Blaenau Gwent (Senedd constituency)

Constituency of the Senedd

Not to be confused with Blaenau Gwent (UK Parliament constituency).

Blaenau Gwent

Senedd county constituency
for the Senedd

Blaenau Gwent shown as one of the 40
Senedd constituencies

Current Senedd county constituency
Created| 1999
Party| Welsh Labour
Member of the Senedd| Alun Davies
Electoral region| South Wales East

Blaenau Gwent is a constituency of the Senedd. It elects one Member of the Senedd by the first past the post method of election. Also, however, it is one of eight constituencies in the South Wales East electoral region, which elects four additional members, in addition to eight constituency members, to produce a degree of proportional representation for the region as a whole.

## Boundaries

[edit]

Map of current boundaries

The constituency was created for the first election to the Assembly, in 1999, with the name and boundaries of the Blaenau Gwent Westminster constituency.

The other seven constituencies of the South Wales East electoral region are Caerphilly, Islwyn, Merthyr Tydfil and Rhymney, Monmouth, Newport East, Newport West and Torfaen.

## History

[edit]

This seat has had large changes in percentages and swing. Labour have had large majorities but following the By-election in 2006 Blaenau Gwent People's Voice gained the seat, with the previous incumbent Peter Law's wife Trish Law taking the seat and holding it in the 2007 National Assembly for Wales election. The party did not stand in the 2011 election and Labour regained the seat with a very large majority. However, in the 2016 election this was slashed with Plaid Cymru increasing their vote from 5.4% to 36.6%. Blaenau Gwent People's Voice won the seat in the 2006 by-election and the 2007 election.

## Voting

[edit]

In general elections for the Senedd, each voter has two votes. The first vote may be used to vote for a candidate to become the Member of the Senedd for the voter's constituency, elected by the first past the post system. The second vote may be used to vote for a regional closed party list of candidates. Additional member seats are allocated from the lists by the d'Hondt method, with constituency results being taken into account in the allocation.

## Assembly members and Members of the Senedd

[edit]

Election | Member | Party

|
|

| 1999 | Peter Law | Welsh Labour and Co-operative
| 2005 | Independent
| 2006 by-election | Trish Law | Blaenau Gwent People's Voice
| 2011 | Alun Davies | Welsh Labour and Co-operative

## Elections

[edit]

### Elections in the 2020s

[edit]

2021 Senedd election: Blaenau Gwent[1] Party  | Candidate  | Constituency  | Regional[2]

|
|
|

Votes  | %  | ±% | Votes  | %  | ±%
| Labour | Alun Davies[a] | 10,226 | 49.1 | +9.4 | 9,983 | 48.2 | +9.4
| Plaid Cymru | Peredur Owen Griffiths | 3,588  | 17.2  | -19.4  | 3,849  | 18.6  | -12.9
| Conservative | Edward Dawson  | 2,611  | 12.5  | +6.2  | 2,905  | 14.0  | +8.6
| Independent | Mandy Moore  | 2,376  | 11.4  | New |
| Abolish | Richard Taylor  | 1,364  | 6.6  | New | 1,457  | 7.0  | +3.2
| Liberal Democrats | Paula Yates  | 333  | 1.6  | +0.2  | 419  | 2.0  | +0.5
| Reform UK | Robert Beavis  | 319  | 1.5  | New | 277  | 1.3  | New
| Green | 653  | 3.2  | +1.6
| UKIP | 480  | 2.3  | -13.5
| Gwlad | 282  | 1.4  | New
| No More Lockdowns  | 181  | 0.9  | New
| Propel | 118  | 0.6  | New
| Communist | 75  | 0.4  | +0.2
| TUSC | 44  | 0.2  | -0.2
Majority | 6,638  | 31.9  | +28.8
Turnout | 20,817  | 40.31[3] | −1.8
| Labour hold | Swing |  |

Notes

1. ^ Incumbent member for this constituency

Regional Ballot void votes: 165\. Want of an Official Mark (0), Voting for more than ONE party or individual candidate (50), Writing or mark by which the Voter could be identified (0), Unmarked or Void for uncertainty (115)

### Elections in the 2010s

[edit]

Welsh Assembly Election 2016: Blaenau Gwent  Party  | Candidate  | Constituency[4] | Regional[5]

|
|
|

Votes  | %  | ±% | Votes  | %  | ±%
| Labour Co-op | Alun Davies | 8,442 | 39.7 | -24.3 | 8,260 | 38.8 | -23.9
| Plaid Cymru | Nigel Copner  | 7,792  | 36.6  | +31.2  | 6,716  | 31.5  | +22.2
| UKIP | Kevin Boucher  | 3,423  | 16.1  | New | 3,373  | 15.8  | +10.8
| Conservative | Tracey West  | 1,334  | 6.3  | +1.0  | 1,158  | 5.4  | -1.6
| Liberal Democrats | Brendan D'Cruz  | 300  | 1.4  | -0.4  | 328  | 1.5  | -1.7
| Abolish | 820  | 3.8  | New
| Green | 344  | 1.6  | -0.6
| Monster Raving Loony | 104  | 0.5  | New
| TUSC | 81  | 0.4  | New
| National Front | 64  | 0.3  | New
| Communist | 51  | 0.2  | -0.1
Majority | 650  | 3.1  | −42.0
Turnout | 21,291  | 42.1  | +3.3
| Labour Co-op hold | Swing | -28.0  |
Welsh Assembly Election 2011:Blaenau Gwent  Party  | Candidate  | Constituency[6] | Regional[7]

|
|
|

Votes  | %  | ±% | Votes  | %  | ±%
| Labour Co-op | Alun Davies | 12,926 | 64.0 | +32.7 | 12,567 | 62.7 | +18.9
| Independent | Jayne Sullivan  | 3,806  | 18.8  | New
| Plaid Cymru | Darren Jones  | 1,098  | 5.4  | +0.6  | 1,869  | 9.3  | -4.0
| Conservative | Bob Hayward  | 1,066  | 5.3  | +1.2  | 1,404  | 7.0  | +0.2
| BNP | Brian Urch  | 948  | 4.7  | New | 980  | 4.9  | -0.8
| Liberal Democrats | Martin Blakebrough  | 367  | 1.8  | -3.9  | 641  | 3.2  | -5.2
| UKIP | 1,009  | 5.0  | -1.3
| Socialist Labour | 683  | 3.4  | +0.8
| Green | 440  | 2.2  | -0.1
| Welsh Christian | 292  | 1.5  | -0.9
| English Democrat | 89  | 0.4  | New
| Communist | 58  | 0.3  | ±0.0
Majority | 9,120  | 45.1  | N/A
Turnout | 20,211  | 37.8  | −6.7
| Labour Co-op gain from Blaenau Gwent PV | Swing |  |

Regional ballots rejected at the count: 171[8]

### Elections in the 2000s

[edit]

Welsh Assembly Election 2007: Blaenau Gwent  Party  | Candidate  | Constituency  | Regional[9]

|
|
|

Votes  | %  | ±% | Votes  | %  | ±%
| Blaenau Gwent PV | Trish Law | 12,722  | 54.1  | N/A
| Labour | Keren Bender  | 7,365  | 31.3  | -38.9  | 10,141 | 43.8 | -17.1
| Liberal Democrats | Gareth Lewis  | 1,351  | 5.7  | -5.2  | 1,933  | 8.4  | -2.2
| Plaid Cymru | Natasha Asghar | 1,129  | 4.8  | -4.8  | 3,080  | 13.3  | +2.0
| Conservative | Bob Hayward  | 951  | 4.0  | -1.7  | 1,584  | 6.8  | +0.3
| Independent - Colin Hobbs  | 1,680  | 7.3  | New
| UKIP | 1,462  | 6.3  | +3.4
| BNP | 1,313  | 5.7  | +3.8
| Socialist Labour | 608  | 2.6  | +0.2
| Welsh Christian Party | 590  | 2.6  | New
| Green | 526  | 2.3  | -0.1
| English Democrat | 79  | 0.3  | New
| Communist | 77  | 0.3  | New
| CPA | 54  | 0.2  | New
Majority | 5,357  | 22.8  | N/A
Turnout | 23,518  | 44.5  | +6.7
| Blaenau Gwent PV gain from Labour Co-op | Swing | +46.5  |
By-election 2006: Blaenau Gwent  Party  | Candidate  | Votes  | %  | ±%

|
|
|
|

| Blaenau Gwent PV | Trish Law | 13,785  | 50.3  | New
| Labour | John Hopkins  | 9,321  | 34.0  | −36.2
| Liberal Democrats | Stephen Bard  | 2,054  | 7.5  | −3.4
| Plaid Cymru | John Price  | 1,109  | 4.0  | −5.6
| Conservative | Jonathan Burns  | 816  | 3.0  | −2.7
| Green | John Matthews  | 302  | 1.1  | New
Majority | 4,464  | 16.3  | N/A
Turnout | 27,387  | 49.6  | +12.2
| Blaenau Gwent PV gain from Labour Co-op | Swing | +43.3  |
Welsh Assembly Election 2003: Blaenau Gwent  Party  | Candidate  | Constituency  | Regional[10]

|
|
|

Votes  | %  | ±% | Votes  | %  | ±%
| Labour Co-op | Peter Law[a] | 13,884 | 70.2 | +8.4 | 12,003 | 60.9 | +8.4
| Liberal Democrats | Stephen Bard  | 2,184  | 10.9  | -0.5  | 2,087  | 10.6  | -0.6
| Plaid Cymru | Rhys Ab Ellis  | 1,889  | 9.6  | -11.5  | 2,219  | 11.3  | -12.8
| Conservative | Barrie O'Keefe  | 1,131  | 5.7  | +0.1  | 1,273  | 6.5  | +0.8
| UKIP | Roger Thomas  | 719  | 3.6  | New | 573  | 2.9  | New
| Green | 480  | 2.4  | +0.6
| Socialist Labour | 469  | 2.4  | -1.2
| BNP | 379  | 1.9  | New
| Cymru Annibynnol  | 161  | 0.3  | New
| ProLife Alliance | 61  | 0.3  | New
Majority | 11,736  | 59.3  | +18.6
Turnout | 20,022  | 37.8  | −10.6
| Labour Co-op hold | Swing | +4.5  |

1. ^ Incumbent member for this constituency

2003 Electorate: 52,927
Regional ballots rejected: 300

### Elections in the 1990s

[edit]

Welsh Assembly Election 1999: Blaenau Gwent  Party  | Candidate  | Constituency  | Regional [11]

|
|
|

Votes  | %  | ±% | Votes  | %  | ±%
| Labour Co-op | Peter Law | 16,069 | 61.8 | N/A | 13,714 | 52.5 | N/A
| Plaid Cymru | Phil Williams | 5,501  | 21.1  | N/A | 6,289  | 24.1  | N/A
| Liberal Democrats | Keith Rogers  | 2,980  | 11.4  | N/A | 2,931  | 11.2  | N/A
| Conservative | David Thomas  | 1,444  | 5.6  | N/A | 1,475  | 5.7  | N/A
| Socialist Labour | 928  | 3.6  | N/A
| Green | 463  | 1.8  | N/A
| Others  | 300  | 1.1  | N/A
Majority  | 10,568  | 40.7
Turnout | 25,994  | 48.2
| Labour Co-op win (new seat)

## References

[edit]

1. ^ [1] Archived 18 April 2021 at the Wayback Machine Blaenau Gwent Statement of Persons Nominated
2. ^ "2021 Regional declaration" (PDF). Blaenau Gwent. Retrieved 27 November 2021.
3. ^ Hayward, Will (7 May 2021). "The voter turnout figures for every constituency in Wales". WalesOnline. Retrieved 20 November 2021.
4. ^ "Wales elections > Blaenau Gwent". BBC News. 6 May 2016. Retrieved 8 March 2016.
5. ^ "Results and turnout at the 2016 National Assembly for Wales election". Electoral Commission. Retrieved 24 November 2021.
6. ^ "Wales elections > Blaenau Gwent". BBC News. 6 May 2011. Retrieved 3 December 2021.
7. ^ "Results and turnout at the 2011 National Assembly for Wales Election". Electoral Commission. Retrieved 25 October 2021.
8. ^ "Results and turnout at the 2011 National Assembly for Wales election". Electoral Commission. Retrieved 27 November 2021.
9. ^ "2007 Assembly Election Results (updated) July 2007(Page 78 of the PDF / Page 72 of booklet)" (PDF). National Assembly for Wales. Retrieved 24 October 2021.
10. ^ The National Assembly for Wales elections 2003. The Electoral Commission. November 2003. pp. 110–115. Retrieved 1 August 2021.
11. ^ "Vote 99 Wales (Time Stub 27:54)". YouTube. BBC News. Retrieved 11 August 2022.

* v
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Electoral regions and constituencies of the Senedd

Mid and West Wales|

* Brecon and Radnorshire
* Carmarthen East and Dinefwr
* Carmarthen West and South Pembrokeshire
* Ceredigion
* Dwyfor Meirionnydd
* Llanelli
* Montgomeryshire
* Preseli Pembrokeshire

North Wales|

* Aberconwy
* Alyn and Deeside
* Arfon
* Clwyd South
* Clwyd West
* Delyn
* Vale of Clwyd
* Wrexham
* Ynys Môn

South Wales Central|

* Cardiff Central
* Cardiff North
* Cardiff South and Penarth
* Cardiff West
* Cynon Valley
* Pontypridd
* Rhondda
* Vale of Glamorgan

South Wales East|

* Blaenau Gwent
* Caerphilly
* Islwyn
* Merthyr Tydfil and Rhymney
* Monmouth
* Newport East
* Newport West
* Torfaen

South Wales West|

* Aberavon
* Bridgend
* Gower
* Neath
* Ogmore
* Swansea East
* Swansea West

51°46′37″N 3°11′42″W﻿ / ﻿51.777°N 3.195°W﻿ / 51.777; -3.195
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