Simcoe North (provincial electoral district)

Provincial electoral district in Ontario, Canada

For the federal electoral district, see Simcoe North (federal electoral district).

Simcoe North Ontario electoral district

Simcoe North in relation to southern Ontario ridings

Provincial electoral district
Legislature| Legislative Assembly of Ontario
MPP| |

|

Jill Dunlop
Progressive Conservative
District created| 1996
First contested| 1999
Last contested| 2025
Demographics
Population (2016)| 111,335
Electors (2018)| 92,450
Area (km²)| 3,143
Pop. density (per km²)| 35.4
Census division(s)| Simcoe County
Census subdivision(s)| Midland, Orillia, Penetanguishene, Tay, Tiny, Christian Island, Severn, Ramara, Oro-Medonte, Mnjikaning First Nation

Simcoe North is a provincial electoral district in Ontario, Canada. It was established as a provincial riding in 1996. Its population was 111,335 in 2016.[1]

## Demographics

[edit]

According to the 2011 Canadian census for the overlapping Simcoe North (federal electoral district)[2][3]

Ethnic groups: 88.5% White, 9.0% Aboriginal
Languages: 90.5% English, 3.8% French, 1.4% German
Religions: 71.7% Christian (28.5% Catholic, 13.0% United Church, 10.1% Anglican, 5.6% Presbyterian, 2.9% Baptist, 1.2% Lutheran, 1.0% Pentecostal, 9.4% Other Christian), 26.9% None.
Median income: $28,718 (2010)
Average income: $37,989 (2010)

## Geography

[edit]

The district includes all of the north and eastern parts of Simcoe County. The major municipalities include Midland, Orillia, Penetanguishene, Tay, Tiny, Christian Island, Severn, Ramara, Oro-Medonte and Mnjikaning First Nation. The area is 3,143 km2.

## Members of Provincial Parliament

[edit]

Simcoe North

Assembly | Years | Member | Party
Riding created
1st |  1867–1871 |  | William Lount | Liberal
2nd |  1871–1874 |  | William Davis Ardagh | Conservative
Riding dissolved
Riding created from Simcoe East and Muskoka–Georgian Bay
37th |  1999–2003 |  | Garfield Dunlop | Progressive Conservative
38th |  2003–2007
39th |  2007–2011
40th |  2011–2014
41st |  2014–2015
2015–2018 | Patrick Brown
2018–2018 |  | Independent
42nd |  2018–2022 |  | Jill Dunlop | Progressive Conservative
43rd |  2022–present
Sourced from the Ontario Legislative Assembly[4]

## Election results

[edit]

### 1999–present

[edit]

Winning party in each polling division of Simcoe North at the 2025 Ontario general election

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2025 Ontario general election

Party  | Candidate  | Votes | % | ±%
| Progressive Conservative | Jill Dunlop | 24,849 | 51.38 | +1.58
| Liberal | Walter Alvarez-Bardales | 13,328 | 27.56 | +10.12
| New Democratic | Jordi Malcolm | 4,813 | 9.95 | –7.79
| Green | Chris Carr | 3,214 | 6.65 | –2.15
| New Blue | Dave Brunelle | 1,582 | 3.27 | +0.16
| Libertarian | William Joslin | 579 | 1.20 | +0.51
Total valid votes/expense limit  | 48,365 | 99.21 | –0.30
Total rejected, unmarked, and declined ballots  | 387 | 0.79 | +0.30
Turnout  | 48,752 | 46.57 | +0.33
Eligible voters  | 104,695
| Progressive Conservative hold | Swing | –4.27
Source: Elections Ontario[5]
Winning party in each polling division of Simcoe North at the 2022 Ontario general election

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2022 Ontario general election

Party  | Candidate  | Votes | % | ±%
| Progressive Conservative | Jill Dunlop | 23,041 | 49.80 | +2.89
| New Democratic | Elizabeth Van Houtte | 8,208 | 17.74 | −10.29
| Liberal | Aaron Cayden Hiltz | 8,070 | 17.44 | −0.26
| Green | Krystal Brooks | 4,071 | 8.80 | +2.05
| New Blue | Mark Douris | 1,438 | 3.11 |
| Ontario Party | Aaron MacDonald | 1,119 | 2.42 |
| Libertarian | William Joslin | 318 | 0.69 | +0.09
Total valid votes  | 46,265 | 100.0
Total rejected, unmarked, and declined ballots  | 228
Turnout  | 46,493 | 46.24
Eligible voters  | 101,053
| Progressive Conservative hold | Swing | +6.59

Source(s)

* "Summary of Valid Votes Cast for Each Candidate" (PDF). Elections Ontario. 2022. Archived from the original on 2023-05-18.
* "Statistical Summary by Electoral District" (PDF). Elections Ontario. 2022. Archived from the original on 2023-05-21.

2018 Ontario general election

Party  | Candidate  | Votes | % | ±%
| Progressive Conservative | Jill Dunlop | 25,236 | 46.92 | +2.98
| New Democratic | Elizabeth Van Houtte | 15,078 | 28.03 | +12.48
| Liberal | Gerry Marshall | 9,523 | 17.70 | -14.82
| Green | Valerie Powell | 3,632 | 6.75 | -1.24
| Libertarian | Cynthia Sneath | 320 | 0.59 |
Total valid votes  | 53,789 | 100.0
| Progressive Conservative gain from Independent | Swing | -8.97
Source: Elections Ontario[6]

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Ontario provincial by-election, September 3, 2015
Resignation of Garfield Dunlop

Party  | Candidate  | Votes | % | ±% | Expenditures
| Progressive Conservative | Patrick Brown | 21,095 | 53.68 | +9.74 | $117,157.00
| Liberal | Fred Larsen | 9,281 | 23.62 | –8.90 | $94,892.00
| New Democratic | Elizabeth Van Houtte | 6,637 | 16.89 | +1.34 | $54,795.23
| Green | Valerie Powell | 1,791 | 4.56 | –3.43 | $183.33
| New Reform | James Gault | 200 | 0.51 | - | -
| People's Political Party | Kevin Clarke | 146 | 0.37 | - | -
| Libertarian | Darren Roskam | 104 | 0.26 | - | -
| Pauper | John Turmel | 47 | 0.12 | - | -
Total valid votes  | 39,301 | 100.0
Total rejected, unmarked and declined ballots  | 170 | 0.43
Turnout  | 39,471 | 40.71
Eligible voters  | 96,950
| Progressive Conservative hold | Swing | +9.32

Source(s)

Elections Ontario (2015). "Official Returns from the Records, 086 Simcoe North" (PDF). Retrieved 17 November 2015.

2014 Ontario general election

Party  | Candidate  | Votes | % | ±%
| Progressive Conservative | Garfield Dunlop | 22,179 | 43.94 | -11.22
| Liberal | Fred Larsen | 16,412 | 32.52 | +10.11
| New Democratic | Doris Middleton | 7,846 | 15.55 | -1.41
| Green | Peter Stubbins | 4,013 | 7.99 | +2.52
Total valid votes  | 50,451 | 100.00
| Progressive Conservative hold | Swing | -10.67
Source: Elections Ontario[7]
2011 Ontario general election

Party  | Candidate  | Votes | % | ±%
| Progressive Conservative | Garfield Dunlop | 25,081 | 55.16 | +5.34
| Liberal | Fred Larsen | 10,191 | 22.41 | -8.13
| New Democratic | Doris Middleton | 7,710 | 16.96 | +7.77
| Green | Peter Stubbins | 2,488 | 5.47 | -4.74
Total valid votes  | 45,470 | 100.00
Total rejected, unmarked and declined ballots  | 142 | 0.31
Turnout  | 45,612 | 50.98
Eligible voters  | 89,474
| Progressive Conservative hold | Swing | +6.74
Source: Elections Ontario[8]
2007 Ontario general election

Party  | Candidate  | Votes | % | ±%
| Progressive Conservative | Garfield Dunlop | 22,986 | 49.82 | +3.69
| Liberal | Laura Domsy | 14,094 | 30.54 | -8.33
| Green | Wayne Varcoe | 4,709 | 10.21 | +7.17
| New Democratic | Andrew Hill | 4,240 | 9.19 | -1.68
| Libertarian | Dane-Train Raybould | 112 | 0.24 |
Total valid votes  | 46,141 | 100.00
| Progressive Conservative hold | Swing | +12.02
2003 Ontario general election

Party  | Candidate  | Votes | % | ±%
| Progressive Conservative | Garfield Dunlop | 23,393 | 46.13 | -7.02
| Liberal | Paul Sloan | 19,713 | 38.87 | -0.16
| New Democratic | John Niddery | 5,515 | 10.87 | +4.95
| Green | Nina Pruesse | 1,540 | 3.04 | +1.75
| Family Coalition | Blaine Scott | 453 | 0.89 |
| Independent | Karnail Singh | 101 | 0.2 |
Total valid votes  | 50,715 | 100.0
| Progressive Conservative hold | Swing | -3.43
1999 Ontario general election

Party  | Candidate  | Votes | %
| Progressive Conservative | Garfield Dunlop | 26,160 | 53.15
| Liberal | George J. Macdonald | 19,209 | 39.03
| New Democratic | Ann Billings | 2,913 | 5.92
| Green | Harry Promm | 633 | 1.29
| Natural Law | William Robert Ayling | 305 | 0.62
Total valid votes  | 49,220 | 100.0

### 1867–1874

[edit]

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1867 Ontario general election

Party  | Candidate  | Votes | %
| Liberal | William Lount | 1,431 | 52.40
| Conservative | A. Morrison | 1,300 | 47.60
Total valid votes  | 2,731 | 81.91
Eligible voters  | 3,334
| Liberal pickup new district.
Source: Elections Ontario[9]

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1871 Ontario general election

Party  | Candidate  | Votes | %
| Conservative | William Davis Ardagh | 1,354 | 44.39
| Liberal | Charles Cook | 1,041 | 34.13
| Liberal | William Lount | 655 | 21.48
Turnout  | 3,050 | 69.41
Eligible voters  | 4,394
Election voided
Source: Elections Ontario[10]

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Ontario provincial by-election, January 1872
Previous election voided

Party  | Candidate  | Votes | % | ±%
| Conservative | William Davis Ardagh | 1,847 | 68.08 | +20.48
| Independent | Mr. Ramsey | 866 | 31.92 |
Total valid votes  | 2,713 | 100.0  | −0.66
| Conservative gain from Liberal | Swing | +20.48
Source: History of the Electoral Districts, Legislatures and Ministries of the Province of Ontario[11]: 351

## 2007 electoral reform referendum

[edit]

2007 Ontario electoral reform referendum

Side  | Votes  | %
| First Past the Post | 28,215 | 62.6
| Mixed member proportional  | 16,883  | 37.4
| Total valid votes  | 45,098  | 100.0

## Sources

[edit]

1. ^ "Simcoe North - Elections Canada". Elections Ontario. Retrieved 2024-02-02.
2. ^ "National Household Survey (NHS) Profile, 2011". 8 May 2013.
3. ^ "National Household Survey (NHS) Profile, 2011". 8 May 2013.
4. ^ For a listing of each MPP's Queen's Park curriculum vitae see below:
* For William Lount's Legislative Assembly information see "William Lount, MPP". Parliamentary History. Toronto: Legislative Assembly of Ontario. 2017.
* For William Davis Ardagh's Legislative Assembly information see "William Davis Ardagh, MPP". Parliamentary History. Toronto: Legislative Assembly of Ontario. 2017.
* For Garfield Dunlop's Legislative Assembly information see "Garfield Dunlop, MPP". Parliamentary History. Toronto: Legislative Assembly of Ontario. 2017.
* For Patrick Brown's Legislative Assembly information see "Patrick Brown, MPP". Parliamentary History. Toronto: Legislative Assembly of Ontario. 2017.
5. ^ "Vote Totals From Official Tabulation" (PDF). Elections Ontario. 3 March 2025. Retrieved 4 March 2025.
6. ^ "Summary of Valid Votes Cast for each Candidate" (PDF). Elections Ontario. p. 10. Retrieved 20 January 2019.
7. ^ Elections Ontario. "General Election Results by District, 086 Simcoe North". Retrieved 13 June 2014.
8. ^ Elections Ontario (2011). "Official return from the records / Rapport des registres officiels - Simcoe North" (PDF). Retrieved 2 June 2014.
9. ^ "Data Explorer". Elections Ontario. 1867. Retrieved March 15, 2024.
10. ^ "Data Explorer". Elections Ontario. 1871. Retrieved March 31, 2024.
11. ^ Lewis, Roderick (1968). Centennial Edition of a History of the Electoral Districts, Legislatures and Ministries of the Province of Ontario, 1867-1968. OCLC 1052682.

* Elections Ontario Past Election Results
* Map of riding for 2018 election

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Provincial ridings in Ontario

Northern|

* Algoma—Manitoulin
* Kenora—Rainy River
* Kiiwetinoong
* Mushkegowuk—James Bay
* Nickel Belt
* Nipissing
* Parry Sound—Muskoka
* Sault Ste. Marie
* Sudbury
* Thunder Bay—Atikokan
* Thunder Bay—Superior North
* Timiskaming—Cochrane
* Timmins

Eastern|

* Bay of Quinte
* Glengarry—Prescott—Russell
* Hastings—Lennox and Addington
* Kingston and the Islands
* Lanark—Frontenac—Kingston
* Leeds—Grenville—Thousand Islands and Rideau Lakes
* Renfrew—Nipissing—Pembroke
* Stormont—Dundas—South Glengarry

Central|

* Barrie—Innisfil
* Barrie—Springwater—Oro-Medonte
* Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound
* Dufferin—Caledon
* Haliburton—Kawartha Lakes—Brock
* Northumberland—Peterborough South
* Peterborough—Kawartha
* Simcoe—Grey
* Simcoe North
* York—Simcoe

Midwestern|

* Brantford—Brant
* Cambridge
* Guelph
* Haldimand—Norfolk
* Huron—Bruce
* Kitchener Centre
* Kitchener—Conestoga
* Kitchener South—Hespeler
* Oxford
* Perth—Wellington
* Waterloo
* Wellington—Halton Hills

Southwestern|

* Chatham-Kent—Leamington
* Elgin—Middlesex—London
* Essex
* Lambton—Kent—Middlesex
* London—Fanshawe
* London North Centre
* London West
* Sarnia—Lambton
* Windsor—Tecumseh
* Windsor West

Peel|

* Brampton Centre
* Brampton East
* Brampton North
* Brampton South
* Brampton West
* Mississauga Centre
* Mississauga East—Cooksville
* Mississauga—Erin Mills
* Mississauga—Lakeshore
* Mississauga—Malton
* Mississauga—Streetsville

Hamilton, Halton,
and Niagara|

* Burlington
* Flamborough—Glanbrook
* Hamilton Centre
* Hamilton East—Stoney Creek
* Hamilton Mountain
* Hamilton West—Ancaster—Dundas
* Milton
* Niagara Centre
* Niagara Falls
* Niagara West
* Oakville North—Burlington
* Oakville
* St. Catharines

Ottawa|

* Carleton
* Kanata—Carleton
* Nepean
* Orléans
* Ottawa Centre
* Ottawa South
* Ottawa—Vanier
* Ottawa West—Nepean

Durham and York|

* Ajax
* Aurora—Oak Ridges—Richmond Hill
* Durham
* King—Vaughan
* Markham—Stouffville
* Markham—Thornhill
* Markham—Unionville
* Newmarket—Aurora
* Oshawa
* Pickering—Uxbridge
* Richmond Hill
* Thornhill
* Vaughan—Woodbridge
* Whitby

Toronto|

* Beaches—East York
* Davenport
* Don Valley East
* Don Valley North
* Don Valley West
* Eglinton—Lawrence
* Etobicoke Centre
* Etobicoke—Lakeshore
* Etobicoke North
* Humber River—Black Creek
* Parkdale—High Park
* Scarborough—Agincourt
* Scarborough Centre
* Scarborough—Guildwood
* Scarborough North
* Scarborough—Rouge Park
* Scarborough Southwest
* Spadina—Fort York
* Toronto Centre
* Toronto—Danforth
* Toronto—St. Paul's
* University—Rosedale
* Willowdale
* York Centre
* York South—Weston

* See also: Federal ridings in Ontario
* List of elections
* Politics of Ontario

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