2024 United States Senate election in Nevada

For related races, see 2024 United States Senate elections.

Not to be confused with 2024 Nevada Senate election.

2024 United States Senate election in Nevada

* * *

| <- 2018 | November 5, 2024 | 2030 ->

|
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|  |  |

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Nominee  | Jacky Rosen | Sam Brown |
Party  | Democratic | Republican

* * *

| Incumbent U.S. senator

Jacky Rosen
Democratic

|

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None of These Candidates

Nevada portal

* v
* t
* e

The 2024 United States Senate election in Nevada will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Nevada. Democratic incumbent Jacky Rosen is seeking a second term. She is being challenged by Republican businessman Sam Brown. Primary elections took place on June 11, 2024.[1] The election is considered essential for Democrats' chances to retain the Senate majority in 2024.[2]

## Background

[edit]

A typical swing state, Nevada is considered to be a purple state at the federal level, especially since in the 2020 presidential election, Joe Biden carried Nevada by about two percentage points. Both parties have seen success in the state in recent years. Democrats control both U.S. Senate seats, majorities in both state legislative chambers, and all but one seat in its congressional delegation, while Republicans flipped the governorship and lieutenant governorship in 2022.[3][4][5]

As of June 2024, no Republican has won any U.S. Senate race in Nevada since 2012. This race is considered to be highly competitive given the state's nearly even partisan lean; however, most polls and ratings show Rosen to be the favorite to win.[6]

## Democratic primary

[edit]

### Candidates

[edit]

#### Nominee

[edit]

* Jacky Rosen, incumbent U.S. senator[7]

#### Eliminated in primary

[edit]

* Mike Schaefer, member of the California State Board of Equalization from the 4th district (2019–present)[8]
* Troy Zakari Walker, business consultant[9]

### Endorsements

[edit]

Jacky Rosen

U.S representatives

* Gabby Giffords, U.S. representative from Arizona's 8th congressional district (2007–2012)[10]

Statewide officials

* Andy Beshear, Governor of Kentucky (2019–present)[11]
* Gretchen Whitmer, Governor of Michigan (2019-present)[12]

Individuals

* Cristina Tzintzún Ramirez, labor organizer and president of NextGen America PAC (2021–present)[13]

Labor unions

* AFSCME Nevada[14]
* Culinary Workers Union[15]
* LiUNA Local 872[16]
* National Education Association[17]
* Nevada AFL-CIO[18]

Organizations

* 314 Action[19]
* American Israel Public Affairs Committee (AIPAC)[20]
* Bend the Arc[21]
* CHC BOLD PAC[22]
* Democratic Majority for Israel[23]
* EMILY's List[24]
* End Citizens United[25]
* Feminist Majority PAC[26]
* Giffords[10]
* Human Rights Campaign[27]
* Humane Society Legislative Fund[28]
* Jewish Democratic Council of America[29]
* Joint Action Committee for Political Affairs[30]
* League of Conservation Voters[31]
* National Organization for Women PAC[32]
* National Women's Political Caucus[33]
* Natural Resources Defense Council[34]
* NextGen America PAC[13]
* Planned Parenthood Action Fund[35]
* Population Connection Action Fund[36]
* Reproductive Freedom for All[37]
* Sierra Club[38]
* Silver State Equality[39]
* Swing Left[40]

Newspapers

* Las Vegas Sun (Democratic primary only)[41]
* Las Vegas Weekly (Democratic primary only)[42]

### Fundraising

[edit]

Campaign finance reports as of May 22, 2024

Candidate  | Raised  | Spent  | Cash on hand
Jacky Rosen (D)  | $27,387,983  | $17,316,743  | $10,249,429
Troy Walker (D)  | $705  | $675  | $0
Source: Federal Election Commission[43]

### Results

[edit]

Primary results by county:

Rosen

* 60–70%

* 70–80%

* 80–90%

* >90%

Democratic primary results[44] Party  | Candidate  | Votes  | %

|
|
|

| Democratic | Jacky Rosen (incumbent)  | 144,090  | 91.51%
| Democratic | Troy Zakari Walker  | 5,899  | 3.75%
| Democratic | None of These Candidates | 3,951  | 2.51%
| Democratic | Mike Schaefer | 3,521  | 2.24%
Total votes  | 157,461  | 100.0%

## Republican primary

[edit]

### Candidates

[edit]

#### Nominee

[edit]

* Sam Brown, medical support company founder and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2022[45]

#### Eliminated in primary

[edit]

* William Conrad, former Modesto, California city councilor and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2022[46]
* Tony Grady Jr., Reno Air Races director of flight operations and candidate for lieutenant governor in 2022[47]
* Jeffrey Ross Gunter, former U.S. Ambassador to Iceland (2019–2021)[48]
* Edward Hamilton, businessman and perennial candidate[9]
* Ronda Kennedy, civil rights attorney and perennial candidate[49]
* Barry Lindemann, real estate developer and independent candidate for U.S. Senate in 2022[50]
* Garn Mabey, former Minority Leader of the Nevada Assembly (2007) for the 2nd district (2003–2009) and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2010[9]
* Jim Marchant, former state assemblyman for the 37th district (2016–2018), founder of the America First Secretary of State Coalition, nominee for Secretary of State in 2022, and nominee for Nevada's 4th congressional district in 2020[51]
* Gary Marinch, real estate investor and perennial candidate[9]
* Stephanie Phillips, real estate broker[49]
* Vincent Rego, delivery driver[9]

#### Declined

[edit]

* Mark Amodei, U.S. representative for Nevada's 2nd congressional district (2011–present) (running for re-election)[52]
* April Becker, attorney and nominee for Nevada's 3rd congressional district in 2022[53] (running for Clark County Commission)[54]
* Heidi Gansert, Minority Leader of the Nevada Senate[53][55]
* Adam Laxalt, former Nevada Attorney General (2015–2019), grandson of former U.S. Senator Paul Laxalt, nominee for U.S. Senate in 2022, and nominee for governor in 2018[53]
* Brian Sandoval, president of University of Nevada, Reno (2020–present) and former governor of Nevada (2011–2019)[53]

### Endorsements

[edit]

Sam Brown

Executive Branch officials

* Donald Trump, 45th President of the United States (2017–2021)[56]

U.S. senators

* Marsha Blackburn, U.S. senator from Tennessee (2019–present)[57]
* Tom Cotton, U.S. senator from Arkansas (2015–present)[58]
* Steve Daines, U.S. senator from Montana (2015–present)[59]
* Markwayne Mullin, U.S. senator from Oklahoma (2023–present)[60]
* John Thune, U.S. senator from South Dakota (2005–present)[58]

Statewide officials

* Joe Lombardo, Governor of Nevada (2023–present)[61]

Organizations

* Americans for Prosperity[62]
* The LIBRE Initiative[63]
* Senate Conservatives Fund[64]

Jeffrey Ross Gunter

U.S. representatives

* Matt Gaetz, U.S. Representative for FL-1 (2017–present)[65]
* Lee Zeldin, former U.S. representative for NY-1 (2015–2023)[66]

Jim Marchant

Executive branch officials

* Michael Flynn, former U.S. National Security Advisor (2017) and former Director of the Defense Intelligence Agency (2012–2014)[67]

U.S. representatives

* Paul Gosar, U.S. representative for AZ-9 (2011–present)[68]

Individuals

* Dick Morris, commentator and former advisor to president Bill Clinton[68]
* Wayne Allyn Root, conservative TV host and conspiracy theorist[68]

Garn Mabey

Newspapers

* Las Vegas Sun (Republican primary only)[41]
* Las Vegas Weekly (Republican primary only)[42]

### Polling

[edit]

Poll source  | Date(s)
administered  | Sample
size[a] | Margin
of error  | Sam
Brown  | Tony
Grady  | Jeff
Gunter  | Jim
Marchant  | Other  | Undecided

|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|

Noble Predictive Insights | June 4–5, 2024  | 424 (LV)  | ± 4.8%  | 50% | 4%  | 15%  | 8%  | 12%[b] | 12%
Kaplan Strategies[A] | May 30, 2024  | 802 (LV)  | ± 3.5%  | 30%  | 4%  | 31% | 7%  | 1%[c] | 27%
Terrance Group[B] | May 13–16, 2024  | 500 (LV)  | ± 4.5%  | 52% | –  | 14%  | 7%  | –  | 27%
Terrance Group[B] | April 7–10, 2024  | 500 (LV)  | ± 4.5%  | 58% | 3%  | 3%  | 6%  | –  | 29%
Noble Predictive Insights | February 27 – March 5, 2024  | 296 (RV)  | ± 5.7%  | 39% | –  | –  | 26%  | –  | 35%
Tarrance Group[B] | October 23–26, 2023  | 600 (LV)  | ± 4.1%  | 24% | 5%  | 1%  | 9%  | –  | 41%
Public Opinion Strategies[C] | August 15–17, 2023  | 500 (LV)  | ± 4.38%  | 33% | 2%  | 1%  | 15%  | 3%[d] | 44%

### Fundraising

[edit]

Campaign finance reports as of May 22, 2024

Candidate  | Raised  | Spent  | Cash on hand
Sam Brown (R)  | $7,084,690  | $4,605,289  | $2,479,400
William Conrad (R)  | $12,476[e] | $7,098  | $9,161
Tony Grady Jr. (R)  | $278,061  | $255,593  | $22,467
Jeffrey Ross Gunter (R)  | $3,317,546[f] | $2,980,286  | $337,260
Ronda Kennedy (R)  | $27,786[g] | $18,620  | $9,165
Barry Lindemann (R)  | $64,106  | $63,947  | $2,783
Jim Marchant (R)  | $434,323  | $374,665  | $59,657
Stephanie Phillips (R)  | $82,761  | $81,427  | $1,333
Source: Federal Election Commission[43]

### Results

[edit]

Primary results by county

Brown

* 40–50%

* 50–60%

* 60–70%

* 70–80%

Republican primary results[44] Party  | Candidate  | Votes  | %

|
|
|

| Republican | Sam Brown | 103,102  | 60.17%
| Republican | Jeffrey Ross Gunter | 24,987  | 14.58%
| Republican | Jim Marchant | 11,190  | 6.53%
| Republican | Tony Grady Jr.  | 9,565  | 5.58%
| Republican | None of These Candidates | 7,164  | 4.18%
| Republican | William Conrad  | 6,038  | 3.52%
| Republican | Stephanie Phillips  | 3,828  | 2.23%
| Republican | Garn Mabey | 1,818  | 1.06%
| Republican | Ronda Kennedy  | 1,786  | 1.04%
| Republican | Barry Lindemann  | 852  | 0.50%
| Republican | Edward Hamilton  | 478  | 0.28%
| Republican | Vincent Rego  | 311  | 0.18%
| Republican | Gary Marinch  | 231  | 0.13%
Total votes  | 171,350  | 100.0%

## Third-party and independent candidates

[edit]

### Declared

[edit]

* Chris Cunningham (Libertarian), ecommerce consultant and esports commentator[9]
* Joseph Destin (Independent), truck driver and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2022[9]
* Janine Hansen (Independent American), former Constitution Party national treasurer and perennial candidate[9]
* Chris Mazlo (Independent)[9]
* Allen Rheinhart (Independent), artist and perennial candidate[9]
* Ed Uehling (Independent), real estate investor and perennial candidate[9]

### Fundraising

[edit]

Campaign finance reports as of May 22, 2024

Candidate  | Raised  | Spent  | Cash on hand
Chris Cunningham (L)  | $800  | $16  | $809
Source: Federal Election Commission[43]

## General election

[edit]

### Predictions

[edit]

Source  | Ranking  | As of

|
|

The Cook Political Report[69] | Lean D  | August 15, 2024
Inside Elections[70] | Tilt D  | November 9, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[71] | Lean D  | November 9, 2023
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[72] | Likely D  | August 31, 2024
Elections Daily[73] | Lean D  | May 4, 2023
CNalysis[74] | Tilt D  | November 21, 2023
RealClearPolitics[75] | Lean D  | August 21, 2024

### Post-primary endorsements

[edit]

Jacky Rosen (D)

Individuals

* Harry Dunn, former U.S. Capitol Police officer[76]

Labor unions

* Actors' Equity Association[77]

Janine Hansen (IA)

Political parties

* Independent American Party of Nevada[78]

### Fundraising

[edit]

Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2024

Candidate  | Raised  | Spent  | Cash on hand
Jacky Rosen (D)  | $31,924,825  | $22,615,491  | $9,487,523
Sam Brown (R)  | $9,719,083  | $6,606,956  | $3,112,128
Chris Cunningham (L)  | $800  | $64  | $761
Source: Federal Election Commission[43]

### Polling

[edit]

Aggregate polls
Source of poll
aggregation  | Dates
administered  | Dates
updated  | Jacky
Rosen (D)  | Sam
Brown (R)  | Undecided
[h] | Margin

|
|
|
|
|
|

RCP | August 23 - September 18, 2024  | September 20, 2024  | 48.8% | 40.0%  | 11.2%  | Rosen +8.8
Poll source  | Date(s)
administered  | Sample
size[a] | Margin
of error  | Jacky
Rosen (D)  | Sam
Brown (R)  | Other  | Undecided

|
|
|
|
|
|
|

Emerson College[D] | September 15–18, 2024  | 895 (LV)  | ± 3.2%  | 48% | 41%  | 3%[i] | 9%
Morning Consult | September 9–18, 2024  | 474 (LV)  | ± 5.0%  | 52% | 39%  | –  | 9%
The Trafalgar Group (R) | September 11–13, 2024  | 1,079 (LV)  | ± 2.9%  | 48% | 40%  | 7%[j] | 4%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[E] | September 6–9, 2024  | 698 (LV)  | ± 4.1%  | 47% | 39%  | 5%[k] | 9%
Morning Consult | August 30 – September 8, 2024  | 516 (LV)  | ± 4.0%  | 50% | 40%  | –  | 10%
YouGov[F] | August 23 – September 3, 2024  | 800 (RV)  | ± 4.7%  | 51% | 39%  | –  | 10%
InsiderAdvantage (R) | August 29–31, 2024  | 800 (LV)  | ± 3.5%  | 49% | 39%  | 2%[l] | 10%
CNN/SRSS | August 23–29, 2024  | 626 (LV)  | ± 4.9%  | 50% | 40%  | 9%[m] | 1%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[E] | August 25–28, 2024  | 490 (LV)  | ± 4.1%  | 43% | 39%  | 4%[n] | 14%
Emerson College[D] | August 25–28, 2024  | 1,168 (LV)  | ± 2.8%  | 50% | 40%  | 4%[o] | 6%
Fox News | August 23–26, 2024  | 1,026 (RV)  | ± 3.0%  | 55% | 41%  | 3%[p] | 1%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[E] | August 12–15, 2024  | 536 (LV)  | ± 3.87%  | 41% | 37%  | 5%[q] | 19%
NYT/Siena College | August 12–15, 2024  | 677 (RV)  | ± 4.2%  | 48% | 37%  | –  | 15%
677 (LV)  | ± 4.4%  | 49% | 40%  | –  | 11%
Strategies 360 | August 7–14, 2024  | 350 (RV)  | ± 5.2%  | 50% | 38%  | 5%[r] | 6%
Providence Polling | August 3–5, 2024  | 991 (LV)  | ± 3.0%  | 52% | 40%  | 9%[s] | –
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[E] | July 31 – August 3, 2024  | 470 (LV)  | ± 4.16%  | 41% | 38%  | 3%[t] | 19%
BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[G] | July 26 – August 2, 2024  | 403 (LV)  | –  | 54% | 36%  | –  | 10%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[E] | July 22–24, 2024  | 435 (LV)  | ± 4.14%  | 45% | 40%  | 3%[u] | 10%
| July 21, 2024  | Joe Biden withdraws from the presidential election
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[E] | July 16–18, 2024  | 412 (LV)  | –  | 41% | 37%  | 4% [v] | 16%
YouGov[F] | July 4–12, 2024  | 800 (RV)  | ± 4.7%  | 47% | 40%  | 1%  | 11%
731 (LV)  | –  | 47% | 41%  | 1%  | 10%
Remington Research Group (R)[H] | June 29 – July 1, 2024  | 601 (LV)  | –  | 48% | 46%  | –  | 6%
National Public Affairs | June 28 – July 1, 2024  | 817 (LV)  | ± 3.4%  | 41% | 33%  | 8%  | 18%
Emerson College[D] | June 13–18, 2024  | 1,000 (RV)  | ± 3.0%  | 50% | 38%  | –  | 13%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/
Impact Research (D)[I] | June 12–18, 2024  | 600 (LV)  | ± 4.0%  | 47% | 42%  | –  | 11%
| June 11, 2024  | Primary elections held
The Tyson Group[J] | May 22–25, 2024  | 601 (LV)  | ± 4.0%  | 47% | 33%  | 4%[w] | 16%
Mainstreet Research/FAU | May 19–21, 2024  | 522 (RV)  | ± 4.3%  | 48% | 35%  | 8%  | 9%
494 (LV)  | ± 4.3%  | 48% | 37%  | 7%  | 8%
NYT/Siena College | April 28 – May 9, 2024  | 614 (RV)  | ± 4.0%  | 40% | 38%  | –  | 22%
614 (LV)  | ± 4.0%  | 41% | 41% | –  | 18%
Emerson College[D] | April 25–29, 2024  | 1,000 (RV)  | ± 3.0%  | 45% | 37%  | –  | 18%
Emerson College | March 12–15, 2024  | 1,000 (RV)  | ± 3.0%  | 41% | 39%  | –  | 21%
Noble Predictive Insights | February 27 – March 5, 2024  | 829 (RV)  | ± 3.4%  | 41% | 35%  | –  | 24%
Emerson College | February 16–19, 2024  | 1,000 (RV)  | ± 3.0%  | 40% | 38%  | –  | 22%
Change Research (D) | December 3–7, 2023  | 2,532 (V)  | –  | 39% | 38%  | 0%  | 23%
Tarrance Group (R)[B] | October 23–26, 2023  | 600 (LV)  | ± 4.1%  | 45% | 40%  | 5%  | 10%

Hypothetical polling

Jacky Rosen vs. Jim Marchant
Poll source  | Date(s)
administered  | Sample
size[a] | Margin
of error  | Jacky
Rosen (D)  | Jim
Marchant (R)  | Other  | Undecided

|
|
|
|
|
|
|

Emerson College | March 12–15, 2024  | 1,000 (RV)  | ± 3.0%  | 44% | 34%  | –  | 22%
Noble Predictive Insights | February 27 – March 5, 2024  | 829 (RV)  | ± 3.4%  | 43% | 34%  | –  | 23%
Emerson College | February 16–19, 2024  | 1,000 (RV)  | ± 3.0%  | 42% | 36%  | –  | 22%

Jacky Rosen vs. Jeff Gunter
Poll source  | Date(s)
administered  | Sample
size[a] | Margin
of error  | Jacky
Rosen (D)  | Jeff
Gunter (R)  | Other  | Undecided

|
|
|
|
|
|
|

Emerson College[D] | April 25–29, 2024  | 1,000 (RV)  | ± 3.0%  | 47% | 33%  | –  | 21%
Emerson College | March 12–15, 2024  | 1,000 (RV)  | ± 3.0%  | 43% | 34%  | –  | 23%
Emerson College | February 16–19, 2024  | 1,000 (RV)  | ± 3.0%  | 43% | 32%  | –  | 25%

### Results

[edit]

2024 United States Senate election in Nevada  Party  | Candidate  | Votes  | %  | ±%

|
|
|
|

| Democratic | Jacky Rosen (incumbent)  |  |  |
| Republican | Sam Brown |  |  |
| Libertarian | Chris Cunningham  |  |  |
| Independent American | Janine Hansen  |  |  |
| Independent | Joseph Destin  |  |  | N/A
| Independent | Chris Mazlo  |  |  | N/A
| Independent | Allen Rheinhart  |  |  | N/A
| Independent | Edmund Uehling  |  |  | N/A
| None of These Candidates |  |  |
Total votes  |  |  |

## Notes

[edit]

1. ^ a b c d Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear
2. ^ "Another candidate not listed" with 7%; "Refused/Would not vote" with 5%
3. ^ Bill Conrad with 1%; Ronda Kennedy with 0%
4. ^ Bill Conrad, Ronda Kennedy, and Barry Lindemann with 1%
5. ^ $2,100 of this total was self-funded by Conrad
6. ^ $2,725,000 of this total was self-funded by Gunter
7. ^ $21,600 of this total was self-funded by Kennedy
8. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
9. ^ "None of these candidates" with 3%
10. ^ "Other" with 7%
11. ^ Hansen (IA) and "Wouldn't vote if these are the candidates" with 2%; Cunningham (L) with 1%
12. ^ "Another candidate" with 2%
13. ^ "Other" with 7%; "Neither" with 2%
14. ^ Hansen (IA) with 2%; Cunningham (L) with 1%; "Wouldn't vote if these are the candidates" with 1%
15. ^ "None of these Candidates" with 4%
16. ^ "Other" with 2%; "Wouldn't vote" with 1%
17. ^ Janine Hansen (IA) and Chris Cunningham (L) with 2%; "Other (Another Third Party/Write-In)" with 1%
18. ^ Chris Cunningham (L) with 3%; "None of These Candidates" with 2%
19. ^ "None of These Candidates" with 6%; "Other Candidates" with 3%
20. ^ Janine Hansen (IA) with 2%; Chris Cunningham (L) with 1%
21. ^ Janine Hansen (IA) with 2%; Chris Cunningham (L) with 1%
22. ^ Chris Cunningham (L) and Janine Hansen (IA) with 2%
23. ^ Chris Cunningham (L) with 4%

Partisan clients

1. ^ This poll was sponsored by Gunter's campaign
2. ^ a b c d This poll was sponsored by the National Republican Senatorial Committee, which supports Brown
3. ^ This poll was sponsored by Duty First Super PAC, which supports Brown
4. ^ a b c d e Poll sponsored by The Hill
5. ^ a b c d e f Poll sponsored by The Daily Telegraph
6. ^ a b Poll sponsored by The Times, Stanford University, Arizona State University, and Yale University
7. ^ Poll sponsored by The Cook Political Report
8. ^ Poll sponsored by American Fuel & Petrochemical Manufacturers, a group that supports Republicans.
9. ^ Poll sponsored by AARP
10. ^ Poll sponsored by Breaking Battlegrounds

## References

[edit]

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78. ^ "Candidates". IAPN. Retrieved June 13, 2024.

## External links

[edit]

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* Sam Brown (R) for Senate
* Chris Cunningham (L) for Senate
* Joseph Destin (I) for Senate
* Janine Hansen (IA) for Senate
* Allen Rheinhart (I) for Senate
* Jacky Rosen (D) for Senate

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