2024 Wisconsin State Assembly election

* * *

| <- 2022 | November 7, 2024 | 2026 ->

|
|

* * *

All 99 seats in the Wisconsin State Assembly
50 seats needed for a majority
|  |  |

|
|

Leader  | Robin Vos | Greta Neubauer
Party  | Republican | Democratic
Leader's seat  | 33rd[a] –Rochester | 66th–Racine
Last election  | 64 seats, 53.6%  | 35 seats, 44.6%
Current seats  | 64  | 35
Seats needed  |  |  15

* * *

Map of the incumbents:
Republican incumbent Republican incumbent retiring
Democratic incumbent Democratic incumbent retiring
No incumbent

* * *

| Incumbent Speaker

Robin Vos
Republican

|

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Referendum 1

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* v
* t
* e

The 2024 Wisconsin State Assembly election is scheduled to be held on Tuesday, November 5, 2024. All 99 seats in the Wisconsin State Assembly are up for election. Currently, 64 Assembly seats are held by Republicans and 35 seats are held by Democrats.

The primary election was held on August 13, 2024. The filing deadline to appear on the ballot was June 3, 2024.[1]

## Background

[edit]

This election will be significantly affected by the legislative maps drawn as a result of the Wisconsin Supreme Court decision in Clarke v. Wisconsin Elections Commission, which declared the previous legislative district map to be unconstitutional on December 22, 2023. The court was in the process of selecting a remedial plan, when the legislature chose to embrace the map proposed by governor Tony Evers. Evers signed the plan into law on February 19, 2024.[2]

Under the new maps, these are expected to be the first competitive elections for the Assembly since 2010, when Republicans won control of the chamber. Democrats are expected to gain a number of seats, and while the maps are still considered slightly Republican-leaning, either major party could win a majority of seats if they win a majority of the popular vote in the state. Over 40 incumbent representatives have been drawn into districts with one or more other incumbent, with most of them being Republicans.[3][4]

Democrats last won a majority of seats in the state assembly in the 2008 elections.

As of the first fiscal quarter, the Democratic Party has outraised their Republican counterparts at a rate of fifteen to one. The Democratic Party raised nearly $6 million since the start of 2024, while the Republican Party raised only $399,049 since the start of 2024.[5]

### Gerrymandering

[edit]

See also: Redistricting in Wisconsin § Walker/Fitzgerald gerrymander (2011), and Redistricting in Wisconsin § Wisconsin Supreme Court re-asserting jurisdiction (2021–2024)

In the 2010 elections, Republicans won significant majorities in both houses of the Legislature and the governorship. Republicans used their majorities to pass a radical redistricting plan after the 2010 census which substantially shifted the partisan bias of the state legislative maps. The map itself was the product of a Republican project known as REDMAP, created to maximize the partisan bias of redistricting by utilizing new statistical and mapping software.[6] In the end, the maps were used for the 2012 elections, which saw Democrats win 52% of the statewide vote in the Assembly. Despite this, Democrats only won 39% of the seats in the chamber going into the 2013-2015 session. This disproportionality would only grow with future elections, with Republicans consistently winning a large majority of seats while the statewide vote would remain relatively close.[7]

During the 105th Wisconsin Legislature (2021–2023), Wisconsin was again under divided government. The Wisconsin Supreme Court re-asserted a role in arbitrating redistricting disputes for the first time in 60 years. The conservative 4–3 majority on the Court chose to take original jurisdiction over the redistricting case at the urging of state Republican leadership, breaking from prior precedent of deference to federal courts.[citation needed]

The Wisconsin Supreme Court ruled in November 2021, in a 4–3 decision on ideological lines, that the standard they would use to draw new maps would be to seek the "least changes" to the existing maps necessary to comply with the new census data.[8][9] The standard conferred significant partisan advantage to the Republican Party in this map-making process due to the 2011 map's existing partisan tilt. After initially adopting Democratic governor Tony Evers' "least change" proposal, the United States Supreme Court tossed the decision, and the Wisconsin Supreme Court adopted the Republican "least change" proposal.[10]

### Clarke v. Wisconsin Elections Commission

[edit]

See also: Clarke v. Wisconsin Elections Commission

In 2022, Republicans won 64% of the seats, three away from a supermajority. The following April, the 2023 Wisconsin Supreme Court election flipped the majority on the Wisconsin Supreme Court to a liberal majority for the first time in over 15 years. The day after Janet Protasiewicz was inaugurated, a lawsuit was filed against the 2022 "least change" map.[11]

The Wisconsin Supreme Court released their decision in the case, Clarke v. Wisconsin Elections Commission, on December 22, 2023, declaring the legislative maps unconstitutional in a 4–3 opinion along ideological lines. The court declared that state legislative districts must be composed of "physically adjoining territory" and pointed out that 50 of 99 existing Assembly districts failed that constitutional criteria.[12] The majority decision also declared that the "least changes" methodology used by the court in 2022 for the Johnson v. Wisconsin Elections Commission case was never properly defined and was without legal or constitutional foundation.[13]

The court was in the process of selecting a remedial plan when the legislature chose to pass the map proposed by governor Tony Evers. Evers signed the plan into law on February 19, 2024.[2] Republicans showed the most favorability towards Evers' proposal due to pairing the least incumbents and providing Republicans with the best opportunity to retain a majority in the fall elections.[14]

### PFAS Legislation

[edit]

To combat the threat of PFAS contamination, the Wisconsin legislature included $125 million in the state budget. Despite this, Republicans on the Joint Finance Committee (JFC) have refused to release the funds to be used by the Wisconsin Department of Natural Resources (DNR). On April 9, Evers vetoed a piece of legislation which would have created grants to fight pollution due to PFAS chemicals, in explaining his veto, Evers cited the restrictions the legislation would have placed on the DNR to prosecute polluters. In vetoing the legislation, Evers also continued calling for the release of the $125 million which was set aside in the budget for combatting PFAS contamination.[15] In response to Evers' veto, JFC members said they would hold the funds hostage.

On April 16, Evers called the JFC to session, but its Republican members refused to attend, denying the committee a quorum to do business.[16] In response to this inaction, Wisconsin Democrats launched a six-figures campaign called "No More Games" which served the purpose to pressure and target members of the Committee from competitive districts. Among their targets included Assembly Republicans Mark Born, Jessie Rodriguez, and Shannon Zimmerman, from the 37th, 21st, and 30th districts respectively.[17]

### Expanding campaign

[edit]

Districts in red were won by Donald Trump in 2020 with a margin of R+10 or less. Districts in blue were won by Joe Biden in 2020 with a margin of D+10 or less

In 2018, following Tony Evers' victory over incumbent governor Scott Walker, the legislature met in a joint lame-duck session and passed legislation to limit the powers of the incoming Governor and Attorney General.[18][19] The move was widely described as a power grab but was upheld by the courts.[20]

Due to the legislative gerrymander, Democrats were unable to gain a majority in the State Assembly.[21][22] Beginning in 2020, Wisconsin Democrats launched the "Save the Veto initiative" as a means to preserve Governor Evers' veto power by preventing a Republican legislative supermajority.[23] Despite this, Republicans came within three seats of a veto-proof supermajority in the Assembly.[24] Due to the newly competitive legislative maps, Democratic campaign rhetoric has shifted from protecting the governor's veto to winning a majority in the assembly.[25][26]

Democrats have run over 120 candidates in 97 districts, the highest number in over a decade.[27] This election also has the fewest uncontested districts since 1982.[28]

## Summary

[edit]

| Party

(majority caucus shading)

| Total

|
|

Democratic | Republican
Last election (2022)  | 35  | 64  | 99
Total after last election (2022)  | 35  | 64  | 99
Total before this election  | 35  | 64  | 99
Up for election  | 35  | 64  | 99
of which:  | Incumbent retiring  | 12  | 12  | 24
Open  | 5  | 12  | 17
Moving districts  | 1  | 9  | 10
Vacated  | 2  | 0  | 2
Unopposed  | 11  | 2  | 13

## Outgoing incumbents

[edit]

### Retiring

[edit]

* Ty Bodden (R–Stockbridge), representing district 59 since 2022, is retiring to prevent a primary election with Ron Tusler[29]
* Sue Conley (D–Janesville), representing district 44 since 2020, is retiring.
* Dave Considine (D–Baraboo), representing district 81 since 2014, is retiring.
* James W. Edming (R–Glen Flora), representing district 87 since 2014, is retiring.[30]
* Terry Katsma (R–Oostburg), representing district 26 since 2014, is retiring.[31]
* John Macco (R–Ledgeview), representing district 88 since 2014, is retiring.
* Gae Magnafici (R–Dresser), representing district 28 since 2018, is retiring.
* Tod Ohnstad (D–Kenosha), representing district 65 since 2012, is retiring.
* Warren Petryk (R–Washington), representing district 93 since 2010 is retiring[32]
* Jon Plumer (R–Lodi), representing district 42 since 2018, is retiring.[33]
* Nik Rettinger (R–Mukwonago), representing district 83 since 2022, is retiring.[34]
* Daniel Riemer (D–Milwaukee), representing district 7 since 2012, is retiring to spend time with his family.[35]
* Angie Sapik (R–Lake Nebagamon), representing district 73 since 2022, is retiring.
* Ellen Schutt (R–Clinton), representing the 31st district since 2022, is retiring.[36]
* Kristina Shelton (D–Green Bay), representing district 90 since 2020, is retiring.[37]

### Seeking other office

[edit]

* Jimmy Anderson (D–Fitchburg), representing district 47 since 2016, is retiring to run for Wisconsin Senate in Wisconsin's 16th Senate district.
* Samba Baldeh (D-Madison), representing district 48 since 2020, is retiring to run for Wisconsin Senate in Wisconsin's 16th Senate district.
* Evan Goyke (D–Milwaukee), representing district 18 since 2012, will retire at the end of his term to serve as Milwaukee city attorney.
* LaKeshia Myers (D–Milwaukee), representing district 12 since 2018, will instead run for Wisconsin Senate in Wisconsin's 4th Senate district to fill a vacancy, as well as for Wisconsin Senate in the same district in the general election.
* Melissa Ratcliff (D–Cottage Grove), representing district 46 since 2022, is retiring to run for Wisconsin Senate in Wisconsin's 16th Senate district.
* Katrina Shankland (D–Stevens Point), representing district 71 since 2012, is retiring to run for U.S. House of Representatives in Wisconsin's 3rd congressional district.

### Vacating office

[edit]

* Marisabel Cabrera (D–Milwaukee), representing district 9 since 2018, resigned her seat on August 1 after being elected Wisconsin circuit court judge in Milwaukee County's 43rd branch in the Spring general election.
* Dora Drake (D–Milwaukee), representing district 11 since 2020, instead ran for Wisconsin Senate in Wisconsin's 4th Senate district to fill a vacancy and will assume office following an uncontested special election held on July 30, 2024.[38]

### Lost renomination

[edit]

* Janel Brandtjen (R–Menomonee Falls), representing district 22 since 2014, lost renomination to Dan Knodl (R–Germantown).
* Donna Rozar (R–Marshfield), representing district 69 since 2020, lost renomination to fellow incumbent John Spiros (R–Marshfield).
* Michael Schraa (R–Oshkosh), representing district 53 since 2012, lost renomination to fellow incumbent Nate Gustafson (R–Fox Crossing)
* Peter Schmidt (R–Bonduel), representing district 6 since 2022, lost renomination to fellow incumbent Elijah Behnke (R–Pensaukee)

## Recall election

[edit]

Two recall petitions have been filed with the Wisconsin Elections Commission, against Robin Vos (R–Rochester).[39]

### First recall petition

[edit]

Boundaries of the old 63rd Assembly district, defined by Billie Johnson v. Wisconsin Elections Commission (2022).

In January 2024, Matthew Snorek, a resident of Burlington, filed paperwork to recall Robin Vos. In the paperwork, Snorek gave a list of grievances against Vos, which included insufficient support for former president Donald Trump, refusing to impeach W.E.C. Administrator Megan Wolfe, and his refusal to decertify the 2020 presidential election. Many of the people who were involved in the recall campaign were the same people who were involved in the primary challenge against Vos in 2022.[40] On March 10, the recall campaign claimed to have collected over 10,000 signatures, which would be more than enough to trigger a recall election.[41]

The Wisconsin Supreme Court declined to answer the question of what map would be utilized for the recall election, which was in conflict due to Clarke v. Wisconsin Elections Commission. Clarke prohibited the use of the old maps in any future state legislative elections, while the law establishing the new legislative maps would not take effect until the November general election.

On March 11, the Commission held an emergency session the next day and conducted a first review of the signatures.[42] During the initial scrutiny of petition signatures, several apparently fraudulent signatures were detected, and several apparent signers reported that their signatures had been forged. The Racine County district attorney subsequently opened a criminal investigation of recall organizers, investigating complaints of identity theft and election fraud.[43] After a review by the Wisconsin Elections Commission staff, it was found the recall organizers did not collect enough signatures to trigger a recall.[44][45]

Dist.  | Incumbent  | Recall petition

|
|

Member  | Party  | First elected  | Signatures required  | Signatures approved (%)  | Status
Old 63 | Robin Vos | Rep.  | 2004  | 6,850 | 4,989 (72.8%) | Recall petition filed on March 11, 2024. Recall petition failed to acquire the required amount of signatures per WEC.
New 33 | 7,195 | 3,053 (42.4%)

### Second recall petition

[edit]

With the failure of the first petition to get the required amount of signatures in the borders of Vos' old or new district, Snorek filed a new petition to recall Vos. This new petition, due by May 28, was filed despite questions surrounding the prior petition not yet being answered. Snorek justified this petition arguing that Vos was a supporter of the Chinese Communist Party, his refusal to help lower prescription drug costs, and for deriding members of the petition as "whack-jobs, morons and idiots".[46]

On May 21, Gableman announced that the effort to recall Robin Vos, in the old 63rd district, was on track to collect enough signatures to trigger a recall.[47]

On June 25, the Wisconsin Elections Commission staff found that the recall petitioners had turned in 6,866 valid signatures, or 16 more signatures than were necessary to trigger a recall. The question of what district is to be used has still been left unresolved, though Vos has argued that the district he is being recalled from is the incorrect one, and that he can only be recalled from the new 33rd district, to be used in the fall elections.[48] Despite the staff findings, the Commission itself found that the recall petition was invalid as several hundred petitions were collected after the filing deadline.

Dist.  | Incumbent  | Recall petition

|
|

Member  | Party  | First elected  | Signatures required  | Signatures approved (%)  | Status
Old 63 | Robin Vos | Rep.  | 2004  | 6,850 | TBD |
New 33 | 7,195 (if used) | TBD (if used)

## Race summary

[edit]

District | 2020 Pres.[49] | Incumbent | Approved candidates[50][51]

|
|
|

Member | Party | First elected | Status
01 | R +14.6 | Joel Kitchens | Republican  | 2014  | Running  |

* ▌Joel Kitchens (Rep.)[52][51]
* ▌Renee Paplham (Dem.)[53][51]
* ▌Milt Swagel (Rep.)[51]

02 | R +23.1 | Shae Sortwell | Republican  | 2018  | Running  |

* ▌Alicia Saunders (Dem.)[54][51]
* ▌Shae Sortwell (Rep.)[55][51]

John Macco[b] | Republican  | 2014  | Incumbent retiring[56]
03 | R +22.7 | Ron Tusler | Republican  | 2016  | Running  |

* ▌Ron Tusler (Rep.)[51]
* ▌Jason J. Schmitz (Dem.)[51]

Ty Bodden[c] | Republican  | 2022  | Incumbent retiring[57]
04 | R +27.7 | David Steffen | Republican  | 2014  | Running  |

* ▌Jane Benson (Dem.)[51]
* ▌David Steffen (Rep.)[58][51]

Elijah Behnke[d] | Republican  | 2021 (special) | Running for the 6th district
05 | R +20.3 | Joy Goeben | Republican  | 2022  | Running  |

* ▌Joy Goeben (Rep.)[51]
* ▌Greg Sampson (Dem.)[51]

06 | R +31.6 | Peter Schmidt | Republican  | 2022  | Lost renomination  |

* ▌Elijah Behnke (Rep.)[59][51]
* ▌Shirley Hinze (Dem.)[51]

07 | D +17.0 | Daniel Riemer | Democratic  | 2012  | Incumbent retiring  |

* ▌Karen Kirsch (Dem.)[60][51]
* ▌Lee Whiting (Rep.)[51]

Bob Donovan[e] | Republican  | 2022  | Running for the 61st district
08 | D +57.2 | Sylvia Ortiz-Velez | Democratic  | 2020  | Running  |

* ▌Sylvia Ortiz-Velez (Dem.)[61][51]

09 | D +41.9 | \--Vacant[f]\-- |

* ▌Ryan Antczak (Rep.)[51]
* ▌Priscilla Prado (Dem.)[62][51]

10 | D +70.7 | Darrin Madison | Democratic  | 2022  | Running  |

* ▌Darrin Madison (Dem.)[51]

11 | D +76.5 | \--Vacant[g]\-- |

* ▌Sequanna Taylor (Dem.)[51]

12 | D +57.9 | LaKeshia Myers | Democratic  | 2018  | Running for state senate |

* ▌Deanna Alexander (Ind.)[63][51]
* ▌Russell Goodwin (Dem.)[64][51]

13 | D +15.5 | Tom Michalski | Republican  | 2022  | Running  |

* ▌Tom Michalski (Rep.)[65][51]
* ▌Robyn Vining (Dem.)[66][51]

Robyn Vining[h] | Democratic  | 2018  | Running
14 | D +9.8 | None (open seat) |

* ▌Jim Engstrand (Rep.)[51]
* ▌Steven Shevey (Ind.)[51]
* ▌Angelito Tenorio (Dem.)[67][51]

15 | R +14.0 | Adam Neylon[i] | Republican  | 2013 (special) | Running  |

* ▌Sarah Harrison (Dem.)[68][51]
* ▌Adam Neylon (Rep.)[69][51]

16 | D +79.7 | Kalan Haywood | Democratic  | 2018  | Running  |

* ▌Kalan Haywood (Dem.)[51]

17 | D +68.4 | Supreme Moore Omokunde | Democratic  | 2020  | Running  |

* ▌Supreme Moore Omokunde (Dem.)[51]

18 | D +67.2 | Evan Goyke | Democratic  | 2012  | Retiring to serve as Milwaukee city attorney  |

* ▌Kevin Andre Anderson (Rep.)[51]
* ▌Margaret Arney (Dem.)[70][51]

19 | D +61.0 | Ryan Clancy | Democratic  | 2022  | Running  |

* ▌Ryan Clancy (Dem.)[51]

20 | D +18.4 | Christine Sinicki | Democratic  | 1998  | Running  |

* ▌Mike Moeller (Rep.)[51]
* ▌Christine Sinicki (Dem.)[51]

21 | D +4.6 | Jessie Rodriguez | Republican  | 2013 (special) | Running  |

* ▌David L. Marstellar (Dem.)[71][51]
* ▌Jessie Rodriguez (Rep.)[51]

22 | R +11.1 | Paul Melotik[j] | Republican  | 2023 (special) | Running  |

* ▌Paul Melotik (Rep.)[72][51]
* ▌Dana Glasstein (Dem.)[51]

23 | D +27.3 | Deb Andraca | Democratic  | 2020  | Running  |

* ▌Deb Andraca (Dem.)[51]
* ▌Laurie Wolf (Rep.)[51]

24 | R +14.9 | Janel Brandtjen[k] | Republican  | 2014  | Running  |

* ▌Dan Knodl (Rep.)[73][51]
* ▌William Walter (Dem.)[51]

25 | R +15.4 | Paul Tittl | Republican  | 2012  | Running  |

* ▌Paul Tittl (Rep.)[51]
* ▌Stephen R. Welch (Rep.)[51]

Amy Binsfeld[l] | Republican  | 2022  | Running for the 26th district
26 | D +3.6 | None (open seat) |

* ▌Amy Binsfeld (Rep.)[74][51]
* ▌Joe Sheehan (Dem.)[75][51]

27 | R +29.3 | Terry Katsma[m] | Republican  | 2014  | Incumbent retiring  |

* ▌Lindee Brill (Rep.)[76][51]
* ▌Kay Ladson (Dem.)[51]

28 | R +27.6 | None (open seat) |

* ▌Danielle Johnson (Dem.)[51]
* ▌Robin Kreibich (Rep.)[77][51]

29 | R +23.5 | Treig Pronschinske[n] | Republican  | 2016  | Running  |

* ▌Treig Pronschinske (Rep.)[51]
* ▌Terrance Schoonover (Dem.)[51]

30 | R +1.1 | Shannon Zimmerman | Republican  | 2016  | Running  |

* ▌Alison Page (Dem.)[78][51]
* ▌Shannon Zimmerman (Rep.)[51]

31 | R +19.7 | Ellen Schutt | Republican  | 2022  | Incumbent retiring[79] |

* ▌Tyler August (Rep.)[80][51]
* ▌John Henderson (Dem.)[51]

32 | R +28.5 | Tyler August | Republican  | 2010  | Running for the 31st district  |

* ▌Michael Dhindsa (Dem.)[51]
* ▌Amanda Nedweski (Rep.)[81][51]

Amanda Nedweski[o] | Republican  | 2022  | Running
33 | R +27.9 | Robin Vos[p] | Republican  | 2004  | Running  |

* ▌Kelly Clark (Ind.)[51]
* ▌Alan Kupsik (Dem.)[51]
* ▌Robin Vos (Rep.)[51]

34 | R +17.5 | Rob Swearingen | Republican  | 2012  | Running  |

* ▌Dennis Nitzel (Dem.)[51]
* ▌Rob Swearingen (Rep.)[82][51]

35 | R +28.7 | Calvin Callahan | Republican  | 2020  | Running  |

* ▌Calvin Callahan (Rep.)[83][51]
* ▌Elizabeth McCrank (Dem.)[84][51]

36 | R +35.1 | Jeffrey Mursau | Republican  | 2004  | Running  |

* ▌Benjamin Murray (Dem.)[51]
* ▌Jeffrey Mursau (Rep.)[51]

37 | R +26.1 | Mark Born[q] | Republican  | 2012  | Running  |

* ▌LaToya Bates (Dem.)[51]
* ▌Mark Born (Rep.)[51]

38 | R +28.7 | None (open seat) |

* ▌Izzy Nevarez (Dem.)[51]
* ▌William Penterman (Rep.)[51]

39 | R +31.7 | Alex Dallman[r] | Republican  | 2020  | Running  |

* ▌Alex Dallman (Rep.)[85][51]
* ▌Chris Gordon (Dem.)[86][51]

40 | D +7.8 | Dave Considine[s] | Democratic  | 2014  | Incumbent retiring  |

* ▌Karen DeSanto (Dem.)[51]
* ▌Gerald Helmer (Rep.)[87][51]

41 | R +14.1 | Tony Kurtz[t] | Republican  | 2018  | Running  |

* ▌Julia Henley (Dem.)[51]
* ▌Tony Kurtz (Rep.)[88][51]

42 | D +16.1 | Jon Plumer | Republican  | 2018 (special) | Incumbent retiring  |

* ▌Maureen McCarville (Dem.)[89][51]
* ▌Rebecca Witherspoon (Rep.)[51]

William Penterman[u] | Republican  | 2021 (special) | Running for the 38th district
43 | D +9.5 | None (open seat) |

* ▌Brienne Brown (Dem.)[51]
* ▌Scott Johnson (Rep.)[90][51]

44 | D +14.5 | Sue Conley | Democratic  | 2020  | Incumbent retiring  |

* ▌Bruce Danielson (Rep.)[51]
* ▌Ann Roe (Dem.)[51]

45 | D +11.2 | Clinton Anderson | Democratic  | 2022  | Running  |

* ▌Clinton Anderson (Dem.)[91][51]

46 | D +9.0 | Melissa Ratcliff | Democratic  | 2022  | Running for state senate |

* ▌Joan Fitzgerald (Dem.)[51]
* ▌Jennifer Quimby (Rep.)[51]

47 | D +43.9 | Jimmy Anderson | Democratic  | 2016  | Running for state senate |

* ▌Randy Udell (Dem.)[92][51]

48 | D +36.3 | Samba Baldeh | Democratic  | 2020  | Running for state senate |

* ▌Andrew Hysell (Dem.)[93][51]
* ▌Lisa Rubrich (Rep.)[94][51]

49 | R +11.5 | Travis Tranel | Republican  | 2010  | Running  |

* ▌Travis Tranel (Rep.)[51]
* ▌Scott Walker (Dem.)[51]

50 | D +16.1 | Jenna Jacobson[v] | Democratic  | 2022  | Running  |

* ▌Jenna Jacobson (Dem.)[95][51]
* ▌Richard Johnson (Rep.)[51]

51 | D +8.4 | Todd Novak | Republican  | 2014  | Running  |

* ▌Elizabeth Grabe (Dem.)[96][51]
* ▌Todd Novak (Rep.)[51]

52 | D +12.5 | Lee Snodgrass[w] | Democratic  | 2020  | Running  |

* ▌Chad Cooke (Rep.)[51]
* ▌Lee Snodgrass (Dem.)[97][51]

53 | D +4.3 | None (open seat) |

* ▌Dean Kaufert (Rep.)[51]
* ▌Duane Shukoski (Dem.)[98][51]

54 | D +8.6 | Lori Palmeri | Democratic  | 2022  | Running  |

* ▌Lori Palmeri (Dem.)[51]
* ▌Tim Paterson (Rep.)[51]

55 | R +16.5 | Nate Gustafson | Republican  | 2022  | Running  |

* ▌Nate Gustafson (Rep.)[99][51]
* ▌Kyle Kehoe (Dem.)[100][51]

Michael Schraa[x] | Republican  | 2012  | Lost renomination
56 | R +26.8 | Dave Murphy | Republican  | 2012  | Running  |

* ▌Dave Murphy (Rep.)[51]
* ▌Emily Tseffos (Dem.)[51]

57 | R +32.8 | Kevin David Petersen[y] | Republican  | 2006  | Running  |

* ▌Ruth Caves (Dem.)[51]
* ▌Kevin David Petersen (Rep.)[51]
* ▌Dylan Testin (Ind.)[51]

58 | R +38.6 | Rick Gundrum | Republican  | 2018  | Running  |

* ▌Deb Anderson (Dem.)[51]
* ▌Rick Gundrum (Rep.)[51]

59 | R +48.1 | Robert Brooks[z] | Republican  | 2014  | Running  |

* ▌Robert Brooks (Rep.)[51]
* ▌Jack Holzman (Dem.)[51]

60 | R +12.6 | Jerry L. O'Connor[aa] | Republican  | 2022  | Running  |

* ▌Joe Lavrenz (Dem.)[51]
* ▌Jerry L. O'Connor (Rep.)[51]

61 | D +1.9 | None (open seat) |

* ▌LuAnn Bird (Dem.)[101][51]
* ▌Bob Donovan (Rep.)[102][51]

62 | D +24.8 | Robert Wittke | Republican  | 2018  | Running for the 63rd district  |

* ▌Angelina Cruz (Dem.)[103][51]

63 | R +13.6 | None (open seat) |

* ▌Robert Wittke (Rep.)[104][51]

64 | D +10.1 | Tip McGuire | Democratic  | 2019 (special) | Running  |

* ▌Edward Hibsch (Rep.)[51]
* ▌Tip McGuire (Dem.)[51]

65 | D +9.3 | Tod Ohnstad | Democratic  | 2012  | Incumbent retiring  |

* ▌Ben DeSmidt (Dem.)[51]
* ▌Brian Gonzales (Rep.)[105][51]

66 | D +11.5 | Greta Neubauer | Democratic  | 2018 (special) | Running  |

* ▌David DeGroot (Rep.)[106][51]
* ▌Greta Neubauer (Dem.)[107][51]

67 | R +26.2 | David Armstrong[ab] | Republican  | 2020  | Running  |

* ▌David Armstrong (Rep.)[51]
* ▌Jeffrey Foster (Dem.)[51]

68 | R +34.9 | James W. Edming[ac] | Republican  | 2014  | Retiring[30] |

* ▌Richard Pulcher (Dem.)[51]
* ▌Rob Summerfield (Rep.)[108][51]

Rob Summerfield[ad] | Republican  | 2016  | Running
69 | R +39.7 | None (open seat) |

* ▌Roger Halls (Dem.)[51]
* ▌Karen Hurd (Rep.)[51]
* ▌Joshua Kelley (Ind.)[51]

70 | R +22.6 | Nancy VanderMeer | Republican  | 2014  | Running  |

* ▌Remberto Gomez (Dem.)[51]
* ▌Nancy VanderMeer (Rep.)[51]

71 | D +7.9 | Katrina Shankland | Democratic  | 2012  | Running for U.S. House |

* ▌Vinnie Miresse (Dem.)[109][51]
* ▌Robert Pahmeier (Rep.)[110][51]

72 | R +21.5 | Scott Krug | Republican  | 2010  | Running  |

* ▌Suzanne M. Campbell (Dem.)[51]
* ▌Scott Krug (Rep.)[51]

73 | D +18.5 | Angie Sapik | Republican  | 2022  | Incumbent retiring  |

* ▌Frank Kostka (Rep.)[51]
* ▌Angela Stroud (Dem.)[111][51]

74 | R +17.3 | Chanz Green | Republican  | 2022  | Running  |

* ▌Jeanne Bruce (Dem.)[51]
* ▌Chanz Green (Rep.)[112][51]
* ▌Scott Harbridge (Rep.)[113][51]

75 | R +28.1 | Gae Magnafici[ae] | Republican  | 2018  | Incumbent retiring  |

* ▌Jane Kleiss (Dem.)[51]
* ▌Duke Tucker (Rep.)[114][51]

76 | D +80.3 | Francesca Hong | Democratic  | 2020  | Running  |

* ▌Francesca Hong (Dem.)[51]

77 | D +73.7 | None (open seat) |

* ▌Renuka Mayadev (Dem.)[115][51]

78 | D +61.2 | Shelia Stubbs[af] | Democratic  | 2018  | Running  |

* ▌Shelia Stubbs (Dem.)[116][51]

79 | D +71.5 | Lisa Subeck[ag] | Democratic  | 2014  | Running  |

* ▌Lisa Subeck (Dem.)[51]

80 | D +48.0 | Mike Bare | Democratic  | 2022  | Running  |

* ▌Mike Bare (Dem.)[117][51]
* ▌Robert Relph (Rep.)[51]

Alex Joers[ah] | Democratic  | 2022  | Running for the 81st district
81 | D +38.7 | None (open seat) |

* ▌Alex Joers (Dem.)[118][51]

82 | R +7.9 | Scott Allen[ai] | Republican  | 2014  | Running  |

* ▌Scott Allen (Rep.)[119][51]
* ▌Kevin Reilly (Dem.)[120][51]

83 | R +17.8 | Dave Maxey[aj] | Republican  | 2022  | Running  |

* ▌Dave Maxey (Rep.)[51]
* ▌Jill Schindler (Dem.)[51]

84 | R +38.5 | Nik Rettinger[ak] | Republican  | 2022  | Incumbent retiring[121] |

* ▌Zachary Roper (Dem.)[51]
* ▌Chuck Wichgers (Rep.)[51]

Chuck Wichgers[al] | Republican  | 2016  | Running
85 | R +0.5 | None (open seat) |

* ▌Patrick Snyder (Rep.)[51]
* ▌Yee Leng Xiong (Dem.)[122][51]

86 | R +26.7 | John Spiros | Republican  | 2012  | Running  |

* ▌John H. Small (Dem.)[51]
* ▌John Spiros (Rep.)[123][51]

Donna Rozar[am] | Republican  | 2020  | Lost renomination
87 | R +24.8 | Patrick Snyder[an] | Republican  | 2022  | Running for the 85th district  |

* ▌Brent Jacobson (Rep.)[124][51]
* ▌William Switalla (Dem.)[51]

88 | R +0.7 | None (open seat) |

* ▌Ben Franklin (Rep.)[125][51]
* ▌Christy Welch (Dem.)[51]

89 | D +0.8 | None (open seat) |

* ▌Patrick J. Buckley (Rep.)[126][51]
* ▌Ryan Spaude (Dem.)[127][51]

90 | D +11.7 | Kristina Shelton | Democratic  | 2020  | Incumbent retiring  |

* ▌Jessica Henderson (Rep.)[51]
* ▌Amaad Rivera-Wagner (Dem.)[128][51]

91 | D +5.9 | Jodi Emerson | Democratic  | 2018  | Running  |

* ▌Jodi Emerson (Dem.)[129][51]
* ▌Michele Skinner (Rep.)[130][51]

Karen Hurd[ao] | Republican  | 2022  | Running for the 69th district
92 | R +4.8 | Clint Moses[ap] | Republican  | 2020  | Running  |

* ▌Clint Moses (Rep.)[51]
* ▌Joe Plouff (Dem.)[131][51]

93 | D +8.3 | Warren Petryk | Republican  | 2010  | Incumbent retiring[132] |

* ▌Christian Phelps (Dem.)[133][51]
* ▌James Rolbiecki (Rep.)[134][51]

94 | D +0.03 | Steve Doyle | Democratic  | 2011 (special) | Running  |

* ▌Steve Doyle (Dem.)[135][51]
* ▌Ryan Huebsch (Rep.)[136][51]

95 | D +8.4 | Jill Billings | Democratic  | 2011 (special) | Running  |

* ▌Jill Billings (Dem.)[51]
* ▌Cedric Schnitzler (Rep.)[137][51]

96 | D +10.9 | Loren Oldenburg | Republican  | 2018  | Running  |

* ▌Tara Johnson (Dem.)[138][51]
* ▌Loren Oldenburg (Rep.)[139][51]

97 | R +33.7 | Cindi Duchow[aq] | Republican  | 2015 (special) | Running  |

* ▌Cindi Duchow (Rep.)[140][51]
* ▌Beth Leonard (Dem.)[51]

Scott Johnson[ar] | Republican  | 2022  | Running for the 43rd district
98 | R +36.7 | None (open seat) |

* ▌Jim Piwowarczyk (Rep.)[141][51]
* ▌Del Schmechel (Dem.)[51]

99 | R +32.5 | Barbara Dittrich[as] | Republican  | 2018  | Running  |

* ▌Barbara Dittrich (Rep.)[142][51]

## Predictions

[edit]

Most recent CNalysis forecast Republican Solid R Very Likely/Likely R Lean R Tilt R Democratic Solid D Very Likely/Likely D Lean D Tilt D Tossup Tossup Source  | Ranking  | As of

|
|

270toWin[143] | Tilt R  | July 17, 2024
CNalysis[144] | Lean R  | March 16, 2024
Sabato's Crystal Ball[145] | Leans R  | June 18, 2024

## See also

[edit]

* Redistricting in Wisconsin
* Clarke v. Wisconsin Elections Commission
* 2024 Wisconsin elections
* 2024 Wisconsin Senate election
* 2024 United States elections
* Elections in Wisconsin
* Wisconsin State Assembly

## Notes

[edit]

1. ^ Redistricted from the 63rd district.
2. ^ Redistricted from the 88th district.
3. ^ Redistricted from the 59th district.
4. ^ Redistricted from the 89th district.
5. ^ Redistricted from the 84th district.
6. ^ Marisabel Cabrera (D) vacated her office on August 1, 2024 after being elected Wisconsin Circuit Judge
7. ^ Dora Drake (D) vacated her office on TBD after being elected to State Senate
8. ^ Redistricted from the 14th district.
9. ^ Redistricted from the 98th district.
10. ^ Redistricted from the 24th district.
11. ^ Redistricted from the 22nd district.
12. ^ Redistricted from the 27th district.
13. ^ Redistricted from the 26th district.
14. ^ Redistricted from the 92nd district.
15. ^ Redistricted from the 61st district.
16. ^ Redistricted from the 63rd district.
17. ^ Redistricted from the 39th district.
18. ^ Redistricted from the 41st district.
19. ^ Redistricted from the 81st district.
20. ^ Redistricted from the 50th district.
21. ^ Redistricted from the 37th district.
22. ^ Redistricted from the 43rd district.
23. ^ Redistricted from the 57th district.
24. ^ Redistricted from the 53rd district.
25. ^ Redistricted from the 40th district.
26. ^ Redistricted from the 60th district.
27. ^ Redistricted from the 52nd district.
28. ^ Redistricted from the 75th district.
29. ^ Redistricted from the 87th district.
30. ^ Redistricted from the 67th district.
31. ^ Redistricted from the 28th district.
32. ^ Redistricted from the 77th district.
33. ^ Redistricted from the 78th district.
34. ^ Redistricted from the 79th district.
35. ^ Redistricted from the 97th district.
36. ^ Redistricted from the 15th district.
37. ^ Redistricted from the 83rd district.
38. ^ Redistricted from the 82nd district.
39. ^ Redistricted from the 69th district.
40. ^ Redistricted from the 85th district.
41. ^ Redistricted from the 68th district.
42. ^ Redistricted from the 29th district.
43. ^ Redistricted from the 99th district.
44. ^ Redistricted from the 33rd district.
45. ^ Redistricted from the 38th district.

## References

[edit]

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83. ^ "Callahan campaign: Announces campaign for re-election". April 9, 2024. Retrieved April 9, 2024.
84. ^ "Lincoln County Supervisor McCrank Announces Bid For State Assembly". May 13, 2024. Retrieved May 16, 2024.
85. ^ "Dallman campaign: Announces run for re-election to the State Assembly". WisPolitics. March 18, 2024. Retrieved April 1, 2024.
86. ^ "Gordon campaign: Announces as candidate for Wisconsin's 39th Assembly District". April 22, 2024. Retrieved April 22, 2024.
87. ^ "Helmer campaign: Announces candidacy for Wisconsin's 40th Assembly District". April 24, 2024. Retrieved April 24, 2024.
88. ^ "Kurtz campaign: Announces campaign for re-election". WisPolitics. March 21, 2024. Retrieved April 1, 2024.
89. ^ "McCarville campaign: DeForest community leader launches bid to serve area in Wisconsin State Assembly". April 29, 2024. Retrieved April 29, 2024.
90. ^ "Johnson campaign: Announces candidacy for the 43rd Assembly District". April 11, 2024. Retrieved April 11, 2024.
91. ^ "Anderson campaign: Announces run for re-election to 45th Assembly District". April 4, 2024. Retrieved April 4, 2024.
92. ^ "Udell campaign: Randy Udell announces candidacy for 47th Assembly District". March 5, 2024. Retrieved April 4, 2024.
93. ^ "Hysell campaign: Announces his campaign for the 48th Assembly District". March 1, 2024. Retrieved March 26, 2024.
94. ^ "Rubrich campaign: Announces candidacy for 48th Assembly District". May 1, 2024. Retrieved May 1, 2024.
95. ^ "Jacobson campaign: Announces re-election bid". March 18, 2024. Retrieved March 26, 2024.
96. ^ "Grabe campaign: Announces candidacy for 51st Assembly District". April 16, 2024. Retrieved April 16, 2024.
97. ^ "Snodgrass campaign: Announces re-election bid for the 52nd Assembly District". April 11, 2024. Retrieved April 11, 2024.
98. ^ "Shukoski campaign: Duane Shukoski announces bid for Assembly District 53". May 31, 2024. Retrieved May 31, 2024.
99. ^ "Gustafson campaign: Announces re-election campaign". February 20, 2024. Retrieved April 11, 2024.
100. ^ "Kehoe campaign: Kyle Kehoe announced his candidacy for 55th Assembly District". April 11, 2024. Retrieved April 11, 2024.
101. ^ "Bird campaign: Launches Assembly campaign with strong support from women and gun safety advocates". April 8, 2024. Retrieved April 8, 2024.
102. ^ "Rep. Bob Donovan will run for office in a different district". April 10, 2024. Retrieved April 10, 2024.
103. ^ "Cruz campaign: Announces campaign for State Assembly". April 18, 2024. Retrieved April 18, 2024.
104. ^ "Wittke Announces Campaign for Re-election" (PDF). April 9, 2024. Retrieved April 9, 2024.
105. ^ "Two more from Kenosha join Wisconsin's 65th District race for Assembly in fall election". April 22, 2024. Retrieved April 22, 2024.
106. ^ "DeGroot campaign: Announces run for 66th State Assembly District". WisPolitics. May 6, 2024. Retrieved May 6, 2024.
107. ^ "Neubauer campaign: Announces reelection campaign". April 17, 2024. Retrieved April 17, 2024.
108. ^ "Summerfield campaign: Rep. Summerfield will seek re-election to Assembly". April 19, 2024. Retrieved April 19, 2024.
109. ^ "Miresse campaign: Announces candidacy for Wisconsin State Assembly – 71st District". February 22, 2024. Retrieved March 26, 2024.
110. ^ "Pahmeier campaign: Announces candidacy for 71st Assembly District". April 8, 2024. Retrieved April 8, 2024.
111. ^ "Wisconsin Assembly candidate launches campaign in Superior". May 8, 2024. Retrieved May 9, 2024.
112. ^ "Green campaign: Chanz Green announces re-election for the 74th Assembly District". May 3, 2024. Retrieved May 3, 2024.
113. ^ "Scott Harbridge for 74th Assembly District of Wisconsin". May 8, 2024. Retrieved May 8, 2024.
114. ^ "Tucker campaign: Formally launches campaign for Wisconsin's 75th State Assembly District". March 18, 2024. Retrieved March 26, 2024.
115. ^ "Mayadev campaign: Mayadev for Wisconsin Assembly District 77". March 13, 2024. Retrieved April 4, 2024.
116. ^ "Stubbs campaign: Rep. Stubbs announces her candidacy for the 78th Assembly District". March 25, 2024. Retrieved March 26, 2024.
117. ^ "Bare announces reelection campaign for the 80th State Assembly District". February 22, 2024. Retrieved April 25, 2024.
118. ^ "Joers campaign: Announces re-election campaign". February 28, 2024. Retrieved March 26, 2024.
119. ^ "Allen campaign: To run for reelection". April 9, 2024. Retrieved April 9, 2024.
120. ^ "2 candidates announce bid for State Assembly District 82". May 2, 2024. Retrieved May 2, 2024.
121. ^ "Rettinger campaign: Rettinger decides not to seek reelection". WisPolitics. April 22, 2024. Retrieved April 22, 2024.
122. ^ "Yee Leng Xiong announces run for 85th Assembly seat". April 8, 2024. Retrieved April 15, 2024.
123. ^ "Spiros campaign: Announces re-election campaign in 86th District". March 19, 2024. Retrieved March 26, 2024.
124. ^ "Mosinee Mayor Brent Jacobson: Announces assembly run". February 20, 2024. Retrieved March 26, 2024.
125. ^ "Franklin campaign: Announces candidacy for state representative, pledges commitment to community growth and progress". April 4, 2024. Retrieved April 4, 2024.
126. ^ "Buckley campaign: Brown County Board Chairman and former Green Bay Police Officer Patrick Buckley launches run for Wisconsin State Assembly". May 9, 2024. Retrieved May 9, 2024.
127. ^ "Spaude campaign: Launches campaign for State Assembly District 89". April 29, 2024. Retrieved April 29, 2024.
128. ^ "Rivera-Wagner campaign: Announces bid for 90th Assembly District". April 15, 2024. Retrieved April 15, 2024.
129. ^ "Emerson campaign: Announces run for re-election in the 91st Assembly district". WisPolitics. March 11, 2024. Retrieved April 11, 2024.
130. ^ "Republican Michele Magadance Skinner announces run for 91st Assembly District". WQOW. March 11, 2024. Retrieved April 11, 2024.
131. ^ "Two Democrats announce plans to run for redrawn 92nd Assembly District seat". Chippewa Herald. April 12, 2024. Retrieved April 15, 2024.
132. ^ "Petryk to retire from Assembly". May 20, 2024. Retrieved May 20, 2024.
133. ^ "Phelps campaign: Announces candidacy in WI's 93rd Assembly District". April 4, 2024. Retrieved April 4, 2024.
134. ^ "Town of Washington board member announces run for State Assembly". May 21, 2024. Retrieved May 21, 2024.
135. ^ "Doyle campaign: Announces re-election campaign, emphasizes support for family sustaining jobs". April 11, 2024. Retrieved April 11, 2024.
136. ^ "Onalaska Republican Ryan Huebsch will again seek to unseat Rep. Steve Doyle in 94th Assembly District". April 25, 2024. Retrieved April 25, 2024.
137. ^ "Monroe County Board Chair Cedric Schnitzler running for 95th Assembly District". April 16, 2024. Retrieved May 2, 2024.
138. ^ Shilts, Sam (March 8, 2024). "Former La Crosse County board chair Tara Johnson announces run for 96th assembly district". WKBT-DT. Retrieved March 8, 2024.
139. ^ "Oldenburg campaign: Announces run for re-election to the State Assembly". WisPolitics. March 19, 2024. Retrieved April 1, 2024.
140. ^ "Duchow campaign: Announces re-election bid". WisPolitics. March 19, 2024. Retrieved April 1, 2024.
141. ^ "Piwowarczyk campaign: Conservatives must start winning again". WisPolitics. March 4, 2024. Retrieved April 15, 2024.
142. ^ "Dittrich campaign: Dittrich announces re-election bid for the 99th Assembly District". WisPolitics. March 14, 2024. Retrieved April 9, 2024.
143. ^ "State Legislature Interactive Map: State House - 270toWin". 270toWin.com. Retrieved 2024-07-17.
144. ^ "24 WI Forecast". projects.cnalysis.com. Retrieved 2024-03-17.
145. ^ Jacobson, Louis (June 18, 2024). "2024's Battleground State Legislative Chambers". Retrieved July 16, 2024.

## External links

[edit]

* Wisconsin Elections Commission
* Wisconsin at Ballotpedia

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Related|

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Madison (capital)

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*[2020 Pres.]: 2020 Presidential election margin
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