2007 Castilian-Leonese regional election

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| <- 2003 | 27 May 2007 | 2011 ->

|
|

* * *

All 83 seats in the Cortes of Castile and León
42 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
Registered| 2,171,192 0.3%
Turnout| 1,535,096 (70.7%)
2.0 pp
|  | First party  | Second party  | Third party

|
|
|

|  |  |
Leader  | Juan Vicente Herrera | Ángel Villalba | Joaquín Otero
Party  | PP | PSOE | UPL–ZU
Leader since  | 16 March 2001  | 22 October 2000  | 13 September 1997
Leader's seat  | Burgos | León | León
Last election  | 48 seats, 48.5%  | 32 seats, 36.8%  | 2 seats, 4.0%[a]
Seats won  | 48  | 33  | 2
Seat change  | 0  | 1  | 0
Popular vote  | 748,746  | 574,596  | 41,519
Percentage  | 49.2%  | 37.7%  | 2.7%
Swing  | 0.7 pp | 0.9 pp | 1.3 pp

* * *

Constituency results map for the Cortes of Castile and León

* * *

| President before election

Juan Vicente Herrera

| Elected President

Juan Vicente Herrera

|

The 2007 Castilian-Leonese regional election was held on Sunday, 27 May 2007, to elect the 7th Cortes of the autonomous community of Castile and León. All 83 seats in the Cortes were up for election. The election was held simultaneously with regional elections in twelve other autonomous communities and local elections all throughout Spain.

## Overview[edit]

### Electoral system[edit]

The Cortes of Castile and León were the devolved, unicameral legislature of the autonomous community of Castile and León, having legislative power in regional matters as defined by the Spanish Constitution and the Castilian-Leonese Statute of Autonomy, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a regional president.[1] Voting for the Cortes was on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprised all nationals over 18 years of age, registered in Castile and León and in full enjoyment of their political rights.

All members of the Cortes of Castile and León were elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with an electoral threshold of three percent of valid votes—which included blank ballots—being applied in each constituency. Seats were allocated to constituencies, corresponding to the provinces of Ávila, Burgos, León, Palencia, Salamanca, Segovia, Soria, Valladolid and Zamora, with each being allocated an initial minimum of three seats, as well as one additional member per each 45,000 inhabitants or fraction greater than 22,500.[1][2]

As a result of the aforementioned allocation, each Cortes constituency was entitled the following seats:

Seats  | Constituencies

|

15 | Valladolid(+1)
14 | León
11 | Burgos, Salamanca
7 | Ávila, Palencia, Zamora
6 | Segovia
5 | Soria

The use of the D'Hondt method might result in a higher effective threshold, depending on the district magnitude.[3]

### Election date[edit]

The term of the Cortes of Castile and León expired four years after the date of their previous election. Elections to the Cortes were fixed for the fourth Sunday of May every four years. The previous election was held on 25 May 2003, setting the election date for the Cortes on Sunday, 27 May 2007.[1][2][4]

The president had the prerogative to dissolve the Cortes of Castile and León and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence was in process, no nationwide election was due and some time requirements were met: namely, that dissolution did not occur either during the first legislative session or within the legislature's last year ahead of its scheduled expiry, nor before one year had elapsed since a previous dissolution. In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional president within a two-month period from the first ballot, the Cortes were to be automatically dissolved and a fresh election called. Any snap election held as a result of these circumstances would not alter the period to the next ordinary election, with elected procurators merely serving out what remained of their four-year terms.[1][5]

## Parliamentary composition[edit]

The Cortes of Castile and León were officially dissolved on 3 April 2007, after the publication of the dissolution decree in the Official Gazette of Castile and León.[6] The table below shows the composition of the parliamentary groups in the Cortes at the time of dissolution.[7]

Parliamentary composition in April 2007  Groups  | Parties  | Legislators

|
|

Seats  | Total
| People's Parliamentary Group  |  | PP | 48  | 48
| Socialist Parliamentary Group  |  | PSOE | 32  | 32
| Mixed Parliamentary Group  |  | UPL | 2  | 2

## Parties and candidates[edit]

The electoral law allowed for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, coalitions and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form a coalition ahead of an election were required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors needed to secure the signature of at least one percent of the electorate in the constituencies for which they sought election, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list of candidates.[2][4]

Below is a list of the main parties and electoral alliances which contested the election:

Candidacy  | Parties and
alliances  | Leading candidate  | Ideology  | Previous result  | Gov. | Ref.

|
|
|
|
|
|

Votes (%)  | Seats
| PP |

List

* People's Party (PP)

|  | Juan Vicente Herrera | Conservatism
Christian democracy | 48.49%  | 48 | Y | [8]
[9]
| PSOE |

List

* Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE)

|  | Ángel Villalba  | Social democracy | 36.77%  | 32 | N | [10]
[11]
| UPL–ZU |

List

* Leonese People's Union (UPL)
* United Zamora (ZU)

|  | Joaquín Otero  | Regionalism
Autonomism | 4.01%[a] | 2 | N |

## Opinion polls[edit]

The table below lists voting intention estimates in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 42 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Cortes of Castile and León.

Color key:

Exit poll

Polling firm/Commissioner  | Fieldwork date  | Sample size  | Turnout  |  |  | UPL |  | CI  | Lead

|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|

|  |  |  |
2007 regional election | 27 May 2007  | —  | 70.7  | 49.2
48 | 37.7
33 | 2.7
2 | 3.1
0 | 1.1
0 | 11.5
Ipsos/RTVE–FORTA[p 1] | 27 May 2007  | ?  | ?  | ?
44/47 | ?
34/37 | ?
1/2 | ?
0/1 | ?
0/1 | ?
Celeste-Tel/Terra[p 2][p 3] | 9–15 May 2007  | ?  | ?  | 47.8
47/48 | 36.8
32/33 | 4.1
2/3 | 4.0
1 | –  | 11.0
Telecyl/El Norte de Castilla[p 4] | 7–11 May 2007  | 1,800  | 70.4  | 48.8
47/50 | 36.9
32/35 | 2.1
1 | 3.9
1 | –  | 11.9
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[p 5][p 6][p 7] | 27 Apr–8 May 2007  | 1,600  | ?  | 49.0
43/48 | 40.4
34/38 | 1.7
1 | 3.8
0/1 | –  | 8.6
CIS[p 8][p 9] | 9 Apr–6 May 2007  | 2,991  | ?  | 48.1
47 | 36.5
32 | 3.9
3 | 3.9
1 | –  | 11.6
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[p 10][p 11][p 12] | 16–24 Nov 2006  | ?  | ?  | 49.1
43/45 | 40.6
35/37 | 3.2
2 | 4.2
0 | –  | 8.5
Telecyl/El Norte de Castilla[b][p 13][p 14] | 23–30 Oct 2006  | 874  | 70.4  | 47.9 | 34.8  | 3.7  | 3.3  | –  | 13.1
Telecyl/El Norte de Castilla[b][p 15] | 11–20 May 2006  | 820  | 74.0  | 45.7 | 35.9  | 1.1  | 3.1  | –  | 9.8
2004 EP election | 13 Jun 2004  | —  | 52.3  | 53.1
(49) | 41.6
(33) | –  | 2.4
(0) | –  | 11.5
2004 general election | 14 Mar 2004  | —  | 77.8  | 50.3
(45) | 41.9
(37) | 0.8
(0) | 2.8
(0) | 0.1
(0) | 8.4
2003 regional election | 25 May 2003  | —  | 72.7  | 48.5
48 | 36.8
32 | 3.8
2 | 3.4
0 | 0.7
0 | 11.7

## Results[edit]

### Overall[edit]

← Summary of the 27 May 2007 Cortes of Castile and León election results →

Parties and alliances  | Popular vote  | Seats
Votes  | %  | ±pp | Total  | +/−
| People's Party (PP)  | 748,746 | 49.17 | +0.68  | 48 | ±0
| Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE)  | 574,596 | 37.73 | +0.96  | 33 | +1
| United Left–The Greens–Commitment for Castile and León (IU–LV–CyL)  | 46,878 | 3.08 | –0.37  | 0 | ±0
| Leonese People's Union–United Zamora (UPL–ZU)1 | 41,519 | 2.73 | –1.28  | 2 | ±0
| Alternative for Castile and León (ACAL)  | 17,496 | 1.15 | –0.19  | 0 | ±0
Commoners' Land–Alternative for Castile and León (TC–ACAL) | 16,069 | 1.06 | –0.13  | 0 | ±0
Party of El Bierzo–Alternative for Castile and León (PB–ACAL) | 1,427 | 0.09 | –0.06  | 0 | ±0
| Independent Candidacy–The Party of Castile and León (CI–PCL)  | 16,435 | 1.08 | +0.37  | 0 | ±0
| Union of the Salamancan People (UPSa)  | 7,965 | 0.52 | +0.10  | 0 | ±0
| The Greens (LV)  | 5,562 | 0.37 | –0.10  | 0 | ±0
| The Greens of Europe (LVE)  | 5,481 | 0.36 | New | 0 | ±0
| Leonese Autonomist Party–Leonesist Unity (PAL–UL)  | 4,972 | 0.33 | New | 0 | ±0
| Initiative for the Development of Soria (IDES)  | 3,760 | 0.25 | +0.13  | 0 | ±0
| Zamoran Independent Electors–Zamoran People's Union (ADEIZA–UPZ)  | 3,241 | 0.21 | +0.08  | 0 | ±0
| Republican Left (IR)  | 2,941 | 0.19 | +0.04  | 0 | ±0
| Regionalist Party of the Leonese Country (PREPAL)  | 1,713 | 0.11 | –0.01  | 0 | ±0
| National Democracy (DN)  | 1,522 | 0.10 | New | 0 | ±0
| Independent Segovian Alternative (ASí)  | 1,214 | 0.08 | ±0.00  | 0 | ±0
| Citizens of Burgos (CiBu)  | 1,148 | 0.08 | New | 0 | ±0
| Spanish Phalanx of the CNSO (FE–JONS)2 | 1,147 | 0.08 | +0.04  | 0 | ±0
| Communist Party of the Castilian People (PCPC)  | 1,121 | 0.07 | New | 0 | ±0
| Regionalist Party of El Bierzo (PRB)  | 1,028 | 0.07 | ±0.00  | 0 | ±0
| Regionalist Unity of Castile and León (URCL)  | 914 | 0.06 | –0.28  | 0 | ±0
| Democratic and Social Centre (CDS)  | 713 | 0.05 | –0.14  | 0 | ±0
| The Phalanx (FE)  | 559 | 0.04 | –0.04  | 0 | ±0
| Citizens' Group (AGRUCI)  | 523 | 0.03 | New | 0 | ±0
| Humanist Party (PH)  | 462 | 0.03 | –0.10  | 0 | ±0
| Liberal Democratic Centre (CDL)  | 330 | 0.02 | New | 0 | ±0
| Liberal Centrist Union (UCL)  | 315 | 0.02 | –0.02  | 0 | ±0
| Authentic Phalanx (FA)  | 290 | 0.02 | ±0.00  | 0 | ±0
Blank ballots  | 30,200 | 1.98 | –0.32  |
Total  | 1,522,791 |  | 83 | +1
Valid votes  | 1,522,791 | 99.20 | +0.06  |
Invalid votes  | 12,305 | 0.80 | –0.06
Votes cast / turnout  | 1,535,096 | 70.70 | –1.96
Abstentions  | 636,096 | 29.30 | +1.96
Registered voters  | 2,171,192 |
Sources[12][13][14]

Footnotes:

* 1 Leonese People's Union–United Zamora results are compared to the combined totals of Leonese People's Union and United Zamora in the 2003 election.
* 2 Spanish Phalanx of the CNSO results are compared to Independent Spanish Phalanx–Phalanx 2000 totals in the 2003 election.

| Popular vote

|  |
PP |

| 49.17%
PSOE |

| 37.73%
IU–LV–CyL |

| 3.08%
UPL |

| 2.73%
ACAL |

| 1.15%
CI–PCL |

| 1.08%
Others |

| 3.08%
Blank ballots |

| 1.98%

| Seats

|  |
PP |

| 57.83%
PSOE |

| 39.76%
UPL |

| 2.41%

### Distribution by constituency[edit]

Constituency  | PP | PSOE | UPL

|
|
|

|  |
%  | S  | %  | S  | %  | S
Ávila | 58.9  | 5 | 32.3  | 2 |
Burgos | 51.6  | 7 | 35.3  | 4
León | 39.6  | 6 | 39.7  | 6 | 13.4  | 2
Palencia | 49.2  | 4 | 40.2  | 3 |
Salamanca | 53.0  | 7 | 37.6  | 4
Segovia | 52.9  | 4 | 37.5  | 2
Soria | 50.4  | 3 | 36.7  | 2
Valladolid | 48.8  | 8 | 38.9  | 7
Zamora | 51.2  | 4 | 37.3  | 3 | 0.6  | −
Total | 49.2  | 48 | 37.7  | 33 | 2.7  | 2
Sources[12][13][14]

## Aftermath[edit]

Investiture
Juan Vicente Herrera (PP)

Ballot →  | 27 June 2007
Required majority →  | 42 out of 83 Y

Yes

* • PP (48)

48 / 83

* • PSOE (33)
* • UPL (2)

35 / 83

| Abstentions |

0 / 83

| Absentees |

0 / 83

Sources[14]

## Notes[edit]

1. ^ a b Results for UPL (3.85%, 2 seats) and ZU (0.16%, 0 seats) in the 2003 election.
2. ^ a b Undecided and/or abstentionists excluded.

## References[edit]

Opinion poll sources

1. ^ "Sólo Navarra y Baleares podrían cambiar de gobierno, según el sondeo de RTVE y FORTA". Europa Press (in Spanish). 27 May 2007.
2. ^ "Vuelco electoral en Navarra, Baleares y Canarias y aplastante victoria del PP en Madrid". Terra (in Spanish). 17 May 2007. Archived from the original on 20 May 2007. Retrieved 25 February 2021.
3. ^ "Encuestas autonómicas". Celeste-Tel (in Spanish). 17 May 2007. Archived from the original on 11 May 2009. Retrieved 25 February 2021.
4. ^ "El PP mantiene intacta su hegemonía en la región a una semana de las elecciones". El Norte de Castilla (in Spanish). 19 May 2007. Archived from the original on 23 May 2007.
5. ^ "Sondeo de Sigma Dos: El PP renovaría siete autonomías y podría perder dos". El Mundo (in Spanish). 12 May 2007.
6. ^ "Herrera suma otra victoria". El Mundo (in Spanish). 12 May 2007.
7. ^ "Elecciones 27-M / Sondeo El Mundo-Sigma Dos". El Mundo (in Spanish). 12 May 2007.
8. ^ "Preelectoral elecciones autonómicas, 2007. CA de Castilla y León (Estudio nº 2693. Abril-Mayo 2007)" (PDF). CIS (in Spanish). 11 May 2007.
9. ^ "La aritmética juega en contra del PSOE sólo en las islas Canarias". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 12 May 2007.
10. ^ "El PP y el PSOE mantendrán sus gobiernos autonómicos, aunque los socialistas bajan". El Mundo (in Spanish). 27 November 2006.
11. ^ "Herrera se mantiene pero pierde votos". El Mundo (in Spanish). 27 November 2006. Archived from the original on 4 November 2011.
12. ^ "El voto en las comunidades. Elecciones autonómicas 2007" (PDF). El Mundo (in Spanish). 27 November 2006.
13. ^ "El PP volvería a repetir mayoría absoluta si hubiera elecciones autonómicas ahora". El Norte de Castilla (in Spanish). 12 November 2006. Archived from the original on 5 May 2007.
14. ^ "Herrera aumenta su ventaja sobre el PSOE en la carrera por la Junta de Castilla y León". Periodista Digital (in Spanish). 12 November 2006. Archived from the original on 31 July 2018. Retrieved 31 July 2018.
15. ^ "El PP volvería a lograr mayoría absoluta si hubiera elecciones autonómicas ahora". El Norte de Castilla (in Spanish). 3 June 2006.

Other

1. ^ a b c d Ley Orgánica 4/1983, de 25 de febrero, de Estatuto de Autonomía de Castilla-León (Organic Law 4) (in Spanish). 25 February 1983. Retrieved 16 September 2017.
2. ^ a b c Ley 3/1987, de 30 de marzo, Electoral de Castilla y León (Law 3) (in Spanish). 30 March 1987. Retrieved 15 September 2017.
3. ^ Gallagher, Michael (30 July 2012). "Effective threshold in electoral systems". Trinity College, Dublin. Archived from the original on 30 July 2017. Retrieved 22 July 2017.
4. ^ a b Ley Orgánica 5/1985, de 19 de junio, del Régimen Electoral General (Organic Law 5) (in Spanish). 19 June 1985. Retrieved 28 December 2016.
5. ^ Ley Orgánica 4/1999, de 8 de enero, de reforma de la Ley Orgánica 4/1983, de Estatuto de Autonomía de Castilla y León (Organic Law 4) (in Spanish). 8 January 1999. Retrieved 16 September 2017.
6. ^ "Decreto 1/2007, de 2 de abril, del Presidente de la Junta de Castilla y León, por el que se convocan elecciones a las Cortes de Castilla y León" (PDF). Boletín Oficial del Estado (in Spanish) (80): 14539. 3 April 2007. ISSN 0212-033X.
7. ^ "El Parlamento. Legislaturas anteriores. VI Legislatura". Cortes of Castile and León (in Spanish). Retrieved 29 January 2022.
8. ^ "El PP regional propondrá mañana a Herrera como candidato a la Presidencia de la Junta". ABC (in Spanish). 19 May 2006. Retrieved 15 January 2022.
9. ^ "El PP ratifica su lista de candidatos para las elecciones autonómicas de 2007". El País (in Spanish). Madrid. 29 May 2006. Retrieved 15 January 2022.
10. ^ Forjas, Francisco (22 October 2000). "El PSOE espera evitar la expulsión del alcalde de A Coruña". El País (in Spanish). Soria. Retrieved 15 January 2022.
11. ^ "Villalba será designado candidato a la Junta mañana con el respaldo de todo el PSOE regional". El Norte de Castilla (in Spanish). Valladolid. 6 October 2006. Retrieved 15 January 2022.
12. ^ a b "Elections to the Cortes of Castile and León". servicios.jcyl.es (in Spanish). Junta of Castile and León. Retrieved 14 January 2018.
13. ^ a b "Cortes of Castile and León election results, 27 May 2007" (PDF). www.juntaelectoralcentral.es (in Spanish). Electoral Commission of Castile and León. 30 July 2007. Retrieved 24 September 2017.
14. ^ a b c "Elecciones a Cortes de Castilla y León (1983 - 2019)". Historia Electoral.com (in Spanish). Retrieved 24 September 2017.

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