Next Ukrainian presidential election

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Opinion polls

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| Incumbent President

Volodymyr Zelenskyy
Servant of the People

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Presidential elections were scheduled to be held in Ukraine in March or April 2024. However, as martial law has been in effect since 24 February 2022 in response to the Russian invasion of Ukraine, no elections were held because Ukrainian law does not allow presidential elections to be held when martial law is in effect.[1][2][3][4][5][6] Martial law has been extended in 90-day intervals since the full-scale invasion with parliament's approval, and has most recently been extended for the 13th time until 7 February 2025.[7]

Both government and opposition politicians in Ukraine have expressed doubt over the viability of holding an election in 2024, citing concerns over security and displaced voters.[2][8] Russia controls nearly a fifth of Ukraine's territory, and nearly 14 million Ukrainians have either fled abroad or been displaced internally.[2][8][9] Among the other challenges are safety due to Russian bombardment;[10] damaged polling infrastructure;[8] an outdated voter registry that has not been updated to reflect millions of displaced voters;[9] expanded state powers and restricted rights under martial law that would limit campaigning[9] and prevent fair competition for opposition candidates;[11] and the lack of funds.[8]

Article 10 of Ukraine's "On the Legal Regime of Martial Law" stipulates that the powers of the president, parliament, and Cabinet of Ministers of Ukraine cannot be terminated under martial law,[12] while Article 19 bans presidential, parliamentary, and local elections.[9][13] Article 108 of the Constitution of Ukraine stipulates that "The President of Ukraine exercises his or her powers until the assumption of office by the newly-elected President of Ukraine",[14] allowing incumbent President Volodymyr Zelenskyy to continue to serve as president until the next president is sworn in, even after the expiration of the five-year term to which he was elected in 2019.[8]

In November 2023, Zelenskyy said "now is not the right time for elections", in response to a claim by European Solidarity MP Oleksiy Goncharenko that Zelenskyy had decided to hold elections on 31 March 2024.[15] A poll released by KIIS in November 2023 reported that 81% of Ukrainians do not want to have an election until the war is over,[16] and more than 200 civil society institutions, NGOs, and human rights groups have formally opposed wartime elections.[10] In November 2023, all political parties represented in the Verkhovna Rada signed a document in which they agreed to postpone holding any national election until after the end of martial law[17] and agreed to work on a special law that would regulate the first post-war election, which would take place no earlier than six months after the cancellation of martial law.[18]

## Electoral system

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The President of Ukraine is elected for a five-year term using the two-round system; if no candidate receives an absolute majority in the first round, a second round is expected to take place three weeks after the first. According to Article 103 of the constitution, in the event of pre-term termination of presidential authority, the election of a new president must take place within 90 days of the previous president's departure from office.[19]

The constitution limits presidents to serving two terms in office.

## Candidates

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### Announced intent to run

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Name | Party  | Occupation  | Notes

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Oleksii Arestovych | \-  | Consultant; blogger; former adviser to the Office of the President of Ukraine | Announced intention to run on 1 November 2023[20]
Petro Poroshenko | European Solidarity | Former President of Ukraine (2014–2019); leader of European Solidarity; People's Deputy of Ukraine | Announced intention to run on 2 April 2024[21]

* Oleksii Arestovych

* Petro Poroshenko

### Potential candidates

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Name | Party  | Occupation  | Notes

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Valerii Zaluzhnyi | \-  | Former Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (2021–2024); Ambassador of Ukraine to the United Kingdom | Has not confirmed if he will enter politics; frequently discussed as potential candidate[22] and listed in polls[23][1]
Volodymyr Zelenskyy | Servant of the People | Incumbent President of Ukraine (2019–present)  | Has not confirmed if he will seek re-election

* Valerii Zaluzhnyi

* Volodymyr Zelenskyy

## Opinion polls

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Main article: Opinion polling for the next Ukrainian presidential election

Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org.

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## References

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1. ^ a b "Zelensky's First Term Is Almost Up. No One's Sure What Happens Next". The New York Times. 5 October 2023. Retrieved 6 October 2023.
2. ^ a b c Yuliia Dysa (3 November 2023). "Ukraine's Zelenskiy ponders idea of 2024 election during war". Reuters.
3. ^ Yurii Kliuchkovskyi and Volodymyr Venher (July 2022). "Organisation and holding of elections in post-war Ukraine. Prerequisites and challenges". Council of Europe.
4. ^ "PACE President Tiny Kox: It is up to the Government, Parliament and the people of Ukraine to decide when and how to conduct elections". Council of Europe Office in Ukraine. 17 May 2023. Retrieved 8 July 2023.
5. ^ "Ukraine legislature extends martial law and general mobilization through November". Jurist. 28 July 2023.
6. ^ "Ukrainian Parliament extends martial law and general mobilisation". Ukrainska Pravda. Retrieved 23 July 2024.
7. ^ Romanenko, Valentyna. "Ukraine's parliament votes in favour of extending martial law and mobilisation in 13th vote". Ukrainska Pravda. Retrieved 30 October 2024.
8. ^ a b c d e Abdurasulov, Abdujalil (25 November 2023). "Ukraine war: Fierce row erupts over 2024 election". BBC News. Retrieved 26 November 2023.
9. ^ a b c d Reaney, Lee; Wasserman, Joel (31 October 2024). "Wartime Elections in Ukraine Are Impossible". Foreign Policy. Archived from the original on 30 October 2024. Retrieved 30 October 2024.
10. ^ a b Oz, Katerji (17 November 2023). "Zelensky Is Following Ukrainian Law in Postponing Elections". Foreign Policy. Archived from the original on 30 October 2024. Retrieved 30 October 2024.
11. ^ "Zelensky's term would have expired this month, but he's staying. Russia wants to use it". The Kyiv Independent. 6 May 2024. Retrieved 30 October 2024.
12. ^ "Five years of Zelenskyyʼs presidency will expire in May 2024. Some analysts and enemies say he will lose legitimacy. Itʼs true? — No, this is an unconstitutional delusion. Babelʼs legal and anti-fake analysis". babel.ua. 26 February 2024. Retrieved 30 October 2024.
13. ^ Закон України "Про правовий режим воєнного стану" [Law of Ukraine "On the legal status of martial law"] (in Ukrainian). Verkhovna Rada. 12 May 2015. Retrieved 31 October 2024.
14. ^ Article 108 of the Constitution of Ukraine (1996)
15. ^ "«Вибори не на часі» – Зеленський прокоментував заяви про можливість виборів у 2024 році". radiosvoboda.org (in Ukrainian). 6 November 2023.
16. ^ "Press releases and reports - When elections should be held, attitudes towards online voting and attitudes towards possible restrictions on citizens' rights: results of a telephone survey conducted on September 30-October 11, 2023". Kyiv International Institute of Sociology. Retrieved 30 October 2024.
17. ^ "Ukraine's political parties agree on carrying out elections only after the war". Ukrainska Pravda. 30 November 2023. Retrieved 30 November 2023.
18. ^ "Conclusions of the ninth Jean Monnet dialogue" (PDF) (in Ukrainian). Verkhovna Rada. 12 November 2023. Retrieved 3 December 2023.
19. ^ Article 103 of the Constitution of Ukraine (1996)
20. ^ "Zelenskyy's former advisor Arestovych to stand in future elections". english.nv.ua. Retrieved 27 October 2024.
21. ^ "Poroshenko plans to run for president again after war ends". The Kyiv Independent. 3 April 2024. Retrieved 27 October 2024.
22. ^ "Are elections possible before the war ends, and who is likely to win?". Ukrainska Pravda. Retrieved 27 October 2024.
23. ^ "Якби Зеленський і Залужний боролись за крісло президента, то йшли б нога в ногу – опитування (If Zelenskyi and Zaluzhnyi were fighting for the president's post, they would come within an inch of each other - survey)". Ukrainska Pravda (in Ukrainian). 4 December 2023. Retrieved 27 October 2024.

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* See also: Elections and referendums in Crimea

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