2020 United States Senate election in Oregon

See also: 2020 United States Senate elections

2020 United States Senate election in Oregon

* * *

| <- 2014 | November 3, 2020 | 2026 ->

|
|

|  |  |

|
|

Nominee  | Jeff Merkley | Jo Rae Perkins |
Party  | Democratic | Republican
Popular vote  | 1,321,047 | 912,814
Percentage  | 56.91% | 39.32%

* * *

County results

Congressional district results

Precinct results

Merkley: 40-50% 50-60% 60-70% 70-80% 80–90% >90%
Perkins: 40-50% 50-60% 60-70% 70-80% 80–90% >90%
Tie: 40–50% 50% No data

* * *

| U.S. senator before election

Jeff Merkley
Democratic

| Elected U.S. Senator

Jeff Merkley
Democratic

|

Elections in Oregon

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* v
* t
* e

The 2020 United States Senate election in Oregon was held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Oregon, concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Democratic senator Jeff Merkley won reelection to a third term in office. Although this Senate seat was largely expected to be one of the safest for the Democrats, the race received national attention due to the Republican nominee Jo Rae Perkins's promotion of the unfounded QAnon conspiracy theory. Furthermore, Perkins had flipped five counties that Merkley had won in 2014 (though only by pluralities in the cases of Jackson, Polk and Yamhill).[1]

## Democratic primary

[edit]

### Candidates

[edit]

#### Nominee

[edit]

* Jeff Merkley, incumbent U.S. senator[2] (also nominated by the Oregon Independent Party and the Working Families Party)[3]

#### Withdrawn

[edit]

* Michael David, activist and ethnographer[4]

### Endorsements

[edit]

Jeff Merkley

Organizations

* American Federation of Teachers \- Oregon[5]
* Council for a Livable World[6]
* Democracy for America[7]
* Human Rights Campaign[8]
* Humane Society of the United States Legislative Fund[9]
* League of Conservation Voters[10]
* NARAL Pro-Choice America[11]
* Oregon Education Association[12]
* Oregon League of Conservation Voters[13]
* SEIU Oregon State Council[14]
* Sierra Club[15]

### Results

[edit]

Democratic primary results[16] Party  | Candidate  | Votes  | %

|
|
|

| Democratic | Jeff Merkley (incumbent)  | 564,878  | 98.71%
| Democratic | Write-in | 7,386  | 1.29%
Total votes  | 572,264  | 100.0%

## Republican primary

[edit]

### Candidates

[edit]

#### Nominee

[edit]

* Jo Rae Perkins, former chairwoman of the Linn County Republican Party [17][18]

#### Eliminated in primary

[edit]

* Paul Romero, refrigeration repair technician and candidate for Oregon's 2nd congressional district in 2016 and 2018[19]
* Robert Schwartz, dance teacher[20]
* John Verbeek, financial executive and nominee for Oregon's 1st congressional district in 2018[21]

#### Withdrawn

[edit]

* Matthew Kulow[22][23]

#### Declined

[edit]

* Knute Buehler, former state representative for District 54, nominee for Oregon secretary of state in 2012 and Governor of Oregon in 2018 (running for Oregon's 2nd congressional district)[24]

### Endorsements

[edit]

Jo Rae Perkins

State representatives

* Mike Nearman, District 23[25]

Individuals

* Jack Esp, 2020 candidate for Oregon's 21st House district[25]
* Alek Skarlatos, Oregon Army National Guard veteran and 2020 candidate for Oregon's 4th congressional district[25]

Organizations

* Oregon Right to Life PAC[25]

### Results

[edit]

Results by county:

Rae Perkins—50–60%

Rae Perkins—40–50%

Republican primary results[16] Party  | Candidate  | Votes  | %

|
|
|

| Republican | Jo Rae Perkins | 178,004  | 49.23%
| Republican | Paul J. Romero, Jr.  | 109,783  | 30.36%
| Republican | Robert Schwartz  | 40,196  | 11.12%
| Republican | John Verbeek  | 29,382  | 8.13%
| Republican | Write-in | 4,250  | 1.17%
Total votes  | 361,615  | 100.0%

## Other candidates

[edit]

### Pacific Green Party

[edit]

#### Nominee

[edit]

* Ibrahim Taher, philosopher, anti-war activist, current member state coordinating committee in the Pacific Green Party[26] (also nominated by the Oregon Progressive Party)[3]

#### Endorsements

[edit]

Ibra Taher

Individuals

* Cynthia McKinney, former United States Congress member and 2008 Green candidate for President of the United States[27]
* David Rolde, 2020 Green candidate for President of the United States[27]
* Cindy Sheehan, prominent American anti-war activist[27]
* Dario Hunter, lawyer and 2020 candidate for President of the United States[27]

Organizations

* Oregon Progressive Party[27]

### Libertarian Party

[edit]

#### Nominee

[edit]

* Gary Dye, former refinery operator and engineer[28][29][3]

## General election

[edit]

### Predictions

[edit]

Source  | Ranking  | As of

|
|

The Cook Political Report[30] | Solid D  | October 29, 2020
Inside Elections[31] | Safe D  | October 28, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[32] | Safe D  | November 2, 2020
Daily Kos[33] | Safe D  | October 30, 2020
Politico[34] | Safe D  | November 2, 2020
RCP[35] | Safe D  | October 23, 2020
DDHQ[36] | Safe D  | November 3, 2020
538[37] | Safe D  | November 2, 2020
Economist[38] | Safe D  | November 2, 2020

### Endorsements

[edit]

Jeff Merkley (D)

Organizations

* 350.org[39]
* Blue America[40]
* Center for Biological Diversity[41]
* Council for a Livable World[6]
* Demand Universal Healthcare[42]
* Democracy for America[7]
* End Citizens United[43]
* Everytown for Gun Safety[44]
* Human Rights Campaign[8]
* Humane Society of the United States Legislative Fund[9]
* J Street PAC[45]
* Joint Action Committee for Political Affairs[46]
* League of Conservation Voters[10]
* MoveOn[47]
* NARAL Pro-Choice America[11]
* National Committee to Preserve Social Security and Medicare[48]
* National Organization for Women[49]
* Natural Resources Defense Council Action Fund[50]
* Peace Action[51]
* Planned Parenthood Advocates of Oregon[52]
* Planned Parenthood[53]
* Population Connection[54]
* Sierra Club[15]

Unions

* National Education Association[55]
* Oregon AFL-CIO[56]
* Oregon Education Association[12]
* United Auto Workers[57]

Jo Rae Perkins (R)

State representatives

* Mike Nearman, District 23[25]

Organizations

* Oregon Right to Life PAC[25]

Ibrahim Taher (G)

Individuals

* David Rolde, 2020 Green candidate for President of the United States[25]
* Cindy Sheehan, prominent American anti-war activist[25]
* Dario Hunter, lawyer and 2020 candidate for President of the United States[25]

Organizations

* Oregon Progressive Party[25]

### Polling

[edit]

Poll source  | Date(s)
administered  | Sample
size[a] | Margin
of error | Jeff
Merkley (D)  | Jo Rae
Perkins (R)  | Other  | Undecided

|
|
|
|
|
|
|

Civiqs/Daily Kos[58] | September 26–29, 2020  | 944 (LV)  | ± 3.5%  | 55% | 35%  | 5%[b] | 5%

### Results

[edit]

2020 United States Senate election in Oregon[59] Party  | Candidate  | Votes  | %  | ±%

|
|
|
|

| Democratic | Jeff Merkley (incumbent)  | 1,321,047  | 56.91%  | +1.18%
| Republican | Jo Rae Perkins | 912,814  | 39.32%  | +2.45%
| Libertarian | Gary Dye  | 42,747  | 1.84%  | −1.23%
| Pacific Green | Ibrahim Taher  | 42,239  | 1.82%  | −0.40%
| Write-in | 2,402  | 0.11%  | -0.34%
Total votes  | 2,321,249  | 100.0%  |
| Democratic hold

#### By county

[edit]

By county

| County  | Jeff Merkley
Democratic | Jo Rae Perkins
Republican | Gary Dye
Libertarian | Ibrahim Taher
Pacific Green | Write-in | Margin  | Total
votes

|
|
|
|
|
|
|

#  | %  | #  | %  | #  | %  | #  | %  | #  | %  | #  | %
Baker | 2,633  | 27.01  | 6,863 | 70.39 | 176  | 1.81  | 71  | 0.73  | 7  | 0.07  | -4,230  | -43.38  | 9,750
Benton | 35,021 | 67.29 | 14,811  | 28.46  | 1,041  | 2.00  | 1,118  | 2.15  | 52  | 0.10  | 20,210  | 38.83  | 52,043
Clackamas | 134,813 | 53.79 | 106,838  | 42.63  | 4,767  | 1.90  | 3,995  | 1.59  | 227  | 0.09  | 27,975  | 11.16  | 250,640
Clatsop | 13,052 | 55.48 | 9,623  | 40.91  | 438  | 1.86  | 391  | 1.66  | 20  | 0.09  | 3,429  | 14.58  | 23,524
Columbia | 14,375  | 45.44  | 15,948 | 50.41 | 767  | 2.42  | 507  | 1.60  | 40  | 0.13  | -1,573  | -4.97  | 31,637
Coos | 14,885  | 41.23  | 20,051 | 55.53 | 676  | 1.87  | 470  | 1.30  | 24  | 0.07  | -5,166  | -14.31  | 36,106
Crook | 4,133  | 27.29  | 10,628 | 70.17 | 250  | 1.65  | 118  | 0.78  | 17  | 0.11  | -6,495  | -42.88  | 15,146
Curry | 6,170  | 42.24  | 7,993 | 54.72 | 268  | 1.83  | 170  | 1.16  | 7  | 0.05  | -1,823  | -12.48  | 14,608
Deschutes | 65,264 | 53.19 | 53,285  | 43.43  | 2,244  | 1.83  | 1,769  | 1.44  | 128  | 0.10  | 11,979  | 9.76  | 122,690
Douglas | 20,707  | 33.03  | 40,036 | 63.87 | 1,217  | 1.94  | 660  | 1.05  | 65  | 0.10  | -19,329  | -30.84  | 62,685
Gilliam | 373  | 31.96  | 765 | 65.55 | 18  | 1.54  | 8  | 0.69  | 3  | 0.26  | -392  | -33.59  | 1,167
Grant | 1,119  | 24.80  | 3,273 | 72.52 | 89  | 1.97  | 27  | 0.60  | 5  | 0.11  | -2,154  | -47.73  | 4,513
Harney | 1,055  | 24.10  | 3,213 | 73.41 | 65  | 1.49  | 38  | 0.87  | 6  | 0.14  | -2,158  | -49.30  | 4,377
Hood River | 8,619 | 66.89 | 3,821  | 29.65  | 229  | 1.78  | 209  | 1.62  | 7  | 0.05  | 4,798  | 37.24  | 12,885
Jackson | 59,093  | 47.54  | 61,010 | 49.08 | 2,217  | 1.78  | 1,901  | 1.53  | 82  | 0.07  | -1,917  | -1.54  | 124,303
Jefferson | 4,591  | 39.07  | 6,810 | 57.95 | 206  | 1.75  | 130  | 1.11  | 15  | 0.13  | -2,219  | -18.88  | 11,752
Josephine | 18,697  | 37.23  | 29,685 | 59.10 | 986  | 1.96  | 789  | 1.57  | 68  | 0.14  | -10,988  | -21.88  | 50,225
Klamath | 11,237  | 31.23  | 23,579 | 65.53 | 702  | 1.95  | 435  | 1.21  | 29  | 0.08  | -12,342  | -34.30  | 35,982
Lake | 908  | 21.29  | 3,261 | 76.46 | 63  | 1.48  | 29  | 0.68  | 4  | 0.09  | -2,353  | -55.17  | 4,265
Lane | 133,033 | 61.26 | 75,550  | 34.79  | 3,842  | 1.77  | 4,497  | 2.07  | 236  | 0.11  | 57,483  | 26.47  | 217,158
Lincoln | 17,485 | 57.88 | 11,628  | 38.49  | 546  | 1.81  | 524  | 1.73  | 25  | 0.08  | 5,857  | 19.39  | 30,208
Linn | 27,048  | 38.29  | 40,801 | 57.76 | 1,618  | 2.29  | 1,079  | 1.53  | 98  | 0.14  | -13,753  | -19.47  | 70,644
Malheur | 3,353  | 28.92  | 7,882 | 67.97 | 230  | 1.98  | 124  | 1.07  | 7  | 0.06  | -4,529  | -39.06  | 11,596
Marion | 79,990 | 49.37 | 75,908  | 46.85  | 3,221  | 1.99  | 2,683  | 1.66  | 212  | 0.13  | 4,082  | 2.52  | 162,014
Morrow | 1,558  | 30.94  | 3,324 | 66.02 | 109  | 2.16  | 41  | 0.81  | 3  | 0.06  | -1,766  | -35.07  | 5,035
Multnomah | 356,870 | 78.53 | 78,673  | 17.31  | 6,775  | 1.49  | 11,669  | 2.57  | 431  | 0.09  | 278,197  | 61.22  | 454,418
Polk | 22,893  | 48.16  | 22,931 | 48.24 | 928  | 1.95  | 725  | 1.53  | 54  | 0.11  | -38  | -0.08  | 47,531
Sherman | 302  | 25.61  | 845 | 71.67 | 26  | 2.21  | 6  | 0.51  | 0  | 0.00  | -543  | -46.06  | 1,179
Tillamook | 8,326 | 50.19 | 7,768  | 46.83  | 270  | 1.63  | 213  | 1.28  | 12  | 0.07  | 558  | 3.36  | 16,589
Umatilla | 11,253  | 34.95  | 19,876 | 61.74 | 696  | 2.16  | 339  | 1.05  | 30  | 0.09  | -8,623  | -26.78  | 32,194
Union | 4,545  | 31.12  | 9,674 | 66.24 | 230  | 1.57  | 145  | 0.99  | 11  | 0.08  | -5,129  | -35.12  | 14,605
Wallowa | 1,702  | 33.56  | 3,267 | 64.43 | 65  | 1.28  | 37  | 0.73  | 0  | 0.00  | -1,565  | -30.86  | 5,071
Wasco | 6,716 | 48.67 | 6,572  | 47.63  | 290  | 2.10  | 208  | 1.51  | 13  | 0.09  | 144  | 1.04  | 13,799
Washington | 202,073 | 64.64 | 97,799  | 31.28  | 6,131  | 1.96  | 6,206  | 1.99  | 409  | 0.13  | 104,274  | 33.36  | 312,618
Wheeler | 262  | 28.11  | 646 | 69.31 | 16  | 1.72  | 8  | 0.86  | 0  | 0.00  | -384  | -41.20  | 932
Yamhill | 26,893  | 46.88  | 28,177 | 49.12 | 1,335  | 2.33  | 900  | 1.57  | 55  | 0.10  | -1,284  | -2.24  | 57,360
Totals  | 1,321,047 | 56.91 | 912,814  | 39.32  | 42,747  | 1.84  | 42,239  | 1.82  | 2,402  | 0.10  | 408,233 | 17.59 | 2,321,249

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

* Columbia (largest municipality: St. Helens)
* Coos (largest municipality: Coos Bay)
* Jackson (largest municipality: Medford)
* Polk (largest municipality: West Salem)
* Yamhill (largest municipality: McMinnville)

#### By congressional district

[edit]

Merkley won 4 of 5 congressional districts.[60]

District  | Merkley  | Perkins  | Representative

|
|
|

1st | 62% | 34%  | Suzanne Bonamici
2nd | 43%  | 53% | Cliff Bentz
3rd | 73% | 22%  | Earl Blumenauer
4th | 52% | 44%  | Peter DeFazio
5th | 53% | 43%  | Kurt Schrader

## Notes

[edit]

General

1. ^ Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear
2. ^ Dye (L) and Taher (G) with 2%; "Someone else" with 1%

## References

[edit]

1. ^ Baker, Mike (May 20, 2020). "G.O.P. Voters Back QAnon Conspiracy Promoter for U.S. Senate". The New York Times. Retrieved June 14, 2020.
2. ^ Sullivan, Sean (March 5, 2019). "Sen. Jeff Merkley opts out of Democratic presidential contest and will run for reelection to Oregon seat". The Washington Post. Retrieved March 5, 2019.
3. ^ a b c "Oregon 2020 Senate Candidate List". secure.sos.state.or.us. Oregon Secretary of State. July 17, 2020. Retrieved August 26, 2020.
4. ^ "Candidate Information: Michael David". Oregon Secretary of State: Elections Division. February 28, 2020. Retrieved March 10, 2020.
5. ^ "2020 State of Oregon Primary Candidate Recommendations". Stateweb. February 28, 2020.
6. ^ a b "Senate Candidates - Council for a Livable World". Council for a Livable World.
7. ^ a b "Our Candidates". Democracy for America. Retrieved May 1, 2020.
8. ^ a b Acosta, Lucas (March 2, 2020). "HRC Endorses Sen. Jeff Merkley for Reelection". Human Rights Campaign. Archived from the original on August 3, 2020. Retrieved May 4, 2020.
9. ^ a b Society, Humane. "2020 Endorsements". Humane Society Legislative Fund.
10. ^ a b Burke, Holly (June 27, 2019). "LCV Action Fund Endorses Senator Jeff Merkley for Re-Election". League of Conservation Voters.
11. ^ a b "NARAL Pro-Choice America Endorses Senator Jeff Merkley (D-OR) for Re-election". NARAL Pro-Choice America. April 24, 2019.
12. ^ a b "OEA-PAC | Oregon Education Association". oregoned.org. Retrieved August 18, 2024.
13. ^ "2020 Primary Endorsements". OLCV.
14. ^ "2020 Election – SEIU Oregon State Council". Archived from the original on November 1, 2020. Retrieved May 9, 2020.
15. ^ a b "Sierra Club #ClimateVoter Guide: Endorsements". Sierra Club.
16. ^ a b "May 19, 2020, Primary Election Abstract of Votes" (PDF). Oregon Secretary of State. May 19, 2020. Retrieved August 26, 2020.
17. ^ "Candidate Information: Jo Rae Perkins". Oregon Secretary of State: Elections Division. January 17, 2020. Retrieved January 20, 2020.
18. ^ "Believer in QAnon conspiracy theory wins Republican Senate nomination in Oregon". The Washington Post. May 20, 2020. Retrieved May 20, 2020. ""Where we go one, we go all," Perkins said in the video, reciting a QAnon slogan. "I stand with President Trump. I stand with Q and the team. Thank you Anons, and thank you patriots. And together, we can save our republic.""
19. ^ Cegavske, Carisa (September 20, 2019). "Roseburg Republican seeks senate seat held by Democrat Jeff Merkley". The News-Review. Retrieved January 5, 2020.
20. ^ "Oregon Secretary Of State". secure.sos.state.or.us. Retrieved October 29, 2019.
21. ^ "Candidate Information: John Verbeek". Oregon Secretary of State: Elections Division. March 6, 2020. Retrieved March 9, 2020.
22. ^ "FILING FEC-1380922". FEC. February 7, 2020. Retrieved May 15, 2020.
23. ^ "44 changes to the candidate list". The Green Papers. March 12, 2020. Archived from the original on June 4, 2020. Retrieved May 15, 2020.
24. ^ Warner, Gary (December 29, 2018). "After losing race for governor, Buehler plans his future". The Bulletin. Retrieved August 15, 2019.
25. ^ a b c d e f g h i j "Endorsements". Perkins for Senate. Archived from the original on June 25, 2020. Retrieved April 14, 2020.
26. ^ "Our Coordinating Committee". Pacific Green Party Standard. Retrieved June 28, 2020.
27. ^ a b c d e "Endorsements". Ibrahim Taher. June 24, 2020.
28. ^ "Gary Dye". Ballotpedia. Retrieved August 25, 2020.
29. ^ "Official website of the Libertarian Party of Oregon". Libertarian Party of Oregon. August 14, 2020. Archived from the original on August 17, 2020. Retrieved August 25, 2020.
30. ^ "2020 Senate Race Ratings for October 29, 2020". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved March 11, 2021.
31. ^ "2020 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved March 11, 2021.
32. ^ "2020 Senate race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved March 12, 2021.
33. ^ "2020 Senate Race Ratings". Daily Kos Elections. Retrieved March 13, 2021.
34. ^ "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
35. ^ "Battle for the Senate 2020". RCP. October 23, 2020.
36. ^ "2020 Senate Elections Model". Decision Desk HQ. September 2, 2020. Retrieved September 2, 2020.
37. ^ Silver, Nate (September 18, 2020). "Forecasting the race for the Senate". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved September 18, 2020.
38. ^ "Forecasting the US elections". The Economist. November 2, 2020. Retrieved March 13, 2021.
39. ^ "350 Action Endorses Kara Eastman (NE-02) and Jeff Merkley for Congress in 2020". 350action.org. December 17, 2019.
40. ^ Klein, Howie (May 12, 2019). "Blue America's Mothers' Day Senate Endorsement: Jeff Merkley". Blue America.
41. ^ "2020 Endorsements". Retrieved August 18, 2024.
42. ^ "DUH/PEP website". duh4all.org. Archived from the original on August 9, 2020. Retrieved May 9, 2020.
43. ^ Muller, Tiffany (April 25, 2019). "End Citizens United Endorses Senator Jeff Merkley for Re-election". End Citizens United.
44. ^ "Everytown for Gun Safety Action Fund Endorses Senator Jeff Merkley For U.S. Senate". Everytown. June 30, 2020.
45. ^ "JStreetPAC Candidates". JStreetPAC. Archived from the original on May 2, 2018. Retrieved September 23, 2020.
46. ^ "Meet the 2020 Candidates". Joint Action Committee for Political Affairs.[permanent dead link]
47. ^ "Our Candidates". MoveOn.org.
48. ^ "Candidates We Endorse and Support". NCPSSM.
49. ^ "2020 Federal Endorsements - NOW PAC". nowpac.org.
50. ^ "Six Environmental Champions Win NRDC Action Fund Endorsements". www.nrdcactionfund.org. May 18, 2020.
51. ^ "PeaceVoter 2020 Endorsements". Peace Action. Archived from the original on March 20, 2020. Retrieved May 9, 2020.
52. ^ "Endorsements". ppaoregon.org.
53. ^ "2020 Endorsements". plannedparenthoodaction.org. Archived from the original on April 12, 2020. Retrieved May 8, 2020.
54. ^ "2020 Endorsements". Population Connection. Archived from the original on September 18, 2020. Retrieved May 9, 2020.
55. ^ "U.S. Senate - Education Votes". educationvotes.nea.org.
56. ^ "2020 OREGON AFL-CIO ENDORSEMENTS". Oregon AFL-CIO. March 6, 2020.
57. ^ "Oregon – Official UAW Endorsements". uawendorsements.org. United Automobile Workers.
58. ^ Civiqs/Daily Kos
59. ^ "November 3, 2020, General Election Abstract of Votes" (PDF). Oregon Secretary of State. Retrieved December 3, 2020.
60. ^ "DRA 2020". Daves Redistricting. Retrieved August 18, 2024.

## External links

[edit]

* Government Documents Round Table of the American Library Association, "Oregon", Voting & Elections Toolkits
* "Oregon: Election Tools, Deadlines, Dates, Rules, and Links", Vote.org, Oakland, CA
* "League of Women Voters of Oregon". (State affiliate of the U.S. League of Women Voters)
* Oregon at Ballotpedia

Official campaign websites

* Jeff Merkley (D) for Senate
* Jo Rae Perkins (R) for Senate
* Ibrahim Taher (G) for Senate

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Related|

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Elections in Oregon

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|

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