2017 Western Australian state election

State general election for Western Australia

2017 Western Australian state election

* * *

| <- 2013 | 11 March 2017 | 2021 ->

|
|

* * *

All 59 seats in the Western Australian Legislative Assembly
and all 36 members in the Western Australian Legislative Council
30 Assembly seats were needed for a majority
Opinion polls
|  | First party  | Second party  | Third party

|
|
|

|  |  |
Leader  | Mark McGowan | Colin Barnett | Brendon Grylls
Party  | Labor | Liberal | National
Leader since  | 23 January 2012 (2012-01-23) | 6 August 2008 (2008-08-06) | 9 August 2016 (2016-08-09)
Leader's seat  | Rockingham | Cottesloe | Pilbara
(lost seat)
Last election  | 21 seats  | 31 seats  | 7 seats
Seats won  | 41 | 13  | 5
Seat change  |  20  |  18  |  2
First preference vote  | 557,794 | 412,710  | 71,313
Percentage  | 42.20% | 31.23%  | 5.40%
Swing  |  9.07  |  15.88  |  0.66
2PP | 55.5% | 44.5%  |
2PP swing  |  12.80  |  12.80  |

* * *

The map on the left shows the first party preference by electorate. The map on the right shows the final two-party preferred vote result by electorate.

* * *

| Premier before election

Colin Barnett
Liberal

| Elected Premier

Mark McGowan
Labor

|

The 2017 Western Australian state election was held on Saturday 11 March 2017 to elect members to the Parliament of Western Australia, including all 59 seats in the Legislative Assembly and all 36 seats in the Legislative Council. The eight-and-a-half-year two-term incumbent Liberal–WA National government, led by Premier Colin Barnett, was defeated in a landslide by the Labor opposition, led by Opposition Leader Mark McGowan.

Labor won 41 of the 59 seats in the Legislative Assembly—a 12-seat supermajority. This was WA Labor's strongest performance in a state election at the time, and formed the largest majority government and seat tally in Western Australian parliamentary history until that point. Additionally, Labor exceeded all published opinion polling, winning 55.5 percent of the two-party-preferred vote from a state record landslide 12.8-point two-party swing.[1][2][3] It was the worst defeat of a sitting government in Western Australia, as well as one of the worst defeats of a sitting state or territory government since Federation.

Labor also became the largest party in the Legislative Council with 14 of the 36 seats. The Labor government thus required at least five additional votes from non-government members to pass legislation.[3][4]

## Results

[edit]

### Legislative Assembly

[edit]

See also: Results of the Western Australian state election, 2017 (Legislative Assembly)

Government (41)

Labor (41)

Opposition (13)

Liberal (13)

Crossbench (5)

National (5)

Legislative Assembly (IRV) – Turnout 86.90% (CV)[5][6]

Party  | Votes  | %  | Swing  | Seats  | +/–
| Labor | 557,794  | 42.20  | +9.07  | 41  |  20
| Liberal | 412,710  | 31.23  | −15.88  | 13  |  18
| Greens | 117,723  | 8.91  | +0.51  | 0  |
| National | 71,313  | 5.40  | -0.66  | 5  |  2
| One Nation | 65,192  | 4.93  | +4.93  | 0  |
| Christians | 27,724  | 2.10  | +0.29  | 0  |
| Shooters, Fishers, Farmers | 17,317  | 1.31  | +1.31  | 0  |
| Micro Business | 13,211  | 1.00  | +1.00  | 0  |
| Matheson for WA | 6,145  | 0.47  | +0.47  | 0  |
| Animal Justice | 2,836  | 0.21  | +0.21  | 0  |
| Flux the System! | 2,188  | 0.17  | +0.17  | 0  |
| Family First | 1,443  | 0.11  | -0.49  | 0  |
| Socialist Alliance | 694  | 0.05  | +0.05  | 0  |
| Liberal Democrats | 561  | 0.04  | +0.04  | 0  |
| Independents | 24,327  | 1.84  | -1.07  | 0  |
| Other  | 462  | 0.04  | +0.04  | 0  |
Formal votes  | 1,321,640  | 95.46  | +1.46  |  |
Informal votes  | 62,860  | 4.54  | −1.46  |  |
Total  | 1,384,500  |  |  | 59  |
Registered voters / turnout  | 1,593,222  | 86.90  | −2.31  |  |
Two-party-preferred vote
| Labor | 733,738  | 55.5  |  12.8  |  |
| Liberal | 587,353  | 44.5  |  12.8  |  |

The four main media networks covering the election, the ABC, Sky News, Seven News and Nine News, all called the election for Labor within two hours after polls closed. McGowan succeeded Barnett to become the 30th Premier of Western Australia.[7][8]

By the morning of 12 March, two thirds of votes had been counted and seven lower house seats were still in doubt, showing that Labor had won at least 36 seats, well above the 30 required for a majority, which the ABC predicted would increase to 41. Meanwhile, the Liberals and WA Nationals had won only 10 and five seats respectively, with a further three expected to be retained by the Liberals.[9]

The swing against the government affected traditionally safe seats. Consequently, six government ministers lost their seats in the Legislative Assembly while one lost his seat in the Legislative Council.[10]

The Labor landslide was built primarily on a near-sweep of Perth. Labor took 34 of the capital's 43 seats on a swing of 13.6 points, accounting for nearly all of its majority. By comparison, it had gone into the election holding 17 seats in Perth. According to the ABC's Antony Green, the 10 percent swing Labor needed to make McGowan premier was not nearly as daunting as it seemed on paper. Green noted that several Liberals in outer suburban seats sat on inflated margins. Additionally, Green argued that the one vote one value reforms of 2008, which allowed Perth to elect over 70 percent of the legislature, proved to be a boost for Labor in 2017. Green noted that when Labor last governed from 2001 to 2008, it did so in a legislature where voters in country seats had twice the voting power of voters in a Perth-based seat.[2]

#### Seats changing parties

[edit]

Seat | Pre-2017 | Swing | Post-2017

|
|
|

Party | Member | Margin | Margin | Member | Party
Balcatta |  | Liberal  | Chris Hatton | 7.1  | 12.9  | 5.8  | David Michael | Labor  |
Belmont |  | Liberal  | Glenys Godfrey | 1.0  | 12.4  | 11.4  | Cassie Rowe | Labor  |
Bicton |  | Liberal  | Matt Taylor1 | 10.0  | 13.0  | 2.9  | Lisa O'Malley | Labor  |
Bunbury |  | Liberal  | John Castrilli | 12.2  | 23.0  | 10.8  | Don Punch | Labor  |
Burns Beach |  | Liberal  | Albert Jacob2 | 11.3  | 13.9  | 2.5  | Mark Folkard | Labor  |
Darling Range |  | Liberal  | Tony Simpson | 13.1  | 18.9  | 5.8  | Barry Urban | Labor  |
Forrestfield |  | Liberal  | Nathan Morton | 2.2  | 11.6  | 9.4  | Stephen Price | Labor  |
Jandakot |  | Liberal  | Joe Francis | 18.3  | 19.4  | 1.0  | Yaz Mubarakai | Labor  |
Joondalup |  | Liberal  | Jan Norberger | 10.4  | 11.0  | 0.6  | Emily Hamilton | Labor  |
Kalamunda |  | Liberal  | John Day | 10.3  | 12.7  | 2.5  | Matthew Hughes | Labor  |
Kalgoorlie |  | National  | Wendy Duncan | 3.2  | n/a  | 6.2  | Kyran O'Donnell | Liberal  |
Kingsley |  | Liberal  | Andrea Mitchell | 14.0  | 14.7  | 0.7  | Jessica Stojkovski | Labor  |
Morley |  | Liberal  | Ian Britza | 4.7  | 16.2  | 11.4  | Amber-Jade Sanderson | Labor  |
Mount Lawley |  | Liberal  | Michael Sutherland | 8.9  | 12.9  | 4.0  | Simon Millman | Labor  |
Murray-Wellington |  | Liberal  | Murray Cowper | 12.0  | 13.4  | 1.4  | Robyn Clarke | Labor  |
Perth |  | Liberal  | Eleni Evangel | 2.8  | 14.6  | 11.8  | John Carey | Labor  |
Pilbara |  | National  | Brendon Grylls | 11.5  | 13.8  | 2.3  | Kevin Michel | Labor  |
Southern River |  | Liberal  | Peter Abetz | 10.9  | 18.8  | 7.9  | Terry Healy | Labor  |
Swan Hills |  | Liberal  | Frank Alban | 3.7  | 18.3  | 14.5  | Jessica Shaw | Labor  |
Wanneroo |  | Liberal  | Paul Miles | 11.0  | 18.2  | 7.3  | Sabine Winton | Labor  |

1 Matt Taylor was the member for the seat of Bateman, but contested Bicton after losing preselection to Dean Nalder, the member for the abolished seat of Alfred Cove.
2 Albert Jacob was the member for the abolished seat of Ocean Reef, but instead contested Burns Beach, a seat containing much of the same territory.

* Members listed in italics did not contest their seat at this election.
* Labor also retained two seats—Collie-Preston and West Swan—which were notionally Liberal-held after the redistribution. The Liberals retained Hillarys, which was being contested by the incumbent MLA Rob Johnson as an independent.

### Legislative Council

[edit]

See also: Results of the Western Australian state election, 2017 (Legislative Council)

Government (14)

Labor (14)

Opposition (9)

Liberal (9)

Crossbench (13)

National (4)

Greens (4)

One Nation (3)

Shooters, Fishers, Farmers (1)

Liberal Democrats (1)

Map of seats won for each party per electoral division. Legislative Council (STV/GVT) – Turnout 87.00% (CV)[11][12]

Party  | Primary votes  | %  | Swing  | Seats  | +/-
| Labor | 544,938  | 40.41  | +7.90  | 14  |  3
| Liberal | 360,235  | 26.71  | −20.91  | 9  |  8
| Greens | 116,041  | 8.60  | +0.39  | 4  |  2
| One Nation | 110,480  | 8.19  | +8.19  | 3  |  3
| National | 59,776  | 4.43  | -0.45  | 4  |  1
| Shooters, Fishers, Farmers | 31,924  | 2.37  | +0.59  | 1  |
| Christians | 26,209  | 1.94  | -0.01  | 0  |
| Liberal Democrats | 23,848  | 1.77  | +1.77  | 1  |  1
| Animal Justice | 14,838  | 1.10  | +1.10  | 0  |
| Family First | 11,279  | 0.84  | -0.53  | 0  |
| Daylight Saving | 9,209  | 0.68  | +0.68  | 0  |
| Micro Business | 7,484  | 0.55  | +0.55  | 0  |
| Flux the System! | 5,934  | 0.44  | +0.44  | 0  |
| Matheson for WA | 5,270  | 0.39  | +0.39  | 0  |
| Fluoride Free WA | 4,327  | 0.32  | +0.32  | 0  |
| Socialist Alliance | 1,367  | 0.10  | +0.10  | 0  |
| Independents | 15,516  | 1.15  | -0.53  | 0  |
| Other  | 482  | 0.03  | +0.03  | 0  |
Formal votes  | 1,348,675  | 97.29  | +0.13  |  |
Informal votes  | 37,480  | 2.70  | −0.13  |  |
Total | 1,386,155  |  |  | 36  |
Registered voters / turnout  | 1,593,222  | 87.00  | -2.20  |  |

Labor became the largest party in the Legislative Council with 14 of the 36 seats. The Labor government will require at least five additional votes from non-government members to pass legislation.[4][13]

On 4 April, the Western Australian Electoral Commission conducted a recount of 2013 election results to fill two casual vacancies for the remainder of the 2013–17 term caused by the resignation and subsequent election to the Legislative Assembly of Amber-Jade Sanderson (Labor) in East Metropolitan and Peter Katsambanis (Liberal) in North Metropolitan.[14] The vacancies were filled by Bill Leadbetter (Labor) and Elise Irwin (Liberal), who will first sit in the Legislative Council on 11 May 2017.[15]

## Date of election

[edit]

Barnaby C, protecting the Carnaby's black cockatoo habitat, and an anti-Roe 8 supporter, appeared at a number of media events during the election campaign

On 3 November 2011, the Government of Western Australia introduced fixed four-year terms for the Legislative Assembly, with the elections to be held on the second Saturday in March.[16][17][18] The first election under the new law was the 2013 election. Previously, under electoral reforms of the Burke Government in 1987, four-year maximum terms were adopted for the Legislative Assembly, and fixed four-year terms for the Legislative Council.[19]

## Campaign

[edit]

The Western Australian National Party led by Brendon Grylls, who retook the leadership in August 2016, ran on a policy to increase the tax on every tonne mined from $0.25 to $5 for BHP and Rio Tinto.[20] The big mining companies ran an advertising campaign against the policy,[21][22] while a poll conducted found that 39.4% of voters surveyed supported the policy, 37.1% opposed and 23.5% were undecided.[23][24]

The Liberal Party undertook a preference deal with One Nation during the elections, saying the party held less extreme views than it did in the 1990s.[25][26][27] Some One Nation candidates were against the preference deal with the Liberal Party.[28]

One Nation ran on opposing privatisation and the National party mining taxes.[29]

## Seats held

[edit]

### Lower house

[edit]

At the 2013 election, Labor won 21 seats, the Liberals won 31 seats and the Nationals won 7 seats. No seats were won by independents.

On 15 April 2016, the Liberal member for Hillarys, Rob Johnson, resigned from the Liberals to sit as an independent, leaving the government with 30 seats in the lower house.

### Upper house

[edit]

At the 2013 election, the Liberals won 17 seats, Labor won 11 seats, the Nationals won five seats, the Greens won two seats and the Shooters and Fishers won one seat.

Western Australia's Legislative Council is divided into six regions. Three are based in Perth, while three are rural. Each region elects six members to the Legislative Council. These areas are not of similar population sizes, with rural areas receiving from one and a half to about six times the effective membership of the metropolitan regions.

The Western Australian rural population dropped from about 12.1% to 10.7% of the state's enrolled electors after the 2008 election. Election analyst Antony Green predicted this would make it more difficult for the Liberals or Labor (who typically perform better in Perth than rural areas) to increase their presence within the Legislative Council.[30]

## Redistribution

[edit]

A redistribution of electoral boundaries for the lower house was completed on 27 November 2015. This resulted in a net gain of one seat for the Liberals from Labor. The Liberal seats of Alfred Cove, Eyre and Ocean Reef, the Labor seat of Gosnells and the National seat of Wagin were abolished. Five new seats were created (or re-created): the notionally Liberal seats of Bicton (mostly replacing Alfred Cove) and Burns Beach (mostly replacing Ocean Reef), the notionally Labor seats of Baldivis (created from parts of Kwinana and Warnbro) and Thornlie (replacing Gosnells), and the notionally National seat of Roe (merging Wagin and Eyre). The Labor seats of Collie-Preston and West Swan became notionally Liberal.[31]

## Retiring MPs

[edit]

Members who did not re-nominate at the 2017 election:

### Liberal

[edit]

* John Castrilli MLA (Bunbury) – announced 14 March 2016[32]
* Kim Hames MLA (Dawesville) – announced 2 August 2014[33]
* Liz Behjat MLC (North Metropolitan) – lost preselection[34]
* Barry House MLC (South West) – announced 27 October 2015[35]

### National

[edit]

* Wendy Duncan MLA (Kalgoorlie) – announced 4 December 2015[36]
* Terry Waldron MLA (Wagin) – announced 25 November 2014[37]

## Electoral pendulums

[edit]

The following Mackerras pendulums work by lining up all of the seats according to the percentage point margin post-election on a two-candidate-preferred basis,[38] grouped as marginal, safe etc. as defined by the Australian Electoral Commission.[39]

### Pre-election pendulum

[edit]

This pendulum takes the redistribution into account. One sitting member, retiring Wagin Nationals MP Terry Waldron, does not appear in this pendulum: his seat was combined with Eyre to form Roe, a seat with a National margin that will also be contested by Eyre Liberal MP Graham Jacobs, who is listed as the defending member below. Two Liberal members, Dean Nalder (Alfred Cove, now renamed Bicton) and Matt Taylor (Bateman), were contesting each other's seats; this is reflected below. Retiring members are listed in italics.

Liberal/National seats

Marginal
West Swan | Rita Saffioti | LIB  | 0.9
Belmont | Glenys Godfrey | LIB  | 1.0
Forrestfield | Nathan Morton | LIB  | 2.2
Perth | Eleni Evangel | LIB  | 2.8
Collie-Preston | Mick Murray | LIB  | 2.9
Kalgoorlie | Wendy Duncan | NAT  | 3.2 v LIB
Swan Hills | Frank Alban | LIB  | 3.7
Morley | Ian Britza | LIB  | 4.7
Moore | Shane Love | NAT  | 5.9 v LIB
Fairly safe
Balcatta | Chris Hatton | LIB  | 7.1
Warren-Blackwood | Terry Redman | NAT  | 7.2 v LIB
Central Wheatbelt | Mia Davies | NAT  | 8.9 v LIB
Mount Lawley | Michael Sutherland | LIB  | 8.9
Safe
Bicton | Matt Taylor | LIB  | 10.0
Kalamunda | John Day | LIB  | 10.3
Joondalup | Jan Norberger | LIB  | 10.4
North West Central | Vince Catania | NAT  | 10.5 v LIB
Geraldton | Ian Blayney | LIB  | 10.9 v NAT
Southern River | Peter Abetz | LIB  | 10.9
Wanneroo | Paul Miles | LIB  | 11.0
Burns Beach | Albert Jacob | LIB  | 11.3
Pilbara | Brendon Grylls | NAT  | 11.5
Murray-Wellington | Murray Cowper | LIB  | 12.0
Bunbury | John Castrilli | LIB  | 12.2
Riverton | Mike Nahan | LIB  | 12.7
Dawesville | Kim Hames | LIB  | 12.7
Darling Range | Tony Simpson | LIB  | 13.1
Kingsley | Andrea Mitchell | LIB  | 14.0
Hillarys | Rob Johnson | LIB  | 16.0
Roe | Graham Jacobs | NAT  | 16.7 v LIB
Scarborough | Liza Harvey | LIB  | 17.3
Jandakot | Joe Francis | LIB  | 18.3
Carine | Tony Krsticevic | LIB  | 18.3
Nedlands | Bill Marmion | LIB  | 19.1
Very safe
Churchlands | Sean L'Estrange | LIB  | 20.0
South Perth | John McGrath | LIB  | 20.0
Cottesloe | Colin Barnett | LIB  | 21.1
Vasse | Libby Mettam | LIB  | 21.2
Bateman | Dean Nalder | LIB  | 23.1
Labor seats

Marginal
Midland | Michelle Roberts | ALP  | 0.5
Butler | John Quigley | ALP  | 1.0
Albany | Peter Watson | ALP  | 1.0
Thornlie | Chris Tallentire | ALP  | 1.8
Cannington | Bill Johnston | ALP  | 2.1
Willagee | Peter Tinley | ALP  | 2.5
Maylands | Lisa Baker | ALP  | 2.7
Girrawheen | Margaret Quirk | ALP  | 2.8
Victoria Park | Ben Wyatt | ALP  | 4.0
Kwinana | Roger Cook | ALP  | 4.3
Cockburn | Fran Logan | ALP  | 4.6
Mirrabooka | Janine Freeman | ALP  | 4.6
Bassendean | Dave Kelly | ALP  | 5.1
Kimberley | Josie Farrer | ALP  | 5.1
Fairly safe
Baldivis | new seat | ALP  | 6.4
Mandurah | David Templeman | ALP  | 7.7
Armadale | Tony Buti | ALP  | 9.6
Safe
Warnbro | Paul Papalia | ALP  | 10.6
Rockingham | Mark McGowan | ALP  | 13.2
Fremantle | Simone McGurk | ALP  | 15.4

### Post-election pendulum

[edit]

Government seats

Marginal
Joondalup | Emily Hamilton | ALP  | 0.6
Kingsley | Jessica Stojkovski | ALP  | 0.7
Jandakot | Yaz Mubarakai | ALP  | 1.0
Murray-Wellington | Robyn Clarke | ALP  | 1.4
Pilbara | Kevin Michel | ALP v NAT  | 2.3
Kalamunda | Matthew Hughes | ALP  | 2.5
Burns Beach | Mark Folkard | ALP  | 2.5
Bicton | Lisa O'Malley | ALP  | 2.9
Mount Lawley | Simon Millman | ALP  | 4.0
Albany | Peter Watson | ALP v NAT  | 5.1
Darling Range | Barry Urban | ALP  | 5.8
Balcatta | David Michael | ALP  | 5.8
Fairly safe
Baldivis | Reece Whitby | ALP v IND  | 7.2
Wanneroo | Sabine Winton | ALP  | 7.3
Southern River | Terry Healy | ALP  | 7.9
Forrestfield | Stephen Price | ALP  | 9.4
Safe
Bunbury | Don Punch | ALP  | 10.8
Belmont | Cassie Rowe | ALP  | 11.4
Morley | Amber-Jade Sanderson | ALP  | 11.4
Perth | John Carey | ALP  | 11.8
Kimberley | Josie Farrer | ALP  | 13.0
Midland | Michelle Roberts | ALP  | 13.0
Swan Hills | Jessica Shaw | ALP  | 14.5
Collie-Preston | Mick Murray | ALP  | 14.7
Willagee | Peter Tinley | ALP  | 15.5
Thornlie | Chris Tallentire | ALP  | 15.8
Cockburn | Fran Logan | ALP  | 15.9
Victoria Park | Ben Wyatt | ALP  | 16.5
Girrawheen | Margaret Quirk | ALP  | 16.7
West Swan | Rita Saffioti | ALP  | 17.1
Maylands | Lisa Baker | ALP  | 17.9
Mandurah | David Templeman | ALP  | 18.0
Cannington | Bill Johnston | ALP  | 18.1
Kwinana | Roger Cook | ALP  | 18.1
Mirrabooka | Janine Freeman | ALP  | 19.2
Butler | John Quigley | ALP  | 19.5
Bassendean | Dave Kelly | ALP  | 21.5
Fremantle | Simone McGurk | ALP  | 23.1
Rockingham | Mark McGowan | ALP  | 23.4
Warnbro | Paul Papalia | ALP  | 23.7
Armadale | Tony Buti | ALP  | 25.2
Non-government seats

Marginal
Dawesville | Zak Kirkup | LIB  | 0.7
Geraldton | Ian Blayney | LIB  | 1.3
Hillarys | Peter Katsambanis | LIB  | 4.1
Riverton | Mike Nahan | LIB  | 4.4
Scarborough | Liza Harvey | LIB  | 5.6
Fairly safe
Kalgoorlie | Kyran O'Donnell | LIB  | 6.2
South Perth | John McGrath | LIB  | 7.1
Nedlands | Bill Marmion | LIB  | 8.3
Carine | Tony Krsticevic | LIB  | 9.0
Bateman | Dean Nalder | LIB  | 9.5
Safe
Churchlands | Sean L'Estrange | LIB  | 13.2
Cottesloe | Colin Barnett | LIB  | 13.3
Vasse | Libby Mettam | LIB  | 14.7
Crossbench seats
North West Central | Vince Catania | NAT v ALP  | 9.5
Warren-Blackwood | Terry Redman | NAT v ALP  | 13.4
Moore | Shane Love | NAT v LIB  | 13.9
Roe | Peter Rundle | NAT v LIB  | 14.4
Central Wheatbelt | Mia Davies | NAT v ALP  | 22.6

## Opinion polling

[edit]

### Graphical summary

[edit]

Primary vote

Two-party-preferred vote

Aggregate data of all voting intention polling since the 2013 Western Australian state election. Local regression trends for each party are shown as solid lines.

### Voting intention

[edit]

Legislative Assembly (lower house) polling Date  | Firm  | Primary vote  | TPP vote

|
|
|

LIB  | NAT  | ALP  | GRN  | OTH  | LIB  | ALP
11 March 2017  | Galaxy (Exit Poll)[40] | 33%  | 6%  | 41%  | 6%  | 14%  | 45.5%  | 54.5%
9 March 2017  | ReachTEL[41] | 33.9%  | 6.0%  | 41.8%  | 6.5%  | 11.8%  | 46%  | 54%
6–9 March 2017  | Newspoll[41] | 32%  | 5%  | 41%  | 7%  | 15%  | 46%  | 54%
1–3 March 2017  | Galaxy[42] | 31%  | 5%  | 40%  | 8%  | 16%  | 46%  | 54%
27 February 2017  | ReachTEL[43] | 34.6%  | 6.8%  | 35.2%  | 10.7%  | 12.7%  | 48%  | 52%
February 2017  | ReachTEL[44] | 35.4%  | 8.4%  | 35%  | 6%  | 15.1%  | 50%  | 50%
January 2017  | Newspoll[45] | 30%  | 5%  | 38%  | 9%  | 18%  | 46%  | 54%
November 2016  | Newspoll[46] | 34%  | 6%  | 41%  | 9%  | 10%  | 48%  | 52%
October 2016  | ReachTEL[47] | 35.9%  | 6.1%  | 36.7%  | 7.7%  | 13.6%  | 48%  | 52%
October 2016  | Roy Morgan[48] | 34%  | 5%  | 36.5%  | 12.5%  | 12%  | 47.5%  | 52.5%
August 2016  | Roy Morgan[49] | 34.5%  | 6.5%  | 35.5%  | 12.5%  | 11%  | 49%  | 51%
May 2016  | Roy Morgan[50] | 36.5%  | 7%  | 34%  | 12.5%  | 10%  | 51%  | 49%
Mar–May 2016  | Newspoll[51] | 40%  | 42%  | 11%  | 7%  | 46%  | 54%
March 2016  | Roy Morgan[52] | 33.5%  | 8%  | 37%  | 14.5%  | 7%  | 48%  | 52%
Mar 2016  | ReachTEL[53] | 37%  | 5%  | 39%  | 13%  | 5%  | 44%  | 56%
Oct–Dec 2015  | Newspoll[54] | 37%  | 5%  | 42%  | 10%  | 6%  | 47%  | 53%
9–15 Oct 2015  | Morgan[55] | 37.5%  | 4.5%  | 32%  | 13%  | 13%  | 51.5%  | 48.5%
28–31 Aug 2015  | Morgan  | 35%  | 7%  | 34%  | 15%  | 9%  | 50%  | 50%
Apr–Jun 2015  | Newspoll  | 33%  | 7%  | 33%  | 14%  | 13%  | 48%  | 52%
Jan–Mar 2015  | Newspoll  | 34%  | 6%  | 35%  | 14%  | 11%  | 48%  | 52%
Oct–Dec 2014  | Newspoll  | 34%  | 8%  | 33%  | 15%  | 10%  | 50%  | 50%
Jul–Sep 2014  | Newspoll  | 35%  | 6%  | 31%  | 15%  | 13%  | 50%  | 50%
Apr–Jun 2014  | Newspoll  | 34%  | 6%  | 27%  | 17%  | 16%  | 50%  | 50%
Oct–Dec 2013  | Newspoll  | 36%  | 8%  | 33%  | 13%  | 10%  | 51%  | 49%
2013 election | 47.1%  | 6.1%  | 33.1%  | 8.4%  | 5.3%  | 57.3%  | 42.7%
4–7 Mar 2013  | Newspoll  | 48%  | 6%  | 32%  | 8%  | 6%  | 59.5%  | 40.5%

Better premier polling^ | Liberal
Barnett | Labor
McGowan

|
|

6–9 Mar 2017[41] | 37%  | 45%
Oct 2016[46] | 29%  | 47%
Oct 2016[48] | 41%  | 59%
Sep 2016 (RM)[49] | 43%  | 57%
Mar–May 2016[51] | 32%  | 46%
Mar 2016 (RT)[53] | 39%  | 61%
Oct–Dec 2015[54] | 36%  | 41%
Apr–Jun 2015  | 37%  | 43%
Jan–Mar 2015  | 38%  | 44%
Oct–Dec 2014  | 39%  | 40%
Jul–Sep 2014  | 38%  | 41%
Apr–Jun 2014  | 36%  | 43%
Oct–Dec 2013  | 37%  | 43%
2013 election | –  | –
4–7 Mar 2013  | 52%  | 31%
Polling conducted by Roy Morgan Research (RM), ReachTEL (RT),
or Newspoll (all others).
^ Remainder were "uncommitted" to either leader.
Satisfaction polling^ | Barnett  | McGowan

|
|

| Satisfied  | Dissatisfied  | Satisfied  | Dissatisfied
6–9 Mar 2017[41] | 34%  | 57%  | 45%  | 40%
Nov 2016[46] | 28%  | 61%  | 46%  | 33%
Mar–May 2016[51] | 31%  | 58%  | 51%  | 28%
Oct–Dec 2015[54] | 33%  | 54%  | 47%  | 32%
Apr–Jun 2015  | 36%  | 57%  | 49%  | 33%
Jan–Mar 2015  | 38%  | 53%  | 53%  | 28%
Oct–Dec 2014  | 37%  | 49%  | 48%  | 27%
Jul–Sep 2014  | 32%  | 56%  | 47%  | 29%
Apr–Jun 2014  | 34%  | 56%  | 49%  | 31%
Oct–Dec 2013  | 34%  | 54%  | 51%  | 22%
2013 election | –  | –  | –  | –
4–7 Mar 2013  | 51%  | 36%  | 49%  | 29%
Polling conducted by Newspoll and published in The Australian.
^Remainder were "uncommitted" to either leader.

## Newspaper endorsements

[edit]

Newspaper  | Endorsement

|

The Australian |  | Liberal[56]
The Australian Financial Review |  |
The Sunday Times |  | Labor
The West Australian |  | Labor[57]

## See also

[edit]

* Candidates of the 2017 Western Australian state election
* Members of the Western Australian Legislative Assembly, 2017–2021
* Members of the Western Australian Legislative Council, 2017–2021

## References

[edit]

1. ^ Labor 55.5% 2PP vote and +12.8-point 2PP swing sourced from Antony Green's temporary estimate within provided ABC link published 30 March 2017, which states "The two-party-preferred count is based on estimates for Baldivis, Moore and Roe. – Final 2017 WA Election Results plus a New Electoral Pendulum: Antony Green ABC 30 March 2017 Archived 21 May 2017 at the Wayback Machine
2. ^ a b Antony Green (16 March 2017). "The Role of One-Vote One-Value Electoral Reforms in Labor's Record WA Victory". ABC News (Australia). Archived from the original on 16 March 2017. Retrieved 16 March 2017.
3. ^ a b "WA Election 2017". ABC News. 11 March 2017. Archived from the original on 11 March 2017. Retrieved 12 March 2017.
4. ^ a b "WA Labor misses out on upper house working majority by one seat". ABC News. 26 March 2017. Archived from the original on 27 March 2017.
5. ^ "2017 State General Election Results". Western Australian Electoral Commission. 11 March 2017. Archived from the original on 12 March 2017. Retrieved 12 March 2017.
6. ^ Green, Antony. "2017 Western Australian State Election – Analysis of Results" (PDF). Parliamentary Library Western Australia. Archived (PDF) from the original on 1 October 2017. Retrieved 23 June 2017.
7. ^ Sprague, Julie-anne; Ingram, Tess (11 March 2017). "WA election: Labor storms to victory". Australian Financial Review. Archived from the original on 11 March 2017. Retrieved 11 March 2017.
8. ^ "Mark McGowan sworn in as WA's 30th Premier". ABC News. 17 March 2017. Archived from the original on 17 March 2017.
9. ^ "WA Election 2017 - WA Results". ABC News. 12 March 2017. Archived from the original on 11 March 2017. Retrieved 12 March 2017.
10. ^ "WA Election: Seventh minister lost in WA Liberals rout". ABC News. 15 March 2017. Archived from the original on 15 March 2017. Retrieved 16 March 2017.
11. ^ "2017 State General Election Results". Western Australian Electoral Commission. Retrieved 14 March 2021.
12. ^ "WA Election 2017". ABC News. 11 March 2017. Retrieved 12 March 2017.
13. ^ "Legislative Council Results". ABC News. 16 March 2017. Archived from the original on 14 March 2017. Retrieved 20 March 2017.
14. ^ "Vacancies in two Legislative Council Regions". WAEC. Archived from the original on 26 March 2017. Retrieved 26 March 2017.
15. ^ "April 2017 Legislative Council vacancies filled". WAEC. Archived from the original on 6 April 2017. Retrieved 5 April 2017.
16. ^ "New laws fix state election dates". ABC News. Abc.net.au. 3 November 2011. Archived from the original on 6 February 2012. Retrieved 26 January 2012.
17. ^ Antony Green (8 February 2011). "Future election dates". Blogs.abc.net.au. Archived from the original on 3 January 2012. Retrieved 26 January 2012.
18. ^ ‘So when is the next election?’: APH.gov.au 1 September 2016 Archived 19 June 2017 at the Wayback Machine
19. ^ Phillips, Harry C. J. Electoral Law in the State of Western Australia: An Overview Archived 20 February 2017 at the Wayback Machine. Western Australian Electoral Commission, 2013. ISBN 9780980417340, page 113 (pdf 126). Retrieved 10 March 2017
20. ^ "WA Nationals: Brendon Grylls elected leader again after Terry Redman resigns". ABC News. 9 August 2016. Retrieved 12 February 2017.
21. ^ "Anti-mining tax advertising avalanche set to blast Grylls out of Parliament". ABC News. 13 March 2017.
22. ^ "Brendon Grylls fights for political survival". ABC News. 13 December 2016.
23. ^ "WA Nationals leader digs in on mining tax as BHP Billiton steps up attack". TheGuardian.com. 9 March 2017.
24. ^ "WA election: Miners' campaign against tax fails to win voters". 2 March 2017.
25. ^ "One Nation's 'extreme' policies a thing of the past, Barnett says". ABC News. 14 February 2017.
26. ^ "WA Premier Colin Barnett defends One Nation preference deal". 13 February 2017.
27. ^ "One Nation deal to deliver 'Senate-style' Upper House to WA". ABC News. 12 February 2017.
28. ^ "WA One Nation candidates refuse to preference Liberals". ABC News. 13 February 2017.
29. ^ "One Nation to oppose privatisation and mining tax in WA". ABC News. 20 December 2016.
30. ^ Green, Antony (6 March 2017). "The growing bias against Perth and the South-West in the Legislative Council". ABC News. Australian Broadcasting Corporation. Archived from the original on 7 March 2017. Retrieved 7 March 2017.
31. ^ Green, Antony. "2015 Western Australian state redistibution". Australian Broadcasting Corporation. Archived from the original on 11 April 2016.
32. ^ "Bunbury MLA John Castrilli to retire at next State election". The West Australian. 18 August 2016. Archived from the original on 17 March 2016. Retrieved 14 March 2016.
33. ^ "Joe Spagnolo: Hunt for WA Liberal leader to replace Colin Barnett after deputy Kim Hames confirms he will not contest next state election". Perth Now. 2 August 2014. Archived from the original on 12 August 2014. Retrieved 9 August 2014.
34. ^ "Who will make the team as Libs plan for state election?". 25 February 2016. Archived from the original on 11 February 2017.
35. ^ "Veteran MP to retire from politics". Perth Now. 17 July 2016. Archived from the original on 17 December 2015. Retrieved 27 October 2015.
36. ^ "MP Wendy Duncan reflects on career as prospective candidates circle in Kalgoorlie". Australian Broadcasting Corporation. 7 December 2015. Archived from the original on 7 December 2015. Retrieved 7 December 2015.
37. ^ "Waldron to retire from politics". The West Australian. 25 November 2014. Archived from the original on 29 November 2014. Retrieved 25 November 2014.
38. ^ "2017 Western Australian Election - Electoral Pendulum". 3 January 2017. Archived from the original on 24 January 2017. Retrieved 24 January 2017.
39. ^ "Elections – Frequently Asked Questions : What is a marginal seat?". Australian Electoral Commission. 6 May 2016. Archived from the original on 11 January 2018. Retrieved 12 February 2017.
40. ^ "Exit poll shows big win for WA Labor". 9 News. 11 March 2017. Retrieved 11 March 2017.
41. ^ a b c d "Newspoll: 54-46 to Labor in Western Australia". Archived from the original on 10 March 2017.
42. ^ "Galaxy: 54-46 to Labor in Western Australia". 4 March 2017. Archived from the original on 7 March 2017.
43. ^ Brendan Foster (3 March 2017). "ReachTEL: 50-50 in Western Australia". Archived from the original on 3 March 2017.
44. ^ "WA election poll shows One Nation vote on the slide". Archived from the original on 20 February 2017.
45. ^ "Newspoll: 54-46 to Labor in Western Australia". Archived from the original on 4 February 2017.
46. ^ a b c "Newspoll: 52-48 to Labor in Western Australia". Archived from the original on 21 November 2016.
47. ^ "Power poll blow as voters reject power privatisation". Archived from the original on 21 November 2016.
48. ^ a b "Baird Government drops behind for first time in NSW; Barnett in trouble in Western Australia while Andrews Government still riding high in Victoria despite CFA union dispute". Roy Morgan Research. 10 October 2016. Archived from the original on 10 October 2016.
49. ^ a b "Now 'too close to call' in New South Wales as Baird support slips while ALP has slight lead in Western Australia and a clear lead in Victoria". Roy Morgan Research. 8 September 2016. Archived from the original on 19 September 2016.
50. ^ "L-NP in front in NSW & WA and ALP well in front in Victoria but parties dead-level in Queensland after LNP elect new Leader Tim Nicholls". Roy Morgan Research. 1 June 2016. Archived from the original on 2 June 2016.
51. ^ a b c Newspoll: 54-46 to Labor in Western Australia – The Poll Bludger 12 May 2016 Archived 12 May 2016 at the Wayback Machine
52. ^ "ALP increases support in all Australian States. Queensland electors narrowly turn down new election after Referendum on 4 year terms successful". Roy Morgan Research. 1 April 2016. Archived from the original on 14 September 2016.
53. ^ a b Barnett and Liberals take big hit in poll with McGowan now preferred leader: The West Australian 19 March 2016 Archived 3 April 2016 at the Wayback Machine \- using undedided excluded at ReachTEL: 56-44 to Labor in WA - The Poll Bludger 19 March 2016 Archived 24 March 2016 at the Wayback Machine
54. ^ a b c Newspoll: 53-47 to Labor in Western Australia – The Poll Bludger 4 January 2016 Archived 10 January 2016 at the Wayback Machine
55. ^ "Popular Premiers Mike Baird & Daniel Andrews have large leads in NSW & Victoria while other States are close". Roy Morgan Research. Archived from the original on 17 October 2015. Retrieved 17 October 2015.
56. ^ "Too much at stake in WA" (Subscription Required). The Australian. Retrieved 11 March 2017.
57. ^ "WA deserves the chance for a fresh start". The West Australian. The West Australian. 9 March 2017. Archived from the original on 12 March 2017. Retrieved 11 March 2017.

## External links

[edit]

* Early voting centres at Western Australian Electoral Commission
* Voting Systems in WA at Western Australian Electoral Commission

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