2027 French presidential election

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2027 French presidential election

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| <- 2022 | April and May 2027 (presumptive) | 2032 ->

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| Incumbent President

Emmanuel Macron

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The first round of the 2027 French presidential election is scheduled to be held between 8 and 23 April 2027, with the potential second round held two weeks afterwards. However, it may be held earlier under exceptional circumstances, such as the resignation or death of the president. Incumbent president Emmanuel Macron is not eligible to run in the election, as he is bound to a two consecutive term limit.

## Electoral system[edit]

The president of the French Republic is elected to a five-year term in a two-round election under Article 7 of the constitution: if no candidate secures an absolute majority (including blank and void ballots) of votes in the first round, a second round is held two weeks later between the two candidates who received the most votes.[1] Per the constitution, the first round of the presidential election must be held between 20 and 35 days before the transition of power at the end of the five-year term of the incumbent president. Because Emmanuel Macron took office on 14 May 2022, the transition of power is slated to take place on 13 May 2027, meaning that the first round of the presidential election will be held between 8 and 23 April 2027, with the second round held two weeks after the first.[2]

To be listed on the first-round ballot, candidates must secure 500 signatures (often referred to as parrainages) from national or local elected officials from at least 30 different departments or overseas collectivities, with no more than a tenth of these signatories from any single department.[3] According to the Article 6 of the French constitution,[4] the president cannot "exercise more than two consecutive periods in office". For that reason, Emmanuel Macron is no longer eligible to run in the election for a third consecutive term.

## Potential candidates[edit]

### National Rally[edit]

* Marine Le Pen

* Jordan Bardella

* Marine Le Pen[5] (Member of the National Assembly for Pas-de-Calais's 11th constituency)
* Jordan Bardella[6] (Member of the European Parliament)

### The Republicans[edit]

* Laurent Wauquiez

* Laurent Wauquiez[7] (President of the Regional Council of Auvergne-Rhône-Alpes)

### Ensemble[edit]

According to reporting by Le Monde, former Prime Minister Édouard Philippe, Interior Minister Gérald Darmanin, and Economy Minister Bruno Le Maire are seen as allies of Macron who may run to succeed him in 2027.[8]

* Édouard Philippe

* Bruno Le Maire

* Gérald Darmanin

* Olivier Véran

* Gabriel Attal

* Édouard Philippe[9] (former Prime Minister of France)
* Bruno Le Maire[10] (Minister of the Economy, Finance and Recovery)
* Gérald Darmanin[11] (Minister of the Interior)
* Olivier Véran[12] (Government Spokesperson)
* Gabriel Attal[13] (Minister of Education)

### Socialist Party[edit]

* Olivier Faure

* Carole Delga

* Bernard Cazeneuve

* Olivier Faure[14] (First Secretary of the Socialist Party (France), Member of the National Assembly)
* Carole Delga[15] (President of the Occitanian Regional Council)
* Bernard Cazeneuve[16] (former Prime Minister of France)

### La France Insoumise[edit]

* Jean-Luc Mélenchon

* François Ruffin

* Jean-Luc Mélenchon[17] (former Member of the National Assembly for Bouches-du-Rhône's 4th constituency)
* François Ruffin[18] (Member of the National Assembly for Somme's 1st constituency)

## Opinion polling[edit]

### First round[edit]

Polling
firm  | Fieldwork
date  | Sample
size  |

Nathalie Arthaud

Philippe Poutou

Fabien Roussel

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

François Ruffin

Olivier Faure

Carole Delga

Bernard Cazeneuve

Yannick Jadot

Marine Tondelier

Sandrine Rousseau

Bruno Le Maire

Gérald Darmanin

Élisabeth Borne

Yaël Braun-Pivet

Gabriel Attal

Jean Castex

François Bayrou

Édouard Philippe

Jean Lassalle

Laurent Wauquiez

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

Marine Le Pen

Jordan Bardella

Éric Zemmour

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|  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |
Ifop | 24–25 Oct 2023  | 1,179  | 1%  | 1%  | 6%  | 14%  | –  | 5%  | –  | –  | –  | 2%  | –  | –  | –  | –  | –  | 19% | –  | –  | –  | 4%  | 6%  | 3%  | 33% | –  | 6%
1.5%  | 1.5%  | 6%  | 15%  | –  | 6%  | –  | –  | –  | 2%  | –  | –  | 16% | –  | –  | –  | –  | –  | –  | 3.5%  | 6%  | 2.5%  | 33% | –  | 7%
1.5%  | 1%  | 7%  | 15%  | –  | 5.5%  | –  | –  | –  | 2%  | –  | 18% | –  | –  | –  | –  | –  | –  | –  | 3%  | 6%  | 2.5%  | 32% | –  | 6.5%
1.5%  | 2%  | 7.5%  | –  | 7%  | 4%  | –  | –  | –  | 2%  | –  | –  | –  | –  | –  | –  | –  | –  | 26% | 2.5%  | 6%  | 3%  | 32% | –  | 6.5%
1%  | 2%  | 6%  | 14%  | –  | 4%  | –  | –  | –  | 1%  | –  | –  | –  | –  | –  | –  | –  | –  | 25% | 2.5%  | 5%  | 2%  | 31% | –  | 6.5%
Harris Interactive | 1–4 Sep 2023  | 2,525  | 1%  | 2%  | 6%  | 16% | –  | –  | –  | 7%  | 5%  | –  | –  | 16% | –  | –  | –  | –  | –  | –  | –  | –  | 7%  | 2%  | 32% | –  | 6%
1%  | 2%  | 6%  | 16% | –  | –  | –  | 8%  | 6%  | –  | –  | –  | 14%  | –  | –  | –  | –  | –  | –  | –  | 7%  | 2%  | 32% | –  | 6%
1%  | 2%  | 6%  | 16% | –  | –  | –  | 9%  | 5%  | –  | –  | –  | –  | 11%  | –  | –  | –  | –  | –  | –  | 9%  | 2%  | 33% | –  | 6%
1%  | 2%  | 6%  | 17% | –  | –  | –  | 10%  | 7%  | –  | –  | –  | –  | –  | 5%  | –  | –  | –  | –  | –  | 10%  | 3%  | 33% | –  | 6%
1%  | 2%  | 5%  | 16% | –  | –  | –  | 8%  | 7%  | –  | –  | –  | –  | –  | –  | 12%  | –  | –  | –  | –  | 8%  | 2%  | 32% | –  | 7%
1%  | 2%  | 6%  | 17% | –  | –  | –  | 9%  | 6%  | –  | –  | –  | –  | –  | –  | –  | 9%  | –  | –  | –  | 9%  | 2%  | 33% | –  | 6%
1%  | 2%  | 6%  | 16% | –  | –  | –  | 10%  | 6%  | –  | –  | –  | –  | –  | –  | –  | –  | 8%  | –  | –  | 9%  | 3%  | 33% | –  | 6%
1%  | 2%  | 6%  | 16%  | –  | –  | –  | 5%  | 5%  | –  | –  | –  | –  | –  | –  | –  | –  | –  | 22% | –  | 5%  | 2%  | 30% | –  | 6%
OpinionWay | 12–13 Apr 2023  | 1,038  | 1%  | 3%  | –  | 17%  | –  | 6%  | –  | –  | –  | –  | 2%  | –  | –  | –  | –  | –  | –  | –  | 32% | –  | 7%  | –  | –  | 23% | 9%
Harris Interactive | 6–7 Apr 2023  | 1,320  | 1%  | 1%  | 4%  | 16%  | –  | –  | –  | 5%  | 4%  | –  | –  | –  | –  | –  | –  | –  | –  | –  | 24% | –  | 5%  | 2%  | 30% | –  | 7%
1%  | 1%  | 5%  | 18% | –  | –  | –  | 7%  | 5%  | –  | –  | 16%  | –  | –  | –  | –  | –  | –  | –  | –  | 5%  | 2%  | 32% | –  | 7%
1%  | 1%  | 5%  | 19% | –  | –  | –  | 8%  | 5%  | –  | –  | –  | 10%  | –  | –  | –  | –  | –  | –  | –  | 7%  | 2%  | 33% | –  | 8%
1%  | 1%  | 4%  | 17%  | –  | –  | 3%  | –  | 4%  | –  | –  | –  | –  | –  | –  | –  | –  | –  | 24% | –  | 5%  | 2%  | 31% | –  | 7%
Ifop | 30–31 Mar 2023  | 1,105  | 1%  | 2.5%  | 5%  | 17%  | –  | 3%  | –  | –  | –  | 1%  | –  | –  | –  | –  | –  | –  | –  | –  | 26% | 2%  | 5%  | 2.5%  | 29% | –  | 6%
1%  | 2.5%  | –  | 22%  | –  | –  | –  | –  | –  | –  | –  | –  | –  | –  | –  | –  | –  | –  | 28% | 2.5%  | 4%  | 3%  | 31% | –  | 6%
1%  | 2.5%  | 6%  | 20% | –  | 2%  | –  | –  | –  | 1%  | –  | 18%  | –  | –  | –  | –  | –  | –  | –  | 2.5%  | 6%  | 3%  | 32% | –  | 6%
0.5%  | 2.5%  | 5%  | 20% | –  | 3%  | –  | –  | –  | 2%  | –  | –  | 11%  | –  | –  | –  | –  | –  | –  | 2%  | 8%  | 4%  | 35% | –  | 7%
1%  | 1.5%  | 6.5%  | 20% | –  | 2%  | –  | –  | –  | 1%  | –  | –  | –  | –  | –  | –  | –  | 9%  | –  | 3%  | 10%  | 3%  | 36% | –  | 7%
2022 election | 10 Apr 2022  | –  | 0.56%  | 0.76%  | 2.28%  | 21.95%  |  | –  | –  | –  | 4.63%  | –  | –  | –  | –  | –  | –  | –  | –  | –  | –  | 3.13%  | –  | 2.06%  | 23.15% | –  | 7.07%

### Scenario polling[edit]

#### Re-run of the 2022 election[edit]

Macron is not eligible to run for a third consecutive term.

##### First round[edit]

Polling
firm  | Fieldwork
date  | Sample
size  |

Nathalie Arthaud

Philippe Poutou

Fabien Roussel

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

Anne Hidalgo

Yannick Jadot

Emmanuel Macron[a]

Jean Lassalle

Valérie Pécresse

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

Marine Le Pen

Éric Zemmour

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|  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |
Cluster17 | 18–20 Oct 2023  | 1,580  | 0.5%  | 0.5%  | 5%  | 17.5%  | 2%  | 5%  | 24.5% | 3%  | 3.5%  | 3%  | 29.5% | 6.5%
Odoxa | 5–6 Apr 2023  | 1,005  | 1%  | 1%  | 5%  | 19%  | 2%  | 4%  | 23% | 3%  | 3%  | 2%  | 32% | 5%
Elabe | 3–5 Apr 2023  | 1,808  | 0.5%  | 1%  | 4%  | 18.5%  | 1.5%  | 5%  | 23% | 2.5%  | 3.5%  | 2.5%  | 31% | 7%
Ifop | 30–31 Mar 2023  | 1,105  | 0.5%  | 1%  | 5%  | 17%  | 2%  | 5%  | 25% | 1.5%  | 4%  | 2%  | 31% | 6%
Cluster17 | 4–6 Nov 2022  | 2,151  | 0.5%  | 1%  | 3%  | 20%  | 1%  | 5%  | 30% | 2.5%  | 3%  | 2.5%  | 25.5% | 6%
Ifop | 25–26 Oct 2022  | 1,125  | 0.5%  | 1%  | 3%  | 17%  | 2%  | 6%  | 29% | 1.5%  | 3%  | 2%  | 30% | 5%
2022 election | 10 Apr 2022  | –  | 0.56%  | 0.76%  | 2.28%  | 21.95%  | 1.74%  | 4.63%  | 27.85% | 3.13%  | 4.78%  | 2.06%  | 23.15% | 7.07%

##### Second round[edit]

Polling

firm

| Fieldwork

date

| Sample

size

| Abstention  |  |

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Macron[a]
RE | Le Pen

Odoxa | 5–6 Apr 2023  | 1,005  | –  | 46%  | 54%
Elabe | 3–5 Apr 2023  | 1,808  | –  | 45%  | 55%
Cluster17 | 4–6 Nov 2022  | 2,151  | –  | 51.5% | 48.5%
Ifop | 25–26 Oct 2022  | 1,125  | –  | 53% | 47%
2022 election | 24 Apr 2022  | –  | 28.01%  | 58.55% | 41.45%

## See also[edit]

* Politics of France
* French Fifth Republic

## Notes[edit]

1. ^ a b Macron is not eligible for a third consecutive term.

## References[edit]

1. ^ "Constitution du 4 octobre 1958 – Article 7". Légifrance. Retrieved 8 December 2017.
2. ^ "Comment les dates de l'élection sont-elles choisies ?". Conseil constitutionnel présidentielle 2017. Retrieved 8 December 2017.
3. ^ "Concernant les parrainages, qu'est-ce qui a changé depuis 2012 ?". Conseil constitutionnel présidentielle 2017. Retrieved 8 December 2017.
4. ^ "Article 6 – Constitution du 4 octobre 1958 – Légifrance". www.legifrance.gouv.fr. Retrieved 2023-03-26.
5. ^ "Marine Le Pen « envisage d'être présidente de la République » en 2027". www.20minutes.fr (in French). 2023-04-02. Retrieved 2023-04-09.
6. ^ ""BARDELLA 2027": AU RN, ON SE PRÉPARE DÉJÀ POUR LA PROCHAINE PRÉSIDENTIELLE". rmc.bfmtv.com (in French). 2022-05-19. Retrieved 2023-04-09.
7. ^ "Laurent Wauquiez se prépare déjà pour l'élection présidentielle de 2027". Le Monde.fr. 3 September 2022. Retrieved 12 April 2023.
8. ^ Gatinois, Claire; Trippenbach, Ivanne; Goar, Matthieu (2022-09-18). "With 2027 on the horizon, Macron looks to rein in ambitious succession contenders". Le Monde. Retrieved 2023-04-12.
9. ^ "Présidentielle 2027: Édouard Philippe, l'ombre d'un doute". LEFIGARO (in French). 2023-02-24. Retrieved 2023-04-09.
10. ^ "L'ambition présidentielle de Bruno Le Maire irrite l'Elysée". Le Monde.fr (in French). 2023-01-17. Retrieved 2023-04-09.
11. ^ "Présidentielle 2027 : comment Gérald Darmanin tisse sa toile". lejdd.fr (in French). 14 January 2023. Retrieved 2023-04-09.
12. ^ à 18h48, Par Olivier Beaumont et Valérie Hacot Le 9 avril 2023; À 09h35, Modifié Le 10 Avril 2023 (2023-04-09). "« Il n'a que la présidentielle dans la tête ! » : Olivier Véran, un porte-parole très actif". leparisien.fr (in French). Retrieved 2023-04-10.
13. ^ "Gabriel Attal joue la carte de la fermeté avec la présidentielle de 2027 dans le viseur". Le Monde.fr (in French). 2023-10-23. Retrieved 2023-10-24.
14. ^ "2027 au PS: les ambitions discrètes d'Olivier Faure". LEFIGARO (in French). 2022-09-20. Retrieved 2023-08-25.
15. ^ "Les ambitions présidentielles de Carole Delga". Le Monde.fr (in French). 2023-06-04. Retrieved 2023-08-25.
16. ^ "Présidentielle de 2027 : comment Bernard Cazeneuve se prépare". lejdd.fr (in French). 5 March 2023. Retrieved 2023-08-25.
17. ^ "Jean-Luc Mélenchon n'exclut pas une candidature en 2027 en fonction des "circonstances"". BFMTV (in French). Retrieved 2023-04-09.
18. ^ "Présidentielle 2027 : Jean-Luc Mélenchon évoque l'hypothèse François Ruffin". lejdd.fr (in French). 12 April 2023. Retrieved 2023-04-13.

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