2024 Iowa Democratic presidential caucuses

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| <- 2020 | January 12 – March 5, 2024 | 2028 ->

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<- CO

ME ->

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46 delegates (40 pledged and 6 unpledged) to the Democratic National Convention
Reporting|

99%

as of March 5, 6:01 PM CST
|  |  |

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Candidate  | Joe Biden | All other candidates
Home state  | Delaware  |
Delegate count  | 40 | 0
Popular vote  | 11,083 | 1,110
Percentage  | 90.9% | 9.1%

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Results by county

Biden

60–70%

70–80%

80–90%

>90%

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The 2024 Iowa Democratic presidential caucuses were held as part of the Democratic Party primaries for the 2024 presidential election.

In this cycle, in-person caucuses focusing only on party business were held on January 15, but voting on candidates was being done exclusively via mail-in ballots from January 12 until Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024. This was the result of a compromise between the Iowa Democratic Party and the Democratic National Committee (DNC). Iowa traditionally holds its race first during the presidential primary and caucuses season, but the DNC wanted South Carolina to instead hold its race first. 46 delegates to the Democratic National Convention were allocated to presidential candidates.[1]

Incumbent President Joe Biden announced his bid for a second term on April 25, 2023.[2] He faced a primary challenge from author, progressive activist, and 2020 presidential candidate Marianne Williamson,[3] and Representative Dean Phillips.[4] All three candidates filed to appear on the mail-in ballot and were certified by the filing deadline on December 1, 2023 - along with a choice to vote for "Uncommitted".[5] Joe Biden won the primary, along with all 40 pledged delegates.[6]

## Scheduling controversy[edit]

President Joe Biden sent a letter on December 1, 2022, to the Democratic National Committee (DNC), requesting that "diversity" should be emphasized in the 2024 Democratic Party presidential primaries, shifting Iowa's traditional status of the first state to hold a caucus.[7] A December 2022 vote by the DNC Rules and Bylaws Committee the following day approved the change.[8]

On February 4, 2023, the DNC approved a new 2024 primary calendar, moving South Carolina to hold its race first on February 3. Iowa, which traditionally goes first, would then be held later in the primary season. Members of the Iowa Democratic Party and the New Hampshire Democratic Party opposed the move, since they would no longer be the first two states to hold their races.[9] Lee Saunders, a member of the Rules and Bylaws Committee who was in favor of the change, said that adjusting the calendar will give a truer representation of the composition of the country.[10]

Under normal circumstances, the Iowa caucuses operate very differently from primary elections used in most other U.S. states. Instead of going to polling places to cast ballots, Iowans instead gather in-person at local caucus meetings to discuss and vote on the candidates, which are typically held at selected schools, churches, public libraries, or even individuals' houses. In response to the chaotic 2020 Iowa caucuses and the DNC's new rules and calendar, the Iowa Democratic Party initially planned to allow voting-by-mail for the first time, hoping to gain a better spot on the primary calendar through closely abiding by the new rules and enlarging their voter base. They speculate that in doing so they could take the spot of another planned early state that fails to meet the date expected by the DNC. However in early June 2023, the Republican-controlled state legislature and Iowa Governor Kim Reynolds signed a new bill into law requiring the caucuses to be held in person in order to force Iowa Democrats not to follow the DNC plan and to secure Iowa's first-in-the-nation status.[11] Iowa Democrats wanted to hold the caucus in person, select delegates and complete party business, fulfilling the law, while they would still organize the presidential preference vote by mail-in cards and officially declare the results during the later timeframe sanctioned by the DNC.[12]

On October 6, the DNC and the Iowa Democratic Party reached a compromise in which the in-person caucuses could still be held in January, but delegate-determining voting will be held through the mail until Super Tuesday, March 5.[13]

## Opinion polling[edit]

Poll source  | Date(s)
administered  | Sample
size[a] | Margin
of error | Joe
Biden  | Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.  | Dean
Phillips  | Marianne
Williamson  | Other  | Undecided

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| February 28, 2024  | Williamson re-launches her candidacy
| February 7, 2024  | Williamson suspends her candidacy
Emerson College | Jan 11–13, 2024  | 367 (LV)  | ± 5.1%  | 72% | –  | 2%  | 5%  | –  | 21%
Emerson College | Dec 15–17, 2023  | 263 (LV)  | ± 6.0%  | 69% | –  | 1%  | 5%  | –  | 24%
| October 27, 2023  | Phillips declares his candidacy
| October 9, 2023  | Kennedy withdraws from the primaries
Emerson College | Sept 7–9, 2023  | 273 (LV)  | ± 5.9%  | 50% | 9%  | –  | 7%  | –  | 34%
HarrisX | Aug 17–21 2023  | 784 (LV)  | –  | 47% | 19%  | –  | 7%  | 12%  | 16%
Emerson College | May 19–22 2023  | 301 (LV)  | ± 5.6%  | 69% | 11%  | –  | 10%  | 10%  | –
Victory Insights | Apr 8 2021  | 600 (RV)  | ± 4.2%  | 63% | –  | –  | –  | 11%  | 26%

Hypothetical polling

Poll source  | Date(s)
administered  | Sample
size[a] | Margin
of error | Pete
Buttigieg  | Kamala
Harris  | John
Kerry  | Amy
Klobuchar  | Michelle
Obama  | Alexandria
Ocasio-Cortez  | Bernie
Sanders  | Elizabeth
Warren  | Other  | Undecided

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Victory Insights | April 8, 2021  | 600 (V)  | –  | 15%  | 28% | 7%  | 9%  | 12%  | 2%  | 2%  | 3%  | 5%  | 16%

## Results[edit]

The results of the mail-in vote are expected to be released on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024.[14]

Iowa Democratic caucus, January 12–March 5, 2024  Candidate  | Votes  | Percentage  | Actual delegate count

|
|
|

Pledged  | Unpledged  | Total
Joe Biden (incumbent)  | 11,083 | 90.9% | 40 |  |
Uncommitted | 480  | 3.9%  |  |  |
Dean Phillips | 362  | 3.0%  |  |  |
Marianne Williamson[b] | 268  | 2.2%  |  |  |
Total:  | 11,669  | 100%  | 40  |  | 46
Source: [15]

## See also[edit]

* 2024 Iowa Republican presidential caucuses
* 2024 Democratic Party presidential primaries
* 2024 United States presidential election
* 2024 United States presidential election in Iowa
* 2024 United States elections

## Notes[edit]

1. ^ a b Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear
2. ^ While voting was ongoing, Williamson suspended and then unsuspended her campaign.

## References[edit]

1. ^ "Iowa Democratic Delegation 2024". The Green Papers. Archived from the original on April 29, 2023. Retrieved April 29, 2023.
2. ^ "Joe Biden announces he is running for president again, setting up possible Trump rematch". ABC News. Archived from the original on April 25, 2023. Retrieved May 5, 2023.
3. ^ Weissert, Will (March 4, 2023). "Marianne Williamson begins longshot 2024 challenge to Biden". The San Diego Union-Tribune. Archived from the original on March 5, 2023. Retrieved November 17, 2023.
4. ^ Murray, Isabella; Walsh, Kelsey. "Democratic Rep. Dean Phillips launches 2024 White House bid in challenge to Biden". ABC News. Archived from the original on December 5, 2023. Retrieved December 6, 2023.
5. ^ "Iowa Democrats put 3 presidential candidates' names on mail-in caucus cards. Who's named". Yahoo News. December 2, 2023. Archived from the original on January 16, 2024. Retrieved December 6, 2023.
6. ^ "Iowa Democratic Caucus Results". The New York Times. March 5, 2024. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved March 5, 2024.
7. ^ Miller, Zeke; Kinnard, Meg; Weissert, Will (December 1, 2022). "AP sources: Biden tells Dems he wants SC as 1st primary vote". Associated Press. Archived from the original on October 30, 2023. Retrieved October 30, 2023.
8. ^ "DNC Rules and Bylaws Committee Adopts Biden Calendar Proposal". Frontloading HQ. December 2, 2022. Archived from the original on October 30, 2023. Retrieved October 30, 2023.
9. ^ Shepherd, Brittany (February 4, 2023). "Democrats approve new primary calendar for 2024". ABC News. Archived from the original on February 5, 2023. Retrieved October 30, 2023.
10. ^ Chambers, Francesca (February 4, 2023). "Democrats approve 2024 primary calendar that demotes Iowa, boosts South Carolina". USA Today. Archived from the original on February 5, 2023. Retrieved October 30, 2023.
11. ^ "When are the Iowa caucuses? Great question". Politico. June 10, 2023. Archived from the original on June 10, 2023. Retrieved June 10, 2023.
12. ^ "Iowa Democrats approve 2024 caucus delegation plan". June 3, 2023. Archived from the original on August 22, 2023. Retrieved August 22, 2023.
13. ^ "DNC's new calendar, will release caucus results on Super Tuesday". Iowa Public Radio. October 6, 2023. Archived from the original on October 20, 2023. Retrieved November 17, 2023.
14. ^ Mueller, Julia (October 6, 2023). "Iowa Democrats releasing caucus results on Super Tuesday". The Hill. Archived from the original on October 6, 2023. Retrieved October 6, 2023.
15. ^ "Iowa Democratic Presidential Caucus Results". Des Moines Register. Retrieved March 5, 2024.

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