2022 Ontario general election

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| <- 2018 | June 2, 2022 (2022-06-02) | Next ->

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<- outgoing members

elected members ->

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124 seats of the Legislative Assembly of Ontario
63 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
Turnout| 44.06% (12.61pp)[1]
|  | First party  | Second party

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|

|  |
Leader  | Doug Ford | Andrea Horwath
Party  | Progressive Conservative | New Democratic
Leader since  | March 10, 2018 | March 7, 2009
Leader's seat  | Etobicoke North | Hamilton Centre
Last election  | 76 seats, 40.50%  | 40 seats, 33.59%
Seats before  | 67  | 38
Seats won  | 83  | 31
Seat change  | 16  | 7
Popular vote  | 1,919,905  | 1,116,383
Percentage  | 40.83%  | 23.74%
Swing  | 0.33pp | 9.85pp

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| Third party  | Fourth party
|  |
Leader  | Steven Del Duca | Mike Schreiner
Party  | Liberal | Green
Leader since  | March 7, 2020 | May 16, 2009
Leader's seat  | Ran in Vaughan—Woodbridge (lost) | Guelph
Last election  | 7 seats, 19.59%  | 1 seats, 4.60%
Seats before  | 7  | 1
Seats won  | 8  | 1
Seat change  | 1  |
Popular vote  | 1,124,065  | 280,006
Percentage  | 23.91%  | 5.96%
Swing  | 4.32pp | 1.36pp

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Popular vote by riding. As this is an FPTP election, seat totals are not determined by popular vote, but instead by the result in each riding. Riding names are listed at the bottom.

* * *

| Premier before election

Doug Ford
Progressive Conservative

| Premier after election

Doug Ford
Progressive Conservative

|

The 2022 Ontario general election was held on June 2, 2022, to elect Members of the Provincial Parliament to serve in the 43rd Parliament of Ontario.

The governing Progressive Conservatives, led by Premier Doug Ford, were re-elected to a second majority government, winning 7 more seats than they had won in 2018. The NDP retained their status as the Official Opposition, despite losing seats and finishing third in the popular vote, while the Ontario Liberals finished 2nd in the popular vote, but only won 8 seats, a gain of one seat from 2018 but falling short of official party status. The Green Party retained the single seat they won in 2018 while the New Blue and Ontario Party failed to win a seat, both losing their lone sitting MPPs.

A total of 4,701,959 valid votes were cast in this election, as well as a smaller number of invalid ballots.[2] The election set a record for the lowest voter turnout in an Ontario provincial election, as only 44.06% of the people who were eligible voted. This broke the previous record for low turnout of 48.2% in the 2011 election.[3]

## Background

[edit]

As of December 2016, Ontario elections are held on or before the first Thursday in June in the fourth calendar year following the previous general election.[4]

In the June 2018 Ontario general election, the Progressive Conservative Party (PC Party) led by Doug Ford won a strong majority government. The New Democratic Party (NDP) led by Andrea Horwath became the Official Opposition; this was the first time since 1990 they surpassed their third-place status. The governing Liberal Party led by Premier Kathleen Wynne was decimated, winning only 7 out of the 124 seats in the legislature and being reduced to third-place status. The Green Party won its first seat in history, with leader Mike Schreiner becoming its first Member of Provincial Parliament (MPP).

Wynne resigned as leader immediately after and MPP John Fraser succeeded her as interim leader; he held that post until March 2020, when Wynne's former minister of transportation, Steven Del Duca, became permanent leader of the Liberal Party. Meanwhile, Horwath and Schreiner both remained leader of their parties and had no intention of resigning.

By December 2019, polling showed that the Ford government was as unpopular as the previous Wynne government as a result of not cutting spending enough as promised.[editorializing][5] However, the Progressive Conservatives experienced a surge of support during the early months of the COVID-19 pandemic; a Mainstreet Research poll in June 2020 showed the PCs at 42 percent, the Liberals at 28 percent, and the NDP at 23 percent.[6]

On October 5, 2020, Ontario MPPs voted unanimously in favour of a motion stating that the government will not call an election prior to the fixed election date in 2022.[7][8] Before this vote, the Legislative Assembly of Ontario could have been dissolved earlier by the Lieutenant Governor of Ontario on a motion of no confidence or if the Premier triggered a snap election (the former was extremely unlikely to work against the incumbent government with a majority).

In April 2021, the province experienced a major third wave of COVID-19 infections, and, after quickly reversing government health policies, such as opening and then abruptly closing restaurants, the government was criticized over their handling of COVID-19. This led to the PCs' support dipping, but remaining ahead of the Liberals and NDP.[9]

In late April 2022 – days before the election call – the Ford government released its budget, promising to implement it if the government was reelected. The budget recorded a deficit of $19.9 billion and promised substantial spending on infrastructure (including for their proposed Highway 413) and tax breaks for some workers and seniors.[10]

On May 3, 2022, Premier Doug Ford met with the Lieutenant Governor of Ontario to advise dissolution of the legislature and for writs of election be drawn up.[11]

## Timeline

[edit]

42nd Legislative Assembly of Ontario \- Movement in seats held up to the election (2018-2022)  Party  | 2018  | Gain/(loss) due to  | 2022

|
|
|

Resignation
from caucus  | Resignation
as MPP  | Expulsion  | Switching
allegiance  | Byelection hold
| Progressive Conservative | 76 | (2) | (2) | (2) | (3) |  | 67
| New Democratic | 40 | (1) |  | (1) |  |  | 38
| Liberal | 7 |  | (3) |  | 1 | 2 | 7
| Green | 1 |  |  |  |  |  | 1
| New Blue | N/A |  |  |  | 1 |  | 1
| Ontario Party | 0 |  |  |  | 1 |  | 1
| Independent | 0 | 3 |  | 3 |  |  | 6
| Vacant  | 0 |  | 3 |  |  |  | 3
Total | 124 | - | (2) | - | - | 2 | 124
Changes in seats held (2018–2022)  Seat  | Before  | Change

|
|

Date  | Member  | Party  | Reason  | Date  | Member  | Party
Simcoe—Grey | November 2, 2018  | Jim Wilson[12] | █ PC | Resignation[a 1] |  |  | █ Independent
Glengarry—Prescott—Russell | November 29, 2018  | Amanda Simard[13] | █ PC | Resignation[a 2] |  |  | █ Independent
January 16, 2020  | █ Independent | Joined caucus[14] |  |  | █ Liberal
Lanark—Frontenac—Kingston | February 20, 2019  | Randy Hillier[15][16] | █ PC | Suspended[a 3] |  |  | █ Independent
Ottawa—Vanier | July 31, 2019  | Nathalie Des Rosiers[17] | █ Liberal | Resignation[a 4] | February 27, 2020[18] | Lucille Collard | █ Liberal
Orléans | September 20, 2019  | Marie-France Lalonde[19] | █ Liberal | Resignation[a 5] | February 27, 2020[18] | Stephen Blais | █ Liberal
Cambridge | July 21, 2020  | Belinda Karahalios[20] | █ PC | Expelled[a 6] |  |  | █ Independent
January 18, 2021  | █ Independent | Joined caucus[a 7] |  |  | █ New Blue
York Centre | January 15, 2021  | Roman Baber[21] | █ PC | Expelled[a 8] |  |  | █ Independent
Don Valley East | August 17, 2021  | Michael Coteau | █ Liberal | Resignation[a 9] |  |  | █ Vacant
Chatham-Kent—Leamington | August 19, 2021  | Rick Nicholls[22] | █ PC | Expelled[a 10] |  |  | █ Independent
December 22, 2021  | █ Independent | Joined caucus  |  |  | █ Ontario Party
Durham | October 22, 2021  | Lindsey Park[23] | █ PC | Resignation[a 11] |  |  | █ Independent
Ajax | February 2, 2022  | Rod Phillips[24] | █ PC | Resignation  |  |  | █ Vacant
Elgin—Middlesex—London | February 28, 2022  | Jeff Yurek[25] | █ PC | Resignation  |  |  | █ Vacant
Hamilton East—Stoney Creek | March 17, 2022  | Paul Miller[26] | █ New Democratic | Expelled[a 12] |  |  | █ Independent
Brampton North | April 22, 2022  | Kevin Yarde[27] | █ New Democratic | Resignation[a 13] |  |  | █ Independent

1. ^ from cabinet and caucus due to allegations of sexual misconduct
2. ^ from caucus after opposing the government's cuts to francophone services
3. ^ later removed after alleged autism comment, and alleged lack of commitment to the caucus
4. ^ accepted position at Massey College of the University of Toronto
5. ^ to run in the 2019 Canadian federal election for its equivalent seat
6. ^ from caucus after voting against Bill 195
7. ^ co-created (alongside her husband) the New Blue Party, and officially joined soon after
8. ^ from caucus for opposing COVID lockdown
9. ^ to run in the 2021 Canadian federal election for its equivalent seat
10. ^ from caucus due to refusal to get vaccinated against COVID-19
11. ^ from caucus following party accusations that she had misrepresented her COVID-19 vaccine status.
12. ^ from caucus during vetting process for re-election for having joined an Islamophobic Facebook group
13. ^ from caucus after losing nomination contest to be re-elected

### 2018

[edit]

* June 7: The Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario (PC) under Doug Ford wins a majority government in the 42nd Ontario general election, with Andrea Horwath's New Democrats (NDP) forming the Official Opposition. After leading the party to the worst result in its history, outgoing Premier Kathleen Wynne resigns as leader of the Ontario Liberal Party, but remains MPP for Don Valley West.[28]
* June 14: Ottawa South MPP John Fraser is named interim leader of the Ontario Liberal Party.[29]
* June 29: Progressive Conservative leader Doug Ford is sworn in as the 26th Premier of Ontario.[30]
* July 11: Wellington—Halton Hills MPP Ted Arnott, a Progressive Conservative, is elected Speaker by secret ballot.[31]

### 2020

[edit]

* March 7: Former Vaughan MPP and cabinet minister Steven Del Duca is elected leader of the Ontario Liberal Party.[32]
* October 5: MPP's vote unanimously in favour of a motion introduced by Scarborough—Guildwood MPP Mitzie Hunter stating that the government will not call an election prior to the fixed election date in 2022.[7][8]

### 2021

[edit]

* November 8: Randy Hillier announces that he will run under the banner of the People's Party of Canada's proposed Ontario wing, the Ontario First Party.[33][34][35] He later announced that he would not seek re-election.[36]
* December 14: Former Member of Parliament for Hastings—Lennox and Addington, Derek Sloan, announces that he will lead the Ontario Party in the upcoming election.[37][38]

### 2022

[edit]

* May 3: Writs of the election were drawn up, dissolving the Legislature and officially starting the campaign.[39]
* May 10: First leaders' debate, organized by Federation of Northern Ontario Municipalities.[40]
* May 16: Second leaders' debate, organized by Broadcast Consortium.[41]
* June 2: Election day.

## Campaign period

[edit]

### Candidates not standing for reelection

[edit]

26 MPPs chose not to campaign in the election:

Electoral district  | Incumbent at dissolution

|

Ajax |  | Rod Phillips
Beaches—East York |  | Rima Berns-McGown[42]
Brampton North |  | Kevin Yarde[a 1]
Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound |  | Bill Walker[43]
Burlington |  | Jane McKenna[44]
Don Valley East |  | Michael Coteau
Don Valley West |  | Kathleen Wynne[45]
Durham |  | Lindsey Park[a 2][46]
Elgin—Middlesex—London |  | Jeff Yurek
Essex |  | Taras Natyshak[47]
Haldimand—Norfolk |  | Toby Barrett[48]
Hastings—Lennox and Addington |  | Daryl Kramp[49]
Kingston and the Islands |  | Ian Arthur[50]
Kitchener South—Hespeler |  | Amy Fee[51]
Lanark—Frontenac—Kingston |  | Randy Hillier[a 2][36]
Newmarket—Aurora |  | Christine Elliott[52]
Parry Sound—Muskoka |  | Norm Miller[53]
Perth—Wellington |  | Randy Pettapiece[54]
Scarborough Centre |  | Christina Mitas[55]
Simcoe—Grey |  | Jim Wilson[a 2][56]
Stormont—Dundas—South Glengarry |  | Jim McDonell[57]
Thornhill |  | Gila Martow[58]
Thunder Bay—Superior North |  | Michael Gravelle[59]
Toronto Centre |  | Suze Morrison[60]
Windsor—Tecumseh |  | Percy Hatfield[61]
York Centre |  | Roman Baber[a 2][62]

1. ^ Previously elected under the NDP banner
2. ^ a b c d Previously elected under the PC banner

### Party slogans

[edit]

Party  | English  | French (translation)

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|

█ PC | "Get It Done."[63][64] | "Passer à l'action" ("Taking Action")
█ New Democratic (NDP)  | "Strong. Ready. Working for you."[65] | "Force. Détermination. Pour vous" ("Strength. Determination. For you.")
█ Liberal | "The Choice is Yours"[66] | "C’est votre choix" ("It's Your Choice.")
█ Green | "The Ontario You Want. The Leadership We Need."[67] | "L'Ontario que vous voulez. La direction qu'il nous faut." (identical to English slogan)
█ New Blue | "Strength. Stability. Liberty. Good government."[68] | N/A (unofficial translation: "La force. La stabilité. La liberté. Un bon gouvernement.")
█ Ontario Party | "Freedom, Family, & Faith"[69] | "Liberté, Famille, et Foi" (identical to English slogan)

### Debates

[edit]

Date  | Time (EDT)  | Organiser(s)  | Language  | Participants

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PC | NDP | Lib. | Green
|  |  |
10 May 2022  | 1:00pm – 2:30pm  | Federation of Northern Ontario Municipalities  | English | Present
Ford | Present
Horwath | Present
Del Duca | Present
Schreiner
16 May 2022  | 6:30pm – 8:00pm  | Broadcast Consortium  | English | Present
Ford | Present
Horwath | Present
Del Duca | Present
Schreiner
17 May 2022  | 8:00pm – 9:00pm  | Radio-Canada and TFO | French | Present
Mulroney | Present
Gélinas | Present
Simard | Present
Des Granges

### Issues

[edit]

### Summary

[edit]

The 2022 Ontario Budget, entitled Ontario's Plan to Build, served as the platform of the governing PC Party. The main five themes it emphasized were: growing the clean energy economy with minerals from the Ring of Fire, building infrastructure including Highway 413, the Bradford Bypass and expanding GO service, supporting workers by funding more skilled trades programs, raising the minimum hourly wage to $15 and allowing universities to issue three-year degrees, lowering taxes by eliminating license plate stickers, eliminating tolls and reducing housing development fees and lastly to avoid future COVID-19 lockdowns by hiring more healthcare workers..[70]

The Official Opposition NDP's campaign focused on increased funding for social programs and government services, which would be paid for through higher taxes on businesses and individuals earning over $200,000 per year. Funding would go toward reducing class sizes, raising welfare payments and disability payments, subsidies for black, indigenous and LGBTQ+ entrepreneurs, hiring more healthcare and education staff and increased wages for public servants. The NDP also proposed to expand COVID-19 vaccine mandates, implement a mixed member proportional electoral system, to close down all privately owned long-term care facilities and to stop the construction of new highway projects.

2022 Ontario election – issues and respective party platforms  Issue  | PC[71][72] | NDP[73][74][75] | Liberal[76][77][78] | Green[79][80][81][82][83] | New Blue[84] | Ontario Party[85][86]

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Budget  |

* Eliminate the deficit in the 2027–2028 fiscal year[87]

|  |

* Lower the deficit to $5 billion by 2025-2026[88]
* Present a balanced budget in the 2026-2027 fiscal year[89]

* Lower the deficit steadily from $20 billion in 2022–23 to $6 billion in 2025-26

|  |
Business subsidies  |  |

* Provide all mining tax revenue to northern Indigenous communities
* Raise business taxes by an unspecified amount
* Subsidize 2SLGBTQIA+, Black and Indigenous entrepreneurs, including the restoration of the Indigenous Culture Fund [90]
* Fund art projects dedicated to diversity, equity and inclusion
* Create a small business recovery grant
* Lift the cap on the Risk Management Program
* Provide a loan guarantee to young farmers
* Provide another round of Tourism Recovery Program payments

* Guarantee loans to small businesses
* Reimburse businesses for costs up to $200 a day for workers to take up to ten paid sick days

|  |

* Eliminate Torstar's online gambling licence (NorthStar Gaming)

COVID-19 |  |

* Add COVID-19 vaccination to the immunization schedule for schools[91]
* Launch a public inquiry into Ontario's response to COVID-19[92]
* Require at least three vaccine doses for vaccine passports[93]
* Give the Chief Medical Officer of Health the authority to override government decisions

* Add COVID-19 vaccination to the immunization schedule for schools[91]
* Launch a public inquiry into Ontario's response to COVID-19[94]

* Launch a public inquiry into Ontario's response to COVID-19[95]

* Eliminate all COVID-19 restrictions and mandates
* Prohibit the use of COVID-19 vaccine passports by businesses
* Expand early treatment for COVID-19

* Eliminate all COVID-19 restrictions and mandates
* Prohibit the use of COVID-19 vaccine passports by businesses
* Outlaw the ability for the provincial government to impose lockdowns

Education  |

* Invest $14 billion to build more schools[95]
* Expand three-year college degrees[96]
* Spend $42.5 million to expand medical education[95]
* Cover tuition and other costs for nursing graduates who commit to work in rural and underserved areas[95]

* End academic streaming
* Hire 20,000 more teachers
* Hire more custodians and school maintenance staff
* Reduce Grade 4 to Grade 8 class sizes to 24
* Reduce kindergarten class sizes to 26
* Prioritize Ontario based authors and publishers in schools
* Eliminate EQAO testing
* Scrap mandatory online high school courses
* Convert all OSAP loans to grants
* Double the Rural and Northern Education Fund
* Increase funding for special education
* Increase the number of high school trades and shop classes[97]
* Forgive student loan interest

* End academic streaming
* Spend $10 billion building and repairing schools[98]
* Hire 10,000 more teachers[98]
* Hire 5,000 more special education workers
* Cap class sizes at 20 students for all grades
* Restore Grade 13 as an option for secondary school students for a minimum of 4 years[99]
* Eliminate EQAO tests and replace with new assessment strategy
* Double current OSAP funding[94]
* Continue the tuition freeze
* Eliminate interest on provincial student loans
* Cover tuition costs for medical and nursing students working in a rural or remote communities[94]
* Provide free tuition for all ECE programs

* Expand nursing schools by 7% every year[95]
* Reduce Grade 4 to Grade 8 class sizes to 24[95]
* Reduce kindergarten class sizes to 26[95]
* Introduce a school lunch program[95]

* Create a school voucher program
* Remove Critical Race Theory from the curriculum
* Remove gender theory from the curriculum

* Create a school voucher program
* Remove Critical Race Theory from the curriculum
* Remove gender theory from the curriculum
* Allow the creation of charter schools
* Make it illegal for teachers to promote partisan political positions in the classroom
* Allow parents to opt their children out of certain school lessons
* Require universities to maintain free speech on campus
* Require universities to hire ideologically diverse educators
* Lower tuition fees for degrees with high labour market demand

Elections  |  |

* Replace the electoral system with Mixed Member Proportional
* Reduce annual political donation limits to $1600
* Ban protests that incite racist, homophobic, transphobic or xenophobic hate

* Introduce ranked ballots for the next provincial election followed by an independent review[94]
* Allow municipalities the usage of ranked ballot voting systems for elections
* Explore potential changes such as lowering the voting age, voting on weekends and expanded advanced voting[94]

* Create citizens assembly on electoral reform with mandate to provide binding recommendation to ensure that every vote counts
* Allow municipalities the usage of ranked ballot voting systems for elections
* Limit total contribution for municipal elections to $1000 for all candidates, combined
* Reduce donation limits for provincial political parties, candidates, and constituency associations to $1000 per year
* Restore Auditor General oversight of government advertising
* Require a five-year gap before MPPs and government advisors can register as lobbyists

* Eliminate subsidies to political parties

* Establish a process for voters to recall their MPP if they fail to represent them

Energy and Environment  |

* Create a new provincial park[100]
* Subsidize the manufacturing of electric vehicles [101]

* Create a cap-and-trade system [102]
* Ban the sale of gasoline-powered vehicles by 2035
* Create a $10,000 tax credit for the purchase of electric vehicles
* Ban the conversion of any agricultural land into development
* Expand the Greenbelt
* Plant one billion trees by 2030 [103]
* Ban non-medical single-use plastics by 2024 [104]
* Upgrade public school buildings to make them carbon neutral

* Create five new provincial parks[105]
* Ban new natural gas plants
* Plant 100 million trees per year until 2030[106]
* Protect 30% of Ontario's land and expand the Greenbelt
* Ban the sale of gasoline-powered vehicles by 2035[94]
* Create a $8,000 tax credit for the purchase or lease of electric vehicles and $1,500 for respective charging equipment[107]
* Eliminate connection fees for rooftop solar charging panels[94]
* Restrict some single-use plastics
* Provide grants and interest-free loans to retrofit homes and buildings[94]

* Reduce electricity subsidies by $20 billion over 10 years
* Eliminate gas-powered power plants
* Oppose the building of new nuclear power plants or uranium mines[108]
* Protect 30% of Ontario's land and double the size of the Greenbelt [109]

|  |

* Ban the dumping of untreated waste into bodies of water
* Fund municipal governments to upgrade sewage treatment

Healthcare  |

* Build new hospitals in Niagara Falls; Windsor-Essex[110][111]
* Build 3,000 new hospital beds in 2022-2023
* Provide publicly funded prescriptions to low-income seniors
* Provide publicly funded dental care to low-income seniors
* Offer incentive payments of up to $5,000 over the next two years to nurses who stay in the job[95]

* Repeal Bill 124
* Establish provincial standards for home-care services and providers[95]
* Build 30,000 mental health supportive housing spaces over ten years
* Provide publicly funded prescriptions to all residents
* Provide publicly funded dental care to all residents
* Increase hospital funding[95]
* Add additional funding to clear the surgical backlog[95]
* Eliminate all user fees in healthcare
* Collect race-based data on health care
* Hire 22,000 more nurses
* Hire 300 more physicians in Northern Ontario
* Stop mergers of public health units
* Provide $400 per month to informal caregivers
* Publicly fund contraception

* Repeal Bill 124
* Build 3,000 new hospital beds
* Hire 100,000 new health care workers[112]
* Introduce a Portable Benefits Plan for those without or lacking in their employer benefits; provides drug, dental, vision, and mental health coverage[94]
* Build 15,000 mental health supportive housing spaces
* Fully fund clinical costs for hospices
* Build new hospitals in Windsor, South Niagara, Markdale, Moosonee, Moose Factory Island, Innisfil, Whitby and Ottawa[94]

* Build 60,000 mental health supportive housing spaces
* Increase mental health funding[95]
* Provide publicly funded prescriptions[95]
* Provide publicly funded dental care[95]
* Create a dedicated crisis response line for mental health
* Cover mental health therapy through public funding

* Work on clearing the backlog of procedures

* Do not fire healthcare workers who refuse to participate in abortion or assisted-suicide
* End the prohibition on private health facilities and insurance
* Prohibit sex-change surgeries for minors
* Require parental consent for medical treatment for children

Housing  |

* Use MZOs to approve the construction of more housing supply

* Implement rent control
* Subsidize rent for low-income households
* End exclusionary zoning
* Restore in-person hearings at the Landlord and Tenant Board[113]

* Implement rent control
* Implement a ban on foreign buyers for at least four years[94]
* Fund the construction of 138,000 public housing units, of which 22,000 will be dedicated to off-reserve indigenous residents
* Ban the use of MZOs

* Implement rent control including vacancy control
* Fund the construction of 100,000 public housing units
* Restore 260,000 community housing units
* Provide portable housing benefits to 311,000 people
* End blind bidding[95]
* Require home inspections at the seller's expense[95]

|  |
Indigenous  |  |

* Create an indigenous curriculum
* Boost funding for Indigenous language education[114]
* Support more Indigenous representation on boards
* Clean up the English-Wabigoon River system[114]
* Establish a provincial strategy to address the suicide crisis among Indigenous youth[114]
* Commission a monument that recognizes the victims of the residential school system[114]
* Establish the National Day for Truth and Reconciliation as a statutory holiday[114]
* Strengthen fire protection[115]

* Mandate the inclusion of residential schools into the curriculum[116]

* Reform child welfare and protection services by ensuring Indigenous communities are served by Indigenous-led providers
* Wortk with NCTR to identify, collect, and provide copies of all records relevant to the history and legacy of the residential school system in Ontario
* Make the National Day for Truth and Reconciliation a statutory holiday
* Restore funding for the Indigenous curriculum program
* Develop a mandatory curriculum on colonialism and residential schools, treaties, and Indigenous histories and experiences

|  |
Law Enforcement  |  |

* Expand supervised drug consumption sites
* Ban carding

* Expand supervised drug consumption sites
* Hire more police officers from underrepresented demographics
* Require police training in anti-racism, cultural sensitivity, and mental health[116]

* Expand supervised drug consumption sites

|  |
Long-term care  |

* Build 30,000 long-term care beds over six years [94][117]
* Create a standardized survey of long-term care residents[95]

* Phase out for-profit long-term care homes[118]
* Build 50,000 long-term care beds [94][119]
* Hire 10,000 more PSWs
* Raise pay for PSWs by at least $5 per hour[95]

* Phase out for-profit long-term care homes[120]
* Build 30,000 long-term care beds over six years; redevelop an additional 28,000 existing spaces[94][121]

* Phase out for-profit long-term care homes[95]

|  |
Regulation  |

* Raise the minimum wage to $15.50/h[122]
* Abolish the Ontario College of Trades
* Approve the construction of oil and gas pipelines

* Raise the minimum wage to $20/h over 5 years[123][124]
* Ban licensed sport shooters from owning handguns
* Provide ten publicly funded sick days for all workers
* Increase the number of jobs covered under Employment Standards and the Workplace Safety and Insurance Act[97]
* Implement price controls on gasoline
* Require automobile insurance businesses to charge the same premiums in all regions of Ontario
* Ban the issuing of payday loans
* Require the hiring of more women and racial minorities
* Implement UNDRIP
* Require mandatory anti-oppression and anti-bias training for all public employees and politicians
* Subject all government programs and regulations to a gender-based analysis

* Raise the minimum wage to $16/h and implement regional living wages[125][126]
* Ban licensed sport shooters from owning handguns
* Provide ten paid sick days for all workers[125][127]

* Raise the minimum wage each year by $1, starting at $16 in 2022, with a top-up in cities where the cost of living is higher
* Increase the number of provincially-legislated paid sick days from three to ten, and provide small businesses financial support to fund the program
* Ban employers from requiring a sick note from a medical practitioner when an employee is ill

* Prohibit lobbyists from being involved in political parties
* Make it illegal to conduct fraud in internal political party votes

* Reduce immigration levels to match housing supply levels
* Prohibit foreigners from buying houses
* Repeal Bill 163

Social assistance  |

* Increase ODSP payments by 5%

* Increase ODSP payments by 20%
* Increase OW payments by 20%
* Conduct a basic income pilot project

* Increase ODSP payments by 20%[128]
* Increase OW payments by 10%[116]
* Increase Old Age Security by $1,000 per year[129]
* Bring back the basic income pilot[94][130]

* Increase ODSP payments by 100%[131]

|  |
Taxation  |

* Remove license plate sticker requirements and their respective fees[132]
* Reduce gasoline taxes by 5.7 cents per litre for six months starting on July 1, 2022[122]
* Reduce fuel taxes by 5.3 cents per litre starting on July 1, 2022
* Increase the Non-Resident Speculation Tax and extend its reach beyond the GTHA[95]
* Extend qualification for the LIFT tax credit to $50,000[133]
* Create an Ontario Seniors Care at Home Tax Credit[134]

* Freeze taxes for low and middle income families[135]
* Create a tax on housing speculation
* Introduce an annual vacancy tax on residential property[113]
* Maintain the Non-Resident Speculation Tax at 20%[113]
* Raise taxes on upper income workers by an unspecified amount
* Create a filming tax-credit
* Extend the Staycation tax credit[97]

* Remove the provincial sales tax from prepared meals under $20 (increase from $4)[94][136]
* Increase the corporate tax rate by 1% on corporations with a profit above $1 billion
* Increase the income tax rate by 2% on income over $500,000
* Introduce a 5% tax on vacant homes for non-Canadian owners; 2% for Canadian owners[94]
* Introduce a ‘use it or lose it’ tax on developers sitting on land ready for development
* Create a $75 tax credit for each winter tire installed
* Increase the eligibility for the Low-Income Individuals and Families (LIFT) tax credit from $38,000 to $50,000[137]
* Rebate Northern municipalities 5% of the provincial mining tax
* Suspend corporate income tax collection for small businesses for 2022 and 2023[138]

* Add a 1% surtax onto the income taxes of the top 10% earners[95]
* Introduce a 20% multiple homes speculation tax on third and additional properties

* Reduce the Harmonized Sales Tax from 13% to 10%
* Remove the carbon tax
* Reduce taxes on gasoline

* Eliminate the PST on gasoline and diesel

Transportation  |

* Restore the Northlander service to Northern Ontario
* Build Highway 413
* Build the Bradford Bypass highway
* Build new Highway 7 between Guelph and Kitchener
* Rebuild Highway 101 through Timmins
* Widen Highway 401 between Hespeler Road and Townline Road in Cambridge, between Whitby and Port Hope, and in Eastern Ontario
* Widen Highway 17 to four lanes from Arnprior to Renfrew
* Widen Highway 417 to eight lanes from Highway 416 to Maitland Avenue
* Build Highway 6 Morriston Bypass, and complete interchanges on the Hanlon Expressway
* Expand Highway 3 between Windsor and Leamington
* Extend GO Transit trains to Bowmanville
* Extend GO Transit trains to London
* Build the Ontario Line Subway, Scarborough Subway Extension, Yonge North Subway Extension and Eglinton Crosstown West Extension
* Build a second Garden City Skyway twin bridge[139]

* Restore passenger rail service to Northern Ontario
* Cancel the construction of Highway 413 and the Bradford Bypass
* Require transit projects to make Canadian-made vehicles
* Remove tolls on Highway 407 for commercial drivers[140]
* Pursue penalty fees from 407 ETR for failing to meet a minimum standard of traffic in 2020 and 2021[140]
* Designate Highways 11 and 17 as Class 1 highways
* Four-lane Highway 69, Highway 11/17, Highway 3; the Morriston bypass
* Move ahead with the Thunder Bay Expressway Interchange Project
* Expand Highway 7 between Kitchener and Guelph
* Fund two-way all-day GO Transit to Kitchener-Waterloo
* Extend the Hurontario LRT to downtown Brampton
* Fund 50% of municipal transit costs

* Restore the Northlander service to Northern Ontario within two years[94]
* Cancel the construction of Highway 413
* Reassess the proposed Bradford Bypass' environmental impact[94]
* Reduce all transit fares in Ontario to $1 per ride[141]
* Cut the cost for monthly passes to $40 per month[106]
* Make public transit publicly funded for veterans
* Widen Highway 401 at targeted bottlenecks, including from Milton to Mississauga and between Pickering and Bowmanville[94]
* Build a new Highway 7 between Guelph and Kitchener
* Expand Highway 3 between Windsor and Leamington
* Complete the four-laning of Highway 69 and Highway 11/17 between Thunder Bay and Nipigon by 2025[94]
* Build the Ontario Line Subway, Scarborough Subway Extension, Yonge North Subway Extension and Eglinton Crosstown West Extension[94]
* Fund two-way all-day GO Transit to Milton
* Extend GO Transit trains to Bowmanville[94]

* Cancel the construction of Highway 413
* Cut transit fares by 50% for at least 3 months[95]
* Fund 50% of municipal transit operating expenses[95]
* Expand GO Transit services[95]

|  |
Unions  |  |

* Allow contractors to unionize
* Allow any workplace to unionize when 55% of workers endorse unionization
* Ban strikebreakers
* Allow students to unionize

* Allow contractors to unionize

|  |  |

### Endorsements

[edit]

Endorsements received by each party  Type  | PC | NDP | Liberal | Green | New Blue | Ontario Party

|
|
|
|
|
|

Media  |

* Postmedia Network:
* National Post[142]
* Toronto Sun[143]

* Toronto Star[144] endorsed the NDP, Liberals, and Greens, and encouraged Ontarians to vote strategically to prevent a PC majority

|  |
Politicians and public figures  |

* Don Cherry[145]
* Drew Dilkens[146]
* Gary McNamara[147]
* Hazel McCallion[148]
* Jim Diodati[149]

* Jagmeet Singh[150]

|  |

* David Suzuki[151]

* Corneliu Chisu[152]

Unions and business associations  |

* Construction Council of Ontario, council within the IBEW[153][154]
* HVAC&R Workers of Ontario of the United Association[155]
* International Brotherhood of Boilermakers (IBB)[156]
* International Union of Painters and Allied Trades (IUPAT)[157]
* International Union of Operating Engineers (IUOE)[158]
* Laborers' International Union of North America (LiUNA)[159]
* Ontario Personal Support Workers Association (OPSWA)[160]
* Ontario Pipe Trades Council of the United Association (OPTC of UA)[161]
* Residential Construction Council of Ontario (RESCON)[162]
* International Association of Sheet Metal, Air, Rail and Transportation Workers[163]

* Canadian Union of Public Employees (CUPE)[164]
* Ontario Federation of Labour (OFL)[165]
* United Food and Commercial Workers (UFCW)[166]
* United Steelworkers (USW)[167]
* Ontario Public Service Employees Union (OPSEU)[168]

|  |

* Service Employees International Union (SEIU)[169]
* Ontario Secondary School Teachers' Federation (OSSTF/FEESO)[170]

|  |

## Opinion polls

[edit]

### Campaign polls

[edit]

Opinion polls during campaign period

Polling firm  | Last date
of polling  | Source  | PC | NDP | Liberal | Green | New Blue | Ontario | Other  | Margin of error  | Sample size  | Polling type  | Lead
|  |  |  |  |  |
Forum Research | June 1, 2022  | [p 1] | 40.3 | 23.2  | 24.5  | 6.5  | —  | —  | 5.5  | ±3.1%  | 1,032  | IVR  | 15.8
Research Co.  | June 1, 2022  | [p 2] | 39 | 23  | 26  | 6  | 3  | 1  | 1  | +3.8%  | 659  | Online  | 13
EKOS  | June 1, 2022  | [p 3] | 37 | 23.5  | 24.7  | 8.7  | 4.4  | —  | 2  | +2.6%  | 1,430  | IVR  | 12.3
Abacus Data | June 1, 2022  | [p 4] | 40 | 22  | 27  | 4  | 4  | —  | 3  | N/A  | 1,043  | Online  | 13
Mainstreet Research  | June 1, 2022  | [p 5] | 38.9 | 22.8  | 24.2  | 9.4  | —  | —  | 4.7  | +2.2%  | 2,034 (1/3)  | IVR (rolling)  | 14.7
Ipsos | May 31, 2022  | [p 6] | 41 | 25  | 24  | 6  | —  | —  | 4  | +2.2%  | 2,501  | Telephone/Online  | 16
Nanos Research  | May 31, 2022  | [p 7] | 38.8 | 24.7  | 26.3  | 6.1  | 2  | 2.1  | 0.2  | ±4.5%  | 465  | Telephone/Online  | 12.5
Mainstreet Research  | May 31, 2022  | [p 5] | 35.4 | 23.9  | 26.2  | 9.2  | —  | —  | 5.2  | +2.1%  | 2,086 (1/3)  | IVR (rolling)  | 9.2
Leger  | May 30, 2022  | [p 8] | 40 | 24  | 25  | 5  | 3  | 2  | 1  | N/A  | 1,334  | Online  | 15
Innovative Research Group  | May 30, 2022  | [p 9] | 34 | 24  | 29  | 8  | 3  | —  | 2  | N/A  | 637  | Online  | 5
Mainstreet Research  | May 30, 2022  | [p 5] | 39.3 | 22.5  | 26.8  | 6.4  | —  | —  | 5.1  | +2.1%  | 2,089 (1/3)  | IVR (rolling)  | 12.5
Earnscliffe/Leger  | May 29, 2022  | [p 10] | 39 | 24  | 26  | 5  | —  | —  | 6  | N/A  | 1,000  | Online  | 13
Mainstreet Research  | May 29, 2022  | [p 5] | 36.6 | 23.5  | 27.2  | 6.8  | —  | —  | 5.8  | +2.2%  | 1,921 (1/3)  | IVR (rolling)  | 9.4
Counsel  | May 28, 2022  | [p 11] | 39.6 | 22.5  | 25.1  | 7.1  | —  | —  | 5.7  | +2%  | 2,411  | Online  | 14.5
Mainstreet Research  | May 28, 2022  | [p 5] | 37.3 | 23.2  | 26.3  | 7.1  | —  | —  | 6.1  | +2.3%  | 1,789 (1/3)  | IVR (rolling)  | 11
Mainstreet Research  | May 27, 2022  | [p 5] | 39.1 | 20.8  | 26.5  | 7.8  | —  | —  | 5.8  | +2.4%  | 1,694 (1/3)  | IVR (rolling)  | 12.6
Innovative Research Group  | May 27, 2022  | [p 12] | 40 | 21  | 28  | 9  | —  | —  | 3  | N/A  | 492  | Telephone  | 12
Mainstreet Research  | May 26, 2022  | [p 5] | 38.3 | 21.6  | 26.9  | 7.6  | —  | —  | 5.7  | +2.4%  | 1,704 (1/3)  | IVR (rolling)  | 11.4
Angus Reid  | May 25, 2022  | [p 13] | 38 | 24  | 26  | 7  | —  | —  | 5  | N/A  | 1,331  | Online  | 12
EKOS  | May 25, 2022  | [p 14] | 33.7 | 23.8  | 26.9  | 8  | 4.7  | —  | 3  | +3.1%  | 1,017  | IVR  | 6.8
Mainstreet Research  | May 25, 2022  | [p 5] | 36 | 23.5  | 26.1  | 8.5  | —  | —  | 5.9  | +2.4%  | 1,622 (1/3)  | IVR (rolling)  | 9.9
Mainstreet Research  | May 24, 2022  | [p 5] | 35.3 | 23.1  | 27.2  | 8  | —  | —  | 6.4  | +2.4%  | 1,724 (1/3)  | IVR (rolling)  | 8.1
Leger  | May 23, 2022  | [p 15] | 38 | 24  | 26  | 6  | 3  | 2  | 1  | N/A  | 1,324  | Online  | 12
Innovative Research Group  | May 23, 2022  | [p 16] | 35 | 23  | 30  | 9  | —  | —  | 4  | N/A  | 439  | Online  | 5
Mainstreet Research  | May 23, 2022  | [p 5] | 35.4 | 24.2  | 25.2  | 7.8  | —  | —  | 7.4  | +2.4%  | 1,696 (1/3)  | IVR (rolling)  | 10.2
Nanos Research  | May 22, 2022  | [p 17] | 37.3 | 23.2  | 28  | 6.3  | 3  | 1.7  | 0.3  | ±4.5%  | 479  | Telephone/Online  | 9.3
Earnscliffe/Leger  | May 22, 2022  | [p 18] | 36 | 24  | 28  | 6  | —  | —  | 6  | N/A  | 1,000  | Online  | 8
EKOS  | May 22, 2022  | [p 19] | 34.5 | 24.1  | 26.7  | 6.6  | 5.3  | —  | 2.7  | +3.2%  | 948  | IVR  | 7.8
Mainstreet Research  | May 22, 2022  | [p 5] | 35 | 23.8  | 25.1  | 8.2  | —  | —  | 7.9  | +2.4%  | 1,709 (1/3)  | IVR (rolling)  | 9.9
Abacus Data | May 21, 2022  | [p 20] | 36 | 24  | 28  | 5  | —  | —  | 8  | N/A  | 1,228  | Online  | 8
Mainstreet Research  | May 21, 2022  | [p 5] | 34.4 | 25.1  | 26.7  | 7.2  | —  | —  | 6.5  | +2.4%  | 1,679 (1/3)  | IVR (rolling)  | 7.7
Mainstreet Research  | May 20, 2022  | [p 5] | 35.5 | 26.1  | 25.7  | 6.5  | —  | —  | 6.3  | +2.4%  | 1,734 (1/3)  | IVR (rolling)  | 9.4
Pollara  | May 19, 2022  | [p 21] | 40 | 21  | 27  | 8  | —  | —  | 4  | +2.5%  | 1,514  | Telephone  | 13
Ipsos  | May 19, 2022  | [p 22] | 38 | 23  | 28  | 6  | —  | —  | 5  | +2.9%  | 1,501  | Telephone/Online  | 10
Innovative Research Group  | May 19, 2022  | [p 23] | 36 | 26  | 28  | 8  | —  | —  | 2  | N/A  | 606  | Online  | 8
Mainstreet Research  | May 19, 2022  | [p 5] | 36.9 | 24.7  | 26.2  | 5.1  | —  | —  | 7.2  | +2.4%  | 1,686 (1/3)  | IVR (rolling)  | 10.7
Counsel  | May 18, 2022  | [p 24] | 36.9 | 24.3  | 27.5  | 6.1  | —  | —  | 5.3  | +2.1%  | 2,206  | Online  | 9.4
Mainstreet Research  | May 18, 2022  | [p 5] | 37.2 | 23.4  | 24.8  | 6.7  | —  | —  | 7.8  | +2.4%  | 1,720 (1/3)  | IVR (rolling)  | 12.8
Nanos Research  | May 17, 2022  | [p 25] | 36.1 | 19.8  | 29.3  | 7.3  | 4.7  | 1.7  | 1.1  | ±4.5%  | 484  | Telephone/Online  | 6.8
Research Co.  | May 17, 2022  | [p 26] | 34 | 23  | 29  | 7  | 3  | 1  | 2  | +4%  | 602  | Online  | 5
EKOS  | May 17, 2022  | [p 19] | 40.7 | 23.9  | 24.3  | 5.1  | —  | —  | 6.1  | +4%  | 593  | IVR  | 16.4
Mainstreet Research  | May 17, 2022  | [p 5] | 36.8 | 23.1  | 27.2  | 5.6  | —  | —  | 7.3  | +2.4%  | 1,675 (1/3)  | IVR (rolling)  | 9.6
Innovative Research Group  | May 16, 2022  | [p 27] | 36 | 23  | 31  | 7  | —  | —  | 4  | N/A  | 603  | Online  | 5
Mainstreet Research  | May 16, 2022  | [p 5] | 37.9 | 22.8  | 27.7  | 4.9  | —  | —  | 6.8  | +2.4%  | 1,675 (1/3)  | IVR (rolling)  | 10.2
Earnscliffe/Leger  | May 15, 2022  | [p 28] | 37 | 23  | 28  | 7  | —  | —  | 5  | N/A  | 1,000  | Online  | 9
Leger  | May 15, 2022  | [p 29] | 37 | 23  | 28  | 5  | 3  | 3  | 1  | N/A  | 830  | Online  | 9
Abacus Data  | May 15, 2022  | [p 30] | 35 | 24  | 28  | 5  | —  | —  | 7  | N/A  | 798  | Online  | 7
Mainstreet Research  | May 15, 2022  | [p 5] | 35.5 | 24.8  | 26.8  | 4.4  | —  | —  | 8.5  | +2.3%  | 1,792 (1/3)  | IVR (rolling)  | 8.7
Mainstreet Research  | May 14, 2022  | [p 5] | 36 | 25.4  | 27.6  | 4.1  | —  | —  | 7  | +2.3%  | 1,764 (1/3)  | IVR (rolling)  | 8.4
Mainstreet Research  | May 13, 2022  | [p 5] | 36 | 24.4  | 26.8  | 5.2  | —  | —  | 7.5  | +2.3%  | 1,773 (1/3)  | IVR (rolling)  | 9.2
Mainstreet Research  | May 12, 2022  | [p 5] | 36.6 | 22.6  | 28.6  | 5.2  | —  | —  | 7  | +2.4%  | 1,639 (1/3)  | IVR (rolling)  | 8
Mainstreet Research  | May 11, 2022  | [p 5] | 38.8 | 21.1  | 28.1  | 5.4  | —  | —  | 6.6  | +2.4%  | 1,673 (1/3)  | IVR (rolling)  | 10.7
Mainstreet Research  | May 10, 2022  | [p 5] | 39.0 | 22.3  | 27.1  | 4.6  | —  | —  | 7  | +2.4%  | 1,639 (1/3)  | IVR (rolling)  | 11.9
Mainstreet Research  | May 9, 2022  | [p 5] | 36.5 | 23.5  | 29  | 4.9  | —  | —  | 6.1  | +2.5%  | 1,639 (1/3)  | IVR (rolling)  | 7.5
Abacus Data  | May 9, 2022  | [p 31] | 38 | 22  | 29  | 5  | —  | —  | 7  | N/A  | 1,208  | Online  | 9
Innovative Research Group  | May 9, 2022  | [p 32] | 40 | 24  | 28  | 6  | —  | —  | 3  | N/A  | 600  | Online  | 12
EKOS  | May 9, 2022  | [p 33] | 33.9 | 25.4  | 29.3  | 5.1  | —  | —  | 6.3  | +3.1%  | 1,000  | IVR  | 4.6
Nanos Research  | May 8, 2022  | [p 34] | 35.4 | 23.7  | 30.4  | 4.2  | 3.6  | 1.4  | 1.2  | ±4.4%  | 500  | Telephone/Online  | 5.0
Earnscliffe/Leger  | May 8, 2022  | [p 35] | 39 | 24  | 27  | 6  | —  | —  | 3  | N/A  | 1,000  | Online  | 12
Leger  | May 8, 2022  | [p 36] | 39 | 25  | 26  | 4  | 3  | 1  | 2  | N/A  | 819  | Online  | 13
Mainstreet Research  | May 8, 2022  | [p 5] | 37 | 23  | 30  | 5  | —  | —  | 5  | +2.5%  | 1,515 (1/3)  | IVR (rolling)  | 7
Mainstreet Research  | May 7, 2022  | [p 5] | 36.3 | 24.2  | 30.2  | 4.6  | —  | —  | 4.6  | +2.5%  | 1,496 (1/3)  | IVR (rolling)  | 6.1
Mainstreet Research  | May 6, 2022  | [p 5] | 38.3 | 24.5  | 29.1  | 4  | —  | —  | 4  | +2.5%  | 1,532 (1/3)  | IVR (rolling)  | 9.2
Mainstreet Research  | May 5, 2022  | [p 5] | 37.4 | 25.7  | 28.1  | 4.6  | —  | —  | 4.2  | ±2.7%  | 1,335 (1/3)  | IVR (rolling)  | 9.3
Forum Research  | May 4, 2022  | [p 37] | 37 | 26  | 29  | 4  | —  | —  | 4  | ±3%  | 1,541  | IVR  | 8
Mainstreet Research  | May 4, 2022  | [p 5] | 36.7 | 25.1  | 27.1  | 5.7  | —  | —  | 5.3  | ±2.7%  | 1,335 (1/3)  | IVR (rolling)  | 9.6

### Pre-campaign polls

[edit]

Opinion polling before campaign period began

Polling firm  | Last date
of polling  | Source  | PC | NDP | Liberal | Green | New Blue | Ontario | Other  | Margin of error  | Sample size  | Polling type  | Lead
|  |  |  |  |  |
Nanos Research  | May 2, 2022  | [p 38] | 36.9 | 23.7  | 30.4  | 4.3  | 0.9  | 2.8  | 0.8  | ±4.4%  | 500  | Telephone/Online  | 6.5
Innovative Research Group  | May 2, 2022  | [p 39] | 37 | 24  | 29  | 7  | —  | —  | 2  | N/A  | 1,409  | Online  | 8
Earnscliffe/Leger  | May 1, 2022  | [p 40] | 35 | 24  | 28  | 7  | —  | —  | 6  | N/A  | 1,001  | Online  | 7
Ipsos  | May 1, 2022  | [p 41] | 39 | 25  | 26  | 6  | —  | —  | 5  | ±2.9%  | 1,501  | Telephone/Online  | 13
Mainstreet Research  | April 27, 2022  | [p 5] | 38.1 | 18.1  | 30.4  | 5.1  | —  | —  | 8.3  | ±2.6%  | 1,422  | IVR  | 7.7
Earnscliffe/Leger  | April 24, 2022  | [p 42] | 38 | 25  | 28  | 5  | —  | —  | 5  | N/A  | 1,000  | Online  | 10
Abacus Data | April 19, 2022  | [p 43] | 36 | 23  | 32  | 6  | —  | —  | 4  | ±2.1%  | 1,500  | Online  | 4
Mainstreet Research  | April 19, 2022  | [p 5] | 39.6 | 21.2  | 25.4  | 5.6  | —  | —  | 7.6  | ±2.8%  | 1,211  | IVR  | 14.2
Ipsos | April 14, 2022  | [p 44] | 35 | 23  | 32  | 5  | —  | —  | 5  | ±3.5%  | 1,001  | Online  | 3
Mainstreet Research  | April 12, 2022  | [p 5] | 36 | 24  | 28  | 5  | —  | —  | 6  | ±2.8%  | 1239  | IVR  | 8
Mainstreet Research  | April 6, 2022  | [p 5] | 39.2 | 24.1  | 25.8  | 3.4  | —  | —  | 7.5  | ±2.7%  | 1,289  | IVR  | 13.4
Mainstreet Research  | March 31, 2022  | [p 45] | 36 | 22  | 31  | 4  | —  | —  | 7  | ±2.8%  | 1,252  | IVR  | 5
Leger  | March 28, 2022  | [p 46] | 39 | 24  | 25  | 5  | 5  | —  | 3  | ±3.1%  | 1,001  | Online  | 14
Angus Reid  | March 15, 2022  | [p 47] | 37 | 29  | 25  | 4  | —  | —  | 5  | ±3%  | 1,063  | Online  | 8
Ipsos | March 15, 2022  | [p 48] | 38 | 24  | 28  | 4  | —  | —  | 5  | ±3.8%  | 850  | Online  | 10
Mainstreet Research  | March 13, 2022  | [p 49] | 33.9 | 25.7  | 27.8  | 5  | —  | —  | 7.6  | ±3%  | 1,026  | IVR  | 6.1
Leger  | February 27, 2022  | [p 50] | 39 | 27  | 27  | 3  | 2  | —  | 2[a] | ±3.1%  | 1,001  | Online  | 12
Mainstreet Research  | January 25, 2022  | [p 51] | 34.6 | 22.4  | 27.3  | 3.5  | —  | —  | 12.3  | ±3%  | 882  | IVR  | 7.3
Leger  | January 24, 2022  | [p 52] | 37 | 25  | 26  | 7  | 3  | —  | 5[b] | ±3.1%  | 1,000  | Online  | 11
Counsel  | January 23, 2022  | [p 53] | 34.9 | 30.5  | 24.2  | 4.4  | —  | —  | 6  | ±2.1%  | 2,273  | Online  | 4.4
EKOS  | January 17, 2022  | [p 54] | 34.8 | 26.6  | 26.3  | 4.9  | —  | —  | 7.5  | ±3.5%  | 844  | IVR  | 8.2
Abacus Data | January 12, 2022  | [p 55] | 37 | 25  | 28  | 5  | —  | —  | 2.5  | ±3.1%  | 1,210  | Online  | 9
Angus Reid  | January 12, 2022  | [p 56] | 33  | 36 | 19  | 4  | —  | —  | 8  | N/A  | 909  | Online  | 3
Innovative Research Group  | January 11, 2022  | [p 57] | 35  | 22  | 36 | 5  | —  | —  | 2  | N/A  | 428  | Online  | 1
Mainstreet Research  | January 7, 2022  | [p 58] | 30.6 | 27.0  | 27.9  | 5.5  | —  | —  | 9.0  | ±2.7%  | 1,246  | IVR  | 2.7
December 14, 2021 | Derek Sloan announced as the Leader of the Ontario Party
Leger  | December 13, 2021  | [p 59] | 38 | 28  | 25  | 5  | 2  | —  | 3  | ±3.1%  | 1,000  | Online  | 10
EKOS  | November 25, 2021  | [p 60] | 32.8 | 23.1  | 28.3  | 5.2  | —  | —  | 10.5  | ±4.1%  | 569  | IVR  | 4.5
Innovative Research Group  | November 17, 2021  | [p 61] | 34.8 | 27  | 32.6  | 3.4  | —  | —  | 2.2  | N/A  | 1,000  | Online  | 2.2
Leger  | November 14, 2021  | [p 62] | 34 | 26  | 31  | 6  | 2  | —  | 1  | ±3.1%  | 1,001  | Online  | 3
Leger  | October 10, 2021  | [p 63] | 35 | 25  | 30  | 5  | —  | —  | 5  | ±3.1%  | 1,003  | Online  | 5
Angus Reid  | October 3, 2021  | [p 64] | 34 | 32  | 25  | 4  | —  | —  | 5  | N/A  | 910  | Online  | 2
Angus Reid  | June 7, 2021  | [p 65] | 37 | 33  | 22  | 6  | —  | —  | 3  | ±2%  | 791  | Online  | 4
Leger | May 23, 2021  | [p 66] | 34 | 25  | 26  | 9  | —  | —  | —  | ±3.1%  | 1,001  | Online  | 8
Mainstreet Research  | May 16, 2021  | [p 67] | 32.7 | 28.2  | 26.9  | 6.3  | —  | —  | 5.9  | ±3%  | 958  | IVR  | 4.5
Campaign Research  | May 8, 2021  | [p 68] | 36 | 25  | 28  | 7  | —  | —  | 4  | ±2%  | 2,009  | Online  | 8
Innovative Research Group  | May 4, 2021  | [p 69] | 32  | 22  | 36 | 8  | —  | —  | 2  | N/A  | 481  | Online  | 4
Abacus Data | April 21, 2021  | [p 70] | 34  | 23  | 35 | 5  | —  | —  | 2  | ±3.1%  | 1,007  | Online  | 1
Innovative Research Group  | April 20, 2021  | [p 71] | 30  | 26  | 35 | 8  | —  | —  | 1  | N/A  | 800  | Online  | 5
Abacus Data | April 14, 2021  | [p 72] | 34 | 23  | 34 | 5  | —  | —  | 4  | ±3.5%  | 817  | Online  | 0
Innovative Research Group  | April 13, 2021  | [p 73] | 32  | 24  | 33 | 8  | —  | —  | 2  | N/A  | 704  | Online  | 1
EKOS  | April 12, 2021 | [p 74] | 34.6 | 23.5  | 29.9  | 8.9  | —  | —  | 3  | ±2.8%  | 1,204  | IVR  | 4.7
Campaign Research  | April 6, 2021  | [p 75] | 41 | 22  | 24  | 10  | —  | —  | 2  | ±2.3%  | 1,886  | Online  | 17
Leger | March 22, 2021  | [p 76] | 38 | 28  | 23  | 8  | —  | —  | 3  | ±3.1%  | 1,002  | Online  | 10
Campaign Research  | March 11, 2021  | [p 77] | 43 | 25  | 20  | 9  | —  | —  | 3  | ±2.7%  | 1,344  | Online  | 18
Mainstreet Research  | February 16, 2021  | [p 78] | 43 | 22  | 25  | 6  | —  | —  | 4  | ±3.08%  | 1,011  | IVR  | 18
Campaign Research  | January 31, 2021  | [p 79] | 44 | 25  | 21  | 8  | —  | —  | 3  | ±2.6%  | 1,427  | Online  | 19
Abacus Data | January 12, 2021  | [p 80] | 34 | 25  | 29  | 8  | —  | —  | 3  | ±3.48%  | 793  | Online  | 5
Mainstreet Research  | December 5, 2020  | [p 81] | 46.2 | 23.4  | 19.9  | 6.2  | —  | —  | 4.3  | ±2.94%  | 1,014  | IVR  | 22.8
Campaign Research  | December 3, 2020  | [p 82] | 45 | 20  | 24  | 8  | —  | —  | 5  | ±3%  | 1,001  | Online  | 21
Angus Reid  | November 30, 2020  | [p 83] | 42 | 28  | 22  | 5  | —  | —  | 3  | N/A  | 1,049  | Online  | 14
Campaign Research  | November 2, 2020  | [p 84] | 48 | 21  | 23  | 7  | —  | —  | 1  | ±3%  | 1,118  | Online  | 25
Abacus Data | October 30, 2020  | [p 85] | 36 | 25  | 29  | 7  | —  | —  | 3  | ±3.1%  | 1,000  | Online  | 7
October 12, 2020 | Jim Karahalios forms the New Blue Party
Abacus Data | October 12, 2020  | [p 86] | 36 | 29  | 26  | 6  | —  | —  | 2  | ±3.1%  | 1,000  | Online  | 7
Campaign Research  | October 2, 2020  | [p 87] | 46 | 24  | 20  | 9  | —  | —  | 2  | ±3%  | 1,017  | Online  | 22
Campaign Research  | September 3, 2020  | [p 88] | 48 | 22  | 24  | 6  | —  | —  | 2  | ±3%  | 1,129  | Online  | 24
Angus Reid  | September 1, 2020  | [p 89] | 45 | 28  | 22  | 4  | —  | —  | 1  | ±3%  | 1,026  | Online  | 17
Campaign Research  | August 13, 2020  | [p 90] | 41 | 23  | 26  | 8  | —  | —  | 3  | ±2%  | 2,013  | Online  | 15
Innovative Research Group  | July 20, 2020  | [p 91] | 36  | 18  | 37 | 8  | —  | —  | 1  | N/A  | 974  | Online  | 1
Campaign Research  | July 10, 2020  | [p 92] | 45 | 20  | 27  | 7  | —  | —  | 1  | ±3%  | 1,395  | Online  | 18
Innovative Research Group  | June 23, 2020  | [p 93] | 31  | 21  | 39 | 9  | —  | —  | 1  | N/A  | 838  | Online  | 8
Mainstreet Research  | June 7, 2020  | [p 94] | 41.8 | 23.0  | 27.7  | 5.5  | —  | —  | 2.0  | ±3%  | 1,068  | IVR  | 14.1
Campaign Research  | June 2, 2020  | [p 95] | 44 | 22  | 27  | 6  | —  | —  | 2  | ±2.5%  | 1,512  | Online  | 17
Innovative Research Group  | June 1, 2020  | [p 96] | 33  | 20  | 38 | 9  | —  | —  | 0  | N/A  | 698  | Online  | 5
Angus Reid  | May 24, 2020  | [p 97] | 43 | 26  | 25  | 6  | —  | —  | 1  | N/A  | 1,061  | Online  | 17
Abacus Data | May 22, 2020  | [p 98] | 36  | 19  | 38 | 5  | —  | —  | 2  | ±4.1%  | 597  | Online  | 2
Innovative Research Group  | May 5, 2020  | [p 99] | 34  | 18  | 39 | 7  | —  | —  | 1  | N/A  | 791  | Online  | 5
EKOS  | March 26, 2020 | [p 100] | 31.5  | 17.9  | 40.4 | 7.1  | —  | —  | 3.1  | ±3.5%  | 774  | IVR  | 8.9
Mainstreet Research | March 20, 2020  | [p 101] | 33.1 | 23.2  | 33.0  | 6.9  | —  | —  | 3.8  | ±2.73%  | 1,017  | IVR  | 0.1
7 March 2020 | Steven Del Duca is elected as leader of the Ontario Liberal Party
Campaign Research  | March 5, 2020 | [p 102] | 32 | 28  | 28  | 10  | —  | —  | 2  | ±2.9%  | 1,144  | Online  | 4
Angus Reid | February 28, 2020  | [p 103] | 36 | 31  | 24  | 8  | —  | —  | 1  | ±3.0%  | 1,051  | Online  | 5
Campaign Research  | February 26, 2020  | [p 104] | 32 | 28  | 29  | 9  | —  | —  | 3  | ±3.1%  | 1,003  | Online  | 3
Campaign Research  | February 9, 2020  | [p 105] | 30 | 26  | 30 | 11  | —  | —  | 3  | ±2.5%  | 1,536  | Online  | 0
EKOS | January 19, 2020  | [p 106] | 31.1  | 21.2  | 36.2 | 9.1  | —  | —  | 2.3  | ±3.9%  | 634  | IVR  | 5.1
Pollara | January 11, 2020  | [p 107] | 29  | 27  | 33 | 9  | —  | —  | 2  | ±2.1%  | 2,198  | Online  | 4
EKOS | December 10, 2019  | [p 108] | 29.9  | 24.4  | 32.4 | 9.4  | —  | —  | 3.9  | ±3.4%  | 811  | IVR  | 2.5
Campaign Research  | September 9, 2019  | [p 109] | 32 | 27  | 28  | 11  | —  | —  | 2  | ±3.17%  | 957  | Online  | 4
Corbett Communications  | August 16, 2019  | [p 110] | 30 | 28  | 30 | 11  | —  | —  | 2  | ±3.0%  | 1,099  | Online  | 0
Corbett Communications  | July 10, 2019  | [p 111] | 28 | 26  | 28 | 15  | —  | —  | 3  | ±3.0%  | 936  | Online  | 0
Corbett Communications  | June 6, 2019  | [p 112] | 32 | 27  | 26  | 13  | —  | —  | 1  | ±3.0%  | 1,555  | Online  | 5
Mainstreet Research | May 22, 2019  | [p 113] | 22.4  | 24.2  | 39.9 | 11.7  | —  | —  | 1.8  | ±3.1%  | 996  | IVR  | 15.7
Ipsos | May 21, 2019  | [p 114] | 30  | 29  | 32 | —  | —  | —  | 10  | ±3.5%  | 1,000  | Online  | 2
Corbett Communications  | May 3, 2019  | [p 115] | 35 | 25  | 27  | 12  | —  | —  | 1  | ±2.4%  | 1,836  | Online  | 8
Pollara | May 1, 2019  | [p 116] | 30  | 31 | 26  | 11  | —  | —  | 1  | ±2.5%  | 1,527  | Online  | 1
Mainstreet Research | March 22, 2019 | [p 117] | 34.4 | 26.6  | 26.0  | 9.4  | —  | —  | 3.6  | ±2.73%  | 1,290  | IVR  | 7.8
Innovative Research Group  | January 24, 2019 | [p 118] | 33  | 23  | 36 | 7  | —  | —  | 1  |  | 751  | Online  | 3
Mainstreet Research | January 17, 2019 | [p 119] | 41.4 | 27.0  | 22.6  | 7.0  | —  | —  | 2.2  | ±2.92%  | 1,127  | IVR  | 14.4
EKOS | December 3, 2018 | [p 120] | 34.3 | 26.1  | 28.0  | 9.4  | —  | —  | 2.3  | ±3.1%  | 1,025  | IVR  | 6.3
Campaign Research  | November 9, 2018 | [p 121] | 34 | 25  | 32  | 7  | —  | —  | 2  | ±2.3%  | 1,830  | Online  | 2
Mainstreet Research | November 7, 2018 | [p 122] | 42.2 | 26.5  | 21.3  | 6.4  | —  | —  | 3.5  | ±2.79%  | 1,229  | IVR  | 15.7
Innovative Research Group  | October 28, 2018 | [p 123] | 35 | 25  | 32  | 7  | —  | —  | 1  |  | 1,628  | Online  | 3
Abacus Data | October 1, 2018 | [p 124] | 36 | 29  | 24  | 8  | —  | —  | 3  |  | 1,500  | Online  | 7
Mainstreet Research | July 17, 2018 | [p 125] | 41.7 | 27.8  | 21.3  | 6.7  | —  | —  | 2.5  | ±2.27%  | 1,861  | IVR  | 13.9
29 June 2018 | Doug Ford is sworn in as Premier of Ontario
Innovative Research Group  | June 21, 2018 | [p 118] | 37 | 36  | 19  | 7  | —  | —  | 2  | ±4.0%  | 607  | Telephone  | 1
14 June 2018 | John Fraser becomes interim leader of the Ontario Liberal Party
7 June 2018 | Kathleen Wynne resigns as leader of the Ontario Liberal Party
2018 election | June 7, 2018 | —  | 40.50 | 33.56  | 19.59  | 4.60  | —  | 0.04  | 1.74  | —  | 5,744,860  | —  | 6.94
Polling firm  | Last date
of polling  | Source  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | Margin of error  | Sample size  | Polling type  | Lead
PC | NDP | Liberal | Green | New Blue | Ontario | Other

Notes

1. ^ 1% for Ontario First.
2. ^ 2% for Ontario First.

## Results

[edit]

The disproportionality of elections to the Legislative Assembly in the 2022 election was 22.59 according to the Gallagher Index, mainly due to the disparity between the vote share and seat share of the Liberals and PCs.

Despite only posting a marginal increase in the popular vote, the Progressive Conservative Party won with an increased parliamentary majority.[171]

PC gains came primarily at the expense of the New Democratic Party, who lost significant vote share primarily to the Liberal Party. Nevertheless, the NDP maintained their role as official opposition by a large margin. Although she won her seat, Andrea Horwath resigned as leader of the NDP.[172]

Despite edging out the NDP for second place in the popular vote, the Liberals only gained one seat and failed to regain official party status. After failing to win in his own riding, Liberal leader Steven Del Duca also announced his resignation as party leader.[173]

The only two candidates outside the three largest parties to be elected were Green Party leader Mike Schreiner and independent candidate Bobbi Ann Brady, who prior to the election was the executive assistant to the retiring PC MPP in her riding.

The official results, certified by Elections Ontario, are as follows:

↓  83 | 31 | 8 | 1 | 1

|
|
|
|

Progressive Conservative | New Democratic | Liberal | G | I
Party  | Votes  | Seats

|
|

| Progressive Conservative | 1,912,057  |

40.83%

|  0.33pp |

83 / 124 (67%)

| New Democratic | 1,111,923  |

23.74%

|  9.85pp |

31 / 124 (25%)

| Liberal | 1,116,961  |

23.91%

|  4.32pp |

8 / 124 (6%)

| Green | 279,152  |

5.96%

|  1.36pp |

1 / 124 (0.8%)

| Independent[a 1] | 25,334  |

0.53%

|  0.39pp |

1 / 124 (0.8%)

| Popular vote

|  |
PC |

| 40.83%
Liberal |

| 23.91%
New Democratic |

| 23.74%
Green |

| 5.96%
Others |

| 5.56%

| Seat summary

|  |
PC |

| 66.94%
New Democratic |

| 25.00%
Liberal |

| 6.45%
Green |

| 0.81%
Others |

| 0.81%

1. ^ Bobbi Ann Brady was elected for Haldimand—Norfolk with 15,921 votes, or 0.34% of the province-wide vote.

### Synopsis of results

[edit]

For greater analysis on results within the province, see Candidates of the 2022 Ontario general election.

Results by riding - 2022 Ontario general election[a 1][a 2][a 3]

Riding  | 2018 | Winning party  | Turnout
[a 4][a 5] | Votes[a 6]
Party  | Votes  | Share  | Margin
#  | Margin
%  | PC | NDP | Lib | Green | NB | Ont | Ind | Other  | Total
|  |  |  |  |  |  |
|  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |
Ajax |  | PC |  | PC  | 15,336 | 40.69% | 1,775 | 4.71% | 39.96% | 15,336 | 6,291 | 13,561 | 1,305 | 625 | 330 | 239 | - | 37,687
Algoma—Manitoulin |  | NDP |  | NDP  | 11,252 | 45.93% | 2,560 | 10.45% | 42.47% | 8,692 | 11,252 | 2,133 | 764 | 1,302 | 356 | - | - | 24,499
Aurora—Oak Ridges—Richmond Hill |  | PC |  | PC  | 17,340 | 53.26% | 7,340 | 22.55% | 38.19% | 17,340 | 2,501 | 10,000 | 1,268 | 649 | 732 | - | 69 | 32,559
Barrie—Innisfil |  | PC |  | PC  | 18,225 | 50.25% | 11,283 | 31.11% | 39.61% | 18,225 | 6,942 | 6,564 | 2,291 | 1,220 | 764 | 147 | 119 | 36,272
Barrie—Springwater—Oro-Medonte |  | PC |  | PC  | 16,631 | 42.10% | 296 | 0.75% | 46.75% | 16,631 | 3,093 | 16,335 | 1,699 | 1,104 | 638 | - | - | 39,500
Bay of Quinte |  | PC |  | PC  | 21,381 | 49.30% | 12,308 | 28.38% | 45.91% | 21,381 | 9,073 | 8,003 | 2,719 | 1,128 | 1,062 | - | - | 43,366
Beaches—East York |  | NDP |  | Lib  | 14,398 | 35.42% | 898 | 2.21% | 49.58% | 7,536 | 13,500 | 14,398 | 4,154 | 441 | 310 | - | 309 | 40,648
Brampton Centre |  | NDP |  | PC  | 10,119 | 41.36% | 3,597 | 14.70% | 36.67% | 10,119 | 6,522 | 6,119 | 882 | 821 | - | - | - | 24,463
Brampton East |  | NDP |  | PC  | 12,869 | 44.32% | 3,852 | 13.27% | 36.35% | 12,869 | 9,017 | 6,131 | 557 | 295 | 167 | - | - | 29,036
Brampton North |  | NDP |  | PC  | 13,509 | 44.99% | 4,870 | 16.22% | 38.46% | 13,509 | 5,949 | 8,639 | 895 | 610 | 423 | - | - | 30,025
Brampton South |  | PC |  | PC  | 12,980 | 45.38% | 5,023 | 17.56% | 35.81% | 12,980 | 5,475 | 7,957 | 1,028 | 974 | - | - | 188 | 28,602
Brampton West |  | PC |  | PC  | 14,751 | 47.84% | 6,662 | 21.60% | 34.19% | 14,751 | 6,398 | 8,089 | 854 | 511 | 233 | - | - | 30,836
Brantford—Brant |  | PC |  | PC  | 20,738 | 44.17% | 7,455 | 15.88% | 42.05% | 20,738 | 13,283 | 6,083 | 3,174 | 2,089 | 640 | 157 | 789 | 46,953
Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound |  | PC |  | PC  | 20,304 | 48.56% | 11,805 | 28.23% | 47.02% | 20,304 | 5,817 | 8,499 | 3,702 | 1,130 | 1,680 | 201 | 478 | 41,811
Burlington |  | PC |  | PC  | 22,348 | 42.55% | 6,896 | 13.13% | 51.63% | 22,348 | 9,262 | 15,452 | 3,515 | 1,310 | 633 | - | - | 52,520
Cambridge |  | PC |  | PC  | 14,590 | 37.03% | 5,845 | 14.83% | 43.22% | 14,590 | 8,745 | 8,155 | 3,537 | 4,374 | - | - | - | 39,401
Carleton |  | PC |  | PC  | 22,295 | 48.15% | 9,843 | 21.26% | 48.79% | 22,295 | 7,256 | 12,452 | 2,537 | 1,037 | 494 | - | 235 | 46,306
Chatham-Kent—Leamington |  | PC |  | PC  | 17,522 | 47.52% | 6,359 | 17.25% | 44.87% | 17,522 | 11,163 | - | 1,244 | 1,463 | 5,478 | - | - | 36,870
Davenport |  | NDP |  | NDP  | 20,242 | 57.06% | 13,427 | 37.85% | 43.30% | 4,994 | 20,242 | 6,815 | 1,710 | 395 | 400 | 216 | 701 | 35,473
Don Valley East |  | Lib |  | Lib  | 12,313 | 43.86% | 3,275 | 11.66% | 42.37% | 9,038 | 4,355 | 12,313 | 1,139 | 323 | 295 | 192 | 421 | 28,076
Don Valley North |  | PC |  | PC  | 15,041 | 47.41% | 3,356 | 10.58% | 40.76% | 15,041 | 3,133 | 11,685 | 1,179 | 690 | - | - | - | 31,728
Don Valley West |  | Lib |  | Lib  | 16,177 | 44.01% | 1,969 | 5.36% | 49.36% | 14,208 | 3,392 | 16,177 | 2,025 | 421 | 167 | 85 | 285 | 36,760
Dufferin—Caledon |  | PC |  | PC  | 22,911 | 49.67% | 14,223 | 30.86% | 42.07% | 22,911 | 4,967 | 8,678 | 6,518 | 2,280 | 589 | - | 184 | 46,127
Durham |  | PC |  | PC  | 22,614 | 45.85% | 10,338 | 20.96% | 43.71% | 22,614 | 9,168 | 12,276 | 1,981 | 1,898 | 686 | 697 | - | 49,320
Eglinton—Lawrence |  | PC |  | PC  | 16,605 | 42.30% | 524 | 1.33% | 46.72% | 16,605 | 3,801 | 16,081 | 1,513 | 393 | 268 | 216 | 381 | 39,258
Elgin—Middlesex—London |  | PC |  | PC  | 22,369 | 51.08% | 14,396 | 32.87% | 44.78% | 22,369 | 7,973 | 7,618 | 2,043 | 2,238 | 1,092 | - | 458 | 43,791
Essex |  | NDP |  | PC  | 24,926 | 51.10% | 11,133 | 22.82% | 47.21% | 24,926 | 13,793 | 4,186 | 989 | 1,293 | 3,322 | - | 271 | 48,780
Etobicoke Centre |  | PC |  | PC  | 22,035 | 48.59% | 6,592 | 14.54% | 48.55% | 22,035 | 3,906 | 15,443 | 2,036 | 1,117 | 530 | - | 284 | 45,351
Etobicoke—Lakeshore |  | PC |  | PC  | 17,978 | 37.48% | 842 | 1.76% | 45.28% | 17,978 | 8,595 | 17,136 | 2,278 | 1,612 | - | 186 | 181 | 47,966
Etobicoke North |  | PC |  | PC  | 13,934 | 55.51% | 8,050 | 32.07% | 33.98% | 13,934 | 3,290 | 5,884 | 690 | 391 | 782 | - | 132 | 25,103
Flamborough—Glanbrook |  | PC |  | PC  | 20,306 | 46.20% | 10,311 | 23.46% | 46.91% | 20,306 | 9,995 | 8,970 | 2,392 | 1,492 | 710 | - | 86 | 43,951
Glengarry—Prescott—Russell |  | PC |  | PC  | 18,661 | 42.05% | 1,132 | 2.55% | 45.56% | 18,661 | 3,789 | 17,529 | 1,670 | 1,924 | 809 | - | - | 44,382
Guelph |  | Grn |  | Grn  | 29,752 | 54.45% | 18,603 | 34.05% | 49.39% | 11,149 | 4,402 | 7,263 | 29,752 | 1,619 | - | - | 453 | 54,638
Haldimand—Norfolk |  | PC |  | Ind  | 15,921 | 35.05% | 2,070 | 4.56% | 48.88% | 13,851 | 6,311 | 3,329 | 1,841 | 1,454 | 2,353 | 16,020 | 268 | 45,427
Haliburton—Kawartha Lakes—Brock |  | PC |  | PC  | 25,594 | 52.31% | 17,902 | 36.59% | 48.14% | 25,594 | 7,692 | 6,590 | 3,695 | 888 | 3,949 | - | 518 | 48,926
Hamilton Centre |  | NDP |  | NDP  | 16,690 | 57.26% | 11,890 | 40.79% | 37.94% | 4,800 | 16,690 | 3,799 | 2,554 | 483 | 451 | 145 | 225 | 29,147
Hamilton East—Stoney Creek |  | NDP |  | PC  | 12,166 | 34.60% | 2,552 | 7.26% | 40.95% | 12,166 | 9,614 | 7,411 | 1,740 | 693 | 1,052 | 2,411 | 79 | 35,166
Hamilton Mountain |  | NDP |  | NDP  | 15,250 | 44.81% | 5,039 | 14.81% | 41.49% | 10,211 | 15,250 | 5,300 | 1,913 | 770 | 590 | - | - | 34,034
Hamilton West—Ancaster—Dundas |  | NDP |  | NDP  | 18,197 | 40.42% | 3,345 | 7.43% | 48.45% | 14,852 | 18,197 | 8,184 | 2,416 | 904 | 464 | - | - | 45,017
Hastings—Lennox and Addington |  | PC |  | PC  | 18,156 | 47.55% | 10,898 | 28.54% | 47.12% | 18,156 | 7,258 | 7,102 | 1,732 | 1,129 | 2,807 | - | - | 38,184
Humber River—Black Creek |  | NDP |  | NDP  | 7,959 | 34.49% | 883 | 3.83% | 33.15% | 6,865 | 7,959 | 7,076 | 430 | 281 | 357 | 110 | - | 23,078
Huron—Bruce |  | PC |  | PC  | 24,369 | 51.97% | 15,594 | 33.26% | 54.16% | 24,369 | 7,679 | 8,775 | 1,922 | 3,384 | 474 | 212 | 77 | 46,892
Kanata—Carleton |  | PC |  | PC  | 19,871 | 43.61% | 8,826 | 19.37% | 51.38% | 19,871 | 11,045 | 10,672 | 2,503 | 1,085 | 393 | - | - | 45,569
Kenora—Rainy River |  | PC |  | PC  | 9,567 | 59.57% | 6,368 | 39.65% | 40.21% | 9,567 | 3,199 | 1,823 | 608 | 393 | 276 | 95 | 98 | 16,059
Kiiwetinoong |  | NDP |  | NDP  | 2,742 | 57.57% | 1,316 | 27.63% | 30.40% | 1,426 | 2,742 | 281 | 158 | 156 | - | - | - | 4,763
King—Vaughan |  | PC |  | PC  | 23,439 | 57.31% | 11,781 | 28.81% | 39.79% | 23,439 | 2,840 | 11,658 | 1,104 | 1,400 | 309 | - | 147 | 40,897
Kingston and the Islands |  | NDP |  | Lib  | 18,360 | 37.66% | 3,174 | 6.51% | 46.84% | 11,973 | 15,186 | 18,360 | 1,601 | 429 | 827 | 130 | 243 | 48,749
Kitchener Centre |  | NDP |  | NDP  | 15,789 | 40.59% | 5,413 | 13.91% | 46.21% | 10,376 | 15,789 | 5,728 | 4,980 | 2,029 | - | - | - | 38,902
Kitchener—Conestoga |  | PC |  | PC  | 15,045 | 40.03% | 4,194 | 11.16% | 48.88% | 15,045 | 10,851 | 6,590 | 2,315 | 2,223 | 501 | - | 64 | 37,589
Kitchener South—Hespeler |  | PC |  | PC  | 13,768 | 39.91% | 4,650 | 13.48% | 42.16% | 13,768 | 9,118 | 5,629 | 3,993 | 1,436 | 552 | - | - | 34,496
Lambton—Kent—Middlesex |  | PC |  | PC  | 24,933 | 58.81% | 16,946 | 39.97% | 47.28% | 24,933 | 7,987 | 4,063 | 1,688 | 2,701 | 727 | - | 300 | 42,399
Lanark—Frontenac—Kingston |  | PC |  | PC  | 22,142 | 50.11% | 12,996 | 29.41% | 50.02% | 22,142 | 9,146 | 6,962 | 2,982 | 753 | 1,663 | 213 | 324 | 44,185
Leeds—Grenville—Thousand Islands and Rideau Lakes |  | PC |  | PC  | 24,657 | 57.69% | 16,911 | 39.56% | 49.18% | 24,657 | 5,799 | 7,746 | 2,583 | 944 | 536 | - | 479 | 42,744
London—Fanshawe |  | NDP |  | NDP  | 16,123 | 47.06% | 4,899 | 14.30% | 36.56% | 11,224 | 16,123 | 3,553 | 1,200 | 1,072 | 539 | - | 549 | 34,260
London North Centre |  | NDP |  | NDP  | 17,082 | 39.65% | 4,031 | 9.36% | 42.13% | 13,051 | 17,082 | 9,013 | 2,064 | 1,200 | 368 | - | 307 | 43,085
London West |  | NDP |  | NDP  | 22,510 | 45.13% | 5,624 | 11.27% | 48.62% | 16,886 | 22,510 | 6,077 | 1,713 | 1,277 | 521 | - | 898 | 49,882
Markham—Stouffville |  | PC |  | PC  | 21,176 | 48.43% | 5,664 | 12.95% | 44.51% | 21,176 | 4,137 | 15,512 | 1,723 | 658 | 517 | - | - | 43,723
Markham—Thornhill |  | PC |  | PC  | 14,011 | 48.82% | 3,248 | 11.32% | 39.68% | 14,011 | 2,597 | 10,763 | 733 | 376 | - | - | 219 | 28,699
Markham—Unionville |  | PC |  | PC  | 19,985 | 56.42% | 9,211 | 26.00% | 39.12% | 19,985 | 2,579 | 10,774 | 1,299 | 536 | 249 | - | - | 35,422
Milton |  | PC |  | PC  | 16,766 | 43.07% | 1,680 | 4.32% | 42.70% | 16,766 | 3,777 | 15,086 | 1,612 | 1,579 | - | - | 107 | 38,927
Mississauga Centre |  | PC |  | PC  | 14,719 | 43.60% | 2,459 | 7.28% | 38.14% | 14,719 | 4,148 | 12,260 | 1,188 | 523 | 332 | - | 588 | 33,758
Mississauga East—Cooksville |  | PC |  | PC  | 13,840 | 40.91% | 1,206 | 3.57% | 39.58% | 13,840 | 3,664 | 12,634 | 1,345 | 1,599 | 625 | - | 121 | 33,828
Mississauga—Erin Mills |  | PC |  | PC  | 15,693 | 42.15% | 1,736 | 4.66% | 41.70% | 15,693 | 4,521 | 13,954 | 1,594 | 978 | 495 | - | - | 37,235
Mississauga—Lakeshore |  | PC |  | PC  | 19,341 | 45.09% | 3,573 | 8.33% | 46.95% | 19,341 | 3,647 | 15,768 | 2,160 | 1,014 | 501 | - | 459 | 42,890
Mississauga—Malton |  | PC |  | PC  | 13,028 | 44.89% | 4,190 | 14.44% | 36.51% | 13,028 | 5,140 | 8,838 | 1,173 | 844 | - | - | - | 29,023
Mississauga—Streetsville |  | PC |  | PC  | 17,317 | 45.58% | 3,838 | 10.10% | 42.67% | 17,317 | 4,554 | 13,479 | 1,137 | 737 | 484 | - | 281 | 37,989
Mushkegowuk—James Bay |  | NDP |  | NDP  | 3,423 | 47.18% | 829 | 11.43% | 39.40% | 2,594 | 3,423 | 852 | 141 | 222 | - | - | 23 | 7,255
Nepean |  | PC |  | PC  | 17,123 | 39.26% | 2,094 | 4.80% | 45.89% | 17,123 | 8,435 | 15,029 | 1,696 | 964 | 370 | - | - | 43,617
Newmarket—Aurora |  | PC |  | PC  | 18,671 | 44.97% | 5,602 | 13.49% | 44.42% | 18,671 | 5,281 | 13,069 | 2,332 | 1,520 | 532 | - | 118 | 41,523
Niagara Centre |  | NDP |  | NDP  | 16,360 | 39.70% | 854 | 2.07% | 43.37% | 15,506 | 16,360 | 5,492 | 1,865 | 1,148 | 837 | - | - | 41,208
Niagara Falls |  | NDP |  | NDP  | 24,207 | 48.08% | 5,865 | 11.65% | 43.60% | 18,342 | 24,207 | 4,239 | 1,356 | 1,409 | 656 | - | 135 | 50,344
Niagara West |  | PC |  | PC  | 18,779 | 44.93% | 10,121 | 24.22% | 53.16% | 18,779 | 8,658 | 8,013 | 2,702 | 1,098 | 2,207 | - | 339 | 41,796
Nickel Belt |  | NDP |  | NDP  | 15,611 | 50.77% | 6,430 | 20.91% | 45.51% | 9,181 | 15,611 | 3,042 | 921 | 1,522 | 470 | - | - | 30,747
Nipissing |  | PC |  | PC  | 15,392 | 50.20% | 6,727 | 21.94% | 48.29% | 15,392 | 8,665 | 4,150 | 1,025 | 399 | 616 | - | 412 | 30,659
Northumberland—Peterborough South |  | PC |  | PC  | 26,419 | 50.93% | 13,483 | 25.99% | 51.72% | 26,419 | 6,806 | 12,936 | 2,942 | 1,170 | 1,598 | - | - | 51,871
Oakville |  | PC |  | PC  | 21,162 | 45.44% | 3,608 | 7.75% | 50.29% | 21,162 | 3,154 | 17,554 | 2,416 | 764 | 497 | - | 1,022 | 46,569
Oakville North—Burlington |  | PC |  | PC  | 22,221 | 47.18% | 5,590 | 11.87% | 46.89% | 22,221 | 4,673 | 16,631 | 2,027 | 1,097 | 446 | - | - | 47,095
Orléans |  | Lib |  | Lib  | 23,982 | 46.26% | 15,413 | 13.61% | 46.59% | 16,926 | 7,150 | 23,982 | 2,359 | 796 | 442 | - | 184 | 51,839
Oshawa |  | NDP |  | NDP  | 17,170 | 42.07% | 747 | 1.83% | 39.48% | 16,423 | 17,170 | 3,726 | 1,641 | 1,006 | 843 | - | - | 40,809
Ottawa Centre |  | NDP |  | NDP  | 30,311 | 54.34% | 17,715 | 31.76% | 50.74% | 8,773 | 30,311 | 12,596 | 2,718 | 798 | - | 140 | 445 | 55,781
Ottawa South |  | Lib |  | Lib  | 18,282 | 45.14% | 8,663 | 21.39% | 42.48% | 9,390 | 9,619 | 18,282 | 1,885 | 675 | 386 | 154 | 109 | 40,500
Ottawa—Vanier |  | Lib |  | Lib  | 16,132 | 41.89% | 6,106 | 15.85% | 39.42% | 7,798 | 10,026 | 16,132 | 3,019 | 400 | 587 | - | 711 | 38,673
Ottawa West—Nepean |  | PC |  | NDP  | 15,696 | 37.54% | 1,086 | 2.60% | 47.42% | 14,610 | 15,696 | 9,384 | 1,475 | - | 649 | - | - | 41,814
Oxford |  | PC |  | PC  | 22,166 | 50.01% | 12,662 | 28.57% | 46.45% | 22,166 | 9,504 | 5,457 | 2,097 | 1,518 | 3,579 | - | - | 44,321
Parkdale—High Park |  | NDP |  | NDP  | 23,024 | 53.97% | 13,477 | 31.59% | 50.25% | 6,270 | 23,024 | 9,547 | 2,587 | 537 | 349 | - | 350 | 42,664
Parry Sound—Muskoka |  | PC |  | PC  | 20,216 | 45.37% | 2,114 | 4.74% | 53.09% | 20,216 | 3,427 | - | 18,102 | 883 | 1,649 | 155 | 126 | 44,558
Perth—Wellington |  | PC |  | PC  | 19,468 | 46.80% | 10,298 | 24.76% | 50.09% | 19,468 | 9,170 | 6,708 | 2,627 | 2,457 | 985 | - | 182 | 41,597
Peterborough—Kawartha |  | PC |  | PC  | 20,205 | 38.58% | 4,207 | 8.03% | 51.47% | 20,205 | 11,196 | 15,998 | 1,914 | 1,088 | 1,972 | - | - | 52,373
Pickering—Uxbridge |  | PC |  | PC  | 19,208 | 44.43% | 6,863 | 15.87% | 45.29% | 19,208 | 6,934 | 12,345 | 2,266 | 543 | 1,790 | - | 146 | 43,232
Renfrew—Nipissing—Pembroke |  | PC |  | PC  | 24,563 | 61.12% | 17,691 | 44.02% | 46.29% | 24,563 | 6,872 | 3,928 | 1,470 | 1,868 | 1,162 | - | 325 | 40,188
Richmond Hill |  | PC |  | PC  | 16,088 | 52.24% | 6,263 | 20.34% | 36.14% | 16,088 | 2,805 | 9,825 | 917 | 535 | 519 | - | 107 | 30,796
St. Catharines |  | NDP |  | NDP  | 17,128 | 39.71% | 2,277 | 5.28% | 46.66% | 14,851 | 17,128 | 7,175 | 1,764 | 1,103 | 613 | - | 502 | 43,136
Sarnia—Lambton |  | PC |  | PC  | 21,184 | 52.72% | 11,695 | 29.11% | 46.69% | 21,184 | 9,489 | 4,200 | 1,266 | 2,719 | 351 | - | 972 | 40,181
Sault Ste. Marie |  | PC |  | PC  | 12,606 | 46.89% | 2,577 | 9.59% | 44.49% | 12,606 | 10,029 | 1,610 | 675 | 894 | - | 1,070 | - | 26,884
Scarborough—Agincourt |  | PC |  | PC  | 14,040 | 49.03% | 3,368 | 11.76% | 39.43% | 14,040 | 2,512 | 10,672 | 628 | 292 | 492 | - | - | 28,636
Scarborough Centre |  | PC |  | PC  | 11,471 | 35.99% | 1,793 | 5.63% | 41.25% | 11,471 | 8,358 | 9,678 | 892 | 355 | 297 | 352 | 466 | 31,869
Scarborough—Guildwood |  | Lib |  | Lib  | 13,405 | 46.31% | 4,282 | 14.79% | 41.63% | 9,123 | 4,824 | 13,405 | 818 | 366 | 265 | - | 148 | 28,949
Scarborough North |  | PC |  | PC  | 12,646 | 48.31% | 4,896 | 18.70% | 39.26% | 12,646 | 4,820 | 7,750 | 479 | 277 | 105 | - | 100 | 26,177
Scarborough—Rouge Park |  | PC |  | PC  | 15,989 | 45.28% | 6,205 | 17.57% | 45.12% | 15,989 | 7,742 | 9,784 | 850 | 285 | 523 | - | 139 | 35,312
Scarborough Southwest |  | NDP |  | NDP  | 16,842 | 47.68% | 7,092 | 20.08% | 44.34% | 9,750 | 16,842 | 6,556 | 1,251 | 383 | 320 | 110 | 114 | 35,326
Simcoe—Grey |  | PC |  | PC  | 27,067 | 51.18% | 15,380 | 29.08% | 43.52% | 27,067 | 5,849 | 11,687 | 4,742 | 2,147 | 1,039 | - | 355 | 52,886
Simcoe North |  | PC |  | PC  | 23,041 | 49.80% | 14,833 | 32.06% | 46.24% | 23,041 | 8,208 | 8,070 | 4,071 | 1,438 | 1,119 | - | 318 | 46,265
Spadina—Fort York |  | NDP |  | NDP  | 15,595 | 46.06% | 6,132 | 18.11% | 34.35% | 6,221 | 15,595 | 9,463 | 1,902 | 581 | - | - | 95 | 33,857
Stormont—Dundas—South Glengarry |  | PC |  | PC  | 20,766 | 57.50% | 14,308 | 39.62% | 41.63% | 20,766 | 4,982 | 6,458 | 1,477 | 1,538 | 893 | - | - | 36,114
Sudbury |  | NDP |  | NDP  | 12,013 | 40.85% | 3,494 | 11.88% | 44.60% | 8,519 | 12,013 | 5,727 | 1,480 | 724 | 353 | 90 | 504 | 29,410
Thornhill |  | PC |  | PC  | 18,395 | 53.28% | 8,148 | 23.60% | 39.88% | 18,395 | 2,698 | 10,247 | 1,155 | 931 | 351 | 361 | 384 | 34,522
Thunder Bay—Atikokan |  | NDP |  | PC  | 9,657 | 36.31% | 898 | 3.38% | 43.09% | 9,657 | 8,759 | 6,486 | 781 | 529 | 248 | - | 138 | 26,598
Thunder Bay—Superior North |  | Lib |  | NDP  | 8,404 | 34.12% | 800 | 3.25% | 43.24% | 7,604 | 8,404 | 6,966 | 738 | 314 | 338 | - | 270 | 24,634
Timiskaming—Cochrane |  | NDP |  | NDP  | 9,735 | 42.74% | 1,711 | 7.51% | 42.61% | 8,024 | 9,735 | 1,600 | 1,485 | 1,181 | 349 | - | 405 | 22,779
Timmins |  | NDP |  | PC  | 9,356 | 64.81% | 5,085 | 35.22% | 43.54% | 9,356 | 4,271 | - | 323 | 421 | - | - | 66 | 14,437
Toronto Centre |  | NDP |  | NDP  | 15,285 | 43.77% | 2,465 | 7.06% | 39.82% | 4,245 | 15,285 | 12,820 | 1,784 | 385 | - | - | 402 | 34,921
Toronto—Danforth |  | NDP |  | NDP  | 22,890 | 55.39% | 13,650 | 33.03% | 49.44% | 5,556 | 22,890 | 9,240 | 2,513 | 515 | 232 | - | 378 | 41,324
Toronto—St. Paul's |  | NDP |  | NDP  | 15,292 | 36.26% | 1,092 | 2.59% | 48.07% | 9,445 | 15,292 | 14,200 | 2,302 | 473 | 242 | - | 225 | 42,179
University—Rosedale |  | NDP |  | NDP  | 13,961 | 37.55% | 3,789 | 10.19% | 43.20% | 6,535 | 13,961 | 10,172 | 5,904 | 469 | - | - | 140 | 37,181
Vaughan—Woodbridge |  | PC |  | PC  | 19,340 | 53.78% | 6,725 | 18.70% | 44.03% | 19,340 | 1,927 | 12,615 | 694 | 802 | 304 | - | 276 | 35,958
Waterloo |  | NDP |  | NDP  | 20,615 | 45.89% | 7,439 | 16.56% | 48.41% | 13,176 | 20,615 | 6,251 | 3,110 | 1,178 | 359 | - | 233 | 44,922
Wellington—Halton Hills |  | PC |  | PC  | 25,049 | 50.61% | 17,325 | 35.00% | 48.38% | 25,049 | 7,724 | 6,920 | 7,002 | 2,548 | - | - | 250 | 49,493
Whitby |  | PC |  | PC  | 21,840 | 47.37% | 11,316 | 25.54% | 44.88% | 21,840 | 10,524 | 9,556 | 2,397 | 903 | 519 | 168 | 197 | 46,104
Willowdale |  | PC |  | PC  | 14,105 | 44.66% | 2,115 | 6.70% | 39.84% | 14,105 | 3,253 | 11,990 | 1,143 | 392 | 338 | 132 | 230 | 31,583
Windsor—Tecumseh |  | NDP |  | PC  | 17,692 | 45.89% | 6,141 | 15.93% | 40.61% | 17,692 | 11,551 | 5,598 | 1,002 | 786 | 1,219 | 524 | 179 | 38,551
Windsor West |  | NDP |  | NDP  | 13,395 | 42.19% | 2,184 | 6.88% | 33.62% | 11,211 | 13,395 | 4,159 | 879 | 630 | 1,478 | - | - | 31,752
York Centre |  | PC |  | PC  | 12,947 | 46.03% | 3,963 | 14.09% | 38.94% | 12,947 | 3,935 | 8,984 | 799 | 411 | 679 | - | 373 | 28,128
York—Simcoe |  | PC |  | PC  | 20,789 | 56.76% | 14,470 | 39.51% | 39.00% | 20,789 | 4,083 | 6,319 | 2,691 | 1,633 | 698 | - | 415 | 36,628
York South—Weston |  | NDP |  | PC  | 11,138 | 36.60% | 796 | 2.62% | 38.11% | 11,138 | 10,342 | 7,377 | 770 | 345 | 251 | 209 | - | 30,432

= open seat
= turnout is above provincial average
= incumbent re-elected under the same party banner
= incumbent switched allegiance after 2018 election
= other incumbents renominated

1. ^ Summarized from "Data Explorer". Elections Ontario. Retrieved December 15, 2022.
2. ^ Summarized from "Statistical Summary by Electoral District: 2022 Provincial General Election". Elections Ontario. Retrieved December 15, 2022.
3. ^ Summarized from "Summary of Valid Votes Cast for Each Candidate: 2022 Provincial General Election". Elections Ontario. Retrieved December 15, 2022.
4. ^ including spoilt ballots
5. ^ Provincewide turnout was 44.06%
6. ^ minor political parties receiving less than 1% of the popular vote are aggregated under "Other"; independent candidates are aggregated separately

### Post-election pendulum

[edit]

The robustness of the margins of victory for each party can be summarized in electoral pendulums. These are not necessarily a measure of the volatility of the respective riding results. The following tables show the margins over the various 2nd-place contenders, for which one-half of the value represents the swing needed to overturn the result. Actual seat turnovers in the 2022 election are noted for reference.

= seats that turned over in the election

Post-election pendulum - 2022 Ontario general election[a 1][a 2][a 3]

| PC (83 seats)

Margins 5% or less
Barrie—Springwater—Oro-Medonte |  | Lib  | 0.75
Eglinton—Lawrence |  | Lib  | 1.33
Etobicoke—Lakeshore |  | Lib  | 1.76
Glengarry—Prescott—Russell |  | Lib  | 2.55
York South—Weston |  | NDP  | 2.62
Thunder Bay—Atikokan |  | NDP  | 3.38
Mississauga East—Cooksville |  | Lib  | 3.57
Milton |  | Lib  | 4.32
Mississauga—Erin Mills |  | Lib  | 4.66
Ajax |  | Lib  | 4.71
Parry Sound—Muskoka |  | Grn  | 4.74
Nepean |  | Lib  | 4.80
Margins 5%–10%
Scarborough Centre |  | Lib  | 5.63
Willowdale |  | Lib  | 6.70
Hamilton East—Stoney Creek |  | NDP  | 7.26
Mississauga Centre |  | Lib  | 7.28
Oakville |  | Lib  | 7.75
Peterborough—Kawartha |  | Lib  | 8.03
Mississauga—Lakeshore |  | Lib  | 8.33
Sault Ste. Marie |  | NDP  | 9.59
Margins 10%–20%
Mississauga—Streetsville |  | Lib  | 10.10
Don Valley North |  | Lib  | 10.58
Kitchener—Conestoga |  | NDP  | 11.16
Markham—Thornhill |  | Lib  | 11.32
Scarborough—Agincourt |  | Lib  | 11.76
Oakville North—Burlington |  | Lib  | 11.87
Markham—Stouffville |  | Lib  | 12.95
Burlington |  | Lib  | 13.13
Brampton East |  | NDP  | 13.27
Kitchener South—Hespeler |  | NDP  | 13.48
Newmarket—Aurora |  | Lib  | 13.49
York Centre |  | Lib  | 14.09
Mississauga—Malton |  | Lib  | 14.44
Etobicoke Centre |  | Lib  | 14.54
Brampton Centre |  | NDP  | 14.70
Cambridge |  | NDP  | 14.83
Pickering—Uxbridge |  | Lib  | 15.87
Brantford—Brant |  | NDP  | 15.88
Windsor—Tecumseh |  | NDP  | 15.93
Brampton North |  | Lib  | 16.22
Chatham-Kent—Leamington |  | NDP  | 17.25
Brampton South |  | Lib  | 17.56
Scarborough—Rouge Park |  | Lib  | 17.57
Scarborough North |  | Lib  | 18.70
Vaughan—Woodbridge |  | Lib  | 18.70
Kanata—Carleton |  | NDP  | 19.37
Margins > 20%
Richmond Hill |  | Lib  | 20.34
Durham |  | Lib  | 20.96
Carleton |  | Lib  | 21.26
Brampton West |  | Lib  | 21.60
Nipissing |  | NDP  | 21.94
Aurora—Oak Ridges—Richmond Hill |  | Lib  | 22.55
Essex |  | NDP  | 22.82
Flamborough—Glanbrook |  | NDP  | 23.46
Thornhill |  | Lib  | 23.60
Niagara West |  | NDP  | 24.22
Perth—Wellington |  | NDP  | 24.76
Whitby |  | NDP  | 25.54
Northumberland—Peterborough South |  | Lib  | 25.99
Markham—Unionville |  | Lib  | 26.00
Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound |  | Lib  | 28.23
Bay of Quinte |  | NDP  | 28.38
Hastings—Lennox and Addington |  | NDP  | 28.54
Oxford |  | NDP  | 28.57
King—Vaughan |  | Lib  | 28.81
Simcoe—Grey |  | Lib  | 29.08
Sarnia—Lambton |  | NDP  | 29.11
Lanark—Frontenac—Kingston |  | NDP  | 29.41
Dufferin—Caledon |  | Lib  | 30.86
Barrie—Innisfil |  | NDP  | 31.11
Simcoe North |  | NDP  | 32.06
Etobicoke North |  | Lib  | 32.07
Elgin—Middlesex—London |  | NDP  | 32.87
Huron—Bruce |  | Lib  | 33.26
Wellington—Halton Hills |  | NDP  | 35.00
Timmins |  | NDP  | 35.22
Haliburton—Kawartha Lakes—Brock |  | NDP  | 36.59
York—Simcoe |  | Lib  | 39.51
Leeds—Grenville—Thousand Islands and Rideau Lakes |  | Lib  | 39.56
Stormont—Dundas—South Glengarry |  | Lib  | 39.62
Kenora—Rainy River |  | NDP  | 39.65
Lambton—Kent—Middlesex |  | NDP  | 39.97
Renfrew—Nipissing—Pembroke |  | NDP  | 44.02
NDP (31 seats)

Margins 5% or less
Oshawa |  | PC  | 1.83
Niagara Centre |  | PC  | 2.07
Toronto—St. Paul's |  | Lib  | 2.59
Ottawa West—Nepean |  | PC  | 2.60
Thunder Bay—Superior North |  | PC  | 3.25
Humber River—Black Creek |  | Lib  | 3.83
Margins 5%–10%
St. Catharines |  | PC  | 5.28
Windsor West |  | PC  | 6.88
Toronto Centre |  | Lib  | 7.06
Hamilton West—Ancaster—Dundas |  | PC  | 7.43
Timiskaming—Cochrane |  | PC  | 7.51
London North Centre |  | PC  | 9.36
Margins 10%–20%
University—Rosedale |  | Lib  | 10.19
Algoma—Manitoulin |  | PC  | 10.45
London West |  | PC  | 11.27
Mushkegowuk—James Bay |  | PC  | 11.43
Niagara Falls |  | PC  | 11.65
Sudbury |  | PC  | 11.88
Kitchener Centre |  | PC  | 13.91
London—Fanshawe |  | PC  | 14.30
Hamilton Mountain |  | PC  | 14.81
Waterloo |  | PC  | 16.56
Spadina—Fort York |  | Lib  | 18.11
Margins > 20%
Scarborough Southwest |  | PC  | 20.08
Nickel Belt |  | PC  | 20.91
Kiiwetinoong |  | PC  | 27.63
Parkdale—High Park |  | Lib  | 31.59
Ottawa Centre |  | Lib  | 31.76
Toronto—Danforth |  | Lib  | 33.03
Davenport |  | Lib  | 37.85
Hamilton Centre |  | PC  | 40.79
Liberal (8 seats)
Beaches—East York |  | NDP  | 2.21
Don Valley West |  | PC  | 5.36
Kingston and the Islands |  | NDP  | 6.51
Don Valley East |  | PC  | 11.66
Orléans |  | PC  | 13.61
Scarborough—Guildwood |  | PC  | 14.79
Ottawa—Vanier |  | NDP  | 15.85
Ottawa South |  | NDP  | 21.39
Green (1 seat)
Guelph |  | PC  | 34.05
Independent (1 seat)
Haldimand—Norfolk |  | PC  | 4.56

1. ^ Summarized from "Data Explorer". Elections Ontario. Retrieved December 15, 2022.
2. ^ Summarized from "Statistical Summary by Electoral District: 2022 Provincial General Election". Elections Ontario. Retrieved December 15, 2022.
3. ^ Summarized from "Summary of Valid Votes Cast for Each Candidate: 2022 Provincial General Election". Elections Ontario. Retrieved December 15, 2022.

### Results summary by region

[edit]

Distribution of seats and popular vote %, by party by region (2022)  Region  | Seats  | Vote share (%)  | Change (pp)

|
|
|

PC | NDP | Lib | Grn | Ind | PC | NDP | Lib | Grn | NB | Ont | PC | NDP | Lib | Grn | NB | Ont | Major swing
Central Ontario | 10 | - | - | - | - | 48.86 | 14.28 | 22.46 | 7.57 | 3.11 | 3.10 | +3.01 | -14.64 | +5.03 | +1.29 | +3.11 | +3.10  |  → 9.84
Eastern Ontario | 7 | - | 1 | - | - | 48.03 | 18.38 | 22.52 | 4.80 | 2.87 | 2.89 | -2.54 | -8.63 | +5.76 | +0.59 | +2.87 | +2.69  |  → 7.15
Greater Toronto Area (905)  | 24 | 1 | - | - | - | 46.95 | 15.18 | 30.01 | 3.74 | 2.37 | 1.22 | +1.15 | -12.29 | +8.10 | +0.75 | +2.37 | +1.22  |  → 10.20
Hamilton, Halton and Niagara  | 7 | 6 | - | - | - | 38.68 | 28.60 | 22.46 | 5.15 | 2.52 | 1.67 | -0.29 | -9.11 | +5.23 | +0.85 | +2.52 | +1.67  |  → 7.17
Midwestern Ontario | 8 | 2 | - | 1 | 1 | 38.84 | 23.48 | 14.66 | 12.65 | 5.01 | 1.80 | -3.33 | -9.90 | +1.74 | +2.84 | +5.01 | +1.61  |  → 7.45
Northeastern Ontario | 4 | 5 | - | - | - | 40.90 | 33.92 | 8.27 | 10.78 | 3.26 | 1.64 | +7.37 | -11.27 | -4.22 | +4.92 | +3.26 | +1.64  |  → 9.32
Northwest Ontario | 2 | 2 | - | - | - | 39.21 | 32.06 | 21.59 | 3.17 | 1.93 | 1.20 | +11.76 | -5.73 | -8.48 | -0.01 | +1.93 | +1.20  |  → 10.12
Ottawa | 3 | 2 | 3 | - | - | 32.08 | 27.34 | 32.55 | 5.00 | 1.58 | 0.91 | -1.82 | -2.62 | +2.40 | +1.11 | +1.58 | +0.82  |  → 2.51
Southwestern Ontario | 6 | 4 | - | - | - | 44.19 | 32.00 | 11.83 | 3.44 | 3.76 | 3.69 | +4.70 | -13.86 | +2.53 | -0.41 | +3.76 | +3.69  |  → 9.28
Toronto | 12 | 9 | 4 | - | - | 32.22 | 27.94 | 31.86 | 4.85 | 1.41 | 0.84 | -2.55 | -7.14 | +6.53 | +1.52 | +1.41 | +0.84  |  → 6.84
Total | 83 | 31 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 40.83 | 23.74 | 23.91 | 5.96 | 2.71 | 1.78 | +0.33 | -9.85 | +4.33 | +1.35 | +2.71 | +1.74  |  → 7.09

### Detailed results

[edit]

Election results for the 43rd Parliament of Ontario (2022)[2] Political party  | Party leader  | MPPs  | Votes

|
|
|

Candidates  | 2018 | Dissol. | 2022  | ±  | #  | #±  | %  | ± (pp)
| Progressive Conservative | Doug Ford | 124  | 76  | 67  | 83  | 7 | 1,919,905  | 406,618 | 40.83%  | 0.64
| Liberal | Steven Del Duca | 121  | 7  | 7  | 8  | 1 | 1,124,065  | 281 | 23.91%  | 4.49
| New Democratic | Andrea Horwath | 124  | 40  | 38  | 31  | 9 | 1,116,383  | 813,583 | 23.74%  | 9.60
| Green | Mike Schreiner | 124  | 1  | 1  | 1  | 1 | 280,006  | 15,487 | 5.96%  | 1.39
| Independents and no affiliation  | 40  | - | 6  | 1 | 1 | 25,332  | 17,106 | 0.54%  | 0.40
| New Blue | Jim Karahalios | 123  | New  | 1  | - | - | 127,462  | New  | 2.71%  | New
| Ontario Party | Derek Sloan | 105  | - | 1  | - | - | 83,618  | 81,302 | 1.78%  | 1.74
| None of the Above | Greg Vezina  | 28  | - | - | - | - | 6,202  | 9,944 | 0.13%  | 0.15
| Libertarian | Mark Snow  | 16  | - | - | - | - | 5,242  | 37,580 | 0.11%  | 0.63
| Populist | Jim Torma  | 13  | New  | - | - | - | 2,638  | New  | 0.06%  | New
| Freedom | Paul McKeever | 11  | - | - | - | - | 2,103  | 462 | 0.04%  | -
| Communist | Drew Garvie  | 12  | - | - | - | - | 2,100  | 629 | 0.04%  | 0.01
| Consensus Ontario | Brad Harness  | 11  | - | - | - | - | 1,651  | 1,031 | 0.04%  | 0.01
| Moderate | Yuri Duboisky  | 17  | - | - | - | - | 1,618  | 581 | 0.03%  | 0.01
| Canadians' Choice Party | Bahman Yazdanfar  | 2  | - | - | - | - | 568  | 671 | 0.01%  | 0.01
| Confederation of Regions | Murray Reid  | 3  | - | - | - | - | 414  | 28 | 0.01%  | -
| People's Political Party | Troy Young  | 3  | - | - | - | - | 409  | 219 | 0.01%  | -
| People's Progressive Common Front  | Raymond Samuels  | 3  | New  | - | - | - | 367  | New  | 0.01%  | New
| Stop the New Sex-Ed Agenda | Queenie Yu  | 3  | - | - | - | - | 340  | 738 | 0.01%  | 0.01
| Centrist Party  | Mansoor Qureshi  | 2  | New  | - | - | - | 295  | New  | 0.01%  | New
| Special Needs | Lionel Poizner  | 2  | - | - | - | - | 290  | 341 | 0.01%  | -
| Northern Ontario | Trevor Holliday  | 2  | - | - | - | - | 283  | 5,629 | 0.01%  | 0.09
| Public Benefit Party  | Kathleen Ann Sayer  | 2  | New  | - | - | - | 196  | New  | - | New
| Electoral Reform Party  | Peter House  | 2  | New  | - | - | - | 182  | New  | - | New
| Freedom of Choice, Peace & Justice Party  | Lilya Eklishaeva  | 2  | New  | - | - | - | 182  | New  | - | New
| Ontario Alliance | Joshua E. Eriksen  | 2  | - | - | - | - | 108  | 694 | - | 0.01
| Vacant  | 3  |
Total | 897  | 124  | 4,701,959  | 1,042,901 | 100.00%
Rejected, unmarked and declined ballots | 30,517  | 30,909 |
Turnout | 4,732,476  | 1,073,810 |
Registered voters / turnout % | 10,740,426  | 44.06%  | 12.61

### Summary analysis

[edit]

Party candidates in 2nd place[174] Party in 1st place | Party in 2nd place | Total

|
|

PC | NDP | Liberal | Grn
| Progressive Conservative |  | 33  | 49  | 1  | 83
| New Democratic | 22  |  | 9  |  | 31
| Liberal | 4  | 4  |  |  | 8
| Green | 1  |  |  |  | 1
| Independent | 1  |  |  |  | 1
Total  | 28  | 37  | 58  | 1  | 124
Principal races, according to 1st and 2nd-place results[174] Parties | Seats

|

█ Progressive Conservative | █ New Democratic | 55
█ Progressive Conservative | █ Liberal | 53
█ Progressive Conservative | █ Green | 2
█ New Democratic | █ Liberal | 13
█ Independent | █ Progressive Conservative | 1
Total  | 124
Candidates ranked 1st to 5th place, by party[174] Parties | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th | 5th | Total

|
|
|
|
|
|

█ Progressive Conservative | 83 | 28 | 13 |  |  | 124
█ New Democratic | 31 | 37 | 54 | 2 |  | 124
█ Liberal | 8 | 58 | 53 | 2 |  | 121
█ Green | 1 | 1 | 2 | 93 | 24 | 121
█ Independent | 1 |  |  | 2 |  | 3
█ New Blue |  |  | 1 | 16 | 80 | 97
█ Ontario Party |  |  | 1 | 9 | 17 | 27
█ Confederation of Regions |  |  |  |  | 1 | 1
█ Libertarian |  |  |  |  | 1 | 1
█ None of the Above |  |  |  |  | 1 | 1

### Most marginal 2-way and 3-way contests

[edit]

Top 10 marginal 2-way contests (2022)[174] Riding | 1st | 2nd | 1st vs 2nd

|
|
|

Barrie—Springwater—Oro-Medonte |  | 42.10%  |  | 41.35%  | 0.75%
Eglinton—Lawrence |  | 42.30%  |  | 40.96%  | 1.34%
Etobicoke—Lakeshore |  | 37.48%  |  | 35.72%  | 1.76%
Oshawa |  | 42.07%  |  | 40.24%  | 1.83%
Niagara Centre |  | 39.70%  |  | 37.63%  | 2.07%
Beaches—East York |  | 35.42%  |  | 33.21%  | 2.21%
Glengarry—Prescott—Russell |  | 42.05%  |  | 39.50%  | 2.55%
Toronto—St. Paul's |  | 36.25%  |  | 33.66%  | 2.59%
Ottawa West—Nepean |  | 37.54%  |  | 34.94%  | 2.60%
York South—Weston |  | 36.60%  |  | 33.98%  | 2.62%
Top 10 marginal 3-way contests (2022)[174] Riding | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 1st vs 3rd

|
|
|
|

Humber River—Black Creek |  | 34.49%  |  | 30.66%  |  | 29.75%  | 4.74%
Thunder Bay—Superior North |  | 34.12%  |  | 30.87%  |  | 28.28%  | 5.84%
Scarborough Centre |  | 36.00%  |  | 30.37%  |  | 26.23%  | 9.77%
Thunder Bay—Atikokan |  | 36.31%  |  | 32.93%  |  | 24.39%  | 11.92%
York South—Weston |  | 36.60%  |  | 33.98%  |  | 24.24%  | 12.36%
Kingston and the Islands |  | 37.66%  |  | 31.15%  |  | 24.56%  | 13.10%
Hamilton East—Stoney Creek |  | 34.60%  |  | 27.34%  |  | 21.08%  | 13.52%
Toronto—St. Paul's |  | 36.25%  |  | 33.67%  |  | 22.39%  | 13.86%
Ottawa West—Nepean |  | 37.54%  |  | 34.94%  |  | 22.44%  | 15.10%
Cambridge |  | 37.03%  |  | 22.19%  |  | 20.70%  | 16.33%

### Significant results among independent and minor party candidates

[edit]

Those candidates not belonging to a major party, receiving more than 1,000 votes in the election, are listed below:

Riding | Party | Candidates | Votes | Placed

|
|
|
|

Haldimand—Norfolk | █ Independent | Bobbi Ann Brady | 15,921 | 1st
Hamilton East—Stoney Creek | █ Independent | Paul Miller | 2,411 | 4th
Sault Ste. Marie | █ Independent | Naomi Sayers | 1,070 | 4th

### Seats changing hands

[edit]

Of the 124 seats, 26 were open because of MPPs who chose not to stand for reelection, and voters in only 14 seats changed allegiance from the previous election in 2018.

Elections to the 43rd Legislative Assembly of Ontario – seats won/lost by party, 2018–2022  Party  | 2018  | Gain from (loss to)  | 2022

|
|
|

PC  | NDP  | Lib  | Grn  | Ind
| Progressive Conservative | 76 |  |  | 9 | (1) |  |  |  |  |  | (1) | 83
| New Democratic | 40 | 1 | (9) |  |  | 1 | (2) |  |  |  |  | 31
| Liberal | 7 |  |  | 2 | (1) |  |  |  |  |  |  | 8
| Green | 1 |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | 1
| Independent | - | 1 |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | 1
Total | 124 | 2 | (9) | 11 | (2) | 1 | (2) | - | - | - | (1) | 124

There were 14 seats that changed allegiance in the election:

NDP to PC (9)

* Brampton Centre
* Brampton East
* Brampton North
* Essex
* Hamilton East—Stoney Creek
* Thunder Bay—Atikokan
* Timmins
* Windsor—Tecumseh
* York South—Weston

NDP to Liberal (2)

* Beaches—East York
* Kingston and the Islands

Liberal to NDP (1)

* Thunder Bay—Superior North

PC to NDP (1)

* Ottawa West—Nepean

PC to Independent (1)

* Haldimand—Norfolk

|

Of the 14 seats that changed hands, seven were open seats where the MPPs chose to retire, and seven others saw their incumbents defeated.

Open seats taken by candidates of other parties (2022)  Riding  | Party  | Candidate  | Incumbent retiring from the House  | Won by  | Party

|
|
|
|
|

Beaches—East York | █ New Democratic | Kate Dupuis  | Rima Berns-McGown | Mary-Margaret McMahon | █ Liberal
Brampton North | █ New Democratic | Sandeep Singh  | Kevin Yarde[a 1] | Graham McGregor | █ Progressive Conservative
Essex | █ New Democratic | Ron LeClair  | Taras Natyshak | Anthony Leardi | █ Progressive Conservative
Haldimand—Norfolk | █ Progressive Conservative | Ken Hewitt  | Toby Barrett | Bobbi Ann Brady | █ Independent
Kingston and the Islands | █ New Democratic | Mary Rita Holland  | Ian Arthur | Ted Hsu | █ Liberal
Thunder Bay—Superior North | █ Liberal | Shelby Ch’ng  | Michael Gravelle | Lise Vaugeois | █ New Democratic
Windsor—Tecumseh | █ New Democratic | Gemma Grey-Hall  | Percy Hatfield | Andrew Dowie | █ Progressive Conservative

1. ^ sat as an Independent at dissolution

Incumbent MPPs defeated (2022)  Constituency  | Party  | Name  | Year elected  | Seat held by party since  | Defeated by  | Party

|
|
|
|
|
|

Brampton Centre | █ New Democratic | Sara Singh | 2018 | 2018 | Charmaine Williams | █ Progressive Conservative
Brampton East | █ New Democratic | Gurratan Singh | 2018 | 2018 | Hardeep Grewal | █ Progressive Conservative
Hamilton East—Stoney Creek | █ New Democratic | Paul Miller[a 1] | 2007 | 2007 | Neil Lumsden | █ Progressive Conservative
Ottawa West—Nepean | █ Progressive Conservative | Jeremy Roberts | 2018 | 2018 | Chandra Pasma | █ New Democratic
Thunder Bay—Atikokan | █ New Democratic | Judith Monteith-Farrell | 2018 | 2018 | Kevin Holland | █ Progressive Conservative
Timmins | █ New Democratic | Gilles Bisson | 1990 | 1990 | George Pirie | █ Progressive Conservative
York South—Weston | █ New Democratic | Faisal Hassan | 2018 | 2018 | Michael Ford | █ Progressive Conservative

1. ^ chose to stand as an Independent in the election

Three PC MPPs had changed allegiance during the course of the past Legislature, but failed to secure reelection under their new banners. The seats reverted to the PCs.

Constituency  | Party (2018)  | Party (at dissolution)  | Name  | Year elected  | Changed allegiance  | Defeated by  | Party

|
|
|
|
|
|
|

Cambridge | █ Progressive Conservative | █ New Blue | Belinda Karahalios | 2018 | 2020  | Brian Riddell | █ Progressive Conservative
Chatham-Kent—Leamington | █ Progressive Conservative | █ Ontario Party | Rick Nicholls | 2011 | 2021  | Trevor Jones | █ Progressive Conservative
Glengarry—Prescott—Russell | █ Progressive Conservative | █ Liberal | Amanda Simard | 2018 | 2020  | Stéphane Sarrazin | █ Progressive Conservative
Resulting composition of the 43rd Legislative Assembly of Ontario  Source | Party

|

PC | NDP | Lib | Grn | Ind | Total
Seats retained | Incumbents returned | 55 | 28 | 4 | 1 |  | 88
Open seats held | 16 | 1 | 2 |  |  | 19
Ouster of incumbents changing affiliation | 3 |  |  |  |  | 3
Seats changing hands | Incumbents defeated | 6 | 1 |  |  |  | 7
Open seats gained | 3 | 1 | 2 |  | 1 | 7
Total | 83 | 31 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 124

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[edit]

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[edit]

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