2012 United States Senate election in New Jersey

For related races, see 2012 United States Senate elections.

2012 United States Senate election in New Jersey

* * *

| <- 2006 | November 6, 2012 | 2018 ->

|
|

|  |  |

|
|

Nominee  | Bob Menendez | Joe Kyrillos |
Party  | Democratic | Republican
Popular vote  | 1,987,680 | 1,329,534
Percentage  | 58.87% | 39.37%

* * *

Results by county

Results by congressional district

Results by municipality

Menendez: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90%
Kyrillos: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% >90%

* * *

| U.S. senator before election

Bob Menendez
Democratic

| Elected U.S. Senator

Bob Menendez
Democratic

|

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* e

The 2012 United States Senate election in New Jersey took place on November 6, 2012, concurrently with the 2012 U.S. presidential election as well as other elections to the United States Senate and House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

Incumbent senator Bob Menendez became the first Hispanic-American U.S. senator to represent New Jersey in January 2006 when former U.S. senator Jon Corzine appointed him to the seat after having resigned to become governor of New Jersey, following his election in November 2005.[1] In November 2006, after a tough and painful election, Menendez defeated Republican state senator Thomas Kean, Jr. with 53.3% of the vote.

Menendez won re-election to a second full term, becoming the first Democratic Senate candidate to carry Somerset County since Bill Bradley in 1984. This is the only time since 1976 that a candidate for this seat received over 55% of the vote. This election marked the first time that someone won this seat by double digits since 1976 as well. Menendez outperformed President Obama by winning 0.62% more than Obama won in the concurrent presidential election.

## Democratic primary

[edit]

### Candidates

[edit]

* Bob Menendez, incumbent U.S. Senator[2]

### Polling

[edit]

Poll source  | Date(s)
administered | Sample
size | Margin of
error | Bob
Menendez  | Someone
else  | Unsure

|
|
|
|
|
|

Fairleigh Dickinson University | March 5–11, 2012  | 404  | ±5.0%  | 30%  | 37% | 33%

### Results

[edit]

Democratic primary results[3] Party  | Candidate  | Votes  | %

|
|
|

| Democratic | Bob Menendez (incumbent)  | 235,321  | 100
Total votes  | 235,321  | 100

## Republican primary

[edit]

### Candidates

[edit]

#### Declared

[edit]

* David Brown, inventor[4]
* Joe Kyrillos, State Senator[5]
* Bader Qarmout, businessman and adjunct professor at the County College of Morris[6]
* Joseph Rudy Rullo, businessman[7]

#### Withdrew

[edit]

* Ian Linker, attorney[8]
* Anna Little, former mayor of Highlands and candidate for NJ-06 in 2010[9]

#### Declined

[edit]

* Diane Allen, state senator, candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2002 and former news broadcaster[10]
* Chris Christie, Governor of New Jersey and former U.S. Attorney[11][12]
* John Crowley, biotechnology executive[13]
* Michael Doherty, state senator[14]
* Tim Smith, financial services firm executive and member of the Roxbury Township Council[15]
* Jay Webber, State Assemblyman and former New Jersey Republican State Committee chairman[16][17]

### Polling

[edit]

Poll source  | Date(s)
administered | Sample
size | Margin of
error | Michael
Doherty  | Kim
Guadagno  | Woody
Johnson  | Tom
Kean Jr.  | Joseph
Kyrillos  | Anna
Little  | Tim
Smith  | Other  | Undecided

|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|

Public Policy Polling | July 15–18, 2011  | 300  | ±5.7%  | 7%  | 10%  | 9%  | 36% | 3%  | 4%  | 2%  | —  | 30%

### Results

[edit]

Results by county:

Kyrillos—80–90%

Kyrillos—70–80%

Kyrillos—60–70%

Kyrillos—40–50%

Republican primary results[3] Party  | Candidate  | Votes  | %

|
|
|

| Republican | Joe Kyrillos  | 161,146  | 77.1
| Republican | David Brown  | 18,671  | 8.9
| Republican | Joseph Rullo  | 16,690  | 8.0
| Republican | Bader Qarmout  | 12,637  | 6.0
Total votes  | 209,144  | 100%

## General election

[edit]

### Candidates

[edit]

* Bob Menendez (Democratic), incumbent U.S. Senator
* Joe Kyrillos (Republican), state senator
* Inder "Andy" Soni (America First)
* Ken Wolski (Green), medical marijuana activist and former nurse[18]
* Gwen Diakos (Jersey Strong Independents), civilian defense contractor[4][19]
* Kenneth R. Kaplan (Libertarian), commercial real estate broker[20]
* Eugene Martin LaVergne (independent)
* Daryl Mikell Brooks (Reform Nation), activist
* Robert "Turk" Turkavage (Responsibility Fairness Integrity), former FBI agent
* Greg Pason (Socialist), National Secretary of the Socialist Party USA and perennial candidate[21]
* J. David Dranikoff (Totally Independent Candidate), businessman

### Debates

[edit]

Three debates were scheduled. The first debate took place on October 4, 2012, at Montclair State University. Menendez and Kyrillos participated. The second took place on October 10 at NJ 101.5 studios, Trenton NJ[22] The third was to take place on October 17 at Mercer County Community College[23]

External links

* Complete video of debate, October 4, 2012 - C-SPAN
* Complete video of debate, October 13, 2012 - C-SPAN

### Fundraising

[edit]

Candidate (party)  | Receipts  | Disbursements  | Cash on hand  | Debt

|
|
|
|

Bob Menendez (D)  | $10,243,864  | $2,325,178  | $10,345,365  | $0
Joseph Kyrillos (R)  | $3,106,536  | $1,132,232  | $1,974,302  | $50,236
Kenneth R. Kaplan (L)  | $800  | $0  | $800  | $0
Source: Federal Election Commission[24][25][26]

#### Top contributors

[edit]

[27]

Bob Menendez  | Contribution  | Joseph Kyrillos  | Contribution

|
|
|

Lowenstein Sandler | $116,160  | McElroy, Deutsch, Mulvaney & Carpenter, LLP  | $133,098
Greenberg Traurig | $78,250  | Allied Management Inc  | $22,000
NORPAC | $70,550  | Connell Foley | $18,250
Prudential Financial | $66,800  | Maser Consulting  | $17,250
DeCotiis, FitzPatrick & Cole  | $48,150  | B&L Tire  | $15,000
Kindred Healthcare | $48,000  | Berkeley College | $15,000
Verizon Communications | $47,050  | CJ Hesse  | $15,000
Medco Health Solutions | $41,249  | GlobalTel | $15,000
DLA Piper | $41,000  | Langer Transport Corp  | $15,000
Dade Medical College  | $40,000  | Fgi Finance  | $14,000

#### Top industries

[edit]

[28]

Bob Menendez  | Contribution  | Joe Kyrillos  | Contribution

|
|
|

Lawyers/Law Firms | $1,633,843  | Lawyers/Law Firms  | $312,845
Real Estate | $1,096,684  | Retired  | $103,900
Lobbyists | $578,182  | Financial Institutions | $98,200
Financial Institutions  | $532,651  | Real Estate  | $98,150
Health Professionals | $524,810  | Health Professionals  | $62,100
Retired  | $411,525  | Business Services  | $60,250
Construction Services | $388,550  | Construction Services  | $54,300
Pharmaceuticals/Health Products  | $353,250  | Universities | $51,250
Insurance | $338,550  | General Contractors  | $39,500
Leadership PACs | $328,244  | Misc Business  | $38,550

### Predictions

[edit]

Source  | Ranking  | As of

|
|

The Cook Political Report[29] | Likely D  | November 1, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball[30] | Likely D  | November 5, 2012
Rothenberg Political Report[31] | Safe D  | November 2, 2012
Real Clear Politics[32] | Likely D  | November 5, 2012

### Polling

[edit]

Poll source  | Date(s)
administered | Sample
size | Margin of
error | Bob
Menendez (D)  | Joseph
Kyrillos (R)  | Other  | Undecided

|
|
|
|
|
|
|

Fairleigh Dickinson University | January 3–9, 2011  | 802  | ±3.5%  | 41% | 29%  | —  | 30%
Public Policy Polling | July 15–18, 2011  | 480  | ±4.5%  | 48% | 29%  | —  | 23%
Farleigh Dickinson University | September 19–25, 2011  | 800  | ±3.5%  | 49% | 28%  | —  | 22%
Farleigh Dickinson University | January 2–8, 2012  | 800  | ±3.5%  | 43% | 31%  | —  | 26%
Rutgers-Eagleton Archived July 12, 2012, at the Wayback Machine | February 9–11, 2012  | 914  | ±3.3%  | 44% | 22%  | 1%  | 26%
Survey USA | February 24–26, 2012  | 533  | ±4.3%  | 46% | 31%  | —  | 23%
Quinnipiac Archived September 12, 2012, at the Wayback Machine | February 21–27, 2012  | 1,396  | ±2.6%  | 49% | 34%  | 1%  | 14%
Farleigh Dickinson University | March 5–11, 2012  | 396  | ±2.6%  | 43% | 33%  | —  | 23%
Quinnipiac Archived September 12, 2012, at the Wayback Machine | April 3–9, 2012  | 1,607  | ±2.4%  | 44% | 35%  | 1%  | 20%
Fairleigh Dickenson/PublicMind | April 30 – May 6, 2012  | 400  | ±5%  | 42% | 33%  | —  | 24%
Quinnipiac Archived September 12, 2012, at the Wayback Machine | May 9–14, 2012  | 1,582  | ±2.5%  | 45% | 35%  | 2%  | 19%
Quinnipiac Archived September 12, 2012, at the Wayback Machine | July 9–14, 2012  | 1,623  | ±2.5%  | 47% | 34%  | 1%  | 16%
Monmouth University Archived September 12, 2012, at the Wayback Machine | July 18–22, 2012  | 535 LV  | ±2.5%  | 44% | 35%  | 1%  | 19%
Monmouth University Archived September 12, 2012, at the Wayback Machine | July 23–27, 2012  | 849 RV  | ±2.5%  | 45% | 33%  | 1%  | 22%
Rutgers-Eagleton | August 23–25, 2012  | 688 LV  | ±3.7%  | 47% | 35%  | 8%  | 10%
Quinnipaic University Archived September 12, 2012, at the Wayback Machine | August 27 – September 2, 2012  | 1,471 LV  | ±2.5%  | 50% | 40%  | —  | 10%
Quinnipaic University Archived September 12, 2012, at the Wayback Machine | September 6–12, 2012  | 706 LV  | ±2.5%  | 50% | 36%  | —  | 16%
Philadelphia Inquirer Archived September 12, 2012, at the Wayback Machine | September 9–12, 2012  | 600 LV  | ±2.5%  | 43% | 32%  | —  | 12%
Monmouth University Archived September 12, 2012, at the Wayback Machine | September 19–23, 2012  | 613 LV  | ±2.5%  | 49% | 34%  | —  | 15%
Philadelphia Inquirer | October 4–8, 2012  | 604 LV  | ±4%  | 49% | 35%  | —  | 15%
Quinnipiac | October 10–14, 2012  | 1,319 LV  | ±2.7%  | 55% | 37%  | —  | 15%
Stockton | October 12–18, 2012  | 811 LV  | ±3.5%  | 52% | 30%  | —  | 18%
SurveyUSA | October 17–18, 2012  | 577 LV  | ±4.2%  | 53% | 33%  | 5%  | 9%
Philadelphia Inquirer | October 23–25, 2012  | 601 LV  | ±4%  | 50% | 32%  | —  | 18%

Hypothetical polling

Poll source  | Date(s)
administered | Sample
size | Margin of
error | Bob
Menendez (D)  | Jennifer
Beck (R)  | Other  | Undecided

|
|
|
|
|
|
|

Fairleigh Dickinson University | January 3–9, 2011  | 802  | ±3.5%  | 42% | 29%  | —  | 29%
Poll source  | Date(s)
administered | Sample
size | Margin of
error | Bob
Menendez (D)  | Lou
Dobbs (R)  | Other  | Undecided

|
|
|
|
|
|
|

Public Policy Polling | January 6–9, 2011  | 520  | ±4.3%  | 47% | 35%  | —  | 18%
Poll source  | Date(s)
administered | Sample
size | Margin of
error | Bob
Menendez (D)  | Lou
Dobbs (I)  | Other  | Undecided

|
|
|
|
|
|
|

Fairleigh Dickinson University | January 4–10, 2010  | 801  | ±3.5%  | 37% | 34%  | —  | 28%
Poll source  | Date(s)
administered | Sample
size | Margin of
error | Bob
Menendez (D)  | Michael
Doherty (R)  | Other  | Undecided

|
|
|
|
|
|
|

Fairleigh Dickinson University | February 23 – March 1, 2010  | 801  | ±3.5%  | 40% | 27%  | 8%  | 25%
Fairleigh Dickinson University | January 3–9, 2011  | 802  | ±3.5%  | 40% | 30%  | —  | 30%
Public Policy Polling | July 15–18, 2011  | 480  | ±4.5%  | 48% | 35%  | —  | 17%
Farleigh Dickinson University | September 19–25, 2011  | 800  | ±3.5%  | 49% | 30%  | —  | 22%
Poll source  | Date(s)
administered | Sample
size | Margin of
error | Bob
Menendez (D)  | Kim
Guadagno (R)  | Other  | Undecided

|
|
|
|
|
|
|

Fairleigh Dickinson University | January 3–9, 2011  | 802  | ±3.5%  | 47% | 26%  | —  | 27%
Public Policy Polling  | January 6–9, 2011  | 520  | ±4.3%  | 45% | 30%  | —  | 24%
Public Policy Polling | July 15–18, 2011  | 480  | ±4.5%  | 48% | 34%  | —  | 18%
Poll source  | Date(s)
administered | Sample
size | Margin of
error | Bob
Menendez (D)  | Woody
Johnson (R)  | Other  | Undecided

|
|
|
|
|
|
|

Public Policy Polling | July 15–18, 2011  | 480  | ±4.5%  | 48% | 30%  | —  | 22%
Poll source  | Date(s)
administered | Sample
size | Margin of
error | Bob
Menendez (D)  | Tom
Kean Jr. (R)  | Other  | Undecided

|
|
|
|
|
|
|

Fairleigh Dickinson University | January 23 – February 1, 2010  | 801  | ±3.5%  | 35%  | 45% | 2%  | 15%
Fairleigh Dickinson University | February 23 – March 1, 2010  | 801  | ±3.5%  | 38%  | 39% | 6%  | 17%
Fairleigh Dickinson University | January 3–9, 2011  | 802  | ±3.5%  | 44% | 34%  | —  | 22%
Public Policy Polling | January 6–9, 2011  | 520  | ±4.3%  | 41% | 39%  | —  | 19%
Public Policy Polling | July 15–18, 2011  | 480  | ±4.5%  | 44% | 39%  | —  | 16%
Poll source  | Date(s)
administered | Sample
size | Margin of
error | Bob
Menendez (D)  | Anna
Little (R)  | Other  | Undecided

|
|
|
|
|
|
|

Farleigh Dickinson University | January 2–8, 2012  | 800  | ±3.5%  | 43% | 31%  | —  | 26%
Survey USA | February 24–26, 2012  | 533  | ±4.3%  | 48% | 29%  | —  | 23%

### Results

[edit]

Results of the November election by municipality

Menendez

Kyrillos

United States Senate election in New Jersey, 2012[33] Party  | Candidate  | Votes  | %  | ±%

|
|
|
|

| Democratic | Bob Menendez (incumbent)  | 1,987,680  | 58.87%  | +5.50%
| Republican | Joe Kyrillos | 1,329,534  | 39.37%  | −4.97%
| Libertarian | Kenneth R. Kaplan  | 16,803  | 0.50%  | −0.15%
| Green | Ken Wolski  | 15,801  | 0.47%  | N/A
| Independent | Gwen Diakos  | 9,359  | 0.28%  | N/A
| Independent | J. David Dranikoff  | 3,834  | 0.11%  | N/A
| Independent | Inder "Andy" Soni  | 3,593  | 0.11%  | N/A
| Independent | Robert "Turk" Turkavage  | 3,532  | 0.10%  | N/A
| Socialist | Greg Pason | 2,249  | 0.07%  | −0.04%
| Independent | Eugene M. LaVergne  | 2,198  | 0.07%  | N/A
| Independent | Daryl Brooks  | 2,066  | 0.06%  | −0.17%
Total votes  | 3,376,649  | 100.0%  | N/A
| Democratic hold

#### Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

[edit]

* Somerset (largest municipality: Franklin Township)
* Salem (largest municipality: Pennsville Township)

### By congressional district

[edit]

Menendez won 9 of 12 congressional districts, including the 2nd, 3rd, and 5th districts, which elected Republicans to the House.[34]

District  | Menendez  | Kyrillos  | Representative

|
|
|

1st | 66.7% | 31.7%  | Rob Andrews
2nd | 54.6% | 43.3%
Frank LoBiondo
3rd | 51.9% | 46.8%  | Jon Runyan
4th | 44.8%  | 53.5% | Chris Smith
5th | 49.3% | 48.8%  | Scott Garrett
6th | 60.7% | 37.4%  | Frank Pallone
7th | 46.1%  | 51.8% | Leonard Lance
8th | 80.4% | 17.7%  | Bill Pascrell (112th Congress)
Albio Sires (113th Congress)
9th | 70.4% | 27.9%  | Steve Rothman (112th Congress)
Bill Pascrell (113th Congress)
10th | 88.0% | 10.7%  | Donald Payne Jr.
11th | 47.5%  | 50.8% | Rodney Frelinghuysen
12th | 66.0% | 32.2%  | Rush Holt Jr.

## See also

[edit]

* 2012 United States Senate elections
* 2012 United States House of Representatives elections in New Jersey

## References

[edit]

1. ^ Chen, David W. (December 8, 2005). "Corzine Is Said to Have Picked a Replacement". The New York Times. Retrieved December 29, 2010.
2. ^ Menendez for Senate 2012
3. ^ a b [1]
4. ^ a b Symons, Michael (April 10, 2012). "Menendez unopposed in Senate primary after rival rejected". Asbury Park Press. Retrieved April 15, 2012.[permanent dead link]
5. ^ Friedman, Matt (January 19, 2012). "N.J. Sen. Joseph Kyrillos to seek U.S. Senate seat". The Star-Ledger. Retrieved January 19, 2012.
6. ^ Jennings, Rob (February 15, 2012). "Local man launches bid for U.S. Senate". New Jersey Herald. Archived from the original on March 4, 2016. Retrieved February 17, 2012.
7. ^ Portnoy, Jenna (February 16, 2012). "Gov. Christie makes campaign appearance for N.J. Sen. Joe Kyrillos' U.S. Senate bid". The Star-Ledger. Retrieved February 20, 2012.
8. ^ Pizarro, Max (September 21, 2011). "Linker ends his conservative bid for the U.S. Senate". PolitickerNJ. Retrieved October 23, 2011.
9. ^ "Winners and Losers: Conventions Edition". Politicker NJ. March 18, 2012. Retrieved March 19, 2012.
10. ^ Sen. Diane Allen on lessons from the campaign trail | NJ.com
11. ^ Greenbaum, Mark (November 30, 2010). "Opinion: Will Christie wage battle to defeat Menendez in 2012?". The Record. Retrieved December 29, 2010.
12. ^ Margolin, Josh (November 3, 2010). "Gov. Christie, U.S. Sen. Menendez expected to clash in long-awaited N.J. political battle". The Star-Ledger. Retrieved December 29, 2010.
13. ^ "Crowley Won't Run For Senate - Hotline On Call". Archived from the original on July 2, 2011. Retrieved June 30, 2011.
14. ^ Pizarro, Max (February 10, 2012). "Doherty formally backs Kyrillos for Senate". PolitickerNJ. Retrieved February 17, 2012.
15. ^ "Field is clearing for Kyrillos run for U.S. Senate". The Star-Ledger. December 18, 2011. Retrieved December 19, 2011.
16. ^ D'Aprile, Shane (December 12, 2010). "New Jersey GOP lacking a name to face a more vulnerable Menendez". The Hill. Retrieved December 29, 2010.
17. ^ Friedman, Matt (January 5, 2011). "N.J. Assemblyman Jay Webber resigns as Republican state chairman". The Star-Ledger. Retrieved January 5, 2011.
18. ^ "NJ Greens Pick Ken Wolski as Candidate for U.S. Senate". Atlantic Highlands Herald. March 13, 2012. Archived from the original on July 20, 2012. Retrieved April 15, 2012.
19. ^ Isherwood, Darryl R. (October 6, 2011). "Tinton Falls resident to challenge Menendez in primary". PolitickerNJ. Retrieved October 23, 2011.
20. ^ "Ken Kaplan for U.S. Senate". Archived from the original on February 20, 2012. Retrieved April 15, 2012.
21. ^ "Socialist Party MOC Nominates Pat Noble for Red Bank Board of Education". Socialist Party of Monmouth and Ocean Counties. February 16, 2012. Retrieved April 15, 2012.[permanent dead link]
22. ^ "NJ 101.5 to Host US Senate Debate". September 17, 2012.
23. ^ "NJ U.S. Senate Debate Planned". October 5, 2012.
24. ^ Bob Menendez Campaign Finances
25. ^ Joseph Kyrillos Campaign Finances
26. ^ Kenneth R. Kaplan
27. ^ [http://www.opensecrets.org/races/contrib.php?cycle=2012&id=NJS1 OpenSecrets
28. ^ Contributors by Industry (opensecrets.org)
29. ^ "2012 Senate Race Ratings for November 1, 2012". The Cook Political Report. Archived from the original on August 29, 2018. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
30. ^ "2012 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
31. ^ "2012 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
32. ^ "2012 Elections Map - Battle for the Senate 2012". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
33. ^ "Official List Candidates for US Senate - For GENERAL ELECTION 11/06/2012" (PDF). New Jersey Secretary of State. December 6, 2012. Retrieved November 7, 2013.
34. ^ "Daily Kos".

## External links

[edit]

* New Jersey Division of Elections
* Campaign contributions at OpenSecrets.org
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* Ken Kaplan for U.S. Senate
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