2024 United States presidential election in Nevada

Main article: 2024 United States presidential election

2024 United States presidential election in Nevada

* * *

| <- 2020 | November 5, 2024 | 2028 ->

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Nominee  | Kamala Harris | Donald Trump |
Party  | Democratic | Republican
Home state  | California | Florida
Running mate  | Tim Walz | JD Vance

* * *

| Incumbent President

Joe Biden
Democratic

|

Elections in Nevada

Federal government

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* 2002 Nevada Question 2
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Reno

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None of These Candidates

Nevada portal

* v
* t
* e

The 2024 United States presidential election in Nevada is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Nevada voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Nevada has six electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.[1]

A Mountain West state with a distinct libertarian streak, Nevada is considered to be a crucial swing state in 2024, although no Republican presidential nominee has won Nevada since George W. Bush's narrow victory in 2004. Except in 2008, the wins were always in single digits for Democrats; Obama won by less than 7% in 2012 and Trump lost by less than 2.5% in both 2016 and 2020.

Incumbent Democratic president Joe Biden was running for reelection to a second term,[2] but withdrew from the election on July 21, 2024.[3] He then endorsed Vice President Kamala Harris, who launched her presidential campaign the same day.[4] Independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. has gathered enough signatures to appear on the ballot, as he announced in March.[5]

Despite Donald Trump—the Republican nominee—not carrying Nevada in either of his two presidential campaigns, polling in the state showed Trump in a strong position to win the state against Biden, with Trump leading Biden in all major poll on Nevada's voting intention from October 2023 until Biden's withdrawal in July 2024. However, Kamala Harris, from neighboring California, has polled somewhat better since becoming the Democrats' presumptive nominee.[6]

## Primary elections

[edit]

### Democratic primary

[edit]

Main article: 2024 Nevada Democratic presidential primary

The Nevada Democratic primary was held on February 6, 2024.

Nevada Democratic primary, February 6, 2024[7] Candidate  | Votes  | Percentage  | Actual delegate count

|
|
|

Pledged  | Unpledged  | Total
Joe Biden (incumbent) | 119,758 | 89.3% | 36 |  | 36
None of These Candidates | 7,448  | 5.6%  |  |  |
Marianne Williamson | 4,101  | 3.1%  |  |  |
Gabriel Cornejo  | 811  | 0.6%  |  |  |
Jason Palmer | 530  | 0.4%  |  |  |
Frankie Lozada  | 315  | 0.2%  |  |  |
Armando Perez-Serrato  | 264  | 0.2%  |  |  |
John Haywood  | 241  | 0.2%  |  |  |
Stephen Lyons  | 147  | 0.1%  |  |  |
Superpayaseria Crystalroc  | 133  | 0.1%  |  |  |
Donald Picard  | 124  | 0.1%  |  |  |
Brent Foutz  | 93  | 0.1%  |  |  |
Stephen Alan Leon  | 89  | 0.1%  |  |  |
Mark R. Prascak  | 33  | <0.1%  |  |  |
Total:  | 134,087  | 100%  | 36  | 13  | 49

### Republican nominating contests

[edit]

Main article: 2024 Nevada Republican presidential nominating contests

Although the Nevada state government established a primary system in 2021, the state Republican Party chose to boycott the primary, scheduled for February 6, in favor of a party-organized caucus, scheduled for February 8. Votes from the primary will not be included in determining delegate allocation.

Nevada Republican primary, February 6, 2024[8] Candidate  | Votes  | Percentage

|
|

None of These Candidates[9] | 50,763 | 63.26%
Nikki Haley | 24,583  | 30.63%
Mike Pence (withdrawn)  | 3,091  | 3.85%
Tim Scott (withdrawn)  | 1,081  | 1.35%
John Anthony Castro | 270  | 0.34%
Hirsh V. Singh (withdrawn)  | 200  | 0.25%
Donald Kjornes  | 166  | 0.21%
Heath V. Fulkerson  | 95  | 0.12%
Total:  | 80,249  | 100.00%
Nevada Republican caucus, February 8, 2024[10] Candidate  | Votes  | Percentage  | Actual delegate count

|
|
|

Bound  | Unbound  | Total
Donald Trump | 59,982 | 99.11% | 25 | 1[a] | 26
Ryan Binkley | 540  | 0.89%  | 0  | 0  | 0
Total  | 60,522  | 100.00%  | 25  | 1  | 26

## General election

[edit]

### Predictions

[edit]

Source  | Ranking  | As of

|
|

Cook Political Report[11] | Tossup  | August 8, 2024
Inside Elections[12] | Tossup  | May 9, 2024
Sabato's Crystal Ball[13] | Tossup  | June 29, 2023
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[14] | Tossup  | December 14, 2023
CNalysis[15] | Tossup  | August 5, 2024
CNN[16] | Lean R (flip) | January 14, 2024
The Economist[17] | Lean R (flip) | July 7, 2024
538[18] | Tossup  | June 11, 2024
RCP[19] | Tossup  | June 26, 2024

### Polling

[edit]

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Poll source  | Date(s)
administered  | Sample
size[b] | Margin
of error  | Kamala
Harris
Democratic | Donald
Trump
Republican | Other /
Undecided

|
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|

Trafalgar Group (R)[20] | August 6–8, 2024  | 1,087 (LV)  | ± 2.9%  | 45%  | 48% | 7%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[21][A] | July 23–29, 2024  | 400 (LV)  | ± 4.9%  | 45%  | 46% | 9%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[22] | July 24–28, 2024  | 454 (RV)  | ± 5.0%  | 47% | 45%  | 7%
| July 21, 2024  | Biden announces his withdrawal; Harris declares her candidacy for president.
InsiderAdvantage (R)[23] | July 15–16, 2024  | 800 (LV)  | ± 3.5%  | 40%  | 50% | 10%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[24] | May 7–13, 2024  | 459 (RV)  | ± 5.0%  | 44%  | 47% | 9%
Emerson College[25] | February 16–19, 2024  | 1,000 (RV)  | ± 3.0%  | 39%  | 48% | 13%
New York Times/Siena College[26] | October 22 – November 3, 2023  | 611 (RV)  | ± 4.4%  | 42%  | 48% | 10%
611 (LV)  | ± 4.4%  | 42%  | 50% | 8%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source  | Date(s)
administered  | Sample
size[b] | Margin
of error  | Kamala
Harris
Democratic | Donald
Trump
Republican | Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent | Cornel
West
Independent | Jill
Stein
Green | Chase
Oliver
Libertarian | Other /
Undecided

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|

Redfield & Wilton Strategies[27] | July 31 – August 3, 2024  | 470 (LV)  | –  | 40% | 40% | 5%  | –  | 1%  | 0%  | 14%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[22] | July 24–28, 2024  | 454 (RV)  | ± 5.0%  | 43% | 43% | 7%  | –  | 1%  | 3%  | 3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[28] | July 22–24, 2024  | 435 (LV)  | –  | 43%  | 45% | 5%  | –  | 1%  | 0%  | 6%

Hypothetical polling with Joe Biden and Donald Trump

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump

Poll source  | Date(s)
administered  | Sample
size[b] | Margin
of error  | Joe
Biden
Democratic | Donald
Trump
Republican | Other /
Undecided

|
|
|
|
|
|

InsiderAdvantage (R)[23] | July 15–16, 2024  | 800 (LV)  | ± 3.5%  | 42%  | 49% | 9%
Emerson College[29][B] | July 15–16, 2024  | 1,000 (RV)  | ± 3.0%  | 41%  | 46% | 13%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[30][C] | July 5–12, 2024  | 761 (LV)  | ± 3.0%  | 45%  | 50% | 5%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[31] | July 1–5, 2024  | 452 (RV)  | ± 5.0%  | 43%  | 48% | 9%
Emerson College[32][B] | June 30 – July 2, 2024  | 1,000 (RV)  | ± 3.0%  | 41%  | 47% | 12%
Remington Research Group (R)[33] | June 29 – July 1, 2024  | 601 (LV)  | ± 4.0%  | 40%  | 47% | 13%
National Public Affairs[34] | June 28 – July 1, 2024  | 817 (LV)  | ± 3.4%  | 39%  | 49% | 12%[c]
Emerson College[35] | June 13–18, 2024  | 1,000 (RV)  | ± 3.0%  | 43%  | 46% | 11%
1,000 (RV)  | ± 3.0%  | 50%[d] | 50% | –
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[36][D] | June 12–18, 2024  | 600 (LV)  | ± 4.0%  | 45%  | 48% | 7%
Fox News[37] | June 1–4, 2024  | 1,069 (RV)  | ± 3.0%  | 45%  | 50% | 5%
The Tyson Group[38][E] | May 22–25, 2024  | 601 (LV)  | ± 4.0%  | 44%  | 47% | 9%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[39] | May 19–21, 2024  | 522 (RV)  | ± 4.3%  | 42%  | 50% | 8%
494 (LV)  | ± 4.3%  | 43%  | 51% | 6%
Prime Group[40][F] | May 9–16, 2024  | 468 (RV)  | –  | 50% | 50% | –
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[24] | May 7–13, 2024  | 459 (RV)  | ± 5.0%  | 47% | 47% | 6%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[41] | May 6–13, 2024  | 402 (LV)  | ± 4.9%  | 40%  | 49% | 11%
New York Times/Siena College[42] | April 28 – May 9, 2024  | 614 (RV)  | ± 4.0%  | 38%  | 50% | 12%
614 (LV)  | ± 4.0%  | 38%  | 51% | 11%
Emerson College[43] | April 25–29, 2024  | 1,000 (RV)  | ± 3.0%  | 44%  | 45% | 11%
1,000 (RV)  | ± 3.0%  | 49%[d] | 51% | –
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[44] | April 8–15, 2024  | 450 (RV)  | ± 5.0%  | 43%  | 51% | 6%
Wall Street Journal[45] | March 17–24, 2024  | 600 (RV)  | ± 4.0%  | 44%  | 48% | 8%
Echelon Insights[46][G] | March 12–19, 2024  | 400 (LV)  | ± 5.8%  | 44%  | 51% | 5%
Emerson College[47] | March 12–15, 2024  | 1,000 (RV)  | ± 3.0%  | 41%  | 44% | 15%
1,000 (RV)  | ± 3.0%  | 49%[d] | 51% | –
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[48] | March 8–15, 2024  | 447 (RV)  | ± 5.0%  | 44%  | 46% | 10%
Noble Predictive Insights[49] | February 27 – March 5, 2024  | 829 (RV)  | ± 3.4%  | 40%  | 45% | 15%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[50] | February 12–20, 2024  | 445 (RV)  | ± 5.0%  | 42%  | 48% | 10%
Emerson College[25] | February 16–19, 2024  | 1,000 (RV)  | ± 3.0%  | 40%  | 46% | 14%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[51] | January 16–21, 2024  | 457 (RV)  | ± 5.0%  | 40%  | 48% | 12%
Emerson College[52] | January 5–8, 2024  | 1,294 (RV)  | ± 2.6%  | 45%  | 47% | 8%
Change Research/Change Research/Future Majority (D)[53] | December 3–7, 2023  | (RVs)  | –  | 40%  | 44% | 14%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[54] | November 27 – December 6, 2023  | 451 (RV)  | ± 5.0%  | 44%  | 47% | 9%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[55] | October 30 – November 7, 2023  | 437 (RV)  | ± 5.0%  | 43%  | 46% | 11%
Emerson College[56] | October 30 – November 4, 2023  | 1,000 (RV)  | ± 3.0%  | 39%  | 46% | 14%
New York Times/Siena College[26] | October 22 – November 3, 2023  | 611 (RV)  | ± 4.4%  | 41%  | 52% | 7%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[57] | October 5–10, 2023  | 503 (RV)  | ± 4.0%  | 46% | 43%  | 11%
CNN[58] | September 29 – October 3, 2023  | 1,251 (RV)  | ± 4.6%  | 46% | 45%  | 9%
Vote TXT[59] | May 15–19, 2023  | 412 (RV)  | –  | 41%  | 48% | 11%
Prime Group[60][H] | June 14–28, 2023  | 500 (RV)  | –  | 51% | 49%  | –
500 (RV)  | –  | 39% | 39% | 22%[e]
Noble Predictive Insights[61] | April 18–26, 2023  | 613 (RV)  | ± 4.0%  | 48% | 40%  | 12%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[62] | April 17–20, 2023  | 500 (RV)  | ± 4.4%  | 46% | 45%  | 9%
OH Predictive Insights[63] | January 30 – February 6, 2023  | 800 (RV)  | ± 3.5%  | 40%  | 42% | 18%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[64] | November 8–9, 2022  | 679 (LV)  | ± 4.0%  | 41%  | 45% | 14%
Susquehanna Polling & Research[65] | October 24–27, 2022  | 500 (LV)  | ± 4.3%  | 47%  | 48% | 5%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[66][I] | October 13–17, 2022  | 707 (LV)  | ± 4.0%  | 37%  | 49% | 14%
Emerson College[67] | September 8–10, 2022  | 1,000 (LV)  | ± 3.0%  | 40%  | 43% | 17%
Emerson College[68] | July 7–10, 2022  | 2,000 (RV)  | ± 2.1%  | 40%  | 43% | 17%
Blueprint Polling (D)[69] | March 21–24, 2022  | 671 (LV)  | ± 3.8%  | 34%  | 44% | 22%

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein

Poll source  | Date(s)
administered  | Sample
size[b] | Margin
of error  | Joe
Biden
Democratic | Donald
Trump
Republican | Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent | Cornel
West
Independent | Jill
Stein
Green | Other /
Undecided

|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|

Emerson College[29][B] | July 15–16, 2024  | 1,000 (RV)  | ± 3.0%  | 40%  | 43% | 7%  | 1%  | 1%  | 8%[f]
Rasmussen Reports (R)[30][C] | July 5–12, 2024  | 761 (LV)  | ± 3.0%  | 39%  | 47% | 8%  | 2%  | 1%  | 3%
YouGov[70][J] | July 4–12, 2024  | 800 (RV)  | ± 4.7%  | 42%  | 46% | 3%  | 0%  | 1%  | 8%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[31] | July 1–5, 2024  | 452 (RV)  | ± 5.0%  | 39%  | 45% | 6%  | 2%  | 0%  | 8%[g]
National Public Affairs[34] | June 28 – July 1, 2024  | 817 (LV)  | ± 3.4%  | 33%  | 42% | 12%  | 3%  | 2%  | 8%
Emerson College[35] | June 13–18, 2024  | 1,000 (RV)  | ± 3.0%  | 39%  | 42% | 7%  | 2%  | 2%  | 8%
Fox News[37] | June 1–4, 2024  | 1,069 (RV)  | ± 3.0%  | 40%  | 45% | 7%  | 2%  | 2%  | 4%
The Tyson Group[38][K] | May 22–25, 2024  | 601 (LV)  | ± 4.0%  | 37%  | 40% | 9%  | 1%  | 2%  | 11%
Prime Group[40][F] | May 9–16, 2024  | 468 (RV)  | –  | 43%  | 44% | 10%  | 3%  | 0%  | –
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[24] | May 7–13, 2024  | 459 (RV)  | ± 5.0%  | 39%  | 44% | 7%  | 2%  | 1%  | 7%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[41] | May 6–13, 2024  | 402 (LV)  | ± 4.9%  | 35%  | 43% | 10%  | 2%  | 3%  | 7%
New York Times/Siena College[42] | April 28 – May 9, 2024  | 614 (RV)  | ± 4.0%  | 27%  | 41% | 12%  | 0%  | 2%  | 18%[h]
614 (LV)  | ± 4.0%  | 30%  | 44% | 11%  | 0%  | 1%  | 14%[h]
Emerson College[43] | April 25–29, 2024  | 1,000 (RV)  | ± 3.0%  | 37%  | 42% | 8%  | 2%  | 1%  | 11%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[44] | April 8–15, 2024  | 450 (RV)  | ± 5.0%  | 34%  | 48% | 7%  | 2%  | 3%  | 6%
Wall Street Journal[45] | March 17–24, 2024  | 600 (RV)  | ± 4.0%  | 33%  | 37% | 15%  | 2%  | 2%  | 11%[h]
Emerson College[47] | March 12–15, 2024  | 1,000 (RV)  | ± 3.0%  | 36%  | 41% | 9%  | 1%  | 2%  | 11%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[48] | March 8–15, 2024  | 447 (RV)  | ± 5.0%  | 36%  | 42% | 11%  | 1%  | 1%  | 11%
Noble Predictive Insights[49] | February 27 – March 5, 2024  | 829 (RV)  | ± 3.4%  | 33%  | 40% | 11%  | 4%  | 2%  | 10%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[50] | February 12–20, 2024  | 445 (RV)  | ± 5.0%  | 37%  | 44% | 9%  | 1%  | 0%  | 9%
Emerson College[25] | February 16–19, 2024  | 1,000 (RV)  | ± 3.0%  | 34%  | 44% | 6%  | 1%  | 1%  | 14%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[51] | January 16–21, 2024  | 457 (RV)  | ± 5.0%  | 31%  | 43% | 12%  | 1%  | 2%  | 11%
Emerson College[52] | January 5–8, 2024  | 1,294 (RV)  | ± 2.6%  | 39%  | 42% | 5%  | 1%  | 1%  | 12%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[71] | November 27 – December 6, 2023  | 451 (RV)  | ± 5.0%  | 37%  | 42% | 11%  | 2%  | 1%  | 7%

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source  | Date(s)
administered  | Sample
size[b] | Margin
of error  | Joe
Biden
Democratic | Donald
Trump
Republican | Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent | Other /
Undecided

|
|
|
|
|
|
|

P2 Insights[72][L] | June 11–20, 2024  | 650 (LV)  | ± 3.8%  | 37%  | 40% | 8%  | 15%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[36][D] | June 12–18, 2024  | 600 (LV)  | ± 4.0%  | 37%  | 44% | 10%  | 9%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[39] | May 19–21, 2024  | 522 (RV)  | ± 4.3%  | 40%  | 44% | 9%  | 7%
494 (LV)  | ± 4.3%  | 40%  | 46% | 8%  | 6%
Iron Light Intelligence[73][M] | May 17–21, 2024  | 600 (LV)  | ± 4.0%  | 34%  | 37% | 15%  | 14%
New York Times/Siena College[74] | October 22 – November 3, 2023  | 611 (LV)  | ± 4.4%  | 31%  | 38% | 23%  | 8%

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West

Poll source  | Date(s)
administered  | Sample
size[b] | Margin
of error  | Joe
Biden
Democratic | Donald
Trump
Republican | Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent | Cornel
West
Independent | Other /
Undecided

|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|

Bloomberg/Morning Consult[75] | October 30 – November 7, 2023  | 437 (RV)  | ± 5.0%  | 35%  | 39% | 11%  | 1%  | 14%

Hypothetical polling with other candidates

Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley

Poll source  | Date(s)
administered  | Sample
size[b] | Margin
of error  | Joe
Biden
Democratic | Nikki
Haley
Republican | Other /
Undecided

|
|
|
|
|
|

New York Times/Siena College[76] | October 22 – November 3, 2023  | 611 (RV)  | ± 4.4%  | 37%  | 46% | 17%

Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis

Poll source  | Date(s)
administered  | Sample
size[b] | Margin
of error  | Joe
Biden
Democratic | Ron
DeSantis
Republican | Other /
Undecided

|
|
|
|
|
|

New York Times/Siena College[76] | October 22 – November 3, 2023  | 611 (RV)  | ± 4.4%  | 41%  | 45% | 14%
Vote TXT[59] | May 15–19, 2023  | 412 (RV)  | –  | 36%  | 46% | 17%
Noble Predictive Insights[61] | April 18–26, 2023  | 613 (RV)  | ± 4.0%  | 43% | 42%  | 15%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[62] | April 17–20, 2023  | 500 (RV)  | ± 4.4%  | 41%  | 44% | 10%
OH Predictive Insights[63] | January 30 – February 6, 2023  | 800 (RV)  | ± 3.5%  | 36%  | 42% | 22%
Emerson College[68] | July 7–10, 2022  | 2,000 (RV)  | ± 2.1%  | 38%  | 43% | 19%

Gavin Newsom vs. Ron DeSantis

Poll source  | Date(s)
administered  | Sample
size[b] | Margin
of error  | Gavin
Newsom
Democratic | Ron
DeSantis
Republican | Other /
Undecided

|
|
|
|
|
|

Susquehanna Polling & Research[65] | October 24–27, 2022  | 500 (LV)  | ± 4.3%  | 42%  | 46% | 12%

Gavin Newsom vs. Donald Trump

Poll source  | Date(s)
administered  | Sample
size[b] | Margin
of error  | Gavin
Newsom
Democratic | Donald
Trump
Republican | Other /
Undecided

|
|
|
|
|
|

Emerson College[25] | February 16–19, 2024  | 1,000 (RV)  | ± 3.0%  | 32%  | 49% | 19%

## See also

[edit]

* United States presidential elections in Nevada
* 2024 United States presidential election
* 2024 Democratic Party presidential primaries
* 2024 Republican Party presidential primaries
* 2024 United States elections

## Notes

[edit]

1. ^ If a candidate wins all of Nevada's delegates, the NRP chair is automatically unbound. He has pledged his support to Trump.
2. ^ a b c d e f g h i j Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear
3. ^ Chase Oliver (L) with 0%
4. ^ a b c With voters who lean towards a given candidate
5. ^ No Labels candidate
6. ^ Chase Oliver (L) with 1%
7. ^ Chase Oliver (L) with 1%
8. ^ a b c Lars Mapstead (L) with 2%

Partisan clients

1. ^ Poll conducted for Competitiveness Coalition
2. ^ a b c Poll sponsored by Democrats for the Next Generation PAC
3. ^ a b Poll sponsored by The Heartland Institute
4. ^ a b Poll commissioned by AARP
5. ^ Poll sponsored by Breaking Battlegrounds
6. ^ a b Poll sponsored by Citizens to Save Our Republic PAC, which opposes Trump
7. ^ Poll sponsored by The Heritage Foundation
8. ^ Poll sponsored by Citizens to Save Our Republic PAC
9. ^ Poll sponsored by Capitol Resource Institute
10. ^ Poll conducted for The Times, Stanford University, Arizona State University, and Yale University
11. ^ Poll sponsored by Breaking Battlegrounds
12. ^ Poll sponsored by Building America's Future, which supports Republican candidates
13. ^ Poll commissioned by League of American Workers

## References

[edit]

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2. ^ Kinery, Emma (April 25, 2023). "Biden launches 2024 reelection campaign, promising to fulfill economic policy vision". CNBC.
3. ^ "President Joe Biden drops out of 2024 presidential race". NBC News. July 22, 2024. Retrieved July 22, 2024.
4. ^ "Harris says she'll 'earn' nomination as Biden steps aside". The Washington Post. Retrieved July 22, 2024.
5. ^ Dorn, Sara. "Why RFK Jr. Could Hurt Biden Against Trump—As He Gains Ballot Access In Key Swing State". Forbes. Retrieved March 7, 2024.
6. ^ "Nevada Polls". June 28, 2018.
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8. ^ "Silver State 2024 Presidential Preference Primary Election Results". Secretary of State of Nevada. February 6, 2024. Retrieved March 16, 2024.
9. ^ Jackson, Hugh (January 21, 2024). "Nikki Haley: Second to none?". The Nevada Current. Retrieved January 25, 2024.
10. ^ "2024 Presidential Caucus". Nevada Republican Party. Retrieved January 17, 2024.
11. ^ "2024 CPR Electoral College Ratings". cookpolitical.com. Cook Political Report. December 19, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
12. ^ "Presidential Ratings". insideelections.com. Inside Elections. April 26, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
13. ^ "2024 Electoral College ratings". centerforpolitics.org. University of Virginia Center for Politics. June 29, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
14. ^ "2024 presidential predictions". elections2024.thehill.com/. The Hill. December 14, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
15. ^ "2024 Presidential Forecast". projects.cnalysis.com/. CNalysis. December 30, 2023. Retrieved August 6, 2024.
16. ^ "Electoral College map 2024: Road to 270". CNN. Retrieved January 14, 2024.
17. ^ "Trump v Biden: The Economist's presidential election prediction model". The Economist. Retrieved July 8, 2024.
18. ^ Morris, G. Elliott (June 11, 2024). "2024 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved June 11, 2024.
19. ^ "2024 RCP Electoral College Map". RealClearPolitics. June 26, 2024. Retrieved June 26, 2024.
20. ^ "Nevada Statewide Presidential Survey - August 2024" (PDF).
21. ^ "Public Opinion Strategies (R)". Politico.
22. ^ a b "Kamala Harris Wipes Out Trump's Swing-State Lead in Election Dead Heat". July 30, 2024 - via www.bloomberg.com.
23. ^ a b "Three More Battleground Polls: Trump Leads in PA, NV, AZ; No Post-Shooting Bump, but Large Enthusiasm Gap; Harris Trails Trump – InsiderAdvantage".
24. ^ a b c "Half of Swing-State Voters Fear Violence Around US Election". May 22, 2024 - via www.bloomberg.com.
25. ^ a b c d Mumford, Camille (February 22, 2024). "Nevada 2024 Poll: Trump 46%, Biden 40%". Emerson Polling.
26. ^ a b "Trump Leads Biden in Nearly Every Battleground State, New Poll Finds ..." archive.ph. November 6, 2023.
27. ^ "Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (31 July – 3 August 2024)". August 6, 2024.
28. ^ "Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (22-24 July 2024)". July 25, 2024.
29. ^ a b Mumford, Camille (July 18, 2024). "July 2024 Swing State Polls". Emerson Polling.
30. ^ a b "Toplines 2 - Heartland - Battleground July 2024 - ALL RACE DATA - Rasmussen Reports®". www.rasmussenreports.com.
31. ^ a b "Biden Narrows Gap With Trump in Swing States Despite Debate Loss". July 6, 2024 - via www.bloomberg.com.
32. ^ King, Ryan (July 8, 2024). "Biden lags behind in all of the key battleground states by 4-point average: new poll".
33. ^ "Exclusive: Battleground Poll Shows Biden Tanking In Key States After Disastrous Debate". www.dailywire.com. July 3, 2024.
34. ^ a b "National Public Affairs" (PDF).
35. ^ a b Mumford, Camille (June 20, 2024). "June 2024 State Polls: Trump Maintains Edge over Biden". Emerson Polling.
36. ^ a b "New AARP Nevada Poll: "Extremely Motivated" Voters Ages 50+ Could Decide Both Presidential and Senate Contests". MediaRoom.
37. ^ a b Blanton, Dana (June 6, 2024). "Fox News Poll: Nevadans trust Trump over Biden on border security by 22 points". Fox News.
38. ^ a b Battlegrounds, Breaking (May 27, 2024). "NEW: Nevada General Election Survey".
39. ^ a b "Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University" (PDF).
40. ^ a b "Prime Group" (PDF).
41. ^ a b "A Unique Election Driven by a Traditional Issue". Cook Political Report. May 24, 2024.
42. ^ a b Cohn, Nate (May 13, 2024). "Trump Leads in 5 Key States, as Young and Nonwhite Voters Express Discontent With Biden". The New York Times - via NYTimes.com.
43. ^ a b Mumford, Camille (April 30, 2024). "Trump Holds Edge Over Biden in Seven Key Swing State Polls". Emerson Polling.
44. ^ a b "Biden's Gains Against Trump Vanish on Deep Economic Pessimism, Poll Shows". Bloomberg. April 24, 2024 - via www.bloomberg.com.
45. ^ a b "Wall Street Journal" (PDF).
46. ^ Echelon Insights
47. ^ a b Mumford, Camille (March 20, 2024). "Nevada 2024 Poll: Trump 44%, Biden 41%". Emerson Polling.
48. ^ a b "Biden Gains Ground Against Trump in Six Key States, Poll Shows". Bloomberg. March 26, 2024 - via www.bloomberg.com.
49. ^ a b Insights, Noble Predictive (March 13, 2024). "Trump Leads Biden in Nevada, Outperforms Down-Ballot Republicans". Noble Predictive.
50. ^ a b "Biden Is Too Old But Trump Is Dangerous, Swing-State Poll Shows". Bloomberg. February 29, 2024 - via www.bloomberg.com.
51. ^ a b "Trump Risks Losing More Than Half of Swing-State Voters If Found Guilty". Bloomberg. January 31, 2024 - via www.bloomberg.com.
52. ^ a b Mumford, Camille (January 9, 2024). "Nevada 2024 Poll: Trump with 65 Point Lead in Republican Party-Held Caucus". Emerson Polling.
53. ^ Change Research/Future Majority (D)
54. ^ "Biden Forgave Billions in Student Debt. Poll Shows It's Not Enough For Gen Z". Bloomberg. December 14, 2023 - via www.bloomberg.com.
55. ^ "Biden's Focus Is on Foreign Conflicts, But Swing-State Voter Worries Are Closer to Home". Bloomberg. November 9, 2023 - via www.bloomberg.com.
56. ^ Mumford, Camille (November 9, 2023). "Swing State 2024 Polling: Biden Trails Trump in Arizona, Georgia, and Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin, Leads Trump in Michigan". Emerson Polling.
57. ^ Bloomberg/Morning Consult
58. ^ Edwards-Levy, Jennifer Agiesta,Ariel (October 10, 2023). "CNN Poll: Biden and Trump are in a dead heat in potential Nevada rematch | CNN Politics". CNN.`{{cite web}}`: CS1 maint: multiple names: authors list (link)
59. ^ a b "Nevada Newsmakers Survey Spring 2023". nevadanewsmakers.com.
60. ^ "Prime Group" (PDF).
61. ^ a b "Biden winning hypothetical matchup against Trump, ties DeSantis in Nevada". The Nevada Independent. May 2, 2023.
62. ^ a b "DeSantis leads Trump in Nevada, GOP poll says". April 24, 2023.
63. ^ a b "Poll: Biden remains unpopular in Nevada as 2024 campaign approaches". The Nevada Independent. February 9, 2023.
64. ^ Rasmussen Reports (R)
65. ^ a b "Nevada Statewide Poll".
66. ^ Rasmussen Reports (R)
67. ^ Emerson College
68. ^ a b Emerson College
69. ^ Blueprint Polling (D)
70. ^ YouGov
71. ^ Bloomberg/Morning Consult
72. ^ Lim, Naomi (June 27, 2024). "Age and economy top concerns of battleground state voters in pre-debate poll - Washington Examiner".
73. ^ "News — League of American Workers". archive.ph. May 29, 2024.
74. ^ Epstein, Reid J.; Igielnik, Ruth; Baker, Camille (November 7, 2023). "What's Behind Kennedy's Poll Numbers? Voters Dread a Trump-Biden Rematch". The New York Times - via NYTimes.com.
75. ^ Bloomberg/Morning Consult
76. ^ a b New York Times/Siena College

* v
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(2023 <-)  2024 United States elections (-> 2025)

U.S.
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U.S.
House
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Attorneys
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Secretaries
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State
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* v
* t
* e

State and district results of the 2024 United States presidential election

* Alabama
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*[v]: View this template
*[t]: Discuss this template
*[e]: Edit this template
*[VA]: Virginia
*[AK]: Alaska
*[TX]: Texas
*[CA]: California
*[MD]: Maryland
*[LA]: Louisiana
*[CT]: Connecticut
*[VT]: Vermont
*[MI]: Michigan
*[HI]: Hawaii
*[NV]: Nevada
*[AZ]: Arizona
*[FL]: Florida
*[WI]: Wisconsin
*[OR]: Oregon
*[CO]: Colorado
*[NC]: North Carolina
*[UT]: Utah
*[OK]: Oklahoma
*[DE]: Delaware
*[IL]: Illinois