2016 Kentucky Democratic presidential primary

* * *

| <- 2012 | May 17, 2016 (2016-05-17) | 2020 ->

|
|

|  |  |  |

|
|
|

Candidate  | Hillary Clinton | Bernie Sanders | Uncommitted
Home state  | New York | Vermont | N/A
Delegate count  | 28 | 27  | 3
Popular vote  | 212,534[1] | 210,623  | 24,104
Percentage  | 46.76% | 46.33%  | 5.30%

* * *

Election results by county.

Clinton

40 – 50%

50 – 60%

Sanders

40 – 50%

50 – 60%

60 – 70%

|

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The 2016 Kentucky Democratic presidential primary was held on May 17 in the U.S. state of Kentucky as one of the Democratic Party's primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election.

On the same day, the Democratic Party held their Oregon primary. The Republican Party held their Kentucky caucuses in early March.

## Opinion polling

[edit]

See also: Statewide opinion polling for the Democratic Party presidential primaries, 2016

List of polls

Main article: Kentucky Democratic primary, 2016

Delegate count: 55 Pledged, 5 Unpledged Winner:  Hillary Clinton
Primary date: May 17, 2016

| Poll source  | Date  | 1st  | 2nd  | 3rd  | Other

|
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Official Primary results[2] | May 17, 2016  | Hillary Clinton
46.8% | Bernie Sanders
46.3%  |  | Others / Uncommitted
6.9%
Public Policy Polling[3]

Margin of error: ± 4.4%
Sample size: 501

| March 1–2, 2016  | Hillary Clinton
43% | Bernie Sanders
38% |  | Others / Undecided
19%
Public Policy Polling[4]

Margin of error: ± 4%
Sample size: 610

| June 18–21, 2015  | Hillary Clinton
56% | Bernie Sanders
12%  | Jim Webb
7%  | Lincoln Chafee 5%, Martin O'Malley 3%, Not sure 18%

## Results

[edit]

See also: Results of the Democratic Party presidential primaries, 2016

Kentucky Democratic primary, May 17, 2016

Candidate  | Popular vote  | Estimated delegates
Count  | Percentage  | Pledged | Unpledged | Total
Hillary Clinton | 212,534  | 46.76%  | 28  | 2  | 30
Bernie Sanders | 210,623  | 46.33%  | 27  | 0  | 27
Martin O'Malley (withdrawn) | 5,713  | 1.26%  |  |  |
Roque "Rocky" De La Fuente | 1,594  | 0.35%  |  |  |
Uncommitted  | 24,104  | 5.30%  | 0  | 3  | 3
Total  | 454,568  | 100%  | 55  | 5  | 60
Source: [5][6]

### Results by county

[edit]

County[7] | Clinton  | Votes  | Sanders  | Votes

|
|
|
|

Adair | 49.6% | 466 | 43.7% | 410
Allen | 46.0% | 427 | 47.4% | 440
Anderson | 36.0% | 1,132 | 52.4% | 1,649
Ballard | 32.0% | 405 | 52.0% | 659
Barren | 37.2% | 1,979 | 49.9% | 2,653
Bath | 45.6% | 628 | 46.6% | 641
Bell | 44.7% | 567 | 45.6% | 578
Boone | 51.8% | 2,932 | 44.1% | 2,496
Bourbon | 46.5% | 1,109 | 45.6% | 1,087
Boyd | 44.7% | 2,193 | 46.1% | 2,262
Boyle | 49.9% | 1,648 | 43.9% | 1,451
Bracken | 32.5% | 251 | 54.9% | 424
Breathitt | 33.9% | 1,123 | 51.8% | 1,716
Breckinridge | 45.9% | 877 | 45.8% | 875
Bullitt | 44.4% | 2,907 | 49.1% | 3,210
Butler | 51.1% | 238 | 42.1% | 196
Caldwell | 34.3% | 570 | 52.1% | 866
Calloway | 35.8% | 1,460 | 55.0% | 2,239
Campbell | 48.1% | 3,169 | 47.5% | 3,133
Carlisle | 25.6% | 206 | 57.5% | 462
Carroll | 41.5% | 481 | 49.4% | 573
Carter | 39.1% | 800 | 51.4% | 1,051
Casey | 50.7% | 210 | 44.0% | 182
Christian | 50.2% | 2,437 | 39.9% | 1,936
Clark | 45.5% | 1,810 | 47.5% | 1,888
Clay | 48.4% | 184 | 41.6% | 158
Clinton | 57.9% | 151 | 35.6% | 93
Crittenden | 35.6% | 240 | 51.0% | 344
Cumberland | 44.8% | 78 | 50.0% | 87
Daviess | 45.5% | 5,066 | 46.6% | 5,188
Edmonson | 49.5% | 275 | 47.1% | 262
Elliott | 35.7% | 301 | 52.6% | 443
Estill | 47.6% | 446 | 47.0% | 440
Fayette | 52.8% | 20,014 | 45.0% | 17,048
Fleming | 40.7% | 627 | 52.3% | 806
Floyd | 31.4% | 2,327 | 54.1% | 4,010
Franklin | 45.1% | 5,218 | 46.6% | 5,398
Fulton | 46.6% | 315 | 36.2% | 245
Gallatin | 39.5% | 260 | 51.6% | 340
Garrard | 50.5% | 434 | 45.0% | 387
Grant | 40.9% | 594 | 49.2% | 715
Graves | 31.8% | 1,631 | 51.3% | 2,631
Grayson | 49.9% | 705 | 44.6% | 630
Green | 40.4% | 284 | 51.2% | 360
Greenup | 43.8% | 1,517 | 47.7% | 1,655
Hancock | 42.5% | 491 | 49.7% | 573
Hardin | 47.8% | 4,359 | 46.2% | 4,208
Harlan | 25.9% | 451 | 62.8% | 1,092
Harrison | 41.4% | 886 | 49.5% | 1,059
Hart | 39.7% | 817 | 51.6% | 1,062
Henderson | 43.4% | 2,887 | 42.9% | 2,850
Henry | 40.6% | 781 | 49.8% | 958
Hickman | 32.5% | 209 | 46.6% | 300
Hopkins | 32.7% | 1,690 | 52.2% | 2,696
Jackson | 35.9% | 78 | 59.0% | 128
Jefferson | 57.3% | 64,090 | 40.3% | 45,048
Jessamine | 44.2% | 1,875 | 49.8% | 2,113
Johnson | 32.9% | 444 | 55.5% | 749
Kenton | 49.0% | 5,146 | 46.5% | 4,880
Knott | 30.8% | 583 | 58.8% | 1,114
Knox | 47.9% | 520 | 46.4% | 504
LaRue | 34.7% | 612 | 51.6% | 910
Laurel | 49.1% | 845 | 45.9% | 791
Lawrence | 35.3% | 444 | 52.4% | 659
Lee | 42.9% | 199 | 48.3% | 224
Leslie | 43.8% | 64 | 52.7% | 77
Letcher | 26.7% | 838 | 56.9% | 1,788
Lewis | 51.7% | 211 | 37.0% | 151
Lincoln | 47.7% | 779 | 45.5% | 742
Livingston | 34.4% | 400 | 52.4% | 610
Logan | 43.8% | 1,077 | 46.0% | 1,131
Lyon | 40.5% | 497 | 45.7% | 561
Madison | 41.6% | 3,441 | 53.0% | 4,385
Magoffin | 42.7% | 511 | 52.3% | 626
Marion | 50.3% | 1,162 | 42.6% | 983
Marshall | 34.7% | 1,577 | 50.8% | 2,308
Martin | 31.2% | 104 | 57.4% | 191
Mason | 44.1% | 727 | 47.0% | 775
McCracken | 43.8% | 3,334 | 46.5% | 3,541
McCreary | 41.9% | 169 | 50.4% | 203
McLean | 38.1% | 477 | 50.1% | 628
Meade | 41.9% | 1,312 | 49.2% | 1,541
Menifee | 44.8% | 311 | 46.5% | 323
Mercer | 39.1% | 988 | 52.6% | 1,331
Metcalfe | 41.7% | 506 | 47.9% | 582
Monroe | 50.8% | 126 | 44.0% | 109
Montgomery | 45.8% | 1,289 | 47.0% | 1,322
Morgan | 31.6% | 544 | 57.3% | 988
Muhlenberg | 43.3% | 1,544 | 45.7% | 1,632
Nelson | 47.6% | 2,395 | 46.6% | 2,345
Nicholas | 42.2% | 353 | 50.2% | 420
Ohio | 41.3% | 778 | 50.0% | 943
Oldham | 52.4% | 2,730 | 44.4% | 2,315
Owen | 34.6% | 453 | 55.0% | 720
Owsley | 43.3% | 77 | 51.1% | 91
Pendleton | 36.6% | 388 | 51.5% | 546
Perry | 30.0% | 839 | 59.6% | 1,666
Pike | 26.1% | 2,335 | 54.3% | 4,848
Powell | 42.4% | 623 | 50.7% | 744
Pulaski | 47.4% | 1,169 | 46.6% | 1,148
Robertson | 32.0% | 95 | 59.6% | 177
Rockcastle | 45.7% | 238 | 48.8% | 254
Rowan | 44.0% | 1,170 | 51.2% | 1,363
Russell | 48.2% | 343 | 46.7% | 332
Scott | 48.6% | 2,505 | 46.4% | 2,394
Shelby | 47.8% | 2,195 | 44.5% | 2,044
Simpson | 45.9% | 708 | 45.1% | 695
Spencer | 42.7% | 673 | 51.2% | 806
Taylor | 50.3% | 949 | 44.8% | 844
Todd | 35.1% | 333 | 53.5% | 507
Trigg | 40.8% | 604 | 48.3% | 715
Trimble | 38.3% | 415 | 50.0% | 542
Union | 29.9% | 672 | 49.3% | 1,106
Warren | 44.9% | 4,829 | 49.9% | 5,365
Washington | 47.0% | 601 | 45.5% | 582
Wayne | 55.6% | 502 | 39.4% | 356
Webster | 28.7% | 693 | 48.5% | 1,169
Whitley | 52.5% | 522 | 41.1% | 409
Wolfe | 42.1% | 414 | 50.7% | 499
Woodford | 46.3% | 1,862 | 47.7% | 1,918
Total | 46.8% | 212,550 | 46.3% | 210,626

## Analysis

[edit]

Clinton's strength with conservative white voters in the Appalachia region, including Coal Country, had clearly regressed since 2008; she had beaten Barack Obama 65–29 in Kentucky eight years earlier, and only beat rival Bernie Sanders 47–46 in 2016. She ran strongly in Louisville, where the African American population is highest, but lost many of the Eastern Kentucky Coalfield counties in the state to Bernie Sanders, who had won a large victory in neighboring West Virginia the week prior. Sanders also won many counties in the Jackson Purchase area. Notably, in 2012, almost all of the Sanders counties voted for the "Uncommitted" ballot option in a protest vote against Obama.

## References

[edit]

1. ^ Kentucky Secretary of State
2. ^ Official Primary results
3. ^ "Kentucky Survey Results" (PDF). publicpolicypolling.com. Retrieved March 8, 2016.
4. ^ "PPP KY" (PDF). publicpolicypolling.com. Retrieved July 9, 2015.
5. ^ The Green Papers
6. ^ Kentucky Secretary of State
7. ^ "2016 Election Center". CNN. Retrieved June 4, 2018.

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