2019 Portuguese legislative election

Legislative election held in Portugal

2019 Portuguese legislative election

* * *

| <- 2015 | 6 October 2019 | 2022 ->

|
|

elected members ->

* * *

230 seats in the Assembly of the Republic
116 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
Registered| 10,777,258 11.3%[1]
Turnout| 5,237,484 (48.6%)
7.3 pp
|  | First party  | Second party  | Third party

|
|
|

Leader  | António Costa | Rui Rio | Catarina Martins
Party  | PS | PSD | BE
Leader since  | 28 September 2014 | 18 February 2018 | 30 November 2014
Leader's seat  | Lisbon | Porto | Porto
Last election  | 86 seats, 32.3%  | 89 seats (PàF)[a] | 19 seats, 10.2%
Seats won  | 108 | 79  | 19
Seat change  |  22  |  10  |  0
Popular vote  | 1,903,687 | 1,454,283  | 498,549
Percentage  | 36.3% | 27.8%  | 9.5%
Swing  |  4.0 pp | N/A |  0.7 pp

* * *

| Fourth party  | Fifth party  | Sixth party

Leader  | Jerónimo de Sousa | Assunção Cristas | André Silva
Party  | PCP | CDS–PP | PAN
Alliance  | CDU |  |
Leader since  | 27 November 2004  | 13 March 2016  | 26 October 2014
Leader's seat  | Lisbon | Lisbon[c] | Lisbon
Last election  | 17 seats, 8.3%[b] | 18 seats (PàF)[a] | 1 seats, 1.4%
Seats won  | 12  | 5  | 4
Seat change  |  5  |  13  |  3
Popular vote  | 332,018  | 221,094  | 173,931
Percentage  | 6.3%  | 4.2%  | 3.3%
Swing  |  1.9 pp | N/A |  1.9 pp

* * *

| Seventh party  | Eighth party  | Ninth party

Leader  | André Ventura | Carlos Guimarães Pinto | Collective leadership[d]
Party  | CH | IL | LIVRE
Leader since  | 9 April 2019  | 13 October 2018  | 11 August 2019
Leader's seat  | Lisbon | Porto (Lost) | \-
Last election  | Did not contest | Did not contest | 0 seats, 0.7%
Seats won  | 1  | 1  | 1
Seat change  |  1  |  1  |  1
Popular vote  | 67,502  | 67,443  | 56,940
Percentage  | 1.3%  | 1.3%  | 1.1%
Swing  | New party | New party |  0.4 pp

* * *

Vote winner strength by district

Results by constituency

* * *

| Prime Minister before election

António Costa

| Prime Minister after election

António Costa

|

The 2019 Portuguese legislative election was held on 6 October 2019.[2] All 230 seats to the Assembly of the Republic were contested.

In a campaign dominated by the Tancos airbase robbery[3] (in which former Defense Minister Azeredo Lopes (2015–2018) was accused of trying to cover-up the finding of the stolen weapons in the robbery), but also with the good economic situation in Portugal, the Socialist Party (PS) won the elections with 36 percent of the votes and 108 seats, a gain of 22 compared with 2015. The PS won the big districts of Porto and Lisbon, although Porto was closer than expected, and was able to gain districts from the PSD, like Aveiro and Viana do Castelo, by razor thin margins.[4] The PS won the city of Lisbon, however with a smaller share of the vote compared with 2015, 33 vs 35 percent, and, surprisingly lost the city of Porto to the PSD.

The Social Democratic Party (PSD) obtained 28 percent of the votes and won 79 seats. The party lost 10 seats compared with 2015, and, in terms of share of vote, it was the worst result since 1983, however in terms of seats, it was only the worst result since 2005, when the party won 75 seats. The PSD was able to hold on to their bastions of Viseu, Vila Real, Bragança, Leiria and Madeira. On election night, PSD leader Rui Rio classified the results as "not a disaster" and left the door open to continue as party leader.[5] However, in the aftermath of the election, several members of the party announced their intention to challenge Rio's leadership.[6]

The Left Bloc (BE) achieved a similar result to 2015. The party won almost 10 percent of the votes and held the 19 seats elected in 2015. On election night, Catarina Martins said she was open to new negotiations with PS. The Unitary Democratic Coalition, (CDU), PCP-PEV coalition, suffered heavy losses, with 6.3 percent of the votes and 12 seats, and Jerónimo de Sousa, PCP secretary-general, said on election night that written agreements with PS were off the table. CDS – People's Party got just 4.2 percent of the votes, and got a parliamentary caucus reduced to just 5 seats, the lowest since 1991 and when the party was called the "taxi party", down from 18 in the 2015 election. Assunção Cristas, CDS leader, resigned on election night, called for a snap party congress and announced she would not run for reelection.[7] People-Animals-Nature (PAN) saw a big increase in its share of the vote, winning 3.3% and 4 seats from Lisbon, Porto and Setúbal.

This election was marked by the entry of three new parties in Parliament. The right-wing/far-right party CHEGA (CH) was one of the big surprises on election night by electing an MP from Lisbon. It was the first time since the return to democracy that a right-wing/far-right party gained representation in Parliament.[8][9] LIVRE and Liberal Initiative also elected one MP for Lisbon. Former Prime Minister and PSD leader Pedro Santana Lopes' new party, Alliance, failed to win a single seat and polled below 1 percent of the votes.

The turnout in this election was the lowest ever in a general election in Portugal, with just 48.6 percent of registered voters casting a ballot. In Portugal alone, 54.5 percent of voters cast a ballot, a drop compared with the 57 percent in the 2015 election.

## Background

[edit]

### 2015 Government formation

[edit]

See also: 2015 Portuguese legislative election § Aftermath

After the 2015 elections, President Aníbal Cavaco Silva asked incumbent Prime Minister Pedro Passos Coelho to form a minority government, as the Portugal Ahead coalition won the most votes and seats in the election.[10] Passos Coelho second government was sworn in on 30 October 2015.[11] However, during this period, the Socialist Party, the Left Bloc and the Communist Party reached a historic agreement in order to bring down the Passos Coelho minority government and support a Socialist minority government led by António Costa.[12] Paulo Portas, CDS–PP leader, labeled the agreement as the Geringonça (English: Contraption), which became the name the left-wing agreement would be known for.[13]

On 10 November 2015, the left-wing parties proposed a vote of rejection to the Portugal Ahead's government program, which was approved by a 123 to 107 vote, thus bringing down the government.[14] On 26 November 2015, António Costa was sworn in as Prime Minister.[15]

### Leadership changes and challenges

[edit]

#### CDS – People's Party

[edit]

Following the collapse of the PàF minority government and the subsequent nomination of António Costa as Prime Minister, with the support of the leftwing parties, CDS–PP leader Paulo Portas announced, in December 2015, he was leaving the party's leadership.[16] A new party congress was called to elect a new leader. There were two candidates in the ballot: Assunção Cristas, supported by Portas, and Miguel Mattos Chaves, critical of Portas leadership.[17] Cristas was elected by a landslide and the results were the following:

Ballot: 13 March 2016  Candidate  | Votes  | %

|
|

| Assunção Cristas | 877  | 98.8
| Miguel Mattos Chaves | 11  | 1.2
Turnout | 888 |
Source: Results

#### Social Democratic Party

[edit]

Main article: 2018 Portuguese Social Democratic Party leadership election

After a disappointing result in the 2017 local elections, in which the PSD won just 30 percent of the votes and 98 mayoral races against the 38 percent of the PS and its 160 elected mayors, Pedro Passos Coelho announced he would not run for a 5th term as PSD leader.[18] After that, Rui Rio, former mayor of Porto (2002-2013), announced he was running for the leadership.[19] Shortly after, Pedro Santana Lopes, former mayor of Lisbon (2002-2004; 2005) and Prime Minister (2004-2005), announced he was also running for the leadership of the party.[20] Election day was scheduled to January 13, 2018. After a long campaign, Rui Rio was elected with 54.15 percent of the votes, against the 45.85 percent of Santana Lopes. Turnout was 60.3 percent.[21] The results were the following:

Ballot: 13 January 2018  Candidate  | Votes  | %

|
|

| Rui Rio | 22,728  | 54.2
| Pedro Santana Lopes | 19,244  | 45.8
Blank/Invalid ballots  | 683  | –
Turnout | 42,655 | 60.34
Source: Official results

Rui Rio was officially confirmed as party leader in the PSD congress, in Lisbon, between 16 and 18 February 2018. Just seven months after this leadership election, in early July 2018, Pedro Santana Lopes announced he was leaving the Social Democratic Party and would form his own party.[22] A few weeks later he announced the creation of a new party, the Alliance.[23]

### Date

[edit]

Official logo of the election.

Ballot paper for the Portuguese legislative election 2019 for the electoral circle of European emigrants.

According to the Portuguese Constitution, an election must be called between 14 September and 14 October of the year that the legislature ends. The election is called by the President of Portugal but is not called at the request of the Prime Minister; however, the President must listen to all of the parties represented in Parliament and the election day must be announced at least 60 days before the election.[24] If an election is called during an ongoing legislature (dissolution of parliament) it must be held at least in 55 days. Election day is the same in all multi-seats constituencies, and should fall on a Sunday or national holiday. The next legislative election must, therefore, take place no later than 13 October 2019.[25] After meeting with all parties, in December 2018, Marcelo Rebelo de Sousa announced that he would call a general election for 6 October 2019.

### Electoral system

[edit]

The Assembly of the Republic has 230 members elected to four-year terms. Governments do not require absolute majority support of the Assembly to hold office, as even if the number of opposers of government is larger than that of the supporters, the number of opposers still needs to be equal or greater than 116 (absolute majority) for both the Government's Programme to be rejected or for a motion of no confidence to be approved.[26]

The number of seats assigned to each district depends on the district magnitude.[27] The use of the d'Hondt method makes for a higher effective threshold than certain other allocation methods such as the Hare quota or Sainte-Laguë method, which are more generous to small parties.[28]

For these elections, and compared with the 2015 elections, the MPs distributed by districts were the following:[29]

District | Number of MPs | Map

|
|

Lisbon(+1) | 48  |
Porto(+1) | 40
Braga | 19
Setúbal | 18
Aveiro | 16
Leiria | 10
Coimbra, Faro and Santarém | 9
Viseu(–1) | 8
Madeira and Viana do Castelo | 6
Azores and Vila Real | 5
Castelo Branco | 4
Beja, Bragança, Évora and Guarda(–1) | 3
Portalegre, Europe and Outside Europe | 2

### Early voting

[edit]

Voters were also able to vote early, which would happen one week before election day, on 29 September 2019. Voters had to register in order to be eligible to cast an early ballot. Between 22 and 26 September, 56,287 voters requested to vote early.[30] On 29 September, 50,638 voters (90.0 percent of voters that requested) cast an early ballot.[31]

## Parties

[edit]

### Parliamentary factions

[edit]

The table below lists the parties represented in the Assembly of the Republic during the 13th legislature (2015–2019) and that also contested the elections:

Name  | Ideology  | Political position  | Leader  | 2015 result  | Seats at
dissolution

|
|
|
|
|

%  | Seats
| PPD/PSD | Social Democratic Party
Partido Social Democrata | Liberal conservatism
Classical liberalism | Centre[32] to
centre-right | Rui Rio |
38.6%
[a] |

89 / 230

89 / 230

| CDS-PP | CDS – People's Party
Centro Democrático e Social – Partido Popular | Christian democracy
Conservatism | Centre-right
to right-wing | Assunção Cristas |

18 / 230

18 / 230

| PS | Socialist Party
Partido Socialista | Social democracy | Centre-left | António Costa | 32.3%  |

86 / 230

85 / 230

| BE | Left Bloc
Bloco de Esquerda | Democratic socialism
Anti-capitalism | Left-wing | Catarina Martins | 10.2%  |

19 / 230

19 / 230

| PCP | Portuguese Communist Party
Partido Comunista Português | Communism
Marxism–Leninism | Far-left | Jerónimo de Sousa |
8.3%
[b] |

15 / 230

15 / 230

| PEV | Ecologist Party "The Greens"
Partido Ecologista "Os Verdes" | Eco-socialism
Green politics | Left-wing | Heloísa Apolónia |

2 / 230

2 / 230

| PAN | People-Animals-Nature
Pessoas-Animais-Natureza | Animal welfare
Environmentalism | Centre-left | André Silva | 1.4%  |

1 / 230

1 / 230

| Ind. | Independent
Independente | Paulo Trigo Pereira (Left the PS caucus.)[33] | N/A  |

1 / 230

### Non represented parties

[edit]

The table below lists smaller parties not represented in the Assembly of the Republic that ran in the elections:

Name  | Ideology  | Political position  | Leader  | 2015 result

|
|
|
|

| PDR | Democratic Republican Party
Partido Democrático Republicano | Social liberalism
Populism | Centre | António Marinho e Pinto | 1.1%
| PCTP/MRPP | Portuguese Workers' Communist Party
Partido Comunista dos Trabalhadores Portugueses | Marxism-Leninism
Maoism | Far-left | Vacant  | 1.1%
| L | LIVRE
LIVRE | Eco-socialism
Pro-Europeanism | Centre-left
to left-wing | Collective leadership  | 0.7%
| PNR | National Renovator Party
Partido Nacional Renovador | National conservatism
Anti-immigration | Far-right | José Pinto Coelho | 0.5%
| MPT | Earth Party
Partido da Terra | Green conservatism | Centre-right | Manuel Ramos  | 0.4%
| NC | We, the Citizens!
Nós, Cidadãos! | Social liberalism
Pro-Europeanism | Centre-right | Mendo Castro Henriques  | 0.4%
| PTP | Portuguese Labour Party
Partido Trabalhista Português | Democratic socialism
Social democracy | Centre-left
to left-wing | Amândio Madaleno  |
0.4%
[e]
| MAS | Socialist Alternative Movement
Movimento Alternativa Socialista | Socialism
Trotskyism | Left-wing | Gil Garcia
| PPM | People's Monarchist Party
Partido Popular Monárquico | Monarchism
Conservatism | Right-wing | Gonçalo da Câmara
Pereira  | 0.3%
| JPP | Together for the People
Juntos Pelo Povo | Regionalism
Social liberalism | Centre | Élvio Sousa  | 0.3%
| PURP | United Party of Retirees and Pensioners
Partido Unido dos Reformados e Pensionistas | Pensioners' rights
Anti-austerity | Big tent | António Mateus Dias
Fernando Loureiro  | 0.3%
| CH | CHEGA
Chega! | Economic liberalism
Right-wing populism | Right-wing
to far-right | André Ventura | —
| IL | Liberal Initiative
Iniciativa Liberal | Liberalism | Centre
to Centre-right | Carlos Guimarães Pinto | —
| A | Alliance
Aliança | Conservative liberalism
Social conservatism | Centre-right
to right-wing | Pedro Santana Lopes | —
| RIR | React, Include, Recycle
Reagir, Incluir, Reciclar, | Humanism
Pacifism | Syncretic | Vitorino Silva
(Tino de Rans)  | —

## Campaign period

[edit]

### Party slogans

[edit]

Party or alliance  | Original slogan  | English translation  | Refs

|
|
|

| PSD | « Portugal Precisa »  | "Portugal Needs"  | [34]
| PS | « Portugal Melhor »  | "Better Portugal"  | [35]
| BE | « Faz Acontecer »  | "Make it happen"  | [36]
| CDS–PP | « Faz sentido »  | "Makes sense"  | [37]
| CDU | « Avançar é Preciso »  | "Moving forward is necessary"  | [38]
| PAN | « Ainda vamos a tempo! »  | "We are still on time!"  | [39]
| L | « Livre é igualdade »  | "Free is equality"  | [40]
| IL | « Liberta-te do Socialismo »  | "Free yourself from Socialism"  | [41]
| CH | « A força da mudança »  | "The force of change"  | [42]

### Candidates' debates

[edit]

#### With parties represented in Parliament

[edit]

2019 Portuguese legislative election debates

Date  | Organisers  | Moderator(s)  |  P Present  A Absent invitee N Non-invitee

Costa | PSD
Rio | BE
Martins | CDU
Jerónimo | CDS–PP
Cristas | PAN
Silva | Refs
|  |  |  |  |
2 Sep  | SIC | Clara de Sousa | P | N | N | P | N | N | [43]
3 Sep  | RTP3 | António José Teixeira | N | N | P | N | P | N | [43]
5 Sep  | SIC | Clara de Sousa | N | P | N | N | P | N | [43]
6 Sep  | RTP1 | António José Teixeira | P | N | P | N | N | N | [43]
7 Sep  | SIC Notícias | Clara de Sousa | N | N | P | N | N | P | [43]
9 Sep  | RTP1 | António José Teixeira | N | P | N | N | N | P | [43]
11 Sep  | SIC | Clara de Sousa | P | N | N | N | N | P | [43]
12 Sep  | RTP1 | António José Teixeira | N | P | N | P | N | N | [43]
13 Sep  | TVI | Pedro Pinto | P | N | N | N | P | N | [43]
14 Sep  | RTP3 | António José Teixeira | N | N | N | N | P | P | [43]
15 Sep  | TVI | Pedro Pinto | N | P | P | N | N | N | [43]
16 Sep  | RTP1,
SIC,
TVI | Clara de Sousa
Maria Flor Pedroso
José Alberto Carvalho | P | P | N | N | N | N | [43]
18 Sep  | Antena 1,
RR,
TSF | Natália Carvalho
Eunice Lourenço
Anselmo Crespo | P | P | P | P | P | P | [43]
23 Sep  | Antena 1,
RR,
TSF | Natália Carvalho
Eunice Lourenço
Anselmo Crespo | P | P | N | N | N | N | [43]
23 Sep  | RTP1 | Maria Flor Pedroso | P | P | P | P | P | P | [43]
Candidate viewed as "most convincing" in each debate
Date  | Organisers  | Polling firm/Link
PS | PSD | BE | CDU | CDS–PP | PAN | Notes
|  |  |  |  |
23 Sep  | Antena 1, RR, TSF | Aximage | 37.9  | 38.7 | —  | —  | —  | —  | 21.4% Both/Neither
23 Sep  | RTP1 | Aximage | 30.9  | 31.2 | 18.9  | 1.5  | 7.1  | 2.9  | 7.5% No one

#### With parties not represented in Parliament

[edit]

A debate between parties not represented in Parliament was also broadcast on RTP1 and RTP3.

2019 Portuguese legislative election debates

Date  | Organisers  | Moderator(s)  |  P Present  A Absent invitee N Non-invitee S Surrogate
PDR
Pinto | PCTP
Guerreiro | L
Moreira | PNR
Coelho | MPT
Ramos | PTP
Madaleno | NC
Henriques | PPM
Pereira | JPP
Sousa | PURP
Loureiro | A
Santana | RIR
Rans | MAS
Garcia | IL
Pinto | CH
Ventura | Refs
|  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |
30 Sep  | RTP1
RTP3 | Maria Flor
Pedroso | P | P | P | P | P | P | P | P | P | P | P | P | P | P | P | [44]

## Opinion polling

[edit]

Main article: Opinion polling for the 2019 Portuguese legislative election

Local regression of polls conducted.

## Voter turnout

[edit]

The table below shows voter turnout throughout election day including voters from Overseas.

Turnout  | Time

|

12:00  | 16:00  | 19:00
2015  | 2019  | ±  | 2015  | 2019  | ±  | 2015  | 2019  | ±
Total | 20.65%  | 18.83% |  1.82 pp | 44.38%  | 38.59% |  5.79 pp | 55.84%  | 48.60% |  7.24 pp
Sources[45][46]

## Results

[edit]

The centre-left Socialist Party (PS) of incumbent Prime Minister Costa obtained the largest share of the vote, and the most seats. Costa said he would look to continue the confidence-and-supply agreement with the Left Bloc and the Unitary Democratic Coalition. The centre-right Social Democratic Party (PSD) got 27.8 percent of the vote, its worst result since 1983. Portugal's much-vaunted immunity to Europe's far-right wave was interrupted by the election of a debut representative from the nationalist CHEGA party, which scored 1.3 percent overall, with the party's leader stating “this is an historic occasion, it will be the first time in 45 years that a party with these characteristics enters the assembly.”[47]

### National summary

[edit]

For detailed results by constituency, see Results breakdown of the 2019 Portuguese legislative election.

Summary of the 6 October 2019 Assembly of the Republic elections results

Parties | Votes  | %  | ±pp swing | MPs | MPs %/
votes %
2015 | 2019  | ±  | %  | ±
| Socialist | 1,903,687 | 36.35 | 4.0 | 86 | 108 | 22 | 46.96 | 9.6 | 1.29
| Social Democratic | 1,454,283 | 27.77 | [a] | 89 | 79 | 10 | 34.35 | 4.3 | 1.24
| Left Bloc | 498,549 | 9.52 | 0.7 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 8.26 | 0.0 | 0.87
| Unitary Democratic Coalition | 332,018 | 6.34 | 1.9 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 5.22 | 2.2 | 0.82
| People's | 221,094 | 4.22 | [a] | 18 | 5 | 13 | 2.17 | 5.6 | 0.51
| People-Animals-Nature | 173,931 | 3.32 | 1.9 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1.74 | 1.3 | 0.52
| CHEGA | 67,502 | 1.29 | — | — | 1 | — | 0.43 | — | 0.33
| Liberal Initiative | 67,443 | 1.29 | — | — | 1 | — | 0.43 | — | 0.33
| LIVRE | 56,940 | 1.09 | 0.4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.43 | 0.4 | 0.39
| Alliance | 40,175 | 0.77 | — | — | 0 | — | 0.00 | — | 0.0
| Portuguese Workers' Communist | 36,006 | 0.69 | 0.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 0.0
| React, Include, Recycle | 35,169 | 0.67 | — | — | 0 | — | 0.00 | — | 0.0
| National Renovator | 16,992 | 0.32 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 0.0
| Earth | 12,888 | 0.25 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 0.0
| We, the Citizens! | 12,346 | 0.24 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 0.0
| Democratic Republican | 11,674 | 0.22 | 0.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 0.0
| United Party of Retirees and Pensioners | 11,457 | 0.22 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 0.0
| Together for the People | 10,552 | 0.20 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 0.0
| People's Monarchist | 8,389 | 0.16 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 0.0
| Labour | 8,271 | 0.16 | [e] | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 0.0
| Socialist Alternative Movement | 3,243 | 0.06 | [e] | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 0.0
Total valid | 4,982,609 | 95.14 | 1.1 | 230 | 230 | 0 | 100.00 | 0 | —
Blank ballots  | 131,302 | 2.51 | 0.4 |
Invalid ballots  | 123,573 | 2.36 | 0.7
Total | 5,237,484 | 100.00 |
Registered voters/turnout  | 10,777,258 | 48.60 | 7.3
Source: Comissão Nacional de Eleições

| Vote share

|  |
PS |

| 36.35%
PSD |

| 27.77%
BE |

| 9.52%
CDU |

| 6.34%
CDS-PP |

| 4.22%
PAN |

| 3.32%
CH |

| 1.29%
IL |

| 1.29%
L |

| 1.09%
Alliance |

| 0.77%
PCTP/MRPP |

| 0.69%
RIR |

| 0.67%
Others |

| 1.83%
Blank/Invalid |

| 4.87%

| Parliamentary seats

|  |
PS |

| 46.96%
PSD |

| 34.35%
BE |

| 8.26%
CDU |

| 5.22%
CDS-PP |

| 2.17%
PAN |

| 1.74%
CH |

| 0.43%
IL |

| 0.43%
L |

| 0.43%

### Distribution by constituency

[edit]

Results of the 2019 election of the Portuguese Assembly of the Republic
by constituency  Constituency | % | S | % | S | % | S | % | S | % | S | % | S | % | S | % | S | % | S  | Total

|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|

PS | PSD | BE | CDU | CDS–PP | PAN | CH | IL | L
Azores | 40.1  | 3 | 30.2  | 2 | 8.0  | \-  | 2.5  | \-  | 4.8  | \-  | 2.7  | \-  | 0.9  | \-  | 0.7  | \-  | 0.9  | \-  | 5
Aveiro | 34.3  | 7 | 33.6  | 6 | 10.0  | 2 | 3.1  | \-  | 5.7  | 1 | 3.0  | \-  | 0.7  | \-  | 1.0  | \-  | 0.7  | \-  | 16
Beja | 40.7  | 2 | 13.3  | \-  | 9.1  | \-  | 22.8  | 1 | 2.3  | \-  | 2.0  | \-  | 2.0  | \-  | 0.4  | \-  | 0.6  | \-  | 3
Braga | 36.4  | 8 | 34.1  | 8 | 8.9  | 2 | 4.0  | \-  | 4.1  | 1 | 2.6  | \-  | 0.7  | \-  | 0.8  | \-  | 0.7  | \-  | 19
Bragança | 36.5  | 1 | 40.8  | 2 | 6.0  | \-  | 2.1  | \-  | 4.5  | \-  | 1.3  | \-  | 0.8  | \-  | 0.4  | \-  | 0.3  | \-  | 3
Castelo Branco | 40.9  | 3 | 26.3  | 1 | 11.1  | \-  | 4.8  | \-  | 3.7  | \-  | 2.4  | \-  | 1.3  | \-  | 0.6  | \-  | 0.9  | \-  | 4
Coimbra | 39.0  | 5 | 26.6  | 3 | 11.2  | 1 | 5.6  | \-  | 3.5  | \-  | 2.6  | \-  | 0.9  | \-  | 0.8  | \-  | 0.9  | \-  | 9
Évora | 38.3  | 2 | 17.5  | \-  | 9.0  | \-  | 18.9  | 1 | 3.4  | \-  | 2.0  | \-  | 2.2  | \-  | 0.7  | \-  | 0.7  | \-  | 3
Faro | 36.8  | 5 | 22.3  | 3 | 12.3  | 1 | 7.1  | \-  | 3.8  | \-  | 4.8  | \-  | 2.1  | \-  | 0.8  | \-  | 1.0  | \-  | 9
Guarda | 37.6  | 2 | 34.3  | 1 | 7.8  | \-  | 3.0  | \-  | 5.0  | \-  | 1.6  | \-  | 1.5  | \-  | 0.6  | \-  | 0.5  | \-  | 3
Leiria | 31.1  | 4 | 33.5  | 5 | 9.4  | 1 | 4.3  | \-  | 5.3  | \-  | 2.9  | \-  | 1.5  | \-  | 0.9  | \-  | 0.9  | \-  | 10
Lisbon | 36.7  | 20 | 22.6  | 12 | 9.7  | 5 | 7.8  | 4 | 4.4  | 2 | 4.4  | 2 | 2.0  | 1 | 2.5  | 1 | 2.1  | 1 | 48
Madeira | 33.4  | 3 | 37.1  | 3 | 5.2  | \-  | 2.1  | \-  | 6.1  | \-  | 1.8  | \-  | 0.7  | \-  | 0.7  | \-  | 0.4  | \-  | 6
Portalegre | 44.7  | 2 | 20.1  | \-  | 8.1  | \-  | 10.6  | \-  | 3.8  | \-  | 1.7  | \-  | 2.7  | \-  | 0.5  | \-  | 0.6  | \-  | 2
Porto | 36.7  | 17 | 31.2  | 15 | 10.1  | 4 | 4.8  | 2 | 3.3  | 1 | 3.5  | 1 | 0.6  | \-  | 1.5  | \-  | 1.0  | \-  | 40
Santarém | 37.1  | 4 | 25.2  | 3 | 10.2  | 1 | 7.6  | 1 | 4.7  | \-  | 2.6  | \-  | 2.0  | \-  | 0.8  | \-  | 0.9  | \-  | 9
Setúbal | 38.6  | 9 | 14.4  | 3 | 12.1  | 2 | 15.8  | 3 | 3.0  | \-  | 4.4  | 1 | 1.9  | \-  | 1.1  | \-  | 1.2  | \-  | 18
Viana do Castelo | 34.8  | 3 | 33.8  | 3 | 8.5  | \-  | 4.0  | \-  | 6.2  | \-  | 2.4  | \-  | 0.7  | \-  | 0.6  | \-  | 0.6  | \-  | 6
Vila Real | 37.2  | 2 | 39.0  | 3 | 6.1  | \-  | 2.5  | \-  | 4.5  | \-  | 1.7  | \-  | 0.8  | \-  | 0.4  | \-  | 0.6  | \-  | 5
Viseu | 35.4  | 4 | 36.2  | 4 | 7.9  | \-  | 2.3  | \-  | 5.9  | \-  | 2.1  | \-  | 1.0  | \-  | 0.6  | \-  | 0.5  | \-  | 8
Europe  | 29.1  | 1 | 18.8  | 1 | 5.7  | \-  | 2.5  | \-  | 3.0  | \-  | 4.9  | \-  | 0.9  | \-  | 0.8  | \-  | 1.1  | \-  | 2
Outside Europe  | 20.2  | 1 | 33.4  | 1 | 3.5  | \-  | 1.0  | \-  | 4.7  | \-  | 4.3  | \-  | 0.9  | \-  | 2.5  | \-  | 0.7  | \-  | 2
Total | 36.3 | 108 | 27.8 | 79 | 9.5 | 19 | 6.3 | 12 | 4.2 | 5 | 3.3 | 4 | 1.3 | 1 | 1.3 | 1 | 1.1 | 1 | 230
Source: Comissão Nacional de Eleições

### Maps

[edit]

* Full results by electoral district.

* Strongest party by electoral district.

* Strongest party by municipality.

* Vote strength for left-wing parties (BE, CDU, LIVRE) by electoral district.

* Strongest political faction by electoral district. Left: PS, BE, CDU; Right: PSD, CDS-PP.

### Electorate

[edit]

Demographic  | Size  | PS | PSD | BE | CDU | CDS–PP | PAN | Others

|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|

|  |  |  |  |
Total vote  | 100%  | 36% | 28%  | 10%  | 6%  | 4%  | 3%  | 13%
Sex
Men  |  | 37% | 28%  | 9%  | 7%  | 4%  | 2%  | 13%
Women  |  | 41% | 24%  | 11%  | 5%  | 4%  | 4%  | 11%
Age
18–24 years old  | 10%  | 25%  | 30% | 13%  | 3%  | 4%  | 9%  | 18%
25–44 years old  | 31%  | 32% | 23%  | 14%  | 6%  | 3%  | 4%  | 19%
45–64 years old  | 38%  | 42% | 27%  | 10%  | 6%  | 5%  | 2%  | 9%
65 and older  | 22%  | 51% | 28%  | 4%  | 6%  | 3%  | 1%  | 7%
Education
No High-school  |  | 52% | 23%  | 7%  | 7%  | 3%  | 1%  | 9%
High-school  |  | 32% | 25%  | 13%  | 6%  | 4%  | 6%  | 15%
College graduate  |  | 31% | 30%  | 12%  | 5%  | 6%  | 3%  | 13%
Vote decision
In the last week or before  | 19%  | 25%  | 26% | 13%  | 4%  | 4%  | 3%  | 25%
Before that  | 81%  | 42% | 26%  | 9%  | 6%  | 4%  | 3%  | 9%
Direction of the country
Right direction  | 67%  | 53% | 19%  | 11%  | 6%  | 3%  | 3%  | 7%
Wrong direction  | 33%  | 11%  | 42% | 9%  | 7%  | 6%  | 3%  | 23%
Source: GfK Metris exit poll

## Aftermath

[edit]

### Budget rejection and fall of the government

[edit]

MPs voting on the 2022 State Budget on 27 October 2021.

After the October 2019 elections, the PS decided to not renew the "Geringonça" (Contraption) deal with the Left Bloc and the Communist Party and opted to govern by making deals with both left and/or right parties in the opposition.[48] After this, budgets and other policies were discussed with all opposition parties, but political instability grew, even during the COVID-19 pandemic outbreak.[49] In October 2021, BE and PCP announced that they would vote against the government's proposed 2022 budget[50] and President Marcelo Rebelo de Sousa warned that if there was no budget, he would dissolve Parliament and call a snap election.[51] On 27 October 2021, Parliament rejected the budget by a 117 to 108 vote, and a snap general election was called for 30 January 2022.[52]

2022 State Budget
António Costa (PS)

Ballot →  | 27 October 2021
Required majority →  | Simple N

Yes

* • PS (108)

108 / 230

* • PSD (79)
* • BE (19)
* • PCP (10)
* • CDS–PP (5)
* • PEV (2)
* • CH (1)
* • IL (1)

117 / 230

Abstentions

* • PAN (3)
* • Ind. Joacine Katar Moreira (1)
* • Ind. Cristina Rodrigues (1)

5 / 230

| Absentees  |

0 / 230

Sources[53]

## See also

[edit]

* Elections in Portugal
* List of political parties in Portugal
* Politics of Portugal

## Notes

[edit]

1. ^ a b c d e The Social Democratic Party (PSD) and the People's Party (CDS–PP) contested the 2015 election in a coalition called Portugal Ahead (PàF) and won a combined 38.6% of the vote and elected 107 MPs to parliament.
2. ^ a b The Portuguese Communist Party (PCP) and the Ecologist Party "The Greens" (PEV) contested the 2015 election in a coalition called Unitary Democratic Coalition (CDU) and won a combined 8.3% of the vote and elected 17 MPs to parliament.
3. ^ In the 2015 election, Assunção Cristas was elected in the district of Leiria.
4. ^ Here pictured, the party's main candidate in this campaign, Joacine Katar Moreira, running for Lisbon.
5. ^ a b c The Socialist Alternative Movement (MAS) and the Portuguese Labour Party (PTP) contested the 2015 election in a coalition called AGIR! (Act!) and won a combined 0.4% of the vote.

## References

[edit]

1. ^ "Mapa Oficial n.º 8/2019", Comissão Nacional de Eleições, 12 August 2019. Retrieved 31 August 2019.
2. ^ "Marcelo anuncia eleições legislativas em 6 de outubro", Sapo 24, 7 December 2018. Retrieved 7 December 2018.
3. ^ "Há um antes e um depois da acusação de Tancos na campanha ", Público, 26 September 2019. Retrieved 5 April 2020.
4. ^ "Um mapa cor-de-rosa com sete maiorias absolutas", Público, 7 October 2019. Retrieved 9 October 2019.
5. ^ "Rui Rio: “Não há desastre nenhum”", Rádio e Televisão de Portugal, 7 October 2019. Retrieved 9 October 2019.
6. ^ "Luís Montenegro: "Sou candidato às próximas eleições diretas"". Diário de Notícias (in Portuguese). 9 October 2019.
7. ^ "CDS volta a meter-se num táxi e Assunção Cristas sai de cena", Público, 7 October 2019. Retrieved 9 October 2019.
8. ^ Fernandes, Jorge M.; Magalhães, Pedro C. (2020-01-08). "The 2019 Portuguese general elections". West European Politics. 43 (4): 1038–1050. doi:10.1080/01402382.2019.1702301. ISSN 0140-2382. S2CID 213943550.
9. ^ "Entrada de extrema-direita no Parlamento “deve alarmar partidos”", Público, 8 October 2019. Retrieved 9 October 2019.
10. ^ "Cavaco Silva convida Passos a formar Governo: a comunicação de Cavaco na íntegra". RTP (in Portuguese). Lisbon. 6 October 2015. Retrieved 21 October 2022.
11. ^ "Tomada de posse: Cavaco modera o tom. Passos quer governar". Diário de Notícias (in Portuguese). Lisbon. 30 October 2015. Retrieved 21 October 2022.
12. ^ "O que já chamaram ao acordo: da geringonça ao caterpillar". Diário de Notícias (in Portuguese). Lisbon. 12 November 2015. Retrieved 21 October 2022.
13. ^ "Portas diz que governo de António Costa será uma geringonça". Rádio Renascença (in Portuguese). Lisbon. 10 November 2015. Retrieved 21 October 2022.
14. ^ Angelique Chrisafis (10 November 2015). "Portuguese MPs force minority government to quit over austerity". The Guardian. Retrieved 4 December 2015.
15. ^ "Às 16h02... António Costa tomou posse como primeiro-ministro". Expresso (in Portuguese). Lisbon. 26 November 2015. Retrieved 21 October 2022.
16. ^ "Portas abandona liderança do CDS-PP", TSF, 28 December 2015. Retrieved 21 November 2021.
17. ^ "Estratégia de Cristas recolhe 98,7% dos votos", Observador, 12 March 2015. Retrieved 21 November 2021.
18. ^ "Passos Coelho não se recandidata à liderança do PSD". Expresso (in Portuguese). 2017.
19. ^ "Rui Rio anuncia quarta-feira candidatura à liderança do PSD", RTP, 6 October 2017. Retrieved 20 January 2018.
20. ^ "PSD. Santana Lopes apresenta candidatura à liderança este domingo", RTP, 17 October 2017. Retrieved 20 January 2018.
21. ^ "Rui Rio é o novo presidente do PSD", Jornal de Negócios, 13 January 2018. Retrieved 20 January 2018.
22. ^ "Santana Lopes deixa o PSD e prepara novo partido", Observador, 27 June 2018. Retrieved 28 July 2020.
23. ^ "Aliança é o novo partido de Santana Lopes ", Público, 18 August 2018. Retrieved 28 July 2020.
24. ^ "Archived copy" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on 2014-10-22. Retrieved 2015-10-07.`{{cite web}}`: CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)
25. ^ Electoral law to the Assembly of the Republic
26. ^ "Constitution of the Portuguese Republic" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on 2016-03-03. Retrieved 2019-12-29.
27. ^ "Effective threshold in electoral systems". Trinity College, Dublin. Retrieved 2015-10-21.
28. ^ Gallaher, Michael (1992). "Comparing Proportional Representation Electoral Systems: Quotas, Thresholds, Paradoxes and Majorities"
29. ^ "Mapa Oficial n.º 8/2019" (PDF). CNE - Comissão Nacional de Eleições - Diário da República, 1.a série—N.o 154-12 de agosto de 2019. Retrieved 31 August 2019.
30. ^ "Mais de 56 mil pessoas pediram para votar antecipadamente", Diário de Notícias, 27 September 2019. Retrieved 17 January 2021.
31. ^ "Mais de 50 mil eleitores votaram antecipadamente para as legislativas ", Diário de Notícias, 1 October 2019. Retrieved 17 January 2021.
32. ^ "Rui Rio: "Nós não somos de direita. Nós somos do centro, somos moderados"" [Rui Rio: "We aren't right-wing. We are on the center, we're moderate"]. PÚBLICO (in Portuguese). Retrieved 2019-09-03.
33. ^ Paulo Trigo Pereira sai da bancada do PS com críticas ao “paternalismo” do Governo , Expresso, 7 December 2018. Retrieved 8 December 2018.
34. ^ "PSD Legislativas 2019". PSD (in Portuguese). Retrieved 4 September 2019.
35. ^ "PS Legislativas 2019". PS (in Portuguese). Retrieved 4 September 2019.
36. ^ "BE Legislativas 2019". BE (in Portuguese). Retrieved 4 September 2019.
37. ^ "CDS Legislativas 2019". CDS-PP (in Portuguese). Retrieved 4 September 2019.
38. ^ "CDU Legislativas 2019". CDU (in Portuguese). Retrieved 4 September 2019.
39. ^ "PAN apresenta Programa Eleitoral para Legislativas 2019". PAN (in Portuguese). 30 August 2019. Retrieved 4 September 2019.
40. ^ "Livre Legislativas 2019". Livre (in Portuguese). Retrieved 11 May 2020.
41. ^ "Iniciativa Liberal Legislativas 2019". Iniciativa Liberal (in Portuguese). Retrieved 11 May 2020.
42. ^ "ELEIÇÕES LEGISLATIVAS DE 2019 – LEIRIA – CHEGA". EPHEMERA (in Portuguese). Retrieved 11 May 2020.
43. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o "Este é o calendário de debates para as legislativas". Eco (in Portuguese). 2 August 2019. Retrieved 3 August 2019.
44. ^ "Perdeu o debate dos pequenos partidos? Resumo em oito pontos". Rádio Renascença (in Portuguese). 1 October 2019. Retrieved 22 October 2022.
45. ^ "Legislativas 2019 - Afluência". eleicoes.mai.gov.pt/legislativas2019/index.html (in Portuguese). Ministry of Internal Administration. Retrieved 8 June 2023.
46. ^ "Legislativas 2015 - Afluência". eleicoes.mai.gov.pt/legislativas2015/index.html (in Portuguese). Ministry of Internal Administration. Retrieved 8 June 2023.
47. ^ "Socialists victorious in Portuguese election". 6 October 2019.
48. ^ "Catarina Martins lamenta fim da "geringonça"" (in Portuguese). Público. 11 October 2019. Retrieved 8 October 2022.
49. ^ ""Fim de linha" de "compromisso histórico". Geringonça em Portugal está desgastada, avisa Financial Times" (in Portuguese). Jornal Económico. 21 December 2020. Retrieved 8 October 2022.
50. ^ "OE2022. PCP junta-se a BE e anuncia voto contra orçamento "tal como está"" (in Portuguese). Diário de Notícias. 12 October 2021. Retrieved 8 October 2022.
51. ^ "Marcelo pressiona acordo e avisa que sem Orçamento não há duodécimos, mas eleições antecipadas" (in Portuguese). Observador. 13 October 2021. Retrieved 8 October 2022.
52. ^ "Marcelo marca eleições para 30 de janeiro" (in Portuguese). Diário de Notícias. 4 November 2021. Retrieved 8 October 2022.
53. ^ "Orçamento do Estado para 2022 chumbado pelo Parlamento na generalidade". RTP (in Portuguese). Lisbon. 28 October 2021. Retrieved 8 October 2022.

## External links

[edit]

* Popstar Poll Tracker
* Marktest Opinion Poll Tracker
* Official results site, Portuguese Justice Ministry
* Portuguese Electoral Commission
* ERC - Official publication of polls
* Average of polls and seat simulator

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