2024 North Carolina gubernatorial election

For related races, see 2024 United States gubernatorial elections.

2024 North Carolina gubernatorial election

* * *

| ← 2020 | November 5, 2024 | 2028 →

|
|

Turnout| 73.73% (1.62 pp)
|   |  |

|
|

Nominee  | Josh Stein | Mark Robinson |
Party  | Democratic | Republican
Popular vote  | 3,069,496 | 2,241,309
Percentage  | 54.90% | 40.08%

* * *

County results

Congressional district results

Precinct results

Stein:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Robinson:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
No votes

* * *

| Governor before election

Roy Cooper
Democratic

| Elected Governor

Josh Stein
Democratic

|

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* v
* t
* e

The 2024 North Carolina gubernatorial election was held on November 5, 2024, to elect the governor of North Carolina. It was held concurrently with the 2024 presidential election and other elections. Democratic state attorney general Josh Stein won his first term in office, defeating Republican lieutenant governor Mark Robinson. He succeeded Democratic incumbent Roy Cooper, who was term-limited.

Primary elections took place on March 5, 2024.[1] Stein won the Democratic nomination with 70% of the vote over former state Supreme Court justice Michael R. Morgan and Robinson won the Republican nomination with 65% of the vote over state treasurer Dale Folwell.

Initially a tight race, Robinson's history of controversial statements and revelations of comments he made on a pornographic website led to Stein gaining a significant polling advantage. Stein went on to win the election by 14.8 percentage points, the largest margin for a gubernatorial candidate in North Carolina since Jim Hunt in 1980, as well as winning counties that had not voted Democratic since 2008 (Franklin), 2004 (Alamance, Brunswick, and Transylvania), and 1980 (Cabarrus, Henderson, and Jackson). Stein was also the only Democrat in 2024 to win a gubernatorial race in a state Donald Trump won in the concurrent presidential race. Robinson became the first Republican gubernatorial candidate since 1976 to not flip a county in the state.

Stein received more than three million votes, the most of any candidate in the history of statewide elections in North Carolina. He is the first Jewish governor of the state.[2] Analysts have credited Stein's large margin of victory with helping down-ballot Democrats in concurrent elections.[3][4] According to exit polls, Stein won independent voters by a 23% margin, which further contributed to Robinson's defeat.

## Background

[edit]

A typical swing state, North Carolina is considered to be a purple to slightly red southern state at the federal level. Both U.S. senators from the state are members of the Republican Party. Democrats and Republicans both hold multiple statewide offices in North Carolina. In the 2020 presidential election, Donald Trump carried North Carolina by 1.34 percentage points, the smallest margin among the states he won.[5][6]

Incumbent Roy Cooper was first elected in 2016, defeating then-incumbent governor Pat McCrory by about 0.2 points. Cooper was re-elected in 2020 by 4.5 percentage points.[6][7]

The Democratic nominee was Josh Stein, the incumbent state attorney general. The Republican nominee was Mark Robinson, the incumbent lieutenant governor.[8]

The 2024 election was initially expected to be competitive due to the state's nearly even to slightly right-leaning partisan lean, the concurrent presidential election, and the seat being open due to term limits. However, Robinson later became embroiled in numerous controversies after becoming the nominee, allowing Stein to open up a large and consistent lead in polls. Stein won 37 counties and Robinson won 63. Of the three gubernatorial races that went blue in 2024, North Carolina went bluest in its overall margin, even though the other two were significantly more Democratic states. [9]

## Democratic primary

[edit]

### Candidates

[edit]

#### Nominee

[edit]

* Josh Stein, North Carolina Attorney General (2017–2025)[8]

#### Eliminated in primary

[edit]

* Chrelle Booker, Tryon city councilor (2019–present) and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2022[10]
* Gary Foxx, former Princeville police chief[11]
* Michael R. Morgan, former North Carolina Supreme Court justice (2016–2023)[12]
* Marcus Williams, attorney and perennial candidate[13]

#### Declined

[edit]

* Sydney Batch, state senator from the 17th district (2021–present)[14] (endorsed Stein)[8]
* Jeff Jackson, U.S. Representative from North Carolina's 14th congressional district (2023–2024)[14] (endorsed Stein, ran for Attorney General)[15]
* Natalie Murdock, state senator from the 20th district (2020–present)[14] (endorsed Stein)[8]
* Robert T. Reives II, Minority Leader of the North Carolina House of Representatives (2021–present) from the 54th district (2014–present)[14] (endorsed Stein)[16]

### Endorsements

[edit]

Josh Stein

U.S. representatives

* G. K. Butterfield, former U.S. representative from North Carolina's 1st congressional district (2004–2022)[17]
* Eva Clayton, former U.S. representative from North Carolina's 1st congressional district (1992–2003)[17]
* Valerie Foushee, U.S. representative from North Carolina's 4th congressional district (2023–present)[18]
* Jeff Jackson, U.S. representative from North Carolina's 14th congressional district (2023–2025), Democratic nominee for Attorney General in 2024[15]
* Kathy Manning, U.S. representative from North Carolina's 6th congressional district (2021–2025)[19]
* Wiley Nickel, U.S. representative from North Carolina's 13th congressional district (2023–2025)[15]
* Deborah Ross, U.S. representative from North Carolina's 2nd congressional district (2021–present)[20]

Statewide officials

* Roy Cooper, Governor of North Carolina (2017–2025)[21]
* Jim Hunt, former Governor of North Carolina (1977–1985, 1993–2001)[16]
* Burley Mitchell, former Chief Justice of the North Carolina Supreme Court (1995–1999)[22]

State legislators

* Robert Reives, minority leader of the North Carolina House of Representatives (2021–present from the 54th district (2014–present)[16]

Individuals

* Cristina Tzintzún Ramirez, president of NextGen America PAC (2021–present)[23]

Labor unions

* North Carolina AFL-CIO[24]
* North Carolina Association of Educators[25]

Organizations

* End Citizens United[26]
* NextGen America PAC[23]
* North Carolina League of Conservation Voters[27]
* Reproductive Freedom for All[28]
* Sierra Club[29]

Newspapers

* The Charlotte Observer[30] (Democratic primary only)

### Polling

[edit]

Poll source  | Date(s)
administered  | Sample
size[a] | Margin
of error  | Chrelle
Booker  | Gary
Foxx  | Michael
Morgan  | Josh
Stein  | Marcus
Williams  | Other  | Undecided

|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|

High Point University[31] | February 16–23, 2024  | 322 (LV)  | ± 6.0%  | 10%  | 10%  | 14%  | 57% | 9%  | –  | –
Change Research (D)[32][A] | February 15–19, 2024  | 1,622 (LV)  | ± 2.6%  | –  | –  | 8%  | 49% | –  | 4%[b] | 39%
East Carolina University[33] | February 9–12, 2024  | 1,207 (RV)  | ± 3.3%  | 2%  | 2%  | 7%  | 57% | 3%  | –  | 29%
Meredith College[34] | January 26–31, 2024  | 760 (RV)  | ± 3.5%  | 5%  | 3%  | 4%  | 31% | 2%  | 4%[c] | 51%
Public Policy Polling (D)[35] | December 15–16, 2023  | 556 (LV)  | ± 4.2%  | 3%  | 1%  | 5%  | 56% | 4%  | –  | 32%
| December 15, 2023  | Foxx joins the race
| December 14, 2023  | Williams joins the race
| November 2, 2023  | Booker joins the race
Meredith College[36] | November 1–5, 2023  | 755 (RV)  | ± 3.5%  | –  | –  | 11%  | 38% | –  | 7%[d] | 44%
Meredith College[37] | September 16–19, 2023  | 308 (RV)  | ± 3.5%  | –  | –  | 11%  | 33% | –  | 10%[e] | 46%

Hypothetical polling

Poll source  | Date(s)
administered  | Sample
size[a] | Margin
of error  | Mandy
Cohen  | Jeff
Jackson  | Josh
Stein  | Other  | Undecided

|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|

Public Policy Polling (D)[38][A] | October 7–8, 2022  | 606 (RV)  | ± 4.0%  | 18%  | 12%  | 22% | 9%[f] | 39%

### Results

[edit]

Results by county:

Stein

*   Stein—80–90%

*   Stein—70–80%

*   Stein—60–70%

*   Stein—50–60%

*   Stein—40–50%

*   Stein—30–40%

Morgan

*   Morgan—50–60%

*   Morgan—40–50%

Democratic primary results[39] Party  | Candidate  | Votes  | %

|
|
|

| Democratic | Josh Stein | 479,026  | 69.60%
| Democratic | Michael R. Morgan | 98,627  | 14.33%
| Democratic | Chrelle Booker  | 46,045  | 6.69%
| Democratic | Marcus Williams  | 39,257  | 5.70%
| Democratic | Gary Foxx  | 25,283  | 3.67%
Total votes | 688,238  | 100.0%

## Republican primary

[edit]

### Candidates

[edit]

#### Nominee

[edit]

* Mark Robinson, Lieutenant Governor of North Carolina (2021–2025)[40]

#### Eliminated in primary

[edit]

* Dale Folwell, North Carolina State Treasurer (2017–2025)[41]
* Bill Graham, attorney and candidate for governor in 2008[42]

#### Withdrawn

[edit]

* Jesse Thomas, retired healthcare executive (ran for Secretary of State)[43]
* Mark Walker, former U.S. Representative from North Carolina's 6th congressional district (2015–2021) and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2022 (ran for U.S. House)[44]
* Andy Wells, former state senator and candidate for lieutenant governor in 2020[45]

#### Declined

[edit]

* Thom Tillis, U.S. Senator from North Carolina (2015–present)[14][46] (endorsed Graham)[47]

### Endorsements

[edit]

Dale Folwell

Council of State officials

* James G. Martin, former Governor of North Carolina (1985–1993)[48]

Newspapers

* The Charlotte Observer[30] (Republican primary only)

Bill Graham

U.S. senators

* Thom Tillis, U.S. senator from North Carolina (2015–present)[47]

Mark Robinson

Executive branch officials

* Donald Trump, President of the United States (2017–2021)[49]

U.S. senators

* Ted Budd, U.S. senator from North Carolina (2023–present)[50]

U.S. representatives

* Dan Bishop, U.S. representative from North Carolina's 8th congressional district (2019–2025), Republican nominee for Attorney General in 2024[40]

State senators

* Phil Berger, President pro tempore of the North Carolina Senate (2011–present) from the 26th district (2001–present)[51]
* Danny Britt, state senator from the 24th district (2017–present)[40]

State representatives

* Neal Jackson, state representative from the 78th district (2023–present)[51]
* Charlie Miller, state representative from the 19th district (2021–present)[40]

Organizations

* National Rifle Association Political Victory Fund[52]
* Conservative Political Action Committee[53]

Newspapers

* Rhino Times[54]

### Debate

[edit]

2024 North Carolina gubernatorial election Republican primary debate  No. | Date  | Host  | Moderator  | Link  | Republican | Republican | Republican

|
|
|
|
|
|
|

Key:
P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Not invited   I  Invited  W  Withdrawn |  |  |
Dale Folwell | Mark Walker | Jesse Thomas
1  | September 12, 2023  | Wake County
Republican Party  | Bill LuMaye  | YouTube | P | P | P

### Polling

[edit]

Poll source  | Date(s)
administered  | Sample
size[a] | Margin
of error  | Dale
Folwell  | Bill
Graham  | Mark
Robinson  | Jesse
Thomas  | Mark
Walker  | Andy
Wells  | Other  | Undecided

|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|

High Point University[31] | February 16–23, 2024  | 394 (LV)  | ± 6.0%  | 17%  | 33%  | 51% | 9%  | –  | –  | –  | –
Capen Analytics (R)[55] | February 21, 2024  | 12,580 (LV)  | ± 5.0%  | 29%  | 18%  | 53% | –  | –  | –  | –  | –
Change Research (D)[32][A] | February 15–19, 2024  | 1,622 (LV)  | ± 2.6%  | 9%  | 9%  | 57% | –  | –  | –  | 3%[g] | 22%
East Carolina University[33] | February 9–12, 2024  | 1,207 (RV)  | ± 3.3%  | 7%  | 13%  | 53% | –  | –  | –  | –  | 27%
Meredith College[34] | January 26–31, 2024  | 760 (RV)  | ± 3.5%  | 4%  | 9%  | 34% | –  | –  | –  | 10%[e] | 42%
Public Policy Polling (D)[56] | January 5–6, 2024  | 619 (LV)  | ± 3.9%  | 7%  | 15%  | 55% | –  | –  | –  | –  | 24%
| December 16, 2023  | Wells withdraws from the race
East Carolina University[57] | November 29 – December 1, 2023  | 445 (LV)  | ± 5.4%  | 7%  | 8%  | 34% | –  | –  | 3%  | –  | 49%
| November 2, 2023  | Thomas withdraws from the race
Meredith College[36] | November 1–5, 2023  | 755 (RV)  | ± 3.5%  | 3%  | 5%  | 41% | 2%  | –  | 1%  | 6%[h] | 42%
| October 25, 2023  | Walker withdraws from the race
| October 18, 2023  | Graham joins the race
Cygnal (R)[58][B] | October 8–9, 2023  | 600 (LV)  | ± 3.9%  | 5%  | –  | 49% | 1%  | 4%  | 1%  | –  | 41%
Meredith College[37] | September 16–19, 2023  | 350 (RV)  | ± 3.5%  | 3%  | –  | 34% | 3%  | 7%  | 3%  | 6%[h] | 44%

Hypothetical polling

Poll source  | Date(s)
administered  | Sample
size[a] | Margin
of error  | Dale
Folwell  | Pat
McCrory  | Mark
Robinson  | Thom
Tillis  | Steve
Troxler  | Mark
Walker  | Other  | Undecided

|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|

Opinion Diagnostics (R)[59] | June 5–7, 2023  | 902 (LV)  | ± 3.3%  | 4%  | –  | 44% | –  | –  | 7%  | 7%[d] | 38%
SurveyUSA[60][B] | April 25–29, 2023  | 707 (LV)  | ± 4.4%  | 4%  | –  | 43% | –  | 9%  | 8%  | –  | 37%
Differentiators (R)[61] | December 12, 2022  | 500 (LV)  | ± 4.0%  | 6%  | –  | 60% | –  | –  | –  | –  | 34%
–  | 21%  | 60% | –  | –  | –  | –  | 19%
–  | –  | 58% | –  | –  | 8%  | –  | 34%
Public Policy Polling (D)[38][A] | October 7–8, 2022  | 606 (RV)  | ± 4.0%  | 4%  | –  | 54% | 20%  | –  | –  | 5%[i] | 17%

### Results

[edit]

Results by county:

Robinson

*   Robinson—80–90%

*   Robinson—70–80%

*   Robinson—60–70%

*   Robinson—50–60%

*   Robinson—40–50%

Republican primary results[39] Party  | Candidate  | Votes  | %

|
|
|

| Republican | Mark Robinson | 666,504  | 64.83%
| Republican | Dale Folwell | 196,955  | 19.16%
| Republican | Bill Graham  | 164,572  | 16.01%
Total votes | 1,028,031  | 100.0%

## Other candidates

[edit]

### Libertarian Party

[edit]

#### Nominee

[edit]

* Mike Ross, treasurer of the North Carolina Libertarian Party[62]

#### Eliminated in primary

[edit]

* Shannon Bray, cybersecurity professional and nominee for U.S. Senate in 2020 and 2022[63]

#### Results

[edit]

Results by county:

Ross

*   Ross—100%

*   Ross—80–90%

*   Ross—70–80%

*   Ross—60–70%

*   Ross—50–60%

Bray

*   Bray—100%

*   Bray—70–80%

*   Bray—60–70%

*   Bray—50–60%

Tie

*   Tie—50%

Libertarian primary results[39] Party  | Candidate  | Votes  | %

|
|
|

| Libertarian | Mike Ross  | 2,910  | 59.45%
| Libertarian | Shannon Bray  | 1,985  | 40.55%
Total votes | 4,895  | 100.0%

### Green Party

[edit]

#### Nominee

[edit]

* Wayne Turner, co-chair of the North Carolina Green Party[11]

### Constitution Party

[edit]

#### Nominee

[edit]

* Vinny Smith, treasurer of the North Carolina Constitution Party[64]

## General election

[edit]

### Campaign

[edit]

Stein and Robinson faced each other in the general election. With the backing of former President Donald Trump, Robinson received heavy criticism from Democrats over statements on abortion rights, LGBTQ rights, and education. Robinson had also made a series of controversial statements before and after taking public office, including engaging in Holocaust denial.[65] Robinson also received criticism from some Republicans considered to be moderate, including Senator Thom Tillis and primary opponent Dale Folwell, both of whom declined to endorse Robinson.[66] On September 17, Stein refused any potential debates with Robinson following a challenge from him.[67]

#### Calls for Robinson to drop out

[edit]

On September 19, CNN released a story detailing racist, antisemitic, misogynistic, and other "disturbing comments" made by an account suspected to be Robinson on a pornography website between 2008 and 2012.[68][69] Hours later, CNN specified multiple comments made on pornography website message boards, including Robinson calling himself a "black NAZI" and expressing support for reinstating slavery.[70] The Carolina Journal had reported that earlier in the week the Trump–Vance campaign privately told Robinson that he was not welcome at rallies for Donald Trump or JD Vance.[71] This occurred on the same day as the filing deadline for North Carolina's 2024 election ballots. Before the story was released, Robinson released a video dismissing the report as "tabloid lies" and saying that he would not drop out of the race.[72] His campaign canceled events in Henderson and Norlina planned for the same day. Republican state senate nominee Scott Lassiter was the first on the ballot with Robinson to call for him to "step aside".[69] Republican North Carolina senator Ted Budd said, "the allegations are concerning but we don't have any facts".[73] That afternoon, Politico reported that an email address belonging to Robinson was registered on Ashley Madison, a website designed for people seeking affairs while married.[74] The deadline for Robinson to withdraw from the race or be removed from the ballot passed on the morning of September 20.[75]

Following CNN's September report, most forecasters moved the race to 'Likely Democratic', while Elections Daily moved the race to Safe Democratic.[76][9][77][78]

### Predictions

[edit]

Source  | Ranking  | As of

|
|

The Cook Political Report[77] | Likely D  | September 20, 2024
Inside Elections[79] | Likely D  | September 26, 2024
Sabato's Crystal Ball[80] | Likely D  | September 19, 2024
RCP[81] | Likely D  | September 28, 2024
Fox News[82] | Likely D  | September 25, 2024
Elections Daily[83] | Safe D  | September 19, 2024
CNalysis[78] | Solid D  | October 15, 2024
Split Ticket[84] | Safe D  | October 19, 2024

### Post-primary endorsements

[edit]

Josh Stein (D)

U.S. executive branch officials

* Kamala Harris, Vice President of the United States (2021–2025)[85]

U.S. representatives

* Gabby Giffords, U.S. representative from Arizona's 8th congressional district (2007–2012)[86]

Statewide officials

* Andy Beshear, Governor of Kentucky (2019–present)[87]
* Wes Moore, Governor of Maryland (2023–present)[88]
* Josh Shapiro, Governor of Pennsylvania (2023–present)[89]

State senators

* Jim Davis, former state senator from the 50th district (2011–2021) (Republican)[90]
* Richard Stevens, former state senator from the 17th district (2007–2012) (Republican)[90]

State representatives

* Chuck McGrady, former state representative from the 117th district (2011–2020) (Republican)[90]
* Charles Neely, former state representative from the 61st district (1995–1999) (Republican)[90]
* Garland Pierce, state representative from the 48th district (2005–present)[91]

Organizations

* Giffords[86]
* Human Rights Campaign[92]
* Jewish Democratic Council of America[93]

Individuals

* Martin Luther King III, activist[94]

Mark Robinson (R)

Statewide officials

* ~~Brian Kemp, Governor of Georgia (2019–present)~~[95]
* ~~Bill Lee, Governor of Tennessee (2019–present)~~[96]
* ~~Henry McMaster, Governor of South Carolina (2017–present)~~[97]
* ~~Glenn Youngkin, Governor of Virginia (2022–present)~~[98]

Organizations

* Republicans for National Renewal[99]
* ~~Republican Governors Association~~ [100]

Declined to endorse

Statewide officials

* Dale Folwell, North Carolina State Treasurer (2017–2025) (Republican)[101]
* Pat McCrory, former Governor of North Carolina (2013–2017) (Republican)[102]

U.S. senators

* Thom Tillis, U.S. Senator from North Carolina (2015–present) (Republican)[102]

### Fundraising

[edit]

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2024

Candidate  | Raised  | Spent  | Cash on hand
Josh Stein (D)  | $84,064,178  | $82,450,647  | $1,901,820
Mark Robinson (R)  | $20,012,299  | $19,799,956  | $250,001
Source: North Carolina State Board of Elections[103]

### Polling

[edit]

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation  | Dates
administered  | Dates
updated  | Josh
Stein (D)  | Mark
Robinson (R)  | Undecided
[j] | Margin

|
|
|
|
|
|

RealClearPolitics[104] | October 16 – November 4, 2024  | November 4, 2024  | 53.1% | 38.8%  | 8.1%  | Stein +14.3%
270ToWin[105] | October 24 – November 4, 2024  | November 4, 2024  | 53.1% | 38.0%  | 8.9%  | Stein +15.1%
The Hill/DDHQ[106] | through November 4, 2024  | November 4, 2024  | 53.4% | 38.8%  | 7.8%  | Stein +14.6%
Average | 53.2% | 38.5%  | 8.2%  | Stein +14.7%
Poll source  | Date(s)
administered  | Sample
size[a] | Margin
of error  | Josh
Stein (D)  | Mark
Robinson (R)  | Other  | Undecided

|
|
|
|
|
|
|

AtlasIntel[107] | November 3–4, 2024  | 1,219 (LV)  | ± 3.0%  | 54% | 38%  | 4%[k] | 4%
AtlasIntel[108] | November 1–2, 2024  | 1,310 (LV)  | ± 3.0%  | 52% | 41%  | 4%[k] | 3%
Emerson College[109][C] | October 30 – November 2, 2024  | 860 (LV)  | ± 3.3%  | 52% | 40%  | 4%  | 4%
New York Times/Siena College[110] | October 28 – November 2, 2024  | 1,010 (LV)  | ± 3.6%  | 56% | 38%  | –  | 5%
1,010 (RV)  | ± 3.6%  | 56% | 36%  | –  | 7%
Morning Consult[111] | October 23 – November 1, 2024  | 1,056 (LV)  | ± 3.0%  | 52% | 36%  | –  | 12%
ActiVote[112] | October 17–31, 2024  | 400 (LV)  | ± 4.9%  | 58% | 42%  | –  | –
AtlasIntel[113] | October 27–30, 2024  | 1,373 (LV)  | ± 3.0%  | 52% | 42%  | 4%[k] | 2%
AtlasIntel[114] | October 25–29, 2024  | 1,665 (LV)  | ± 3.0%  | 54% | 39%  | 4%[k] | 4%
East Carolina University[115] | October 24–29, 2024  | 1,250 (LV)  | ± 3.0%  | 55% | 40%  | 5%[l] | –
Fox News[116] | October 24–28, 2024  | 872 (LV)  | ± 3.0%  | 57% | 41%  | –  | 2%
1,113 (RV)  | ± 3.0%  | 59% | 38%  | 1%  | 2%
CNN/SSRS[117] | October 23–28, 2024  | 750 (LV)  | ± 4.5%  | 53% | 37%  | 10%[m] | 1%
SurveyUSA[118][D] | October 23–26, 2024  | 853 (LV)  | ± 4.1%  | 52% | 37%  | 1%  | 10%
UMass Lowell/YouGov[119] | October 16–23, 2024  | 650 (LV)  | ± 4.2%  | 48% | 36%  | 3%[n] | 12%
Emerson College[120] | October 21–22, 2024  | 950 (LV)  | ± 3.1%  | 51% | 39%  | 4%[c] | 6%
Marist College[121] | October 17–22, 2024  | 1,226 (LV)  | ± 3.6%  | 55% | 41%  | 3%[o] | 2%
1,410 (RV)  | ± 3.3%  | 55% | 40%  | 3%[o] | 2%
SoCal Strategies (R)[122][E] | October 20–21, 2024  | 702 (LV)  | ± 3.7%  | 55% | 40%  | –  | 5%
SurveyUSA[123][F] | October 17–20, 2024  | 1,164 (RV)  | ± 3.7%  | 50% | 34%  | –  | 15%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[124][G] | October 16–18, 2024  | 843 (LV)  | ± 3.1%  | 45% | 37%  | 6%[p] | 10%
AtlasIntel[125] | October 12–17, 2024  | 1,674 (LV)  | ± 2.0%  | 54% | 39%  | 3%[q] | 4%
Elon University/YouGov[126] | October 10–17, 2024  | 800 (RV)  | ± 4.0%  | 52% | 31%  | 7%[r] | 10%
Morning Consult[111] | October 6–15, 2024  | 1,072 (LV)  | ± 3.0%  | 54% | 32%  | 4%  | 10%
Cygnal (R)[127][H] | October 12–14, 2024  | 600 (LV)  | ± 4.0%  | 49% | 36%  | 4%[s] | 11%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[128][G] | October 12–14, 2024  | 620 (LV)  | ± 3.6%  | 45% | 38%  | 8%[t] | 9%
Quinnipiac University[129] | October 10–14, 2024  | 1,031 (LV)  | ± 3.1%  | 54% | 42%  | 2%[u] | 2%
52% | 40%  | 5%[v] | 2%
Emerson College[130][I] | October 5–8, 2024  | 1,000 (LV)  | ± 3.0%  | 50% | 34%  | 5%[i] | 11%
ActiVote[131] | September 5 – October 5, 2024  | 400 (LV)  | ± 4.9%  | 56.5% | 43.5%  | –  | –
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[132][G] | September 27 – October 2, 2024  | 753 (LV)  | ± 3.3%  | 46% | 36%  | 4%[w] | 14%
Quinnipiac University[133] | September 25–29, 2024  | 953 (LV)  | ± 3.2%  | 53% | 41%  | 2%[x] | 4%
52% | 39%  | 6%[y] | 3%
The Washington Post[134] | September 25–29, 2024  | 1,001 (LV)  | ± 3.5%  | 54% | 38%  | 2%[z] | 6%
1,001 (RV)  | ± 3.5%  | 53% | 38%  | 2%[z] | 7%
High Point University[135] | September 20–29, 2024  | 589 (LV)  | ± 4.0%  | 51% | 34%  | 3%  | 11%
814 (RV)  | ± 3.4%  | 51% | 32%  | 3%  | 14%
Emerson College[136][J] | September 27–28, 2024  | 850 (LV)  | ± 3.3%  | 52% | 33%  | 4%[c] | 12%
RMG Research[137][K] | September 25–27, 2024  | 780 (LV)  | ± 3.5%  | 53%[aa] | 38%  | 1%[ab] | 8%
50% | 36%  | 5%[ac] | 9%
East Carolina University[138] | September 23–26, 2024  | 1,005 (LV)  | ± 3.0%  | 50% | 33%  | 5%[ad] | 13%
AtlasIntel[139] | September 20–25, 2024  | 1,173 (LV)  | ± 3.0%  | 54% | 38%  | 3%[ae] | 5%
CNN/SSRS[140] | September 20–25, 2024  | 931 (LV)  | ± 3.9%  | 53% | 36%  | 11%[af] | –
BSG (R)/Global Strategy Group (D)[141][L] | September 19–25, 2024  | 411 (LV)  | –  | 53% | 33%  | 7%[ag] | 8%
59% | 35%  | –  | 6%
Fox News[142] | September 20–24, 2024  | 787 (LV)  | ± 3.5%  | 56% | 41%  | 1%[ah] | 3%
991 (RV)  | ± 3.0%  | 56% | 40%  | 2%[ai] | 3%
Marist College[143] | September 19–24, 2024  | 1,507 (RV)  | ± 3.5%  | 54% | 42%  | 1%[aj] | 3%
1,348 (LV)  | ± 3.7%  | 54% | 43%  | 1%[aj] | 2%
September 19, 2024  | CNN Reports that Mark Robinson made disturbing comments on an online forum years ago.
New York Times/Siena College[144] | September 17–21, 2024  | 682 (LV)  | ± 4.2%  | 47% | 37%  | –  | 16%
682 (RV)  | ± 4.2%  | 47% | 36%  | –  | 17%
Meredith College[145] | September 18–20, 2024  | 802 (LV)  | ± 3.5%  | 50% | 40%  | 5%[ak] | 9%
Victory Insights (R)[146] | September 16–18, 2024  | 600 (LV)  | ± 4.0%  | 47% | 42%  | –  | 11%
Emerson College[147][I] | September 15–18, 2024  | 1,000 (RV)  | ± 3.0%  | 48% | 40%  | 2%[al] | 10%
Morning Consult[111] | September 11–18, 2024  | 1,314 (LV)  | ± 2.7%  | 50% | 37%  | 1%  | 12%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[148][M] | September 11–17, 2024  | 600 (LV)  | ± 4.0%  | 52% | 42%  | –  | 6%
Cygnal (R)[149][H] | September 15–16, 2024  | 600 (LV)  | ± 4.0%  | 46% | 39%  | 2%[am] | 13%
Elon University/YouGov[150] | September 4–13, 2024  | 800 (RV)  | ± 3.74%  | 49% | 35%  | 3%  | 9%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[151][G] | September 6–9, 2024  | 495 (LV)  | ± 3.8%  | 42% | 33%  | 3%[an] | 23%
Quinnipiac University[152] | September 4–8, 2024  | 940 (LV)  | ± 3.2%  | 54% | 42%  | 1%[ao] | 4%
51% | 41%  | 5%[ap] | 4%
Morning Consult[111] | August 30 – September 8, 2024  | 1,369 (LV)  | ± 3.0%  | 50% | 37%  | 2%[al] | 11%
SurveyUSA[153][D] | September 4–7, 2024  | 676 (LV)  | ± 4.9%  | 51% | 37%  | –  | 12%
Florida Atlantic University/
Mainstreet Research[154] | September 5–6, 2024  | 692 (RV)  | ± 3.7%  | 48% | 38%  | –  | 14%
619 (LV)  | ± 3.7%  | 50% | 39%  | –  | 11%
East Carolina University[155] | August 26–28, 2024  | 920 (LV)  | ± 3.0%  | 47% | 41%  | 1%[aq] | 11%
Emerson College[156][I] | August 25–28, 2024  | 775 (LV)  | ± 3.5%  | 47% | 41%  | 3%[ar] | 10%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[157][G] | August 25–28, 2024  | 812 (LV)  | ± 3.18%  | 44% | 40%  | 4%[as] | 13%
SoCal Strategies (R)[158][E] | August 26–27, 2024  | 612 (LV)  | –  | 47% | 37%  | –  | 16%
Fox News[159] | August 23–26, 2024  | 1,026 (RV)  | ± 3.0%  | 54% | 43%  | 2%[ai] | 1%
ActiVote[160] | July 26 – August 26, 2024  | 400 (LV)  | ± 4.9%  | 54% | 46%  | –  | –
SurveyUSA[161][F] | August 19–21, 2024  | 1,053 (RV)  | ± 4.0%  | 48% | 34%  | –  | 18%
941 (LV)  | ± 4.0%  | 50% | 36%  | –  | 14%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[162][G] | August 12–15, 2024  | 601 (LV)  | ± 3.7%  | 45% | 39%  | 3%[at] | 13%
The New York Times/Siena College[163] | August 9–14, 2024  | 655 (RV)  | ± 4.2%  | 48% | 38%  | –  | 14%
655 (LV)  | ± 4.2%  | 49% | 39%  | –  | 12%
YouGov Blue (D)[164][A] | August 5–9, 2024  | 802 (RV)  | ± 3.9%  | 46% | 36%  | 6%[au] | 13%
Cygnal (R)[165] | August 4–5, 2024  | 600 (LV)  | ± 4.0%  | 43% | 38%  | 4%[av] | 15%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[166] | July 31 – August 3, 2024  | 714 (LV)  | –  | 43% | 38%  | 3%[aw] | 16%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[167] | July 22–24, 2024  | 586 (LV)  | –  | 38% | 34%  | 5%[ax] | 23%
July 21, 2024  | Joe Biden withdraws from the presidential race
Public Policy Polling (D)[168][N] | July 19–20, 2024  | 573 (RV)  | –  | 48% | 42%  | –  | 10%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[169][G] | July 16–18, 2024  | 461 (LV)  | ± 4.0%  | 37% | 36%  | 4%[ay] | 23%
Expedition Strategies[170][O] | June 24 – July 8, 2024  | 284 (LV)  | –  | 48% | 41%  | –  | 11%
Spry Strategies (R)[171] | June 7–11, 2024  | 600 (LV)  | ± 4.0%  | 39%  | 43% | –  | 18%
East Carolina University[172] | May 31 – June 3, 2024  | 1,332 (LV)  | ± 3.1%  | 44% | 43%  | –  | 13%
North Star Opinion Research (R)[173][P] | May 29 – June 2, 2024  | 600 (LV)  | ± 4.0%  | 42%  | 44% | –  | 14%
Change Research (D)[174][A] | May 13–18, 2024  | 835 (LV)  | ± 3.8%  | 44% | 43%  | –  | 13%
High Point University[175] | May 2–9, 2024  | 804 (RV)  | ± 3.2%  | 34%  | 39% | –  | 27%
1,002 (A)  | ± 3.2%  | 30%  | 35% | –  | 35%
Cygnal (R)[176][H] | May 4–5, 2024  | 600 (LV)  | ± 4.0%  | 39% | 39% | 5%[az] | 17%
Emerson College[177] | April 25–29, 2024  | 1,000 (RV)  | ± 3.0%  | 41%  | 42% | 5%[i] | 12%
Meeting Street Insights (R)[178][Q] | April 25–28, 2024  | 500 (RV)  | ± 4.4%  | 44% | 37%  | 6%[ba] | 13%
Meredith College[179] | April 11–17, 2024  | 711 (LV)  | ± 3.5%  | 45% | 36%  | –  | 20%
Cygnal (R)[180][H] | April 7–8, 2024  | 600 (LV)  | ± 4.0%  | 38%  | 40% | –  | 18%
Quinnipiac University[181] | April 4–8, 2024  | 1,401 (RV)  | ± 2.6%  | 52% | 44%  | 2%[x] | 3%
48% | 41%  | 7%[bb] | 3%
High Point University[182] | March 22–30, 2024  | 829 (RV)  | ± 3.4%  | 37% | 34%  | –  | 29%
Marist College[183] | March 11–14, 2024  | 1,197 (RV)  | ± 3.6%  | 49% | 47%  | –  | 4%
SurveyUSA[184][D] | March 3–9, 2024  | 598 (LV)  | ± 4.9%  | 44% | 42%  | –  | 14%
Cygnal (R)[185][B] | March 6–7, 2024  | 600 (LV)  | ± 4.0%  | 39%  | 44% | –  | 17%
Change Research (D)[32][A] | February 15–19, 2024  | 1,622 (LV)  | ± 2.6%  | 42%  | 43% | –  | 15%
East Carolina University[33] | February 9–12, 2024  | 1,207 (RV)  | ± 3.3%  | 41% | 41% | –  | 14%
Meredith College[34] | January 26–31, 2024  | 760 (RV)  | ± 3.5%  | 39% | 35%  | –  | 17%
East Carolina University[57] | November 29 – December 1, 2023  | 915 (RV)  | ± 3.8%  | 40%  | 44% | –  | 16%
Meredith College[36] | November 1–5, 2023  | 755 (RV)  | ± 3.5%  | 38% | 36%  | –  | 19%
Change Research (D)[186][A] | September 1–5, 2023  | 914 (LV)  | ± 3.6%  | 38%  | 42% | –  | 20%
Opinion Diagnostics (R)[59] | June 5–7, 2023  | 902 (LV)  | ± 3.3%  | 38%  | 41% | –  | 21%
Cygnal (R)[187][B] | May 12–23, 2023  | 610 (LV)  | ± 4.0%  | 41%  | 42% | –  | 18%
Change Research (D)[188][A] | May 5–8, 2023  | 802 (LV)  | ± 3.9%  | 43%  | 46% | 1%[ab] | 10%
Public Policy Polling (D)[189][A] | March 2–3, 2023  | 704 (RV)  | ± 3.7%  | 42%  | 44% | –  | 14%
Differentiator Data (R)[190][R] | January 9–12, 2023  | 500 (LV)  | ± 4.5%  | 42% | 42% | –  | 16%
Public Policy Polling (D)[38][A] | October 7–8, 2022  | 606 (RV)  | ± 4.0%  | 44% | 42%  | –  | 14%
Meeting Street Insights (R)[191][S] | May 12–16, 2022  | 500 (LV)  | ± 4.4%  | 42%  | 48% | –  | 10%

Hypothetical polling

Josh Stein vs. Dale Folwell

Poll source  | Date(s)
administered  | Sample
size[a] | Margin
of error  | Josh
Stein (D)  | Dale
Folwell (R)  | Undecided

|
|
|
|
|
|

East Carolina University[33] | February 9–12, 2024  | 1,207 (RV)  | ± 3.3%  | 42% | 31%  | 27%
East Carolina University[57] | November 29 – December 1, 2023  | 915 (RV)  | ± 3.8%  | 40% | 38%  | 22%
Cygnal (R)[187][B] | May 12–23, 2023  | 610 (LV)  | ± 4.0%  | 39% | 34%  | 27%

Josh Stein vs. Bill Graham

Poll source  | Date(s)
administered  | Sample
size[a] | Margin
of error  | Josh
Stein (D)  | Bill
Graham (R)  | Undecided

|
|
|
|
|
|

East Carolina University[33] | February 9–12, 2024  | 1,207 (RV)  | ± 3.3%  | 40% | 35%  | 25%
East Carolina University[57] | November 29 – December 1, 2023  | 915 (RV)  | ± 3.8%  | 42% | 39%  | 19%

Josh Stein vs. Mark Walker

Poll source  | Date(s)
administered  | Sample
size[a] | Margin
of error  | Josh
Stein (D)  | Mark
Walker (R)  | Undecided

|
|
|
|
|
|

Cygnal (R)[187][B] | May 12–23, 2023  | 610 (LV)  | ± 4.0%  | 39% | 37%  | 24%

Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican

Poll source  | Date(s)
administered  | Sample
size[a] | Margin
of error  | Generic
Democrat  | Generic
Republican  | Other  | Undecided

|
|
|
|
|
|
|

High Point University[31] | February 16–23, 2024  | 753 (LV)  | ± 3.9%  | 46% | 45%  | 2%[bc] | 7%

### Results

[edit]

Swing by county

Legend

*   Democratic—+15-20%

*   Democratic—+10-15%

*   Democratic—+5-10%

*   Democratic—+<5%

*   Republican—+<5%

*   Republican—+5-10%

Trend by county

Legend

*   Democratic—+15-20%

*   Democratic—+10-15%

*   Democratic—+5-10%

*   Democratic—+<5%

*   Republican—+<5%

*   Republican—+5-10%

*   Republican—+10-15%

2024 North Carolina gubernatorial election[192] Party  | Candidate  | Votes  | %  | ±%

|
|
|
|

| Democratic | Josh Stein | 3,069,496  | 54.90%  | +3.38%
| Republican | Mark Robinson | 2,241,309  | 40.08%  | –6.93%
| Libertarian | Mike Ross  | 176,392  | 3.15%  | +2.05%
| Constitution | Vinny Smith  | 54,738  | 0.98%  | +0.60%
| Green | Wayne Turner  | 49,612  | 0.89%  | N/A
Total votes  | 5,591,547  | 100.0%  |
| Democratic hold

#### By congressional district

[edit]

Stein won 12 of 14 congressional districts, including eight that elected Republican representatives, and nine that voted for Donald Trump.[193]

District  | Stein  | Robinson  | Representative  | Presidential Result

|
|
|
|

1st | 52.8% | 43.9%  | Don Davis | Trump
2nd | 73.5% | 21.2%  | Deborah Ross | Harris
3rd | 45.7%  | 49.1% | Greg Murphy | Trump
4th | 77.6% | 18.2%  | Valerie Foushee | Harris
5th | 48.2% | 47%  | Virginia Foxx | Trump
6th | 48.6% | 45.6%  | Addison McDowell | Trump
7th | 51.1% | 43.2%  | David Rouzer | Trump
8th | 46.7%  | 48.2% | Mark Harris | Trump
9th | 48.9% | 45.9%  | Richard Hudson | Trump
10th | 48.4% | 46.3%  | Pat Harrigan | Trump
11th | 51.5% | 44.0%  | Chuck Edwards | Trump
12th | 77.3% | 17.8%  | Alma Adams | Harris
13th | 49.2% | 45.2%  | Brad Knott | Trump
14th | 49.2% | 45.4%  | Tim Moore | Trump

#### Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

[edit]

* Alamance (largest city: Burlington)
* Brunswick (largest city: Leland)
* Cabarrus (largest city: Concord)
* Franklin (largest city: Louisburg)
* Henderson (largest city: Hendersonville)
* Jackson (largest city: Cullowhee)
* Lee (largest city: Sanford)
* Transylvania (largest city: Brevard)

### Voter demographics

[edit]

2024 North Carolina gubernatorial election (CNN)[194] Demographic subgroup  | Stein  | Robinson  | % of
total vote

|
|
|

Ideology
Liberals | 96  | 2  | 21
Moderates | 71  | 23  | 40
Conservatives | 15  | 80  | 39
Party
Democrats | 96  | 2  | 32
Republicans | 13  | 83  | 34
Independents | 58  | 35  | 35
Gender
Men  | 48  | 47  | 48
Women  | 61  | 34  | 52
Age
18–24 years old  | 59  | 30  | 9
25–29 years old  | 63  | 32  | 5
30–39 years old  | 59  | 38  | 15
40–49 years old  | 58  | 36  | 16
50–64 years old  | 49  | 47  | 29
65 and older  | 54  | 42  | 25
Race/ethnicity
White | 46  | 49  | 69
Black | 85  | 8  | 19
Latino | 53  | 39  | 8
Asian | N/A  | N/A  | 1
Other  | N/A  | N/A  | 2
Gender by race
White men  | 42  | 55  | 34
White women  | 51  | 44  | 36
Black men  | 75  | 13  | 8
Black women  | 93  | 4  | 11
Latino men  | 39  | 51  | 4
Latino women  | 67  | 26  | 4
Other racial/ethnic groups  | 55  | 41  | 4
Education
Never attended college | 42  | 50  | 16
Some college education  | 54  | 42  | 25
Associate degree | 43  | 52  | 17
Bachelor's degree | 64  | 33  | 25
Postgraduate | 69  | 26  | 16
Education by race
White college graduates  | 62  | 34  | 31
White no college degree  | 34  | 62  | 38
Non-white college graduates  | 76  | 21  | 10
Non-white no college degree  | 72  | 19  | 20
Education by gender/race
White women with college degrees  | 67  | 28  | 16
White women without college degrees  | 38  | 58  | 20
White men with college degrees  | 57  | 40  | 15
White men without college degrees  | 29  | 67  | 19
Non-white  | 74  | 20  | 31
Area type
Urban  | 74  | 20  | 28
Suburban  | 48  | 47  | 53
Rural  | 45  | 49  | 20

## See also

[edit]

* 2024 North Carolina elections

## Notes

[edit]

1. ^ a b c d e f g h i Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear
2. ^ "Would not vote" with 4%
3. ^ a b c "Someone else" with 4%
4. ^ a b "Someone else" with 7%
5. ^ a b "Someone else" with 10%
6. ^ "Someone else" with 9%
7. ^ "Would not vote" with 3%
8. ^ a b "Someone else" with 6%
9. ^ a b c "Someone else" with 5%
10. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
11. ^ a b c d "Other" with 2%; "Blank/Null/Won't vote" with 2%
12. ^ Ross (L) with 3%
13. ^ "Neither" with 6%; "Other" with 3%
14. ^ Ross (L) with 2%; Smith (C) with 1%
15. ^ a b "Another party's candidate" with 3%
16. ^ "Won't vote if these are the candidates" with 3%; Ross (L) with 2%; "Other" with 1%
17. ^ "Other" with 2%; "Blank/Null/Won't vote" with 1%
18. ^ "Other" with 4%; "None" with 3%
19. ^ Ross (L) with 3%; Turner (G) with 1%; Smith (C) with <1%
20. ^ "Won't vote if these are the candidates" with 4%; Ross (L) with 2%; Turner (G) with 1%; "Other" with 1%
21. ^ "Refused" with 2%
22. ^ Ross (L) with 2%; Turner (G) and Smith (C) with 1%; "Refused" with 1%
23. ^ Ross (L) with 2%; Turner (G) with 1%; "Other" with 1%
24. ^ a b "Wouldn't Vote" and "Refused" with 1%
25. ^ Ross (L) with 3%, Smith (C), "Wouldn't Vote", and "Refused" with 1%
26. ^ a b "Wouldn't vote" with 2%
27. ^ With voters who lean towards a given candidate
28. ^ a b "Would not vote" with 1%
29. ^ "Some other candidate" with 4%; "Would not vote" with 1%
30. ^ Ross (L) with 3%; Smith (C), "Other" with 1%
31. ^ "Blank/Null/Won't vote" with 2%; "Other" with 1%
32. ^ "Neither" with 8%; "Other" with 3%
33. ^ "Someone else" with 3%; "Would not vote" with 4%
34. ^ "Wouldn't vote" with 1%
35. ^ a b "Other" with 1% and "Wouldn't vote" with 1%
36. ^ a b "Another party's candidate" with 1%
37. ^ Ross (L) with 2%; Turner (G), Smith (C), and "Someone else" with 1%
38. ^ a b "Someone else" with 2%
39. ^ Ross (L) with 2%
40. ^ Ross (L) with 1%; "Other" with 2%
41. ^ "Refused" with 1%
42. ^ Ross (L) with 2%; Turner (G) with 1%; Smith (C) with 1%; "Refused" with 1%
43. ^ Ross (L) with 1%; Turner (G), Smith (C), "Write-in candidate" each with <1%
44. ^ "Someone else" with 3%
45. ^ Ross (L) with 2%; Turner (G) with 1%; "Others" with 1%
46. ^ Ross (L) with 2%; "Other" with 1%
47. ^ Ross (L) with 1%; Turner (G) with 1%; "Undecided Third Party" with 4%
48. ^ Ross (L) with 3%; Turner (G) with 1%
49. ^ Ross (L) with 1%; Turner (G) with 1%; "Other" with 1%
50. ^ Ross (L) with 3%; Turner (G) with 1%; "Other" with 1%
51. ^ Ross (L) with 1%; Turner (G) with 1%; "Other" with 2%
52. ^ Ross (L) with 4%; Turner (G) with 1%
53. ^ Ross (L) with 4%; Turner (G) with 2%
54. ^ Ross (L) with 4%; Turner (G) with 2%; "Wouldn't vote" with 1%
55. ^ "Another party's candidate" with 2%

Partisan clients

1. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k Poll sponsored by Carolina Forward
2. ^ a b c d e f Poll sponsored by the John Locke Foundation
3. ^ Poll sponsored by Nexstar
4. ^ a b c Poll sponsored by WRAL-TV
5. ^ a b Poll sponsored by On Point Politics and Red Eagle Politics, which supports Republican candidates.
6. ^ a b Poll sponsored by High Point University
7. ^ a b c d e f g Poll sponsored by The Daily Telegraph
8. ^ a b c d Poll sponsored by the Carolina Journal
9. ^ a b c Poll sponsored by The Hill
10. ^ Poll sponsored by RealClearWorld
11. ^ Poll sponsored by Napolitan Institute
12. ^ Poll sponsored by The Cook Political Report
13. ^ Poll sponsored by AARP
14. ^ Poll sponsored by Clean and Prosperous America PAC, which supports Democratic candidates
15. ^ Poll Sponsored by Progressive Policy Institute
16. ^ Poll sponsored by American Greatness
17. ^ Poll sponsored by Carolina Partnership for Reform & Carolina Leadership Coalition
18. ^ This poll was sponsored by the NC Values Commission
19. ^ This poll was sponsored by the Carolina Partnership for Reform

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144. ^ Nagourney, Adam; Igielnik, Ruth; Baker, Camille (September 23, 2024). "Trump Shows Signs of Strength in Sun Belt Battlegrounds, Polls Find". The New York Times. Retrieved April 16, 2025 – via NYTimes.com.
145. ^ "Meredith Poll: An in-depth examination of North Carolina voter attitudes on important current issues" (PDF). Meredith College. September 27, 2024. Retrieved April 16, 2025.
146. ^ Galbraith, Ben (September 19, 2024). "NORTH CAROLINA POLL: Donald Trump Leads, Mark Robinson Trails". Google Drive. Retrieved April 16, 2025.
147. ^ "September 2024 Swing State Polls: Trump and Harris Locked in Tight Presidential Race". Emerson College Polling. September 19, 2024. Retrieved April 16, 2025.
148. ^ "NORTH CAROLINA VOTER SURVEY - Sep 2024" (PDF). AARP. September 25, 2024. Retrieved April 16, 2025.
149. ^ Bass, David (September 19, 2024). "Trump, Harris tied in new CJ poll of likely voters in North Carolina". The Carolina Journal. Retrieved April 16, 2025.
150. ^ "Elon Poll finds Harris, Trump too close to call in N.C., and Stein with double-digit lead in governor's race". Elon University. September 24, 2024. Retrieved April 16, 2025.
151. ^ "Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (6 – 9 September 2024)". Redfield & Wilton Strategies. September 10, 2024. Retrieved April 16, 2025.
152. ^ "Swing State Poll 2024: North Carolina: Harris vs. Trump Too Close To Call, Georgia: Trump Has Slight Edge In Tight Race, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; NC Governor's Race: Stein Leads Robinson 51% - 41%". Quinnipiac University Poll. September 9, 2024. Retrieved April 16, 2025.
153. ^ "Rising Harris Tide Lifts All Dem Boats? Stein Well Ahead of Robinson in NC Gov Contest; Jackson Leads for AG; Dem Narrowly Ahead for SPI". SurveyUSA. September 9, 2024. Retrieved April 16, 2025.
154. ^ "Mainstreet Research Survey - North Carolina" (PDF). FAU Polling. September 9, 2024. Retrieved April 16, 2025.
155. ^ Francia, Peter; Morris, Jonathan (September 3, 2024). "North Carolina Election Heats Up: Trump leads Harris by 1 point in North Carolina; Stein widens advantage over Robinson in race for Governor". ECU Center for Survey Research. Retrieved April 16, 2025.
156. ^ "August 2024 Swing State Polls: Toss-up Presidential Election in Swing States". Emerson Polling. August 29, 2024. Retrieved April 16, 2025.
157. ^ "Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (25 – 28 August 2024)". Redfield & Wilton Strategies. August 30, 2024. Retrieved April 16, 2025.
158. ^ "On Point/On Point/Red Eagle Politics/SoCal Strategies North Carolina Poll". Substack. August 27, 2024. Retrieved April 16, 2025.
159. ^ "Fox News Poll - North Carolina" (PDF). Fox News. August 28, 2024. Retrieved April 16, 2025.
160. ^ Allis, Victor. "Stein Ahead of Robinson in North Carolina". ActiVote. Retrieved April 16, 2025.
161. ^ "Mid-Convention, Kamala Harris and Donald Trump Tied Among All Likely Voters, With Harris + 1 Among Certain Voters, +2 Among All Registered; Trump More Viewed as 'Strong Leader,' But Harris Seen as More 'Honest and Truthful,' Having 'Right Temperament' – as 46% Say Trump Too Old". SurveyUSA. August 22, 2024. Retrieved April 16, 2025.
162. ^ "Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (12 – 15 August 2024)". Redfield & Wilton Strategies. August 19, 2024. Retrieved April 16, 2025.
163. ^ "Toplines: August 2024 Times/Siena Poll of Registered Voters in North Carolina". The New York Times. August 17, 2024. Retrieved April 16, 2025.
164. ^ "Carolina Forward August 2024 - Toplines" (PDF). Carolina Forward. August 11, 2024. Archived from the original (PDF) on August 14, 2024. Retrieved April 16, 2025.
165. ^ "August 2024 – With Harris as Presidential Nominee, Race Tightens in North Carolina". The Carolina Journal. August 9, 2024. Retrieved April 16, 2025.
166. ^ "Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (31 July – 3 August 2024)". Redfield & Wilton Strategies. August 6, 2024. Retrieved April 16, 2025.
167. ^ "Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (22-24 July 2024)". Redfield & Wilton Strategies. July 25, 2024. Retrieved April 16, 2025.
168. ^ "Battleground State Surveys Show Harris can Defeat Trump" (PDF). FiveThirtyEight. July 21, 2024. Archived from the original (PDF) on July 26, 2024. Retrieved April 16, 2025.
169. ^ "Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (16-18 July 2024)". Redfield & Wilton Strategies. July 21, 2024. Retrieved April 16, 2025.
170. ^ "Progressive Policy Institute - Nationwide Healthcare Poll" (PDF). Progressive Policy Institute. July 30, 2024. Retrieved April 16, 2025.
171. ^ Woodhouse, Dallas (June 17, 2024). "Poll: Lawfare backfires on Biden, as Trump stays strong in NC". The Carolina Journal. Retrieved April 16, 2025.
172. ^ Francia, Peter; Morris, Jonathan (June 8, 2024). "Trump leads Biden by 5 points in North Carolina; Gubernatorial election remains close with Stein up 1 on Robinson; Trump guilty verdict has little impact on NC voter intentions for November". ECU Center for Survey Research. Retrieved April 16, 2025.
173. ^ "SURVEY OF NORTH CAROLINA LIKELY VOTERS - MAY 29–JUNE 2, 2024" (PDF). American Greatness. June 3, 2024. Retrieved April 16, 2025.
174. ^ "The Carolina Forward May Poll". Carolina Forward. May 28, 2024. Retrieved April 16, 2025.
175. ^ "HIGH POINT UNIVERSITY POLL 103 :: MEMO RELEASE 5/22/2024" (PDF). High Point University. May 22, 2024. Retrieved April 16, 2025.
176. ^ "May 2024 – Robinson, Stein neck and neck for governor's mansion". The Carolina Journal. May 9, 2024. Retrieved April 16, 2025.
177. ^ Mumford, Camille (April 30, 2024). "Trump Holds Edge Over Biden in Seven Key Swing State Polls". Emerson Polling. Retrieved April 16, 2025.
178. ^ "New CLC Poll Predicts a Bumpy Election Ride". Carolina Leader. May 29, 2024. Retrieved April 16, 2025.
179. ^ "An in-depth examination of North Carolina voter attitudes on important current issues" (PDF). Meredith College. April 22, 2024. Retrieved April 16, 2025.
180. ^ "Races for President, Governor Are Tightening in North Carolina". Carolina Journal. April 11, 2024. Retrieved April 16, 2025.
181. ^ "North Carolina 2024: Trump On Upside Of Too-Close-To-Call Race, Quinnipiac University North Carolina Poll Finds; Governor's Race: Stein Leads Robinson 52% - 44%". Quinnipiac University Poll. April 10, 2024. Retrieved April 16, 2025.
182. ^ "HPU Poll: N.C. Registered Voters Say Inflation and National Security Are Top Issues for D.C." High Point University. April 11, 2024. Retrieved April 16, 2025.
183. ^ "The Battleground 2024: North Carolina". Marist Poll. March 20, 2024. Retrieved April 16, 2025.
184. ^ Doran, Will (March 11, 2024). "Robinson and Stein in extremely tight NC governor's race, WRAL News poll shows". WRAL. Retrieved April 16, 2025.
185. ^ "Survey of Likely General Election Voters North Carolina Statewide" (PDF). The Carolina Journal. March 12, 2024. Retrieved April 16, 2025.
186. ^ "NC Voters Want a Reproductive Freedom Constitutional Amendment – Carolina Forward". Carolina Forward. September 11, 2023. Retrieved April 16, 2025.
187. ^ a b c "Survey of Likely General Election Voters - North Carolina Statewide" (PDF). May 25, 2023. Retrieved April 16, 2025.
188. ^ "Carolina Forward - May 2023" (PDF). Carolina Forward. May 10, 2023. Retrieved April 16, 2025.
189. ^ "The Carolina Forward Poll: March 2023 Edition". Carolina Forward. March 13, 2023. Retrieved April 16, 2025.
190. ^ Macklem, Laura (January 25, 2023). "PR: Robinson narrowly leads Stein, DeSantis over Biden & Trump". NC Values Coalition. Retrieved April 16, 2025.
191. ^ "North Carolina Statewide Study" (PDF). Meeting Street Insights. May 20, 2022. Archived from the original (PDF) on May 20, 2022. Retrieved April 16, 2025.
192. ^ "11/05/2024 OFFICIAL GENERAL ELECTION RESULTS - STATEWIDE". North Carolina State Board of Elections.
193. ^ Savicki, Drew [@DrewSav] (January 31, 2025). "In 2024 NC Attorney General Josh Stein defeated Lt. Governor/porn enthusiast Mark Robinson in a landslide victory. Stein ended up winning 12/14 congressional districts" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
194. ^ "Election 2024: Exit polls". CNN. November 5, 2024. Retrieved April 16, 2025.

## External links

[edit]

Official campaign websites

* Mark Robinson (R) for Governor
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*[v]: View this template
*[t]: Discuss this template
*[e]: Edit this template
*[No.]: Number
*[VA]: Virginia
*[AK]: Alaska
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*[CA]: California
*[MD]: Maryland
*[LA]: Louisiana
*[CT]: Connecticut
*[VT]: Vermont
*[WY]: Wyoming
*[AR]: Arkansas
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*[WV]: West Virginia
*[AL]: Alabama
*[NV]: Nevada
*[AZ]: Arizona
*[WI]: Wisconsin
*[OR]: Oregon
*[CO]: Colorado
*[NC]: North Carolina
*[UT]: Utah
*[OK]: Oklahoma
*[DE]: Delaware
*[KY]: Kentucky