2010 New Hampshire gubernatorial election

For related races, see 2010 United States gubernatorial elections.

2010 New Hampshire gubernatorial election

* * *

| ← 2008 | November 2, 2010 | 2012 →

|
|

|   |  |

|
|

Nominee  | John Lynch | John Stephen  |
Party  | Democratic | Republican
Popular vote  | 239,390 | 205,433
Percentage  | 52.6% | 45.1%

* * *

County results

Municipality results

Lynch:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Stephen:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%
70–80%
Tie:      40–50%

* * *

| Governor before election

John Lynch
Democratic

| Elected Governor

John Lynch
Democratic

|

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The 2010 New Hampshire gubernatorial election was held on November 2, 2010. Incumbent Democratic Governor John Lynch was re-elected to his fourth and final term.[1]

New Hampshire is one of only two states where the Governor serves for a two-year term, the other being neighboring Vermont. Lynch was re-elected by landslide margins in 2006 and 2008, and enjoyed historically high approval ratings. In early 2010, his approval rating showed a downward trend, with an April poll indicating that his approval had fallen below 50% (44% approve, 42% disapprove).[2] After the primary elections in mid-September, Lynch's approval rating rebounded (51% approve, 38% disapprove).[3]

## Democratic primary

[edit]

### Candidates

[edit]

#### Declared

[edit]

* John Lynch, incumbent Governor[4]
* Timothy Robertson, state representative
* Frank Sullivan

### Results

[edit]

Democratic primary results[5] Party  | Candidate  | Votes  | %

|
|
|

| Democratic | John Lynch (incumbent)  | 49,832  | 87.5
| Democratic | Timothy Robertson  | 3,771  | 6.6
| Democratic | Frank Sullivan  | 3,377  | 5.9
Total votes | 56,980  | 97.3

## Republican primary

[edit]

### Candidates

[edit]

#### Declared

[edit]

* Frank Robert Emiro Sr., state representative
* Jack Kimball, businessman[6]
* John Stephen, former Health and Human Services Commissioner[7]
* Karen Testerman, conservative activist[6]

#### Declined

[edit]

* Kelly Ayotte, New Hampshire Attorney General[8]
* Frank Guinta, Mayor of Manchester[9]
* Chuck Morse, former State Senator[10]
* John E. Sununu, former U.S. Senator

### Polling

[edit]

Poll source  | Dates administered  | Jack
Kimball  | John
Stephen  | Karen
Testerman

|
|
|
|

Public Policy Polling[11] | September 11–12, 2010  | 24%  | 45% | 8%
Public Policy Polling[12] | July 23–25, 2010  | 15%  | 26% | 5%
Public Policy Polling[13] | April 17–18, 2010  | 10%  | 29% | 15%

### Results

[edit]

Results by county:

Stephen–60–70%

Stephen–50–60%

Stephen–40–50%

Republican primary results[5] Party  | Candidate  | Votes  | %

|
|
|

| Republican | John Stephen  | 77,962  | 61.6
| Republican | Jack Kimball  | 31,581  | 24.9
| Republican | Karen Testerman  | 12,708  | 10.0
| Republican | Frank Emiro  | 4,394  | 3.5
Total votes | 126,645  | 96.7

## General election

[edit]

### Candidates

[edit]

* John Babiarz, Libertarian
* John Lynch, Democratic
* John Stephen, Republican

### Predictions

[edit]

Source  | Ranking  | As of

|
|

Cook Political Report[14] | Tossup  | October 14, 2010
Rothenberg[15] | Lean D  | October 28, 2010
RealClearPolitics[16] | Lean D  | November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[17] | Lean D  | October 28, 2010
CQ Politics[18] | Likely D  | October 28, 2010

### Polling

[edit]

Poll source  | Date(s)
administered  | John
Lynch (D)  | John
Stephen (R)

|
|
|

Rasmussen Reports[19] | October 27, 2010  | 51% | 45%
WMUR/UNH[20] | October 7–12, 2010  | 51% | 38%
American Research Group[21] | October 3–5, 2010  | 51% | 41%
Granite State Poll[22] | October 1, 2010  | 51% | 34%
American Research Group[21] | September 22–26, 2010  | 42% | 40%
Rasmussen Reports[23] | September 15, 2010  | 48% | 46%
Public Policy Polling[24] | September 11–12, 2010  | 51% | 39%
Rasmussen Reports[25] | August 5, 2010  | 50% | 39%
Public Policy Polling[26] | July 23–25, 2010  | 51% | 34%
Rasmussen Reports[27] | May 26, 2010  | 47% | 35%
Public Policy Polling[28] | April 17–18, 2010  | 47% | 36%
Rasmussen Reports[29] | April 7, 2010  | 47% | 37%
Rasmussen Reports[30] | March 8, 2010  | 50% | 35%
Granite State Poll[31] | January 27-February 3, 2010  | 50% | 30%

Hypothetical polling

With Kimball

Poll Source  | Dates Administered  | John
Lynch (D)  | Jack
Kimball (R)

|
|
|

Public Policy Polling[26] | July 23–25, 2010  | 52% | 29%
Rasmussen Reports[27] | May 26, 2010  | 50% | 31%
Public Policy Polling[28] | April 17–18, 2010  | 47% | 35%
Rasmussen Reports[29] | April 7, 2010  | 50% | 34%
Rasmussen Reports[30] | March 8, 2010  | 51% | 32%
Research 2000[32] | February 1–3, 2010  | 59% | 13%
Rasmussen Reports[33] | January 12, 2010  | 51% | 32%
Rasmussen Reports[34] | September 14, 2009  | 52% | 31%

With Morse

Poll Source  | Dates Administered  | John
Lynch (D)  | Chuck
Morse (R)

|
|
|

Rasmussen Reports[34] | September 14, 2009  | 51% | 29%

With Sununu

Poll Source  | Dates Administered  | John
Lynch (D)  | John
Sununu (R)

|
|
|

Granite State Poll[35] | September 25-October 2, 2009  | 50% | 37%
Rasmussen Reports[34] | September 14, 2009  | 48% | 43%

With Testerman

Poll Source  | Dates Administered  | John
Lynch (D)  | Karen
Testerman (R)

|
|
|

Public Policy Polling[26] | July 23–25, 2010  | 52% | 28%
Rasmussen Reports[27] | May 26, 2010  | 51% | 32%
Public Policy Polling[28] | April 17–18, 2010  | 47% | 29%
Rasmussen Reports[29] | April 7, 2010  | 50% | 33%
Rasmussen Reports[30] | March 8, 2010  | 54% | 28%
Rasmussen Reports[33] | January 12, 2010  | 53% | 30%

### Results

[edit]

2010 New Hampshire gubernatorial election  Party  | Candidate  | Votes  | %  | ±%

|
|
|
|

| Democratic | John Lynch (incumbent)  | 240,346  | 52.63%  | −17.57%
| Republican | John Stephen  | 205,616  | 45.03%  | +17.43%
| Libertarian | John Babiarz  | 10,089  | 2.21%  | +0.02%
| Write-in | 537  | <0.01%  | N/A
Total votes  | 456,588  | 100.00%  | N/A
| Democratic hold

#### Counties that swung from Democratic to Republican

[edit]

* Rockingham (largest municipality: Derry)

## References

[edit]

1. ^ "NH Gov. John Lynch Running for 4th Term - FOX44NOW.COM - Burlington/Plattsburgh News, Weather and Sports". FOX44NOW.COM. Archived from the original on March 1, 2012. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
2. ^ "Lynch Leads All Republicans for Re-election in N.H." (PDF). Public Policy Polling. April 23, 2010.
3. ^ http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_NH_916.pdf [dead link]
4. ^ "Gov. Lynch could face difficult re-election bid » New Hampshire » EagleTribune.com, North Andover, MA". Eagletribune.com. April 18, 2010. Archived from the original on January 21, 2013. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
5. ^ a b "New Hampshire Gubernatorial Primary Results". Politico. September 14, 2010. Retrieved September 14, 2010.
6. ^ a b John Distaso (December 9, 2009). "Testerman steps into the ring in governor's race". The Union Leader. Archived from the original on February 20, 2010. Retrieved January 1, 2010.
7. ^ "John Stephen for Governor | New Leadership for New Hampshire". Johnstephen.com. Archived from the original on September 15, 2008. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
8. ^ "Republicans land top recruit in New Hampshire - The Scorecard". Politico.Com. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
9. ^ "Frank Guinta for Congress". Teamguinta.com. July 29, 2010. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
10. ^ "Downing runs for sheriff, Morse for NH Senate » Latest News » EagleTribune.com, North Andover, MA". Eagletribune.com. May 27, 2010. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
11. ^ Public Policy Polling
12. ^ Public Policy Polling
13. ^ Public Policy Polling
14. ^ "2010 Governors Race Ratings". Cook Political Report. Archived from the original on October 28, 2010. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
15. ^ "Governor Ratings". Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
16. ^ "2010 Governor Races". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
17. ^ "THE CRYSTAL BALL'S FINAL CALLS". Sabato's Crystal Ball. October 28, 2010. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
18. ^ "Race Ratings Chart: Governor". CQ Politics. Archived from the original on October 5, 2010. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
19. ^ Rasmussen Reports
20. ^ WMUR/UNH
21. ^ a b American Research Group
22. ^ Granite State Poll
23. ^ Rasmussen Reports
24. ^ Public Policy Polling
25. ^ Rasmussen Reports
26. ^ a b c Public Policy Polling
27. ^ a b c Rasmussen Reports
28. ^ a b c Public Policy Polling
29. ^ a b c Rasmussen Reports
30. ^ a b c Rasmussen Reports
31. ^ Granite State Poll
32. ^ Research 2000
33. ^ a b Rasmussen Reports
34. ^ a b c Rasmussen Reports
35. ^ Granite State Poll

## External links

[edit]

* Election Division at New Hampshire Secretary of State
* New Hampshire Governor Candidates at Project Vote Smart
* Campaign contributions for 2010 New Hampshire Governor from Follow the Money
* New Hampshire Governor 2010 from OurCampaigns.com
* 2010 New Hampshire Gubernatorial General Election: All Head-to-Head Matchups graph of multiple polls from Pollster.com
* Election 2010: New Hampshire Governor from Rasmussen Reports
* 2010 New Hampshire Governor Race from Real Clear Politics
* 2010 New Hampshire Governor's Race from CQ Politics
* Race Profile in The New York Times

Official campaign sites (Archived)

* John Lynch for Governor
* John Stephen for Governor

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* 1836
* 1837
* 1838
* 1839
* 1840
* 1841
* 1842
* 1843
* 1844
* 1845
* 1846
* 1847
* 1848
* 1849
* 1850
* 1851
* 1852
* 1853
* 1854
* 1855
* 1856
* 1857
* 1858
* 1859
* 1860
* 1861
* 1862
* 1863
* 1864
* 1865
* 1866
* 1867
* 1868
* 1869
* 1870
* 1871
* 1872
* 1873
* 1874
* 1875
* 1876
* 1877
* Mar. 1878
* Nov. 1878
* 1880
* 1882
* 1884
* 1886
* 1888
* 1890
* 1892
* 1894
* 1896
* 1898
* 1900
* 1902
* 1904
* 1906
* 1908
* 1910
* 1912
* 1914
* 1916
* 1918
* 1920
* 1922
* 1924
* 1926
* 1928
* 1930
* 1932
* 1934
* 1936
* 1938
* 1940
* 1942
* 1944
* 1946
* 1948
* 1950
* 1952
* 1954
* 1956
* 1958
* 1960
* 1962
* 1964
* 1966
* 1968
* 1970
* 1972
* 1974
* 1976
* 1978
* 1980
* 1982
* 1984
* 1986
* 1988
* 1990
* 1992
* 1994
* 1996
* 1998
* 2000
* 2002
* 2004
* 2006
* 2008
* 2010
* 2012
* 2014
* 2016
* 2018
* 2020
* 2022
* 2024

Legislative elections|

| State Senate|

* 2004
* 2006
* 2008
* 2010
* 2012
* 2014
* 2016
* 2018
* 2020
* 2022
* 2024

|

State House|

* 2004
* 2006
* 2008
* 2010
* 2012
* 2014
* 2016
* 2018
* 2020
* 2022
* 2024

*[v]: View this template
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*[e]: Edit this template
*[CA]: California
*[FL]: Florida
*[HI]: Hawaii
*[KY]: Kentucky
*[LA]: Louisiana
*[NJ]: New Jersey
*[VA]: Virginia
*[RI]: Rhode Island
*[SD]: South Dakota
*[OH]: Ohio
*[MO]: Missouri
*[MI]: Michigan