Pivot Counties by state

2016 Pivot Counties

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Analysis
Pivot counties overview
List of counties
Historical voting patterns
Historical voting analysis, 1992-2004
Demographics
Reverse-Pivot Counties

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Voter turnout
Pivot Counties by state
Pivot Counties in congressional districts
Pivot Counties in state legislative districts
Pivot Counties and ballot measures

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2018 elections analysis
Pivot counties in U.S. House elections
Pivot counties in state legislative elections
Reverse pivot counties in U.S. House elections

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Pivot Counties in the
2020 presidential election

Pivot Counties in the
2022 midterm elections

To read about Pivot Counties in the 2024 presidential election, click here

Ballotpedia identified 206 counties that voted for Donald Trump (R) in 2016 after voting for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012.[1] Collectively, Trump won these Pivot Counties by more than 580,000 votes, and had an average margin of victory of 11.45 percent. The 206 counties are located in 34 states. These counties are sometimes referred to as swing counties by media and political observers.

HIGHLIGHTS

* Iowa had the most Pivot Counties of any state, with 31.

* The state with the highest percentage of Pivot Counties was Maine, where Pivot Counties made up 50 percent of the state's total counties. Maine also had the highest percentage of state population living in Pivot Counties, with 47.08 percent.

* Since 1960, Pivot Counties have matched the national election result in 73.07 percent of presidential elections.

The following map displays the Pivot Counties that voted for Obama, Obama, and Trump:

The table below details the number of Pivot Counties in each state. To see a full list of Pivot Counties, click here. For more complete information on a state, click the state name.

Pivot Counties By State

State  | Pivot Counties  | Total Counties  | Percentage of Pivot Counties  | Percentage of Population in Pivot Counties
Arkansas | 1 | 75 | 1.33% | 0.24%
Colorado | 4 | 64 | 6.25% | 0.57%
Connecticut | 1 | 8 | 12.50% | 3.28%
Delaware | 1 | 3 | 33.33% | 18.26%
Florida | 4 | 67 | 5.97% | 6.71%
Georgia | 5 | 159 | 3.14% | 0.57%
Illinois | 11 | 102 | 10.78% | 4.52%
Indiana | 5 | 92 | 5.43% | 7.98%
Iowa | 31 | 99 | 31.31% | 26.11%
Kentucky | 1 | 120 | 0.83% | 0.18%
Maine | 8 | 16 | 50.00% | 47.08%
Michigan | 12 | 83 | 14.46% | 18.36%
Minnesota | 19 | 87 | 21.84% | 9.97%
Mississippi | 2 | 82 | 2.44% | 3.09%
Montana | 3 | 56 | 5.36% | 3.37%
Nebraska | 1 | 93 | 1.08% | 0.37%
New Hampshire | 3 | 10 | 30.00% | 36.20%
New Jersey | 2 | 21 | 9.52% | 4.00%
New Mexico | 3 | 33 | 9.09% | 4.54%
New York | 18 | 62 | 29.03% | 19.37%
North Carolina | 6 | 100 | 6.00% | 3.18%
North Dakota | 4 | 53 | 7.55% | 2.56%
Ohio | 9 | 88 | 10.23% | 13.95%
Oregon | 2 | 36 | 5.56% | 1.91%
Pennsylvania | 3 | 67 | 4.48% | 7.05%
Rhode Island | 1 | 5 | 20.00% | 15.69%
South Carolina | 5 | 46 | 10.87% | 2.50%
South Dakota | 5 | 66 | 7.58% | 3.31%
Tennessee | 1 | 95 | 1.05% | 0.41%
Texas | 1 | 254 | 0.39% | 0.97%
Vermont | 1 | 14 | 7.14% | 0.99%
Virginia | 5 | 133 | 3.76% | 3.95%
Washington | 5 | 39 | 12.82% | 4.74%
Wisconsin | 23 | 72 | 31.94% | 17.35%

## See also[edit]

* Pivot Counties: The counties that voted Obama-Obama-Trump from 2008-2016
* List of Pivot Counties - the 206 counties that voted Obama-Obama-Trump
* Voter turnout in the 206 Pivot Counties that voted Obama-Obama-Trump
* Presidential election, 2016
* Election results, 2020: Pivot Counties in the 2020 presidential election

## Footnotes[edit]

1. ↑ The raw data for this study was provided by Dave Leip of Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections.

v • e

2016 Pivot Counties

Analysis|

Pivot counties overview • List of pivot counties • Voter turnout • Pivot Counties by state • Pivot Counties by congressional district • Pivot Counties by state legislative district • Demographics of Pivot Counties • Journalism and analysis about voters in the Obama-Obama-Trump Pivot Counties • Reverse-Pivot Counties

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By state|

Arkansas • Colorado • Connecticut • Delaware • Florida • Georgia • Illinois • Indiana • Iowa • Kentucky • Maine • Michigan • Minnesota • Mississippi • Montana • Nebraska • New Hampshire • New Jersey • New Mexico • New York • North Carolina • North Dakota • Ohio • Oregon • Pennsylvania • Rhode Island • South Carolina • South Dakota • Tennessee • Texas • Vermont • Virginia • Washington • Wisconsin

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2016 elections|

Presidential • U.S. Senate • U.S. House • State legislatures

2018 elections analysis|

Pivot counties: U.S. House • Pivot counties: State legislatures • Reverse pivot counties: U.S. House

2020 elections|

Pivot Counties in the 2020 presidential election • Presidential • U.S. Senate • U.S. House • State legislatures