### General election for Governor of Arizona

Incumbent Doug Ducey defeated David Garcia and Angel Torres in the general election for Governor of Arizona on November 6, 2018.

Candidate

Votes

|
|
|

✔ |

| Doug Ducey (R)  |

56.0

| 1,330,863

| David Garcia (D)  |

41.8

| 994,341

| Angel Torres (G)  |

2.1

| 50,962

* * *

Incumbents are bolded and underlined. The results have been certified. Source

| Total votes: 2,376,166
(100.00% precincts reporting)

|
|

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Democratic primary election

#####  Democratic primary for Governor of Arizona

David Garcia defeated Steve Farley and Kelly Fryer in the Democratic primary for Governor of Arizona on August 28, 2018.

Candidate

Votes

|
|
|

✔ |

| David Garcia |

50.6

| 255,555

| Steve Farley |

32.3

| 163,072

| Kelly Fryer |

17.2

| 86,810

* * *

There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source

| Total votes: 505,437
(100.00% precincts reporting)

|
|

= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Republican primary election

#####  Republican primary for Governor of Arizona

Incumbent Doug Ducey defeated Ken Bennett in the Republican primary for Governor of Arizona on August 28, 2018.

Candidate

Votes

|
|
|

✔ |

| Doug Ducey |

70.7

| 463,672

| Ken Bennett |

29.3

| 191,775

* * *

Incumbents are bolded and underlined. The results have been certified. Source

| Total votes: 655,447
(100.00% precincts reporting)

|
|

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

#### Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

* Jeff Funicello (L)
* Merissa Hamilton (L)
* Barry J. Hess (L)
* Noah Dyer (Independent)
* Kevin McCormick (L)

## Candidate profiles

See also: Editorial approach to writing about key campaign messages

David Garcia, professor

Party: Democratic

Incumbent: No

Political office: None

Biography: After graduating from Arizona State University, Garcia attended the University of Chicago, receiving a master's degree and a doctorate in education. Garcia served as an education analyst and policy director in state government before joining the faculty of Arizona State University's teachers' college. As of the 2018 election, Garcia was the head of the university's Arizona Education Policy Initiative. Garcia was the Democratic nominee for state superintendent of public instruction in the 2014 election.

Key messages

* Garcia said that his values from his childhood in Mesa and his military service would allow him to "break the old politics that are holding back our economy, ruining our schools and crushing the middle class," saying that he "is a husband, dad, veteran, and teacher - he's not a politician."[1]

* Garcia said that he was running "because the political process is rigged against the regular, hard-working Arizonans that our state leaders are elected to serve." He said that Ducey and his appointees had promoted policies which were personally beneficial to them rather than looking out for the state's best interests.[2]

* Garcia said that his background in education was central to his policy plans, saying that he "has dedicated his career to improving Arizona public schools." Garcia's campaign website said that he "is the one person most capable of tackling the crisis in Arizona’s schools."[2]

Doug Ducey, Governor of Arizona

Party: Republican

Incumbent: Yes

Political office: Governor of Arizona (Assumed office: 2015), Arizona Treasurer (2011-2015)

Biography: After graduating from Arizona State University in 1986 with a degree in finance, Ducey joined Proctor & Gamble as a sales executive before joining Cold Stone Creamery in 1996. At the time of the company's sale in 2007, Ducey was chief executive officer and co-owner. Ducey later served as chairman of the board at digital home movie storage company iMemories.

Key messages

* Ducey said that he was running to continue policies he implemented during his first term, saying that during his first term more than 300 companies moved to the state and over 240,000 new jobs were created. Ducey also stated that a Border Strike Force was created and teachers received a 20 percent raise.[3]

* Ducey said that he had a strong record on education during his first term, saying that he "led an historic, bi-partisan effort to inject $3.5 billion into Arizona’s K-12 schools, helping boost teacher pay and put more money in the classroom — again, all without raising taxes."[4]

Angel Torres, union steward

Party: Green

Incumbent: No

Political office: None

Biography: Torres graduated from Arizona State University with a degree in organizational communication in 1986. After graduating, he joined the ground crew with a local airline. Torres was first elected a union steward in 2004 and continued to serve in that role at the time of the 2018 election.

Key messages

* Torres said that he was running to provide Green Party voters with an option on election day and to increase the party's exposure and registration.[5]

* Torres said that he would seek to increase union registration levels and corporate tax rates and to implement a Medicare-for-all healthcare system.[5] He described his priority as the economy.[6]

## Polls

See also: Ballotpedia's approach to covering polls
Governor of Arizona, 2018

Poll | Poll sponsor | Garcia (D) | Ducey (R)| Undecided/Other| Margin of Error| Sample Size
SSRS
(October 24-29, 2018)| CNN | 45%| 52%| 2%| +/-4.4| 702
Anderson Robbins Research and Shaw & Company Research
(October 27-29, 2018)| Fox News | 37%| 55%| 7%| +/-3.5| 643
HighGround
(October 26-28, 2018)| N/A | 35%| 55%| 10%| +/-4.9| 400
Marist College
(October 23-27, 2018)| NBC News | 42%| 55%| 2%| +/-5.4| 506
YouGov
(October 23-26, 2018)| CBS News | 41%| 52%| 7%| +/-4.1| 972
Note: A "0%" finding means the question was not a part of the poll. The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org
Click [show] to view older polls|

|

|  | Governor of Arizona, 2018

Poll | Poll sponsor | Garcia (D) | Ducey (R)| Undecided/Other| Margin of Error| Sample Size
OH Predictive Insights
(October 22-23, 2018)| ABC 15 Arizona | 39%| 57%| 4%| +/-4.0| 600
Change Research
(October 9-10, 2018)| The Garcia campaign | 40%| 47%| 13%| +/
| 783
OH Predictive Insights
(October 3, 2018)| Arizona Capitol Times | 37%| 54%| 9%| +/-4.0| 600
Anderson Robbins Research and Shaw & Company Research
(September 29-October 2, 2018)| Fox News | 37%| 55%| 8%| +/-3.5| 716
Data Orbital
(October 1-3, 2018)| N/A | 34%| 52%| 14%| +/-4.2| 550
Suffolk University
(September 27-30, 2018)| The Arizona Republic | 38%| 50%| 12%| +/-4.4| 500
Marist College
(September 16-20, 2018)| NBC News | 43%| 51%| 5%| +/-4.7| 564
SSRS
(September 11-15, 2018)| CNN | 45%| 48%| 8%| +/-4.3| 761
Arizona State University
(September 10-25, 2018)| N/A | 40%| 45%| 15%| +/-3.5| 775
TargetSmart
(September 9-13, 2018)| Progress Now Arizona | 48%| 49%| 3%| +/-4.0| 600
Anderson Robbins Research and Shaw & Company Research
(September 8-11, 2018)| Fox News | 40%| 51%| 9%| +/-3.5| 710
Gravis Marketing
(September 5-7, 2018)| N/A | 44%| 48%| 9%| +/-3.3| 882
Data Orbital
(September 4-6, 2018)| N/A | 41%| 49%| 10%| +/-4.2| 550
Public Policy Polling
(August 30-31, 2018)| The Garcia campaign | 43%| 44%| 13%| +/-4.2| 554
Note: A "0%" finding means the question was not a part of the poll. The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org

### PredictIt Prices

This section provides the PredictIt market prices for this race during the three months leading up to the election. PredictIt is a site where people make and trade predictions on political and financial events. Market prices reflect the probability, based on PredictIt users' predictions, that a candidate will win a race. For example, a market price of $0.60 for Candidate A is equivalent to a 60 percent probability that Candidate A will win.

## Campaign finance

The chart below contains data from financial reports submitted to the Arizona Secretary of State covering all contributions and expenditures made between November 9, 2016, and August 11, 2018.

## Satellite spending

Satellite spending, commonly referred to as outside spending, describes political spending not controlled by candidates or their campaigns; that is, any political expenditures made by groups or individuals that are not directly affiliated with a candidate. This includes spending by political party committees, super PACs, trade associations, and 501(c)(4) nonprofit groups.[7][8][9]

This section lists satellite spending in this race reported by news outlets in alphabetical order. If you are aware of spending that should be included, please email us.

* The Republican Governors Association has spent just over $9.2 million on ads opposed to Garcia, as of August 24, 2018.[10]

## Race ratings

See also: Race rating definitions and methods

Ballotpedia provides race ratings from three outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:

* Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
* Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
* Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[11]
* Tossup ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.

Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[12][13][14]

Race ratings: Arizona gubernatorial election, 2018

Race tracker| Race ratings
| November 5, 2018| October 30, 2018| October 23, 2018| October 16, 2018
The Cook Political Report| Likely Republican| Likely Republican| Likely Republican| Likely Republican
Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales| Likely Republican| Likely Republican| Likely Republican| Likely Republican
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball| Likely Republican| Likely Republican| Likely Republican| Likely Republican
Note: Ballotpedia updates external race ratings every two weeks throughout the election season.

## Noteworthy endorsements

This section lists noteworthy endorsements issued in this election, including those made by high-profile individuals and organizations, cross-party endorsements, and endorsements made by newspaper editorial boards. It also includes links to endorsement lists published on campaign websites, if available. Please note that this list is not exhaustive. If you are aware of endorsements that should be included, please email us.
Click the links below to see endorsement lists published on candidate campaign websites.

* Doug Ducey
* David Garcia

Noteworthy general election endorsements

Endorsement  | Garcia (D)  | Ducey (R)
Newspapers and editorials
Arizona Daily Star[15] |  | ✔
The Arizona Republic[16] |  | ✔
Casa Grande Dispatch[17] |  | ✔
The Havasu News[18] |  | ✔
The Prescott Daily Courier[19] |  | ✔
Elected officials
President Donald Trump (R)[20] |  | ✔
Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.)[21] | ✔ |
Former Sen. and Secretary of State Hillary Clinton (D)[22] | ✔ |
Click [show] to view endorsements issued in the August 28 Democratic primary.|

|

This is an abbreviated list of endorsements.

For all Steve Farley endorsements, click here.

For all David Garcia endorsements, click here.

| Democratic candidate endorsements

Endorsement  | Farley[23] | Garcia[24]
Individuals
Former U.S. Sen. Dennis DeConcini | ✔ |
Former U.S. Rep. Ann Kirkpatrick | ✔ |
Former U.S. Rep. Ron Barber | ✔ |
Former U.S. Rep. Harry Mitchell | ✔ |
State Rep. Rich Andrade |  | ✔
State Rep. Wenona Benally |  | ✔
State Sen. David Bradley |  | ✔
State Sen. Olivia Cajero Bedford |  | ✔
Organizations
American Federation of Teachers | ✔ |
Painters and Allied Trades International Union | ✔ |
International Association of Machinists and Aerospace Workers | ✔ |
American Federation of State, County, and Municipal Employees Harry Mitchell | ✔ |
Arizona Education Association |  | ✔
Planned Parenthood Arizona |  | ✔
VoteVets |  | ✔
Democracy for America |  | ✔

Click [show] to view endorsements issued in the August 28 Republican primary.|

|

| Republican primary endorsements

Endorsement  | Ken Bennett | Doug Ducey[25]
Federal officials
President Donald Trump |  | ✔
State figures
The Arizona Republic |  | ✔
Local figures
Casa Grande Dispatch |  | ✔
Organizations
AZCops[26] | ✔ |
Arizona Association of Realtors |  | ✔
Arizona Chamber of Commerce and Industry |  | ✔
Greater Phoenix Chamber of Commerce |  | ✔
Chandler Chamber of Commerce |  | ✔
Gilbert Chamber of Commerce |  | ✔
Arizona Police Association |  | ✔
Arizona Fraternal Order of Police |  | ✔
PACs
Arizona Citizens Defense League PAC[27] | ✔ |

## Timeline

* October 31, 2018: An SSRS poll sponsored by CNN found Ducey apparently leading Garcia, with 52 percent support to Garcia's 45 percent. The poll reported a margin of error of 4.4 percentage points.
* October 31, 2018: An Anderson Robbins Research and Shaw & Company Research poll sponsored by Fox News found Ducey leading Garcia 55-37. The poll reported a margin of error of 3.5 percentage points.
* October 30, 2018: A Marist College poll sponsored by NBC News found Ducey leading Garcia 55-42. The poll reported a margin of error of 5.4 percentage points.
* October 29, 2018: A HighGround poll found Ducey leading Garcia 55-35. The poll reported a margin of error of 4.9 percentage points.
* October 29, 2018: Former U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton (D) endorsed Garcia.
* October 28, 2018: A YouGov poll sponsored by CBS News found Ducey leading Garcia 52-41. The poll reported a margin of error of 4.1 percentage points.
* October 23, 2018: Sen. Bernie Sanders (I) endorsed Garcia at a rally at Arizona State University.
* October 20, 2018: The Prescott Daily Courier endorsed Ducey.
* October 14, 2018: The Arizona Daily Star endorsed Ducey.
* October 11, 2018: A Change Research poll commissioned by the Garcia campaign found Ducey leading Garcia 47-40. The poll did not report a margin of error.
* October 9, 2018: An OH Predictive Insights poll sponsored by the Arizona Capitol Times found Ducey leading Garcia 54-37. The poll reported a margin of error of 4.0 percentage points.
* October 7, 2018: The Arizona Republic endorsed Ducey.
* October 5, 2018: A Data Orbital poll found Ducey leading Garcia 52-34. The poll reported a margin of error of 4.2 percentage points.
* October 3, 2018: An Anderson Robbins Research and Shaw & Company Research poll commissioned by Fox News found Ducey leading Garcia 55-37. The poll reported a margin of error of 3.5 percentage points.
* October 3, 2018: A Suffolk University poll commissioned by The Arizona Republic found Ducey leading Garcia 50-38. The poll reported a margin of error of 4.4 percentage points.
* September 26, 2018: A Marist College poll commissioned by NBC News found Ducey leading Garcia 51-43. The margin of error was 4.7 percentage points.
* September 25, 2018: Ducey and Garcia met for a debate in Tucson.
* September 22, 2018: The Casa Grande Dispatch endorsed Ducey.
* September 24, 2018: Ducey, Garcia, and Torres met for a debate in Phoenix.
* September 18, 2018: A TargetSmart poll commissioned by Progress Now Arizona found Ducey apparently leading Garcia with 49 percent support to Garcia's 48 percent. The margin of error was 4 percentage points.
* September 18, 2018: The Ducey campaign released an ad titled Trust.
* September 17, 2018: An SSRS poll commissioned by CNN found Ducey apparently leading Garcia, with 48 percent support to Garcia's 45 percent. The poll reported a margin of error of 4.3 percentage points.
* August 10, 2018: The Havasu News endorsed Ducey.

## Campaign ads

This section shows advertisements released in this race. Ads released by campaigns and, if applicable, satellite groups are embedded or linked below. If you are aware of advertisements that should be included, please email us.

###  Doug Ducey

#### Support

"Trust" - Ducey campaign ad, released September 18, 2018

"Even More" - Ducey campaign ad, released September 5, 2018

###  David Garcia

#### Support

"Defendemos Lo Nuestro" - Garcia campaign ad, released October 2, 2018

"CHANGE" - Garcia campaign ad, released October 1, 2018

#### Oppose

"Raise Taxes" - RGA ad, released October 23, 2018

"Weaker Borders" - RGA ad, released October 15, 2018

"Garcia's Big Tax Hike" - RGA ad, released October 1, 2018

"So Liberal" - RGA ad, released September 19, 2018

## Noteworthy events

### Bernie Sanders campaign appearance

Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) appeared alongside Garcia for a get-out-the-vote rally at Arizona State University on October 23, 2018.[28]

## Debates and forums

* Ducey, Garcia, and Torres met for a debate in Phoenix on September 24, 2018. Click here for footage of the debate.
* Ducey and Garcia met for a debate in Tucson on September 25, 2018. Click here for footage of the debate.

## Campaign themes

###  David Garcia

Garcia's campaign website stated the following:

“  |

Stable Families
Expertise and a Commitment to Public Education
David has spent his life studying, supporting and fighting for Arizona public schools. The premier education expert in Arizona, David attended Arizona public schools, has served them as a policy analyst, the Associate Superintendent for the State of Arizona, and as a professor training educators across the state. As a dad, he now sends his two daughters to Arizona public schools. It is time to elect not another self-anointed ‘education governor’ but to elect an educator as the next Governor.

Investing in Childhood
As Governor, David will increase access to high-quality early education and affordable child care programs, and expand statewide access to after school programs.

Early learning is profoundly beneficial to our young children. As Governor, David would support increased access to high-quality full-day pre-K programs. A child's brain develops rapidly during the first five years of life, especially the first three years. It is a time of rapid cognitive, linguistic, social, emotional and motor development.

Research demonstrates that high-quality pre-K increases a child's chances of succeeding in school and in life. Children who attend high-quality programs are less likely to be held back a grade, less likely to need special education, and more likely to graduate from high school. They also have higher earnings as adults and are less likely to become dependent on welfare or involved with law enforcement. Classrooms where all children are prepared have higher learning productivity and classroom efficiency. More able children perform more capably in the classroom and enhance the learning of other children. Teachers spend more time working directly with children and less on classroom management.1

Quality, affordable child care is critical for families who struggle with the decision of one parent working or staying home to juggle the cost of childcare putting them at an economic disadvantage. For many Arizona families, quality child care has become too expensive or unattainable. Employees who have quality and affordable child care options are more stable and productive workers, which in turn makes Arizona more competitive when attracting business.

Protecting our Children
Arizona consistently ranks as one of the worst places in the United States to be a kid.

Our child welfare system is in a state of crisis. Almost every other state is seeing a steady decline in the number of children entering foster care, while Arizona is seeing the opposite. Foster care policy should be focused on strengthening families because we know that when families are given the tools, resources, necessary support, and financial security they can properly care for their children and eliminate the need for foster care altogether. These supports do not currently exist and with a prevalence of poverty wage jobs and the instability that comes from working poverty, we see our foster care rolls at unsustainable highs.

When child safety is a concern and children must be removed from an unsafe environment, our priority must be to ensure that every child is able to achieve lifelong permanency. No child should age out of the foster care system and every child should have a supportive adult in their life that they can call upon when things get difficult. Sadly, many of the children in Arizona foster care are left with no stable support system once they leave care.

There is nothing normal about being involved in the foster care system. Normalcy for these young people means participating in developmentally appropriate activities and that kids are given the love, attention, and security they deserve so they can reach their fullest potential as contributing members of society.

In addition to supporting families, frontline social workers need to know that we are there for them. Having consistent and reliable contact with a social worker is pivotal in the success of a foster child and when caseworkers are supported, they are able to develop deeper relationships with the children and better understand their issues and concerns.

Immigrant Families are Arizona Families
Arizona has suffered from Republican attacks on immigrants for over a decade. It has hurt our kids, our families and our economy. We must move on from the failed politics and policies of Joe Arpaio, Donald Trump and Doug Ducey and rebuild an Arizona that is inclusive, fair and open for business.

Immigrants are an essential cornerstone of Arizona’s economy. Immigrant-owned businesses generated $1.3B into the economy in 2014 and employed nearly 114,000 Arizonans in 2007; almost 22% of all Arizona entrepreneurs are foreign born. Immigrant households earned $21.4 billion or 13% of all income in Arizona in 2014, paid more than 1 in 8 dollars in state and local taxes, and contributed almost $2.7 billion into Social Security and Medicare.2

As Governor, David will stand with Dreamers and make sure that these young people - brought to this country as children and who represent the best of American values like hard work, sacrifice and service - are protected and allowed to live, work and study without fear. David supports treating these young Americans like any other young Arizonan and making sure basic supports like in-state tuition or a driver’s license are not obstacles to becoming the future business and civic leaders of our state. David will fight the mass deportation policies of Trump, Arpaio and Ducey and restore Arizona’s image as a place where immigrant contributions are valued and law-abiding families are protected.

Mexico is by far Arizona’s largest trading partner with over $17 billion in trade between Arizona and Mexico every year. While Ducey touts his travel junkets as helping to restore business relationships with Mexico, anyone who spends any amount of time in Mexico today knows how much damage Republicans and Ducey have done to Arizona’s reputation with Mexican leaders, business people and consumers. To truly undo the decades of damage Ducey and Republicans have done to our economy, Arizona must invest in deep alliances with everyday Mexicans and communicate how we are moving on from our failed past and attacks on Mexico. David will be the first bilingual and Latino governor in over 40 years and is committed to being Arizona’s loudest champion in Mexico and Latin America not just undoing the damage done but also promoting the business, trade and resources that Arizona has to offer. David will vigorously oppose Trump’s foolish wall and the further damage it would inflict on our border communities and economic partnerships.

David understands that the choice between border security and compassionate immigration policy is a false one. We can both keep Arizonans safe, vigorously punish drug and human smuggling while protecting immigrant families who have built lives here, play by the rules and are simply the next generation of Americans ‘yearning to breathe free.’ Further demonization and angry rhetoric from Republicans and Ducey won’t achieve any of these outcomes and the will of Arizonans is clear: the days of attacking immigrants in Arizona are over.

A Champion for Arizona Women
David is proud to have the endorsement of Planned Parenthood of Arizona. He trusts women to make their own healthcare decisions alongside their doctor – not politicians – and he will oppose any attempt to make it harder for women to access quality healthcare. David is an advocate for healthy families and will advance policies that support Arizona’s women, families and, ultimately the state as a whole.

David has been and will continue to be a strong voice in support of comprehensive health education, access to family planning and women’s health services, including access to legal and safe abortions, and policies that are inclusive, fair and that strengthen families.

When women succeed, Arizona succeeds. David also believes that our state will thrive under Equal Pay for Equal Work laws and that when women are given equal opportunity, they will succeed at every level. As Governor, David would push for equal pay legislation that levels the playing field for women in the workplace. A Garcia administration will partner with and encourage women-owned businesses and lead by example to hire the best and brightest women to help lead our state forward.

Fairness for ALL Families
David is committed to a government that fights discrimination and protects the civil rights of all people regardless of race, gender, sexual orientation, religion, disability, immigration status, or gender identity.

As governor, David will make education his priority - including comprehensive, medically accurate, and age-appropriate health education for ALL Arizona students.

It is legal today in Arizona to fire someone simply for who they are or who they love.

Workplace discrimination hurts our economy, our state, and our people, and makes it more difficult to attract top-talent to Arizona. Arizona does not have a statewide law that prohibits discrimination based on sexual orientation or gender identity. That is why, as Governor, David will sign an executive order prohibiting state employers and state contractors from discriminating based on sexual orientation or gender expression. David will also push for passage of a permanent law that protects LGBTQ Arizonans from discrimation at the workplace, in housing, and in public accomodations.

David will ensure protections against harassment within the executive branch are strong and work with legislators to require sexual harassment training and prevention programs for all state employees.

Protecting Outdoor Arizona for our Children and Families
As a commercial painter, David’s dad wasn’t able to take the Garcia kids on fancy vacations every year, but they always got out of town at least once per year, mostly on camping trips into the beautiful Arizona outdoors. David’s dad taught him a lesson that David now teaches his two girls, “leave it cleaner than you found it.” This message exemplifies the Arizona spirit when it comes the natural beauty we have been called to steward.

As Governor, David will fight to protect our natural resources, air and water that make Arizona a top tourist destination and are an important part of our outdoor heritage.

David believes that climate change is a real and urgent threat and that politicians who are doing nothing about it are putting all of us and future generations of Arizonans at risk. Not only does lack of action threaten the future of our state and the planet, it also ignores an enormous economic opportunity to make Arizona the nation’s leader in solar energy and that would put people to work in good-paying jobs and careers.

David believes that the best way to address the impacts of climate change is to embrace a plan to transition Arizona to a 21st Century clean energy grid and make Arizona the solar superpower it should be as rapidly as possible. David was the first statewide candidate to endorse the Clean Energy for Healthy Arizona initiative that will increase the amount of our energy that comes from renewable sources like wind and solar from 15% today to 50% by 2030. David knows this initiative will create thousands of good jobs and real careers across Arizona that pay well enough to support a family and will result in cleaner water, air, and better health outcomes for people.

This approach will sharply reduce toxic pollutants like carbon, mercury and sulfur dioxide. Doctors say this will dramatically reduce the rates of heart disease, asthma, respiratory diseases, and even cancer – especially for children and seniors. We have an obligation to do something now, so we don’t leave our children and grandchildren a planet that is damaged and polluted.

Healthy Families
David believes that healthcare is a fundamental right not a privilege. Trump’s attacks on Arizona’s health care coverage would have been a disaster and Doug Ducey supported Trump’s giveaways to the wealthy and corporations at the expense of Arizonans’ health. Ducey refused to stand up to Trump and to protect Arizona health care coverage. David, on the other hand, supports Arizonans being able to see a doctor when they get sick and believes that Arizona should begin moving towards Medicare for All. In the meantime, Arizona has a cost-efficient and successful Medicaid program that should be expanded and made available to healthier and younger Arizonans who choose to buy in.

David understands that it’s not just about putting people on insurance or getting them to the doctor. It’s about improving quality of life for our families, reducing disease, and building a productive economy for the long run. We need to build a better health system across the board, from our hospitals and doctors offices, mental and behavioral health system to our environmental policies, to our schools, nursing homes, and community centers.

David will fight to maintain the historic protections in the Affordable Care Act like ensuring those with pre-existing conditions cannot be denied coverage, making sure lifetime caps are never allowed to return and that essential health care benefits actually include basic and necessary health treatments. David will fight to expand the Arizona Health Care Cost Containment System (AHCCCS) to ensure it covers the working poor or those who make too much to qualify today but not enough to afford insurance on the marketplace; he will also work to make sure AHCCCS covers all mental and behavioral health care needs. David will fight to expand the Arizona Health Care Cost Containment System (AHCCCS) to ensure it covers the working poor, healthier and younger Arizonans who chose to buy in or those who make too much to qualify today but not enough to afford insurance on the marketplace; he will also work to make sure AHCCCS covers all mental and behavioral health care needs. David will fight to make sure that if something catastrophic happens to a loved one, the family won’t face the choice between bankruptcy or healthcare.

Good Jobs & A Fair Economy
Working Families First
David Garcia is running for Governor to fight for working families and against a rigged economy. Too many Arizonans are forced to rely on working two and three jobs and too many people are living paycheck to paycheck without achieving financial security. Not only is this unfair, it contributes to the systemic problem of financial and family instability. Instability robs children and families of opportunities for upward mobility and limits our ability to give children the chance to achieve the American dream – and do better than their parents.

A fair economy means investing in diverse businesses, fighting for equality in the workplace and creating opportunities to lift families out of poverty. In Arizona, we have suffered under decades of self-serving politicians looking out for themselves and those at the top. They have allowed the big corporations and special interests to rig the system. Fairness is the backbone of an economy that eliminates poverty wages and advances prosperity for every family. As Governor, David will focus on creating good jobs and real careers – not dead end poverty jobs.

We need to put Arizona first which means investing in and supporting Arizona businesses and entrepreneurs every chance we get. It means prioritizing and encouraging the use of local businesses for public contracts and encouraging local investment in Arizona innovation. Putting Arizona first means that we have a 15-county strategy that invests beyond Maricopa and Pima Counties and identifies and supports the economic engines in the rural parts of our state. One way to grow our agricultural economy is to improve sustainable agriculture and value-added agriculture practices, including craft breweries, vineyards, locally grown and made products, and farmers markets. Arizona’s agriculture industry already has a $23 billion impact on our state’s economy and there’s more room to grow. Improving sustainable irrigation techniques through technology will also benefit farm driven communities.

Arizona's ability to sustain long-term growth depends on the ability for businesses to connect with the rest of the global economy through high-capacity broadband. We must remove the barriers that inhibit expansion of high-speed digital infrastructure that meets the needs of all Arizonans. This lack of infrastructure investment disproportionately impacts our rural and tribal communities. In our 21st century economy, dependable high-speed internet access is a necessary tool for nearly all workers and businesses.

Arizona tribes should be an integral part of our economic development strategy. David is committed to ensuring that tribes receive the benefits of all our economic development efforts and infrastructure investments while respecting tribal sovereignty and supporting the needs of each unique tribe.

A clean energy economy will create thousands of jobs, many of them in rural Arizona. It will also curb the cost of energy and will attract manufacturing and energy intensive industries. As we work to get more clean energy in our state, we will need a larger and well-trained workforce. As renewable energy and energy efficient technologies grow, state government needs to work with the private sector and labor partners to identify the necessary skills and education needed to support this industry.

Make Arizona a Solar Superpower
Arizona should be a solar superpower. We are not because monied and powerful local utility interests have bought and paid for politicians who do their political bidding, at our expense. Our utility rates go up and corporate profits soar while rooftop solar is stalled and innovation is stifled. We must leverage our natural resources and assets, working together across sectors, to build an economy for every worker. Let’s imagine more for our state and create an economy that leads the world in advanced energy jobs and local innovation.

David was the first statewide candidate to endorse the Clean Energy for Healthy Arizona initiative. A ballot measure that will increase the amount of our energy that comes from renewable sources like wind and solar to 50% by 2030.

Arizona's Tech Future
Arizona must be able to compete with any state or country by having the most competitive economic development tools possible while encouraging innovation, business attraction, retention and growth. We must move on from our over-reliance on real estate economies that put us in a deeper decline during the Great Recession. We need to invest in a diverse economic landscape. We will implement a sector-based strategy to drive investment, growth, and jobs in industries that are growing and have growth potential including aerospace, biosciences, cybersecurity, energy, defense, optics and photonics. These kinds of technology jobs are well-paying careers and the kind of smart economic growth Arizona needs.

Investing in a Competitive and Dynamic Workforce
The best way to create jobs is to invest directly in workers.

As Governor, David will fight for universal community college for all Arizonans seeking a degree or certificate which will develop the high-skilled workforce that Arizona needs to attract and support the high-wage economy of the future. An economy where good jobs are common place and prosperity is shared.

As a teacher and professor, David has seen how a good education changes lives for generations. After serving in the Army, David was able to receive a college education at an affordable public university with the help of the GI Bill. But Ducey’s policies have created a tuition crisis. Arizona tuition hikes are among the highest in the country and state support for community college has been completely eliminated. Rising student debt is crushing Arizona’s middle-class families.

While Arizona’s university system gets most of the attention, most high school students begin their postsecondary aspirations at a community college, particularly in underserved and rural communities. It’s where students get their credentials to become police officers or firefighters. Where radiology technicians and Licensed Practical Nurses get their training. Where assembly line workers learn new skills that allow them to move into precision manufacturing jobs. It’s where education and industry work together to identify the jobs of the future and develop the training necessary to provide a skilled workforce.

Two-thirds of future jobs will require some type of postsecondary education, with many of those jobs in high-skilled careers that don’t require a 4-year degree but may require a vocational or technical certificate. Community college provides an opportunity for Arizonans whose jobs have been displaced to retool for a new career. And people who earn an associate’s degree or certificate earn more than people with a high school degree. Households with a college education will make over $1 million more than their counterparts with only a high school education over the course of their lifetimes.

The idea is simple. Invest in Arizonans to complete an Associate’s Degree or certificate in two years. The degrees should lead to entrance in a university and the certificates should focus in high-demand, high-skill areas. These skilled workers then enter the workforce without a suffocating debt burden and are able to contribute to Arizona’s economy for the rest of their careers.

After an initial investment to help Arizonans get an education, this proposal pays for itself as more people are able to fill and create high wage jobs, contributing back to Arizona’s economy over the course of their long careers.

The proposal is a shared commitment between the state investing in students and students themselves having skin in the game. Students must pay for living expenses and commit the time and energy to stay on track to complete their degree. New York, Tennessee, Arkansas, Minnesota, Montana, and Oregon – many of these states led by Republican governors - have passed free community college initiatives. Many more states will follow suit and will lead the way in attracting and developing a diverse, high-skill, high-wage economy. Arizona cannot be left behind.

Once two-year degrees and certificates are accessible to all Arizonans, we will begin opening the doors to our four-year public universities. Big ideas like these are the only way to make Arizona competitive, dynamic and able to serve all Arizonans, not just a few. It’s time to take the next step forward in Arizona to build a better future for our state and our people.

Honest & Effective Government
Putting an End to Ducey's Corruption
Arizona was ranked the most corrupt state in the U.S. according to a recent Harvard Study.1 Ducey was elected with millions in dirty dark money whose agenda and wealthy special interests are still to this day not fully understood. His college friend and top Arizona lobbyist was indicted for bribery schemes that raised our utility rates. Six of his agency directors have been fired or are under investigation for malfeasance. Every month we learn more about shady procurement practices, crony kickbacks and insider deal-making. Just like Trump, Ducey used unscrupulous business practices to get rich and then to finance his political career and is now using elected office in service to himself, his wealthy friends and supporters. We need a Governor for the people, not the powerful.

Ducey has done nothing to reduce corruption and, in fact, has eliminated public reporting and transparency requirements that might reveal pay-to-play activities.

David and his team will work for you, the citizens. We have an obligation to you to be honest and trustworthy. The Garcia Administration will restore accountability and transparency to the Executive Office. We will accept no lobbyist campaign contributions and will work to advance policies and legislation that hold state government accountable. We will fight for everyday Arizonans and end the days of state government serving only those who can pay to have a seat at the table.

The Courage to Stand up for Public Safety
David enlisted in the United States Army at 17, turning 18 in basic training. He served as an expert marksman and infantryman and knows firsthand what military style assault weapons are designed to do and the damage they can inflict in the wrong hands. David is a strong supporter of your 2nd Amendment right to bear arms. However, David believes that right, like others, comes with responsibility. David joins responsible gun owners across the country in calling for reasonable and common sense reforms that would protect the public.

As Governor, David would call for universal background checks on all gun sales and would close the so called ‘gun show loophole’ that allows for people who would not be able to pass a criminal background check to purchase a gun, preventing domestic abusers and other predators from gaining access to weapons.

Likewise, after San Bernadino, Las Vegas, Florida and the multiple other mass shootings, it is time that weapons of war no longer be allowed in civilian life. David was trained to use these weapons and understands what they are designed to do. A ban on assault weapons is an appropriate step in protecting kids, schools and the public from those who wish to inflict maximum harm.

David will stand with the student organizers who are mobilizing around the issue and actively engage in discussions with the education community about how best to keep all our kids safe.

Finally, David pledges to take no contributions from the National Rifle Association.

Fighting for Our Democracy
Democracy means every Arizonan having a voice, and being heard when the most important decisions facing out state are made. Voting is the foundation of our democracy. The right to vote - and to have your vote counted - is sacred.

Ducey and Arizona election administrators failed to protect our elections in 2016. We saw long lines that made national headlines, our voter database targeted by foreign actors, and consistent miscommunication or outright incorrect information sent to voters. David is committed to making sure Arizona elections are trusted, safe and secure while making sure every eligible Arizonan has access to voting. David supports election modernization efforts that will make voting safer, more secure and more accessible.

Voter registration systems in Arizona are outdated and error-prone, blocking thousands of eligible Arizonans from casting a ballot. Too many Arizonans attempt to vote but find themselves left off the rolls, deleted or purged. Automatic Voter Registration will modernize our voter registration system, bringing us into the 21st Century and ensuring that all eligible Arizonans can cast their vote. In particular, automatic voter registration would save taxpayer money, increase electoral accuracy and voter participation while making sure our elections are safer and more secure against attacks.

Keeping Families Together through Responsible Criminal Justice Solutions
Under Ducey’s failed leadership, Arizona has risen to 4th highest in mass incarceration in the nation.

Mass incarceration is a tremendous social and financial drain on our communities. Arizona’s jails and prisons have become an inefficient and costly substitute for addiction and mental health treatment; and money that could go to public education, healthcare, and community-oriented crime prevention instead goes to prop up a failing prison system.

Arizona’s corrections system is in shambles. The recidivism rate has risen to an all-time high of 50%. Incarceration of women is on the rise, with the majority of women behind bars for non-violent, low-level drug offenses. We cannot continue to waste money - and lives - propping up this failed system. David will bring new leadership to this crisis and implement best-practice alternatives to costly incarceration such as drug treatment, community service, and family counseling.

Arizona is in the midst of an opioid crisis, yet Governor Ducey has done little to address the problem. Instead of focusing on front-end interventions, such as treatment and diversion, Arizona continues to lock up drug offenders at an alarming rate. We need a Governor who understands the reality that far too many Arizonans are facing. Incarceration does not result in people overcoming their addictions, and the threat of a harsher sentence for a subsequent conviction does nothing to make people clean and sober.

We aren’t going to build a better future for our state by tearing families apart with counterproductive - and costly - prison sentences. Investments in early childhood education can lead to reduced incarceration later in life. When we fail to educate our young people, we set them up for a dramatically worse future. That’s common sense, but it’s also supported by mountains of data and research. David will get our priorities back on track.[29]

| ”

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—Garcia for Governor[30]

###  Doug Ducey

Ducey's campaign website stated the following:

“  |

Safety and Security for All Arizonans
Just a few years ago, families were hurting, and Arizona was $1 billion in the red. Today, Arizona is growing, and we are investing in what matters most — like K-12 education and public safety.

Whether it’s taking the fight directly to the cartels on our southern border, combating the scourge of addiction, reducing recidivism in our prisons, or ensuring that law enforcement has the resources they need to properly investigate sexual assaults, Doug is working every day to ensure the safety and security of all Arizonans.

Border Security
Immediately after his swearing in, Doug got to work creating the Arizona Border Strike Force – a partnership with local, state and federal law enforcement to enhance security along Arizona’s southern border, aimed at drug cartels and human traffickers. Working directly with our border sheriffs, federal agencies, and now the Arizona National Guard, we have made 3,199 arrests and seized over $10 million in cash and tens of thousands of pounds of meth, marijuana, and heroin.

Doug will continue the fight against these criminals over the next four years – bringing more resources and technology to our border.

Justice for Sexual Assault Victims
Doug helped survivors of sexual assault by reducing the state’s backlog of untested rape kits with a plan now in place to totally eliminate the backlog. Eight rapists have already been caught and are now facing criminal charges as a result of the kits being tested.

Opioid Epidemic
This year, Doug signed the Arizona Opioid Epidemic Act, a comprehensive and bipartisan legislative package aimed at saving lives by combating the opioid epidemic from all angles.

The legislation will:

* Improve access to substance abuse treatment for all Arizonans, including the uninsured or underinsured
* Enhance education for opioid prescribers
* Crack down on forged prescriptions, pill mills, and manufacturers who defraud the public about their products
* Limit the first-fill of an opioid prescription to five days for patients new to opioids, with exemptions that protect chronic pain suffers, cancer, trauma or burn patients, hospice or end-of-life patients, and those receiving medication assisted treatment for substance use disorder.

Child Safety
The troubled Department of Child Safety (DCS) had more than 16,000 inactive cases in their backlog when Governor Doug Ducey took office. Under the governor’s leadership, the agency has been turned around. Now, the backlog is cleared, DCS has safely reduced the number of kids in foster care by over 20% and the agency has been given an “Excellence for Children” award by national foster-care nonprofit Casey Family Programs.

Catching Child Support Evaders
Doug’s program to catch child support evaders by posting their information on social media has resulted in over 100 deadbeat parents now making their payments totaling over half a million dollars.

More Money for Schools
Just a few years ago, families were hurting, and Arizona was $1 billion in the red. Today, Arizona is growing, and we are investing in what matters most — like K-12 education and public safety.

Investing in the health, safety, and success of our schools is paramount to the long-term success of our State. That is why Doug has made school safety and school funding his primary focus.

School Safety
Following the tragic shooting in Parkland, Florida, Doug brought together parents, students, teachers, law enforcement officials, prosecutors and mental health experts to draft the Safe Arizona Schools Plan. This common-sense, multifaceted solution puts more cops on campuses across Arizona, increases the number of school counselors, creates a central tip-line for reporting safety concerns and provides further tools to keep those with severe mental health issues from possessing a gun. Further, it improves the background check system while protecting our rights preserved under the Second Amendment.

Improving Education
Doug believes a quality K-12 education system is the most important thing we can do to ensure Arizona kids have a strong and secure future. His focus is on increasing our investment in public education and improving results in the classroom.

That’s why he has increased education funding every year in office, for a total of $2.7 Billion – all without raising taxes. This includes:

* A 20% teacher pay increase by school year 2020.
* Prop 123, the bi-partisan effort that injected $3.5 billion over 10 years into Arizona’s K-12 schools.
* Restoring recession-era cuts to school funding — $371 million over the next five years — that can be used for support staff, textbooks, technology, and other school improvements.
* The Arizona Teachers Academy, created to attract new teachers by allowing aspiring teachers the ability to finish college debt-free if they commit to teach in an Arizona school.
* Being the first state to pass the American Civics Act – a new law requiring all high school students to pass the same civics test any new naturalized citizen has to pass in order to graduate.

Doug wants to see more dollars go to the classroom, and continue to drive up teacher pay, while investing in other key priorities like career and technical education and high-speed broadband in our rural and tribal schools.

Jobs and Economic Security
Just a few years ago, families were hurting, and Arizona was $1 billion in the red. Today, Arizona is growing, and we are investing in what matters most — like K-12 education and public safety.

It’s no secret that Arizona’s economy is finally on the right track. When Doug ran in 2014, he promised to “shrink a government and grow an economy,” and that’s exactly what he has done.

Key Accomplishments

* Balancing the budget: Drawing on his private-sector business experience, Doug balanced Arizona’s $1 billion budget deficit his first year in office without raising taxes. He reduced the size of government, consolidated agencies, cut needless regulations and red tape, fired the state’s taxpayer-funded lobbyists, AND cut wait times at government agencies like the Motor Vehicle Division.
* Adding new jobs: Last year, under Doug’s leadership, Arizona reached a major milestone: We fully recovered all of the jobs lost during the Great Recession. So far, we have added about 240,000 new jobs. And since 2015, more than 300 companies have chosen Arizona to relocate their business.
* Economic security: Over the last three years, our unemployment rate has dropped to 4.5% — the lowest level in a decade. Wage growth is the third fastest in the country — up 7% — and our state’s credit rating has improved. All of this is evidence that Arizona is open for business and government is getting out of the way of the private sector.
* Tax relief and reform: In addition to cutting nearly 700 needless and burdensome regulations — equivalent to a $50 million tax reduction — Doug has reformed and simplified the tax code every single year he has been governor. Arizonans are now keeping more of the money they earn.

Securing Our Future
Doug is a relentless advocate for Arizona. He will continue recruiting businesses to move here and breaking down barriers that keep people from meaningful work. It’s one reason economists project Arizona will add another 150,000 jobs in just the next two years.[29]

| ”

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—Ducey for Governor[31]

## Social media

### Twitter accounts

Tweets by David Garcia Tweets by Doug Ducey

### Facebook accounts

Click the icons below to visit the candidates' Facebook pages.

David Garcia

Doug Ducey

## Other 2018 statewide elections

See also: States with both gubernatorial and U.S. Senate elections in 2018

This race took place in one of twenty-two states that held elections for both governor and U.S. Senate in 2018.

A table of where these elections occurred, the names of incumbents prior to the 2018 elections, and links to our coverage of these races can be viewed by clicking "[show]" on the banner below:

States holding both Gubernatorial and Senate elections in 2018

State  | Incumbent Governor  | Open Seat?  | Incumbent Senator  | Open Seat?
Arizona |  Doug Ducey | No |  Jeff Flake | Yes
California |  Jerry Brown | Yes |  Dianne Feinstein | No
Connecticut |  Dan Malloy | Yes |  Chris Murphy | No
Florida |  Rick Scott | Yes |  Bill Nelson | No
Hawaii |  David Ige | No |  Mazie Hirono | No
Maine |  Paul LePage | Yes |  Angus King | No
Maryland |  Larry Hogan | No |  Ben Cardin | No
Massachusetts |  Charlie Baker | No |  Elizabeth Warren | No
Michigan |  Rick Snyder | Yes |  Debbie Stabenow | No
Minnesota |  Mark Dayton | Yes |  Amy Klobuchar | No
Nebraska |  Pete Ricketts | No |  Deb Fischer | No
Nevada |  Brian Sandoval | Yes |  Dean Heller | No
New Mexico |  Susana Martinez | Yes |  Martin Heinrich | No
New York |  Andrew Cuomo | No |  Kirsten Gillibrand | No
Ohio |  John Kasich | Yes |  Sherrod Brown | No
Pennsylvania |  Tom Wolf | No |  Bob Casey, Jr. | No
Rhode Island |  Gina Raimondo | No |  Sheldon Whitehouse | No
Tennessee |  Bill Haslam | Yes |  Bob Corker | Yes
Texas |  Greg Abbott | No |  Ted Cruz | No
Vermont |  Phil Scott | No |  Bernie Sanders | No
Wisconsin |  Scott Walker | No |  Tammy Baldwin | No
Wyoming |  Matt Mead | Yes |  John Barrasso | No

## Pivot Counties

See also: Pivot Counties by state

Pivot Counties are counties that voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012 and for Donald Trump (R) in 2016. Altogether, the nation had 206 Pivot Counties, with most being concentrated in upper midwestern and northeastern states. No counties in Arizona are Pivot Counties.

Donald Trump (R) defeated Hillary Clinton (D) in the 2016 presidential election. Trump won 48.7 percent of the vote, while Clinton won 45.1 percent. Arizona was one of 12 key battleground states in 2016. Of the 30 states won by Trump in 2016, Arizona had the fifth closest margin. From when it became a state in 1912 to 2016, Arizona voted Republican in 66.7 percent of presidential elections. It voted Republican in all presidential elections from 2000 to 2016.

#### Presidential results by legislative district

The following table details results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections by state House districts in Arizona. Click [show] to expand the table. The "Obama," "Romney," "Clinton," and "Trump" columns describe the percent of the vote each presidential candidate received in the district. The "2012 Margin" and "2016 Margin" columns describe the margin of victory between the two presidential candidates in those years. The "Party Control" column notes which party held that seat heading into the 2018 general election. Data on the results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections broken down by state legislative districts was compiled by Daily Kos.[32][33]

In 2012, Barack Obama (D) won 12 out of 30 state House districts in Arizona with an average margin of victory of 25 points. In 2016, Hillary Clinton (D) won 14 out of 30 state House districts in Arizona with an average margin of victory of 27.5 points. Clinton won two districts controlled by Republicans heading into the 2018 elections.

In 2012, Mitt Romney (R) won 18 out of 30 state House districts in Arizona with an average margin of victory of 22.9 points. In 2016, Donald Trump (R) won 16 out of 30 state House districts in Arizona with an average margin of victory of 21.5 points.

2016 presidential results by state House district

District | Obama | Romney | 2012 Margin | Clinton | Trump | 2016 Margin | Party Control
1 | 30.1% | 68.2% | R+38.2 | 28.6% | 66.9% | R+38.3 | R
2 | 57.2% | 41.6% | D+15.7 | 59.4% | 36.1% | D+23.2 | D
3 | 70.0% | 28.1% | D+41.9 | 70.2% | 24.4% | D+45.8 | D
4 | 54.3% | 44.2% | D+10.2 | 56.8% | 38.2% | D+18.7 | D
5 | 28.1% | 70.0% | R+41.9 | 22.2% | 73.5% | R+51.3 | R
6 | 42.2% | 55.6% | R+13.4 | 41.7% | 52.1% | R+10.4 | R
7 | 63.2% | 35.4% | D+27.8 | 59.8% | 34.1% | D+25.7 | D
8 | 44.7% | 53.5% | R+8.8 | 40.2% | 54.6% | R+14.4 | R
9 | 53.4% | 44.9% | D+8.4 | 56.8% | 37.9% | D+18.9 | D
10 | 51.8% | 46.5% | D+5.4 | 52.9% | 41.6% | D+11.4 | D
11 | 39.7% | 59.0% | R+19.3 | 40.6% | 54.5% | R+13.9 | R
12 | 32.5% | 65.9% | R+33.4 | 34.8% | 59.3% | R+24.5 | R
13 | 33.5% | 65.1% | R+31.6 | 34.1% | 61.1% | R+27 | R
14 | 35.7% | 62.5% | R+26.8 | 33.6% | 59.9% | R+26.2 | R
15 | 36.4% | 61.9% | R+25.4 | 39.1% | 55.7% | R+16.6 | R
16 | 35.0% | 63.1% | R+28.1 | 32.9% | 61.3% | R+28.4 | R
17 | 42.1% | 56.2% | R+14.2 | 45.1% | 49.2% | R+4.1 | R
18 | 48.1% | 50.0% | R+1.9 | 51.9% | 41.5% | D+10.4 | R
19 | 66.4% | 32.1% | D+34.3 | 67.4% | 27.2% | D+40.3 | D
20 | 42.4% | 55.3% | R+12.9 | 42.7% | 50.7% | R+8 | R
21 | 40.6% | 58.0% | R+17.4 | 39.8% | 55.0% | R+15.2 | R
22 | 33.4% | 65.4% | R+31.9 | 33.7% | 62.1% | R+28.4 | R
23 | 35.9% | 62.9% | R+26.9 | 41.2% | 54.6% | R+13.3 | R
24 | 63.2% | 34.4% | D+28.8 | 65.9% | 27.7% | D+38.3 | D
25 | 33.1% | 65.1% | R+31.9 | 35.1% | 58.7% | R+23.6 | R
26 | 58.3% | 38.5% | D+19.8 | 59.4% | 31.9% | D+27.5 | D
27 | 75.2% | 23.2% | D+52 | 74.1% | 20.6% | D+53.5 | D
28 | 44.6% | 53.6% | R+9 | 49.9% | 44.6% | D+5.3 | R
29 | 64.7% | 33.6% | D+31.1 | 65.0% | 29.3% | D+35.7 | D
30 | 61.3% | 36.7% | D+24.7 | 62.2% | 31.7% | D+30.5 | D
Total | 44.6% | 53.7% | R+9.1 | 45.5% | 49.0% | R+3.6 | \-
Source: Daily Kos

## Election history

### 2014

See also: Arizona gubernatorial election, 2014
Governor of Arizona, 2014

Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes
| Republican  | Doug Ducey | 53.4% | 805,062
| Democratic  |  Fred DuVal | 41.6% | 626,921
| Libertarian  |  Barry J. Hess | 3.8% | 57,337
| Americans Elect  |  J.L. Mealer | 1% | 15,432
| Nonpartisan  |  Write-ins  | 0.1% | 1,664
Total Votes | 1,506,416
Election results via Arizona Secretary of State

### 2010

See also: Arizona gubernatorial election, 2010

On November 2, 2010, Jan Brewer won re-election to the office of Governor of Arizona. She defeated Terry Goddard (D), Barry J. Hess (LBT), Larry Gist (Green) and various write-in challengers in the general election.

Governor of Arizona, 2010

Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes
| Republican  | Jan Brewer Incumbent | 54.3% | 938,934
| Democratic  |  Terry Goddard  | 42.4% | 733,935
| Libertarian  |  Barry J. Hess  | 2.2% | 38,722
| Green  |  Larry Gist  | 0.9% | 16,128
| N/A  |  Write-ins  | 0.1% | 2,017
Total Votes | 1,729,736
Election results via Arizona Secretary of State.

### 2006

On November 7, 2006, Janet Napolitano won re-election to the office of Governor of Arizona. He defeated Len Munsil (R), Barry J. Hess (LBT) and various write-in challengers in the general election.

Governor of Arizona, 2006

Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes
| Democratic  | Janet Napolitano Incumbent | 62.6% | 959,830
| Republican  |  Len Munsil  | 35.4% | 543,528
| Libertarian  |  Barry J. Hess  | 2% | 30,268
| N/A  |  Write-ins  | 0% | 19
Total Votes | 1,533,645
Election results via Arizona Secretary of State.

### 2002

On November 5, 2002, Janet Napolitano won election to the office of Governor of Arizona. He defeated Matt Salmon (R), Barry Hess (LBT), Richard Mahoney (I), and various write-in challengers in the general election.

Governor of Arizona, 2002

Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes
| Democratic  | Janet Napolitano | 46.6% | 566,284
| Republican  |  Matt Salmon  | 44.8% | 544,465
| Libertarian  |  Barry Hess  | 7% | 84,947
| Independent  |  Richard Mahoney  | 1.7% | 20,356
| N/A  |  Write-ins  | 0% | 59
Total Votes | 1,216,111
Election results via Arizona Secretary of State.

## Wave election analysis

See also: Wave elections (1918-2016)

The term wave election is frequently used to describe an election cycle in which one party makes significant electoral gains. How many seats would Republicans have had to lose for the 2018 midterm election to be considered a wave election?

Ballotpedia examined the results of the 50 election cycles that occurred between 1918 and 2016—spanning from President Woodrow Wilson's (D) second midterm in 1918 to Donald Trump's (R) first presidential election in 2016. We define wave elections as the 20 percent of elections in that period resulting in the greatest seat swings against the president's party.

Applying this definition to gubernatorial elections, we found that Republicans needed to lose seven seats for 2018 to qualify as a wave election.

The chart below shows the number of seats the president's party lost in the 11 gubernatorial waves from 1918 to 2016. Click here to read the full report.

Gubernatorial wave elections

Year | President | Party | Election type | Gubernatorial seats change | Elections analyzed[34]
1970 | Nixon | R | First midterm | -12 | 35
1922 | Harding | R | First midterm | -11 | 33
1932 | Hoover | R | Presidential | -10 | 35
1920 | Wilson | D | Presidential | -10 | 36
1994 | Clinton | D | First midterm | -10 | 36
1930 | Hoover | R | First midterm | -9 | 33
1938 | Roosevelt | D | Second midterm | -9 | 33
1966 | Johnson | D | First midterm[35] | -9 | 35
1954 | Eisenhower | R | First midterm | -8 | 33
1982 | Reagan | R | First midterm | -7 | 36
2010 | Obama | D | First midterm | -7 | 33

## State overview

### Partisan control

This section details the partisan control of federal and state positions in Arizona heading into the 2018 elections.

#### Congressional delegation

* Following the 2016 elections, Republicans held both U.S. Senate seats in Arizona.
* Republicans held five of the nine U.S. House seats in Arizona.

#### State executives

* As of September 2018, Republicans held 7 of 11 state executive positions. The remaining four positions were officially nonpartisan.
* The governor of Arizona was Republican Doug Ducey. The state held elections for governor and lieutenant governor on November 6, 2018.

#### State legislature

* Republicans controlled both chambers of the Arizona State Legislature. They had a 35-25 majority in the state House and a 17-13 majority in the state Senate.

#### Trifecta status

* Arizona was a Republican trifecta, meaning that the Republican Party controlled the office of the governor, the state House, and the state Senate.

### 2018 elections

See also: Arizona elections, 2018

Arizona held elections for the following positions in 2018:

* One U.S. Senate seats
* Nine U.S. House seats
* Governor
* Seven lower state executive positions
* 30 state Senate seats
* 60 state House seats

### Demographics

Demographic data for Arizona

| Arizona| U.S.
Total population:| 6,817,565| 316,515,021
Land area (sq mi):| 113,594| 3,531,905
Race and ethnicity**
White:| 78.4%| 73.6%
Black/African American:| 4.2%| 12.6%
Asian:| 3%| 5.1%
Native American:| 4.4%| 0.8%
Pacific Islander:| 0.2%| 0.2%
Two or more:| 3.2%| 3%
Hispanic/Latino:| 30.3%| 17.1%
Education
High school graduation rate:| 86%| 86.7%
College graduation rate:| 27.5%| 29.8%
Income
Median household income:| $50,255| $53,889
Persons below poverty level:| 21.2%| 11.3%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2010-2015)
Click here for more information on the 2020 census and here for more on its impact on the redistricting process in Arizona.

* * *

**Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here.

As of July 2016, Arizona's three largest cities were Phoenix (pop. est. 1,626,078), Tucson (pop. est. 535,677), and Mesa (pop. est. 496,401).[36][37]

## State election history

This section provides an overview of federal and state elections in Arizona from 2000 to 2016. All data comes from the Arizona Secretary of State.

### Historical elections

#### Presidential elections, 2000-2016

This chart shows the results of the presidential election in Arizona every year from 2000 to 2016.

Election results (President of the United States), Arizona 2000-2016

Year  | First-place candidate  | First-place candidate votes (%)  | Second-place candidate  | Second-place candidate votes (%)  | Margin of victory (%)
2016 |  Donald Trump | 48.7% |  Hillary Clinton | 45.1% | 3.6%
2012 |  Mitt Romney | 53.7% |  Barack Obama | 44.6% | 9.1%
2008 |  John McCain | 53.6% |  Barack Obama | 45.1% | 7.5%
2004 |  George W. Bush | 54.9% |  John Kerry | 44.4% | 10.5%
2000 |  George W. Bush | 51.0% |  Al Gore | 44.5% | 5.5%

#### U.S. Senate elections, 2000-2016

This chart shows the results of U.S. Senate races in Arizona from 2000 to 2016. Every state has two Senate seats, and each seat goes up for election every six years. The terms of the seats are staggered so that roughly one-third of the seats are up every two years.

Election results (U.S. Senator), Arizona 2000-2016

Year  | First-place candidate  | First-place candidate votes (%)  | Second-place candidate  | Second-place candidate votes (%)  | Margin of victory (%)
2016 |  John McCain | 53.7% |  Ann Kirkpatrick | 40.7% | 13.0%
2012 |  Jeff Flake | 49.2% |  Richard Carmona | 46.2% | 3.0%
2010 |  John McCain | 58.9% |  Rodney Glassman | 34.7% | 24.2%
2006 |  Jon Kyl | 53.3% |  Jim Pederson | 43.5% | 9.8%
2004 |  John McCain | 76.7% |  Stuart Starky | 20.6% | 56.1%
2002 |  Jon Kyl | 79.3% |  William Toel (I) | 7.8% | 7.8%

#### Gubernatorial elections, 2000-2016

This chart shows the results of the four gubernatorial elections held between 2000 and 2016. Gubernatorial elections are held every four years in Arizona.

Election results (Governor), Arizona 2000-2016

Year  | First-place candidate  | First-place candidate votes (%)  | Second-place candidate  | Second-place candidate votes (%)  | Margin of victory (%)
2014 |  Doug Ducey | 53.4% |  Fred DuVal | 41.6% | 11.8%
2010 |  Jan Brewer | 54.3% |  Terry Goddard | 42.4% | 12.1%
2006 |  Janet Napolitano | 62.6% |  Len Munsil | 35.4% | 27.2%
2002 |  Janet Napolitano | 46.2% |  Matt Salmon | 45.2% | 1.0%'

#### Congressional delegation, 2000-2016

This chart shows the number of Democrats and Republicans who were elected to represent Arizona in the U.S. House from 2000 to 2016. Elections for U.S. House seats are held every two years.

Congressional delegation, Arizona 2000-2016

Year  | Republicans  | Republicans (%)  | Democrats  | Democrats (%)  | Balance of power
2016 |  5 | 55.5% |  4 | 44.4% | R+1
2014 |  5 | 55.5% |  4 | 44.4% | R+1
2012 |  4 | 44.4% |  5 | 55.5% | D+1
2010 |  5 | 62.5% |  3 | 37.5% | R+2
2008 |  3 | 37.5% |  5 | 62.5% | D+2
2006 |  4 | 50% |  4 | 50% | Even
2004 |  6 | 75% |  2 | 25% | R+4
2002 |  6 | 75% |  2 | 25% | R+4
2000 |  5 | 83.3% |  1 | 16.6% | R+4

#### Trifectas, 1992-2017

A state government trifecta occurs when one party controls both chambers of the state legislature and the governor's office.

Arizona Party Control: 1992-2021
No Democratic trifectas • Twenty-one years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.

Year  | 92  | 93  | 94  | 95  | 96  | 97  | 98  | 99  | 00  | 01  | 02  | 03  | 04  | 05  | 06  | 07  | 08  | 09  | 10  | 11  | 12  | 13  | 14  | 15  | 16  | 17  | 18  | 19  | 20  | 21

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Governor | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R
Senate | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | S | S | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R
House | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R

## Recent news

The link below is to the most recent stories in a Google news search for the terms Arizona governor election 2018. These results are automatically generated from Google. Ballotpedia does not curate or endorse these articles.

Arizona gubernatorial election, 2018 - Google News

## See also

Arizona government:

* Arizona state executive offices
* Arizona State Legislature
* Arizona courts

Elections:

* Arizona state executive official elections, 2018
* Gubernatorial elections, 2018
* Lieutenant gubernatorial elections, 2018
* Attorney General elections, 2018
* Secretary of State elections, 2018
* State executive official elections, 2018, 2017, 2016

Ballotpedia exclusives:

* State executives compensation
* State of the state addresses
* Trifecta control of state government

|
|

## External links

| Suggest a link

|

* Governor of Arizona official website

## Footnotes

1. ↑ David Garcia for Governor of Arizona, "Home," accessed September 24, 2018
2. ↑ 2.0 2.1 David Garcia for Governor of Arizona, "Meet David," accessed September 24, 2018
3. ↑ Youtube, "Even More," September 5, 2018
4. ↑ Doug Ducey for Governor, "Meet Doug," accessed September 24, 2018
5. ↑ 5.0 5.1 Torres for Arizona, "Campaign Issues," accessed November 5, 2018
6. ↑ Youtube, "Torres for Arizona Governor," August 19, 2018
7. ↑ OpenSecrets.org, "Outside Spending," accessed September 22, 2015
8. ↑ OpenSecrets.org, "Total Outside Spending by Election Cycle, All Groups," accessed September 22, 2015
9. ↑ National Review.com, "Why the Media Hate Super PACs," November 6, 2015
10. ↑ Payson Roundup, "Outside money pours in to support Gov. Ducey," August 24, 2018
11. ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
12. ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
13. ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
14. ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
15. ↑ Arizona Daily Star, "Star Opinion: Doug Ducey for Arizona governor," October 14, 2018
16. ↑ Arizona Republic, "Our choice for tackling Arizona’s issues," October 7, 2018
17. ↑ Pinal Central, "Ducey should repeat," September 22, 2018
18. ↑ Havasu News, "Our Views: Ducey deserves second term; other state leaders don’t," August 10, 2018
19. ↑ The Prescott Daily Courier, "Editorial: Courier offers picks in partisan races, ballot questions," October 20, 2018
20. ↑ Associated Press, "Trump endorses Arizona Gov. Doug Ducey in Republican primary," August 27, 2018
21. ↑ AZ Central, "Sen. Bernie Sanders endorses David Garcia for governor," October 23, 2018
22. ↑ KTAR News, "Hillary Clinton chimes in for David Garcia in Arizona gubernatorial race," October 29, 2018
23. ↑ Steve Farley for Governor, "Endorsements," accessed August 23, 2018
24. ↑ David Garcia for Governor, "Endorsements," accessed August 23, 2018
25. ↑ Doug Ducey for Governor, "Press Releases," accessed July 31, 2018
26. ↑ AZCops, "Azcops Endorses Ken Bennett For Governor In Republican Primary," accessed June 26, 2018
27. ↑ Ken Bennett for Governor, "Ken is honored by AZCDLPAC endorsement," July 18, 2018
28. ↑ KTAR News, "Sen. Bernie Sanders rallies with David Garcia at ASU," October 24, 2018
29. ↑ 29.0 29.1 Note: This text is quoted verbatim from the original source. Any inconsistencies are attributable to the original source.
30. ↑ David Garcia for Governor, "David's Vision," accessed September 21, 2018
31. ↑ Doug Ducey for Governor, "Issues," accessed September 21, 2018
32. ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts," July 9, 2013
33. ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2016 presidential results for congressional and legislative districts," February 6, 2017
34. ↑ The number of gubernatorial seats up for election varies, with as many as 36 seats and as few as 12 seats being up in a single even-numbered year.
35. ↑ Lyndon Johnson's (D) first term began in November 1963 after the death of President John F. Kennedy (D), who was first elected in 1960. Before Johnson had his first midterm in 1966, he was re-elected president in 1964.
36. ↑ Arizona Demographics, "Arizona Cities by Population," accessed August 30, 2018
37. ↑ U.S. Census Bureau, "Quickfacts Arizona," accessed August 30, 2018

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