Litigation risk analysis

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Litigation risk analysis is a subset of decision tree analysis and is the application of decision tree analysis to litigation and lawsuits. It operates based on the idea that prosecutors do not prosecute all cases even if they have merit due to several factors such as economic considerations.[1] This method can reveal the odds of winning a case or financial loss that a litigation would incur, especially if it is too great for the kind of offence involved[1] or there is an imbalance between effort and need.[2] With this tool, a prosecutor is in a better position to decide whether to pursue a case or offer a plea bargain if this is permitted.

## Contents

* 1 Background
* 2 Process
* 3 References
* 4 External links

## Background

Litigation risk analysis is a growing[when?] practice by lawyers, mediators, and other alternative dispute resolution (ADR) professionals.[citation needed] When applied in mediation settings, litigation risk analysis is used to determine litigated best alternative to negotiated agreement (BATNA) and worst alternative to negotiated agreement (WATNA) scenarios based upon the probabilities and possible outcomes of continuing to litigate the case rather than settle.[3] The process of performing a litigation risk analysis by mediators has been hampered by the need for mediators to physically draw out the decision tree and perform calculations to arrive at an expected value (EV). However, there have been calls for more mediators to adopt the practice of performing such an analysis.[4][5][6][7][8][9]

## Process

There are several models of litigation risk analysis. Many prosecutors, for instance, are increasingly turning to computer-assisted approaches such as decision-support systems, which are employed when conducting cost/benefits analysis and the evaluation of cost, risks of trial outcomes, legal fee arrangements, and so on.[1] All these, however, share the goal of breaking down the complex legal proceeding into its basic parts and quantifying the risks and uncertainties entailed.[10] A prosecutor can use this type of analysis when evaluating the type or the size of the case. It is employed for more complex outcomes such as case assessment, strategy decisions, and settlement analysis.[10]

## References

1. ↑ 1.0 1.1 1.2 Nissan, Ephraim (2012). Computer Applications for Handling Legal Evidence, Police Investigation and Case Argumentation. Dordrecht: Springer. pp. 252. ISBN 978-90-481-8989-2.
2. ↑ Berenbach, Brian; Paulish, Daniel; Kazmeier, Juergen; Rudorfer, Arnold (2009). Software & Systems Requirements Engineering: In Practice. New York: McGraw Hill Professional. pp. 15. ISBN 978-0-07-160548-9.
3. ↑ "Epublications@Bond repository content relocations". https://library.bond.edu.au/news/59593/epublicationsbond-repository-content-relocations. Retrieved 7 February 2019.
4. ↑ Risk Analysis in Mediation by Geoff Sharp.
5. ↑ Victor, Marc B. (1990), Litigation Risk Analysis™ and ADR, http://www.litigationrisk.com/Litigation Risk Analysis(tm) and ADR.pdf
6. ↑ "Risk Evaluation in Intellectual Property Litigation". http://www.litigationrisk.com/Risk Evaluation in IP Litigation (web).pdf.
7. ↑ Poltorak, Alexander I.; Lerner, Paul J. (2002). Essentials of Intellectual Property. John Wiley & Sons. p. 134. ISBN 978-0-471-27329-5. https://archive.org/details/essentialsofinte0000polt.
8. ↑ Victor, Marc B. (2002), Litigation Risk Analysis, http://copplelaw.com/uploads/Litigation_and_Decision_Sciences_-_Copple___Associates.pdf
9. ↑ Marks, Richard D. (2002), Essentials of HIPAA Security Litigation Risk Planning, http://www.ehcca.com/presentations/HIPAAWest2/marks.pdf
10. ↑ 10.0 10.1 Poltorak, Alexander; Lerner, Paul J. (May 2001). "Introducing Litigation Risk Analysis" (in en). Managing Intellectual Property. http://www.generalpatent.com/articles/introducing-litigation-risk-analysis. Retrieved 2018-07-25.

## External links

* Litigation Risk by Marc Victor
* Arbitration and Mediation in International Business
* Risk analysis in mediation
* Litigation Risk Analysis Software: Eperoto, Litigaze,SettleIndex

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