2022 United States Senate election in Georgia

Not to be confused with 2022 Georgia State Senate election.

2022 United States Senate election in Georgia

* * *

| ← 2020–21 (special) | November 8, 2022 (first round)
December 6, 2022 (runoff) | 2028 →

|
|

|   |  |

|
|

Candidate  | Raphael Warnock | Herschel Walker
Party  | Democratic | Republican
First round  | 1,946,117
49.44% | 1,908,442
48.49%
Runoff | 1,820,633
51.40% | 1,721,244
48.60%

* * *

First round county results

First round congressional district results

General precinct results

Runoff county results

Runoff congressional district results

Runoff precinct results

Warnock:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Walker:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%

* * *

| U.S. senator before election

Raphael Warnock
Democratic

| Elected U.S. Senator

Raphael Warnock
Democratic

|

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* v
* t
* e

The 2022 United States Senate election in Georgia was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the U.S. Senate to represent the state of Georgia. Incumbent Democratic senator Raphael Warnock won his first full term in office, defeating Republican former football player Herschel Walker. Under Georgia's two-round system, Warnock was re-elected in a runoff election on December 6 after neither candidate received over 50% of the vote on November 8.[1] Warnock's win was the only statewide victory for Democrats in Georgia in 2022.

Warnock, who won a shortened term to the seat in a 2020–21 special election, was nominated in the May 24 primary for a full term with minimal opposition. Walker, who was endorsed by former president Donald Trump and Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell, won the Republican nomination with 68% of the vote. It was the first U.S. Senate election in Georgia history and among five nationwide since the passage of the Seventeenth Amendment in 1913 in which both major party nominees were Black.[2][3][a]

In the November 8 election, Warnock received 49.4% of the vote and Walker received 48.5%, triggering the December 6 runoff.[4] Warnock defeated Walker by a 2.8% margin in the runoff and became the first African-American from Georgia elected to a full term in the U.S. Senate. Warnock's victory also secured an outright majority for Senate Democrats for the first time since 2015, with a net gain of one seat in the 2022 midterms.[5][6] This was the first time since 1998 that Georgia voted for different parties for U.S. senator and governor in the same election cycle. It was the third-closest Senate election of the 2022 midterms after Nevada and Wisconsin.

## Democratic primary

[edit]

Warnock easily won renomination in the Democratic primary over Tamara Johnson-Shealey, a left-wing activist and businesswoman, who ran a low-profile campaign focused around reparations for slavery.[7][8]

### Candidates

[edit]

#### Nominee

[edit]

* Raphael Warnock, incumbent U.S. Senator[9]

#### Eliminated in primary

[edit]

* Tamara Johnson-Shealey, DeKalb County businesswoman and perennial candidate[10]

### Endorsements

[edit]

Raphael Warnock

State officials

* Demetrius Douglas, former professional football player and state representative from the 78th district (2013–present)[11]

Organizations

* End Citizens United[12]
* Feminist Majority PAC[13]
* Giffords[14]
* Human Rights Campaign[15]
* Humane Society of the United States Legislative Fund[16]
* Jewish Dems[17]
* League of Conservation Voters[18]
* Let America Vote[12]
* March On[19]
* NARAL Pro-Choice America[20]
* Natural Resources Defense Council[21]
* Peace Action[22]
* Planned Parenthood Action Fund[23]
* Population Connection Action Fund[24]
* Sierra Club[25]

Labor unions

* Communications Workers of America[26]

### Polling

[edit]

Poll source  | Date(s)
administered  | Sample
size[b] | Margin
of error  | Tamara
Johnson-Shealey  | Raphael
Warnock  | Undecided

|
|
|
|
|
|

Emerson College[27] | April 1–3, 2022  | 453 (LV)  | ± 4.6%  | 6%  | 85% | 10%

### Results

[edit]

Results by county:

Warnock

*   80–90%

*   90–100%

Democratic primary results[28] Party  | Candidate  | Votes  | %

|
|
|

| Democratic | Raphael Warnock (incumbent)  | 702,610  | 96.04%
| Democratic | Tamara Johnson-Shealey  | 28,984  | 3.96%
Total votes | 731,594  | 100.0%

## Republican primary

[edit]

Georgia Agriculture Commissioner Gary Black was the runner-up in the Republican primary.

### Candidates

[edit]

#### Nominee

[edit]

* Herschel Walker, former running back for the Georgia Bulldogs, former professional football player, and co-chair of the President's Council on Sports, Fitness, and Nutrition and CEO of Renaissance Man Food Services[29]

#### Eliminated in primary

[edit]

* Gary Black, Agriculture Commissioner of Georgia[30]
* Josh Clark, former state representative and businessman[31]
* Kelvin King, U.S. Air Force veteran, businessman, and founder of Osprey Management[32][33]
* Jonathan McColumn, former U.S. Army Special Forces brigadier general and pastor[10]
* Latham Saddler, former director of intelligence programs on the National Security Council and former Navy SEAL officer[32]

#### Declined

[edit]

* Christopher M. Carr, Attorney General of Georgia (ran for re-election)[32]
* Buddy Carter, U.S. Representative for Georgia's 1st congressional district (ran for re-election; endorsed Walker)[34][35]
* Doug Collins, former U.S. Representative for Georgia's 9th congressional district and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2020[36][37]
* Geoff Duncan, Lieutenant Governor of Georgia and former state representative[38][39]
* Randy Evans, former U.S. Ambassador to Luxembourg[38][40] (endorsed Walker)
* Drew Ferguson, U.S. Representative for Georgia's 3rd congressional district (ran for re-election)[41]
* Vernon Jones, former Democratic state representative and CEO of DeKalb County (ran for the U.S. House in GA-10)[42]
* Brian Kemp, Governor of Georgia (ran for re-election)[43]
* Jack Kingston, former U.S. Representative for Georgia's 1st congressional district[32]
* Kelly Loeffler, former U.S. Senator[44] (endorsed Walker)
* Harold Melton, former chief justice of Georgia Supreme Court[45][46]
* David Perdue, former U.S. Senator[47][48][49] (initially filed paperwork; ran for Governor)[50]
* David Ralston, Speaker of the Georgia House of Representatives[51]

### Debates

[edit]

2022 United States Senate Republican primary election in Georgia debates

No. | Date  | Organizer  | Location  | Key:
P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Non-invitee   I  Invitee  W  Withdrawn | Source
Gary Black  | Josh Clark  | Kelvin King  | Jonathan McColumn  | Latham Saddler  | Herschel Walker
1  | April 9, 2022  | Georgia's 9th congressional district Republican Party  | Gainesville | P | P | P | P | P | A | [52]
2  | May 3, 2022  | Atlanta Press Club,
Georgia Public Broadcasting | Atlanta | P | P | P | P | P | A | [53]

### Endorsements

[edit]

Gary Black

Governors

* Nathan Deal, 82nd Governor of Georgia (2011–2019)[54]

U.S. Representatives

* Andrew Clyde, U.S. Representative for Georgia's 9th congressional district (2021–present)[55]
* Doug Collins, former U.S. Representative for Georgia's 9th congressional district (2013–2021), and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2020[55]

State officials

* Bubba McDonald, Georgia Public Service Commissioner[55]

Herschel Walker

Executive branch officials

* Nikki Haley, former U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations (2017–2019) and former governor of South Carolina (2011–2017)[56]
* Donald Trump, 45th and 47th president of the United States (2017–2021 and 2025-)[57]

U.S. Senators

* Marsha Blackburn, U.S. Senator from Tennessee (2019–present)[58]
* Ted Cruz, U.S. Senator from Texas (2013–present)[59]
* Steve Daines, U.S. Senator from Montana (2015–present)[60]
* Lindsey Graham, U.S. Senator from South Carolina (2003–present)[60]
* Bill Hagerty, U.S. Senator from Tennessee (2021–present)[59]
* Roger Marshall, U.S. Senator from Kansas (2021–present)[60]
* Mitch McConnell, U.S Senator from Kentucky (1985–present), Senate Minority Leader (2021–2025, 2007–2015), and former Senate Majority Leader (2015–2021)[61]
* Tim Scott, U.S. Senator from South Carolina (2013–present)[60]
* John Thune, U.S. Senator from South Dakota (2005–present), Senate Majority Whip (2019–2021, 2025–present), Senate Minority Whip (2021–2025) [60]
* Tommy Tuberville, U.S. Senator from Alabama (2021–present)[62]

U.S. Representatives

* Buddy Carter, U.S. Representative for Georgia's 1st congressional district (2015–present)[35]
* Marjorie Taylor Greene, U.S. Representative for Georgia's 14th congressional district (2021–present)[63]

Individuals

* Sean Hannity, American talk show host and conservative political commentator[64]

Organizations

* American Conservative Union[65]
* Black America's Political Action Committee[66]
* National Right to Life[67]

### Polling

[edit]

Graphical summary

This graph was using the legacy Graph extension, which is no longer supported. It needs to be converted to the new Chart extension.

|

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation  | Dates
administered  | Dates
updated  | Gary
Black  | Josh
Clark  | Kelvin
King  | Jonathan
McColumn  | Latham
Saddler  | Herschel
Walker  | Other
[c] | Margin

|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|

Real Clear Politics[68] | May 12–23, 2022  | May 24, 2022  | 9.0%  | 2.7%  | 4.0%  | 1.7%  | 9.0%  | 64.7% | 12.9%  | Walker +55.7
Poll source  | Date(s)
administered  | Sample
size[b] | Margin
of error  | Gary
Black  | Josh
Clark  | Kelvin
King  | Jonathan
McColumn  | Latham
Saddler  | Herschel
Walker  | Other  | Undecided

|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|

The Trafalgar Group (R)[69] | May 21–23, 2022  | 1,074 (LV)  | ± 2.9%  | 10%  | 3%  | 4%  | 2%  | 10%  | 67% | –  | 4%
Landmark Communications (R)[70] | May 22, 2022  | 500 (LV)  | ± 4.4%  | 9%  | 3%  | 5%  | 2%  | 12%  | 60% | –  | 9%
Fox News[71] | May 12–16, 2022  | 1,004 (LV)  | ± 3.0%  | 8%  | 2%  | 3%  | 1%  | 5%  | 66% | 1%  | 11%
ARW Strategies (R)[72] | April 30 – May 1, 2022  | 600 (LV)  | ± 4.0%  | 10%  | 1%  | 3%  | 1%  | 4%  | 59% | –  | 23%
SurveyUSA[73] | April 22–27, 2022  | 559 (LV)  | ± 4.8%  | 6%  | 3%  | 2%  | 2%  | 3%  | 62% | –  | 21%
University of Georgia[74] | April 10–22, 2022  | 886 (LV)  | ± 3.3%  | 7%  | 1%  | 1%  | 1%  | 2%  | 66% | –  | 23%
Landmark Communications (R)[75] | April 9–10, 2022  | 660 (LV)  | ± 3.8%  | 9%  | 3%  | 4%  | 0%  | 5%  | 64% | –  | 14%
Spry Strategies (R)[76] | April 6–10, 2022  | 600 (LV)  | ± 4.0%  | 7%  | 2%  | 4%  | –  | 2%  | 64% | –  | 21%
University of Georgia[77] | March 20 – April 8, 2022  | ~329 (LV)  | ± 5.4%  | 8%  | 0%  | 2%  | 0%  | 2%  | 64% | –  | 24%
Emerson College[27] | April 1–3, 2022  | 509 (LV)  | ± 4.3%  | 13%  | 4%  | 5%  | 3%  | 2%  | 57% | 2%[d] | 16%
Fox News[78] | March 2–6, 2022  | 914 (LV)  | ± 3.0%  | 8%  | 1%  | 3%  | –  | 2%  | 66% | 1%  | 16%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[79] | February 28 – March 1, 2022  | 750 (LV)  | ± 3.6%  | 6%  | 3%  | 4%  | –  | 3%  | 63% | 2%  | 20%
The Trafalgar Group (R)[80] | February 11–13, 2022  | 1,072 (LV)  | ± 3.0%  | 6%  | –  | 2%  | –  | 3%  | 70% | –  | 19%
Quinnipiac University[81] | January 19–24, 2022  | 666 (LV)  | ± 3.8%  | 6%  | 0%  | 2%  | –  | 1%  | 81% | 0%[e] | 9%
OnMessage Inc. (R)[82][A] | October 11–14, 2021  | 400 (LV)  | ± 4.9%  | 6%  | –  | 1%  | –  | 1%  | 74% | 2%[f] | 16%
The Trafalgar Group (R)[83] | September 2–4, 2021  | 1,078 (LV)  | ± 3.0%  | 6%  | –  | 2%  | –  | 3%  | 76% | –  | 13%
Fabrizio Lee (R)[84][B] | August 11–12, 2021  | 500 (LV)  | ± 4.4%  | 5%  | –  | 2%  | –  | 1%  | 54% | 3%[g] | 35%

Hypothetical polling

Poll source  | Date(s)
administered  | Sample
size[b] | Margin
of error  | Doug
Collins  | Marjorie
Taylor Greene | Kelly
Loeffler  | Herschel
Walker  | Undecided

|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|

OnMessage Inc. (R)[85] | March 14–15, 2021  | 600 (LV)  | ± 4.0%  | 35% | 7%  | 22%  | 27% | 11%
Trafalgar Group/InsiderAdvantage[86] | March 7–9, 2021  | – (LV)[h] | –  | 33% | –  | 24%  | 33% | 11%

Primary runoff polling
Doug Collins vs. Kelly Loeffler

Poll source  | Date(s)
administered  | Sample
size[b] | Margin
of error  | Doug
Collins  | Kelly
Loeffler  | Undecided

|
|
|
|
|
|

OnMessage Inc. (R)[85] | March 14–15, 2021  | 600 (LV)  | ± 4.0%  | 55% | 36%  | 10%
Trafalgar Group/InsiderAdvantage[86] | March 7–9, 2021  | – (LV)[h] | –  | 52% | 32%  | 16%

Herschel Walker vs. Doug Collins

Poll source  | Date(s)
administered  | Sample
size[b] | Margin
of error  | Herschel
Walker  | Doug
Collins  | Undecided

|
|
|
|
|
|

Trafalgar Group/InsiderAdvantage[86] | March 7–9, 2021  | – (LV)[h] | –  | 50% | 36%  | 14%

Herschel Walker vs. Kelly Loeffler

Poll source  | Date(s)
administered  | Sample
size[b] | Margin
of error  | Herschel
Walker  | Kelly
Loeffler  | Undecided

|
|
|
|
|
|

Trafalgar Group/InsiderAdvantage[86] | March 7–9, 2021  | – (LV)[h] | –  | 62% | 26%  | 11%

### Results

[edit]

Results by county:

Walker

*   50–60%

*   60–70%

*   70–80%

*   80–90%

*   90–100%

Republican primary results[28] Party  | Candidate  | Votes  | %

|
|
|

| Republican | Herschel Walker | 803,560  | 68.18%
| Republican | Gary Black | 157,370  | 13.35%
| Republican | Latham Saddler  | 104,471  | 8.86%
| Republican | Josh Clark | 46,693  | 3.96%
| Republican | Kelvin King  | 37,930  | 3.22%
| Republican | Jonathan McColumn  | 28,601  | 2.43%
Total votes | 1,178,625  | 100.0%

## Libertarian primary

[edit]

Libertarian nominee Chase Oliver

### Candidates

[edit]

#### Declared

[edit]

* Chase Oliver, chair of the Atlanta Libertarian Party, customer service specialist, and candidate for Georgia's 5th congressional district in the 2020 House of Representatives special election.[87][88] Oliver was the first openly gay Senate candidate in Georgia.[89]

## General election

[edit]

### Predictions

[edit]

Source  | Ranking  | As of

|
|

The Cook Political Report[90] | Tossup  | March 4, 2022
Inside Elections[91] | Tossup  | April 1, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[92] | Lean R (flip) | November 7, 2022
Politico[93] | Tossup  | April 1, 2022
RCP[94] | Tossup  | February 24, 2022
Fox News[95] | Tossup  | October 25, 2022
DDHQ[96] | Tossup  | October 25, 2022
FiveThirtyEight[97] | Lean R (flip) | November 7, 2022
The Economist[98] | Tossup  | November 1, 2022

### Debates

[edit]

2022 United States Senate general election in Georgia debates  No. | Date  | Host  | Moderator  | Link  | Democratic | Republican | Libertarian

|
|
|
|
|
|
|

Key:
P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Not invited   I  Invited  W  Withdrawn |  |  |
Raphael Warnock | Herschel Walker | Chase Oliver
1  | Oct. 14, 2022  | Nexstar Media Group | Buck Lanford
Tina Tyus-Shaw |  | P | P | N
2  | Oct. 16, 2022  | Georgia Public Broadcasting | Scott Slade  | [99] | P | A | P

### Endorsements

[edit]

Raphael Warnock (D)

Executive Branch officials

* Joe Biden, 46th president of the United States (2021–2025)[100]
* Barack Obama, 44th President of the United States (2009–2017)[101]

U.S. Senators

* Cory Booker, U.S. Senator from New Jersey (2013–present)[102]
* John Fetterman, U.S. Senator-elect from Pennsylvania and Lieutenant Governor of Pennsylvania (2019–2023)[103]
* Jon Ossoff, U.S. Senator from Georgia (2021–present)[104]
* Elizabeth Warren, U.S. Senator from Massachusetts (2013–present)[100]

U.S. Representatives

* Sanford Bishop, U.S. Representative for Georgia's 2nd congressional district (1993–present)[105]
* Nancy Pelosi, Speaker of the United States House of Representatives (2019–2023; 2007–2011) and U.S. Representative for California's 12th congressional district (2013–present)[106]
* Nikema Williams, U.S. Representative for Georgia's 5th congressional district (2021–present)[107]

State officials

* Stacey Abrams, former Minority Leader of the Georgia House of Representatives, founder of Fair Fight Action, and nominee for Governor of Georgia in 2018 and 2022[108]
* James Beverly, state representative from the 143rd district (2013–present)[105]
* William Boddie, state representative from the 62nd district (2017–present)[105]
* Demetrius Douglas, former professional football player and state representative from the 78th district (2013–present)[11]
* Gloria Frazier, state representative from the 126th district (2013–present)[109]
* Harold V. Jones II, state senator for the 22nd district (2015–present)[110]
* Jen Jordan, state senator for the 6th district (2017–2023)[111]
* David Lucas, state senator for the 26th district (2013–present)[105]
* Miriam Paris, state representative from the 142nd district (2017–present)[105]

Local officials

* Kelly Girtz, Mayor of Athens (2019–present)[111]

Individuals

* J. J. Abrams, filmmaker[112]
* Arianna Afsar, singer[113]
* Waka Flocka Flame, rapper[114]
* Maxwell Frost, U.S. Representative-elect for Florida's 10th congressional district[115]
* LeBron James, professional basketball player[116]
* Daniel Dae Kim, actor[113]
* Min Jin Lee, author[113]
* Spike Lee, film director[117]
* John Legend, singer and songwriter[118]
* Jeannie Mai, television host[113]
* Gucci Mane, entertainer[119]
* Dave Matthews, singer[120]
* Killer Mike, rapper[121]
* Lin-Manuel Miranda, composer and filmmaker[122]
* Michelle Obama, former First Lady of the United States (2009–2017)[123]
* Martin Sheen, actor[124]
* Steven Spielberg, film director[112]
* Kerry Washington, actress[125]
* Oprah Winfrey, businesswoman and talk show host[126]
* Henry Winkler, actor[127]
* Stevie Wonder, singer and songwriter[128]

Organizations

* Actors' Equity Association[129]
* Asian-American Advocacy Fund[130]
* End Citizens United[12]
* Everytown for Gun Safety[130]
* Feminist Majority PAC[13]
* Giffords[14]
* Human Rights Campaign[15]
* Humane Society of the United States Legislative Fund[16]
* Jewish Dems[17]
* League of Conservation Voters[18]
* Let America Vote[12]
* March On[19]
* NARAL Pro-Choice America[20]
* National Association of Social Workers[131]
* National Organization for Women[130]
* Natural Resources Defense Council[21]
* Peace Action[22]
* Planned Parenthood Action Fund[23]
* Population Connection Action Fund[24]
* Sierra Club[25]

Labor unions

* Communications Workers of America[26]
* National Education Association[132]
* United Auto Workers[133]

Herschel Walker (R)

Executive Branch officials

* Nikki Haley, former U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations (2017–2019) and former governor of South Carolina (2011–2017)[56]
* Mike Pompeo, former U.S. Secretary of State (2018–2021) and former Director of the CIA (2017–2018)[56]
* Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States (2017–2021)[57]

State officials

* Pam Bondi, Attorney General of Florida (2011–2019)[134]
* Ron DeSantis, Governor of Florida (2019–present)[135]
* Brian Kemp, Governor of Georgia (2019–present)[136]
* Jodi Lott, state representative from the 122nd district (2015–present)[137]
* Mark Newton, state representative from the 123rd district (2017–present)[137]
* Jesse Petrea, state representative from the 166th district (2015–present)[138]
* Randy Robertson, state senator from the 29th district (2019–present)[134]
* Ron Stephens, state representative from the 164th district (2005–present)[138]

U.S. Senators

* Katie Britt, U.S. Senator-elect from Alabama[139]
* Saxby Chambliss, U.S. Senator from Georgia (2003–2015)[140]
* John Cornyn, U.S. Senator from Texas (2002–present)[141]
* Tom Cotton, U.S. Senator from Arkansas (2015–present)[142]
* Ted Cruz, U.S. Senator from Texas (2013–present)[59][143]
* Steve Daines, U.S. Senator from Montana (2015–present)[60]
* Lindsey Graham, U.S. Senator from South Carolina (2003–present)[60]
* Josh Hawley, U.S. Senator from Missouri (2019–present)[144]
* John Kennedy, U.S. Senator from Louisiana (2017–present)[145][146]
* Kelly Loeffler, U.S. Senator from Georgia (2020–2021)[147]
* Roger Marshall, U.S. Senator from Kansas (2021–present)[60]
* Mack Mattingly, U.S. Senator from Georgia (1981–1987)[140]
* Mitch McConnell, U.S. Senator from Kentucky (1985–present), Senate Minority Leader (2021–present, 2007–2015), and former Senate Majority Leader (2015–2021)[61]
* David Perdue, U.S. Senator from Georgia (2015–2021)[140]
* Rick Scott, U.S. Senator from Florida (2019–present)[148]
* Tim Scott, U.S. Senator from South Carolina (2013–present)[149]
* John Thune, U.S. Senator from South Dakota (2005–present), Senate Minority Whip (2021–present), and former Senate Majority Whip (2019–2021)[60]
* Tommy Tuberville, U.S. Senator from Alabama (2021–present)[62]

U.S. Representatives

* Rick W. Allen, U.S. Representative for Georgia's 12th congressional district (2015–present)[137]
* Don Bacon, U.S. Representative for Nebraska's 2nd congressional district (2017–present)[150]
* Buddy Carter, U.S. Representative for Georgia's 1st congressional district (2015–present)[151]
* Tulsi Gabbard, former U.S. Representative for Hawaii's 2nd congressional district (2013–2021) (Independent)[134]
* Newt Gingrich, former Speaker of the United States House of Representatives (1995–1999) and former U.S. Representative for Georgia's 6th congressional district (1979–1999)[152]
* Marjorie Taylor Greene, U.S. Representative for Georgia's 14th congressional district (2021–present)[63]

Individuals

* Bobby Christine, District Attorney of the Columbia County Judicial Circuit (2021–present)[137]
* Vince Dooley, former head coach of the Georgia Bulldogs (deceased)[153]
* Ric Flair, professional wrestler[154]
* Doug Flutie, NFL and CFL quarterback[154]
* Tom Glavine, pitcher for the Atlanta Braves[154]
* Sean Hannity, talk show host and conservative political commentator[64]
* Ronna McDaniel, chair of the Republican National Committee[155]
* Chuck Norris, martial artist and actor[156]
* Ralph Reed, political consultant[157]
* Kanye West, rapper, businessman, and fashion designer[158]

Organizations

* American Conservative Union[65]
* Black America's Political Action Committee[66]
* Campaign for Working Families[159]
* National Right to Life[67]

Declined to endorse

Statewide officials

* Gary Black, Agriculture Commissioner of Georgia (2011–2023) and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2022 (Republican)[160]
* Geoff Duncan, Lieutenant Governor of Georgia (2019–2023) (Republican)[161]

### Polling

[edit]

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation  | Dates
administered  | Dates
updated  | Raphael
Warnock (D)  | Herschel
Walker (R)  | Other
[c] | Margin

|
|
|
|
|
|

Real Clear Politics[162] | October 29 – November 7, 2022  | November 7, 2022  | 47.4%  | 48.8% | 3.8%  | Walker +1.4
FiveThirtyEight[163] | October 13 – November 7, 2022  | November 7, 2022  | 46.7%  | 47.7% | 5.69%  | Walker +1.0
270ToWin[164] | November 4–7, 2022  | November 7, 2022  | 47.3%  | 48.5% | 5.1%  | Walker +1.2
Average | 47.1%  | 48.3% | 4.6%  | Walker +1.2

Graphical summary

This graph was using the legacy Graph extension, which is no longer supported. It needs to be converted to the new Chart extension.

|

Poll source  | Date(s)
administered  | Sample
size[b] | Margin
of error  | Raphael
Warnock (D)  | Herschel
Walker (R)  | Chase
Oliver (L)  | Other  | Undecided

|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|

AtlasIntel[165] | November 5–7, 2022  | 791 (LV)  | ± 3.0%  | 46% | 49% | –  | 5%[i] | –
Landmark Communications[166] | November 4–7, 2022  | 1,214 (LV)  | ± 2.8%  | 46% | 47% | 5%  | –  | 2%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[167] | November 6, 2022  | 550 (LV)  | ± 4.2%  | 47% | 49% | 1%  | –  | 4%
Research Co.[168] | November 4–6, 2022  | 450 (LV)  | ± 4.6%  | 47% | 47% | 1%  | –  | 5%
The Trafalgar Group (R)[169] | November 4–6, 2022  | 1,103 (LV)  | ± 2.9%  | 47%  | 50% | 2%  | –  | 2%
Data for Progress (D)[170] | November 2–6, 2022  | 1,474 (LV)  | ± 3.0%  | 48% | 49% | 3%  | –  | –
Targoz Market Research[171] | November 2–6, 2022  | 579 (LV)  | ± 4.0%  | 47% | 49% | 1%  | 2%[j] | –
East Carolina University[172] | November 2–5, 2022  | 1,077 (LV)  | ± 3.5%  | 49% | 49% | 2%  | –  | –
Amber Integrated (R)[173] | November 1–2, 2022  | 600 (LV)  | ± 4.0%  | 45% | 48% | 3%  | –  | 4%
Remington Research Group (R)[174] | November 1–2, 2022  | 1,150 (LV)  | ± 2.8%  | 45% | 49% | 2%  | –  | 4%
Echleon Insights[175] | October 31 – November 2, 2022  | 500 (LV)  | ± 5.4%  | 45% | 49% | 3%  | –  | 3%
45%  | 52% | –  | –  | 3%
Marist College[176] | October 31 – November 2, 2022  | 1,168 (RV)  | ± 3.9%  | 49% | 45% | –  | 1%[k] | 6%
1,009 (LV)  | ± 4.2%  | 48% | 48% | –  | 1%[k] | 3%
Moore Information Group (R)[177][C] | October 29 – November 2, 2022  | 800 (LV)  | ± 3.0%  | 44% | 49% | 2%  | –  | 5%
SurveyUSA[178] | October 29 – November 2, 2022  | 1,171 (LV)  | ± 3.7%  | 49% | 43% | 3%  | –  | 5%
Patinkin Research Strategies (D)[179][D] | October 30 – November 1, 2022  | 700 (RV)  | ± 3.7%  | 49% | 45% | 4%  | –  | 2%
Emerson College[180] | October 28–31, 2022  | 1,000 (LV)  | ± 3.0%  | 49% | 47% | 1%  | 1%[l] | 2%
50% | 48%  | 2%  | 1%[l] | –
Fox News[181] | October 26–30, 2022  | 1,002 (RV)  | ± 3.0%  | 44% | 43% | –  | 6%[m] | 6%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[182] | October 27, 2022  | 550 (LV)  | ± 4.2%  | 45% | 48% | 2%  | <1%[n] | 5%
Siena College/NYT[183] | October 24–27, 2022  | 604 (LV)  | ± 4.8%  | 49% | 46% | 1%  | –  | 4%
University of Georgia[184] | October 16–27, 2022  | 1,022 (LV)  | ± 3.1%  | 45% | 46% | 5%  | –  | 5%
co/efficient (R)[185] | October 24–25, 2022  | 946 (LV)  | ± 3.2%  | 44% | 47% | 3%  | –  | 6%
Moore Information Group (R)[186][C] | October 22–25, 2022  | 800 (LV)  | ± 3.0%  | 42% | 46% | 3%  | –  | –
Rasmussen Reports (R)[187] | October 23–24, 2022  | 1,053 (LV)  | ± 3.0%  | 43% | 48% | –  | 4%[o] | 4%
The Trafalgar Group (R)[188][E] | October 21–23, 2022  | 1,076 (LV)  | ± 2.9%  | 47% | 49% | 5%  | –  | –
East Carolina University[189] | October 13–18, 2022  | 905 (LV)  | ± 3.8%  | 49% | 47% | –  | 2%[p] | 3%
Landmark Communications[190] | October 15–17, 2022  | 500 (LV)  | ± 4.4%  | 46% | 46% | 3%  | –  | 2%
Data for Progress (D)[191] | October 13–17, 2022  | 984 (LV)  | ± 3.0%  | 48% | 47% | 3%  | –  | 3%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[192] | October 16, 2022  | 550 (LV)  | ± 4.2%  | 46% | 43% | 4%  | 1%[q] | 6%
Wick Insights (R)[193] | October 8–14, 2022  | 1,018 (LV)  | ± 3.1%  | 46% | 46% | –  | 3%[r] | 5%
Civiqs[194] | October 8–11, 2022  | 717 (LV)  | ± 4.6%  | 49% | 46% | –  | 3%[r] | 1%
Moore Information Group (R)[195][C] | October 8–11, 2022  | 800 (LV)  | ± 3.0%  | 44% | 46% | 4%  | –  | –
The Trafalgar Group (R)[196] | October 8–11, 2022  | 1,084 (LV)  | ± 2.9%  | 46% | 45% | 4%  | –  | 5%
Quinnipiac University[197] | October 7–10, 2022  | 1,157 (LV)  | ± 2.9%  | 52% | 45%  | –  | 1%[s] | 1%
Emerson College[198] | October 6–7, 2022  | 1,000 (LV)  | ± 3.0%  | 48% | 46% | 1%  | 1%[l] | 4%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[199] | October 4, 2022  | 550 (LV)  | ± 4.2%  | 47% | 44% | 3%  | 1%[q] | 5%
SurveyUSA[200] | September 30 – October 4, 2022  | 1,076 (LV)  | ± 3.7%  | 50% | 38%  | –  | 5%[t] | 7%
University of Georgia[201] | September 25 – October 4, 2022  | 1,030 (LV)  | ± 3.1%  | 46% | 43% | 4%  | –  | 6%
Fox News[202] | September 22–26, 2022  | 1,011 (RV)  | ± 3.0%  | 46% | 41% | –  | 6%[u] | 7%
Data for Progress (D)[203] | September 16–20, 2022  | 1,006 (RV)  | ± 3.0%  | 46% | 46% | 4%  | –  | 3%
YouGov/CBS News[204] | September 14–19, 2022  | 1,178 (RV)  | ± 4.0%  | 51% | 49%  | –  | –  | 0%
University of Georgia[205] | September 5–16, 2022  | 861 (LV)  | ± 3.3%  | 44% | 46% | –  | 3%  | 7%
Marist College[206] | September 12–15, 2022  | 1,202 (RV)  | ± 3.6%  | 47% | 42% | 4%  | –  | 7%
992 (LV)  | ± 4.0%  | 47% | 45% | 4%  | –  | 4%
Kurt Jetta (D)[207][F] | September 9–12, 2022  | 949 (RV)  | ± 3.5%  | 50% | 37%  | –  | –  | 13%
542 (LV)  | 49% | 45% | –  | –  | 7%
Quinnipiac University[208] | September 8–12, 2022  | 1,278 (LV)  | ± 2.7%  | 52% | 46%  | –  | 1%  | 2%
Echelon Insights[209] | August 31 – September 7, 2022  | 751 (LV)  | ± 4.4%  | 50% | 40%  | –  | –  | 10%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[210] | September 6–7, 2022  | 550 (LV)  | ± 4.2%  | 44%  | 47% | 4%  | –  | 5%
Emerson College[211] | August 28–29, 2022  | 600 (LV)  | ± 3.9%  | 44% | 46% | –  | 4%  | 7%
The Trafalgar Group (R)[212] | August 24–27, 2022  | 1,079 (LV)  | ± 2.9%  | 47% | 48% | 3%  | –  | 3%
Phillips Academy[213] | August 3–7, 2022  | 971 (RV)  | ± 3.1%  | 44% | 45% | –  | –  | 11%
Research Affiliates (D)[214][G] | July 26 – August 1, 2022  | 420 (LV)  | ± 4.8%  | 49% | 46% | –  | –  | 5%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[215] | July 26–27, 2022  | 750 (LV)  | ± 3.6%  | 48% | 45% | 3%  | 1%  | 3%
Fox News[216] | July 22–26, 2022  | 908 (RV)  | ± 3.0%  | 46% | 42% | –  | 1%  | 9%
PEM Management Corporation (R)[217][H] | July 22–24, 2022  | 300 (LV)  | ± 5.7%  | 42% | 46% | –  | 3%  | 9%
SurveyUSA[218] | July 21–24, 2022  | 604 (LV)  | ± 5.3%  | 48% | 39% | –  | 5%  | 8%
University of Georgia[219] | July 14–22, 2022  | 902 (LV)  | ± 3.3%  | 46% | 43% | 3%  | –  | 8%
Beacon Research (D)[220][I] | July 5–20, 2022  | 1,003 (RV)  | ± 3.1%  | 48% | 36% | –  | 2%  | 11%
602 (LV)  | ± 4.0%  | 48% | 43% | –  | 1%  | 7%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[221] | July 5–11, 2022  | 1,197 (LV)  | ± 4.4%  | 50% | 47%  | –  | –  | 3%
Data for Progress (D)[222] | July 1–6, 2022  | 1,131 (LV)  | ± 3.0%  | 47% | 49% | –  | –  | 4%
Change Research (D)[223][J] | June 24–27, 2022  | 704 (LV)  | ± 3.7%  | 48% | 44% | –  | –  | 8%
Quinnipiac University[224] | June 23–27, 2022  | 1,497 (RV)  | ± 2.5%  | 54% | 44% | –  | 0%  | 3%
Moore Information Group (R)[225][C] | June 11–16, 2022  | 800 (LV)  | ± 3.0%  | 47% | 47% | –  | –  | 6%
East Carolina University[226] | June 6–9, 2022  | 868 (RV)  | ± 3.9%  | 47% | 47% | –  | 2%  | 4%
SurveyUSA[227] | April 22–27, 2022  | 1,278 (LV)  | ± 3.4%  | 50% | 45%  | –  | –  | 5%
Grassroots Targeting (R)[228][A] | April 3–16, 2022  | 2,500 (RV)  | ± 2.0%  | 41%  | 51% | –  | –  | 8%
Emerson College[27] | April 1–3, 2022  | 1,013 (RV)  | ± 3.0%  | 45% | 49% | –  | –  | 6%
Blueprint Polling (D)[229] | March 2–8, 2022  | 662 (LV)  | ± 3.9%  | 45% | 49% | –  | –  | 6%
Change Research (D)[223][J] | March 2022  | – (LV)  | –  | 48% | 49% | –  | –  | 3%
Wick Insights (R)[230] | February 2–6, 2022  | 1,290 (LV)  | ± 2.7%  | 46% | 47% | –  | –  | 8%
Quinnipiac University[81] | January 19–24, 2022  | 1,702 (RV)  | ± 2.4%  | 48% | 49% | –  | 0%  | 3%
University of Georgia[231] | January 13–24, 2022  | 872 (RV)  | ± 3.3%  | 44% | 47% | –  | 1%  | 8%
NRSC (R)[232][K] | December 4–8, 2021  | 831 (LV)  | ± 3.4%  | 48% | 49% | –  | –  | 3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[233] | November 9, 2021  | 753 (RV)  | ± 3.6%  | 45% | 39% | –  | 2%  | 8%
733 (LV)  | 48% | 42% | –  | 2%  | 6%
Public Policy Polling (D)[234] | August 4–5, 2021  | 622 (V)  | ± 3.9%  | 48% | 46% | –  | –  | 6%
The Trafalgar Group/InsiderAdvantage (R)[235] | March 7–9, 2021  | 1,093 (LV)  | ± 2.9%  | 46% | 48% | –  | 3%  | 4%

Hypothetical polling

Raphael Warnock vs. Gary Black

Poll source  | Date(s)
administered  | Sample
size[b] | Margin
of error  | Raphael
Warnock (D)  | Gary
Black (R)  | Other  | Undecided

|
|
|
|
|
|
|

University of Georgia[231] | January 13–24, 2022  | 872 (RV)  | ± 3.3%  | 46% | 41%  | 1%  | 11%
Public Policy Polling (D)[234] | August 4–5, 2021  | 622 (V)  | ± 3.9%  | 46% | 38%  | –  | 16%

Raphael Warnock vs. Kelly Loeffler

Poll source  | Date(s)
administered  | Sample
size[b] | Margin
of error  | Raphael
Warnock (D)  | Kelly
Loeffler (R)  | Other  | Undecided

|
|
|
|
|
|
|

Public Policy Polling (D)[234] | August 4–5, 2021  | 622 (V)  | ± 3.9%  | 47% | 44%  | –  | 9%
The Trafalgar Group/InsiderAdvantage (R)[235] | March 7–9, 2021  | 1,093 (LV)  | ± 2.9%  | 46% | 41%  | 8%  | 5%

Raphael Warnock vs. Doug Collins

Poll source  | Date(s)
administered  | Sample
size[b] | Margin
of error  | Raphael
Warnock (D)  | Doug
Collins (R)  | Other  | Undecided

|
|
|
|
|
|
|

The Trafalgar Group/InsiderAdvantage (R)[235] | March 7–9, 2021  | 1,093 (LV)  | ± 2.9%  | 46% | 45%  | 5%  | 5%

Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican

Poll source  | Date(s)
administered  | Sample
size[b] | Margin
of error  | Generic
Democrat  | Generic
Republican  | Undecided

|
|
|
|
|
|

Grassroots Targeting (R)[228][A] | April 3–16, 2022  | 2,500 (RV)  | ± 2.0%  | 40%  | 52% | 8%

### Results

[edit]

Despite a strong gubernatorial performance by incumbent governor Brian Kemp in his reelection bid, and leading the polls since October, Walker ended up one point behind Warnock and was forced into a runoff. Ticket splitting was evident, as Walker underperformed Brian Kemp by 203,130 votes, while Warnock did 132,444 votes better than Abrams.[236]

2022 United States Senate election in Georgia[237] Party  | Candidate  | Votes  | %  | ±%

|
|
|
|

| Democratic | Raphael Warnock (incumbent)  | 1,946,117  | 49.44%  | +1.05%
| Republican | Herschel Walker | 1,908,442  | 48.49%  | −0.88%
| Libertarian | Chase Oliver | 81,365  | 2.07%  | +1.35%
Total votes  | 3,935,924  | 100.0%  |

#### By congressional district

[edit]

Walker won nine of 14 congressional districts.[238]

District  | Warnock  | Walker  | Representative

|
|
|

1st | 42%  | 56% | Buddy Carter
2nd | 54% | 45%  | Sanford Bishop
3rd | 34%  | 63% | Drew Ferguson
4th | 80% | 19%  | Hank Johnson
5th | 84% | 14%  | Nikema Williams
6th | 41%  | 56% | Lucy McBath (117th Congress)
Rich McCormick (118th Congress)
7th | 63% | 35%  | Carolyn Bourdeaux (117th Congress)
Lucy McBath (118th Congress)
8th | 34%  | 64% | Austin Scott
9th | 29%  | 68% | Andrew Clyde
10th | 38%  | 60% | Jody Hice (117th Congress)
Mike Collins (118th Congress)
11th | 41%  | 56% | Barry Loudermilk
12th | 43%  | 56% | Rick Allen
13th | 82% | 16%  | David Scott
14th | 31%  | 67% | Marjorie Taylor Greene

#### Voter demographics

[edit]

Voter demographic data for 2022 was collected by CNN. The voter survey is based on exit polls completed by voters in person as well as by phone.[239]

2022 United States Senate election voter demographics in Georgia (CNN)[239] Demographic subgroup  | Warnock  | Walker  | Oliver  | % of
total vote

|
|
|
|

Ideology
Liberals | 93  | 5  | 2  | 18
Moderates | 66  | 32  | 2  | 41
Conservatives | 11  | 88  | 1  | 41
Party
Democrats | 97  | 2  | 0  | 35
Republicans | 4  | 95  | 1  | 41
Independents | 53  | 42  | 4  | 24
Gender
Men  | 44  | 54  | 2  | 47
Women  | 53  | 45  | 1  | 53
Marital status
Married  | 47  | 53  | 1  | 64
Unmarried  | 60  | 37  | 1  | 36
Gender by marital status
Married men  | 38  | 60  | 2  | 31
Married women  | 44  | 55  | 1  | 31
Unmarried men  | 58  | 39  | 3  | 15
Unmarried women  | 65  | 33  | 1  | 23
Race/ethnicity
White | 29  | 70  | 1  | 62
Black | 90  | 8  | 1  | 28
Latino | 58  | 39  | 3  | 6
Asian | 59  | 39  | 2  | 2
Other racial/ethnic groups  | 53  | 41  | 4  | 3
White voters by gender
White men  | 27  | 71  | 2  | 31
White women  | 30  | 68  | 1  | 30
Black men  | 85  | 12  | 2  | 11
Black women  | 93  | 5  | 1  | 17
Latino men  | 61  | 37  | 2  | 3
Latina women  | 55  | 41  | 4  | 4
All other races  | 55  | 40  | 3  | 4
Age
18–24 years old  | 69  | 28  | 3  | 6
25–29 years old  | 57  | 40  | 2  | 6
30–39 years old  | 57  | 40  | 3  | 14
40–49 years old  | 52  | 46  | 1  | 17
50–64 years old  | 44  | 54  | 1  | 32
65 and older  | 41  | 58  | 1  | 25
2020 presidential vote
Biden | 97  | 3  | 0  | 43
Trump | 4  | 95  | 1  | 48
First time midterm election voter
Yes  | 52  | 44  | 4  | 8
No  | 46  | 52  | 1  | 92
Education
Never attended college | 39  | 59  | 1  | 16
Some college education  | 49  | 50  | 1  | 27
Associate degree | 48  | 49  | 3  | 16
Bachelor's degree | 47  | 51  | 2  | 23
Advanced degree  | 60  | 38  | 2  | 17
Education by race
White college graduates  | 40  | 58  | 2  | 27
White no college degree  | 19  | 79  | 1  | 34
Non-white college graduates  | 78  | 20  | 1  | 13
Non-white no college degree  | 82  | 15  | 2  | 25
Education by gender/race
White women with college degrees  | 44  | 54  | 1  | 13
White women without college degrees  | 20  | 79  | 1  | 17
White men with college degrees  | 36  | 61  | 2  | 14
White men without college degrees  | 19  | 80  | 1  | 18
Non-white  | 81  | 17  | 2  | 38
Issue regarded as most important
Crime | 50  | 48  | 2  | 13
Abortion | 77  | 21  | 1  | 26
Inflation | 27  | 72  | 1  | 37
Gun Policy | 58  | 40  | 1  | 10
Immigration | 15  | 83  | 2  | 7
Feelings about Roe v. Wade being overturned
Enthusiastic/satisfied  | 16  | 83  | 1  | 43
Dissatisfied/angry  | 77  | 20  | 2  | 53
Abortion should be
Legal  | 75  | 23  | 1  | 53
Illegal  | 11  | 87  | 1  | 43
Area type
Urban  | 68  | 31  | 1  | 20
Suburban  | 48  | 49  | 2  | 53
Rural  | 35  | 65  | 1  | 27

## Runoff

[edit]

Following the projection of incumbent Democratic senator Catherine Cortez Masto's victory in Nevada, it became clear that, unlike in the previous cycle, the results of the Georgia runoff would not determine control of the United States Senate. With all Democratic incumbents besides Warnock winning re-election and Democrat John Fetterman flipping an open seat in Pennsylvania that had been held by retiring Republican Pat Toomey, Democrats held their majority in the Senate.[v][240] Nevertheless, national Democrats and Republicans began spending on advertising and volunteer mobilization efforts as soon as it became apparent that a runoff election would be necessary.[241] Historically, runoff elections in Georgia have favored Republicans as turnout decreased disproportionately amongst Democratic voters, but in 2021, with Senate control to be determined, turnout was historically high, and Democrats won both races.[242] Prior to the runoff, elections analysts questioned whether Georgia voters would turn out in such high numbers again and tried to determine which candidate's coalition of supporters would be more likely to turn out.[243] This was the fifth runoff in the state's history.

The early vote window was shorter in 2022 than in 2021 due to Georgia's Election Integrity Act of 2021, which reduced the gap between general and runoff elections from nine to four weeks.[244] State officials also said that there could be no weekend early voting: Georgia state law bars early voting from taking place the Saturday immediately before an election (December 3), and Georgia Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger argued that early voting also could not take place the next preceding Saturday (November 26), as it fell two days after Thanksgiving (November 24) and the day after a Georgia state holiday established to commemorate Confederate general Robert E. Lee's birthday (November 25).[w][247] On Friday, November 18, a Fulton County Superior Court judge ruled that, despite the holidays, county boards of election could legally offer early voting on Saturday, November 26;[248] that decision was upheld by the Georgia Court of Appeals on Monday, November 21,[249] and by the Supreme Court of Georgia on Wednesday, November 23.[250] Ultimately, 27 of Georgia's 159 counties chose to offer early voting on Saturday,[251] including the state's four largest counties, Fulton, Gwinnett, Cobb, and DeKalb.[252]

While Democrats retained control of the Senate during the 118th Congress regardless of the outcome of the Georgia runoff, Warnock's victory affected the functioning of that majority. During the 117th Congress, Senate Democrats made power-sharing agreements with Republicans, such as evenly dividing committee memberships between the two parties and giving Republicans greater ability to delay judicial appointments; with Warnock's win, Democrats attained an outright 51–49 majority,[1] allowing them to take full control of Senate committees and expedite judicial confirmations.[253] Looking beyond the 118th Congress, many analysts had noted that the outcome of this race would affect Democrats' prospects in the 2024 U.S. Senate elections. Election forecasters had noted that Democrats held a number of seats up for election in 2024 which would be difficult for the party to defend,[x] and therefore that holding Georgia's seat bolstered the party's chances to maintain Senate control going forward.[253][254][255]

According to Ron Brownstein of CNN in 2023, Warnock won independent voters by double-digit margins, which contributed to Walker's defeat.[256]

### Predictions

[edit]

Source  | Ranking  | As of

|
|

The Cook Political Report[257] | Tossup  | November 18, 2022
Inside Elections[258] | Tilt D  | December 1, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[259] | Lean D  | December 5, 2022
DDHQ[260] | Lean D  | December 6, 2022

### Polling

[edit]

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation  | Dates
administered  | Dates
updated  | Raphael
Warnock (D)  | Herschel
Walker (R)  | Undecided
[c] | Margin

|
|
|
|
|
|

Real Clear Politics[261] | November 11 – December 4, 2022  | December 5, 2022  | 51.0% | 47.3%  | 1.5%  | Warnock +3.7
FiveThirtyEight[262] | November 26 – December 5, 2022  | December 5, 2022  | 51.1% | 47.2%  | 2.1%  | Warnock +3.9
270ToWin[263] | November 22 – December 5, 2022  | December 5, 2022  | 51.0% | 47.7%  | 1.5%  | Warnock +3.3
Average | 51.0% | 47.4%  | 1.7%  | Warnock +3.6

Graphical summary

This graph was using the legacy Graph extension, which is no longer supported. It needs to be converted to the new Chart extension.

|

Poll source  | Date(s)
administered  | Sample
size[b] | Margin
of error  | Raphael
Warnock (D)  | Herschel
Walker (R)  | Other  | Undecided

|
|
|
|
|
|
|

The Trafalgar Group (R)[264] | December 3–5, 2022  | 1,099 (LV)  | ± 2.9%  | 51% | 47%  | –  | 2%
Data for Progress (D)[265] | December 1–5, 2022  | 1,229 (LV)  | ± 3.0%  | 51% | 49%  | –  | –
InsiderAdvantage (R)[266] | December 4, 2022  | 750 (LV)  | ± 3.6%  | 51% | 48%  | –  | 1%
Landmark Communications[267] | December 4, 2022  | 800 (LV)  | ± 3.5%  | 52% | 47%  | –  | 1%
Mitchell Research[268] | December 4, 2022  | 625 (LV)  | ± 3.6%  | 50% | 45%  | –  | 5%
Patriot Polling[269] | November 30 – December 2, 2022  | 818 (RV)  | –  | 49% | 47%  | –  | 4%
Emerson College[270] | November 28–30, 2022  | 888 (LV)  | ± 3.2%  | 51% | 49%  | –  | –
49% | 47%  | –  | 4%
SurveyUSA[271] | November 26–30, 2022  | 1,214 (LV)  | ± 3.6%  | 50% | 47%  | –  | 3%
50% | 46%  | –  | 4%
CNN/SSRS[272] | November 25–29, 2022  | 1,886 (RV)  | ± 3.0%  | 51% | 44%  | 5%[y] | –
1,184 (LV)  | ± 3.8%  | 52% | 48%  | 1%[z] | –
UMass Lowell/YouGov[273] | November 18–28, 2022  | 1,300 (LV)  | ± 3.2%  | 51% | 46%  | –  | 2%
Phillips Academy[274] | November 26–27, 2022  | 862 (LV)  | ± 3.3%  | 47%  | 48% | –  | 5%
Frederick Polls (D)[275][L] | November 23–26, 2022  | 939 (LV)  | ± 3.1%  | 50% | 50% | –  | –
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[276] | November 11–17, 2022  | 500 (LV)  | ± 4.4%  | 51% | 47%  | –  | 2%

### Results

[edit]

Warnock won Washington and Baldwin counties in the runoff, after having lost them in the general election, although he did win them in 2020.

2022 United States Senate runoff election in Georgia[277] Party  | Candidate  | Votes  | %  | ±%

|
|
|
|

| Democratic | Raphael Warnock (incumbent)  | 1,820,633  | 51.40%  | +0.36%
| Republican | Herschel Walker | 1,721,244  | 48.60%  | −0.36%
Total votes  | 3,541,877  | 100.0%  |
| Democratic hold

#### By congressional district

[edit]

Despite losing the state, Walker won nine of 14 congressional districts.[278]

District  | Warnock  | Walker  | Representative

|
|
|

1st | 44%  | 56% | Buddy Carter
2nd | 56% | 44%  | Sanford Bishop
3rd | 36%  | 64% | Drew Ferguson
4th | 82% | 18%  | Hank Johnson
5th | 87% | 13%  | Nikema Williams
6th | 44%  | 56% | Lucy McBath (117th Congress)
Rich McCormick (118th Congress)
7th | 66% | 34%  | Carolyn Bourdeaux (117th Congress)
Lucy McBath (118th Congress)
8th | 35%  | 65% | Austin Scott
9th | 31%  | 69% | Andrew Clyde
10th | 39%  | 61% | Jody Hice (117th Congress)
Mike Collins (118th Congress)
11th | 43%  | 57% | Barry Loudermilk
12th | 44%  | 56% | Rick Allen
13th | 84% | 16%  | David Scott
14th | 32%  | 68% | Marjorie Taylor Greene

## See also

[edit]

* 2022 Georgia gubernatorial election
* 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Georgia
* 2022 United States Senate elections
* 2022 Georgia state elections

## Notes

[edit]

1. ^ After Illinois in 2004 and South Carolina in 2014 and 2016, and concurrently with South Carolina in 2022.
2. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear
3. ^ a b c Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
4. ^ Nestor with 2%
5. ^ Craig and Nestor with 0%
6. ^ Craig and Nestor with 1%
7. ^ Carter with 3%
8. ^ a b c d Likely Republican primary voter subsample of 1,093 likely general election voters
9. ^ "Other candidate/Don't know" with 5%
10. ^ "All others" with 2%
11. ^ a b "Another party's candidate" with 1%
12. ^ a b c "Someone else" with 1%
13. ^ "Other" with 4%; "Wouldn't vote" with 2%
14. ^ "Other" with <1%
15. ^ "Some other candidate" with 4%
16. ^ "Some other candidate" with 2%
17. ^ a b "Other" with 1%
18. ^ a b "Someone else" with 3%
19. ^ "Wouldn't vote" with 1%
20. ^ "Other candidate" with 5%
21. ^ "Other" with 3%; "Wouldn't vote" with 3%
22. ^ Two independent senators caucus with Senate Democrats and Democratic Vice President Kamala Harris casts the tie-breaking vote.
23. ^ While Lee's birthday was January 19, the state of Georgia had traditionally observed the holiday on the Friday after Thanksgiving. Since 2016, Georgia no longer references Lee on its official calendar, but the day is still observed as a state holiday and government operations are closed.[245][246]
24. ^ Three Class 1 Democrats represent states won by Trump in 2020 (Montana, Ohio, and West Virginia), while no Class 1 Republicans represent states won by Biden. In addition, five Class 1 Democrats represent states won by Biden by less than his national popular vote margin (Arizona, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin).
25. ^ "Do not plan to vote" with 5%
26. ^ "Do not plan to vote" with 1%

Partisan clients

1. ^ a b c This poll was sponsored by 34N22 Leadership, which supports Walker
2. ^ This poll was sponsored by Save America PAC
3. ^ a b c d This poll was sponsored by Walker's campaign
4. ^ This poll was sponsored by Progress Georgia, an organization affiliated with the Georgia Democratic Party.
5. ^ This poll was sponsored by The Daily Wire
6. ^ This poll was sponsored by Center Street PAC, which opposes Walker
7. ^ This poll was sponsored by Charlie Bailey's campaign for lieutenant governor
8. ^ This poll was conducted for John Bolton Super PAC
9. ^ This poll was sponsored by the Environmental Voter Project
10. ^ a b This poll was sponsored by Future Majority and America's Future Majority Fund
11. ^ This poll was sponsored by the National Republican Senatorial Committee
12. ^ Poll conducted for COMPETE Everywhere, a digital marketing firm associated with the Democratic Party.

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[edit]

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122. ^ "Hollywood heavy hitters stump for Abrams and Warnock". The Washington Examiner. October 19, 2022.
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149. ^ "Tim Scott stars in ads for GOP candidates in six key states". NBC News. August 10, 2022.
150. ^ "GOP Rep. Don Bacon defends Herschel Walker: 'We all make mistakes'". Axios. October 9, 2022.
151. ^ "With Herschel Walker's Senate run confirmed, Rep. Buddy Carter changes course and offers endorsement". savannahnow.com.
152. ^ "GOP heavyweight Newt Gingrich joins Herschel Walker in law enforcement endorsement". CBS46. July 29, 2022.
153. ^ "Herschel Walker endorsed by Georgia football legend". thecomeback.com. October 20, 2022.
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155. ^ "Warnock and Walker hold events on runoff election eve". WABE. December 6, 2022.
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157. ^ Goldmacher, Shane; King, Maya; Lerer, Lisa (October 4, 2022). "In Speedy Embrace of Herschel Walker, Republicans Make Familiar Political Bargain". The New York Times.
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159. ^ "Endorsed Candidates". Campaign for Working Families. Retrieved August 3, 2022.
160. ^ Bluestein, Greg (May 18, 2022). "In a last Senate push, Gary Black plays a final card". The Atlanta Journal-Constitution. Retrieved October 6, 2022.
161. ^ "GOP Georgia lieutenant governor criticizes Herschel Walker following scandal". Axios. October 9, 2022.
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164. ^ 270ToWin
165. ^ AtlasIntel
166. ^ Landmark Communications
167. ^ InsiderAdvantage (R)
168. ^ Research Co.
169. ^ The Trafalgar Group (R)
170. ^ Data for Progress (D)
171. ^ Targoz Market Research
172. ^ East Carolina University
173. ^ Amber Integrated (R)
174. ^ Remington Research Group (R)
175. ^ Echleon Insights
176. ^ Marist College
177. ^ Moore Information Group (R)
178. ^ SurveyUSA
179. ^ Patinkin Research Strategies (D)
180. ^ Emerson College
181. ^ Fox News
182. ^ InsiderAdvantage (R)
183. ^ Siena College/NYT
184. ^ University of Georgia
185. ^ co/efficient (R)
186. ^ Moore Information Group (R)
187. ^ Rasmussen Reports (R)
188. ^ The Trafalgar Group (R)
189. ^ East Carolina University
190. ^ Landmark Communications
191. ^ Data for Progress (D)
192. ^ InsiderAdvantage (R)
193. ^ Wick Insights (R)
194. ^ Civiqs
195. ^ Moore Information Group (R)
196. ^ The Trafalgar Group (R)
197. ^ Quinnipiac University
198. ^ Emerson College
199. ^ InsiderAdvantage (R)
200. ^ SurveyUSA
201. ^ University of Georgia
202. ^ Fox News
203. ^ Data for Progress (D)
204. ^ YouGov/CBS News
205. ^ University of Georgia
206. ^ Marist College
207. ^ Kurt Jetta (D)
208. ^ Quinnipiac University
209. ^ Echelon Insights
210. ^ InsiderAdvantage (R)
211. ^ Emerson College
212. ^ The Trafalgar Group (R)
213. ^ Phillips Academy
214. ^ Research Affiliates (D)
215. ^ InsiderAdvantage (R)
216. ^ Fox News
217. ^ PEM Management Corporation (R)
218. ^ SurveyUSA
219. ^ University of Georgia
220. ^ Beacon Research (D)
221. ^ Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)
222. ^ Data for Progress (D)
223. ^ a b Change Research (D)
224. ^ Quinnipiac University
225. ^ Moore Information Group (R)
226. ^ East Carolina University
227. ^ SurveyUSA
228. ^ a b Grassroots Targeting (R)
229. ^ Blueprint Polling (D)
230. ^ Wick Insights (R) Archived March 1, 2022, at the Wayback Machine
231. ^ a b University of Georgia
232. ^ NRSC (R)
233. ^ Redfield & Wilton Strategies
234. ^ a b c Public Policy Polling (D)
235. ^ a b c The Trafalgar Group/InsiderAdvantage (R)
236. ^ "Voters who backed GOP governors helped keep the Senate blue". Politico. November 19, 2022. Retrieved December 12, 2022.
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246. ^ Gore, Leada (October 16, 2015). "Georgia does away with Confederate Memorial Day, Robert E. Lee Birthday". AL.com. Retrieved August 18, 2017.
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248. ^ Niesse, Mark (November 18, 2022). "BREAKING: Judge allows Saturday voting before U.S. Senate runoff in Georgia". The Atlanta Journal-Constitution. Retrieved November 29, 2022.
249. ^ Niesse, Mark (November 21, 2022). "BREAKING: Saturday voting upheld in Georgia U.S. Senate runoff". The Atlanta Journal-Constitution. Retrieved November 29, 2022.
250. ^ Niesse, Mark (November 23, 2022). "Georgia Supreme Court upholds Saturday voting in US Senate runoff". The Atlanta Journal-Constitution. Retrieved November 29, 2022.
251. ^ Sterling, Gabriel [@GabrielSterling] (November 26, 2022). "Counties voting today in Georgia Baker Baldwin Bartow Bibb Burke Chatham Clarke Cobb Crawford DeKalb Douglas Fulton Gilmer Gwinnett Hancock Henry Macon Mitchell Muscogee Newton Randolph Rockdale Screven Terrell Troup Walton Ware https://t.co/zyMJnbNWlh #gapol #PlanYourVote https://t.co/bfA6BvIQiC" (Tweet). Archived from the original on November 27, 2022. Retrieved December 1, 2022 – via Twitter.
252. ^ Estep, Tyler (November 26, 2022). "Voters turn out for Saturday voting in Georgia Senate runoff". The Atlanta Journal-Constitution. Retrieved November 29, 2022.
253. ^ a b "Georgia's Runoff is the Opening Battle of the 2024 Senate Cycle". Sabato's Crystal Ball. November 16, 2022. Retrieved November 17, 2022.
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255. ^ "Democrats kept the Senate this year, but 2024 may be harder". Associated Press. November 28, 2022. Retrieved December 7, 2022.
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267. ^ Landmark Communications
268. ^ Mitchell Research
269. ^ Patriot Polling
270. ^ Emerson College
271. ^ SurveyUSA
272. ^ CNN/SSRS
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278. ^ "GA 22 SEN Runoff CDS".

## External links

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