2024 United States presidential election in Ohio

Main article: 2024 United States presidential election

2024 United States presidential election in Ohio

* * *

| <- 2020 | November 5, 2024 | 2028 ->

|
|

Turnout| 71.71% [1]
|  |  |

|
|

Nominee  | Donald Trump | Kamala Harris |
Party  | Republican | Democratic
Home state  | Florida | California
Running mate  | JD Vance | Tim Walz
Electoral vote  | 17 | 0
Popular vote  | 3,180,116 | 2,533,699
Percentage  | 55.14% | 43.93%

* * *

County results

Congressional district results

Precinct results

Trump

40–50%

50–60%

60–70%

70–80%

80–90%

90–100%

Harris

40–50%

50–60%

60–70%

70–80%

80–90%

90–100%

Tie/No Votes

|
|

* * *

| President before election

Joe Biden
Democratic

| Elected President

Donald Trump
Republican

|

Elections in Ohio

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* e

The 2024 United States presidential election in Ohio was held on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Ohio voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. Ohio had 17 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state lost a seat.[2]

Republican Donald Trump ultimately won Ohio for the third straight election, defeating Democrat Kamala Harris by 11.21%, the widest presidential margin of victory in the state since fellow Republican Ronald Reagan's 18.76% in 1984. Prior to the election, all major news organizations considered Ohio a state Trump would once again win, or a likely red state. A former swing state, Ohio has not been won by a Democratic nominee for President since Barack Obama in 2012. Since then, Ohio has been trending towards the GOP. The state is currently moderately to strongly Republican. Trump's 2024 statewide victory was the first double-digit win at the presidential level for Ohio since Republican George H.W. Bush's 10.85% in 1988. Ohio was the home state of Trump's running mate JD Vance.

The election was held concurrently with a U.S. Senate race in Ohio, in which Republican nominee Bernie Moreno unseated Democratic incumbent Sherrod Brown, which was partly credited to Trump's overall success in the state. Additionally, an attempt to establish a redistricting commission (with the goal of ending gerrymandering) was proposed on the state's ballot but was defeated.[3] This was also, in part, credited towards Trump's popularity in the state amongst other factors.[4][5]

## Primary elections

[edit]

### Democratic primary

[edit]

Main article: 2024 Ohio Democratic presidential primary

The Ohio Democratic primary was held on March 19, 2024, alongside the Arizona, Illinois, and Kansas primaries.

Ohio Democratic primary, March 19, 2024[6] Candidate  | Votes  | Percentage  | Actual delegate count

|
|
|

Bound  | Unbound  | Total
Joe Biden (incumbent)  | 461,558 | 87.06% | 124 |  |
Dean Phillips (withdrawn)  | 68,629  | 12.94%  | 3  |  |
Total:  | 530,187  | 100.00%  | 127  | 16  | 133

President Biden won every county and 87.06% of the vote, but, despite having already dropped out, U.S. Representative  Dean Phillips won three delegates. Congressman Phillips was still on the ballot on election day and gained his delegates by meeting the 15% threshold of votes needed to receive a delegate in a congressional district in the state's 2nd, 6th, and 14th districts.[7]

### Republican primary

[edit]

Main article: 2024 Ohio Republican presidential primary

The Ohio Republican primary was held on March 19, 2024, alongside primaries in Arizona, Florida, and Illinois.

Ohio Republican primary, March 19, 2024[8] Candidate  | Votes  | Percentage  | Actual delegate count

|
|
|

Bound  | Unbound  | Total
Donald Trump | 896,059 | 79.21% | 79 |  | 79
Nikki Haley (withdrawn)  | 162,563  | 14.37%  |  |  |
Ron DeSantis (withdrawn)  | 38,089  | 3.37%  |  |  |
Chris Christie (withdrawn)  | 20,027  | 1.77%  |  |  |
Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn)  | 14,450  | 1.28%  |  |  |
Total:  | 1,131,188  | 100.00%  | 79  |  | 79

## General election

[edit]

### Predictions

[edit]

Source  | Ranking  | As of

|
|

Cook Political Report[9] | Solid R  | December 19, 2023
Inside Elections[10] | Likely R  | April 26, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[11] | Safe R  | June 13, 2024
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[12] | Likely R  | December 14, 2023
CNalysis[13] | Likely R  | November 4, 2024
CNN[14] | Solid R  | January 14, 2024
The Economist[15] | Safe R  | November 1, 2024
538[16] | Likely R  | June 11, 2024
NBC News[17] | Safe R  | October 6, 2024
YouGov[18] | Safe R  | November 1, 2024
Split Ticket[19] | Likely R  | November 1, 2024

### Democratic ballot access controversy

[edit]

Due to the Democratic National Convention taking place on August 19, 2024, which occurs more than a week after the August 7 deadline to certify a presidential candidate for office, under ordinary rules, the eventual Democratic nominee would be disqualified from the ballot.[20][21] Efforts to create an emergency fix had stalled in the Ohio Legislature. The state House adjourned without considering a fix on May 8.[22] On May 21, Ohio Secretary of State Frank LaRose provided an update confirming that efforts to rectify the situation were at an impasse, as the state legislature would not take up the issue and the Ohio Democratic Party had offered no "legally acceptable remedy" up to that point. He further clarified that if the party does not work toward a solution themselves, their presidential nominee will not be listed on the November ballot.[23]

On May 23, Governor Mike DeWine called for a special legislative session and tasked lawmakers with ensuring Biden's inclusion on the ballot. Republican leaders in the state Senate, with DeWine's support, hope to pass a bill that will tie solving the ballot access issue to a ban on foreign contributions toward ballot measure efforts in the state. Ohio Democratic Party chair Elizabeth Walters and state House minority leader Allison Russo have signaled their opposition to the ban, which has been described as a poison pill amendment; a spokesperson for DeWine later said that a bill dealing only with the ballot access issue could also be considered.[24]

After the state legislature appeared unable to address the issue, the Democratic Party announced on May 28 that a virtual roll call nomination, similar to the process used by the party in 2020, would take place two weeks before the 2024 Democratic National Convention to nominate Biden and meet Ohio's deadline.[25] Nonetheless, the Ohio legislature passed a bill on June 1 extending the deadline to August 23,[26] which DeWine signed on June 2.[27] However, because the law did not take effect until September 1, Democrats continued with the roll call to meet the original deadline.[28]

### Green Party ballot access controversy

[edit]

Green Party nominee Jill Stein also appeared on the ballot, though votes for her did not count due to her nominating a running mate after the state deadline. Citing the law that allowed Joe Biden to be nominated, the Green Party attempted to use this exact ruling in their favor to swap VP candidates. However, VP candidate Anita Rios testified in federal court that she did not sign the withdraw form and that someone unknown to the Stein campaign submitted a forgery of her signature. The Green Party argued that the Secretary of State should have never accepted the withdraw letter, saying the signature of Rios was a PDF copy from her 2014 governorship candidacy paperwork.[29] The Stein campaign stated that a letter to the Ohio Secretary of State requesting removal from the ballot was "fraudulent".[30]

A hearing to restore ballot access for Stein was scheduled for October 22, in which the federal courts abstained from making a ruling on the case. The Stein campaign and the Ohio Green Party announced that they will continue the lawsuit to make the votes for Stein-Rios in Ohio count.[31]

### Polling

[edit]

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation  | Dates
administered  | Dates
updated  | Kamala
Harris
Democratic | Donald
Trump
Republican | Other /
Undecided
[a] | Margin

|
|
|
|
|
|

270ToWin | October 22 – November 4, 2024  | November 4, 2024  | 44.3%  | 52.0% | 3.7%  | Trump +7.7%
538 | through November 4, 2024  | November 4, 2024  | 43.4%  | 52.3% | 4.3%  | Trump +8.8%
The Hill/DDHQ | through November 3, 2024  | November 3, 2024  | 44.6%  | 52.2% | 3.2%  | Trump +7.6%
Average | 44.1%  | 52.2% | 3.7%  | Trump +8.1%
Poll source  | Date(s)
administered  | Sample
size[b] | Margin
of error  | Donald
Trump
Republican | Kamala
Harris
Democratic | Other /
Undecided

|
|
|
|
|
|

AtlasIntel[32] | November 3–4, 2024  | 1,022 (LV)  | ± 3.0%  | 54% | 45%  | 1%
Trafalgar Group (R)[33] | November 2–4, 2024  | 1,095 (LV)  | ± 2.9%  | 52% | 45%  | 3%[c]
Emerson College[34][A] | October 30 − November 2, 2024  | 900 (LV)  | ± 3.2%  | 54% | 42%  | 4%[d]
54.7%[e] | 43.5%  | 1.9%
Morning Consult[35] | October 23 − November 1, 2024  | 1,254 (LV)  | ± 3.0%  | 53% | 44%  | 3%
Trafalgar Group (R)[36][B] | October 25–28, 2024  | 1,127 (LV)  | ± 2.9%  | 52% | 46%  | 2%[f]
ActiVote[37] | October 5−28, 2024  | 400 (LV)  | ± 4.9%  | 54% | 46%  | –
CES/YouGov[38] | October 1–25, 2024  | 3,120 (A)  | –  | 52% | 45%  | 3%
3,091 (LV)  | 52% | 45%  | 3%
J.L. Partners[39] | October 22−24, 2024  | 997 (LV)  | ± 3.1%  | 53% | 44%  | 3%
University of Akron[40] | September 12 – October 24, 2024  | 1,241 (RV)  | ± 2.8%  | 51% | 44%  | 5%
Bowling Green State University/YouGov[41] | October 10−21, 2024  | 1,000 (LV)  | ± 3.6%  | 50% | 43%  | 5%[g]
Morning Consult[35] | October 6−15, 2024  | 1,243 (LV)  | ± 3.0%  | 52% | 45%  | 3%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[42][C] | October 9−14, 2024  | 1,051 (LV)  | ± 3.0%  | 51% | 44%  | 5%[c]
Washington Post[43] | October 3–7, 2024  | 1,002 (RV)  | ± 3.5%  | 51% | 44%  | 5%[h]
1,002 (LV)  | 51% | 45%  | 4%[i]
Marist College[44] | October 3–7, 2024  | 1,511 (RV)  | ± 3.0%  | 52% | 46%  | 2%[j]
1,327 (LV)  | ± 3.2%  | 52% | 46%  | 2%[j]
ActiVote[45] | August 28 – September 30, 2024  | 400 (LV)  | ± 4.9%  | 54% | 46%  | –
Bowling Green State University/YouGov[46] | September 18–27, 2024  | 1,000 (LV)  | ± 3.6%  | 51% | 44%  | 5%[k]
New York Times/Siena College[47] | September 21–26, 2024  | 687 (RV)  | ± 4.0%  | 49% | 45%  | 6%
687 (LV)  | 50% | 44%  | 6%
RMG Research[48][D] | September 18−20, 2024  | 757 (LV)  | ± 3.5%  | 54% | 43%  | 3%[l]
Morning Consult[35] | September 9−18, 2024  | 1,488 (LV)  | ± 3.0%  | 52% | 43%  | 5%
Morning Consult[35] | August 30 – September 8, 2024  | 1,558 (LV)  | ± 3.0%  | 52% | 44%  | 4%
Emerson College[49] | September 3–5, 2024  | 945 (LV)  | ± 3.1%  | 53% | 43%  | 4%
54%[m] | 45%  | 1%[i]
SoCal Strategies (R)[50][E] | August 31 – September 1, 2024  | 600 (LV)  | –  | 52% | 43%  | 5%
| August 23, 2024  | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump.
ActiVote[51] | August 2–22, 2024  | 400 (LV)  | ± 4.9%  | 56% | 44%  | –
| August 19–22, 2024  | Democratic National Convention
Rasmussen Reports (R)[52][F] | August 13–17, 2024  | 1,267 (LV)  | –  | 51% | 44%  | 5%
| August 6, 2024  | Kamala Harris selects Gov. Tim Walz as her running mate.
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[53][G] | July 23–28, 2024  | 600 (LV)  | ± 4.0%  | 52% | 42%  | 6%
| July 21, 2024  | Joe Biden announces his withdrawal from the race; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president.
| July 15–19, 2024  | Republican National Convention
| July 13, 2024  | attempted assassination of Donald Trump
Ohio Northern University[54] | March 6–11, 2024  | 1,241 (LV)  | ± 3.3%  | 51% | 38%  | 11%

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source  | Date(s)
administered  | Sample
size[b] | Margin
of error  | Donald
Trump
Republican | Kamala
Harris
Democratic | Cornel
West
Independent | Jill
Stein
Green | Chase
Oliver
Libertarian | Other /
Undecided

|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|

AtlasIntel[32] | November 3–4, 2024  | 1,022 (LV)  | ± 3.0%  | 54% | 45%  | –  | 1%  | 0%  | –
Focaldata[55] | October 3 – November 1, 2024  | 2,161 (LV)  | –  | 53% | 44%  | –  | 0%  | 1%  | 2%
1,867 (RV)  | ± 2.1%  | 52% | 45%  | –  | 0%  | 2%  | 1%
2,161 (A)  | –  | 53% | 42%  | –  | 0%  | 2%  | 3%
OnMessage Inc. (R)[56][H] | October 19–22, 2024  | 600 (LV)  | ± 4.0%  | 52% | 44%  | –  | 1%  | 1%  | 2%[f]
New York Times/Siena College[47] | September 21–26, 2024  | 687 (RV)  | ± 4.0%  | 47% | 44%  | –  | 2%  | 2%  | 5%
687 (LV)  | 49% | 43%  | –  | 2%  | 2%  | 4%

Hypothetical polling with Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source  | Date(s)
administered  | Sample
size[b] | Margin
of error  | Donald
Trump
Republican | Kamala
Harris
Democratic | Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent | Cornel
West
Independent | Jill
Stein
Green | Chase
Oliver
Libertarian | Other /
Undecided

|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|

Miami University[57] | October 28–30, 2024  | 859 (RV)  | ± 5.0%  | 49% | 46%  | 0%  | –  | 0%  | 0%  | 5%
851 (LV)  | 50% | 47%  | 0%  | –  | 0%  | 0%  | 3%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[52][F] | August 13–17, 2024  | 1,267 (LV)  | –  | 50% | 42%  | 4%  | 1%  | 0%  | –  | 3%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[53][G] | July 23–28, 2024  | 600 (LV)  | ± 4.0%  | 48% | 39%  | 9%  | –  | 1%  | 1%  | 2%

Hypothetical polling with Donald Trump and Joe Biden

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden

Poll source  | Date(s)
administered  | Sample
size[b] | Margin
of error  | Donald
Trump
Republican | Joe
Biden
Democratic | Other /
Undecided

|
|
|
|
|
|

National Public Affairs[58] | May 28–29, 2024  | 801 (LV)  | ± 3.5%  | 54% | 46%  | –
John Zogby Strategies[59][I] | April 13–21, 2024  | 643 (LV)  | –  | 52% | 42%  | 6%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[60] | March 13–15, 2024  | 818 (RV)  | ± 3.4%  | 51% | 40%  | 9%
Ohio Northern University[54] | March 6–11, 2024  | 1,241 (LV)  | ± 3.3%  | 50% | 38%  | 12%
Emerson College[61][J] | March 7–10, 2024  | 1,300 (RV)  | ± 2.6%  | 50% | 41%  | 9%
55%[m] | 45%  | –
Emerson College[62][J] | January 23–25, 2024  | 1,844 (RV)  | ± 2.3%  | 47% | 36%  | 17%[n]
Emerson College/WJW-TV[63] | November 10–13, 2023  | 1,000 (RV)  | ± 3.0%  | 50% | 38%  | 12%
Data for Progress (D)[64] | October 31 – November 2, 2023  | 597 (LV)  | ± 4.0%  | 51% | 43%  | 6%
Ohio Northern University[65] | October 16–19, 2023  | 668 (RV)  | ± 3.8%  | 45% | 40%  | 15%[o]
Emerson College[66] | October 2–4, 2023  | 438 (RV)  | ± 4.5%  | 45% | 33%  | 23%
Change Research (D)/Future Majority (D)[67] | September 16–19, 2023  | 1,559 (RV)  | –  | 48% | 43%  | 9%
Ohio Northern University[68] | July 17–26, 2023  | 675 (RV)  | ± 3.7%  | 49% | 39%  | 12%
Targoz Market Research[69] | November 2–6, 2022  | 505 (LV)  | ± 4.3%  | 57% | 40%  | 3%
Emerson College[70] | October 30 – November 1, 2022  | 1,000 (LV)  | ± 3.0%  | 50% | 38%  | 12%
Ohio Northern University/Lucid[71] | October 11–15, 2022  | 668 (LV)  | –  | 55% | 35%  | 10%
Emerson College[72] | October 6–7, 2022  | 1,000 (LV)  | ± 3.0%  | 48% | 40%  | 12%
Emerson College[73] | September 12–13, 2022  | 1,000 (LV)  | ± 3.0%  | 50% | 40%  | 10%
Echelon Insights[74] | August 31 – September 7, 2022  | 831 (LV)  | ± 4.3%  | 49% | 41%  | 10%
Emerson College[75] | August 15–16, 2022  | 925 (LV)  | ± 3.2%  | 53% | 39%  | 8%
PEM Management Corporation (R)[76][K] | July 22–24, 2022  | 300 (LV)  | ± 5.7%  | 42%  | 44% | 14%

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein

Poll source  | Date(s)
administered  | Sample
size[b] | Margin
of error  | Donald
Trump
Republican | Joe
Biden
Democratic | Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent | Cornel
West
Independent | Jill
Stein
Green | Other /
Undecided

|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|

Marist College[77] | June 3–6, 2024  | 1,137 (RV)  | ± 3.6%  | 48% | 41%  | 5%  | 1%  | 1%  | 4%
National Public Affairs[58] | May 28–29, 2024  | 801 (LV)  | ± 3.5%  | 48% | 40%  | 7%  | 2%  | 3%  | –
East Carolina University[78] | March 8–11, 2024  | 1,298 (LV)  | ± 3.2%  | 48% | 38%  | 5%  | 1%  | 1%  | 7%
Emerson College[61][J] | March 7–10, 2024  | 1,300 (RV)  | ± 2.6%  | 47% | 38%  | 6%  | 1%  | 1%  | 7%
Emerson College/WJW-TV[63] | November 10–13, 2023  | 1,000 (RV)  | ± 3.0%  | 45% | 31%  | 8%  | 1%  | 2%  | 13%

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden. vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source  | Date(s)
administered  | Sample
size[b] | Margin
of error  | Donald
Trump
Republican | Joe
Biden
Democratic | Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent | Other /
Undecided

|
|
|
|
|
|
|

Ohio Northern University[54] | March 6–11, 2024  | 1,241 (LV)  | ± 3.3%  | 44% | 32%  | 13%  | 11%
Ohio Northern University[65] | October 16–19, 2023  | 668 (RV)  | ± 3.8%  | 42% | 35%  | 11%  | 12%[g]

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Cornel West

Poll source  | Date(s)
administered  | Sample
size[b] | Margin
of error  | Donald
Trump
Republican | Joe
Biden
Democratic | Cornel
West
Green | Other /
Undecided

|
|
|
|
|
|
|

Change Research (D)/Future Majority (D)[67] | September 16–19, 2023  | 1,559 (RV)  | –  | 45% | 36%  | 9%  | 10%
42% | 34%  | 6%  | 18%[p]
Suffolk University/USA Today[79] | July 9–12, 2023  | 500 (RV)  | ± 4.4%  | 44% | 38%  | 2%  | 16%

Hypothetical polling with other candidates

Donald Trump vs. Gavin Newsom

Poll source  | Date(s)
administered  | Sample
size[b] | Margin
of error  | Donald
Trump
Republican | Gavin
Newsom
Democratic | Other /
Undecided

|
|
|
|
|
|

Ohio Northern University[54] | March 6–11, 2024  | 1,241 (LV)  | ± 3.3%  | 51% | 33%  | 16%

Donald Trump vs. Gretchen Whitmer

Poll source  | Date(s)
administered  | Sample
size[b] | Margin
of error  | Donald
Trump
Republican | Gretchen
Whitmer
Democratic | Other /
Undecided

|
|
|
|
|
|

Ohio Northern University[54] | March 6–11, 2024  | 1,241 (LV)  | ± 3.3%  | 51% | 34%  | 15%

Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source  | Date(s)
administered  | Sample
size[b] | Margin
of error  | Donald
Trump
Republican | Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent | Other /
Undecided

|
|
|
|
|
|

John Zogby Strategies[59][I] | April 13–21, 2024  | 643 (LV)  | –  | 47% | 39%  | 14%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Joe Biden

Poll source  | Date(s)
administered  | Sample
size[b] | Margin
of error  | Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent | Joe
Biden
Democratic | Other /
Undecided

|
|
|
|
|
|

John Zogby Strategies[59][I] | April 13–21, 2024  | 643 (LV)  | –  | 55% | 34%  | 11%

Nikki Haley vs. Joe Biden

Poll source  | Date(s)
administered  | Sample
size[b] | Margin
of error  | Nikki
Haley
Republican | Joe
Biden
Democratic | Other /
Undecided

|
|
|
|
|
|

Ohio Northern University[65] | October 16–19, 2023  | 668 (RV)  | ± 3.8%  | 34%  | 36% | 30%[q]
Ohio Northern University[68] | July 17–26, 2023  | 675 (RV)  | ± 3.7%  | 38% | 38% | 24%

Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden

Poll source  | Date(s)
administered  | Sample
size[b] | Margin
of error  | Ron
DeSantis
Republican | Joe
Biden
Democratic | Other /
Undecided

|
|
|
|
|
|

Ohio Northern University[65] | October 16–19, 2023  | 668 (RV)  | ± 3.8%  | 38%  | 41% | 21%[o]
Ohio Northern University[68] | July 17–26, 2023  | 675 (RV)  | ± 3.7%  | 41% | 39%  | 20%
Emerson College[72] | October 6–7, 2022  | 1,000 (LV)  | ± 3.0%  | 49% | 38%  | 13%
Emerson College[73] | September 12–13, 2022  | 1,000 (LV)  | ± 3.0%  | 48% | 38%  | 14%
Echelon Insights[74] | August 31 – September 7, 2022  | 831 (LV)  | ± 4.3%  | 46% | 40%  | 14%

Ron Desantis vs. Joe Biden vs. Cornel West

Poll source  | Date(s)
administered  | Sample
size[b] | Margin
of error  | Ron
Desantis
Republican | Joe
Biden
Democratic | Cornel
West
Green | Other /
Undecided

|
|
|
|
|
|
|

Suffolk University/USA Today[79] | July 9–12, 2023  | 500 (RV)  | ± 4.4%  | 39% | 37%  | 2%  | 22%

Chris Christie vs. Joe Biden

Poll source  | Date(s)
administered  | Sample
size[b] | Margin
of error  | Chris
Christie
Republican | Joe
Biden
Democratic | Other /
Undecided

|
|
|
|
|
|

Ohio Northern University[68] | July 17–26, 2023  | 675 (RV)  | ± 3.7%  | 33%  | 39% | 28%

Mike Pence vs. Joe Biden

Poll source  | Date(s)
administered  | Sample
size[b] | Margin
of error  | Mike
Pence
Republican | Joe
Biden
Democratic | Other /
Undecided

|
|
|
|
|
|

Ohio Northern University[65] | October 16–19, 2023  | 668 (RV)  | ± 3.8%  | 38% | 38% | 24%[q]
Ohio Northern University[68] | July 17–26, 2023  | 675 (RV)  | ± 3.7%  | 37%  | 38% | 25%

Tim Scott vs. Joe Biden

Poll source  | Date(s)
administered  | Sample
size[b] | Margin
of error  | Tim
Scott
Republican | Joe
Biden
Democratic | Other /
Undecided

|
|
|
|
|
|

Ohio Northern University[68] | July 17–26, 2023  | 675 (RV)  | ± 3.7%  | 38%  | 39% | 23%

Generic Republican vs. Joe Biden

Poll source  | Date(s)
administered  | Sample
size[b] | Margin
of error  | Generic
Republican  | Joe
Biden
Democratic | Other /
Undecided

|
|
|
|
|
|

Causeway Solutions[80] | May 19–27, 2023  | 1,639 (RV)  | ± 2.5%  | 45% | 33%  | 22%

### Results

[edit]

State Senate District results State House District results 2024 United States presidential election in Ohio[81] Party  | Candidate  | Votes  | %  | ±%

|
|
|
|

| Republican |

* Donald Trump
* JD Vance

| 3,180,116  | 55.14%  | +1.87%
| Democratic |

* Kamala Harris
* Tim Walz

| 2,533,699  | 43.93%  | −1.31%
| Libertarian |

* Chase Oliver
* Mike ter Maat

| 28,200  | 0.49%  | −0.65%
| Independent |

* Richard Duncan
* Mitch Bupp

| 12,805  | 0.22%  | +0.22%
| American Solidarity |

* Peter Sonski
* Lauren Onak

| 10,197  | 0.18%  | +0.18%
| Green |

* Jill Stein (votes not counted)
* Anita Rios  (votes not counted)

| N/A[r] |  |
| Write-in | 2,771  | 0.05%  | +0.02%
Total votes | 5,767,788  | 100.00%  | N/A

#### By county

[edit]

County  | Donald Trump
Republican  | Kamala Harris
Democratic  | Various candidates
Other parties  | Margin  | Total

|
|
|
|
|

#  | %  | #  | %  | #  | %  | #  | %
Adams | 10,269  | 82.62%  | 2,098  | 16.88%  | 62  | 0.50%  | 8,171  | 65.74%  | 12,429
Allen | 33,201  | 71.28%  | 12,754  | 27.38%  | 621  | 1.34%  | 20,447  | 43.90%  | 46,576
Ashland | 19,863  | 74.31%  | 6,544  | 24.48%  | 323  | 1.21%  | 13,319  | 49.83%  | 26,730
Ashtabula | 27,656  | 63.47%  | 15,345  | 35.22%  | 574  | 1.31%  | 12,311  | 28.25%  | 43,575
Athens | 11,369  | 43.70%  | 14,134  | 54.33%  | 511  | 1.97%  | −2,765  | −10.63%  | 26,014
Auglaize | 20,988  | 81.57%  | 4,442  | 17.26%  | 300  | 1.17%  | 16,546  | 64.31%  | 25,730
Belmont | 22,758  | 73.30%  | 8,080  | 26.02%  | 211  | 0.68%  | 14,678  | 47.28%  | 31,049
Brown | 17,257  | 80.22%  | 4,069  | 18.92%  | 186  | 0.86%  | 13,188  | 61.30%  | 21,512
Butler | 114,831  | 62.66%  | 66,713  | 36.41%  | 1,708  | 0.93%  | 48,118  | 26.25%  | 183,252
Carroll | 10,634  | 76.76%  | 3,071  | 22.17%  | 148  | 1.07%  | 7,563  | 54.59%  | 13,853
Champaign | 15,334  | 74.57%  | 4,944  | 24.04%  | 286  | 1.39%  | 10,390  | 50.53%  | 20,564
Clark | 40,403  | 63.92%  | 21,847  | 34.56%  | 956  | 1.52%  | 18,556  | 29.36%  | 63,206
Clermont | 76,964  | 67.11%  | 36,130  | 31.50%  | 1,589  | 1.39%  | 40,834  | 35.61%  | 114,683
Clinton | 15,984  | 76.59%  | 4,633  | 22.20%  | 253  | 1.21%  | 11,351  | 54.39%  | 20,870
Columbiana | 35,607  | 73.80%  | 12,064  | 25.01%  | 575  | 1.19%  | 23,543  | 48.79%  | 48,246
Coshocton | 12,362  | 75.29%  | 3,835  | 23.36%  | 223  | 1.35%  | 8,527  | 51.93%  | 16,420
Crawford | 15,402  | 75.74%  | 4,683  | 23.03%  | 251  | 1.23%  | 10,719  | 52.71%  | 20,336
Cuyahoga | 195,165  | 33.56%  | 376,385  | 64.72%  | 9,965  | 1.72%  | −181,220  | −31.16%  | 581,515
Darke | 22,234  | 82.01%  | 4,583  | 16.90%  | 295  | 1.09%  | 17,651  | 65.11%  | 27,112
Defiance | 13,302  | 69.07%  | 5,667  | 29.42%  | 291  | 1.51%  | 7,635  | 39.65%  | 19,260
Delaware | 70,448  | 52.42%  | 61,657  | 45.88%  | 2,278  | 1.70%  | 8,791  | 6.54%  | 134,383
Erie | 22,493  | 56.32%  | 16,871  | 42.24%  | 573  | 1.44%  | 5,622  | 14.08%  | 39,937
Fairfield | 51,999  | 61.57%  | 31,695  | 37.53%  | 763  | 0.90%  | 20,304  | 24.04%  | 84,457
Fayette | 9,706  | 76.94%  | 2,773  | 21.98%  | 136  | 1.08%  | 6,933  | 54.96%  | 12,615
Franklin | 210,830  | 34.89%  | 380,518  | 62.98%  | 12,836  | 2.13%  | −169,688  | −28.09%  | 604,184
Fulton | 15,893  | 70.44%  | 6,374  | 28.25%  | 297  | 1.31%  | 9,519  | 42.19%  | 22,564
Gallia | 10,314  | 79.13%  | 2,592  | 19.89%  | 128  | 0.98%  | 7,722  | 59.24%  | 13,034
Geauga | 33,844  | 61.32%  | 20,604  | 37.33%  | 741  | 1.35%  | 13,240  | 23.99%  | 55,189
Greene | 53,399  | 58.87%  | 35,575  | 39.22%  | 1,733  | 1.91%  | 17,824  | 19.65%  | 90,707
Guernsey | 13,314  | 75.54%  | 4,154  | 23.57%  | 158  | 0.89%  | 9,160  | 51.97%  | 17,626
Hamilton | 172,365  | 41.71%  | 233,360  | 56.47%  | 7,488  | 1.82%  | −60,995  | −14.76%  | 413,213
Hancock | 26,052  | 68.53%  | 11,467  | 30.16%  | 499  | 1.31%  | 14,585  | 38.37%  | 38,018
Hardin | 9,911  | 76.78%  | 2,863  | 22.18%  | 134  | 1.04%  | 7,048  | 54.60%  | 12,908
Harrison | 5,484  | 77.02%  | 1,559  | 21.90%  | 77  | 1.08%  | 3,925  | 55.12%  | 7,120
Henry | 10,873  | 72.61%  | 3,905  | 26.08%  | 197  | 1.31%  | 6,968  | 46.53%  | 14,975
Highland | 16,269  | 81.32%  | 3,609  | 18.04%  | 127  | 0.64%  | 12,660  | 63.28%  | 20,005
Hocking | 9,679  | 71.63%  | 3,704  | 27.41%  | 129  | 0.96%  | 5,975  | 44.22%  | 13,512
Holmes | 10,384  | 83.84%  | 1,854  | 14.97%  | 148  | 1.19%  | 8,530  | 68.87%  | 12,386
Huron | 19,484  | 71.26%  | 7,496  | 27.41%  | 364  | 1.33%  | 11,988  | 43.85%  | 27,344
Jackson | 11,249  | 78.49%  | 2,953  | 20.60%  | 130  | 0.91%  | 8,296  | 57.89%  | 14,332
Jefferson | 22,317  | 71.03%  | 8,592  | 27.35%  | 508  | 1.62%  | 13,725  | 43.68%  | 31,417
Knox | 23,112  | 71.61%  | 8,698  | 26.95%  | 467  | 1.44%  | 14,414  | 44.66%  | 32,277
Lake | 72,924  | 56.46%  | 54,484  | 42.18%  | 1,751  | 1.36%  | 18,440  | 14.28%  | 129,159
Lawrence | 20,013  | 74.58%  | 6,514  | 24.27%  | 309  | 1.15%  | 13,499  | 50.31%  | 26,836
Licking | 61,359  | 64.20%  | 32,832  | 34.35%  | 1,390  | 1.45%  | 28,527  | 29.85%  | 95,581
Logan | 18,182  | 77.33%  | 5,027  | 21.38%  | 303  | 1.29%  | 13,155  | 55.95%  | 23,512
Lorain | 83,297  | 52.12%  | 74,207  | 46.44%  | 2,303  | 1.44%  | 9,090  | 5.68%  | 159,807
Lucas | 82,398  | 42.81%  | 106,320  | 55.23%  | 3,771  | 1.96%  | −23,922  | −12.42%  | 192,489
Madison | 14,737  | 70.98%  | 5,713  | 27.52%  | 312  | 1.50%  | 9,024  | 43.46%  | 20,762
Mahoning | 61,249  | 54.09%  | 50,636  | 44.72%  | 1,348  | 1.19%  | 10,613  | 9.37%  | 113,233
Marion | 19,219  | 69.96%  | 7,902  | 28.77%  | 349  | 1.27%  | 11,317  | 41.19%  | 27,470
Medina | 66,308  | 61.67%  | 39,771  | 36.99%  | 1,438  | 1.34%  | 26,537  | 24.68%  | 107,517
Meigs | 8,127  | 77.98%  | 2,202  | 21.13%  | 93  | 0.89%  | 5,925  | 56.85%  | 10,422
Mercer | 19,710  | 82.72%  | 3,865  | 16.22%  | 251  | 1.06%  | 15,845  | 66.50%  | 23,826
Miami | 42,677  | 71.80%  | 15,969  | 26.87%  | 792  | 1.33%  | 26,708  | 44.93%  | 59,438
Monroe | 5,396  | 79.18%  | 1,336  | 19.60%  | 83  | 1.22%  | 4,060  | 59.58%  | 6,815
Montgomery | 125,566  | 48.95%  | 126,767  | 49.41%  | 4,211  | 1.64%  | −1,201  | −0.46%  | 256,544
Morgan | 5,168  | 75.97%  | 1,560  | 22.93%  | 75  | 1.10%  | 3,608  | 53.04%  | 6,803
Morrow | 14,609  | 77.17%  | 4,100  | 21.66%  | 223  | 1.17%  | 10,509  | 55.51%  | 18,932
Muskingum | 28,147  | 71.45%  | 10,874  | 27.60%  | 373  | 0.95%  | 17,273  | 43.85%  | 39,394
Noble | 5,050  | 81.66%  | 1,069  | 17.29%  | 65  | 1.05%  | 3,981  | 64.37%  | 6,184
Ottawa | 14,872  | 61.86%  | 8,866  | 36.88%  | 304  | 1.26%  | 6,006  | 24.98%  | 24,042
Paulding | 7,203  | 77.22%  | 1,987  | 21.30%  | 138  | 1.48%  | 5,216  | 55.92%  | 9,328
Perry | 13,062  | 76.81%  | 3,800  | 22.35%  | 143  | 0.84%  | 9,262  | 54.46%  | 17,005
Pickaway | 21,607  | 73.46%  | 7,397  | 25.15%  | 409  | 1.39%  | 14,210  | 48.31%  | 29,413
Pike | 9,352  | 76.39%  | 2,793  | 22.81%  | 97  | 0.27%  | 6,559  | 53.58%  | 12,242
Portage | 47,681  | 57.02%  | 34,759  | 41.57%  | 1,179  | 1.41%  | 12,922  | 15.45%  | 83,619
Preble | 17,146  | 78.77%  | 4,343  | 19.95%  | 277  | 1.28%  | 12,803  | 58.82%  | 21,766
Putnam | 16,576  | 83.55%  | 2,996  | 15.10%  | 268  | 1.35%  | 13,580  | 68.45%  | 19,840
Richland | 41,298  | 70.76%  | 16,591  | 28.43%  | 473  | 0.81%  | 24,707  | 42.33%  | 58,362
Ross | 22,801  | 68.96%  | 9,846  | 29.78%  | 418  | 1.26%  | 12,955  | 39.18%  | 33,065
Sandusky | 19,311  | 64.74%  | 10,139  | 33.99%  | 377  | 1.27%  | 9,172  | 30.75%  | 29,827
Scioto | 22,978  | 73.59%  | 8,021  | 25.69%  | 226  | 0.72%  | 14,957  | 47.90%  | 31,225
Seneca | 17,241  | 67.87%  | 7,765  | 30.57%  | 398  | 1.56%  | 9,476  | 37.30%  | 25,404
Shelby | 20,740  | 81.78%  | 4,350  | 17.15%  | 272  | 1.07%  | 16,390  | 64.63%  | 25,362
Stark | 111,478  | 60.52%  | 71,090  | 38.60%  | 1,625  | 0.88%  | 40,388  | 21.92%  | 184,193
Summit | 125,910  | 45.88%  | 145,005  | 52.83%  | 3,539  | 1.29%  | −19,095  | −6.95%  | 274,454
Trumbull | 55,983  | 57.66%  | 39,758  | 40.95%  | 1,355  | 1.39%  | 16,225  | 16.71%  | 97,096
Tuscarawas | 30,652  | 70.94%  | 12,032  | 27.84%  | 527  | 1.22%  | 18,620  | 43.10%  | 43,211
Union | 23,982  | 63.84%  | 12,934  | 34.43%  | 651  | 1.73%  | 11,048  | 29.41%  | 37,567
Van Wert | 11,616  | 78.45%  | 3,000  | 20.26%  | 190  | 1.29%  | 8,616  | 58.19%  | 14,806
Vinton | 4,531  | 78.58%  | 1,169  | 20.27%  | 66  | 1.15%  | 3,362  | 58.31%  | 5,766
Warren | 91,132  | 64.74%  | 47,128  | 33.48%  | 2,499  | 1.78%  | 44,004  | 31.26%  | 140,759
Washington | 22,161  | 71.20%  | 8,600  | 27.63%  | 362  | 1.17%  | 13,561  | 43.57%  | 31,123
Wayne | 36,764  | 69.17%  | 15,898  | 29.91%  | 488  | 0.92%  | 20,866  | 39.26%  | 53,150
Williams | 13,461  | 73.50%  | 4,644  | 25.36%  | 209  | 1.14%  | 8,817  | 48.14%  | 18,314
Wood | 36,877  | 54.56%  | 30,016  | 44.41%  | 693  | 1.03%  | 6,861  | 10.15%  | 67,586
Wyandot | 8,564  | 74.83%  | 2,731  | 23.86%  | 150  | 1.31%  | 5,833  | 50.97%  | 11,445
Totals | 3,180,117 | 54.83% | 2,533,700 | 43.69% | 86,012 | 1.48% | 646,417 | 11.14% | 5,799,829

Swing by county

Legend

* Democratic — +0-2.5%

* Republican — +0-2.5%

* Republican — +2.5-5%

* Republican — +5-7.5%

* Republican — +7.5-10%

#### By congressional district

[edit]

Trump won 11 of 15 congressional districts, including one that elected a Democrat.[82]

District  | Trump  | Harris  | Representative

|
|
|

1st | 46%  | 53% | Greg Landsman
2nd | 73% | 26%  | Brad Wenstrup (118th Congress)
David Taylor (119th Congress)
3rd | 29%  | 70% | Joyce Beatty
4th | 68% | 31%  | Jim Jordan
5th | 64% | 35%  | Bob Latta
6th | 66% | 33%  | Michael Rulli
7th | 55% | 44%  | Max Miller
8th | 61% | 38%  | Warren Davidson
9th | 53% | 46%  | Marcy Kaptur
10th | 52% | 47%  | Mike Turner
11th | 22%  | 77% | Shontel Brown
12th | 66% | 33%  | Troy Balderson
13th | 49.5%  | 49.6% | Emilia Sykes
14th | 59% | 41%  | David Joyce
15th | 54% | 45%  | Mike Carey

## Analysis

[edit]

A heavily populated Midwestern state located mainly in the Rust Belt, with the southern portion of the state having cultural influence from the Upper South and Bible Belt, Ohio had been considered a vital bellwether state for decades and had been decided by single digits at the presidential level since 1992, but has been trending towards the political right in recent years and is now considered a moderately red state. The state voted significantly more Republican than the U.S. at large when Donald Trump carried the state by just over eight points in the past two elections, despite polls showing a tight race in both cycles, especially in 2020, in which the state backed the losing presidential candidate for the first time in 60 years. This is the first time since 1988 that the state voted Republican in three consecutive presidential elections and the first time since 2012 that it voted for the winner of the national popular vote. The GOP's success in Ohio during the 2022 midterms has further testified to the state's rightward shift and the end of its swing-state status at the presidential level. Ohio was widely expected to be carried again by Trump in the November general election.[83] JD Vance's selection was seen as a strategic effort to bolster support in the Midwest (especially his home state) and among Trump supporters. Independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. gathered enough signatures to appear on the ballot.[84] The election was held concurrently with a U.S. Senate race in Ohio, in which Republican nominee Bernie Moreno unseated Democratic incumbent Sherrod Brown, flipping the state's last remaining Democratic statewide seat into the GOP camp; this was partly credited to Trump's overall success in the state.

## See also

[edit]

* United States presidential elections in Ohio
* 2024 United States presidential election
* 2024 Democratic Party presidential primaries
* 2024 Republican Party presidential primaries
* 2024 United States elections

## Notes

[edit]

1. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
2. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear
3. ^ a b "Other" with 2%
4. ^ "Someone else" with 2%
5. ^ With voters who lean towards a given candidate
6. ^ a b "Other" with 1%
7. ^ a b "Some other candidate" with 2%
8. ^ "Someone else" & "Would not vote" with 1% each
9. ^ a b "Someone else" with 1%
10. ^ a b "Another party's candidates" with 1%
11. ^ "Some other candidate" with 1%
12. ^ "Some other candidate" with 2%; "Would not vote" with 1%
13. ^ a b With voters who lean towards a given candidate
14. ^ "Someone else" with 9%
15. ^ a b "Some other candidate" with 5%
16. ^ Joe Manchin with 6%
17. ^ a b "Some other candidate" with 8%
18. ^ Appeared on the ballot, but votes were not counted. Some counties tallied votes as "Jill Stein/Anita Rios," and others counted as "withdrawn candidate." Some counties did not report any votes for Stein/Rios. Tallied votes at 39,044, or 0.68%

Partisan clients

1. ^ Poll sponsored by The Hill
2. ^ Poll sponsored by Ohio Press Network
3. ^ Poll sponsored by American Thinker
4. ^ Poll sponsored by the Napolitan Institute
5. ^ Poll sponsored by On Point Politics & Red Eagle Politics
6. ^ a b Poll sponsored by NumbersUSA
7. ^ a b Poll commissioned by AARP
8. ^ Poll sponsored by the Senate Opportunity Fund
9. ^ a b c Poll conducted for Kennedy's campaign
10. ^ a b c Poll sponsored by Nexstar Media Group
11. ^ Poll conducted for the John Bolton Super PAC

## References

[edit]

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* v
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* e

State and district results of the 2024 United States presidential election

* Alabama
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*[v]: View this template
*[t]: Discuss this template
*[e]: Edit this template
*[VA]: Virginia
*[AK]: Alaska
*[TX]: Texas
*[CA]: California
*[MD]: Maryland
*[LA]: Louisiana
*[CT]: Connecticut
*[VT]: Vermont
*[WY]: Wyoming
*[AR]: Arkansas
*[FL]: Florida
*[MI]: Michigan
*[HI]: Hawaii
*[WV]: West Virginia
*[AL]: Alabama
*[NV]: Nevada
*[AZ]: Arizona
*[WI]: Wisconsin
*[OR]: Oregon
*[CO]: Colorado
*[NC]: North Carolina
*[UT]: Utah
*[OK]: Oklahoma
*[DE]: Delaware
*[IL]: Illinois