2024 North Carolina gubernatorial election

For related races, see 2024 United States gubernatorial elections.

2024 North Carolina gubernatorial election

* * *

| <- 2020 | November 5, 2024 | 2028 ->

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|  |  |

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Nominee  | Josh Stein | Mark Robinson |
Party  | Democratic | Republican

* * *

| Incumbent Governor

Roy Cooper
Democratic

|

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* v
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* e

The 2024 North Carolina gubernatorial election will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect the governor of North Carolina, concurrently with the 2024 U.S. presidential election, as well as elections to the United States House of Representatives and various other state and local elections. Democratic state attorney general Josh Stein and Republican lieutenant governor Mark Robinson are seeking their first term in office. The winner will succeed Democratic incumbent Roy Cooper, who is term limited. This is the only Democratic-held governorship up for election in 2024 in a state Donald Trump won in 2020.

Primary elections took place on March 5, 2024.[1] Stein won the Democratic nomination with 70% of the vote over former state Supreme Court justice Michael R. Morgan and Robinson won the Republican nomination with 65% of the vote over state treasurer Dale Folwell.

## Background

[edit]

A typical swing state, North Carolina is considered to be a purple to slightly red southern state at the federal level. Both U.S. senators from the state are members of the Republican Party. Its U.S. House delegation is evenly split between Republicans and Democrats. Democrats and Republicans both hold multiple statewide offices in North Carolina. In the 2020 presidential election, Donald Trump carried North Carolina by 1.34 percentage points, the smallest margin among the states he won.[2][3]

Incumbent Roy Cooper was first elected in 2016, defeating then-incumbent governor Pat McCrory by about 0.2 points. Cooper was re-elected in 2020 by 4.5 percentage points.[3][4]

The Democratic nominee is Josh Stein, the current state attorney general. The Republican nominee is Mark Robinson, the current lieutenant governor.[5] The 2024 election was initially expected to be competitive due to the state's nearly even to slightly right-leaning partisan lean, the concurrent presidential election, and the seat being open due to term limits. However, Robinson has become embroiled in numerous controversies since becoming the nominee, allowing Stein to open up a consistent lead in polls, and most pundits consider him the favorite to win.[6]

## Democratic primary

[edit]

### Candidates

[edit]

#### Nominee

[edit]

* Josh Stein, North Carolina Attorney General (2017–present)[5]

#### Eliminated in primary

[edit]

* Chrelle Booker, Tryon city councilor (2019–present) and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2022[7]
* Gary Foxx, former Princeville police chief[8]
* Michael R. Morgan, former North Carolina Supreme Court justice (2016–2023)[9]
* Marcus Williams, attorney and perennial candidate[10]

#### Declined

[edit]

* Sydney Batch, state senator from the 17th district (2021–present)[11] (endorsed Stein)[5]
* Jeff Jackson, U.S. Representative from North Carolina's 14th congressional district (2023–present)[11] (endorsed Stein, running for Attorney General)[12]
* Natalie Murdock, state senator from the 20th district (2020–present)[11] (endorsed Stein)[5]
* Robert T. Reives II, Minority Leader of the North Carolina House of Representatives (2021–present) from the 54th district (2014–present)[11] (endorsed Stein)[13]

### Endorsements

[edit]

Josh Stein

U.S. representatives

* G. K. Butterfield, former U.S. representative from North Carolina's 1st congressional district (2004–2022)[14]
* Eva Clayton, former U.S. representative from North Carolina's 1st congressional district (1992–2003)[14]
* Valerie Foushee, U.S. representative from North Carolina's 4th congressional district (2023–present)[15]
* Jeff Jackson, U.S. representative from North Carolina's 14th congressional district (2023–present)[12]
* Kathy Manning, U.S. representative from North Carolina's 6th congressional district (2021–present)[16]
* Wiley Nickel, U.S. representative from North Carolina's 13th congressional district (2023–present)[12]
* Deborah Ross, U.S. representative from North Carolina's 2nd congressional district (2021–present)[17]

Statewide officials

* Roy Cooper, Governor of North Carolina (2017–present)[18]
* Jim Hunt, former Governor of North Carolina (1977–1985, 1993–2001)[13]
* Burley Mitchell, former Chief Justice of the North Carolina Supreme Court (1995–1999)[19]

State legislators

* Robert Reives, minority leader of the North Carolina House of Representatives (2021–present from the 54th district (2014–present)[13]

Individuals

* Cristina Tzintzún Ramirez, president of NextGen America PAC (2021–present)[20]

Labor unions

* North Carolina AFL-CIO[21]
* North Carolina Association of Educators[22]

Organizations

* End Citizens United[23]
* NextGen America PAC[20]
* North Carolina League of Conservation Voters[24]
* Reproductive Freedom for All[25]
* Sierra Club[26]

Newspapers

* The Charlotte Observer[27] (Democratic primary only)

### Polling

[edit]

Poll source  | Date(s)
administered  | Sample
size[a] | Margin
of error  | Chrelle
Booker  | Gary
Foxx  | Michael
Morgan  | Josh
Stein  | Marcus
Williams  | Other  | Undecided

|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|

High Point University | February 16–23, 2024  | 322 (LV)  | ± 6.0%  | 10%  | 10%  | 14%  | 57% | 9%  | –  | –
Change Research (D)[A] | February 15–19, 2024  | 1,622 (LV)  | ± 2.6%  | –  | –  | 8%  | 49% | –  | 4%[b] | 39%
East Carolina University | February 9–12, 2024  | 1,207 (RV)  | ± 3.3%  | 2%  | 2%  | 7%  | 57% | 3%  | –  | 29%
Meredith College | January 26–31, 2024  | 760 (RV)  | ± 3.5%  | 5%  | 3%  | 4%  | 31% | 2%  | 4%  | 51%
Public Policy Polling (D) | December 15–16, 2023  | 556 (LV)  | ± 4.2%  | 3%  | 1%  | 5%  | 56% | 4%  | –  | 32%
| December 15, 2023  | Foxx joins the race
| December 14, 2023  | Williams joins the race
| November 2, 2023  | Booker joins the race
Meredith College | November 1–5, 2023  | 755 (RV)  | ± 3.5%  | –  | –  | 11%  | 38% | –  | 9%  | 42%
Meredith College | September 16–19, 2023  | 308 (RV)  | ± 3.5%  | –  | –  | 11%  | 33% | –  | 10%  | 46%

Hypothetical polling

Poll source  | Date(s)
administered  | Sample
size[a] | Margin
of error  | Mandy
Cohen  | Jeff
Jackson  | Josh
Stein  | Other  | Undecided

|
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|
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|

Public Policy Polling (D)[A] | October 7–8, 2022  | 606 (RV)  | ± 4.0%  | 18%  | 12%  | 22% | 9%  | 39%

### Results

[edit]

Results by county:

Stein

* Stein—80–90%

* Stein—70–80%

* Stein—60–70%

* Stein—50–60%

* Stein—40–50%

* Stein—30–40%

Morgan

* Morgan—50–60%

* Morgan—40–50%

Democratic primary results[28] Party  | Candidate  | Votes  | %

|
|
|

| Democratic | Josh Stein | 479,026  | 69.60%
| Democratic | Michael R. Morgan | 98,627  | 14.33%
| Democratic | Chrelle Booker  | 46,045  | 6.69%
| Democratic | Marcus Williams  | 39,257  | 5.70%
| Democratic | Gary Foxx  | 25,283  | 3.67%
Total votes  | 688,238  | 100.0%

## Republican primary

[edit]

### Candidates

[edit]

#### Nominee

[edit]

* Mark Robinson, Lieutenant Governor of North Carolina (2021–present)[29]

#### Eliminated in primary

[edit]

* Dale Folwell, North Carolina State Treasurer (2017–present)[30]
* Bill Graham, attorney and candidate for governor in 2008[31]

#### Withdrawn

[edit]

* Jesse Thomas, retired healthcare executive (ran for Secretary of State)[32]
* Mark Walker, former U.S. Representative from North Carolina's 6th congressional district (2015–2021) and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2022 (ran for U.S. House)[33]
* Andy Wells, former state senator and candidate for lieutenant governor in 2020[34]

#### Declined

[edit]

* Thom Tillis, U.S. Senator from North Carolina (2015–present)[11][35] (endorsed Graham)[36]

### Endorsements

[edit]

Dale Folwell

Council of State officials

* James G. Martin, former Governor of North Carolina (1985–1993)[37]

Newspapers

* The Charlotte Observer[27] (Republican primary only)

Bill Graham

U.S. senators

* Thom Tillis, U.S. senator from North Carolina (2015–present)[36]

Mark Robinson

Executive branch officials

* Donald Trump, former President of the United States (2017–2021)[38]

U.S. senators

* Ted Budd, U.S. senator from North Carolina (2023–present)[39]

U.S. representatives

* Dan Bishop, U.S. representative from North Carolina's 8th congressional district (2019–present)[29]

State senators

* Phil Berger, President pro tempore of the North Carolina Senate (2011–present) from the 26th district (2001–present)[40]
* Danny Britt, state senator from the 24th district (2017–present)[29]

State representatives

* Neal Jackson, state representative from the 78th district (2023–present)[40]
* Charlie Miller, state representative from the 19th district (2021–present)[29]

Organizations

* National Rifle Association Political Victory Fund[41]
* Conservative Political Action Committee[42]

Newspapers

* Rhino Times[43]

### Debate

[edit]

2024 North Carolina gubernatorial election Republican primary debate  No. | Date  | Host  | Moderator  | Link  | Republican | Republican | Republican

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|

Key:
P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited  W Withdrawn |  |  |
Dale Folwell | Mark Walker | Jesse Thomas
1  | Sep. 12, 2023  | Wake County
Republican Party  | Bill LuMaye  | YouTube | P | P | P

### Polling

[edit]

Poll source  | Date(s)
administered  | Sample
size[a] | Margin
of error  | Dale
Folwell  | Bill
Graham  | Mark
Robinson  | Jesse
Thomas  | Mark
Walker  | Andy
Wells  | Other  | Undecided

|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|

High Point University | February 16–23, 2024  | 394 (LV)  | ± 6.0%  | 17%  | 33%  | 51% | 9%  | –  | –  | –  | –
Capen Analytics | February 21, 2024  | 12,580 (LV)  | ± 5.0%  | 29%  | 18%  | 53% | –  | –  | –  | –  | –
Change Research (D)[A] | February 15–19, 2024  | 1,622 (LV)  | ± 2.6%  | 9%  | 9%  | 57% | –  | –  | –  | 3%[c] | 22%
East Carolina University | February 9–12, 2024  | 1,207 (RV)  | ± 3.3%  | 7%  | 13%  | 53% | –  | –  | –  | –  | 27%
Meredith College | January 26–31, 2024  | 760 (RV)  | ± 3.5%  | 4%  | 9%  | 34% | –  | –  | –  | 10%  | 42%
Public Policy Polling (D) | January 5–6, 2024  | 619 (LV)  | ± 3.9%  | 7%  | 15%  | 55% | –  | –  | –  | –  | 24%
| December 16, 2023  | Wells withdraws from the race
East Carolina University | November 29 – Dec 1, 2023  | 445 (LV)  | ± 5.4%  | 7%  | 8%  | 34% | –  | –  | 3%  | –  | 49%
| November 2, 2023  | Thomas withdraws from the race
Meredith College | November 1–5, 2023  | 755 (RV)  | ± 3.5%  | 3%  | 5%  | 41% | 2%  | –  | 1%  | 6%  | 42%
| October 25, 2023  | Walker withdraws from the race
| October 18, 2023  | Graham joins the race
Cygnal[B] | October 8–9, 2023  | 600 (LV)  | ± 3.9%  | 5%  | –  | 49% | 1%  | 4%  | 1%  | –  | 41%
Meredith College | September 16–19, 2023  | 350 (RV)  | ± 3.5%  | 3%  | –  | 34% | 3%  | 7%  | 3%  | 6%  | 44%

Hypothetical polling

Poll source  | Date(s)
administered  | Sample
size[a] | Margin
of error  | Dale
Folwell  | Pat
McCrory  | Mark
Robinson  | Thom
Tillis  | Steve
Troxler  | Mark
Walker  | Other  | Undecided

|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|

Opinion Diagnostics | June 5–7, 2023  | 902 (LV)  | ± 3.3%  | 4%  | \-  | 44% | \-  | \-  | 7%  | 7%  | 38%
SurveyUSA[B] | April 25–29, 2023  | 707 (LV)  | ± 4.4%  | 4%  | \-  | 43% | \-  | 9%  | 8%  | \-  | 37%
The Differentiators (R) | December 12, 2022  | 500 (LV)  | ± 4.0%  | 6%  | \-  | 60% | \-  | \-  | \-  | \-  | 34%
\-  | 21%  | 60% | \-  | \-  | \-  | \-  | 19%
\-  | \-  | 58% | \-  | \-  | 8%  | \-  | 34%
Public Policy Polling (D)[A] | October 7–8, 2022  | 606 (RV)  | ± 4.0%  | 4%  | \-  | 54% | 20%  | \-  | \-  | 5%  | 17%

### Results

[edit]

Results by county:

Robinson

* Robinson—80–90%

* Robinson—70–80%

* Robinson—60–70%

* Robinson—50–60%

* Robinson—40–50%

Republican primary results[28] Party  | Candidate  | Votes  | %

|
|
|

| Republican | Mark Robinson | 666,504  | 64.83%
| Republican | Dale Folwell | 196,955  | 19.16%
| Republican | Bill Graham  | 164,572  | 16.01%
Total votes  | 1,028,031  | 100.0%

## Other candidates

[edit]

### Libertarian Party

[edit]

#### Nominee

[edit]

* Mike Ross, treasurer of the North Carolina Libertarian Party[44]

#### Eliminated in primary

[edit]

* Shannon Bray, cybersecurity professional and nominee for U.S. Senate in 2020 and 2022[45]

#### Results

[edit]

Results by county:

Ross

* Ross—100%

* Ross—80–90%

* Ross—70–80%

* Ross—60–70%

* Ross—50–60%

Bray

* Bray—100%

* Bray—70–80%

* Bray—60–70%

* Bray—50–60%

Tie

* Tie—50–60%

Libertarian primary results[28] Party  | Candidate  | Votes  | %

|
|
|

| Libertarian | Mike Ross  | 2,910  | 59.45%
| Libertarian | Shannon Bray  | 1,985  | 40.55%
Total votes  | 4,895  | 100.0%

### Green Party

[edit]

#### Nominee

[edit]

* Wayne Turner, co-chair of the North Carolina Green Party[8]

### Constitution Party

[edit]

#### Nominee

[edit]

* Vinny Smith, treasurer of the North Carolina Constitution Party[46]

## General election

[edit]

### Campaign

[edit]

Stein and Robinson will face each other in the general election. With the backing of former President Donald Trump, Robinson has received heavy criticism from Democrats over statements on abortion rights, LGBTQ rights, and education. Robinson has also made a series of controversial statements before and after taking public office, including engaging in Holocaust denial.[47] Robinson has also received criticism from some moderate Republicans, including Senator Thom Tillis and primary opponent Dale Folwell, both of whom declined to endorse Robinson.[48] On September 17, Stein refused any potential debates with Robinson following a challenge from him.[49]

#### Calls for Robinson to drop out

[edit]

On September 19, CNN released a story detailing racist, transphobic, misogynistic, and other "disturbing comments" made by an account suspected to be Robinson on a pornography website between 2008 and 2012.[50][51] Hours later, CNN specified multiple comments made on pornography website message boards, including Robinson calling himself a "black NAZI" and expressing support for reinstating slavery.[52] The Carolina Journal had reported that earlier in the week the Trump-Vance campaign privately told Robinson that he was not welcome at rallies for Donald Trump or JD Vance.[53] This occurred on the same day as the filing deadline for North Carolina's 2024 election ballots. Before the story was released, Robinson released a video dismissing the report as "tabloid lies" and saying that he would not drop out of the race.[54] His campaign canceled events in Henderson and Norlina planned for the same day. Republican state Senate nominee Scott Lassiter was the first on the ballot with Robinson to call for him to "step aside".[51] Republican North Carolina senator Ted Budd said "the allegations are concerning but we don’t have any facts"[55] That afternoon, Later that day, Politico reported that an email address belonging to Robinson was registered on Ashley Madison, a website designed for people seeking affairs while married.[56] The deadline for Robinson to withdraw from the race or be removed from the ballot passed on the morning of September 20.[57]

Following CNN's report, Sabato's Crystal Ball and The Cook Political Report moved the race to Likely Democratic, and Elections Daily moved the race to Solid Democratic.[58][6][59]

### Predictions

[edit]

Source  | Ranking  | As of

|
|

The Cook Political Report[59] | Likely D  | September 20, 2024
Inside Elections[60] | Tilt D  | August 29, 2024
Sabato's Crystal Ball[61] | Likely D  | September 19, 2024
RCP[62] | Lean D  | August 28, 2024
Elections Daily[63] | Safe D  | September 19, 2024
CNalysis[64] | Tilt D  | August 17, 2024

### Post-primary endorsements

[edit]

Josh Stein (D)

U.S. representatives

* Gabby Giffords, U.S. representative from Arizona's 8th congressional district (2007–2012)[65]

Statewide officials

* Andy Beshear, Governor of Kentucky (2019–present)[66]
* Wes Moore, Governor of Maryland (2023–present)[67]

State senators

* Jim Davis, former state senator from the 50th district (2011–2021) (Republican)[68]
* Richard Stevens, former state senator from the 17th district (2007–2012) (Republican)[68]

State representatives

* Chuck McGrady, former state representative from the 117th district (2011–2020) (Republican)[68]
* Charles Neely, former state representative from the 61st district (1995–1999) (Republican)[68]
* Garland Pierce, state representative from the 48th district (2005–present)[69]

Organizations

* Giffords[65]
* Human Rights Campaign[70]
* Jewish Democratic Council of America[71]

Individuals

* Martin Luther King III, activist[72]

Mark Robinson (R)

Organizations

* Republicans for National Renewal[73]

Declined to endorse

Statewide officials

* Dale Folwell, North Carolina State Treasurer (2017–present) (Republican)[74]
* Pat McCrory, former Governor of North Carolina (2013–2017) (Republican)[75]

U.S. senators

* Thom Tillis, U.S. Senator from North Carolina (2015–present) (Republican)[75]

### Fundraising

[edit]

Campaign finance reports as of July 10, 2024

Candidate  | Raised  | Spent  | Cash on hand
Josh Stein (D)  | $32,910,029  | $17,279,731  | $15,918,586
Mark Robinson (R)  | $15,757,019  | $9,234,080  | $6,560,596
Source: North Carolina State Board of Elections[76]

### Polling

[edit]

Aggregate polls
Source of poll
aggregation  | Dates
administered  | Dates
updated  | Josh
Stein (D)  | Mark
Robinson (R)  | Undecided
[d] | Margin

|
|
|
|
|
|

RealClearPolitics[77] | August 26 – September 21, 2024  | September 23, 2024  | 48.8% | 39.3%  | 11.9%  | Stein +9.5%
270ToWin[78] | September 19–23, 2024  | September 23, 2024  | 47.6% | 39.0%  | 13.4%  | Stein +8.6%
The Hill/DDHQ[79] | through September 21, 2024  | September 23, 2024  | 48.8% | 37.7%  | 13.5%  | Stein +11.1%
Average | 48.4% | 38.7%  | 12.9%  | Stein +9.7%
Poll source  | Date(s)
administered  | Sample
size[a] | Margin
of error  | Josh
Stein (D)  | Mark
Robinson (R)  | Other  | Undecided

|
|
|
|
|
|
|

NYT/Siena College | September 17–21, 2024  | 682 (LV)  | ± 4.2%  | 47% | 37%  | –  | 16%
682 (RV)  | ± 4.2%  | 47% | 36%  | –  | 17%
Victory Insights | September 16–18, 2024  | 600 (LV)  | ± 4.0%  | 47% | 42%  | –  | 11%
Emerson College[C] | September 15–18, 2024  | 1,000 (RV)  | ± 3.0%  | 48% | 40%  | 2%[e] | 10%
Morning Consult | September 11–18, 2024  | 1,314 (LV)  | ± 2.7%  | 50% | 37%  | 1%  | 12%
Cygnal (R)[D] | September 15–16, 2024  | 600 (LV)  | ± 3.99%  | 46% | 39%  | 2%[f] | 13%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[E] | September 6–9, 2024  | 495 (LV)  | ± 3.8%  | 42% | 33%  | 3%[g] | 23%
Quinnipiac University | September 4–8, 2024  | 940 (LV)  | ± 3.2%  | 54% | 42%  | 1%[h] | 4%
51% | 41%  | 5%[i] | 4%
Morning Consult | August 30 – September 8, 2024  | 1,369 (LV)  | ± 3.0%  | 50% | 37%  | 2%[j] | 11%
SurveyUSA[F] | September 4–7, 2024  | 676 (LV)  | ± 4.9%  | 51% | 37%  | –  | 12%
Florida Atlantic University | September 5–6, 2024  | 692 (RV)  | ± 3.7%  | 48% | 38%  | –  | 14%
619 (LV)  | ± 3.7%  | 50% | 39%  | –  | 11%
Emerson College[G] | August 25–28, 2024  | 775 (LV)  | ± 3.5%  | 47% | 41%  | 3%[k] | 10%
East Carolina University | August 25–28, 2024  | 920 (LV)  | ± 3.0%  | 47% | 41%  | 1%[l] | 11%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[E] | August 25–28, 2024  | 812 (LV)  | ± 3.18%  | 44% | 40%  | 4%[m] | 13%
SoCal Strategies (R)[H] | August 26–27, 2024  | 612 (LV)  | –  | 47% | 37%  | –  | 16%
Fox News | August 23–26, 2024  | 1,026 (RV)  | ± 3.0%  | 54% | 43%  | 2%[n] | 1%
ActiVote | July 26 – August 26, 2024  | 400 (LV)  | ± 4.9%  | 54% | 46%  | –  | –
SurveyUSA/High Point University | August 19–21, 2024  | 1,053 (RV)  | ± 4.0%  | 48% | 34%  | –  | 18%
941 (LV)  | ± 4.0%  | 50% | 36%  | –  | 14%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[E] | August 12–15, 2024  | 601 (LV)  | ± 3.7%  | 45% | 39%  | 3%[o] | 13%
NYT/Siena College | August 9–14, 2024  | 655 (RV)  | ± 4.2%  | 48% | 38%  | –  | 14%
655 (LV)  | ± 4.2%  | 49% | 39%  | –  | 12%
YouGov (D)[A] | August 5–9, 2024  | 802 (RV)  | ± 3.9%  | 46% | 36%  | 6%[p] | 13%
Cygnal (R) | August 4–5, 2024  | 600 (LV)  | ± 4.0%  | 43% | 38%  | 4%[q] | 15%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | July 31–August 3, 2024  | 714 (LV)  | –  | 43% | 38%  | 3%[r] | 16%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | July 22–24, 2024  | 586 (LV)  | –  | 38% | 34%  | 5%[s] | 23%
| July 21, 2024  | Joe Biden withdraws from the presidential race
Public Policy Polling (D)[I] | July 19–20, 2024  | 573 (RV)  | –  | 48% | 42%  | –  | 10%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[E] | July 16–18, 2024  | 461 (LV)  | ± 4.0%  | 37% | 36%  | 4%[t] | 23%
Spry Strategies | June 7–11, 2024  | 600 (LV)  | ± 4.0%  | 39%  | 43% | –  | 18%
East Carolina University | May 31–June 3, 2024  | 1,332 (LV)  | ± 3.1%  | 44% | 43%  | –  | 13%
North Star Opinion Research (R)[J] | May 29–June 2, 2024  | 600 (LV)  | ± 4.0%  | 42%  | 44% | –  | 14%
Change Research (D)[A] | May 13–18, 2024  | 835 (LV)  | ± 3.8%  | 44% | 43%  | –  | 13%
High Point University | May 2–9, 2024  | 804 (RV)  | ± 3.2%  | 34%  | 39% | –  | 27%
1,002 (A)  | ± 3.2%  | 30%  | 35% | –  | 35%
Cygnal (R)[K] | May 4–5, 2024  | 600 (LV)  | ± 4.0%  | 39% | 39% | 5%[u] | 17%
Emerson College | April 25–29, 2024  | 1,000 (RV)  | ± 3.0%  | 41%  | 42% | 5%[v] | 12%
Meeting Street Insights (R)[L] | April 25–28, 2024  | 500 (RV)  | ± 4.4%  | 44% | 37%  | 6%[w] | 13%
Meredith College | April 11–17, 2024  | 711 (LV)  | ± 3.5%  | 45% | 36%  | –  | 20%
Cygnal (R)[B] | April 7–8, 2024  | 600 (LV)  | ± 4.0%  | 38%  | 40% | –  | 18%
Quinnipiac University | April 4–8, 2024  | 1,401 (RV)  | ± 2.6%  | 52% | 44%  | 2%[x] | 3%
48% | 41%  | 7%[y] | 3%
High Point University | March 22–30, 2024  | 829 (RV)  | ± 3.4%  | 37% | 34%  | –  | 29%
Marist College | March 11–14, 2024  | 1,197 (RV)  | ± 3.6%  | 49% | 47%  | –  | 4%
SurveyUSA[F] | March 3–9, 2024  | 598 (LV)  | ± 4.9%  | 44% | 42%  | –  | 14%
Cygnal (R)[B] | March 6–7, 2024  | 600 (LV)  | ± 4.0%  | 39%  | 44% | –  | 17%
Change Research (D)[A] | February 15–19, 2024  | 1,622 (LV)  | ± 2.6%  | 42%  | 43% | –  | 15%
East Carolina University | February 9–12, 2024  | 1,207 (RV)  | ± 3.3%  | 41% | 41% | –  | 14%
Meredith College | January 26–31, 2024  | 760 (RV)  | ± 3.5%  | 39% | 35%  | –  | 17%
East Carolina University | November 29 – December 1, 2023  | 915 (RV)  | ± 3.8%  | 40%  | 44% | –  | 16%
Meredith College | November 1–5, 2023  | 755 (RV)  | ± 3.5%  | 38% | 36%  | –  | 19%
Change Research (D)[A] | September 1–5, 2023  | 914 (LV)  | ± 3.6%  | 38%  | 42% | –  | 20%
Opinion Diagnostics | June 5–7, 2023  | 902 (LV)  | ± 3.3%  | 38%  | 41% | –  | 21%
Cygnal (R)[B] | May 12–23, 2023  | 610 (LV)  | ± 4.0%  | 41%  | 42% | –  | 18%
Change Research (D)[A] | May 5–8, 2023  | 802 (LV)  | ± 3.9%  | 43%  | 46% | –  | 11%
Public Policy Polling (D) | March 2–3, 2023  | 704 (RV)  | ± 3.7%  | 42%  | 44% | –  | 14%
Differentiator Data (R)[M] | January 9–12, 2023  | 500 (LV)  | ± 4.5%  | 42% | 42% | –  | 16%
Public Policy Polling (D)[A] | October 7–8, 2022  | 606 (RV)  | ± 4.0%  | 44% | 42%  | –  | 14%
Meeting Street Insights (R)[N] | May 12–16, 2022  | 500 (LV)  | ± 4.4%  | 42%  | 48% | –  | 10%

Hypothetical polling

Josh Stein vs. Dale Folwell
Poll source  | Date(s)
administered  | Sample
size[a] | Margin
of error  | Josh
Stein (D)  | Dale
Folwell (R)  | Undecided

|
|
|
|
|
|

East Carolina University | February 9–12, 2024  | 1,207 (RV)  | ± 3.3%  | 42% | 31%  | 27%
East Carolina University | November 29 – December 1, 2023  | 915 (RV)  | ± 3.8%  | 40% | 38%  | 22%
Cygnal (R)[B] | May 12–23, 2023  | 610 (LV)  | ± 3.96%  | 39% | 34%  | 27%

Josh Stein vs. Bill Graham
Poll source  | Date(s)
administered  | Sample
size[a] | Margin
of error  | Josh
Stein (D)  | Bill
Graham (R)  | Undecided

|
|
|
|
|
|

East Carolina University | February 9–12, 2024  | 1,207 (RV)  | ± 3.3%  | 40% | 35%  | 25%
East Carolina University | November 29 – December 1, 2023  | 915 (RV)  | ± 3.8%  | 42% | 39%  | 19%

Josh Stein vs. Mark Walker
Poll source  | Date(s)
administered  | Sample
size[a] | Margin
of error  | Josh
Stein (D)  | Mark
Walker (R)  | Undecided

|
|
|
|
|
|

Cygnal (R)[B] | May 12–23, 2023  | 610 (LV)  | ± 3.96%  | 39% | 37%  | 24%

Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican
Poll source  | Date(s)
administered  | Sample
size[a] | Margin
of error  | Generic
Democrat  | Generic
Republican  | Other  | Undecided

|
|
|
|
|
|
|

High Point University | February 16–23, 2024  | 753 (LV)  | ± 3.9%  | 46% | 45%  | 2%[z] | 7%

### Results

[edit]

2024 North Carolina gubernatorial election  Party  | Candidate  | Votes  | %  | ±%

|
|
|
|

| Democratic | Josh Stein |  |  |
| Republican | Mark Robinson |  |  |
| Libertarian | Mike Ross  |  |  |
| Green | Wayne Turner  |  |  |
| Constitution | Vinny Smith  |  |  |
Total votes  |  |  |

## See also

[edit]

* 2024 North Carolina elections

## Notes

[edit]

1. ^ a b c d e f g h i Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear
2. ^ "Would not vote" with 4%
3. ^ "Would not vote" with 3%
4. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
5. ^ "Someone else" with 2%
6. ^ Ross (L) with 2%
7. ^ Ross (L) with 1%; "Other" with 2%
8. ^ "Refused" with 1%
9. ^ Ross (L) with 2%; Turner (G) with 1%; Smith (C) with 1%; "Refused" with 1%
10. ^ "Someone else" with 2%
11. ^ "Someone else" with 3%
12. ^ Ross (L) with 1%; Turner (G), Smith (C), "Write-in candidate" each with <1%
13. ^ Ross (L) with 2%; Turner (G) with 1%; "Others" with 1%
14. ^ "Other" with 1%; "Wouldn't vote" with 1%
15. ^ Ross (L) with 2%; "Other" with 1%
16. ^ Ross (L) with 1%; Turner (G) with 1%; "Undecided Third Party" with 4%
17. ^ Ross (L) with 3%; Turner (G) with 1%
18. ^ Ross (L) with 1%; Turner (G) with 1%; "Other" with 1%
19. ^ Ross (L) with 3%; Turner (G) with 1%; "Other" with 1%
20. ^ Ross (L) with 1%; Turner (G) with 1%; "Other" with 2%
21. ^ Ross (L) with 4%; Turner (G) with 1%
22. ^ "Someone else" with 5%
23. ^ Ross (L) with 4%; Turner (G) with 2%
24. ^ "Wouldn't vote" with 1%; "Refused" with 1%
25. ^ Ross (L) with 4%; Turner (G) with 2%; "Wouldn't vote" with 1%
26. ^ "Another party's candidate" with 2%

Partisan clients

1. ^ a b c d e f g h i j Poll sponsored by Carolina Forward
2. ^ a b c d e f g Poll sponsored by the John Locke Foundation
3. ^ Poll sponsored by The Hill
4. ^ Poll sponsored by Carolina Journal
5. ^ a b c d Poll sponsored by The Daily Telegraph
6. ^ a b Poll sponsored by WRAL-TV
7. ^ Poll sponsored by The Hill
8. ^ Poll sponsored by On Point Politics and Red Eagle Politics, which supports Republican candidates.
9. ^ Poll sponsored by Clean and Prosperous America PAC, which supports Democratic candidates
10. ^ Poll sponsored by American Greatness
11. ^ Poll sponsored by the Carolina Journal
12. ^ Poll sponsored by Carolina Partnership for Reform & Carolina Leadership Coalition
13. ^ This poll was sponsored by the NC Values Commission
14. ^ This poll was sponsored by the Carolina Partnership for Reform

## References

[edit]

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20. ^ a b "NextGen PAC Endorses North Carolina Attorney General Josh Stein for Governor Ahead of 2024 Elections". NextGen America PAC. May 10, 2023. Retrieved May 10, 2023.
21. ^ McMillan, MaryBe (June 8, 2023). "North Carolina AFL-CIO Endorses Josh Stein for Governor". NC State AFL-CIO. Retrieved June 13, 2023.
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29. ^ a b c d Mikkelsen, Emily; Stamps, Brayden (April 22, 2023). "Lt. Gov. Mark Robinson announces run for governor at cloudy Ace Speedway rally". Fox 8. Retrieved April 22, 2023.
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31. ^ Solano, Christina (October 18, 2023). "North Carolina's race for governor grows with campaign announcement by Bill Graham". WXII-TV. Retrieved October 18, 2023.
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33. ^ Woodhouse, Dallas (October 25, 2023). "Mark Walker exits governor's race to seek new Triad-area congressional seat". Carolina Journal. Retrieved October 25, 2023.
34. ^ Griffin, Kevin (December 16, 2023). "Former state senator from Hickory declines to file for governor after announcing campaign". Hickory Daily Record. Retrieved December 18, 2023.
35. ^ Casts, Pocket. "U.S. Sen. Thom Tillis talks openly on hot topics, career ambitions and his song playlist - Tying It Together with Tim Boyum". Pocket Casts.
36. ^ a b Fahlberg, Audrey (December 8, 2023). "Senator Thom Tillis Endorses Attorney Bill Graham in N.C. GOP Gov Primary, Dealing Blow to Frontrunner Mark Robinson". National Review.
37. ^ "Former North Carolina Gov. Jim Martin endorses Dale Folwell in governor's race". FOX8 WGHP. January 25, 2024. Retrieved January 25, 2024.
38. ^ "Trump Pledges to Endorse Mark Robinson for North Carolina Governor". U.S. News. June 10, 2023. Retrieved June 12, 2023.
39. ^ Robertson, Gary D. (April 22, 2023). "Conservative Robinson joins race for N. Carolina governor". Associated Press News. Retrieved April 22, 2023.
40. ^ a b Bajpai, Avi (April 22, 2023). "NC Lt. Gov. Mark Robinson officially launches his campaign for governor". News & Observer. Retrieved April 22, 2023.
41. ^ NRA-PVF. "NRA's Political Victory Fund Endorses Mark Robinson for Governor with an "A+" Rating". NRA-PVF. Retrieved February 14, 2024.
42. ^ @CPAC (January 16, 2024). "CPAC endorses Lieutenant Governor, Mark Robinson for Governor of North Carolina" (Tweet) - via Twitter.
43. ^ Hammer, John (February 27, 2024). "Rhino Endorsements In Republican Primary". The Rhino Times of Greensboro. Retrieved February 27, 2024.
44. ^ Doyle, Steve (March 24, 2023). "Libertarian from Gaston County enters North Carolina governor's race". Fox 8. Retrieved April 22, 2023.
45. ^ Doyle, Steve (May 25, 2023). "Shannon Bray becomes second Libertarian in race for North Carolina governor". WAVY News 10. Retrieved May 31, 2023.
46. ^ Zehnder, Katherine (July 18, 2024). "Constitution Party candidates file for November ballot". Carolina Journal. Retrieved July 25, 2024.
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48. ^ "State treasurer declines to endorse fellow Republican for governor". April 2, 2024. Retrieved April 21, 2024.
49. ^ "Josh Stein won't debate Mark Robinson after lieutenant governor posts X video calling for one". September 17, 2024. Retrieved September 7, 2024.
50. ^ Kaczynski, Andrew; Steck, Em (September 19, 2024). "Mark Robinson, NC GOP nominee for governor, called himself a 'black NAZI!,' supported slavery in past comments made on porn forum". CNN. Retrieved September 19, 2024.
51. ^ a b "NC Lt. Gov. Mark Robinson says 'tabloid lies' won't force him out of governor's race". The News & Observer. September 19, 2024. Retrieved September 19, 2024.
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53. ^ Staff, CJ (September 19, 2024). "Robinson under pressure to withdraw from gubernatorial race". Carolina Journal. Retrieved September 19, 2024.
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71. ^ "Jewish Dems: President Biden Stands with Israel". Jewish Democratic Council of America. Retrieved May 10, 2024.
72. ^ Daniels, Cheyanne (September 20, 2024). "Martin Luther King III blasts Mark Robinson's alleged comments of his father". The Hill.
73. ^ Renewal, Republicans for National (April 20, 2024). "Republicans for National Renewal Endorses Mark Robinson for Governor". Republicans for National Renewal. Retrieved May 13, 2024.
74. ^ Killian, Joe; Henkel, Clayton (April 2, 2024). "State treasurer declines to endorse fellow Republican for governor". NC Newsline. Retrieved April 13, 2024.
75. ^ a b Schofield, Rob (April 11, 2024). "Troubled waters for Mark Robinson". NC Newsline. Retrieved April 21, 2024.
76. ^ "Campaign Document Search By Entity". North Carolina State Board of Elections.
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79. ^ "North Carolina Governor polls - The Hill and DDHQ". The Hill.

North Carolina Primary Results (2024)

## External links

[edit]

Official campaign websites

* Mark Robinson (R) for Governor
* Mike Ross (L) for Governor
* Vinny Smith (C) for Governor
* Josh Stein (D) for Governor
* Wayne Turner (G) for Governor

* v
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* 1853
* 1854 S
* 1868S
* 1871
* 1872 S
* 1876
* 1883
* 1889
* 1894
* 1901
* 1907
* 1913
* 1918
* 1924
* 1930
* 1936
* 1942
* 1948
* 1948 S
* 1950 S
* 1954
* 1954 S
* 1958 S
* 1960
* 1966
* 1972
* 1978
* 1984
* 1990
* 1996
* 2002
* 2008
* 2014
* 2020
* 2026

|

Class III|

* 1789
* 1795
* 1800
* 1806
* 1812
* 1814 S
* 1815 S
* 1818
* 1825
* 1828 S
* 1830
* 1836 S
* 1836
* 1840 S
* 1843
* 1846 S
* 1849
* 1855
* 1858 S
* 1861
* 1868 S
* 1872
* 1879
* 1884
* 1890
* 1894 S
* 1897
* 1903
* 1909
* 1914
* 1920
* 1926
* 1932 S
* 1932
* 1938
* 1944
* 1950
* 1954 S
* 1956
* 1962
* 1968
* 1974
* 1980
* 1986
* 1992
* 1998
* 2004
* 2010
* 2016
* 2022

House of Representatives elections|

* 2000
* 2002
* 2004
* 2006
* 2008
* 2010
* 2012
* 2014
* 2016
* 2018
* 2020
* 2022
* 2024

* v
* t
* e

(2023 <-)  2024 United States elections (-> 2025)

U.S.
President|

* Alabama
* Alaska
* Arizona
* Arkansas
* California
* Colorado
* Connecticut
* Delaware
* District of Columbia
* Florida
* Georgia
* Hawaii
* Idaho
* Illinois
* Indiana
* Iowa
* Kansas
* Kentucky
* Louisiana
* Maine
* Maryland
* Massachusetts
* Michigan
* Minnesota
* Mississippi
* Missouri
* Montana
* Nebraska
* Nevada
* New Hampshire
* New Jersey
* New Mexico
* New York
* North Carolina
* North Dakota
* Ohio
* Oklahoma
* Oregon
* Pennsylvania
* Rhode Island
* South Carolina
* South Dakota
* Tennessee
* Texas
* Utah
* Vermont
* Virginia
* Washington
* West Virginia
* Wisconsin
* Wyoming
* Guam (straw poll)
* Puerto Rico (straw poll)

U.S.
Senate|

* Arizona
* California
* Connecticut
* Delaware
* Florida
* Hawaii
* Indiana
* Maine
* Maryland
* Massachusetts
* Michigan
* Minnesota
* Mississippi
* Missouri
* Montana
* Nebraska (regular)
* Nebraska (special)
* Nevada
* New Jersey
* New Mexico
* New York
* North Dakota
* Ohio
* Pennsylvania
* Rhode Island
* Tennessee
* Texas
* Utah
* Vermont
* Virginia
* Washington
* West Virginia
* Wisconsin
* Wyoming
* District of Columbia (shadow)

U.S.
House
(election
ratings)|

* Alabama
* Alaska
* American Samoa
* Arizona
* Arkansas
* California
* 16th
* 20th sp
* 30th
* 45th
* 47th
* Colorado
* 4th sp
* Connecticut
* Delaware
* District of Columbia
* shadow
* Florida
* Georgia
* Guam
* Hawaii
* Idaho
* Illinois
* Indiana
* Iowa
* Kansas
* Kentucky
* Louisiana
* Maine
* Maryland
* 6th
* Massachusetts
* Michigan
* Minnesota
* Mississippi
* Missouri
* Montana
* Nebraska
* Nevada
* New Hampshire
* New Jersey
* 10th sp
* New Mexico
* New York
* 3rd sp
* 26th sp
* North Carolina
* North Dakota
* Northern Mariana Islands
* Ohio
* 6th sp
* Oklahoma
* Oregon
* Pennsylvania
* Puerto Rico
* Rhode Island
* South Carolina
* South Dakota
* Tennessee
* Texas
* 18th sp
* Utah
* Vermont
* Virginia
* U.S. Virgin Islands
* Washington
* West Virginia
* Wisconsin
* 8th sp
* Wyoming

Governors|

* American Samoa
* Delaware
* Lt. Gov
* Indiana
* Missouri
* Lt. Gov
* Montana
* New Hampshire
* North Carolina
* Lt. Gov
* North Dakota
* Puerto Rico
* Utah
* Vermont
* Lt. Gov
* Washington
* Lt. Gov
* West Virginia

Attorneys
general|

* Indiana
* Missouri
* Montana
* North Carolina
* Oregon
* Pennsylvania
* Utah
* Vermont
* Washington
* West Virginia

Secretaries
of state|

* Missouri
* Montana
* North Carolina
* Oregon
* Vermont
* Washington
* West Virginia

State
treasurers|

* Arkansas (special)
* Missouri
* North Carolina
* North Dakota
* Oregon
* Pennsylvania
* Utah
* Vermont
* Washington
* West Virginia

Other
statewide
elections|

* Arizona
* Corporation Commission
* Georgia
* Judicial
* Kentucky
* Supreme Court
* Montana
* State Auditor
* New Hampshire
* Executive Council
* North Carolina
* Council of State
* North Dakota
* State Auditor
* Pennsylvania
* Auditor General
* Utah
* State Auditor
* Vermont
* State Auditor
* Washington
* State Auditor
* Public Lands Commissioner
* West Virginia
* State Auditor

State
legislative|

* Alaska
* House
* Senate
* Arizona
* House
* Senate
* Arkansas
* House
* Senate
* California
* Assembly
* Senate
* Colorado
* House
* Senate
* Connecticut
* House
* Senate
* Delaware
* House
* Senate
* Florida
* House
* Senate
* Georgia
* House
* Senate
* Hawaii
* House
* Senate
* Idaho
* House
* Senate
* Illinois
* House
* Senate
* Indiana
* House
* Senate
* Iowa
* House
* Senate
* Kansas
* House
* Senate
* Kentucky
* House
* Senate
* Maine
* House
* Senate
* Massachusetts
* House
* Senate
* Michigan
* House
* Minnesota
* House
* Missouri
* House
* Senate
* Montana
* House
* Senate
* Nebraska
* Nevada
* Assembly
* Senate
* New Hampshire
* House
* Senate
* New Mexico
* House
* Senate
* New York
* Assembly
* Senate
* North Carolina
* House
* Senate
* North Dakota
* House
* Senate
* Ohio
* House
* Senate
* Oklahoma
* House
* Senate
* Oregon
* House
* Senate
* Pennsylvania
* House
* Senate
* Puerto Rico
* House
* Senate
* Rhode Island
* House
* Senate
* South Carolina
* House
* Senate
* South Dakota
* House
* Senate
* Tennessee
* House
* Senate
* Texas
* House
* Senate
* Utah
* House
* Senate
* Vermont
* House
* Senate
* Washington
* House
* Senate
* West Virginia
* House
* Senate
* Wisconsin
* Assembly
* Senate
* Wyoming
* House
* Senate
* Special elections

Mayors|

* Alexandria, VA
* Anchorage, AK
* Austin, TX
* Bakersfield, CA
* Baltimore, MD
* Baton Rouge, LA
* Bridgeport, CT
* Burlington, VT
* El Paso, TX
* Fayetteville, AR
* Fort Lauderdale, FL
* Fresno, CA
* Grand Rapids, MI
* Honolulu, HI
* Huntington, WV
* Huntsville, AL
* Irvine, CA
* Las Vegas, NV
* Mesa, AZ
* Miami-Dade County, FL
* Milwaukee, WI
* Phoenix, AZ
* Portland, OR
* Pueblo, CO
* Raleigh, NC
* Richmond, VA
* Riverside, CA
* Sacramento, CA
* Salt Lake County, UT
* San Diego, CA
* San Francisco, CA
* San Jose, CA
* Stockton, CA
* Tulsa, OK
* Virginia Beach, VA
* Wilmington, DE

Local|

* Alameda County, CA (recall)
* Chicago, IL
* Los Angeles, CA
* Los Angeles County, CA
* Maricopa County, AZ
* Board of Supervisors
* Multnomah County, OR
* Orange County, CA
* Portland, OR
* City Auditor
* City Council
* San Diego, CA
* San Francisco, CA
* San Mateo County, CA
* Tulsa, OK
* Washington, D.C.

States and
territories|

* Alabama
* Alaska
* American Samoa
* Arizona
* Arkansas
* California
* Colorado
* Connecticut
* Delaware
* Florida
* Georgia
* Guam
* Hawaii
* Idaho
* Illinois
* Indiana
* Iowa
* Kansas
* Kentucky
* Louisiana
* Maine
* Maryland
* Massachusetts
* Michigan
* Minnesota
* Mississippi
* Missouri
* Montana
* Nebraska
* Nevada
* New Hampshire
* New Jersey
* New Mexico
* New York
* North Carolina
* North Dakota
* Northern Mariana Islands
* Ohio
* Oklahoma
* Oregon
* Pennsylvania
* Puerto Rico
* Rhode Island
* South Carolina
* South Dakota
* Tennessee
* Texas
* U.S. Virgin Islands
* Utah
* Vermont
* Virginia
* Washington
* Washington, D.C.
* West Virginia
* Wisconsin
* Wyoming

Ballot
measures|

* Alabama
* Amendment 1
* Alaska
* Ballot Measure 2
* Arizona
* Proposition 139
* California
* Proposition 1
* Proposition 2
* Proposition 3
* Colorado
* Amendment 79
* District of Columbia
* Initiative 83
* Florida
* Amendment 3
* Amendment 4
* Idaho
* open primary initiative
* Kentucky
* Amendment 2
* Maine
* Question 5
* Maryland
* Question 1
* Missouri
* Amendment 3
* Montana
* Initiative 128
* Nebraska
* Abortion Amendment
* Ohio
* Issue 1
* Puerto Rico
* Status
* South Dakota
* Amendment G
* Amendment H

*[v]: View this template
*[t]: Discuss this template
*[e]: Edit this template
*[No.]: Number
*[VA]: Virginia
*[AK]: Alaska
*[TX]: Texas
*[CA]: California
*[MD]: Maryland
*[LA]: Louisiana
*[CT]: Connecticut
*[VT]: Vermont
*[AR]: Arkansas
*[FL]: Florida
*[MI]: Michigan
*[HI]: Hawaii
*[WV]: West Virginia
*[AL]: Alabama
*[NV]: Nevada
*[AZ]: Arizona
*[WI]: Wisconsin
*[OR]: Oregon
*[CO]: Colorado
*[NC]: North Carolina
*[UT]: Utah
*[OK]: Oklahoma
*[DE]: Delaware
*[IL]: Illinois