2010 New Mexico gubernatorial election

See also: 2010 United States gubernatorial elections

2010 New Mexico gubernatorial election

* * *

| ← 2006 | November 2, 2010 | 2014 →

|
|

|   |  |

|
|

Nominee  | Susana Martinez | Diane Denish |
Party  | Republican | Democratic
Running mate  | John Sanchez | Brian Colón
Popular vote  | 321,219 | 280,614
Percentage  | 53.29% | 46.55%

* * *

County results

Precinct results

Martínez:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Denish:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Tie:      50%      No data

* * *

| Governor before election

Bill Richardson
Democratic

| Elected Governor

Susana Martínez
Republican

|

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The 2010 New Mexico gubernatorial election took place on November 2, 2010. Democratic governor Bill Richardson was term limited and could not seek a third consecutive term.

On June 1, 2010, the Republicans nominated Susana Martínez, the district attorney for Doña Ana County, New Mexico, and the Democrats nominated Lieutenant Governor Diane Denish.

While it was initially thought that Richardson would resign early to become Secretary of Commerce in the Obama administration, Richardson withdrew from the position due to allegations of corruption that were later cleared and he remained governor until the conclusion of his term.[1]

Susana Martínez won the election on November 2, 2010, and became New Mexico's first elected female governor, as well as the first Latina governor of any state.

## Primary election

[edit]

### Democratic party

[edit]

The Democratic primary election was held on June 1, 2010.[2]

#### Candidates

[edit]

* Diane Denish, lieutenant governor[3]

##### Declined

[edit]

* Val Kilmer, actor, activist[4][5]

#### Results

[edit]

Democratic primary results[6] Party  | Candidate  | Votes  | %

|
|
|

| Democratic | Diane Denish | 108,302  | 99.07%
| Democratic | Billy J. Driggs (write-in)  | 1,016  | 0.93%
Total votes | 109,318  | 100.00%

### Republican party

[edit]

The Republican primary was held on June 1, 2010.[2] Susana Martinez won the Republican nomination by getting over 50 percent of the vote in the primary. A pre-primary convention was held on March 13 and Martinez received 47 percent of the pre-primary Republican vote.[7]

#### Candidates

[edit]

##### Declared

[edit]

* Janice Arnold-Jones, state representative[8]
* Pete Domenici Jr., attorney and son of former U.S. Senator Pete Domenici[9]
* Susana Martínez, Doña Ana County district attorney[10]
* Doug Turner, former campaign manager for former Governor of New Mexico Gary Johnson
* Allen Weh, former chairman of the Republican Party of New Mexico[10]

##### Declined

[edit]

* Steve Pearce, former U.S. representative and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2008 (ran for Congress)[11]
* Heather Wilson, former U.S. representative and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2008[12]
* Gregory Zanetti, former Bernalillo County Republican Party chair and New Mexico National Guard brigadier general[13]

#### Convention

[edit]

A pre-primary nominating convention was held on March 13, 2010. Susana Martinez was victorious, winning the support of 46.65 percent of delegates, while Allen Weh received 26.32%, Janice Arnold-Jones received 13.16%, Doug Turner won 9.43%, and Pete Domenici Jr. won 4.61%. Candidates who receive less than 20% of the convention vote are required to collect twice as many signatures as those who received 20% in order to appear on the primary ballot. Nonetheless, Arnold-Jones, Turner and Domenici all signaled their intention to remain in the race.[7]

#### Polling

[edit]

Poll source  | Date(s)
administered  | Sample
size  | Margin of
error  | Janice Arnold-Jones  | Pete Domenici Jr.  | Susana Martínez  | Doug Turner  | Allen Weh  | Undecided

|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|

SurveyUSA[14] | May 23–25, 2010  | —  | —  | 3%  | 8%  | 43% | 8%  | 33%  | 5%
New Mexico State University[15] | February 9–13, 2010  | —  | —  | 2.5%  | 29.3% | 11.5%  | 6.8%  | 7.4%  | 42.6%

#### Results

[edit]

Results by county:

Martínez

*   60–70%

*   50–60%

*   40–50%

*   <40%

Weh

*   <40%

*   40–50%

Republican primary results[6] Party  | Candidate  | Votes  | %

|
|
|

| Republican | Susana Martínez | 62,006  | 50.71%
| Republican | Allen Weh | 33,727  | 27.58%
| Republican | Doug Turner  | 14,166  | 11.59%
| Republican | Pete Domenici, Jr.  | 8,630  | 7.06%
| Republican | Janice Arnold-Jones | 3,740  | 3.06%
Total votes | 122,269  | 100.00%

## General election

[edit]

### Predictions

[edit]

Source  | Ranking  | As of

|
|

Cook Political Report[16] | Tossup  | October 14, 2010
Rothenberg[17] | Lean R (flip) | October 28, 2010
RealClearPolitics[18] | Lean R (flip) | November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[19] | Likely R (flip) | October 28, 2010
CQ Politics[20] | Likely D  | October 28, 2010

### Polling

[edit]

Poll source  | Date(s)
administered  | Sample
size  | Margin of
error  | Diane
Denish (D)  | Susana
Martínez (R)  | Other  | Undecided

|
|
|
|
|
|
|

Rasmussen Reports[21] | October 24, 2010  | —  | —  | 42%  | 52% | —  | —
SurveyUSA[22] | October 15, 2010  | —  | —  | 42%  | 54% | —  | —
Rasmussen Reports[21] | October 10, 2010  | —  | —  | 43%  | 52% | —  | —
Rasmussen Reports[23] | September 29, 2010  | —  | —  | 41%  | 51% | —  | —
Albuquerque Journal[24] | September 27–30, 2010  | —  | —  | 41%  | 47% | —  | —
Public Policy Polling[25] | September 25–26, 2010  | —  | —  | 42%  | 50% | —  | —
Public Opinion Strategies[26] | September 11–13, 2010  | —  | —  | 40%  | 50% | —  | —
Albuquerque Journal[27] | August 23–27, 2010  | —  | —  | 39%  | 45% | —  | —
Rasmussen Reports[28] | August 24, 2010  | —  | —  | 43%  | 48% | —  | —
Magellan Strategies[29] | June 21, 2010  | —  | —  | 43%  | 44% | —  | —
Rasmussen Reports[30] | June 3, 2010  | —  | —  | 42%  | 44% | —  | —
Rasmussen Reports[21] | May 25, 2010  | —  | —  | 43% | 42%  | —  | —
SurveyUSA[14] | May 23–25, 2010  | —  | —  | 43%  | 49% | —  | —
Rasmussen Reports[31] | March 24, 2010  | —  | —  | 51% | 32%  | —  | —
Public Policy Polling[32] | February 18–20, 2010  | —  | —  | 46% | 32%  | —  | —

Hypothetical polling

With Arnold-Jones

Poll source  | Date(s)
administered  | Sample
size  | Margin of
error  | Diane
Denish (D)  | Janice
Arnold-Jones (R)  | Other  | Undecided

|
|
|
|
|
|
|

Rasmussen Reports[21] | May 25, 2010  | —  | —  | 45% | 31%  | —  | —
SurveyUSA[14] | May 23–25, 2010  | —  | —  | 49% | 35%  | —  | —
Rasmussen Reports[31] | March 24, 2010  | —  | —  | 52% | 30%  | —  | —
Public Policy Polling[32] | February 18–20, 2010  | —  | —  | 47% | 33%  | —  | —

With Domenici Jr.

Poll source  | Date(s)
administered  | Sample
size  | Margin of
error  | Diane
Denish (D)  | Pete
Domenici Jr. (R)  | Other  | Undecided

|
|
|
|
|
|
|

Rasmussen Reports[21] | May 25, 2010  | —  | —  | 47% | 30%  | —  | —
SurveyUSA[14] | May 23–25, 2010  | —  | —  | 46% | 40%  | —  | —
Rasmussen Reports[31] | March 24, 2010  | —  | —  | 52% | 35%  | —  | —
Public Policy Polling[32] | February 18–20, 2010  | —  | —  | 45% | 40%  | —  | —

With Turner

Poll source  | Date(s)
administered  | Sample
size  | Margin of
error  | Diane
Denish (D)  | Doug
Turner (R)  | Other  | Undecided

|
|
|
|
|
|
|

Rasmussen Reports[21] | May 25, 2010  | —  | —  | 47% | 31%  | —  | —
SurveyUSA[14] | May 23–25, 2010  | —  | —  | 50% | 36%  | —  | —
Rasmussen Reports[31] | March 24, 2010  | —  | —  | 43% | 34%  | —  | —
Public Policy Polling[32] | February 18–20, 2010  | —  | —  | 46% | 32%  | —  | —

With Weh

Poll source  | Date(s)
administered  | Sample
size  | Margin of
error  | Diane
Denish (D)  | Allen
Weh (R)  | Other  | Undecided

|
|
|
|
|
|
|

Rasmussen Reports[21] | May 25, 2010  | —  | —  | 45% | 39%  | —  | —
SurveyUSA[14] | May 23–25, 2010  | —  | —  | 47% | 42%  | —  | —
Rasmussen Reports[31] | March 24, 2010  | —  | —  | 45% | 35%  | —  | —
Public Policy Polling[32] | February 18–20, 2010  | —  | —  | 48% | 30%  | —  | —

### Results

[edit]

2010 New Mexico gubernatorial election[33] Party  | Candidate  | Votes  | %  | ±%

|
|
|
|

| Republican | Susana Martinez | 321,219  | 53.29%  | +22.10%
| Democratic | Diane Denish | 280,614  | 46.55%  | −22.27%
| Republican | Kenneth A. Gomez (write-in)  | 994  | 0.16%  |
Majority | 40,605  | 6.74%  |
Total votes  | 602,827  | 100.00%  |
| Republican gain from Democratic | Swing | +44.37%  |

#### By county

[edit]

Martinez was the first Republican gubernatorial candidate to carry Guadalupe County since Edwin L. Mechem in 1958.

County  | Susana Martinez
Republican  | Diane Denish
Democratic  | Kenneth A. Gomez
Write-in  | Margin  | Total votes cast

|
|
|
|
|

#  | %  | #  | %  | #  | %  | #  | %
Bernalillo | 102,711  | 50.79%  | 99,278  | 49.10%  | 218  | 0.11%  | 3,433  | 1.70%  | 202,207
Catron | 1,472  | 77.60%  | 420  | 22.14%  | 5  | 0.26%  | 1,052  | 55.46%  | 1,897
Chaves | 11,279  | 70.32%  | 4,715  | 29.40%  | 46  | 0.29%  | 6,564  | 40.92%  | 16,040
Cibola | 3,176  | 48.52%  | 3,340  | 51.02%  | 30  | 0.46%  | -164  | -2.51%  | 6,546
Colfax | 2,916  | 60.21%  | 1,913  | 39.50%  | 14  | 0.29%  | 1,003  | 20.71%  | 4,843
Curry | 7,234  | 72.50%  | 2,700  | 27.06%  | 44  | 0.44%  | 4,534  | 45.44%  | 9,978
De Baca | 619  | 68.93%  | 276  | 30.73%  | 3  | 0.33%  | 343  | 38.20%  | 898
Doña Ana | 24,628  | 51.40%  | 23,190  | 48.40%  | 94  | 0.20%  | 1,438  | 3.00%  | 47,912
Eddy | 10,144  | 69.22%  | 4,498  | 30.69%  | 12  | 0.08%  | 5,646  | 38.53%  | 14,654
Grant | 5,165  | 48.76%  | 5,406  | 51.03%  | 22  | 0.21%  | -241  | -2.28%  | 10,593
Guadalupe | 1,100  | 57.05%  | 828  | 42.95%  | 0  | 0.00%  | 272  | 14.11%  | 1,928
Harding | 337  | 62.29%  | 204  | 37.71%  | 0  | 0.00%  | 133  | 24.58%  | 541
Hidalgo | 1,014  | 58.18%  | 728  | 41.77%  | 1  | 0.06%  | 286  | 16.41%  | 1,743
Lea | 9,661  | 74.18%  | 3,341  | 25.65%  | 21  | 0.16%  | 6,320  | 48.53%  | 13,023
Lincoln | 5,544  | 73.50%  | 1,990  | 26.38%  | 9  | 0.12%  | 3,554  | 47.12%  | 7,543
Los Alamos | 4,729  | 54.28%  | 3,972  | 45.59%  | 11  | 0.13%  | 757  | 8.69%  | 8,712
Luna | 3,588  | 58.73%  | 2,498  | 40.89%  | 23  | 0.38%  | 1,090  | 17.84%  | 6,109
McKinley | 5,850  | 34.69%  | 10,965  | 65.02%  | 50  | 0.30%  | -5,115  | -30.33%  | 16,865
Mora | 1,220  | 46.39%  | 1,410  | 53.61%  | 0  | 0.00%  | -190  | -7.22%  | 2,630
Otero | 11,085  | 69.70%  | 4,792  | 30.13%  | 27  | 0.17%  | 6,293  | 39.57%  | 15,904
Quay | 1,955  | 65.10%  | 1,036  | 34.50%  | 12  | 0.40%  | 919  | 30.60%  | 3,003
Rio Arriba | 4,818  | 40.47%  | 7,066  | 59.35%  | 22  | 0.18%  | -2,248  | -18.88%  | 11,906
Roosevelt | 3,162  | 71.59%  | 1,244  | 28.16%  | 11  | 0.25%  | 1,918  | 43.42%  | 4,417
San Juan | 24,857  | 69.59%  | 10,777  | 30.17%  | 86  | 0.24%  | 14,080  | 39.42%  | 35,720
San Miguel | 3,508  | 38.31%  | 5,641  | 61.60%  | 8  | 0.09%  | -2,133  | -23.29%  | 9,157
Sandoval | 24,097  | 56.50%  | 18,478  | 43.33%  | 72  | 0.17%  | 5,619  | 13.18%  | 42,647
Santa Fe | 17,441  | 32.61%  | 35,963  | 67.24%  | 82  | 0.15%  | -18,522  | -34.63%  | 53,486
Sierra | 2,887  | 65.78%  | 1,495  | 34.06%  | 7  | 0.16%  | 1,392  | 31.72%  | 4,389
Socorro | 3,317  | 52.93%  | 2,942  | 46.94%  | 8  | 0.13%  | 375  | 5.98%  | 6,267
Taos | 3,495  | 29.35%  | 8,415  | 70.65%  | 0  | 0.00%  | -4,920  | -41.31%  | 11,910
Torrance | 3,788  | 67.35%  | 1,827  | 32.49%  | 9  | 0.16%  | 1,961  | 34.87%  | 5,624
Union | 1,071  | 72.71%  | 400  | 27.16%  | 2  | 0.14%  | 671  | 45.55%  | 1,473
Valencia | 13,351  | 59.97%  | 8,866  | 39.83%  | 45  | 0.20%  | 4,485  | 20.15%  | 22,262
Total | 321,219 | 53.29% | 280,614 | 46.55% | 994 | 0.16% | 40,605 | 6.74% | 602,827

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

* Bernalillo (largest city: Albuquerque)
* Chaves (largest village: Roswell)
* Colfax (largest city: Raton)
* Curry (largest village: Clovis)
* De Baca (largest city: Fort Sumner)
* Doña Ana (largest city: Las Cruces)
* Eddy (largest city: Carlsbad)
* Guadalupe (largest city: Santa Rosa)
* Harding (largest city: Roy)
* Hidalgo (largest city: Lordsburg)
* Lea (largest city: Hobbs)
* Lincoln (largest city: Roidoso)
* Los Alamos (largest city: Los Alamos)
* Luna (largest city: Deming)
* Otero (largest city: Alamogordo)
* Quay (largest city: Tucumcari)
* Roosevelt (largest city: Portales)
* San Juan (largest city: Farmington)
* Sandoval (largest city: Rancho)
* Sierra (largest city: Truth or Consequences)
* Socorro (largest city: Socorro)
* Torrance (largest city: Moriarty)
* Union (largest city: Clayton)
* Valencia (largest village: Los Lunas)

## See also

[edit]

* Governorship of Susana Martínez
* 2010 United States gubernatorial elections

## References

[edit]

1. ^ "Richardson withdrawal leaves cabinet gap". NBC News. January 6, 2009. Retrieved January 4, 2009.
2. ^ a b Rudin, Ken (January 25, 2010). "Your 2010 Election Calendar". National Public Radio. Retrieved February 14, 2010.
3. ^ Jennings, Trip (November 5, 2009). "Denish, running for governor, steps into budgetary fray". The New Mexico Independent. Retrieved February 14, 2010.
4. ^ "Kilmer pursues role of governor". POLITICO. Retrieved June 12, 2025.
5. ^ "Kilmer says "probably not" running for governor - - POLITICO.com". www.politico.com. Retrieved June 12, 2025.
6. ^ a b "Canvass of Returns of Primary Election Held on June 1, 2010" (PDF). New Mexico Secretary of State. Retrieved July 29, 2024.
7. ^ a b Haussamen, Heath (March 13, 2010). "Martinez takes impressive 47 percent of votes at GOP convention". The New Mexico Independent. Retrieved March 13, 2010.
8. ^ "New Mexico Gov Field at Two With More Likely". CQ Politics. August 1, 2009. Archived from the original on August 5, 2009. Retrieved February 14, 2010.
9. ^ "Pete Domenici Jr. to run for governor". KRQE. January 16, 2010. Archived from the original on January 17, 2010. Retrieved February 14, 2010.
10. ^ a b "Susana Martinez officially declares candidacy for NM governor". Las Cruces Sun-News. February 9, 2010. Archived from the original on October 1, 2011. Retrieved February 14, 2010.
11. ^ "Pearce Switches Races". Political Wire. July 6, 2009. Archived from the original on July 9, 2009. Retrieved February 14, 2010.
12. ^ "Wilson: I won't run for governor". KRQE. October 29, 2009. Archived from the original on June 11, 2011. Retrieved February 14, 2010.
13. ^ Ornelas, Chris (July 17, 2009). "GOP gubernatorial candidate drops out". KOB. Archived from the original on February 21, 2012. Retrieved February 14, 2010.
14. ^ a b c d e f SurveyUSA
15. ^ New Mexico State University
16. ^ "2010 Governors Race Ratings". Cook Political Report. Archived from the original on October 28, 2010. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
17. ^ "Governor Ratings". Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
18. ^ "2010 Governor Races". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
19. ^ "THE CRYSTAL BALL'S FINAL CALLS". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
20. ^ "Race Ratings Chart: Governor". CQ Politics. Archived from the original on October 5, 2010. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
21. ^ a b c d e f g Rasmussen Reports
22. ^ SurveyUSA Archived September 6, 2021, at the Wayback Machine
23. ^ Rasmussen Reports
24. ^ Albuquerque Journal
25. ^ Public Policy Polling
26. ^ Public Opinion Strategies
27. ^ Albuquerque Journal
28. ^ Rasmussen Reports
29. ^ Magellan Strategies
30. ^ Rasmussen Reports
31. ^ a b c d e Rasmussen Reports
32. ^ a b c d e Public Policy Polling
33. ^ "Canvass of Returns of General Election Held on November 2, 2010" (PDF). New Mexico Secretary of State. Retrieved July 29, 2024.

## External links

[edit]

* New Mexico Secretary of State – Elections Archived 2008-07-24 at the Wayback Machine
* New Mexico Governor Candidates at Project Vote Smart
* Campaign contributions for 2010 New Mexico Governor from Follow the Money
* New Mexico Governor 2010 from OurCampaigns.com
* 2010 New Mexico Governor General Election: Susana Martinez (R) vs Diane Denish (D) graph of multiple polls from Pollster.com
* Election 2010: New Mexico Governor from Rasmussen Reports
* 2010 New Mexico Governor - Martinez vs. Denish from Real Clear Politics
* 2010 New Mexico Governor's Race from CQ Politics
* Race Profile in The New York Times

Official campaign websites (Archived)

* Diane Denish
* Susana Martínez
* Janice Arnold-Jones
* Peter Domenici, Jr.
* Doug Turner
* Allen Weh

* v
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* Lt. Gov
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* Lt. Gov
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* Lt. Gov
* U.S. Virgin Islands
* Utah (special)
* Vermont
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Attorneys
general|

* California
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State
legislatures|

* Alabama
* House
* Senate
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* Senate
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* Washington (state)
* House
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* Wisconsin
* Assembly
* Senate
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* Senate

Mayors|

* Anaheim, CA
* Honolulu, HI (special)
* Irvine, CA
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* Louisville, KY
* New Orleans, LA
* Newark, NJ
* Norfolk, VI
* Oakland, CA
* Orange County, FL
* Providence, RI
* San Jose, CA
* Santa Ana, CA
* Tallahassee, TN
* Washington, DC

States|

* Alabama
* Alaska
* American Samoa
* Arizona
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* Colorado
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* Delaware
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* Georgia
* Guam
* Hawaii
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* Illinois
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* Puerto Rico
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* South Carolina
* South Dakota
* Tennessee
* Texas
* U.S. Virgin Islands
* Utah
* Vermont
* Virginia
* Washington
* West Virginia
* Wisconsin
* Wyoming

* v
* t
* e

New Mexico gubernatorial elections (1911-present)

* 1911
* 1916
* 1918
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* 1922
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* 2006
* 2010
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* 2022

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