New Forest East (UK Parliament constituency)

New Forest East

County constituency
for the House of Commons

Boundary of New Forest East in Hampshire

Location of Hampshire within England

County| Hampshire
Electorate| 73,542 (December 2010)[1]
Major settlements| Ashurst, Brockenhurst, Sway, Totton
Current constituency
Created| 1997
Member of Parliament| Julian Lewis (Conservative)
Seats| One
Created from| Romsey and Waterside, New Forest

New Forest East is a constituency[n 1] in Hampshire represented in the House of Commons of the UK Parliament since its creation in 1997 by Julian Lewis of the Conservative Party.[n 2]

## Constituency profile[edit]

The industrial element and mid-density housing of the Southampton Water strip results in some or all Labour and Liberal Democrat councillors in this area at the local district elections from creation to date,[2] and contributes strongly towards the latter party's peak performance leaving the winner a 9% majority in 2001. This contrasts with the Conservative winner's greatest majority to date in 2017 of 42.8% of the votes over his nearest rival which ranks Lewis among the top 10% of his party's MPs by majority. The history of district itself is typical of inherent suburban and retiree districts as it was largely created for the preservation of the National Park and to provide contrast in planning and ethos to the City of Southampton and the Bournemouth conurbation.[citation needed]

The constituency covers the eastern half of the New Forest National Park in Hampshire and land to the east adjoining Southampton Water – almost the whole of its population live in the waterside settlements Totton, Marchwood, Hythe and Fawley or the major forest villages of Lyndhurst, Brockenhurst and Beaulieu.

For all areas the relevant local authority has a higher than average proportion of retired people, and a lower than national average extent of social housing and rented housing.[3] Housing types include far above average detached and semi-detached properties.[3]

## Boundaries[edit]

Map of current boundaries

1997–2010: The District of New Forest wards of Blackfield and Langley, Boldre, Brockenhurst, Colbury, Copythorne South, Dibden and Hythe North, Dibden Purlieu, Fawley Holbury, Forest North, Forest South, Hythe South, Lyndhurst, Marchwood, Netley Marsh, Totton Central, Totton North, and Totton South.

2010–present: The District of New Forest wards of Ashurst, Copythorne South and Netley Marsh, Boldre and Sway, Bramshaw, Copythorne North and Minstead, Brockenhurst and Forest South East, Butts Ash and Dibden Purlieu, Dibden and Hythe East, Fawley, Blackfield and Langley, Furzedown and Hardley, Holbury and North Blackfield, Hythe West and Langdown, Lyndhurst, Marchwood, Totton Central, Totton East, Totton North, Totton South, and Totton West.

### Proposed[edit]

Further to the 2023 Periodic Review of Westminster constituencies, enacted by the Parliamentary Constituencies Order 2023, the composition of the constituency from the next general election, due by January 2025, will be unchanged.[4]

## History[edit]

This constituency was created when the old New Forest constituency was divided for the 1997 general election. All election results but one since its creation suggest that it is a Conservative safe seat. The 2001 election produced a marginal victory when the Liberal Democrats came within 4,000 votes of winning, closer than any challengers since.

## Members of Parliament[edit]

Election | Member[5] | Party

|
|

| 1997 | Sir Julian Lewis | Conservative
| July 2020[6] | Independent
| December 2020[7] | Conservative

## Elections[edit]

### Elections in the 2020s[edit]

Next General Election: New Forest East  Party  | Candidate  | Votes  | %  | ±%

|
|
|
|

| Green | Simon King  |  |  |
| Conservative | Julian Lewis[8] |  |  |
| Liberal Democrats | Caroline Rackham[9] |  |  |
| Reform UK | Roy Swales[10] |  |  |
Majority  |  |  |
Turnout |  |  |

### Elections in the 2010s[edit]

General election 2019: New Forest East[11] Party  | Candidate  | Votes  | %  | ±%

|
|
|
|

| Conservative | Julian Lewis | 32,769  | 64.5  | +1.9
| Labour | Julie Hope  | 7,518  | 14.8  | −5.0
| Liberal Democrats | Bob Johnston  | 7,390  | 14.6  | −0.6
| Green | Nicola Jolly  | 2,434  | 4.8  | +2.4
| Animal Welfare | Andrew Knight  | 675  | 1.3  | New
Majority  | 25,251  | 49.7  | +6.9
Turnout | 50,786  | 69.0  | −2.4
| Conservative hold | Swing | +3.45  |
General election 2017: New Forest East  Party  | Candidate  | Votes  | %  | ±%

|
|
|
|

| Conservative | Julian Lewis | 32,162  | 62.6  | +6.3
| Labour | Julie Renyard  | 10,167  | 19.8  | +7.6
| Liberal Democrats | David Harrison  | 7,786  | 15.2  | +5.8
| Green | Henry Mellor  | 1,251  | 2.4  | −2.3
Majority  | 21,995  | 42.8  | +4.0
Turnout | 51,366  | 71.4  | +3.4
| Conservative hold | Swing | −0.6  |
General election 2015: New Forest East[12] Party  | Candidate  | Votes  | %  | ±%

|
|
|
|

| Conservative | Julian Lewis | 27,819  | 56.3  | +3.5
| UKIP | Roy Swales[13] | 8,657  | 17.5  | +12.5
| Labour | Andrew Pope[14] | 6,018  | 12.2  | +2.4
| Liberal Democrats | Bruce Tennent  | 4,626  | 9.4  | −20.8
| Green | Sally May[15] | 2,327  | 4.7  | +2.7
Majority  | 19,162  | 38.8  | +16.2
Turnout | 49,447  | 68.0  | −0.7
| Conservative hold | Swing | +11.2  |
General election 2010: New Forest East[16] Party  | Candidate  | Votes  | %  | ±%

|
|
|
|

| Conservative | Julian Lewis | 26,443  | 52.8  | +3.4
| Liberal Democrats | Terry Scriven  | 15,136  | 30.3  | −3.1
| Labour | Peter W.J. Sopowski  | 4,915  | 9.8  | −2.4
| UKIP | Peter A. Day  | 2,518  | 5.0  | −0.1
| Green | Beverley J. Golden  | 1,024  | 2.0  | New
Majority  | 11,307  | 22.6  | +8.1
Turnout | 50,036  | 68.7  | +2.6
| Conservative hold | Swing | +3.2  |

### Elections in the 2000s[edit]

General election 2005: New Forest East[17] Party  | Candidate  | Votes  | %  | ±%

|
|
|
|

| Conservative | Julian Lewis | 21,975  | 48.6  | +6.2
| Liberal Democrats | Brian Dash  | 15,424  | 34.1  | +0.7
| Labour | Stephen Roberts  | 5,492  | 12.1  | −9.6
| UKIP | Katy Davies  | 2,344  | 5.2  | +2.7
Majority  | 6,551  | 14.5  | +5.5
Turnout | 45,235  | 65.9  | +2.7
| Conservative hold | Swing | +2.7  |
General election 2001: New Forest East[18] Party  | Candidate  | Votes  | %  | ±%

|
|
|
|

| Conservative | Julian Lewis | 17,902  | 42.4  | −0.5
| Liberal Democrats | Brian Dash  | 14,073  | 33.4  | +1.1
| Labour | Alan Goodfellow  | 9,141  | 21.7  | −3.1
| UKIP | William Howe  | 1,062  | 2.5  | New
Majority  | 3,829  | 9.0  | −1.6
Turnout | 42,178  | 63.2  | −11.4
| Conservative hold | Swing | −0.8  |

### Elections in the 1990s[edit]

General election 1997: New Forest East[19] Party  | Candidate  | Votes  | %  | ±%

|
|
|
|

| Conservative | Julian Lewis | 21,053  | 42.9  |
| Liberal Democrats | George Dawson  | 15,838  | 32.3  |
| Labour | Alan Goodfellow  | 12,161  | 24.8  |
Majority  | 5,215  | 10.6  |
Turnout | 49,052  | 74.6  |
| Conservative win (new seat)

## See also[edit]

* List of parliamentary constituencies in Hampshire

## Notes[edit]

1. ^ A county constituency (for the purposes of election expenses and type of returning officer)
2. ^ As with all constituencies, the constituency elects one Member of Parliament (MP) by the first past the post system of election at least every five years.

## References[edit]

1. ^ "Electorate Figures - Boundary Commission for England". 2011 Electorate Figures. Boundary Commission for England. 4 March 2011. Archived from the original on 6 November 2010. Retrieved 13 March 2011.
2. ^ "Your Councillors". democracy.newforest.gov.uk. 11 October 2019.
3. ^ a b "2011 census interactive maps". Archived from the original on 29 January 2016.
4. ^ "The Parliamentary Constituencies Order 2023". Schedule 1 Part 6 South East region.
5. ^ Leigh Rayment's Historical List of MPs – Constituencies beginning with "N" (part 1)
6. ^ "Dr Julian Lewis has Tory whip removed after running against PM's security committee chair pick". Sky News. Retrieved 15 July 2020.
7. ^ Jon Waller (30 December 2020). "New Forest MP Lewis welcomed back to Tories after being axed for committee rebellion".
8. ^ "Conservatives, Lib Dems and Greens select New Forest East and West candidates for next UK general election". Lymington Times and New Milton Advertiser. Retrieved 9 February 2024.
9. ^ "Liberal Democrat Prospective Parliamentary Candidates". Mark Pack. Retrieved 9 February 2024.
10. ^ "New Forest East Constituency". Reform UK. Retrieved 9 February 2024.
11. ^ "New Forest East Parliamentary constituency". BBC News. BBC. Retrieved 14 December 2019.
12. ^ "Election Data 2015". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 17 October 2015. Retrieved 17 October 2015.
13. ^ "11559982.Former_policeman_bidding_to_become_UKIP_MP_in_Hampshire". Retrieved 31 January 2015.
14. ^ "UK ELECTION RESULTS: NEW FOREST EAST 2015".
15. ^ "Sally May PPC page". Green Party of England and Wales. Retrieved 31 January 2015.
16. ^ "Election Data 2010". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 26 July 2013. Retrieved 17 October 2015.
17. ^ "Election Data 2005". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 15 October 2011. Retrieved 18 October 2015.
18. ^ "Election Data 2001". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 15 October 2011. Retrieved 18 October 2015.
19. ^ "Election Data 1997". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 15 October 2011. Retrieved 18 October 2015.

## Sources[edit]

* Election result, 2005 (BBC)
* Election results, 1997 - 2001 (BBC)
* Election results, 1997–2001 (Election Demon)
* Election results, 1997 - 2005 (Guardian)

* v
* t
* e

Constituencies in South East England (84)

Conservative (73)|

* Aldershot
* Arundel and South Downs
* Ashford
* Aylesbury
* Banbury
* Basingstoke
* Beaconsfield
* Bexhill and Battle
* Bognor Regis and Littlehampton
* Bracknell
* Buckingham
* Chatham and Aylesford
* Chichester
* Crawley
* Dartford
* Dover
* East Hampshire
* East Surrey
* Eastbourne
* Eastleigh
* East Worthing and Shoreham
* Epsom and Ewell
* Esher and Walton
* Fareham
* Faversham and Mid Kent
* Folkestone and Hythe
* Gillingham and Rainham
* Gosport
* Gravesham
* Guildford
* Hastings and Rye
* Havant
* Henley
* Horsham
* Isle of Wight
* Lewes
* Maidenhead
* Maidstone and The Weald
* Meon Valley
* Mid Sussex
* Milton Keynes North
* Milton Keynes South
* Mole Valley
* Newbury
* New Forest East
* New Forest West
* North East Hampshire
* North Thanet
* North West Hampshire
* Portsmouth North
* Reading West
* Reigate
* Rochester and Strood
* Romsey and Southampton North
* Runnymede and Weybridge
* Sevenoaks
* Sittingbourne and Sheppey
* Southampton Itchen
* South Thanet
* South West Surrey
* Spelthorne
* Surrey Heath
* Tonbridge and Malling
* Tunbridge Wells
* Wantage
* Wealden
* Winchester
* Windsor
* Witney
* Woking
* Wokingham
* Worthing West
* Wycombe

Labour (8)|

* Brighton Kemptown
* Canterbury
* Hove
* Oxford East
* Portsmouth South
* Reading East
* Slough
* Southampton Test

Liberal Democrats (2)|

* Chesham and Amersham
* Oxford West and Abingdon

Green (1)|

* Brighton Pavilion

* East Midlands
* East of England
* London
* North East England
* North West England
* Northern Ireland
* Scotland
* South East England
* South West England
* Wales
* West Midlands
* Yorkshire and the Humber

Authority control databases: People |

* UK Parliament

|

50°49′12″N 1°28′01″W﻿ / ﻿50.820°N 1.467°W﻿ / 50.820; -1.467
*[v]: View this template
*[t]: Discuss this template
*[e]: Edit this template