2024 United States presidential election in Texas

Main article: 2024 United States presidential election

2024 United States presidential election in Texas

* * *

| <- 2020 | November 5, 2024 | 2028 ->

|
|

|  |  |

|
|

Nominee  | Donald Trump | Kamala Harris |
Party  | Republican | Democratic
Home state  | Florida | California
Running mate  | JD Vance | Tim Walz

* * *

| Incumbent President

Joe Biden
Democratic

|

Elections in Texas

Federal government

|  Presidential elections

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Presidential primaries

Democratic
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2004
2008
2012
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2020
2024

Republican
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U.S. Senate

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U.S. House of Representatives

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* 1st sp
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* 27th sp
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* 18th sp

State government

|  General elections

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Gubernatorial elections

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Lieutenant gubernatorial elections

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Attorney General elections

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Comptroller elections

* 2022

Senate elections

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House of Representatives elections

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Constitutional amendments

* 1972
* 2005
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Austin

|  Mayoral elections

* 2003
* 2006
* 2009
* 2012
* 2014
* 2018
* 2022
* 2024

Austin municipal elections

* 2022
* 2024

Corpus Christi

|  Mayoral elections

* 2012
* 2014
* 2016
* 2017 sp
* 2018
* 2020

Dallas–Fort Worth

|  Arlington mayoral elections

* 2001
* 2003
* 2005
* 2007
* 2009
* 2011
* 2013
* 2015
* 2017
* 2019
* 2021
* 2023

Dallas mayoral elections

* 1856
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* 1963
* 1965
* 1995
* 1999
* 2002 sp
* 2003
* 2007
* 2011
* 2015
* 2019
* 2023

Dallas municipal elections

* 2015
* 2019
* 2021

Fort Worth mayoral elections

* 2003
* 2007
* 2009
* 2011
* 2015
* 2017
* 2019
* 2021
* 2023

Denton mayoral elections

* 2020
* 2022

Plano municipal elections

* 2017
* 2019
* 2021

El Paso

|  Mayoral elections

* 2001
* 2003
* 2005
* 2009
* 2013
* 2017
* 2020

Municipal elections

* 2017
* 2020

Houston

|  Mayoral elections

* 1987
* 1989
* 1991
* 1993
* 1995
* 1997
* 1999
* 2001
* 2003
* 2005
* 2007
* 2009
* 2011
* 2013
* 2015
* 2019
* 2023

Municipal elections

* 2005
* 2007
* 2009

Laredo

|  Mayoral elections

* 2018
* 2022

Lubbock

|  Mayoral elections

* 2006
* 2008
* 2010
* 2012
* 2014
* 2016
* 2018
* 2020

San Antonio

|  Mayoral elections

* 2005
* 2007
* 2009
* 2011
* 2013
* 2015
* 2017
* 2019
* 2021
* 2023
* 2025

Government

* v
* t
* e

The 2024 United States presidential election in Texas is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Texas voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Texas has 40 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state gained two seats.[1]

The second most populous state, Texas is generally considered to be a red state, not having voted Democratic in a presidential election since Southerner Jimmy Carter won it in 1976 and with Republicans holding all statewide offices since 1999. Texas' location in the American South and largely in the greater Bible Belt has given the GOP the upper hand in the state in recent decades.[2][3] Texas is considered by some to be potentially competitive, as the state has not backed a Republican for President by double digits since it favored Mitt Romney in 2012, which can be largely credited to the fast-growing Texas Triangle trending leftwards in some recent elections, namely in the closely-contested 2018 U.S. Senate race and the 2020 U.S. presidential election which both saw the Metroplex county of Tarrant and the Greater Austin counties of Williamson and Hays flip blue for the first time in decades. However, in the 2020 elections, predominately-Latino South Texas shifted significantly rightward, a trend that the rest of the state followed in the 2022 midterms.[4][5] Thus, Texas remains favored to stay in the GOP column in 2024.[6]

Incumbent Democratic President Joe Biden initially ran for re-election and became the party's presumptive nominee.[7] However, following what was widely viewed as a poor performance in the June 2024 presidential debate and amid increasing age and health concerns from within his party, he withdrew from the race on July 21 and endorsed Vice President Kamala Harris, who launched her presidential campaign the same day.[8] Biden's withdrawal from the race makes him the first eligible president not to stand for re-election since Texan native Lyndon B. Johnson in 1968. Former Republican President Donald Trump is running for re-election to a second non-consecutive term after his defeat in the 2020 election.[9]

## Primary elections

[edit]

### Democratic primary

[edit]

Main article: 2024 Texas Democratic presidential primary

The Texas Democratic primary was held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024. Incumbent president Joe Biden won the state in a landslide, with minor opposition from various other candidates, particularly in the Lower Rio Grande Valley region. Biden lost Loving County, in which there was only one ballot cast for Frankie Lozada.

Popular vote share by county

Biden

* 40–50%

* 50–60%

* 60–70%

* 70–80%

* 80–90%

* >90%

Lozada

* 100%

No votes

Texas Democratic primary, March 5, 2024[10] Candidate  | Votes  | Percentage  | Actual delegate count

|
|
|

Pledged  | Unpledged  | Total
Joe Biden (incumbent)  | 831,247 | 84.6% | 244 |  | 244
Marianne Williamson | 43,667  | 4.5%  |  |  |
Armando Perez-Serrato  | 27,473  | 2.8%  |  |  |
Dean Phillips | 26,473  | 2.7%  |  |  |
Gabriel Cornejo  | 17,196  | 1.8%  |  |  |
Cenk Uygur | 16,100  | 1.6%  |  |  |
Frankie Lozada  | 11,311  | 1.2%  |  |  |
Star Locke  | 8,602  | 0.9%  |  |  |
Total:  | 982,069  | 100%  | 272  |  | 272

### Republican primary

[edit]

Main article: 2024 Texas Republican presidential primary

The Texas Republican primary was held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024. Former president Donald Trump easily won the state and all of its delegates against Nikki Haley, who remained his only major opposition. Trump received the endorsements of U.S. senators John Cornyn and Ted Cruz, as well as Texas governor Greg Abbott, in his primary campaign.

Popular vote share by county

Trump

* 50–60%

* 60–70%

* 70–80%

* 80–90%

* >90%

Haley

* 60–70%

Texas Republican primary, March 5, 2024[11] Candidate  | Votes  | Percentage  | Actual delegate count

|
|
|

Bound  | Unbound  | Total
Donald Trump | 1,808,269 | 77.84% | 161 |  | 161
Nikki Haley | 405,472  | 17.45%  |  |  |
Uncommitted | 45,568  | 1.96%  |  |  |
Ron DeSantis (withdrawn)  | 36,302  | 1.56%  |  |  |
Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn)  | 10,582  | 0.46%  |  |  |
Chris Christie (withdrawn)  | 8,938  | 0.38%  |  |  |
Asa Hutchinson (withdrawn)  | 2,964  | 0.13%  |  |  |
Ryan Binkley (withdrawn)  | 2,585  | 0.11%  |  |  |
David Stuckenberg  | 2,339  | 0.10%  |  |  |
Total:  | 2,323,019  | 100.00%  | 161  |  | 161

### Robert F. Kennedy Jr. independent bid

[edit]

The Texas Secretary of State's office announced on August 8 that Robert F. Kennedy Jr. would appear on the state ballot.[12] Kennedy later dropped out of the race nationally on August 23.[13][14]

## General election

[edit]

Candidates

The following candidates are votable for President in the state of Texas:[15]

• Kamala Harris, Democratic Party

• Donald Trump, Republican Party

• Chase Oliver, Libertarian Party

• Jill Stein, Green Party

• Claudia De la Cruz, Party for Socialism and Liberation (Write-in)

• Cornel West, Justice for All Party (Write-in)

• Peter Sonski, American Solidarity Party (Write-in)

• Shiva Ayyadurai, Independent (Write-in)

In addition, Robert F. Kennedy Jr. was on the ballot under the Texas Independent Party before he suspended his campaign.

### Predictions

[edit]

Source  | Ranking  | As of

|
|

Cook Political Report[16] | Likely R  | December 19, 2023
Inside Elections[17] | Likely R  | April 26, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[18] | Likely R  | June 29, 2023
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[19] | Likely R  | June 1, 2024
CNN[20] | Solid R  | January 14, 2024
The Economist[21] | Likely R  | June 13, 2024
538[22] | Lean R  | August 23, 2024
RCP[23] | Lean R  | June 26, 2024
CNalysis[24] | Likely R  | August 5, 2024

### Polling

[edit]

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

Poll source  | Date(s)
administered  | Sample
size[a] | Margin
of error  | Donald
Trump
Republican | Kamala
Harris
Democratic | Other /
Undecided

|
|
|
|
|
|

ActiVote[25] | August 14–31, 2024  | 400 (LV)  | ± 4.9%  | 54.5% | 45.5%  | –
| August 23, 2024  | Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. ends his presidential campaign.
Public Policy Polling (D)[26][A] | August 21–22, 2024  | 725 (RV)  | ± 3.6%  | 49% | 44%  | 6%
| August 19–22, 2024  | Democratic National Convention
ActiVote[27] | July 31 – August 13, 2024  | 400 (LV)  | ± 4.9%  | 53% | 47%  | –
| August 6, 2024  | Harris selects Gov. Tim Walz as her running mate.
| July 21, 2024  | Biden announces his official withdrawal from the race; Harris declares her candidacy for president.
| July 15–19, 2024  | Republican National Convention
| July 13, 2024  | attempted assassination of Donald Trump
YouGov[28][B] | January 11–24, 2024  | 1,500 (RV)  | ± 2.5%  | 52% | 39%  | 9%
Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation[29] | May 8–17, 2023  | 1,000 (RV)  | ± 2.9%  | 46% | 39%  | 15%[b]

Hypothetical polling with Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source  | Date(s)
administered  | Sample
size[a] | Margin
of error  | Donald
Trump
Republican | Kamala
Harris
Democratic | Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent | Cornel
West
Independent | Jill
Stein
Green | Chase
Oliver
Libertarian | Other /
Undecided

|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|

Public Policy Polling (D)[30][A] | August 21–22, 2024  | 725 (RV)  | ± 3.6%  | 45% | 42%  | 6%  | 1%  | 0%  | –  | 6%
University of Houston[31] | August 5–16, 2024  | 1,365 (LV)  | ± 2.7%  | 50% | 45%  | 2%  | –  | 1%  | 1%  | 1%

Hypothetical polling with Donald Trump and Joe Biden

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden

Poll source  | Date(s)
administered  | Sample
size[a] | Margin
of error  | Donald
Trump
Republican | Joe
Biden
Democratic | Other /
Undecided

|
|
|
|
|
|

ActiVote[32] | June 25 – July 18, 2024  | 400 (LV)  | ± 4.9%  | 54% | 46%  | –
Remington Research Group (R)[33] | June 29 – July 1, 2024  | 589 (LV)  | ± 4.0%  | 49% | 39%  | 12%
Manhattan Institute[34] | June 25–27, 2024  | 600 (LV)  | ± 4.0%  | 52% | 41%  | 7%
UT Tyler[35] | June 11–20, 2024  | 1,144 (RV)  | ± 3.7%  | 46% | 40%  | 14%
931 (LV)  | ± 3.8%  | 48% | 43%  | 9%
YouGov[36][C] | May 31 – June 9, 2024  | 1,200 (RV)  | ± 2.8%  | 46% | 39%  | 15%[c]
YouGov[37][C] | April 12–22, 2024  | 1,200 (RV)  | ± 3.3%  | 48% | 40%  | 12%[d]
Cygnal (R)[38] | April 4–6, 2024  | 1,000 (RV)  | ± 2.9%  | 51% | 42%  | 7%
Marist College[39] | March 18–21, 2024  | 1,117 (RV)  | ± 3.8%  | 55% | 44%  | 1%
UT Tyler[40] | February 18–26, 2024  | 1,167 (RV)  | ± 3.2%  | 46% | 42%  | 12%
YouGov[41][C] | February 2–12, 2024  | 1,200 (RV)  | ± 3.4%  | 48% | 41%  | 11%[e]
University of Houston[42] | January 11–24, 2024  | 1,145 (LV)  | ± 2.5%  | 49% | 40%  | 11%
Emerson College[43][D] | January 13–15, 2024  | 1,315 (RV)  | ± 2.6%  | 49% | 41%  | 10%
YouGov[44][C] | December 1–10, 2023  | 1,200 (RV)  | ± 2.8%  | 45% | 39%  | 16%
YouGov[45][C] | October 5–17, 2023  | 1,200 (RV)  | ± 2.8%  | 45% | 37%  | 18%
Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation[29] | May 8–17, 2023  | 1,000 (RV)  | ± 2.9%  | 44% | 42%  | 14%[f]
CWS Research (R)[46] | April 17–21, 2023  | 677 (LV)  | ± 3.8%  | 45% | 42%  | 13%
Emerson College[47] | October 17–19, 2022  | 1,000 (LV)  | ± 3.0%  | 47% | 40%  | 13%
Emerson College[48] | September 20–22, 2022  | 1,000 (LV)  | ± 3.0%  | 49% | 40%  | 11%
Echelon Insights[49] | August 31 – September 7, 2022  | 813 (LV)  | ± 4.4%  | 48% | 43%  | 9%
Blueprint Polling (D)[50] | June 8–10, 2022  | 603 (LV)  | ± 4.0%  | 44% | 38%  | 17%

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein

Poll source  | Date(s)
administered  | Sample
size[a] | Margin
of error  | Donald
Trump
Republican | Joe
Biden
Democratic | Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent | Cornel
West
Independent | Jill
Stein
Green | Other /
Undecided

|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|

YouGov[51][E] | June 20 – July 1, 2024  | 1,484 (LV)  | ± 2.5%  | 49% | 40%  | 5%  | –  | 2%  | 4%[g]
Manhattan Institute[34] | June 25–27, 2024  | 600 (LV)  | ± 4.0%  | 45% | 36%  | 7%  | 1%  | 0%  | 11%[h]
UT Tyler[35] | June 11–20, 2024  | 1,144 (RV)  | ± 3.7%  | 46% | 38%  | 12%  | –  | 1%  | 3%[i]
931 (LV)  | ± 3.8%  | 47% | 41%  | 8%  | –  | 1%  | 3%[j]
YouGov[36][C] | May 31 – June 9, 2024  | 1,200 (RV)  | ± 2.8%  | 43% | 34%  | 8%  | 2%  | 2%  | 11%
YouGov[37][C] | April 12–22, 2024  | 1,200 (RV)  | ± 3.3%  | 45% | 36%  | 8%  | 2%  | 2%  | 7%
Texas Lyceum[52] | April 12–21, 2024  | 926 (RV)  | ± 3.2%  | 41% | 31%  | 11%  | 1%  | 1%  | 15%[k]
Cygnal (R)[38] | April 4–6, 2024  | 1,000 (RV)  | ± 2.9%  | 46% | 37%  | 8%  | 1%  | 2%  | 6%
UT Tyler[40] | February 18–26, 2024  | 1,167 (RV)  | ± 3.2%  | 41% | 37%  | 13%  | 6%  | 3%  | –
YouGov[41][C] | February 2–12, 2024  | 1,200 (RV)  | ± 3.4%  | 45% | 36%  | 6%  | 3%  | 2%  | 8%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[53] | February 1–3, 2024  | 605 (LV)  | ± 4.0%  | 44% | 35%  | 6%  | 1%  | 1%  | 13%
Emerson College[43][D] | January 13–15, 2024  | 1,315 (RV)  | ± 2.6%  | 46% | 36%  | 5%  | 1%  | 1%  | 11%
YouGov[44][C] | December 1–10, 2023  | 1,200 (RV)  | ± 2.8%  | 42% | 34%  | 8%  | 3%  | 2%  | 12%

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source  | Date(s)
administered  | Sample
size[a] | Margin
of error  | Donald
Trump
Republican | Joe
Biden
Democratic | Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent | Other /
Undecided

|
|
|
|
|
|
|

Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation[54] | April 5–10, 2024  | 1,600 (LV)  | ± 2.45%  | 46% | 34%  | 9%  | 11%[l]
Marist College[39] | March 18–21, 2024  | 1,117 (RV)  | ± 3.8%  | 48% | 36%  | 15%  | 1%

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Jill Stein

Poll source  | Date(s)
administered  | Sample
size[a] | Margin
of error  | Donald
Trump
Republican | Joe
Biden
Democratic | Jill
Stein
Green | Other /
Undecided

|
|
|
|
|
|
|

Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation[54] | April 5–10, 2024  | 1,600 (LV)  | ± 2.45%  | 48% | 36%  | 3%  | 13%[m]
YouGov[28][B] | January 11–24, 2024  | 1,500 (RV)  | ± 2.5%  | 49% | 40%  | 3%  | 8%[n]

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Joe Manchin vs. Cornel West

Poll source  | Date(s)
administered  | Sample
size[a] | Margin
of error  | Donald
Trump
Republican | Joe
Biden
Democratic | Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent | Joe
Manchin
No Labels | Cornel
West
Independent | Other /
Undecided

|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|

National Public Affairs[55] | February 6–8, 2024  | 807 (LV)  | ± 3.5%  | 42% | 35%  | 6%  | 4%  | 3%  | 9%

Hypothetical polling with other candidates

Nikki Haley vs. Joe Biden

Poll source  | Date(s)
administered  | Sample
size[a] | Margin
of error  | Nikki
Haley
Republican | Joe
Biden
Democratic | Other /
Undecided

|
|
|
|
|
|

UT Tyler[40] | February 18–26, 2024  | 1,167 (RV)  | ± 3.2%  | 42% | 36%  | 22%
YouGov[41][C] | February 2–12, 2024  | 1,200 (RV)  | ± 3.4%  | 31%  | 40% | 29%[o]
YouGov[28][B] | January 11–24, 2024  | 1,500 (RV)  | ± 2.5%  | 43% | 39%  | 18%
YouGov[44][C] | December 1–10, 2023  | 1,200 (RV)  | ± 2.8%  | 33%  | 36% | 31%
YouGov[45][C] | October 5–17, 2023  | 1,200 (RV)  | ± 2.8%  | 32%  | 34% | 34%

Nikki Haley vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein

Poll source  | Date(s)
administered  | Sample
size[a] | Margin
of error  | Nikki
Haley
Republican | Joe
Biden
Democratic | Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent | Cornel
West
Independent | Jill
Stein
Green | Other /
Undecided

|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|

UT Tyler[40] | February 18–26, 2024  | 1,167 (RV)  | ± 3.2%  | 33%  | 36% | 20%  | 7%  | 3%  | 1%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[53] | February 1–3, 2024  | 605 (LV)  | ± 4.0%  | 30%  | 32% | 14%  | 0%  | 0%  | 24%

Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden

Poll source  | Date(s)
administered  | Sample
size[a] | Margin
of error  | Ron
DeSantis
Republican | Joe
Biden
Democratic | Other /
Undecided

|
|
|
|
|
|

YouGov[44][C] | December 1–10, 2023  | 1,200 (RV)  | ± 2.8%  | 39% | 37%  | 24%
YouGov[45][C] | October 5–17, 2023  | 1,200 (RV)  | ± 2.8%  | 39% | 38%  | 24%
Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation[29] | May 8–17, 2023  | 1,000 (RV)  | ± 2.9%  | 44% | 42%  | 14%[p]
CWS Research (R)[46] | April 17–21, 2023  | 677 (LV)  | ± 3.8%  | 44% | 40%  | 16%
Echelon Insights[49] | August 31 – September 7, 2022  | 813 (LV)  | ± 4.4%  | 44% | 41%  | 15%

Ron DeSantis vs. Kamala Harris

Poll source  | Date(s)
administered  | Sample
size[a] | Margin
of error  | Ron
DeSantis
Republican | Kamala
Harris
Democratic | Other /
Undecided

|
|
|
|
|
|

Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation[29] | May 8–17, 2023  | 1,000 (RV)  | ± 2.9%  | 45% | 40%  | 15%[q]

Vivek Ramaswamy vs. Joe Biden

Poll source  | Date(s)
administered  | Sample
size[a] | Margin
of error  | Vivek
Ramaswamy
Republican | Joe
Biden
Democratic | Other /
Undecided

|
|
|
|
|
|

YouGov[44][C] | December 1–10, 2023  | 1,200 (RV)  | ± 2.8%  | 34%  | 37% | 30%
YouGov[45][C] | October 5–17, 2023  | 1,200 (RV)  | ± 2.8%  | 33%  | 36% | 32%

Mike Pence vs. Joe Biden

Poll source  | Date(s)
administered  | Sample
size[a] | Margin
of error  | Mike
Pence
Republican | Joe
Biden
Democratic | Other /
Undecided

|
|
|
|
|
|

YouGov[45][C] | October 5–17, 2023  | 1,200 (RV)  | ± 2.8%  | 29%  | 36% | 36%

Tim Scott vs. Joe Biden

Poll source  | Date(s)
administered  | Sample
size[a] | Margin
of error  | Tim
Scott
Republican | Joe
Biden
Democratic | Other /
Undecided

|
|
|
|
|
|

YouGov[45][C] | October 5–17, 2023  | 1,200 (RV)  | ± 2.8%  | 33%  | 34% | 33%

## See also

[edit]

* United States presidential elections in Texas
* 2024 Democratic Party presidential primaries
* 2024 Republican Party presidential primaries
* 2024 Texas elections
* 2024 United States elections

## Notes

[edit]

1. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear
2. ^ "Don't know" with 9%; "Libertarian candidate" with 4%"; "Green Party candidate" with 2%"
3. ^ "Someone else" with 9%
4. ^ "Someone else" with 6%
5. ^ "Someone else" with 7%
6. ^ "Don't know" with 8%; "Libertarian candidate" with 4%"; "Green Party candidate" with 2%"
7. ^ Chase Oliver (L) with 0%
8. ^ "Someone else" with 2%; Chase Oliver (L) with 1%
9. ^ Chase Oliver (L) with 3%
10. ^ Chase Oliver (L) with 3%
11. ^ "Someone else" with 5%
12. ^ Jill Stein (G) with 2%; Chase Oliver (L) with 1%
13. ^ Undecided with 10%; Chase Oliver (L) with 3%
14. ^ Libertarian candidate with 1%
15. ^ "Someone else" with 21%
16. ^ "Don't know" with 9%; "Libertarian candidate" with 3%"; "Green Party candidate" with 2%"
17. ^ "Don't know" with 10%; "Libertarian candidate" with 3%"; "Green Party candidate" with 2%"

1. ^ a b Poll commissioned by Clean and Prosperous America PAC
2. ^ a b c Poll sponsored by the Hobby School of Public Affairs at the University of Houston
3. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r Poll sponsored by the Texas Politics Project at the University of Texas
4. ^ a b Poll sponsored by Nexstar Media Group
5. ^ Poll sponsored by the University of Houston and Texas Southern University

## References

[edit]

1. ^ Wang, Hansi; Jin, Connie; Levitt, Zach (April 26, 2021). "Here's How The 1st 2020 Census Results Changed Electoral College, House Seats". NPR. Archived from the original on August 19, 2021. Retrieved August 20, 2021.
2. ^ Barabak, Mark Z. (December 7, 2023). "Column: In two decades, much of the West has turned blue. Why hasn't Texas?". Los Angeles Times.
3. ^ Herrera, Jack (December 4, 2023). "Why do California, Texas differ so much? Religion, priorities of white minority play huge roles, poll shows". Los Angeles Times.
4. ^ "House Generic Ballot Estimates, 2008-2022". Split Ticket. April 7, 2023.
5. ^ "Republican victories show Texas is still far from turning blue". The Texas Tribune. November 9, 2022. "As large as the cities are and how Democratic that they are, Texas Democrats still don't have a way to get past that red wall of rural West Texas, [Drew Landry] said. Rural Texas still rules the day. I was seeing some very, very close numbers before a lot of the rural counties reported [election returns], and once they did, it just blew the door open for Abbott."
6. ^ "270toWin - 2024 Presidential Election Interactive Map". 270toWin.com. Retrieved March 19, 2024.
7. ^ Kinery, Emma (April 25, 2023). "Biden launches 2024 reelection campaign, promising to fulfill economic policy vision". CNBC. Archived from the original on April 25, 2023. Retrieved April 25, 2023.
8. ^ "Harris says she'll 'earn' nomination as Biden steps aside". The Washington Post. Retrieved July 21, 2024.
9. ^ Orr, Gabby (November 16, 2022). "Former President Donald Trump announces a White House bid for 2024". CNN.com. Retrieved October 8, 2023.
10. ^ "Texas Democratic Primary Election Results". Texas Secretary of State. Retrieved March 28, 2024.
11. ^ "Texas Republican Primary Election Results". The New York Times. Retrieved April 5, 2024.
12. ^ Salinas, Juan (August 8, 2024). "Robert Kennedy Jr. will be on the 2024 Texas ballot". The Texas Tribune. Retrieved August 9, 2024.
13. ^ "RFK Jr. endorses Trump after weeks of back-channel courtship". NBC News. August 23, 2024. Retrieved August 25, 2024.
14. ^ Dovere, Aaron Pellish, Edward-Isaac (August 23, 2024). "RFK Jr. suspends presidential campaign | CNN Politics". CNN. Retrieved August 25, 2024.`{{cite web}}`: CS1 maint: multiple names: authors list (link)
15. ^ "The Green Papers: 2024 Presidential Candidate Ballot Access by State". www.thegreenpapers.com. Retrieved September 1, 2024.
16. ^ "2024 CPR Electoral College Ratings". cookpolitical.com. Cook Political Report. December 19, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
17. ^ "Presidential Ratings". insideelections.com. Inside Elections. April 26, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
18. ^ "2024 Electoral College ratings". centerforpolitics.org. University of Virginia Center for Politics. June 29, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
19. ^ "2024 presidential predictions". elections2024.thehill.com/. The Hill. December 14, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
20. ^ "Electoral College map 2024: Road to 270". CNN. Retrieved January 14, 2024.
21. ^ "Trump v Biden: The Economist's presidential election prediction model". The Economist. Retrieved June 12, 2024.
22. ^ Morris, G. Elliott (June 11, 2024). "2024 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved August 23, 2024.
23. ^ "2024 RCP Electoral College Map". RealClearPolitics. June 26, 2024. Retrieved June 26, 2024.
24. ^ "2024 Presidential Forecast". projects.cnalysis.com/. CNalysis. December 30, 2023. Retrieved August 6, 2024.
25. ^ Allis, Victor (August 31, 2024). "Trump extends lead in Texas". ActiVote. Retrieved August 31, 2024.
26. ^ "New Surveys Show Texas and Florida Have Competitive Senate Elections" (PDF). Clean and Prosperous America. August 27, 2024.
27. ^ Allis, Victor (August 13, 2024). "Trump Leads Harris in Texas". ActiVote. Retrieved August 14, 2024.
28. ^ a b c "Texas Primary Election 2024 Presidential Candidates" (PDF). University of Houston. January 30, 2024.
29. ^ a b c d "The TxHPF TEGNA 2023 Texas Legislative Session Issues Report" (PDF). May 17, 2023.
30. ^ "New Surveys Show Texas and Florida Have Competitive Senate Elections" (PDF). Clean and Prosperous America. August 27, 2024.
31. ^ "Texas Trends 2024 - General Election: August" (PDF). University of Houston. August 22, 2024.
32. ^ "Cruz and Trump Lead Comfortably in Texas – ActiVote".
33. ^ "Exclusive: Battleground Poll Shows Biden Tanking In Key States After Disastrous Debate". www.dailywire.com. July 3, 2024.
34. ^ a b "Testing Texas".
35. ^ a b "UT Tyler" (PDF).
36. ^ a b "YouGov" (PDF).
37. ^ a b "YouGov" (PDF).
38. ^ a b Cygnal (R)
39. ^ a b "Marist College" (PDF).
40. ^ a b c d "UT Tyler" (PDF).
41. ^ a b c "YouGov" (PDF).
42. ^ "University of Houston" (PDF).
43. ^ a b Mumford, Camille (January 18, 2024). "Texas 2024 Poll: Allred Leads Democratic Senate Primary, Plurality are Undecided". Emerson Polling.
44. ^ a b c d e "YouGov" (PDF).
45. ^ a b c d e f "YouGov" (PDF).
46. ^ a b "23.04.24 Defend Texas Liberty Q1 2023 Texas 24 General Election Likely Voter.pdf". Google Docs.
47. ^ Mumford, Camille (October 24, 2022). "Texas 2022: Abbott Holds Ten-Point Lead for Governor; Majority of Voters Support Migrant Busing". Emerson Polling.
48. ^ Mumford, Camille (September 27, 2022). "Texas 2022: Greg Abbott Leads Beto O'Rourke By Eight in Gubernatorial Election". Emerson Polling.
49. ^ a b Chavez, Krista (September 13, 2022). "New National Poll: 89% of Americans Say Congress Should Focus on Addressing Inflation, Not Breaking Up Tech". NetChoice.
50. ^ Blueprint Polling (D)
51. ^ "YouGov" (PDF).
52. ^ "Texas Lyceum" (PDF).
53. ^ a b "The View from Texas: Presidential Voting Intention and Approval Rating (1-3 February 2024)". February 7, 2024.
54. ^ a b "Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation" (PDF).
55. ^ "National Public Affairs" (PDF). www.natpublicaffairs.com.

* v
* t
* e

(2023 <-)  2024 United States elections (-> 2025)

U.S.
President|

* Alabama
* Alaska
* Arizona
* Arkansas
* California
* Colorado
* Connecticut
* Delaware
* District of Columbia
* Florida
* Georgia
* Hawaii
* Idaho
* Illinois
* Indiana
* Iowa
* Kansas
* Kentucky
* Louisiana
* Maine
* Maryland
* Massachusetts
* Michigan
* Minnesota
* Mississippi
* Missouri
* Montana
* Nebraska
* Nevada
* New Hampshire
* New Jersey
* New Mexico
* New York
* North Carolina
* North Dakota
* Ohio
* Oklahoma
* Oregon
* Pennsylvania
* Rhode Island
* South Carolina
* South Dakota
* Tennessee
* Texas
* Utah
* Vermont
* Virginia
* Washington
* West Virginia
* Wisconsin
* Wyoming
* Guam (straw poll)
* Puerto Rico (straw poll)

U.S.
Senate|

* Arizona
* California
* Connecticut
* Delaware
* Florida
* Hawaii
* Indiana
* Maine
* Maryland
* Massachusetts
* Michigan
* Minnesota
* Mississippi
* Missouri
* Montana
* Nebraska (regular)
* Nebraska (special)
* Nevada
* New Jersey
* New Mexico
* New York
* North Dakota
* Ohio
* Pennsylvania
* Rhode Island
* Tennessee
* Texas
* Utah
* Vermont
* Virginia
* Washington
* West Virginia
* Wisconsin
* Wyoming
* District of Columbia (shadow)

U.S.
House
(election
ratings)|

* Alabama
* Alaska
* American Samoa
* Arizona
* Arkansas
* California
* 16th
* 20th sp
* 30th
* 45th
* 47th
* Colorado
* 4th sp
* Connecticut
* Delaware
* District of Columbia
* shadow
* Florida
* Georgia
* Guam
* Hawaii
* Idaho
* Illinois
* Indiana
* Iowa
* Kansas
* Kentucky
* Louisiana
* Maine
* Maryland
* 6th
* Massachusetts
* Michigan
* Minnesota
* Mississippi
* Missouri
* Montana
* Nebraska
* Nevada
* New Hampshire
* New Jersey
* 10th sp
* New Mexico
* New York
* 3rd sp
* 26th sp
* North Carolina
* North Dakota
* Northern Mariana Islands
* Ohio
* 6th sp
* Oklahoma
* Oregon
* Pennsylvania
* Puerto Rico
* Rhode Island
* South Carolina
* South Dakota
* Tennessee
* Texas
* 18th sp
* Utah
* Vermont
* Virginia
* U.S. Virgin Islands
* Washington
* West Virginia
* Wisconsin
* 8th sp
* Wyoming

Governors|

* American Samoa
* Delaware
* Lt. Gov
* Indiana
* Missouri
* Lt. Gov
* Montana
* New Hampshire
* North Carolina
* Lt. Gov
* North Dakota
* Puerto Rico
* Utah
* Vermont
* Lt. Gov
* Washington
* Lt. Gov
* West Virginia

Attorneys
general|

* Indiana
* Missouri
* Montana
* North Carolina
* Oregon
* Pennsylvania
* Utah
* Vermont
* Washington
* West Virginia

Secretaries
of state|

* Missouri
* Montana
* North Carolina
* Oregon
* Vermont
* Washington
* West Virginia

State
treasurers|

* Arkansas (special)
* Missouri
* North Carolina
* North Dakota
* Oregon
* Pennsylvania
* Utah
* Vermont
* Washington
* West Virginia

Other
statewide
elections|

* Arizona
* Corporation Commission
* Georgia
* Judicial
* Kentucky
* Supreme Court
* Montana
* State Auditor
* New Hampshire
* Executive Council
* North Carolina
* Council of State
* North Dakota
* State Auditor
* Pennsylvania
* Auditor General
* Utah
* State Auditor
* Vermont
* State Auditor
* Washington
* State Auditor
* Public Lands Commissioner
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* State Auditor

State
legislative|

* Alaska
* House
* Senate
* Arizona
* House
* Senate
* Arkansas
* House
* Senate
* California
* Assembly
* Senate
* Colorado
* House
* Senate
* Connecticut
* House
* Senate
* Delaware
* House
* Senate
* Florida
* House
* Senate
* Georgia
* House
* Senate
* Hawaii
* House
* Senate
* Idaho
* House
* Senate
* Illinois
* House
* Senate
* Indiana
* House
* Senate
* Iowa
* House
* Senate
* Kansas
* House
* Senate
* Kentucky
* House
* Senate
* Maine
* House
* Senate
* Massachusetts
* House
* Senate
* Michigan
* House
* Minnesota
* House
* Missouri
* House
* Senate
* Montana
* House
* Senate
* Nebraska
* Nevada
* Assembly
* Senate
* New Hampshire
* House
* Senate
* New Mexico
* House
* Senate
* New York
* Assembly
* Senate
* North Carolina
* House
* Senate
* North Dakota
* House
* Senate
* Ohio
* House
* Senate
* Oklahoma
* House
* Senate
* Oregon
* House
* Senate
* Pennsylvania
* House
* Senate
* Puerto Rico
* House
* Senate
* Rhode Island
* House
* Senate
* South Carolina
* House
* Senate
* South Dakota
* House
* Senate
* Tennessee
* House
* Senate
* Texas
* House
* Senate
* Utah
* House
* Senate
* Vermont
* House
* Senate
* Washington
* House
* Senate
* West Virginia
* House
* Senate
* Wisconsin
* Assembly
* Senate
* Wyoming
* House
* Senate
* Special elections

Mayors|

* Alexandria, VA
* Anchorage, AK
* Austin, TX
* Bakersfield, CA
* Baltimore, MD
* Baton Rouge, LA
* Bridgeport, CT
* Burlington, VT
* El Paso, TX
* Fayetteville, AR
* Fort Lauderdale, FL
* Fresno, CA
* Grand Rapids, MI
* Honolulu, HI
* Huntington, WV
* Huntsville, AL
* Las Vegas, NV
* Mesa, AZ
* Miami-Dade County, FL
* Milwaukee, WI
* Phoenix, AZ
* Portland, OR
* Pueblo, CO
* Raleigh, NC
* Richmond, VA
* Riverside, CA
* Sacramento, CA
* Salt Lake County, UT
* San Diego, CA
* San Francisco, CA
* San Jose, CA
* Stockton, CA
* Tulsa, OK
* Virginia Beach, VA
* Wilmington, DE

Local|

* Alameda County, CA (recall)
* Chicago, IL
* Los Angeles, CA
* Los Angeles County, CA
* Maricopa County, AZ
* Board of Supervisors
* Multnomah County, OR
* Orange County, CA
* Portland, OR
* City Auditor
* City Council
* San Diego, CA
* San Francisco, CA
* San Mateo County, CA
* Tulsa, OK
* Washington, D.C.

States and
territories|

* Alabama
* Alaska
* American Samoa
* Arizona
* Arkansas
* California
* Colorado
* Connecticut
* Delaware
* Florida
* Georgia
* Guam
* Hawaii
* Idaho
* Illinois
* Indiana
* Iowa
* Kansas
* Kentucky
* Louisiana
* Maine
* Maryland
* Massachusetts
* Michigan
* Minnesota
* Mississippi
* Missouri
* Montana
* Nebraska
* Nevada
* New Hampshire
* New Jersey
* New Mexico
* New York
* North Carolina
* North Dakota
* Northern Mariana Islands
* Ohio
* Oklahoma
* Oregon
* Pennsylvania
* Puerto Rico
* Rhode Island
* South Carolina
* South Dakota
* Tennessee
* Texas
* U.S. Virgin Islands
* Utah
* Vermont
* Virginia
* Washington
* Washington, D.C.
* West Virginia
* Wisconsin
* Wyoming

Ballot
measures|

* Arizona
* Proposition 139
* California
* Proposition 1
* Proposition 2
* Proposition 3
* District of Columbia
* Initiative 83
* Florida
* Amendment 3
* Amendment 4
* Idaho
* open primary initiative
* Kentucky
* Amendment 2
* Maryland
* Question 1
* Missouri
* Amendment 3
* Puerto Rico
* Status
* South Dakota
* Amendment G
* Amendment H

* v
* t
* e

State and district results of the 2024 United States presidential election

* Alabama
* Alaska
* Arizona
* Arkansas
* California
* Colorado
* Connecticut
* Delaware
* District of Columbia
* Florida
* Georgia
* Hawaii
* Idaho
* Illinois
* Indiana
* Iowa
* Kansas
* Kentucky
* Louisiana
* Maine
* Maryland
* Massachusetts
* Michigan
* Minnesota
* Mississippi
* Missouri
* Montana
* Nebraska
* Nevada
* New Hampshire
* New Jersey
* New Mexico
* New York
* North Carolina
* North Dakota
* Ohio
* Oklahoma
* Oregon
* Pennsylvania
* Rhode Island
* South Carolina
* South Dakota
* Tennessee
* Texas
* Utah
* Vermont
* Virginia
* Washington
* West Virginia
* Wisconsin
* Wyoming

*[v]: View this template
*[t]: Discuss this template
*[e]: Edit this template
*[VA]: Virginia
*[AK]: Alaska
*[TX]: Texas
*[CA]: California
*[MD]: Maryland
*[LA]: Louisiana
*[CT]: Connecticut
*[VT]: Vermont
*[AR]: Arkansas
*[FL]: Florida
*[MI]: Michigan
*[HI]: Hawaii
*[WV]: West Virginia
*[AL]: Alabama
*[NV]: Nevada
*[AZ]: Arizona
*[WI]: Wisconsin
*[OR]: Oregon
*[CO]: Colorado
*[NC]: North Carolina
*[UT]: Utah
*[OK]: Oklahoma
*[DE]: Delaware
*[IL]: Illinois