2020 United States presidential election in Maine

Election in Maine

Main article: 2020 United States presidential election

2020 United States presidential election in MaineFile:Flag of Maine.svg

* * *

| <- 2016 | November 3, 2020 | 2024 ->

|
|

Turnout| 78%
|  | File:Joe Biden presidential portrait (cropped).jpg | File:Donald Trump official portrait (cropped).jpg

|
|

Nominee  | Joe Biden | Donald Trump |
Party  | Democratic | Republican
Home state  | Delaware | Florida
Running mate  | Kamala Harris | Mike Pence
Electoral vote  | 3 | 1
First round  | 435,072 | 360,737
Percentage  | 53.09% | 44.02%

* * *

File:Maine Presidential Election Results 2020.svg Election results by county

File:2020 United States presidential election in Maine - Results by congressional district.svg Election results by congressional district

Biden

40–50%

50–60%

60–70%

Trump

40–50%

50–60%

60–70%

|

* * *

| President before election

Donald Trump
Republican

| Elected President

Joe Biden
Democratic

|

Elections in Maine

File:Seal of Maine.svg

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State House elections

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Question 1

2011
Question 1

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Question 1 (Jun)

2020
Question 1
Citizen initiated referendums

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Question 1

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Question 1

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Question 1

2016
Question 1
Question 2
Question 3
Question 4
Question 5

2017
Question 1
Question 2

2018
Question 1 (Nov)

2021
Question 1
Constitutional amendments

2021
Question 3

City of Portland

|  Mayoral elections

* 2011
* 2015
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* 2023

* v
* t
* e

The 2020 United States presidential election in Maine was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated.[1] Maine voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden, and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris. Maine has four electoral votes in the Electoral College.[2] Unlike all other states except Nebraska, Maine awards two electoral votes based on the statewide vote, and one vote for each congressional district. In the 2016 election, Maine split its vote for the first time since 1828, awarding one electoral vote to Trump as he got the most votes in Maine's 2nd congressional district.[3]

Maine became the first state to use ranked-choice voting for a presidential general election, with voters able to rank their preferred candidates on the ballot.[4]

Biden performed strongly with college-educated[5] and high income voters to win Maine[6].

Maine weighed in for this election as 5% more Democratic than the national average.

## Contents

* 1 Primary elections
* 1.1 Republican primary
* 1.2 Democratic primary
* 1.3 Libertarian nominee
* 1.4 Green nominee
* 1.5 Alliance nominee
* 2 General election
* 2.1 Ballot access
* 2.1.1 Libertarian
* 2.2 Final predictions
* 2.3 Polling
* 2.3.1 Graphical summary (statewide)
* 2.3.2 Statewide polls
* 2.4 Maine's 1st congressional district
* 2.4.1 Graphical summary
* 2.4.2 Aggregate polls
* 2.4.3 with Donald Trump and Joe Biden
* 2.5 Maine's 2nd congressional district
* 2.5.1 Graphical summary
* 2.5.2 Aggregate polls
* 2.5.3 with Donald Trump and Joe Biden
* 2.6 Results
* 2.6.1 Statewide (2 electoral votes)
* 2.6.2 1st congressional district (1 electoral vote)
* 2.6.3 2nd congressional district (1 electoral vote)
* 2.6.4 By county
* 2.6.4.1 Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
* 2.6.5 By congressional district
* 3 Analysis
* 4 See also
* 5 Notes
* 6 References
* 7 Further reading
* 8 External links

## Primary elections[edit | edit source]

The primary elections were held on Super Tuesday, March 3, 2020.

### Republican primary[edit | edit source]

Main article: 2020 Maine Republican presidential primary

Incumbent President Donald Trump ran unopposed in the Republican primary, and thus he received all of Maine's 22 delegates to the 2020 Republican National Convention.[7]

2020 Maine Republican presidential primary[8] Candidate  | Votes  | %  | Delegates[9]

|
|
|

Donald Trump | 95,360 | 83.85 | 22
Blank ballots | 18,368  | 16.15  | 0
Total  | 113,728  | 100%  | 22

### Democratic primary[edit | edit source]

In an electoral upset, moderate candidate Joe Biden won the state, which primary opponent Bernie Sanders previously won in 2016.

This section is an excerpt from 2020 Maine Democratic presidential primary § Results.[edit]

2020 Maine Democratic presidential primary[10] Candidate  | Votes  | %  | Delegates

|
|
|

Joe Biden | 68,729  | 33.37  | 11
Bernie Sanders | 66,826  | 32.45  | 9
Elizabeth Warren | 32,055  | 15.57  | 4
Michael Bloomberg | 24,294  | 11.80  |
Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn)[a] | 4,364  | 2.12
Amy Klobuchar (withdrawn)[a] | 2,826  | 1.37
Tulsi Gabbard | 1,815  | 0.88
Andrew Yang (withdrawn)[b] | 696  | 0.34
Tom Steyer (withdrawn)[a] | 313  | 0.15
Deval Patrick (withdrawn)[b] | 218  | 0.11
Marianne Williamson (withdrawn) | 201  | 0.10
Cory Booker (withdrawn) | 183  | 0.09
Blank ballots | 3,417  | 1.66
Total  | 205,937  | 100%  | 24

### Libertarian nominee[edit | edit source]

* Jo Jorgensen, Psychology Senior Lecturer at Clemson University

### Green nominee[edit | edit source]

* Howie Hawkins, co-founder of the Green Party, trade unionist and environmental activist

### Alliance nominee[edit | edit source]

* Rocky De La Fuente, businessman

## General election[edit | edit source]

### Ballot access[edit | edit source]

#### Libertarian[edit | edit source]

The Libertarian Party was recognized by Maine as an official party in June 2016 but lost that status in December 2018. To qualify for ballot access, Jorgensen was required to submit 4,000 petition signatures to the state by August 3. Jorgensen sued the state for a reduction of the signature requirement, citing an increase in the difficulty of petitioning caused by the COVID-19 pandemic.[11] Jorgensen was successful in appearing on the ballot.

### Final predictions[edit | edit source]

Source  | Ranking (statewide)  | Ranking (1st)  | Ranking (2nd)

|
|
|

The Cook Political Report[12] | Likely D  | Solid D  | Tossup
Inside Elections[13] | Solid D  | Solid D  | Tossup
Sabato's Crystal Ball[14] | Likely D  | Safe D  | Lean R
Politico[15] | Likely D  | Solid D  | Tossup
RCP[16] | Lean D  | Likely D  | Tossup
Niskanen[17] | Safe D  | Safe D  | Likely R
CNN[18] | Solid D  | Solid D  | Tossup
The Economist[19] | Safe D  | Not given  | Not given
CBS News[20] | Likely D  | Likely D  | Tossup
270towin[21] | Likely D  | Safe D  | Tossup
ABC News[22] | Solid D  | Solid D  | Tossup
NPR[23] | Likely D  | Likely D  | Tossup
NBC News[24] | Likely D  | Solid D  | Tossup
538[25] | Likely D  | Solid D  | Tossup

### Polling[edit | edit source]

#### Graphical summary (statewide)[edit | edit source]

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation  | Dates
administered  | Dates
updated  | Joe
Biden
Democratic | Donald
Trump
Republican | Other/
Undecided
[c] | Margin

|
|
|
|
|
|

270 to Win | October 6 – November 1, 2020  | November 3, 2020  | 51.8% | 40.2%  | 8.0%  | Biden +11.6
FiveThirtyEight | until November 2, 2020  | November 3, 2020  | 53.3% | 40.3%  | 6.4%  | Biden +13.0
Average | 53.1% | 40.3%  | 7.2%  | Biden +12.3

#### Statewide polls[edit | edit source]

Poll source  | Date(s)
administered  | Sample
size[d] | Margin
of error | Donald
Trump
Republican | Joe
Biden
Democratic | Jo
Jorgensen
Libertarian | Howie
Hawkins
Green | Other | Undecided

|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|

Change Research | Oct 29 – Nov 2, 2020  | 1,024 (LV)  | ± 3.5%  | 40%  | 52% | 4%  | 2%  | 1%[e] | 1%
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020  | 1,274 (LV)  | ± 4%  | 42%[f] | 56% | –  | –  | –  | –
Emerson College | Oct 29–31, 2020  | 611 (LV)  | ± 3.9%  | 43%[g] | 54% | –  | –  | 2%[h] | –
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 1–28, 2020  | 1,995 (LV)  | –  | 43%  | 56% | –  | –  | –  | –
SurveyUSA/FairVote | Oct 23–27, 2020  | 1,007 (LV)  | ± 3.7%  | 40%[i] | 53% | 2%  | 2%  | 1%[j] | 2%
42%[k] | 55% | –  | –  | 1%[l] | 2%
Colby College | Oct 21–25, 2020  | 879 (LV)  | ± 3.3%  | 38%  | 51% | –  | –  | 4%[m] | 8%
Pan Atlantic Research | Oct 2–6, 2020  | 600 (LV)  | ± 4.5%  | 40%  | 50% | –  | –  | 6%[n] | 4%
Critical Insights/Digital Research/Bangor Daily News | Sep 25 – Oct 4, 2020  | 466 (LV)  | ± 4.4%  | 40%[i] | 51% | 3%  | 1%  | 2%[o] | 3%
40%[p] | 52% | –  | –  | 5%[q] | 3%
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Sep 1–30, 2020  | 729 (LV)  | –  | 38%  | 60% | –  | –  | –  | 2%
Data for Progress (D) | Sep 23–28, 2020  | 718 (LV)  | ± 3.7%  | 39%[i] | 53% | 2%  | 1%  | –  | 5%
41%[r] | 55% | –  | –  | –  | 4%
Colby College | Sep 17–23, 2020  | 847 (LV)  | ± 3.4%  | 39%  | 50% | –  | –  | 4%[s] | 6%
Suffolk University/Boston Globe | Sep 17–20, 2020  | 500 (LV)  | ± 4.4%  | 39%[i] | 51% | 1%  | 0%  | 1%[t] | 7%
39%[k] | 51% | –  | –  | 2%[u] | 8%
Siena College/NYT Upshot | Sep 11–16, 2020  | 663 (LV)  | ± 5.1%  | 38%[v] | 55% | 0%  | 0%  | 1%[w] | 6%[x]
Quinnipiac University | Sep 10–14, 2020  | 1,183 (LV)  | ± 2.9%  | 38%  | 59% | –  | –  | 0%[y] | 3%
Fabrizio Ward/Hart Research Associates/AARP | Aug 30 – Sep 5, 2020  | 800 (LV)  | ± 3.5%  | 40%  | 54% | –  | –  | 1%[z] | 5%
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Aug 1–31, 2020  | 502 (LV)  | –  | 37%  | 61% | –  | –  | –  | 1%
Critical Insights/Digital Research/Bangor Daily News | Jul 28 – Aug 9, 2020  | 453 (LV)  | –  | 38%  | 45% | –  | –  | 11%[aa] | 6%
Quinnipiac University Archived August 7, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | Jul 30 – Aug 3, 2020  | 805 (RV)  | ± 3.7%  | 37%  | 52% | –  | –  | 6%[ab] | 4%
RMG Research | Jul 27 – Aug 2, 2020  | 500 (RV)  | ± 4.5%  | 39%  | 50% | –  | –  | 7%[ac] | 4%
Data for Progress | Jul 24 – Aug 2, 2020  | 866 (LV)  | –  | 42%[i] | 49% | 1%  | 1%  | –  | 7%
43%[ad] | 53% | –  | –  | –  | 4%
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jul 1–31, 2020  | 733 (LV)  | –  | 41%  | 57% | –  | –  | –  | 1%
Public Policy Polling/AFSCME[A] | Jul 23–24, 2020  | 962 (V)  | –  | 42%  | 53% | –  | –  | –  | 5%
Colby College/SocialSphere | Jul 18–24, 2020  | 888 (RV)  | ± 3.9%  | 38%  | 50% | –  | –  | 5%[ae] | 7%
Public Policy Polling | Jul 2–3, 2020  | 1,022 (V)  | ± 3.1%  | 42%  | 53% | –  | –  | –  | 5%
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jun 8–30, 2020  | 202 (LV)  | –  | 46%  | 51% | –  | –  | –  | 3%
Public Policy Polling | Mar 2–3, 2020  | 872 (V)  | ± 3.3%  | 42%  | 52% | –  | –  | –  | 6%
Public Policy Polling | Oct 11–13, 2019  | 939 (LV)  | ± 3.2%  | 42%  | 54% | –  | –  | –  | 4%
Fabrizio Ward/AARP | Jul 29–31, 2019  | 600 (LV)  | ± 4.0%  | 44%  | 50% | –  | –  | –  | 5%
Gravis Marketing | Jun 24, 2019  | 767 (RV)  | ± 3.5%  | 46%  | 54% | –  | –  | –  | –

### Maine's 1st congressional district[edit | edit source]

#### Graphical summary[edit | edit source]

#### Aggregate polls[edit | edit source]

Source of poll
aggregation  | Dates
administered  | Dates
updated  | Joe
Biden
Democratic | Donald
Trump
Republican | Other/
Undecided
[c] | Margin

|
|
|
|
|
|

270 to Win | October 6 – November 1, 2020  | November 3, 2020  | 57.8% | 35.0%  | 7.2%  | Biden +22.8
Real Clear Politics | September 17 – October 6, 2020  | October 30, 2020  | 56.7% | 34.3%  | 9.0%  | Biden +22.4

#### with Donald Trump and Joe Biden[edit | edit source]

Poll source  | Date(s)
administered  | Sample
size[d] | Margin
of error | Donald
Trump
Republican | Joe
Biden
Democratic | Jo
Jorgensen
Libertarian | Howie
Hawkins
Green | Other | Undecided

|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|

Change Research | Oct 29 – Nov 2, 2020  | 549 (LV)  | –  | 35%  | 56% | 4%  | 3%  | –  | –
Emerson College | Oct 29–31, 2020  | 310 (LV)  | –  | 39%  | 58% | –  | –  | 3%[af] | 1%
SurveyUSA/FairVote | Oct 23–27, 2020  | 498 (LV)  | –  | 35%[i] | 59% | 2%  | 2%  | 1%[j] | 2%
36%[k] | 61% | –  | –  | 1%[l] | 2%
Colby College | Oct 21–25, 2020  | 426 (LV)  | –  | 34%  | 56% | –  | –  | 4%[m] | 7%
Pan Atlantic Research | Oct 2–6, 2020  | 300 (LV)  | ± 6.4%  | 37%  | 54% | –  | –  | 7%  | –
Critical Insights/Digital Research/Bangor Daily News | Sep 25 – Oct 4, 2020  | 232 (LV)  | –  | 30%  | 62% | 3%  | 1%  | 2%[ag] | 3%
Colby College | Sep 17–23, 2020  | 416 (LV)  | –  | 36%  | 54% | –  | –  | 5%[ah] | 5%
Suffolk University/Boston Globe | Sep 17–20, 2020  | 267 (LV)  | –  | 33%[i] | 54% | 2%  | 0%  | 1%[t] | 9%
34%[k] | 55% | 0%  | 0%  | 2%[ai] | 9%
Quinnipiac University | Sep 10–14, 2020  | 707 (LV)  | –  | 32%  | 64% | –  | –  | 1%[aj] | 3%
Fabrizio Ward/Hart Research Associates/AARP | Aug 30 – Sep 5, 2020  | 433 (LV)  | –  | 35%  | 58% | –  | –  | –  | –
Critical Insights/Digital Research/Bangor Daily News | Jul 28 – Aug 9, 2020  | 250 (LV)  | –  | 33%  | 49% | –  | –  | 11%[ak] | 6%
Quinnipiac University | Jul 30 – Aug 3, 2020  | 392 (LV)[al] | –  | 30%  | 61% | –  | –  | 6%[am] | 3%
Colby College/SocialSphere | Jul 18–24, 2020  | 425 (LV)  | –  | 35%  | 55% | –  | –  | 6%[an] | 5%
Public Policy Polling | Oct 11–13, 2019  | 478 (LV)  | –  | 38%  | 58% | –  | –  | –  | 3%

### Maine's 2nd congressional district[edit | edit source]

#### Graphical summary[edit | edit source]

#### Aggregate polls[edit | edit source]

Source of poll
aggregation  | Dates
administered  | Dates
updated  | Joe
Biden
Democratic | Donald
Trump
Republican | Other/
Undecided
[c] | Margin

|
|
|
|
|
|

270 to Win | October 6 – November 1, 2020  | November 3, 2020  | 46.4% | 45.2%  | 8.4%  | Biden +1.2
Real Clear Politics | September 17 – October 6, 2020  | October 27, 2020  | 44.7%  | 45.0% | 10.3%  | Trump +0.3

#### with Donald Trump and Joe Biden[edit | edit source]

Poll source  | Date(s)
administered  | Sample
size[d] | Margin
of error | Donald
Trump
Republican | Joe
Biden
Democratic | Jo
Jorgensen
Libertarian | Howie
Hawkins
Green | Other | Undecided

|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|

Change Research | Oct 29 – Nov 2, 2020  | 475 (LV)  | ± 4.6%  | 46%[i] | 47% | 4%  | 1%  | 0%[ao] | 1%
50%[ap] | 50% | –  | –  | –  | –
Emerson College | Oct 29–31, 2020  | 301 (LV)  | –  | 47%  | 50% | –  | –  | 3%[af] | 0%
SurveyUSA/FairVote | Oct 23–27, 2020  | 509 (LV)  | –  | 45%[i] | 48% | 2%  | 2%  | 1%[j] | 2%
49%[aq] | 51% | –  | –  | –  | –
Colby College | Oct 21–25, 2020  | 453 (LV)  | –  | 42%  | 46% | –  | –  | 4%[m] | 9%
Pan Atlantic Research | Oct 2–6, 2020  | 300 (LV)  | ± 6.4%  | 43%  | 47% | –  | –  | 6%  | –
Critical Insights/Digital Research/Bangor Daily News | Sep 25 – Oct 4, 2020  | 234 (LV)  | –  | 49% | 41%  | 2%  | 1%  | 1%[ar] | 3%
Colby College | Sep 17–23, 2020  | 425 (LV)  | –  | 43%  | 46% | –  | –  | 3%[as] | 8%
Suffolk University/Boston Globe | Sep 17–20, 2020  | 233 (LV)  | –  | 45%[i] | 47% | 0%  | 0%  | 1%[at] | 6%
45%[k] | 47% | 0%  | 0%  | 1%[au] | 6%
Siena College/NYT Upshot[1] | Sep 11–16, 2020  | 440 (LV)  | –  | 45%[v] | 47% | –  | –  | –  | –
Quinnipiac University | Sep 10–14, 2020  | 476 (LV)  | –  | 44%  | 53% | –  | –  | 0%[y] | 3%
Fabrizio Ward/Hart Research Associates/AARP | Aug 30 – Sep 5, 2020  | 367 (LV)  | –  | 45%  | 49% | –  | –  | –  | –
Left of Centre PAC[B] | Aug 25–28, 2020  | 400 (LV)  | ± 4.9%  | 49% | 48%  | –  | –  | –  | 3%
Critical Insights/Digital Research/Bangor Daily News | Jul 28 – Aug 9, 2020  | 249 (LV)  | –  | 38%  | 39% | –  | –  | 12%[av] | 11%
Quinnipiac University | Jul 30 – Aug 3, 2020  | 382 (RV)[al] | –  | 45% | 44%  | –  | –  | 6%[ab] | 5%
Colby College/SocialSphere | Jul 18–24, 2020  | 449 (LV)  | –  | 42%  | 45% | –  | –  | 4%[m] | 9%
Public Policy Polling | Oct 11–13, 2019  | 461 (LV)  | –  | 46%  | 49% | –  | –  | –  | 4%

Former candidates

with Donald Trump and Pete Buttigieg
| Poll source  | Date(s)
administered  | Sample
size[d] | Margin
of error | Donald
Trump (R)  | Pete
Buttigieg (D)  | Undecided

|
|
|
|
|
|

Public Policy Polling | Oct 11–13, 2019  | 939 (LV)  | ± 3.2%  | 43%  | 52% | 5%
Gravis Marketing | Jun 24, 2019  | 767 (RV)  | ± 3.5%  | 49%  | 51% | –

with Donald Trump and Kamala Harris
Poll source  | Date(s)
administered  | Sample
size[d] | Margin
of error | Donald
Trump (R)  | Kamala
Harris (D)  | Undecided

|
|
|
|
|
|

Public Policy Polling | Oct 11–13, 2019  | 939 (LV)  | ± 3.2%  | 44%  | 50% | 6%
Gravis Marketing | Jun 24, 2019  | 767 (RV)  | ± 3.5%  | 48%  | 52% | –

with Donald Trump and Bernie Sanders
Poll source  | Date(s)
administered  | Sample
size[d] | Margin
of error | Donald
Trump (R)  | Bernie
Sanders (D)  | Undecided

|
|
|
|
|
|

Public Policy Polling | Mar 2–3, 2020  | 872 (V)  | ± 3.3%  | 42%  | 52% | 7%
Public Policy Polling | Oct 11–13, 2019  | 939 (LV)  | ± 3.2%  | 43%  | 53% | 4%
Gravis Marketing | Jun 24, 2019  | 767 (RV)  | ± 3.5%  | 47%  | 53% | –

with Donald Trump and Elizabeth Warren
Poll source  | Date(s)
administered  | Sample
size[d] | Margin
of error | Donald
Trump (R)  | Elizabeth
Warren (D)  | Undecided

|
|
|
|
|
|

Public Policy Polling | Oct 11–13, 2019  | 939 (LV)  | ± 3.2%  | 43%  | 53% | 4%
Gravis Marketing | Jun 24, 2019  | 767 (RV)  | ± 3.5%  | 48%  | 52% | –

with Pete Buttigieg in Maine's 1st congressional district
Poll source  | Date(s)
administered  | Sample
size[d] | Margin
of error | Donald
Trump (R)  | Pete
Buttigieg (D)  | Undecided

|
|
|
|
|
|

Public Policy Polling | Oct 11–13, 2019  | 478 (LV)  | –  | 38%  | 58% | 3%

with Kamala Harris in Maine's 1st congressional district
Poll source  | Date(s)
administered  | Sample
size[d] | Margin
of error | Donald
Trump (R)  | Kamala
Harris (D)  | Undecided

|
|
|
|
|
|

Public Policy Polling | Oct 11–13, 2019  | 478 (LV)  | –  | 39%  | 57% | 4%

with Bernie Sanders in Maine's 1st congressional district
Poll source  | Date(s)
administered  | Sample
size[d] | Margin
of error | Donald
Trump (R)  | Bernie
Sanders (D)  | Undecided

|
|
|
|
|
|

Public Policy Polling | Oct 11–13, 2019  | 478 (LV)  | –  | 39%  | 57% | 4%

with Elizabeth Warren in Maine's 1st congressional district
Poll source  | Date(s)
administered  | Sample
size[d] | Margin
of error | Donald
Trump (R)  | Elizabeth
Warren (D)  | Undecided

|
|
|
|
|
|

Public Policy Polling | Oct 11–13, 2019  | 478 (LV)  | –  | 39%  | 57% | 3%

with Pete Buttigieg in Maine's 2nd congressional district
Poll source  | Date(s)
administered  | Sample
size[d] | Margin
of error | Donald
Trump (R)  | Pete
Buttigieg (D)  | Undecided

|
|
|
|
|
|

Public Policy Polling | Oct 11–13, 2019  | 461 (LV)  | –  | 49% | 44%  | 7%

with Kamala Harris in Maine's 2nd congressional district
Poll source  | Date(s)
administered  | Sample
size[d] | Margin
of error | Donald
Trump (R)  | Kamala
Harris (D)  | Undecided

|
|
|
|
|
|

Public Policy Polling | Oct 11–13, 2019  | 461 (LV)  | –  | 49% | 43%  | 8%

with Bernie Sanders in Maine's 2nd congressional district
Poll source  | Date(s)
administered  | Sample
size[d] | Margin
of error | Donald
Trump (R)  | Bernie
Sanders (D)  | Undecided

|
|
|
|
|
|

Public Policy Polling | Oct 11–13, 2019  | 461 (LV)  | –  | 47%  | 49% | 4%

with Elizabeth Warren in Maine's 2nd congressional district
Poll source  | Date(s)
administered  | Sample
size[d] | Margin
of error | Donald
Trump (R)  | Elizabeth
Warren (D)  | Undecided

|
|
|
|
|
|

Public Policy Polling | Oct 11–13, 2019  | 461 (LV)  | –  | 48% | 47%  | 5%

Hypothetical polling

with Generic Democrat
| Poll source  | Date(s)
administered  | Sample
size[d] | Margin
of error | Donald
Trump (R)  | Generic
Democrat (D)  | Undecided

|
|
|
|
|
|

Colby College/SocialSphere [2] | Feb 10–13, 2020  | 1,008 (LV)  | ± 3.1%  | 34%  | 37% | 30%[aw]

with Generic Opponent
Poll source  | Date(s)
administered  | Sample
size[d] | Margin
of error | Donald
Trump (R)  | Generic
Opponent  | Undecided

|
|
|
|
|
|

Pan Atlantic Research | Mar 4–13, 2019  | 500 (LV)  | ± 4.4%  | 27%  | 53% | 19%[ax]

with Generic Democrat in Maine's 1st congressional district
Poll source  | Date(s)
administered  | Sample
size[d] | Margin
of error | Donald
Trump (R)  | Generic
Democrat (D)  | Undecided

|
|
|
|
|
|

Colby College/SocialSphere [3] | Feb 10–13, 2020  | 515 (LV)  | –  | 28%  | 41% | 31%[ay]

with Generic Democrat in Maine's 2nd congressional district
Poll source  | Date(s)
administered  | Sample
size[d] | Margin
of error | Donald
Trump (R)  | Generic
Democrat (D)  | Undecided

|
|
|
|
|
|

Colby College/SocialSphere [4] | Feb 10–13, 2020  | 493 (LV)  | –  | 41% | 34%  | 28%[az]

### Results[edit | edit source]

#### Statewide (2 electoral votes)[edit | edit source]

2020 United States presidential election in Maine[26] Party  | Candidate  | Votes  | %  | ±%

|
|
|
|

| Democratic | Joe Biden
Kamala Harris | 435,072  | 53.09%  | +5.26%
| Republican | Donald Trump
Mike Pence | 360,737  | 44.02%  | −0.85%
| Libertarian | Jo Jorgensen
Spike Cohen | 14,152  | 1.73%  | −3.36%
| Green | Howie Hawkins
Angela Walker | 8,230  | 1.00%  | −0.91%
| Alliance | Rocky De La Fuente
Darcy Richardson  | 1,183  | 0.14%  | N/A
| Write-in | 87  | 0.01%  | N/A
Total votes  | 819,461  | 100.00%  |
| Democratic win

#### 1st congressional district (1 electoral vote)[edit | edit source]

2020 United States presidential election in Maine's 1st congressional district[26] Party  | Candidate  | Votes  | %  | ±%

|
|
|
|

| Democratic | Joe Biden
Kamala Harris | 266,376  | 60.11%  | +6.15%
| Republican | Donald Trump
Mike Pence | 164,045  | 37.02%  | −2.13%
| Libertarian | Jo Jorgensen
Spike Cohen | 7,343  | 1.66%  | −3.05%
| Green | Howie Hawkins
Angela Walker | 4,654  | 1.05%  | −0.87%
| Alliance | Rocky De La Fuente
Darcy Richardson  | 649  | 0.15%  | N/A
| Write-in | 45  | 0.01%  | N/A
Total votes  | 443,112  | 100.00%  |
| Democratic win

#### 2nd congressional district (1 electoral vote)[edit | edit source]

2020 United States presidential election in Maine's 2nd congressional district[26] Party  | Candidate  | Votes  | %  | ±%

|
|
|
|

| Republican | Donald Trump
Mike Pence | 196,692  | 52.26%  | +1.00%
| Democratic | Joe Biden
Kamala Harris | 168,696  | 44.82%  | +3.84%
| Libertarian | Jo Jorgensen
Spike Cohen | 6,809  | 1.81%  | −3.71%
| Green | Howie Hawkins
Angela Walker | 3,576  | 0.95%  | −0.94%
| Alliance | Rocky De La Fuente
Darcy Richardson  | 534  | 0.14%  | N/A
| Write-in | 42  | 0.01%  | N/A
Total votes  | 376,349  | 100.00%  |
| Republican win

#### By county[edit | edit source]

Vote breakdown by county[27] | Joe Biden
Democrat | Donald Trump
Republican | Other  | Margin  | Total

|
|
|
|
|

County  | Votes  | %  | Votes  | %  | Votes  | %  | Votes  | %  | Votes
Androscoggin | 27,617 | 47.04% | 29,268 | 49.85% | 2,476 | 4.17% | 1,651 | −2.78% | 59,361
Aroostook | 13,956 | 39.04% | 21,080 | 58.97% | 1,174 | 3.24% | 7,124 | −19.67% | 36,210
Cumberland | 128,759 | 66.45% | 59,584 | 30.75% | 7,571 | 3.86% | 69,175 | 35.31% | 195,914
Franklin | 8,069 | 45.85% | 8,754 | 49.74% | 776 | 4.41% | 685 | −3.89% | 17,599
Hancock | 19,369 | 54.83% | 14,982 | 42.41% | 1,325 | 3.71% | 4,387 | 12.30% | 35,676
Kennebec | 34,902 | 48.57% | 34,721 | 48.32% | 2,992 | 4.12% | 181 | 0.25% | 72,615
Knox | 15,110 | 59.38% | 9,982 | 38.16% | 940 | 3.61% | 5,128 | 19.70% | 26,032
Lincoln | 12,684 | 53.76% | 10,256 | 43.47% | 917 | 3.84% | 2,428 | 10.18% | 23,857
Oxford | 14,755 | 44.06% | 17,698 | 52.83% | 1,357 | 4.01% | 2,943 | −8.70% | 33,810
Penobscot | 37,713 | 44.23% | 44,825 | 52.57% | 3,595 | 4.17% | 7,112 | −8.26% | 86,133
Piscataquis | 3,517 | 35.50% | 6,143 | 62.00% | 336 | 3.36% | 2,626 | −26.27% | 9,996
Sagadahoc | 13,528 | 56.28% | 9,755 | 40.58% | 997 | 4.11% | 3,773 | 15.54% | 24,280
Somerset | 10,199 | 36.98% | 16,644 | 60.35% | 1,030 | 3.70% | 6,445 | −23.12% | 27,873
Waldo | 12,345 | 50.76% | 11,196 | 46.03% | 1,025 | 4.17% | 1,149 | 4.68% | 24,566
Washington | 6,761 | 38.95% | 10,194 | 58.73% | 615 | 3.50% | 3,433 | −19.54% | 17,570
York | 71,189 | 54.90% | 54,817 | 42.28% | 5,036 | 3.84% | 16,372 | 12.49% | 131,042

##### Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic[edit | edit source]

* Kennebec (largest municipality: Augusta)

#### By congressional district[edit | edit source]

Joe Biden won the 1st district as the incumbent Democratic representative was re-elected. Donald Trump won the 2nd district despite the incumbent Democratic representative being re-elected.

District  | Biden  | Trump  | Representative

|
|
|

1st | 60.11% | 37.02%  | Chellie Pingree
2nd | 44.82%  | 52.26% | Jared Golden

## Analysis[edit | edit source]

Biden carried Maine by a 9.1% margin over Trump, improving over Hillary Clinton's 3% win margin in 2016. Biden handily carried Maine's 1st congressional district by 23%, while Trump carried its 2nd congressional district by 7.4%, winning a single electoral vote from the state. This marked the first election in history in which Maine and Nebraska both split their electoral votes. Ranked-choice tabulation was ultimately not used as Biden earned a majority statewide and in the 1st district, while Trump earned a majority in the 2nd district. Biden narrowly flipped Kennebec County (home to the state capital, Augusta) four years after Clinton lost it. All other counties favored the same party they did in 2016.[28]

Maine is located in New England, an area that has become a Democratic Party stronghold. It was once a classic Rockefeller Republican state, but social issues have moved it to the Democratic column. The last Republican to win all its electoral votes was George H. W. Bush in 1988. Per exit polls by the Associated Press, Biden's strength in Maine came from liberals, with Biden winning whites 54%–44%, including 56% of white women. Biden was even competitive with Trump among Maine's gun owners, a traditionally Republican interest group, capturing 42% of their vote to Trump's 57%.[29]

This was the first presidential election since 2004 in which Maine's 2nd congressional district backed the losing candidate, and the 2nd district is the only part of the so-called Blue Wall which Trump won in 2020, referring to states and electoral-vote areas that voted Democrat in every election from 1992 to 2012; Biden thus became the first Democrat since 1976 to win the White House without carrying this district. Biden also became the first Democrat since 1892 to win the White House without carrying Androscoggin County, the first since 1976 to do so without carrying Aroostook, Franklin, Oxford, Penobscot, or Washington counties, and the first since 1992 to do so without carrying Somerset County.

## See also[edit | edit source]

* 2020 Maine elections
* United States presidential elections in Maine
* 2020 United States presidential election
* 2020 Democratic Party presidential primaries
* 2020 Republican Party presidential primaries
* 2020 United States elections

## Notes[edit | edit source]

1. ^ a b c Candidate withdrew during absentee voting, shortly before the date of the election.
2. ^ a b Candidate withdrew following the New Hampshire primary, when absentee voting had already begun.
3. ^ a b c Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
4. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear
5. ^ Did not vote with 1%; "Don't recall" and would not vote with 0%
6. ^ Overlapping sample with the previous SurveyMonkey/Axios poll, but more information available regarding sample size
7. ^ With voters who lean towards a given candidate
8. ^ "Someone else" with 2%
9. ^ a b c d e f g h i j Standard VI response
10. ^ a b c De La Fuente (A) with 1%
11. ^ a b c d e Reassigning the second and third preferences of non-Biden/Trump voters
12. ^ a b "No second choice"/"no third choice" with 1%
13. ^ a b c d "One of the minor party candidates" with 4%
14. ^ "All other candidates" with 6%
15. ^ "Refused" with 2%; De La Fuente (A) with no voters
16. ^ Ressigning the second preferences of Hawkins and Jorgensen voters
17. ^ "Refused" with 2%; De La Fuente (A), "No second preference" and "Someone else" with 1%; Hawkins (G) with 0%; Jorgensen (L) with no voters
18. ^ If the only candidates were Biden and Trump
19. ^ "A minor party candidate" with 4%
20. ^ a b "Refused" with 1%; Fuente (A) and "Other" with 0%
21. ^ "Refused" with 1%; Fuente (A) and Hawkins (G) with 0%; Jorgensen (L) and "Other" with no voters
22. ^ a b Topline after Ranked-Choice Voting is used
23. ^ "Someone else" with 0%; would not vote with 1%
24. ^ Includes "Refused"
25. ^ a b "Someone else" with 0%
26. ^ Would not vote with 1%
27. ^ "Someone else" with 8%; "Prefer not to say" and would not vote with 1%
28. ^ a b "Someone else" and would not vote with 3%
29. ^ "Some other candidate" with 7%
30. ^ If only Biden and Trump were candidates
31. ^ "One of the minor party candidates" with 5%
32. ^ a b "Someone else" with 3%
33. ^ "Refused" and "Someone else" with 1%; De La Fuente (A) with no voters
34. ^ "A minor party candidate" with 5%
35. ^ "Refused" with 2%; Fuente (A) with 0%; "Other" with no voters
36. ^ "Someone else" with 1%
37. ^ "Someone else" with 9%; "Prefer not to say" with 2%; Would not vote with 1%
38. ^ a b Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight
39. ^ "Someone else" with 2%; would not vote with 4%
40. ^ "One of the minor party candidates" with 6%
41. ^ Did not vote, "Don't recall" and would not vote with 0%
42. ^ After three rounds of ranked choice voting
43. ^ With Ranked Choice Voting
44. ^ "Refused" with 1%; "Someone else" with 0%; De La Fuente (A) with no voters
45. ^ "A minor party candidate" with 3%
46. ^ "Refused" with 1%; "Other" with 0%; Fuente (A) with no voters
47. ^ "Refused" with 1%; Fuente (A) and "Other" with no voters
48. ^ "Someone else" with 8%; "Prefer not to say" and would not vote with 2%
49. ^ "It depends on who the Democratic candidate is" and "Undecided at this time" with 15%
50. ^ "Consider voting for Trump" with 15%; Undecided with 5%
51. ^ "It depends on who the Democratic candidate is" with 15%; "Undecided at this time" with 16%
52. ^ "It depends on who the Democratic candidate is" with 14%; "Undecided at this time" with 14%

Partisan clients

1. ^ AFSCME endorsed Biden prior to this poll's sampling period
2. ^ The pollster exclusively supports Democratic candidates

## References[edit | edit source]

1. ^ Kelly, Ben (August 13, 2018). "US elections key dates: When are the 2018 midterms and the 2020 presidential campaign?". The Independent. Archived from the original on August 2, 2018. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
2. ^ "Distribution of Electoral Votes". National Archives and Records Administration. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
3. ^ "Bureau of Corporations, Elections & Commissions, Elections and Voting, Results, 2014 Tabulations". State.me.us. Retrieved August 25, 2017.
4. ^ Thistle, Scott (September 6, 2019). "Gov. Mills allows ranked-choice voting in Maine's presidential elections". Press Herald. Retrieved September 6, 2019.
5. ^ "Maine 2020 President exit polls". www.cnn.com. Retrieved November 2, 2022.
6. ^ Staff, N. P. R. (November 3, 2020). "Maine Live Election Results 2020". NPR. Retrieved November 2, 2022.
7. ^ "Maine Republican Delegation 2020". The Green Papers. Retrieved March 20, 2020.
8. ^ "Bureau of Corporations, Elections & Commissions, Elections and Voting, Tabulations June 12, 2018". maine.gov. Maine Secretary of State. Retrieved March 25, 2020.
9. ^ "Maine Election Results 2020". PBS NewsHour. Retrieved March 26, 2020.
10. ^ "March 3, 2020 Presidential Primary Election: Tabulation of Votes". State of Maine Department of the Secretary of State, Bureau of Corporations, Elections & Commissions. Retrieved October 14, 2020.
11. ^ Shepherd, Michael. "Libertarian presidential candidate sues Maine in bid to loosen ballot access rules". Bangor Daily News. Retrieved August 2, 2020.
12. ^ "2020 POTUS Race ratings" (PDF). The Cook Political Report. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
13. ^ "POTUS Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
14. ^ "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2020 President". crystalball.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
15. ^ "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
16. ^ "Battle for White House". RCP. April 19, 2019.
17. ^ 2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College Predictions Archived April 23, 2020, at the Wayback Machine, Niskanen Center, March 24, 2020, retrieved: April 19, 2020.
18. ^ David Chalian; Terence Burlij. "Road to 270: CNN's debut Electoral College map for 2020". CNN. Retrieved June 16, 2020.
19. ^ "Forecasting the US elections". The Economist. Retrieved July 7, 2020.
20. ^ "2020 Election Battleground Tracker". CBS News. July 12, 2020. Retrieved July 13, 2020.
21. ^ "2020 Presidential Election Interactive Map". 270 to Win.
22. ^ "ABC News Race Ratings". CBS News. July 24, 2020. Retrieved July 24, 2020.
23. ^ "2020 Electoral Map Ratings: Trump Slides, Biden Advantage Expands Over 270 Votes". NPR.org. Retrieved August 3, 2020.
24. ^ "Biden dominates the electoral map, but here's how the race could tighten". NBC News. Retrieved August 6, 2020.
25. ^ "2020 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved August 14, 2020.
26. ^ a b c "U.S. President by Congressional District". Maine Department of the Secretary of State. Retrieved December 9, 2020.
27. ^ "Official Results". Maine Secretary of State. Retrieved November 25, 2020.
28. ^ "Maine presidential election results 2020: Live results and polls". www.nbcnews.com. Retrieved November 19, 2020.
29. ^ "Maine Voter Surveys: How Different Groups Voted". The New York Times. November 3, 2020. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved November 9, 2020.

## Further reading[edit | edit source]

* Summary: State Laws on Presidential Electors (PDF), Washington DC: National Association of Secretaries of State, August 2020, "Maine"

## External links[edit | edit source]

* Elections & Voting division of the Maine Secretary of State
* Government Documents Round Table of the American Library Association, "Maine", Voting & Elections Toolkits
* "Maine: Election Tools, Deadlines, Dates, Rules, and Links", Vote.org, Oakland, CA
* "League of Women Voters of Maine". (State affiliate of the U.S. League of Women Voters)

* v
* t
* e

(2019 <-)  2020 United States elections (-> 2021)

U.S.
President|

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ratings)|

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State-wide|

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* Washington, D.C.
* West Virginia
* Wisconsin
* Wyoming

Related|

* Gerrymandering
* Postal voting
* Russian interference
* Voter suppression

* v
* t
* e

State and district results of the 2020 United States presidential election

* Alabama
* Alaska
* Arizona
* ballot audit
* Arkansas
* California
* Colorado
* Connecticut
* Delaware
* District of Columbia
* Florida
* Georgia
* Hawaii
* Idaho
* Illinois
* Indiana
* Iowa
* Kansas
* Kentucky
* Louisiana
* Maine
* Maryland
* Massachusetts
* Michigan
* Minnesota
* Mississippi
* Missouri
* Montana
* Nebraska
* Nevada
* New Hampshire
* New Jersey
* New Mexico
* New York
* North Carolina
* North Dakota
* Ohio
* Oklahoma
* Oregon
* Pennsylvania
* Rhode Island
* South Carolina
* South Dakota
* Tennessee
* Texas
* Utah
* Vermont
* Virginia
* Washington
* West Virginia
* Wisconsin
* Wyoming

Electoral map, 2020 election

* v
* t
* e

File:Flag of Maine.svg Elections and referendums in Maine

Presidential elections|

* 1820
* 1824
* 1828
* 1832
* 1836
* 1840
* 1844
* 1848
* 1852
* 1856
* 1860
* 1864
* 1868
* 1872
* 1876
* 1880
* 1884
* 1888
* 1892
* 1896
* 1900
* 1904
* 1908
* 1912
* 1916
* 1920
* 1924
* 1928
* 1932
* 1936
* 1940
* 1944
* 1948
* 1952
* 1956
* 1960
* 1964
* 1968
* 1972
* 1976
* 1980
* 1984
* 1988
* 1992
* 1996
* 2000
* 2004
* 2008
* 2012
* 2016
* 2020

Senate elections|

| Class 1|

* 1916
* 1922
* 1928
* 1934
* 1940
* 1946
* 1952
* 1958
* 1964
* 1970
* 1976
* 1982
* 1988
* 1994
* 2000
* 2006
* 2012
* 2018

|

Class 2|

* 1918
* 1924
* 1930
* 1936
* 1942
* 1948
* 1954
* 1960
* 1966
* 1972
* 1978
* 1984
* 1990
* 1996
* 2002
* 2008
* 2014
* 2020

House elections|

* 1998
* 2000
* 2002
* 2004
* 2006
* 2008
* 2010
* 2012
* 2014
* 2016
* 2018
* 2020
* 2022

Gubernatorial elections|

* 1820
* 1821
* 1822
* 1823
* 1824
* 1825
* 1826
* 1827
* 1828
* 1829
* 1830
* 1831
* 1832
* 1833
* 1834
* 1835
* 1836
* 1837
* 1838
* 1839
* 1840
* 1841
* 1842
* 1843
* 1844
* 1845
* 1846
* 1847
* 1848
* 1849
* 1850
* 1852
* 1853
* 1854
* 1855
* 1856
* 1857
* 1858
* 1859
* 1860
* 1861
* 1862
* 1863
* 1864
* 1865
* 1866
* 1867
* 1868
* 1869
* 1870
* 1871
* 1872
* 1873
* 1874
* 1875
* 1876
* 1877
* 1878
* 1879
* 1880
* 1882
* 1884
* 1886
* 1888
* 1890
* 1892
* 1894
* 1896
* 1898
* 1900
* 1902
* 1904
* 1906
* 1908
* 1910
* 1912
* 1914
* 1916
* 1918
* 1920
* 1922
* 1924
* 1926
* 1928
* 1930
* 1932
* 1934
* 1936
* 1938
* 1940
* 1942
* 1944
* 1946
* 1948
* 1950
* 1952
* 1954
* 1956
* 1958
* 1960
* 1962
* 1966
* 1970
* 1974
* 1978
* 1982
* 1986
* 1990
* 1994
* 1998
* 2002
* 2006
* 2010
* 2014
* 2018
* 2022

Legislative elections|

| State Senate|

* 2018
* 2020
* 2022

|

State House|

* 2018
* 2020
* 2022

Referendums|

* 2009
* 2011
* 2012
* 2014
* 2015
* 2016
* 2017
* 2018
* 2020
* 2021

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