2016 Indiana Republican presidential primary

* * *

| <- 2012 | May 3, 2016 (2016-05-03) | 2020 ->

|
|

<- RI

NE ->

* * *

57 pledged delegates to the Republican National Convention
|  |  |  |

|
|
|

Candidate  | Donald Trump | Ted Cruz | John Kasich
Home state  | New York | Texas | Ohio
Delegate count  | 57 | 0  | 0
Popular vote  | 591,514 | 406,783  | 84,111
Percentage  | 53.26% | 36.63%  | 7.57%

* * *

Results by county

Donald Trump

40–50%

50–60%

60–70%

Ted Cruz

40–50%

50–60%

|

Elections in Indiana

Federal government

|  Presidential elections

* 1816
* 1820
* 1824
* 1828
* 1832
* 1836
* 1840
* 1844
* 1848
* 1852
* 1856
* 1860
* 1864
* 1868
* 1872
* 1876
* 1880
* 1884
* 1888
* 1892
* 1896
* 1900
* 1904
* 1908
* 1912
* 1916
* 1920
* 1924
* 1928
* 1932
* 1936
* 1940
* 1944
* 1948
* 1952
* 1956
* 1960
* 1964
* 1968
* 1972
* 1976
* 1980
* 1984
* 1988
* 1992
* 1996
* 2000
* 2004
* 2008
* 2012
* 2016
* 2020
* 2024

Presidential primaries

Democratic
1996
2000
2004
2008
2016
2020

Republican
2008
2012
2016
2020
2024
U.S. Senate elections

* 1816
* 1818
* 1821
* 1821 sp
* 1824
* 1827
* 1830
* 1832 sp
* 1832
* 1836
* 1838
* 1842
* 1844
* 1848
* 1850
* 1853 sp
* 1856
* 1857 sp
* 1860
* 1862
* 1863 sp
* 1867
* 1868
* 1873
* 1879
* 1879 sp
* 1885
* 1887
* 1891
* 1893
* 1897
* 1899
* 1903
* 1905
* 1905 sp
* 1909
* 1911
* 1914
* 1916
* 1916 sp
* 1920
* 1922
* 1926
* 1926 sp
* 1928
* 1932
* 1934
* 1938
* 1940
* 1944
* 1944 sp
* 1946
* 1950
* 1952
* 1956
* 1958
* 1962
* 1964
* 1968
* 1970
* 1974
* 1976
* 1980
* 1982
* 1986
* 1988
* 1990 sp
* 1992
* 1994
* 1998
* 2000
* 2004
* 2006
* 2010
* 2012
* 2016
* 2018
* 2022
* 2024

U.S. House of Representatives elections

* 1816
* 1817
* 1818
* 1820
* 1822
* AL sp
* 1824
* 1st sp
* 1826
* 1828
* 1831
* 1833
* 1835
* 1837
* 6th sp
* 1839
* 1840
* 7th sp
* 1841
* 1843
* 1845
* 1847
* 1849
* 1851
* 1852
* 1854
* 1856
* 1857
* 1st sp
* 10th sp
* 1858
* 1860
* 1862
* 1864
* 1866
* 1868
* 1870
* 1872
* 1874
* 1876
* 2nd sp
* 3rd sp
* 1878
* 1880
* 1882
* 1883
* 9th sp
* 1884
* 13th sp
* 1886
* 1888
* 1889
* 1st sp
* 1890
* 1892
* 1894
* 1896
* 1897
* 4th sp
* 1898
* 1900
* 1902
* 1904
* 1905
* 1st
* 1906
* 12th sp
* 1908
* 13th sp
* 1910
* 1912
* 1914
* 1916
* 1917
* 6th sp
* 1918
* 1920
* 1922
* 1924
* 1926
* 1928
* 1930
* 1932
* 1934
* 1935
* 2nd sp
* 1936
* 1938
* 1940
* 1942
* 1944
* 1946
* 1947
* 10th sp
* 1948
* 1950
* 1952
* 1954
* 1956
* 1958
* 1960
* 1962
* 1964
* 1966
* 1968
* 1970
* 1972
* 1974
* 1976
* 1978
* 1980
* 1982
* 1st sp
* 1984
* 1986
* 1988
* 1989
* 4th sp
* 1990
* 1992
* 1994
* 1996
* 1998
* 2000
* 2002
* 2004
* 2006
* 2008
* 7th sp
* 2010
* 3rd sp
* 2012
* 2014
* 2016
* 2018
* 2020
* 2022
* 2nd sp
* 2024

State government

|  State elections

* 2002
* 2004
* 2006
* 2008
* 2010
* 2012
* 2014
* 2016
* 2018
* 2020
* 2022
* 2024

Gubernatorial elections

* 1816
* 1819
* 1822
* 1825
* 1828
* 1831
* 1834
* 1837
* 1840
* 1843
* 1846
* 1849
* 1852
* 1856
* 1860
* 1864
* 1868
* 1872
* 1876
* 1880
* 1884
* 1888
* 1892
* 1896
* 1900
* 1904
* 1908
* 1912
* 1916
* 1920
* 1924
* 1928
* 1932
* 1936
* 1940
* 1944
* 1948
* 1952
* 1956
* 1960
* 1964
* 1968
* 1972
* 1976
* 1980
* 1984
* 1988
* 1992
* 1996
* 2000
* 2004
* 2008
* 2012
* 2016
* 2020
* 2024

Secretary of State elections

* 2010
* 2014
* 2018
* 2022

Attorney General elections

* 2012
* 2016
* 2020
* 2024

State Treasurer elections

* 2010
* 2014
* 2018
* 2022

Senate elections

* 2008
* 2010
* 2012
* 2014
* 2016
* 2018
* 2020
* 2022
* 2024
* 2026

House of Representatives elections

* 2008
* 2010
* 2012
* 2014
* 2016
* 2018
* 2020
* 2022
* 2024

Indianapolis

|  Mayoral elections

* 1925
* 1929
* 1947
* 1951
* 1955
* 1959
* 1963
* 1967
* 1971
* 1975
* 1979
* 1983
* 1987
* 1991
* 1995
* 1999
* 2003
* 2007
* 2011
* 2015
* 2019
* 2023

City-County Council elections

* 2007
* 2011
* 2015
* 2019
* 2023

Other localities

|  Carmel (mayoral)

Evansville (mayoral)
Fort Wayne (mayoral)
Gary (mayoral)
South Bend (mayoral)

* v
* t
* e

* v
* t
* e

The 2016 Indiana Republican presidential primary was held on May 3 in the U.S. state of Indiana as one of the Republican Party's primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election. This was a winner-take-all election, so Donald Trump, who came in first in the popular vote, won all the delegates.

The Democratic Party held their own Indiana primary on the same day, which was won by Bernie Sanders. Other primaries were not scheduled for that day.

Following Trump's win, both Cruz and Kasich suspended their campaigns and Trump was declared the presumptive GOP nominee.

## Primary

[edit]

### Pre-primary strategies

[edit]

By late April, Cruz and Kasich had both been eliminated from getting 1,237 delegates, but they still had a chance to accumulate enough delegates to force a contested convention in Cleveland. Realizing this, Cruz and Kasich attempted to focus their efforts in different states, with Cruz challenging Trump head-to-head in Indiana and Kasich challenging Trump head-to-head in Oregon and New Mexico. However, the alliance was tenuous at best, with Kasich telling voters in Indiana the next day to still vote for him and Cruz downplaying the alliance later in the week; it also met with disapproval from 58% of Indiana voters.[1][2][3]

### Final attempts to stop Trump

[edit]

Indiana was seen as the final state for the "Stop Trump" movement. Indiana, whose delegates were awarded winner-take all statewide and by congressional district, was seen as essential to denying Trump the 1,237 delegates needed to secure the nomination.[4] Following the Acela primaries, Cruz attempted to bolster his chances by announcing that, if nominated, he would name Fiorina as his running mate.[5] Fiorina had served as a Cruz campaign surrogate since March after suspending her own presidential campaign in February and Cruz hoped that Fiorina could help his campaign in Indiana and her home state of California.[6] On April 29, 2016, Governor Mike Pence of Indiana, who eventually became Donald Trump's running mate, announced that he would vote for Cruz in the primary election.[7] However, Cruz's posturing and endorsements proved to be insufficient, as Trump handily won Indiana with 53% of the vote, despite being outspent by a margin of more than 4–1.[8] Cruz lost Indiana by a wide margin to Trump (53% to 37% with Kasich at 8%) and subsequently dropped out of the race.

## Trump emerges as Republican nominee

[edit]

Cruz lost Indiana by a wide margin to Trump (53% to 37% with Kasich at 8%) and subsequently dropped out of the race. As a result, Reince Priebus, Republican National Committee chairman, tweeted that Trump was the presumptive nominee in the GOP. The next day, Kasich also suspended his campaign, leaving Trump as the only candidate in the race. Despite his endorsement of Cruz, Mike Pence went on to become Trump's running mate.

## Opinion polling

[edit]

See also: Statewide opinion polling for the 2016 Republican Party presidential primaries

List of polls

Main article: United States presidential election in Indiana, 2016

Winner:  Donald Trump
Primary date: May 3, 2016

| Poll source  | Date  | 1st  | 2nd  | 3rd  | Other

|
|
|
|
|

Primary results[9][self-published source] | May 3, 2016  | Donald Trump
53.25% | Ted Cruz
36.64%  | John Kasich
7.57%  | Ben Carson 0.80%, Jeb Bush 0.59%, Marco Rubio 0.47%, Rand Paul 0.39%, Chris Christie 0.16%, Carly Fiorina 0.13%
Gravis Marketing[10]

Margin of error: ± 5.0%
Sample size: 379

| April 28–29, 2016  | Donald Trump
44% | Ted Cruz
27%  | John Kasich
9%  | Undecided 19%
ARG[11]

Margin of error: ± 4.0%
Sample size: 400

| April 27–28, 2016  | Donald Trump
41% | Ted Cruz
32%  | John Kasich
21%  | Undecided 6%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[12]

Margin of error: ± 3.9%
Sample size: 645

| April 26–28, 2016  | Donald Trump
49% | Ted Cruz
34%  | John Kasich
13%  | Undecided 4%
IPFW[13]

Margin of error: ± 4.9%
Sample size: 400

| April 13–27, 2016  | Ted Cruz
45% | Donald Trump
29%  | John Kasich
13%  | Undecided 13%
Clout Research[14]

Margin of error: ±4.75%
Sample size: 423

| April 27, 2016  | Donald Trump 37.1% | Ted Cruz
35.2% | John Kasich
16.3%  | Undecided 11.4%
CBS News/YouGov[15]

Margin of error: ± 6.6%
Sample size: 548

| April 20–22, 2016  | Donald Trump 40% | Ted Cruz
35% | John Kasich
20%  | Undecided 5%
Fox News[16]

Margin of error: ± 4%
Sample size: 602

| April 18–21, 2016  | Donald Trump
41% | Ted Cruz
33%  | John Kasich
16%  | Undecided 7%, None 2%
POS/Howey Politics Indiana/WTHR Channel[17]

Margin of error: ± 4.3%
Sample size: 507

| April 18–21, 2016  | Donald Trump
37% | Ted Cruz
31%  | John Kasich
22%  | Undecided 7%, Other 2%
Bellwether[18]

Margin of error: ± 3.5%
Sample size: 670

| December 2–9, 2015  | Donald Trump
26% | Ted Cruz
17%  | Marco Rubio
17%  | Ben Carson 16%, Jeb Bush 6%, Rand Paul 5%, Chris Christie 3%, Carly Fiorina 3%, Rick Santorum 1%, Mike Huckabee 1%, John Kasich 1%

## Results

[edit]

See also: Results of the 2016 Republican Party presidential primaries

Trump won Indiana by a considerable margin statewide. He won nearly all regions of the state except for several counties in northeast Indiana containing the Fort Wayne and Elkhart areas, which Cruz won.

Indiana Republican primary, May 3, 2016  Candidate  | Votes  | Percentage  | Actual delegate count

|
|
|

Bound  | Unbound  | Total
Donald Trump | 591,514 | 53.26% | 57 | 0 | 57
Ted Cruz | 406,783  | 36.63%  | 0  | 0  | 0
John Kasich | 84,111  | 7.57%  | 0  | 0  | 0
Ben Carson (withdrawn) | 8,914  | 0.80%  | 0  | 0  | 0
Jeb Bush (withdrawn) | 6,508  | 0.59%  | 0  | 0  | 0
Marco Rubio (withdrawn) | 5,175  | 0.47%  | 0  | 0  | 0
Rand Paul (withdrawn) | 4,306  | 0.39%  | 0  | 0  | 0
Chris Christie (withdrawn) | 1,738  | 0.16%  | 0  | 0  | 0
Carly Fiorina (withdrawn) | 1,494  | 0.13%  | 0  | 0  | 0
Unprojected delegates:  | 0  | 0  | 0
Total:  | 1,110,543  | 100.00%  | 57  | 0  | 57
Source: The Green Papers

## References

[edit]

1. ^ Schwartz, Ian (April 25, 2016). "Kasich on Indiana: 'I Never Told People Not To Vote For Me, They Ought To Vote For Me' | Video". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved May 4, 2016.
2. ^ Scott, Eugene (April 28, 2016). "Ted Cruz on John Kasich: 'There is no alliance'". CNN. Retrieved April 29, 2016.
3. ^ Mack, Justin L. (May 2, 2016). "Poll: Reversal of fortune, Donald Trump tops Ted Cruz in Indiana". Indystar.com. Retrieved May 4, 2016.
4. ^ "Ted Cruz and John Kasich team up in deal to stop Trump". The Guardian. April 24, 2016. Retrieved April 24, 2016.
5. ^ "Ted Cruz Will Name Carly Fiorina As His Vice Presidential Pick". NPR.
6. ^ Sullivan, Sean; Costa, Robert (April 27, 2016). "Cruz announces Carly Fiorina as his running mate". The Washington Post. Retrieved April 27, 2016.
7. ^ Bradner, Eric (April 29, 2016). "Mike Pence endorses Ted Cruz". CNN. Retrieved March 3, 2019.
8. ^ Collinson, Stephen (May 3, 2016). "CNN projects Donald Trump wins Indiana, on cusp of GOP nomination". CNN. Retrieved May 3, 2016.
9. ^ Primary results
10. ^ "Current Indiana Polling". Gravis Marketing. May 2, 2016. Retrieved May 2, 2016.
11. ^ "2016 Indiana Republican Presidential Primary". American Research Group. Archived from the original on May 2, 2016. Retrieved April 30, 2016.
12. ^ Mark Murray (May 2016). "Donald Trump Leads Cruz by 15 Points in Crucial Indiana Race". NBC News. Retrieved May 1, 2016.
13. ^ "Cruz Ahead in Indiana" (PDF). Mike Downs Center for Indiana Politics. Retrieved April 30, 2016.
14. ^ "Survey of Likely GOP Primary Election Voters in Indiana" (PDF). Clout. Retrieved April 28, 2016.
15. ^ "Trump, Clinton have the edge in Pennsylvania, Indiana". YouGov. Retrieved April 25, 2016.
16. ^ "Fox News Poll: Indiana presidential primary". Shaw & Company Research. Retrieved April 23, 2016.
17. ^ "EXCLUSIVE WTHR/HPI Poll: Trump, Clinton have small leads in Indiana, overall tight race". Howey Politics Indiana. April 22, 2016. Archived from the original on April 23, 2016. Retrieved April 23, 2016.
18. ^ Bellwether

* v
* t
* e

2016 Republican Party presidential primaries

* Candidates
* Endorsements
* Debates and forums
* Polling
* Results
* Convention

February|

* Iowa
* New Hampshire
* South Carolina
* Nevada

Super Tuesday|

* Alabama
* Alaska
* Arkansas
* Colorado
* Georgia
* Massachusetts
* Minnesota
* North Dakota
* Oklahoma
* Tennessee
* Texas
* Vermont
* Virginia
* Wyoming

March|

* Kansas
* Kentucky
* Louisiana
* Maine
* Puerto Rico
* Hawaii
* Idaho
* Michigan
* Mississippi
* U.S. Virgin Islands
* District of Columbia
* Guam
* Florida
* Illinois
* Missouri
* Northern Marianas
* North Carolina
* Ohio
* American Samoa
* Arizona
* Utah

April|

* Wisconsin
* New York
* Connecticut
* Delaware
* Maryland
* Pennsylvania
* Rhode Island

May|

* Indiana
* Nebraska
* West Virginia
* Oregon
* Washington

June|

* California
* Montana
* New Jersey
* New Mexico
* South Dakota

*[v]: View this template
*[t]: Discuss this template
*[e]: Edit this template