Mortality forecasting

Short description: Method of predicting future mortality rates

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Mortality forecasting refers to the art and science of determining likely future mortality rates.[1] It is especially important in rich countries with a high proportion of aged people, since populations with lower mortality accumulate more pensions.[2]

## References

1. ↑ Rabbi, Ahbab Mohammad Fazle; Mazzuco, Stefano (2020-04-08). "Mortality Forecasting with the Lee–Carter Method: Adjusting for Smoothing and Lifespan Disparity". European Journal of Population 37 (1): 97–120. doi:10.1007/s10680-020-09559-9. ISSN 0168-6577. PMID 33603592.
2. ↑ Shi, Jiaxin; Kolk, Martin (1 October 2022). "How Does Mortality Contribute to Lifetime Pension Inequality? Evidence From Five Decades of Swedish Taxation Data". Demography 59 (5): 1843–1871. doi:10.1215/00703370-10218779. PMID 36129209. https://read.dukeupress.edu/demography/article/59/5/1843/318522/How-Does-Mortality-Contribute-to-Lifetime-Pension. Retrieved 6 February 2024.

## See also

* Lee-Carter model
* Life expectancy
* Actuarial science

## References

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