2016 Virginia Democratic presidential primary

* * *

| <- 2012 | March 1, 2016 (2016-03-01) | 2020 ->

|
|

|  |  |

|
|

Candidate  | Hillary Clinton | Bernie Sanders
Home state  | New York | Vermont
Delegate count  | 62 | 33
Popular vote  | 504,741 | 276,370
Percentage  | 64.29% | 35.20%

* * *

Results by county
Clinton: 50-60% 60-70% 70-80% 80-90% >90%
Sanders: 50-60% 60-70% 70-80%

Elections in Virginia

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* v
* t
* e

The 2016 Virginia Democratic presidential primary took place on March 1 in the U.S. state of Virginia as one of the Democratic Party's primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election.

On the same day, dubbed "Super Tuesday," Democratic primaries were held in ten other states plus American Samoa, while the Republican Party held primaries in eleven states including their own Virginia primary.

## Opinion polling

[edit]

See also: Statewide opinion polling for the Democratic Party presidential primaries, 2016

Poll source  | Date  | 1st  | 2nd  | Other

|
|
|
|

Primary results[1] | March 1, 2016  | Hillary Clinton
64.3% | Bernie Sanders
35.2%  | Other 0.5%
SurveyMonkey[2]

Margin of error: ?
Sample size: 908

| February 22–29, 2016  | Hillary Clinton
57% | Bernie Sanders
36%  | Others / Undecided

YouGov/CBS News[3]

Margin of error: 9.2%
Sample size: 471

| February 22–26, 2016  | Hillary Clinton
59% | Bernie Sanders
39%  | Others / Undecided

Monmouth[4]

Margin of error: ± 5.6%
Sample size: 302

| February 22–24, 2016  | Hillary Clinton
60% | Bernie Sanders
33%  | Others / Undecided

Roanoke College[5]

Margin of error: ± 4.8%
Sample size: 415

| February 16–24, 2016  | Hillary Clinton
50% | Bernie Sanders
33%  | Others / Undecided
17%
Public Policy Polling[6]

Margin of error: ± 4.4
Sample size: 500

| February 14–16, 2016  | Hillary Clinton
56% | Bernie Sanders
34%  |
Christopher Newport University[7]

Margin of error: ± 4.3%
Sample size: 735

| February 3–14, 2016  | Hillary Clinton
52% | Bernie Sanders
40%  | Others / Undecided

Polls in 2015

Poll source  | Date  | 1st  | 2nd  | 3rd  | Other

|
|
|
|
|

University of Mary Washington[8]

Registered voters:
Margin of error: ± 3.9%
Sample size: 357
Likely voters:
Margin of error: ± 4.3%
Sample size: 276

| November 4–9, 2015  | Hillary Clinton
58% (RV)
63% (LV) | Bernie Sanders
32% (RV)
27% (LV)  | Martin O'Malley
4% (RV)
5% (LV)  | Don't know/None/Refused/Wouldn't vote in that primary
7% (RV)
5% (LV)
Christopher Newport University[9]

Margin of error: ± 5.1%
Sample size: 407

| September 29 –October 8, 2015  | Hillary Clinton
40% | Bernie Sanders
23%  | Joe Biden
23%  | Jim Webb 5%, Martin O'Malley 2%, Lincoln Chafee <1%, Someone Else 1%, Undecided/Don't Know/Refused 5%
Public Policy Polling[10]

Margin of error: ± 4.9%
Sample size: 409

| July 13–15, 2015  | Hillary Clinton
64% | Bernie Sanders
14%  | Jim Webb
8%  | Lincoln Chafee 5%, Martin O'Malley 2%, Not sure 7%
Christopher Newport University[11]

Margin of error: ± ?
Sample size: ?

| April 13–24, 2015  | Hillary Clinton
80% | Jim Webb
6%  | Joe Biden
5%  | Bernie Sanders 2%, Martin O'Malley 1%, Lincoln Chafee<1%, Someone else 2%, Undecided 3%
Christopher Newport University[12]

Margin of error: ± ?
Sample size: ?

| January 30 – February 10, 2015  | Hillary Clinton
65% | Jim Webb
10%  | Joe Biden
8%  | Elizabeth Warren 8%, Deval Patrick 2%, Bernie Sanders 2%, Andrew Cuomo 1%, Martin O'Malley 1%, Someone else 1%, Undecided 2%

Polls in 2014

Poll source  | Date  | 1st  | 2nd  | 3rd  | Other

|
|
|
|
|

Christopher Newport University[13]

Margin of error: ± 5%
Sample size: 391

| February 23–28, 2014  | Hillary Clinton
66% | Joe Biden
19%  | Elizabeth Warren
7%  | Undecided 9%

Polls in 2013

Poll source  | Date  | 1st  | 2nd  | 3rd  | Other

|
|
|
|
|

University of Mary Washington[14]

Margin of error: ±?
Sample size: ?

| September 25–29, 2013  | Hillary Clinton
34% | Mark Warner
16%  | Joe Biden
9%  | Elizabeth Warren 3%, Andrew Cuomo 2%, Martin O'Malley 1%, None 12%, Don't know 17%
Public Policy Polling[15]

Margin of error: ±5.2%
Sample size: 357

| July 11–14, 2013  | Hillary Clinton
51% | Joe Biden
14%  | Mark Warner
11%  | Elizabeth Warren 6%, Cory Booker 4%, Martin O'Malley 3%, Andrew Cuomo 2%, Brian Schweitzer 1%, Kirsten Gillibrand 0%, Someone else/Undecided 8%
Public Policy Polling[16]

Margin of error: ± 4.8%
Sample size: 421

| May 24–26, 2013  | Hillary Clinton
56% | Joe Biden
14%  | Mark Warner
11%  | Andrew Cuomo 3%, Elizabeth Warren 3%, Kirsten Gillibrand 1%, Martin O'Malley 1%, Deval Patrick 0%, Brian Schweitzer 0%, Someone else/Undecided 10%
University of Mary Washington[17]

Margin of error: ±?
Sample size: ?

| March 20–24, 2013  | Hillary Clinton
38% | Mark Warner
18%  | Joe Biden
10%  | Andrew Cuomo 3%, Martin O'Malley 3%, Other 1%, None 12%, Don't know 12%

## Results

[edit]

See also: Results of the Democratic Party presidential primaries, 2016

Primary date: March 1, 2016
National delegates: 95

Virginia Democratic primary, March 1, 2016

Candidate  | Popular vote  | Estimated delegates
Count  | Percentage  | Pledged | Unpledged | Total
Hillary Clinton | 504,741  | 64.29%  |

Bernie Sanders | 276,370  | 35.20%  |

Martin O'Malley (withdrawn) | 3,930  | 0.50%  |  |  |
Uncommitted  | —  |

Total  | 785,041  | 100%  | 95  | 14  | 109
Source: [18][19]

### Results by county/Independent cities

[edit]

County[20] | Clinton  | Votes  | Sanders  | Votes

|
|
|
|

Accomack | 72.0% | 1,790 | 27.4% | 682
Albemarle | 54.6% | 8,288 | 45.0% | 6,844
Alexandria | 69.5% | 16,310 | 29.9% | 7,031
Alleghany | 63.3% | 433 | 36.0% | 246
Amelia | 78.8% | 671 | 21.0% | 179
Amherst | 65.2% | 1,044 | 34.1% | 546
Appomattox | 67.0% | 448 | 32.1% | 215
Arlington | 66.8% | 25,582 | 32.8% | 12,566
Augusta | 48.0% | 1,639 | 51.4% | 1,754
Bath | 63.0% | 148 | 36.6% | 86
Bedford | 56.5% | 1,876 | 42.9% | 1,424
Bland | 51.7% | 125 | 47.1% | 114
Botetourt | 55.7% | 888 | 43.6% | 695
Bristol | 56.3% | 428 | 42.6% | 324
Brunswick | 89.7% | 1,354 | 10.1% | 153
Buchanan | 70.3% | 523 | 28.4% | 211
Buckingham | 76.6% | 902 | 23.1% | 272
Buena Vista | 58.2% | 142 | 41.0% | 100
Campbell | 65.8% | 1,299 | 33.8% | 667
Caroline | 74.2% | 1,902 | 25.1% | 642
Carroll | 57.1% | 601 | 42.4% | 446
Charles City | 85.6% | 864 | 14.0% | 141
Charlotte | 79.1% | 162 | 20.2% | 162
Charlottesville | 46.3% | 3,889 | 53.4% | 4,483
Chesapeake | 74.1% | 16,133 | 25.5% | 5,558
Chesterfield | 66.0% | 22,617 | 33.6% | 11,514
Clarke | 51.4% | 625 | 47.7% | 581
Colonia Heights | 55.8% | 407 | 43.4% | 316
Covington | 73.6% | 237 | 25.5% | 82
Craig | 51.1% | 113 | 48.0% | 106
Culpeper | 54.7% | 1,421 | 44.4% | 1,154
Cumberland | 79.9% | 639 | 19.8% | 158
Danville | 79.9% | 2,677 | 19.6% | 656
Dickenson | 60.0% | 346 | 38.7% | 223
Dinwiddie | 83.3% | 1,935 | 16.2% | 375
Emporia | 88.7% | 407 | 10.9% | 50
Essex | 82.1% | 643 | 17.1% | 134
Fairfax (City) | 59.4% | 1,841 | 40.2% | 1,246
Fairfax (County) | 63.0% | 88,147 | 36.4% | 50,930
Falls Church | 61.2% | 1,588 | 38.5% | 1,000
Fauquier | 54.5% | 2,860 | 44.7% | 2,345
Floyd | 29.6% | 396 | 70.1% | 936
Fluvanna | 57.6% | 1,355 | 41.8% | 984
Franklin | 86.9% | 804 | 12.4% | 115
Franklin | 62.6% | 1,675 | 36.6% | 980
Frederick | 50.1% | 2,114 | 49.1% | 2,072
Fredericksburg | 52.7% | 1,400 | 46.7% | 1,241
Galax | 57.9% | 129 | 41.3% | 92
Giles | 55.7% | 405 | 43.6% | 317
Gloucester | 59.1% | 1,448 | 40.5% | 993
Goochland | 71.5% | 1,574 | 28.3% | 624
Grayson | 49.3% | 265 | 50.0% | 269
Greene | 48.7% | 579 | 50.8% | 603
Greensville | 87.7% | 832 | 11.9% | 113
Halifax | 80.8% | 1,756 | 18.6% | 403
Hampton | 77.9% | 13,542 | 21.7% | 3,770
Hanover | 59.9% | 4,916 | 39.7% | 3,255
Harrisonburg | 33.6% | 1,482 | 66.1% | 2,914
Henrico | 69.8% | 28,170 | 29.7% | 11,994
Henry | 72.7% | 1,810 | 26.7% | 664
Highland | 49.4% | 86 | 50.6% | 88
Hopewell | 77.4% | 1,177 | 22.2% | 337
Isle of Wight | 73.9% | 2,449 | 25.7% | 853
James City | 65.1% | 5,213 | 34.3% | 2,752
King and Queen | 78.7% | 477 | 20.8% | 126
King George | 59.4% | 916 | 39.7% | 612
King William | 72.0% | 843 | 26.9% | 315
Lancaster | 74.4% | 823 | 24.8% | 275
Lee | 63.5% | 317 | 34.1% | 170
Lexington | 61.2% | 403 | 37.9% | 250
Loudoun | 58.6% | 21,180 | 40.8% | 14,730
Louisa | 65.5% | 1,630 | 34.1% | 849
Lunenburg | 83.5% | 736 | 16.0% | 141
Lynchburg | 61.6% | 3,105 | 38.2% | 1,923
Madison | 59.1% | 538 | 40.7% | 370
Manassas | 58.0% | 1,813 | 41.1% | 1,284
Manassas Park | 57.4% | 581 | 42.2% | 427
Martinsville | 75.3% | 834 | 23.8% | 264
Mathews | 63.2% | 435 | 35.9% | 247
Mecklenburg | 80.3% | 1,589 | 19.2% | 379
Middlesex | 64.4% | 509 | 35.4% | 280
Montgomery | 40.7% | 3,507 | 59.0% | 5,090
Nelson | 56.2% | 992 | 43.1% | 761
New Kent | 67.8% | 951 | 31.4% | 440
Newport News | 73.0% | 4,553 | 26.6% | 4,553
Norfolk | 69.2% | 15,760 | 30.5% | 6,936
Northampton | 72.5% | 868 | 27.1% | 324
Northumberland | 75.1% | 823 | 24.2% | 265
Norton | 53.8% | 86 | 45.0% | 72
Nottoway | 78.1% | 829 | 21.1% | 224
Orange | 59.9% | 1,322 | 39.4% | 870
Page | 53.4% | 411 | 46.0% | 353
Patrick | 48.9% | 361 | 50.3% | 372
Petersburg | 85.4% | 4,100 | 14.3% | 688
Pittsylvania | 75.2% | 2,371 | 24.3% | 766
Poquoson | 46.5% | 295 | 52.8% | 335
Portsmouth | 78.5% | 9,469 | 21.1% | 2,541
Powhatan | 64.4% | 1,079 | 35.3% | 592
Prince Edward | 75.9% | 1,366 | 23.3% | 420
Prince George | 77.7% | 1,994 | 22.1% | 566
Prince William | 63.9% | 26,443 | 35.5% | 14,701
Pulaski | 58.3% | 837 | 41.0% | 588
Radford | 41.6% | 472 | 57.7% | 655
Richmond (City) | 60.6% | 21,828 | 39.2% | 14,117
Richmond (County) | 80.1% | 333 | 19.2% | 80
Roanoke (City) | 59.0% | 4,784 | 40.8% | 3,302
Roanoke (County) | 54.3% | 3,325 | 45.1% | 2,761
Rockbridge | 57.1% | 902 | 42.8% | 676
Rockingham | 47.0% | 1,735 | 52.6% | 1,943
Russell | 59.9% | 557 | 38.8% | 361
Salem | 50.9% | 765 | 48.4% | 727
Scott | 56.2% | 305 | 42.9% | 233
Shenandoah | 50.5% | 960 | 48.8% | 929
Smyth | 58.7% | 527 | 40.2% | 361
Southampton | 83.8% | 1,199 | 15.1% | 216
Spotsylvania | 60.4% | 5,399 | 38.9% | 3,480
Stafford | 60.9% | 6,439 | 38.2% | 4,042
Staunton | 44.8% | 1,115 | 54.8% | 1,365
Suffolk | 79.5% | 7,537 | 20.0% | 1,895
Surry | 81.8% | 812 | 17.5% | 174
Sussex | 90.5% | 957 | 9.3% | 98
Tazewell | 57.6% | 683 | 40.6% | 481
Virginia Beach | 63.1% | 22,362 | 36.6% | 12,983
Warren | 48.0% | 942 | 51.4% | 1,008
Washington | 54.1% | 1,185 | 45.0% | 984
Waynesboro | 50.3% | 788 | 49.0% | 769
Westmoreland | 74.5% | 879 | 25.0% | 295
Williamsburg | 49.0% | 1,159 | 50.7% | 1,199
Winchester | 50.9% | 950 | 48.4% | 903
Wise | 46.8% | 519 | 52.3% | 579
Whythe | 55.3% | 529 | 44.2% | 423
York | 61.4% | 3,292 | 38.1% | 2,041
Total | 64.3% | 504,741 | 35.2% | 276,370

## Analysis

[edit]

After losing the state badly to Barack Obama in 2008, Hillary Clinton won Virginia by 29 points against Bernie Sanders in 2016. Her victory was primarily delivered by African Americans who backed Clinton 84-16, and women, who backed Clinton over Sanders by a margin of 70-30. Clinton also won the white vote in Virginia, 57-42, which comprised 63% of the electorate in the State. Clinton swept all income levels and educational attainment levels.

Clinton won most of the major cities in Virginia. She won Alexandria and Fairfax by a wide margin. She also won the D.C. suburbs as a whole, 65-35. This region has a large population of college-educated whites as well as African Americans. Clinton won the Northern Virginia Exurbs 60-40. She performed well in more rural Central Virginia and western Virginia including the Shenandoah Valley, winning 54-43 over Bernie Sanders and carrying the city of Roanoke. Clinton also won the eastern region of Virginia, including the major city of Richmond, by a margin of 66-34. She won in the Tidewater region of Virginia 72-28.

## References

[edit]

1. ^ Primary results
2. ^ "Trump's Lead Looks Steady in Run-Up to Super Tuesday". Retrieved March 1, 2016.
3. ^ "CBS News 2016 Battleground TrackerVirginia". Retrieved February 28, 2016.
4. ^ "VIRGINIA: TRUMP, CLINTON LEAD PRIMARIES" (PDF).
5. ^ "RC Poll: Clinton, Trump hold leads in Virginia primary elections; Cruz, Rubio in tight battle for second".
6. ^ "Subject: Clinton leads in 10 of 12 Early March Primaries; Benefits From Overwhelming Black Support" (PDF).
7. ^ "Trump leads GOP field, with Rubio and Cruz next; Clinton leads Sanders among Virginia Democrats" (PDF).
8. ^ "VIRGINIA SURVEY 2015" (PDF). umw.edu. Retrieved November 17, 2015.
9. ^ "Clinton top choice among Virginia Democrats, but Biden performs better against Republicans" (PDF). Cnu.edu. Retrieved October 12, 2015.
10. ^ "Bush leads GOP Field in Virginia Poll" (PDF). Public Policy Polling. Retrieved July 16, 2015.
11. ^ "Bush tops Clinton in battleground Virginia; Republican 2016 field still largely wide open, while Democrats rally strongly around Clinton" (PDF). Cnu.edu. Retrieved July 11, 2015.
12. ^ Christopher Newport University
13. ^ Christopher Newport University
14. ^ University of Mary Washington
15. ^ Public Policy Polling
16. ^ Public Policy Polling
17. ^ University of Mary Washington
18. ^ The Green Papers
19. ^ Virginia Department of Elections
20. ^ "2016 March Democratic Presidential Primary".

* v
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(← 2012)  2016 Democratic presidential primaries (2020 →)

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