2010 United States Senate election in Washington

* * *

| <- 2004 | November 2, 2010 | 2016 ->

|
|

|  |  |

|
|

Nominee  | Patty Murray | Dino Rossi |
Party  | Democratic | Republican
Popular vote  | 1,314,930 | 1,196,164
Percentage  | 52.08% | 47.37%

* * *

County results
Murray:  50–60% 60–70%
Rossi:  40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80%

* * *

| U.S. senator before election

Patty Murray
Democratic

| Elected U.S. Senator

Patty Murray
Democratic

|

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* v
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* e

The 2010 United States Senate election in Washington was held on November 2, 2010, alongside other elections to the United States Senate in other states as well as elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Democrat Senator Patty Murray won re-election to a fourth term by a margin of 52.1% – 47.4% over Republican Dino Rossi, who had run for governor in 2004 and 2008. This was the last U.S. Senate election in Washington where the margin of victory was single digits.

## Top-two primary election

[edit]

### Candidates

[edit]

#### Democrats

[edit]

* Patty Murray, incumbent U.S. Senator
* Charles Allen[1][2][3]
* Bob Burr[3]

#### Republicans

[edit]

* Dino Rossi, former State Senator and gubernatorial candidate[4]
* Paul Akers, salesman[5]
* William Chovil[3][6]
* Clint Didier, former NFL football player[7]
* Norma Gruber[3]
* Michael Latimer[8]

#### Others

[edit]

* Will Baker (Reform Party)[3]
* Schalk Leonard[3]
* Skip Mercer, professor[9]
* Mohammad Said (Centrist Party)[3]

### Polling

[edit]

Poll source  | Dates administered  | Patty Murray (D)  | Dino Rossi (R)  | Clint Didier (R)  | Paul Akers (R)  | Undecided

|
|
|
|
|
|

Elway Research[10] | April 29 – May 2, 2010  | 48% | ––  | 4%  | 8% | 36%
Elway Research[11] | June 13, 2010  | 43% | 31% | 5%  | 2%  | 17%
Survey USA[12] | June 30, 2010  | 37% | 33% | 5%  | 3%  | 19%
Public Policy Polling[13] | July 27 – August 1, 2010  | 47% | 33% | 10%  | 4%  | 6%
Survey USA[14] | August 6–9, 2010  | 41% | 33% | 11%  | 5%  | 4%

### Results

[edit]

Blanket primary election results[15][16] Party  | Candidate  | Votes  | %

|
|
|

| Democratic | Patty Murray (incumbent)  | 670,284  | 46.22%
| Republican | Dino Rossi  | 483,305  | 33.33%
| Republican | Clint Didier  | 185,034  | 12.76%
| Republican | Paul Akers  | 37,231  | 2.57%
| Independent | Skip Mercer  | 12,122  | 0.84%
| Democratic | Charles Allen  | 11,525  | 0.79%
| Democratic | Bob Burr  | 11,344  | 0.78%
| Republican | Norma Gruber  | 9,162  | 0.63%
| Republican | Michael Latimer  | 6,545  | 0.45%
| Democratic | Mike the Mover  | 6,019  | 0.42%
| Democratic | Goodspaceguy  | 4,718  | 0.33%
| Reform | William Baker  | 4,593  | 0.32%
| Independent | Mohammad Said  | 3,387  | 0.23%
| Independent | Schalk Leonard  | 2,818  | 0.19%
| Republican | William Chovil  | 2,039  | 0.14%
Total votes  | 1,450,126  | 100.00%

## General election

[edit]

### Candidates

[edit]

The top 2 candidates from the blanket primary advanced to the general election.

* Patty Murray (D), incumbent U.S. Senator
* Dino Rossi (R), former State Senator and gubernatorial candidate

### Campaign

[edit]

Rossi heavily criticized Murray for her support of the 2009 economic stimulus package; however, Rossi's economic promises are nearly identical to those of President Bush who asked for the stimulus.[17] Rossi supports repealing the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act and the Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act. He also criticized Murray for her support for earmarks. In response, Murray said, "You bet that seniority and leadership has a big thing to do with it, but the other part of it is, I get up every day and I work hard and I believe in this and I am going to continue fighting for the community I represent."[18]

The National Rifle Association spent $414,100 supporting Rossi and opposing Murray in the 2010 senatorial contest.[19]

### Debates

[edit]

Rossi offered six debates, five of which would be in-state and one nationally.[20] Murray agreed to two debates, and only two debates were held.[21]

* Seattle on KOMO-TV.
* Spokane on KSPS-TV and KXLY-TV.

### Fundraising

[edit]

Candidate (party)  | Receipts  | Disbursements  | Cash on hand  | Debt

|
|
|
|

Patty Murray (D)  | $10,951,403  | $12,438,133  | $1,032,034  | $0
Dino Rossi (R)  | $7,365,098  | $4,331,414  | $2,960,039  | $0
Source: Federal Election Commission[22]

### Predictions

[edit]

Source  | Ranking  | As of

|
|

Cook Political Report[23] | Tossup  | October 26, 2010
Rothenberg[24] | Tossup  | November 1, 2010
RealClearPolitics[25] | Tossup  | October 26, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[26] | Lean D  | October 21, 2010
CQ Politics[27] | Tossup  | October 26, 2010

### Polling

[edit]

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation  | Dates
administered  | Dates
updated  | Patty
Murray (D)  | Dino
Rossi (R)  | Other/Undecided
[a] | Margin

|
|
|
|
|
|

Real Clear Politics[28] | October 24–31, 2010  | October 31, 2010  | 48.3% | 48.0%  | 3.7%  | Murray +0.3%
Poll source  | Date(s) administered  | Sample
size | Margin
of error | Patty
Murray (D)  | Dino
Rossi (R)  | Other  | Undecided

|
|
|
|
|
|
|

Moore Information[29] | January 23–24, 2010  | 500  | ± 4.4%  | 43%  | 45% | ––  | ––
Rasmussen Reports[30] | February 11, 2010  | 500  | ± 4.5%  | 46%  | 48% | 1%  | 5%
Rasmussen Reports[31] | March 9, 2010  | 500  | ± 4.5%  | 46%  | 49% | 3%  | 2%
Research 2000[32] | March 22–24, 2010  | 600  | ± 4.0%  | 52% | 41%  | ––  | 7%
Rasmussen Reports[33] | April 6, 2010  | 500  | ± 4.5%  | 48% | 46%  | 3%  | 4%
Survey USA[34] | April 22, 2010  | 517  | ± 4.4%  | 42%  | 52% | ––  | 7%
The Washington Poll[35] | May 3–23, 2010  | 626  | ± 3.9%  | 44% | 40%  | ––  | 16%
Rasmussen Reports[33] | May 4, 2010  | 500  | ± 4.5%  | 48% | 46%  | 2%  | 3%
Rasmussen Reports[36] | May 25, 2010  | 500  | ± 4.5%  | 48% | 47%  | 2%  | 4%
The Washington Poll[37] | May 24–28, 2010  | 221  | ± 6.6%  | 39%  | 42% | 5%  | 13%
The Washington Poll[35] | May 28 – June 7, 2010  | 848  | ± 3.3%  | 42% | 40%  | ––  | 12%
Elway Research[38] | June 13, 2010  | 405  | ± 5.0%  | 47% | 40%  | ––  | 13%
Rasmussen Reports[39] | June 22, 2010  | 500  | ± 4.5%  | 47% | 47% | 3%  | 3%
Rasmussen Reports[40] | July 14, 2010  | 750  | ± 4.0%  | 45%  | 48% | 3%  | 3%
Rasmussen Reports[33] | July 30, 2010  | 750  | ± 4.0%  | 49% | 47%  | 2%  | 2%
Public Policy Polling[13] | July 27 – August 1, 2010  | 1,204  | ± 2.8%  | 49% | 46%  | ––  | 5%
Rasmussen Reports[41] | August 18, 2010  | 750  | ± 4.0%  | 48% | 44%  | 4%  | 4%
Survey USA[42] | August 18, 2010  | 618  | ± 4.0%  | 45%  | 52% | ––  | ––
Rasmussen Reports[43] | August 31, 2010  | 750  | ± 4.0%  | 46%  | 48% | 3%  | 3%
Elway Research[44] | September 9–12, 2010  | 500  | ± 4.5%  | 50% | 41%  | 3%  | 7%
CNN/Time[45] | September 10–14, 2010  | 906  | ± 3.5%  | 53% | 44%  | 2%  | 1%
Rasmussen Reports[46] | September 16, 2010  | 750  | ± 4.0%  | 51% | 46%  | 1%  | 2%
SurveyUSA[47] | September 22, 2010  | 609  | ± 4.1%  | 50% | 48%  | ––  | 3%
Fox News[48] | September 25, 2010  | 1,000  | ± 3.0%  | 48% | 47%  | 2%  | 3%
Rasmussen Reports[46] | September 28, 2010  | 750  | ± 4.0%  | 47%  | 48% | 2%  | 3%
Rasmussen Reports[46] | October 6, 2010  | 750  | ± 4.0%  | 46%  | 49% | 3%  | 2%
Fox News[49] | October 9, 2010  | 1,000  | ± 3.0%  | 46%  | 47% | 7%  | 0%
Elway[50] | October 7–11, 2010  | 450  | ± 4.6%  | 55% | 40%  | 0%  | 5%
CNN/Opinion Research[51] | October 8–12, 2010  | 850  | ± 3.5%  | 51% | 43%  | 2%  | 0%
The Washington Poll[52] | October 4–14, 2010  | 500  | ± 4.3%  | 50% | 42%  | ––  | 8%
SurveyUSA[53] | October 11–14, 2010  | 606  | ± 4.1%  | 50% | 47%  | 0%  | 3%
Public Policy Polling[54] | October 14–16, 2010  | 1,873  | ± 2.3%  | 49% | 47%  | ––  | 4%
McClatchy/Marist[55] | October 14–17, 2010  | 589  | ± 4.0%  | 48% | 47%  | 1%  | 5%
Rasmussen Reports[56] | October 17, 2010  | 750  | ± 4.0%  | 49% | 46%  | 2%  | 3%
Rasmussen Reports[46] | October 27, 2010  | 750  | ± 4.0%  | 47%  | 48% | 3%  | 2%
SurveyUSA[57] | October 24–27, 2010  | 678  | ± 3.8%  | 47% | 47% | ––  | 6%
The Washington Poll[58] | October 18–28, 2010  | 500  | ± 4.3%  | 51% | 45%  | ––  | 4%
Marist College[59] | October 26–28, 2010  | 838  | ± 3.5%  | 49% | 48%  | 2%  | 1%
Fox News/Pulse Opinion Research[60] | October 30, 2010  | 1,000  | ± 3.0%  | 49% | 47%  | 4%  | 0%
YouGov[61] | October 25–30, 2010  | 850  | ± 4.1%  | 50% | 48%  | 0%  | 2%
Public Policy Polling[62] | October 29–31, 2010  | 2,055  | ± 2.2%  | 48%  | 50% | 0%  | 2%

### Results

[edit]

Murray defeated Rossi by about 114,000 votes. King County, the home of Seattle, likely gave Murray a victory.[63]

General election results  Party  | Candidate  | Votes  | %

|
|
|

| Democratic | Patty Murray (incumbent)  | 1,314,930  | 52.08%
| Republican | Dino Rossi | 1,196,164  | 47.37%
| Write-in | 13,939  | 0.55%
Total votes  | 2,525,033  | 100.00%
Turnout |  | 71.24
| Democratic hold

#### Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

[edit]

* Island (largest city: Oak Harbor)
* Pierce (largest city: Tacoma)
* Skagit (largest city: Mount Vernon)
* Clallam (largest city: Port Angeles)
* Mason (largest city: Shelton)
* Skamania (Largest city: Carson)
* Cowlitz (Largest city: Longview)
* Wahkiakum (Largest city: Puget Island)

### By congressional district

[edit]

Murray won 5 of 9 congressional districts.[64]

District  | Murray  | Rossi  | Representative

|
|
|

1st | 56% | 44%  | Jay Inslee
2nd | 51% | 49%  | Rick Larsen
3rd | 47%  | 53% | Brian Baird
Jaime Herrera Beutler
4th | 36%  | 64% | Doc Hastings
5th | 41%  | 59% | Cathy McMorris Rodgers
6th | 53% | 47%  | Norm Dicks
7th | 81% | 19%  | Jim McDermott
8th | 49%  | 51% | Dave Reichert
9th | 53% | 47%  | Adam Smith

## Notes

[edit]

1. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.

## References

[edit]

1. ^ "REPORTS IMAGE INDEX FOR CANDIDATE ID S0WA00332". Images.nictusa.com. May 13, 2010. Archived from the original on March 3, 2016. Retrieved June 14, 2010.
2. ^ "REPORTS IMAGE INDEX FOR COMMITTEE ID C00483461". Images.nictusa.com. May 13, 2010. Archived from the original on March 3, 2016. Retrieved June 14, 2010.
3. ^ a b c d e f g "Candidates who have filed". Wei.secstate.wa.gov. Archived from the original on June 11, 2010. Retrieved June 14, 2010.
4. ^ Rothenberg, Stuart. "Reasons to Keep Your Eye on Patty Murray". CQ Politics. Retrieved June 14, 2010.[permanent dead link]
5. ^ "Home". Akers for US Senate. Archived from the original on February 9, 2010. Retrieved June 14, 2010.
6. ^ "REPORTS IMAGE INDEX FOR CANDIDATE ID S4WA00466". Images.nictusa.com. Archived from the original on March 3, 2016. Retrieved June 14, 2010.
7. ^ Song, Kyung (January 4, 2010). "Ex-footballer latest GOP challenger to Murray's Senate seat". The Seattle Times. Retrieved January 30, 2010.
8. ^ "REPORTS IMAGE INDEX FOR CANDIDATE ID S0WA00340". Images.nictusa.com. Archived from the original on July 23, 2012. Retrieved June 14, 2010.
9. ^ Spokesman-Review (June 1, 2010). "Mercer staying in U.S. Senate race – Spin Control – Spokesman.com – June 1, 2010". Spokesman.com. Retrieved June 14, 2010.
10. ^ Elway Research
11. ^ Elway Research Archived February 19, 2012, at the Wayback Machine
12. ^ Survey USA
13. ^ a b Public Policy Polling
14. ^ Survey USA
15. ^ "August 17, 2010 Primary – Federal". Vote.wa.gov. August 17, 2010. Archived from the original on August 21, 2010. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
16. ^ "The 2010 Results Maps". Politico.Com. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
17. ^ "The Stimulus 18-Month Check Up: Murray Plan Means Big Debt, Few Jobs | Dino Rossi for Senate". Archived from the original on November 11, 2010. Retrieved September 1, 2010.
18. ^ Brunner, Jim (August 7, 2010). "Murray touts bringing home the bucks". The Seattle Times.
19. ^ "Campaign cash: National Rifle Association (washingtonpost.com)". www.washingtonpost.com. Retrieved February 16, 2018.
20. ^ Brunner, Jim (August 20, 2010). "Rossi wants six debates with Murray". The Seattle Times.
21. ^ Brunner, Jim (August 27, 2010). "Murray agrees to two debates". The Seattle Times.
22. ^ "2010 House and Senate Campaign Finance for Washington". fec.gov. Archived from the original on May 22, 2010. Retrieved May 28, 2010.
23. ^ "Senate". Cook Political Report. Retrieved October 26, 2010.
24. ^ "Senate Ratings". Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 26, 2010.
25. ^ "Battle for the Senate". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved October 26, 2010.
26. ^ "2010 Senate Ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Archived from the original on October 28, 2010. Retrieved October 26, 2010.
27. ^ "Race Ratings Chart: Senate". CQ Politics. Archived from the original on October 28, 2010. Retrieved October 26, 2010.
28. ^ Real Clear Politics
29. ^ Moore Information
30. ^ Rasmussen Reports
31. ^ Rasmussen Reports
32. ^ Research 2000
33. ^ a b c Rasmussen Reports
34. ^ Survey USA
35. ^ a b The Washington Poll
36. ^ Rasmussen Reports
37. ^ The Washington Poll
38. ^ Elway Research
39. ^ Rasmussen Reports
40. ^ Rasmussen Reports
41. ^ Rasmussen Reports
42. ^ Survey USA
43. ^ Rasmussen Reports
44. ^ Elway Research
45. ^ CNN/Time
46. ^ a b c d Rasmussen Reports
47. ^ SurveyUSA
48. ^ Fox News
49. ^ Fox News
50. ^ Elway [permanent dead link]
51. ^ CNN/Opinion Research
52. ^ The Washington Poll
53. ^ SurveyUSA
54. ^ Public Policy Polling
55. ^ McClatchy/Marist
56. ^ Rasmussen Reports
57. ^ SurveyUSA
58. ^ The Washington Poll
59. ^ Marist College
60. ^ Fox News/Pulse Opinion Research
61. ^ YouGov
62. ^ Public Policy Polling
63. ^ "November 2, 2010 General – Federal". Archived from the original on November 11, 2010. Retrieved November 11, 2010.
64. ^ Results. sos.wa.gov (Report).

## External links

[edit]

* Elections and Voting at the Washington Secretary of State
* U.S. Congress candidates for Washington Archived October 30, 2010, at the Wayback Machine at Project Vote Smart
* Campaign contributions from Open Secrets
* 2010 Washington Senate General Election: All Head-to-Head Matchups graph of multiple polls from Pollster.com
* Election 2010: Washington Senate from Rasmussen Reports
* 2010 Washington Senate Race from Real Clear Politics
* 2010 Washington Senate Race from CQ Politics
* Race profile from The New York Times
* Editorial board endorsement interview: Senate 2010 from The Seattle Times

Official campaign websites (Archived)

* Patty Murray for U.S. Senate incumbent
* Dino Rossi for U.S. Senate

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(2009 <-)  2010 United States elections (-> 2011)

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* Vermont
* Virginia
* Washington
* West Virginia
* Wisconsin
* Wyoming

* v
* t
* e

Elections in Washington (state)

U.S. President|

* 1892
* 1896
* 1900
* 1904
* 1908
* 1912
* 1916
* 1920
* 1924
* 1928
* 1932
* 1936
* 1940
* 1944
* 1948
* 1952
* 1956
* 1960
* 1964
* 1968
* 1972
* 1976
* 1980
* 1984
* 1988
* 1992
* 1996
* 2000
* 2004
* 2008
* 2012
* 2016
* 2020
* 2024

U.S. Senate|

| Class 1|

* 1889
* 1893
* 1895 (sp)
* 1899
* 1905
* 1911
* 1916
* 1922
* 1928
* 1934
* 1940
* 1946
* 1952
* 1958
* 1964
* 1970
* 1976
* 1982
* 1983 (sp)
* 1988
* 1994
* 2000
* 2006
* 2012
* 2018
* 2024

|

Class 3|

* 1889
* 1891
* 1897
* 1903
* 1909
* 1914
* 1920
* 1926
* 1932
* 1938
* 1944
* 1950
* 1956
* 1962
* 1968
* 1974
* 1980
* 1986
* 1992
* 1998
* 2004
* 2010
* 2016
* 2022

U.S. House|

* 1860
* 1889
* 1890
* 1892
* 1894
* 1896
* 1898
* 1900
* 1902
* 1904
* 1906
* 1908
* 1909
* 2nd sp
* 1910
* 1912
* 1914
* 1916
* 1918
* 1920
* 1922
* 1923
* 5th sp
* 1924
* 1926
* 1928
* 1930
* 1932
* 1934
* 1936
* 1938
* 1940
* 1942
* 1944
* 1946
* 1947
* 3rd sp
* 1948
* 1950
* 1952
* 1954
* 1956
* 1958
* 1960
* 3rd sp
* 1962
* 1964
* 1966
* 1968
* 1970
* 1972
* 1974
* 1975
* 3rd sp
* 1976
* 1977
* 7th sp
* 1978
* 1980
* 1982
* 1984
* 1986
* 1988
* 1990
* 1992
* 1994
* 1996
* 1998
* 2000
* 2002
* 2004
* 2006
* 2008
* 2010
* 2012
* 1st sp
* 2014
* 2016
* 2018
* 2020
* 2022
* 2024

Statewide|

* 2010
* 2012
* 2016
* 2020
* 2024

Gubernatorial|

* 1889
* 1892
* 1896
* 1900
* 1904
* 1908
* 1912
* 1916
* 1920
* 1924
* 1928
* 1932
* 1936
* 1940
* 1944
* 1948
* 1952
* 1956
* 1960
* 1964
* 1968
* 1972
* 1976
* 1980
* 1984
* 1988
* 1992
* 1996
* 2000
* 2004
* 2008
* 2012
* 2016
* 2020
* 2024

State
legislature|

| State Senate|

* 2004
* 2006
* 2008
* 2010
* 2012
* 2013 (26th)
* 2014
* 2016
* 2017 (45th)
* 2018
* 2020
* 2022
* 2024

|

State House|

* 2006
* 2008
* 2010
* 2012
* 2014
* 2016
* 2018
* 2020
* 2022
* 2024

Supreme Court|

* 2004
* 2006
* 2008
* 2012

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