2024 Indian general election in Assam

Lok Sabha election in Assam

2024 Indian general election in Assam

* * *

| <- 2019 | 19 April- 7 May 2024 | 2029 ->

|
|

<- outgoing members

* * *

All 14 Assam seats in the Lok Sabha
Opinion polls
Turnout| 81.62% ( 0.02%)
|  | First party  | Second party

|
|

Leader  | Sarbananda Sonowal | Gaurav Gogoi
Party  | BJP | INC
Alliance  | NDA | INDIA
Leader since  | 2018  | 2020
Leader's seat  | Dibrugarh | Jorhat
Last election  | 36.41%, 9 seats  | 35.79%, 3 seats
Seats won  | 9  | 3
Seat change  |  |
Popular vote  | 74,67,558  | 74,78,077
Percentage  | 37.43%  | 37.48%
Swing  |  1.38%  |  2.04%

* * *

| Third party  | Fourth party
|  |
Leader  | Atul Bora | Urkhao Gwra Brahma
Party  | AGP | UPPL
Alliance  | NDA | NDA
Seats won  | 1  | 1
Seat change  |  1  |  1
Popular vote  | 12,89,464  | 4,84,681
Percentage  | 6.46%  | 2.43%
Swing  |  1.85%  |  0.09%

* * *

Results of the 2024 Indian general election in Assam

The 2024 Indian general election in Assam was held from 19 April to 7 May 2024, to elect the 14 members of the 18th Lok Sabha.[1][2]

## Election schedule

[edit]

Poll event  | Phase

|

I  | II  | III
Notification Date  | 20 March  | 28 March  | 12 April
Last Date for filing nomination  | 27 March  | 4 April  | 19 April
Scrutiny of nomination  | 28 March  | 5 April  | 20 April
Last Date for withdrawal of nomination  | 30 March  | 8 April  | 22 April
Date of poll  | 19 April | 26 April | 7 May
Date of counting of votes/Result  | 4 June 2024
No. of constituencies | 5  | 5  | 4

## Parties and alliances

[edit]

###  National Democratic Alliance

[edit]

Party  | Flag  | Symbol  | Leader  | Seats Contested

|
|
|
|

| Bharatiya Janata Party |  |  | Sarbananda Sonowal | 11
| Asom Gana Parishad |  |  | Atul Bora | 2
| United People's Party Liberal |  |  | Urkhao Gwra Brahma | 1
| Total | 14

###  Indian National Developmental Inclusive
Alliance

[edit]

Party  | Flag  | Symbol  | Leader  | Seats Contested

|
|
|
|

| Indian National Congress |  |  | Gourav Gogoi | 13
| Assam Jatiya Parishad |  |  | Lurinjyoti Gogoi  | 1
| Total | 14

### Others

[edit]

Recognised parties  Party  | Flag  | Symbol  | Leader  | Seats Contested

|
|
|
|

| All India United Democratic Front |  |  | Badruddin Ajmal | 3
| Bodoland People's Front |  |  | Hagrama Mohilary | 4
| All India Trinamool Congress |  |  | Ripun Bora | 4
| Aam Aadmi Party |  |  | Bhaben Choudhury  | 2
| Communist Party of India (Marxist) |  |  | Manoranjan Talukdar | 1
| Communist Party of India  |  |  | Kanak Gogoi  | 1
| Total  | 15
Unrecognised parties  Party  | Leader  | Symbol  | Seats Contested

|
|
|

| Voters Party International  |  |  | 8
Bharatiya Gana Parishad  |  |  | 6
| All Party Hill Leaders Conference | Jonas Ingti Kathar  |  | 1 as Independent from Diphu Lok Sabha constituency
| Socialist Unity Centre of India (Communist) | Chandralekha Das  |  | 6
| Gana Suraksha Party | Heera Saraniya |  | 4
| Rashtriya Ulama Council |  |  | 4
| Republican Party of India (Athawale) |  |  | 4
| Asom Jana Morcha  |  |  | 3
Bahujan Maha Party  |  |  | 3
Bangali Nabanirman Sena  |  |  | 2
| Ekam Sanatan Bharat Dal |  |  | 2
| Autonomous State Demand Committee | Jayanta Rongpi |  | 1
| Bharatheeya Jawan Kisan Party |  |  | 1
| Hindu Samaj Party  |  |  | 1
Jai Prakash Janata Dal  |  |  | 1
The National Road Map Party of India  |  |  | 1
| Total  |  | 47

## Candidates

[edit]

Constituency  |  |  |

|
|
|

NDA | INDIA | Others
1  | Kokrajhar (ST)  |  | UPPL | Joyanta Basumatary |  | INC | Garjan Mushahary  |  | AITC | Gauri Shankar Sarania
| BPF | Kampa Borgoyari
2  | Dhubri |  | AGP | Zabed Islam |  | INC | Rakibul Hussain |  | AIUDF | Badruddin Ajmal
3  | Barpeta |  | AGP | Phani Bhusan Choudhury |  | INC | Deep Bayan  |  | AITC | Abul Kalam Azad
| CPI(M) | Manoranjan Talukdar
4  | Darrang–Udalguri |  | BJP | Dilip Saikia |  | INC | Madhab Rajbangshi |  | BPF | Durga Das Boro
5  | Guwahati |  | BJP | Bijuli Kalita Medhi  |  | INC | Mira Barthakur Goswami  |  | ESBD | Amitabh Sharmah
6  | Diphu (ST)  |  | BJP | Amar Sing Tisso  |  | INC | Joyram Engleng |  | ASDC | Jotson Bey
7  | Karimganj |  | BJP | Kripanath Mallah |  | INC | Rashid Ahmed Choudhary  |  | AIUDF | Sahabul Islam Choudhary
8  | Silchar (SC)  |  | BJP | Parimal Suklabaidya |  | INC | Surjya Kanta Sarkar  |  | AITC | Radheshyam Biswas
9  | Nowgong |  | BJP | Suresh Bora  |  | INC | Pradyut Bordoloi |  | AIUDF | Aminul Islam
10  | Kaziranga |  | BJP | Kamakhya Prasad Tasa |  | INC | Roselina Tirkey |  | RPI(A) | Salesh Ahmed Mazumdar
11  | Sonitpur |  | BJP | Ranjit Dutta |  | INC | Premlal Ganju  |  | AAP | Rishiraj Sharma
| BPF | Raju Deuri
12  | Lakhimpur |  | BJP | Pradan Baruah |  | INC | Uday Shankar Hazarika  |  | AITC | Ghana Kanta Chutia
| CPI | Dhiren Kachari
13  | Dibrugarh |  | BJP | Sarbananda Sonowal |  | AJP | Lurinjyoti Gogoi  |  | AAP | Manoj Dhanuar
14  | Jorhat |  | BJP | Topon Kumar Gogoi |  | INC | Gaurav Gogoi |  | ESBD | Arun Chandra Handique

## Surveys and polls

[edit]

### Opinion polls

[edit]

Polling agency  | Date published  | Margin of Error  |  |  |  |  | Lead

|
|
|
|
|
|
|

NDA | INDIA | AIUDF | Others
ABP News-CVoter | April 2024[3] | ±5%  | 12 | 2  | 0  | NDA
ABP News-CVoter  | March 2024[4] | ±5%  | 12 | 2  | 0  | NDA
India TV-CNX  | March 2024[5] | ±3%  | 12 | 1  | 1  | NDA
India Today-CVoter  | February 2024[6] | ±3-5%  | 12 | 2  | 0  | NDA
Times Now-ETG | December 2023[7] | ±3%  | 9-11 | 2-4  | 0-1  | NDA
India TV-CNX  | October 2023[8] | ±3%  | 12 | 1  | 1  | NDA
Times Now-ETG | September 2023[9] | ±3%  | 7-9 | 4-6  | 0-1  | NDA
August 2023 | ±3%  | 9-11 | 3-4  | 0-1  | NDA
India Today-CVoter | August 2023[10] | ±3-5%  | 12 | 1  | 1  | NDA
Polling agency  | Date published  | Margin of Error  |  |  |  |  | Lead

|
|
|
|
|
|
|

NDA | INDIA | AIUDF | Others
ABP News-CVoter | April 2024[11] | ±5%  | 51.8% | 35.5%  | 16.3%  | 12.7
ABP News-CVoter  | March 2024[12] | ±5%  | 45% | 38%  | 13%  | 7
India Today-CVoter  | February 2024[13] | ±3-5%  | 46% | 31%  | 23%  | 15
India Today-CVoter | August 2023[14] | ±3-5%  | 48% | 36%  | 16%  | 12

### Exit polls

[edit]

Polling agency  |  |  |  |  | Lead

|
|
|
|
|

NDA | INDIA | AIUDF | Others
Actual Results  | 11 | 3  | 0  | 0  | NDA

## Voter turnout

[edit]

### Phase wise

[edit]

Phase  | Poll Date  | Constituencies  | Voter Turnout (%)

|
|
|

I  | 19 April 2024  | Kaziranga, Sonitpur, Lakhimpur, Dibrugarh, Jorhat | 78.25%
II  | 26 April 2024  | Darrang–Udalguri, Diphu (ST), Karimganj, Silchar (SC), Nowgong | 81.17%
III  | 7 May 2024  | Kokrajhar (ST), Dhubri, Barpeta, Guwahati | 85.45%
Total  | 81.62%

### Constituency wise

[edit]

Constituency  | Poll Date  | Turnout  | Swing

|
|
|

1  | Kokrajhar (ST)  | 7 May 2024  | 83.55%  | 0.25%
2  | Dhubri | 92.08%  | 1.42%
3  | Barpeta | 85.24%  | 1.33%
4  | Darrang–Udalguri | 26 April 2024  | 82.01%  |
5  | Guwahati | 7 May 2024  | 78.39%  | 2.48%
6  | Diphu (ST)  | 26 April 2024  | 75.74%  | 1.89%
7  | Karimganj | 80.48%  | 1.3%
8  | Silchar (SC)  | 79.05%  | 0.46%
9  | Nowgong | 84.97%  | 1.74%
10  | Kaziranga | 19 April 2024  | 79.33%  |
11  | Sonitpur | 78.46%  |
12  | Lakhimpur | 76.42%  | 1.25%
13  | Dibrugarh | 76.75%  | 0.55%
14  | Jorhat | 79.89%  | 2.32%

## Results

[edit]

### Results by alliance or party

[edit]

Alliance/ Parties  | Popular vote  | Seats

|
|

Votes  | %  | ±pp | Contested  | Won  | +/−
| NDA |  | BJP | 74,67,558  | 37.43  |  1.38  | 11  | 9  |
| AGP | 12,89,464  | 6.46  |  1.85  | 2  | 1  |  1
| UPPL | 4,84,681  | 2.43  | 0.09  | 1  | 1  |  1
Total  | 92,41,703  | 42.29  |  | 14  | 11  |  2
| INDIA |  | INC | 74,78,077  | 37.48  |  2.04  | 13  | 3  |
| AJP | 4,14,441  | 1.99  | New | 1  | 0  |
Total  | 78,92,518  | 39.47  |  | 14  | 3  |
| Others
| BPF | 7,77,570  | 3.86  |  | 4  | 0  |
| AIUDF | 6,24,305  | 3.13  |  4.74  | 3  | 0  |  1
| APHLC | 1,87,017  | 0.86  |  | 1  | 0  |
| AAP | 1,70,912  | 0.85  |  | 2  | 0  |
| CPI(M) | 96,138  | 0.48  |  | 1  | 0  |
| AITC | 74,641  | 0.37  |  | 4  | 0  |
| CPI | 19,631  | 0.10  |  | 1  | 0  |
| GSP | 1,23,365  | 0.56  |  | 4  | 0  |
| SUCI(C) | 26,270  | 0.12  |  | 6  | 0  |
| ESBD | 16,613  | 0.07  |  | 2  | 0  |
| RPI(A) | 14,317  | 0.06  |  | 4  | 0  |
| RUC | 12,952  | 0.05  |  | 4  | 0  |
| ASDC | 9,633  | 0.04  |  | 1  | 0  |
| BJKP |  |  |  | 1  | 0  |
| Independents |  |  |  | 53  | 0  |  1
Total  | 37,25,964  | 17.05  |  |  | 0  | 2
| NOTA | 238,276  | 1.19  |  |
Total  | 20,864,200  | 100  |  | 143  | 14  |

### Results by constituency

[edit]

Constituency  | Turnout  | Winner  | Runner Up  | Margin

|
|
|
|

Party  | Alliance  | Candidate  | Votes  | %  | Party  | Alliance  | Candidate  | Votes  | %  | Votes  | %
1  | Kokrajhar (ST)  | 83.55% |  | UPPL |  | NDA | Joyanta Basumatary | 488,995  | 39.39%  |  | BPF |  | Others  | Kampa Borgoyari  | 4,37,412  | 35.23%  | 51,583  | 4.16%
2  | Dhubri | 92.08% |  | INC |  | INDIA | Rakibul Hussain | 1,471,885  | 59.99%  |  | AIUDF |  | Others  | Badruddin Ajmal | 4,59,409  | 18.72%  | 10,12,476  | 41.27%
3  | Barpeta | 85.24% |  | AGP |  | NDA | Phani Bhusan Choudhury | 8,60,113  | 51.02%  |  | INC |  | INDIA | Deep Bayan  | 6,37,762  | 37.83%  | 2,22,351  | 13.19%
4  | Darrang–Udalguri | 82.01% |  | BJP |  | NDA | Dilip Saikia | 8,68,387  | 47.95%  |  | INC |  | INDIA | Madhab Rajbangshi | 5,39,375  | 29.78%  | 3,29,012  | 18.17%
5  | Guwahati | 78.39% |  | BJP |  | NDA | Bijuli Kalita Medhi | 8,94,887  | 55.95%  |  | INC |  | INDIA | Mira Borthakur Goswami  | 6,43,797  | 40.25%  | 2,51,090  | 15.70%
6  | Diphu (ST)  | 75.74% |  | BJP |  | NDA | Amar Sing Tisso  | 3,34,620  | 49.01%  |  | Independent |  | Independent | J.I. Kathar  | 1,87,017  | 27.39%  | 1,47,603  | 21.62%
7  | Karimganj | 80.48% |  | BJP |  | NDA | Kripanath Mallah | 5,45,093  | 47.53%  |  | INC |  | INDIA | Hafiz Rashid Ahmed Choudhury  | 5,26,733  | 45.93%  | 18,360  | 1.60%
8  | Silchar (SC)  | 79.05% |  | BJP |  | NDA | Parimal Suklabaidya | 6,52,405  | 59.89%  |  | INC |  | INDIA | Surya Kanta Sarkar  | 3,88,094  | 35.62%  | 2,64,311  | 24.27%
9  | Nowgong | 84.97% |  | INC |  | INDIA | Pradyut Bordoloi | 7,88,850  | 50.89%  |  | BJP |  | NDA | Suresh Borah  | 5,76,619  | 37.20%  | 2,12,331  | 13.69%
10  | Kaziranga | 79.33% |  | BJP |  | NDA | Kamakhya Prasad Tasa | 8,97,043  | 55.04%  |  | INC |  | INDIA | Roselina Tirkey | 6,48,096  | 39.76%  | 2,48,947  | 15.28%
11  | Sonitpur | 78.46% |  | BJP |  | NDA | Ranjit Dutta | 7,75,788  | 60.21%  |  | INC |  | INDIA | Premlal Ganju  | 4,14,380  | 32.16%  | 3,61,408  | 28.05%
12  | Lakhimpur | 76.42% |  | BJP |  | NDA | Pradan Baruah | 6,63,122  | 54.75%  |  | INC |  | INDIA | Uday Shankar Hazarika  | 4,61,865  | 38.13%  | 2,01,257  | 16.62%
13  | Dibrugarh | 76.75% |  | BJP |  | NDA | Sarbananda Sonowal | 6,93,762  | 54.27%  |  | AJP |  | INDIA | Lurinjyoti Gogoi | 4,14,441  | 32.42%  | 2,79,321  | 21.85%
14  | Jorhat | 79.89% |  | INC |  | INDIA | Gourav Gogoi | 7,51,771  | 54.04%  |  | BJP |  | NDA | Topon Kumar Gogoi | 6,07,378  | 43.66%  | 1,44,393  | 10.38%

## Assembly segments wise lead of Parties

[edit]

Party  | Assembly segments  | Current Position in the Assembly

|
|

| NDA |  | BJP | 75  | 63
| AGP | 10  | 8
| UPPL | 7  | 7
Total  | 92  | 78
| INDIA |  | INC | 31  | 25
| CPI(M) | 0  | 1
| RD | Did Not Contest  | 1
Total  | 31  | 27
| Others  |  | AIUDF | 0  | 15
| BPF | 3  | 3
| Independents | 0  | 3
Total  | 3  | 21
Total  | 126

## See also

[edit]

* 2024 Indian general election in Bihar
* 2024 Indian general election in Chandigarh
* 2024 Indian general election in Chhattisgarh

## References

[edit]

1. ^ "BJP targets to win 14 seats in Assam in 2024 Lok Sabha elections".
2. ^ "Assam Congress initiates grand alliance move against BJP for 2024 Lok Sabha polls". Retrieved 11 March 2023.
3. ^ ABP News Bureau (16 April 2024). "ABP-CVoter Opinion Poll: BJP Set To Reign Supreme In Northeast, INDIA Faces Washout". news.abplive.com. Retrieved 17 April 2024.
4. ^ "ABP News-CVoter Opinion Poll: BJP Likely To Sweep Assam As INDIA Bloc Projected To Suffer Setback". ABP News. 14 March 2024. Retrieved 3 April 2024.
5. ^ Bhandari, Shashwat, ed. (5 March 2024). "Narendra Modi set to become PM for third time as BJP-led NDA may win 378 seats: India TV-CNX Opinion Poll". India TV. Retrieved 2 April 2024.
6. ^ Menon, Aditya (9 February 2024). "Mood of the Nation Survey: Modi 3.0 Certain or Can INDIA Push Back? 8 Key Trends". The Quint. Retrieved 2 April 2024.
7. ^ "ETG Survey: अगर आज हुए लोकसभा चुनाव तो किसकी बनेगी सरकार? देखें हर राज्य का गुणा-गणित". Times Now (in Hindi). 18 December 2023. Retrieved 2 April 2024.
8. ^ Dash, Nivedita, ed. (5 October 2023). "India TV-CNX Opinion Poll: BJP-led NDA set to sweep Assam with 12 Lok Sabha seats". India TV. Retrieved 2 April 2024.
9. ^ "Who Is Likely To Win If Lok Sabha Polls Are Held Today? ETG Survey Reveals | The Newshour Debate". Youtube. Times Now. 3 October 2023. Retrieved 3 April 2024.
10. ^ Yadav, Yogendra; Sardesai, Shreyas (31 August 2023). "Here are two things INDIA alliance must do based on national surveys' results". The Print. Retrieved 2 April 2024.
11. ^ ABP News Bureau (16 April 2024). "ABP-CVoter Opinion Poll: BJP Set To Reign Supreme In Northeast, INDIA Faces Washout". news.abplive.com. Retrieved 17 April 2024.
12. ^ "ABP News-CVoter Opinion Poll: BJP Likely To Sweep Assam As INDIA Bloc Projected To Suffer Setback". ABP News. 14 March 2024. Retrieved 3 April 2024.
13. ^ Kalita, Karishma Saurabh (8 February 2024). "NDA to win 12 of 14 seats in Assam, INDIA bloc to get 2, predicts Mood of the Nation". India Today. Retrieved 3 April 2024.
14. ^ Yadav, Yogendra; Sardesai, Shreyas (31 August 2023). "Here are two things INDIA alliance must do based on national surveys' results". The Print. Retrieved 2 April 2024.

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2024 Indian general election

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