2016 Illinois House Elections | |
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Primary | March 15, 2016 |
General | November 8, 2016 |
2016 Election Results | |
2014・2012・2010・2008 2006・2004・2002・2000 | |
2016 Elections | |
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All 118 seats in the Illinois House of Representatives were up for election in 2016. Republicans gained four seats in the November 2016 general election.
Elections for the Illinois House of Representatives were held in 2016. The primary election was held on March 15, 2016, and the general election was held on November 8, 2016. The candidate filing deadline was November 30, 2015.[2]
Heading into the election, the Democratic Party held the majority in the Illinois House of Representatives:
Illinois House of Representatives | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | As of November 7, 2016 | After November 8, 2016 | |
Democratic Party | 71 | 67 | |
Republican Party | 47 | 51 | |
Total | 118 | 118 |
Ten incumbent representatives did not run for re-election in 2016. Those incumbents were:
Name | Party | Current Office |
---|---|---|
Edward J. Acevedo | Democratic | House District 2 |
Pamela Reaves-Harris | Democratic | House District 10 |
Ed Sullivan, Jr. | Republican | House District 51 |
Jack D. Franks | Democratic | House District 63 |
Michael W. Tryon | Republican | House District 66 |
Patrick J. Verschoore | Democratic | House District 72 |
David R. Leitch | Republican | House District 73 |
Donald L. Moffitt | Republican | House District 74 |
Adam M. Brown | Republican | House District 102 |
Eddie Lee Jackson | Democratic | House District 114 |
Note: John D. Anthony (R) resigned from the state House on June 17, 2016. David Welter was appointed to the seat.
Note: Ron Sandack (R) resigned from the state House on July 24, 2016. David Olsen was appointed to the seat.
Illinois saw a dip in electoral competitiveness.
Ballotpedia conducts a yearly study of electoral competitiveness in state legislative elections. Details on how well Illinois performed in the study are provided in the image below. Click here for the full 2016 Competitiveness Analysis »
2016 Illinois House candidates | |||
---|---|---|---|
District | Democrat | Republican | Other |
1 | Daniel J. Burke (I) | No candidate | |
2 | Theresa Mah | No candidate | |
3 | Luis Arroyo (I) | No candidate | |
4 | Cynthia Soto (I) | No candidate | |
5 | Juliana Stratton | No candidate | |
6 | Sonya Harper (I) | No candidate | |
7 | Emanuel "Chris" Welch (I) | No candidate | |
8 | La Shawn K. Ford (I) | No candidate | |
9 | Arthur Turner II (I) | No candidate | |
10 | Melissa Conyears: 35,858 | Mark Spognardi: 6,911 | |
11 | Ann M. Williams: 38,028 (I) | Gary Mandell: 15,115 | |
12 | Sara Feigenholtz: 43,858 (I) | Gene Witt: 14,161 | |
13 | Greg Harris (I) | No candidate | |
14 | Kelly Cassidy: 35,989 (I) | No candidate | |
15 | John C. D'Amico: 25,586 (I) | Jonathan Edelman: 16,030 | |
16 | Lou Lang (I) | No candidate | |
17 | Laura Fine (I) | No candidate | |
18 | Robyn Gabel: 36,794 (I) | Jessica Tucker: 20,580 | |
19 | Robert F. Martwick, Jr. (I) | No candidate | |
20 | Merry Marwig: 20,142 | Michael McAuliffe: 25,739 (I) | |
21 | Silvana Tabares (I) | No candidate | |
22 | Michael J. Madigan (I) | No candidate | |
23 | Michael Zalewski (I) | No candidate | |
24 | Elizabeth Hernandez: 23,079 (I) | Andy Kirchoff: 5,969 | |
25 | Barbara Flynn Currie (I) | No candidate | |
26 | Christian Mitchell (I) | No candidate | |
27 | Monique D. Davis (I) | No candidate | |
28 | Robert Rita (I) | No candidate | |
29 | Thaddeus Jones (I) | No candidate | |
30 | William Davis (I) | No candidate | |
31 | Mary E. Flowers (I) | No candidate | |
32 | Andre Thapedi (I) | No candidate | |
33 | Marcus Evans (I) | No candidate | |
34 | Elgie R. Sims, Jr. (I) | No candidate | |
35 | Frances Ann Hurley: 34,506 (I) | Victor Horne: 18,081 | |
36 | Kelly M. Burke (I) | No candidate | |
37 | No candidate | Margo McDermed (I) | |
38 | Al Riley (I) | No candidate | |
39 | Will Guzzardi (I) | No candidate | |
40 | Jaime Andrade (I) | No candidate | |
41 | No candidate | Grant Wehrli (I) | |
42 | Kathleen Carrier: 21,560 | Jeanne M. Ives: 33,443 (I) | |
43 | Anna Moeller (I) | No candidate | |
44 | Fred Crespo: 22,102 (I) | Katy Dolan Baumer: 13,098 | |
45 | Cynthia Borbas: 22,618 | Christine Winger: 25,876 (I) | |
46 | Deborah O'Keefe Conroy: 23,369 (I) | Heidi Holan: 16,257 | |
47 | No candidate | Patricia R. Bellock (I) | |
48 | Steve Swanson: 23,676 | Peter Breen: 30,793 (I) | |
49 | No candidate | Mike Fortner (I) | |
50 | Valerie L. Burd: 20,830 | Keith R. Wheeler: 31,659 (I) | |
51 | No candidate | Nick Sauer | |
52 | No candidate | David McSweeney (I) | |
53 | No candidate | David Harris (I) | |
54 | No candidate | Thomas R. Morrison (I) | |
55 | Martin J. Moylan: 25,717 (I) | Dan Gott: 17,811 | |
56 | Michelle Mussman: 24,890 (I) | Jillian Bernas: 19,693 | |
57 | Elaine Nekritz (I) | No candidate | |
58 | Scott Drury: 29,338 (I) | Marty Blumenthal: 21,756 | |
59 | Carol Sente: 25,908 (I) | Dawn Abernathy: 16,656 | |
60 | Rita Mayfield: 22,402 (I) | Robert Ochsner: 6,909 | |
61 | Nick Ciko: 19,947 | Sheri Jesiel: 26,692 (I) | |
62 | Sam Yingling: 22,050 (I) | Rod Drobinski: 19,993 | |
63 | John M. Bartman: 19,808 | Steven Reick: 25,699 | |
64 | No candidate | Barbara Wheeler (I) | |
65 | No candidate | Steven A. Andersson (I) | |
66 | Nancy Zettler: 20,083 | Allen Skillicorn: 27,295 | |
67 | Litesa E. Wallace (I) | No candidate | |
68 | Tricia Sweeney: 17,655 | John M. Cabello: 31,139 (I) | |
69 | Angelique Bodine: 16,032 | Joe Sosnowski: 32,961 (I) | |
70 | No candidate | Robert W. Pritchard (I) | |
71 | Mike Smiddy: 18,082 (I) | Tony McCombie: 30,635 | |
72 | Michael Halpin: 25,014 | Brandi McGuire: 19,342 | |
73 | No candidate | Ryan Spain | |
74 | Bill Butts: 18,185 | Daniel Swanson: 34,567 | |
75 | Martha Shugart: 20,833 | David Welter: 29,030 (I) | |
76 | Andy Skoog: 22,759 (I) | Jerry Long: 23,557 | |
77 | Kathleen Willis: 20,806 (I) | Anthony Airdo: 8,762 | |
78 | Camille Y. Lilly (I) | No candidate | |
79 | Katherine Cloonen: 20,450 (I) | Lindsay Parkhurst: 23,728 | |
80 | Anthony DeLuca (I) | No candidate | |
81 | Greg Hose: 25,660 | David Olsen: 29,406 (I) | |
82 | No candidate | Jim Durkin (I) | |
83 | Linda Chapa LaVia (I) | No candidate | |
84 | Stephanie Kifowit: 24,183 (I) | Mike Strick: 14,242 | |
85 | Emily McAsey (I) | No candidate | |
86 | Lawrence Walsh, Jr. (I) | No candidate | |
87 | No candidate | Tim Butler (I) | |
88 | No candidate | Keith P. Sommer (I) | |
89 | No candidate | Brian Stewart (I) | |
90 | No candidate | Tom Demmer (I) | |
91 | No candidate | Michael Unes (I) | |
92 | Jehan Gordon-Booth (I) | No candidate | |
93 | John Curtis: 19,163 | Norine Hammond: 22,985 (I) | |
94 | Bobby Pritchett: 12,364 | Randy Frese: 37,408 (I) | |
95 | Mike Mathis: 20,898 | Avery Bourne: 27,601 (I) | |
96 | Sue Scherer (I) | No candidate | |
97 | No candidate | Mark Batinick (I) | |
98 | Natalie Manley (I) | No candidate | |
99 | Tony DelGiorno: 22,188 | Sara Wojcicki Jimenez: 35,363 (I) | |
100 | No candidate | C.D. Davidsmeyer (I) | |
101 | Christine Law: 13,661 | Bill Mitchell: 41,728 (I) | |
102 | No candidate | Brad Halbrook | |
103 | Carol Ammons (I) | No candidate | |
104 | No candidate | Chad D. Hays (I) | |
105 | No candidate | Dan Brady (I) | |
106 | No candidate | Thomas M. Bennett (I) | |
107 | No candidate | John Cavaletto (I) | |
108 | No candidate | Charles E. Meier (I) | |
109 | No candidate | David Reis (I) | |
110 | Dennis Malak: 16,121 | Reginald "Reggie" Phillips: 29,398 (I) | |
111 | Daniel V. Beiser: 24,808 (I) | Mike Babcock: 22,353 | |
112 | Katie Stuart: 27,594 | Dwight D. Kay: 25,875 (I) | |
113 | Jay C. Hoffman: 26,816 (I) | Katherine Ruocco: 18,536 | |
114 | LaToya Greenwood: 26,029 | Bob Romanik: 19,492 | |
115 | Marsha Griffin: 21,626 | Terri Bryant: 26,454 (I) | |
116 | Jerry Costello Jr. (I) | No candidate | |
117 | John E. Bradley: 24,032 (I) | Dave Severin: 26,946 | |
118 | Brandon W. Phelps: 26,836 (I) | Jason Kasiar: 19,108 | |
Notes:
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The average margin of victory for contested races in the Illinois House of Representatives in 2016 was lower than the national average. Out of 118 races in the Illinois House of Representatives in 2016, 48 were contested, meaning at least two candidates competed for that seat in the general election. The average margin of victory across these races was 23.6 percent. Across contested single-winner state legislative elections in 2016, the average margin of victory was 29.01 percent.[3]
Democratic candidates in the Illinois House of Representatives saw larger margins of victory than Republican candidates in 2016. Democrats won 67 races. In the 24 races where a winning Democrat faced a challenger, the average margin of victory was 28.1 percent. Republicans won 51 races in 2016. In the 24 races where a winning Republican faced a challenger, the average margin of victory was 19.2 percent. |
More Republican candidates than Democratic candidates saw margins of victory that were less than 10 percentage points. Nine of the 48 contested races in 2016—18.8 percent—saw margins of victory that were 10 percent or less. Three races saw margins of victory that were 5 percent or less. Republicans won six races with margins of victory of 10 percent or less. |
Illinois House of Representatives: 2016 Margins of Victory Less than 10 Percent | ||
---|---|---|
District | Winning Party | Margin of Victory |
District 45 | R | 6.7 percent |
District 62 | D | 4.9 percent |
District 76 | R | 1.7 percent |
District 79 | R | 7.4 percent |
District 81 | R | 6.8 percent |
District 93 | R | 9.1 percent |
District 111 | D | 5.2 percent |
District 112 | D | 3.2 percent |
District 117 | R | 5.7 percent |
The average margin of victory for incumbents in the Illinois House of Representatives who ran for re-election and won in 2016 was lower than the national average. 102 incumbents who ran for re-election in 2016 won. The average margin of victory for the 37 winning Illinois House of Representatives incumbents who faced a challenger in 2016 was 25.3 percent. The average margin of victory for all winning incumbents in contested single-winner state legislative elections in 2016 was 31.8 percent. |
Democratic incumbents in the Illinois House of Representatives saw larger margins of victory than Republican incumbents. 61 Democratic incumbents won re-election. In the 20 races where a winning Democratic incumbent faced a challenger, the average margin of victory was 28.8 percent. 41 Republican incumbents won re-election. In the 17 races where a winning Republican incumbent faced a challenger, the average margin of victory was 21.2 percent. |
Illinois House of Representatives: 2016 Margin of Victory Analysis | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Elections won | Average margin of victory[4] | Races with incumbent victories | Average margin of victory for incumbents[4] | Unopposed incumbents | Unopposed races | Percent unopposed |
Democratic | 67 | 28.1 percent | 61 | 28.8 percent | 41 | 43 | 64.2 percent |
Republican | 51 | 19.2 percent | 41 | 21.2 percent | 24 | 27 | 52.9 percent |
Total | 118 | 23.6 percent | 102 | 25.3 percent | 65 | 70 | 59.3 percent |
Click [show] on the tables below to see the margin of victory in Illinois House of Representatives districts in 2016.
Illinois House of Representatives: 2016 Margin of Victory by District | ||
---|---|---|
District | Winning Party | Margin of Victory |
District 1 | D | Unopposed |
District 2 | D | Unopposed |
District 3 | D | Unopposed |
District 4 | D | Unopposed |
District 5 | D | Unopposed |
District 6 | D | Unopposed |
District 7 | D | Unopposed |
District 8 | D | Unopposed |
District 9 | D | Unopposed |
District 10 | D | 67.7 percent |
District 11 | D | 43.1 percent |
District 12 | D | 51.2 percent |
District 13 | D | Unopposed |
District 14 | D | 66.4 percent |
District 15 | D | 23.0 percent |
District 16 | D | Unopposed |
District 17 | D | Unopposed |
District 18 | D | 28.3 percent |
District 19 | D | Unopposed |
District 20 | R | 12.2 percent |
District 21 | D | Unopposed |
District 22 | D | Unopposed |
District 23 | D | Unopposed |
District 24 | D | 58.9 percent |
District 25 | D | Unopposed |
District 26 | D | Unopposed |
District 27 | D | Unopposed |
District 28 | D | Unopposed |
District 29 | D | Unopposed |
District 30 | D | Unopposed |
District 31 | D | Unopposed |
District 32 | D | Unopposed |
District 33 | D | Unopposed |
District 34 | D | Unopposed |
District 35 | D | 31.2 percent |
District 36 | D | Unopposed |
District 37 | R | Unopposed |
District 38 | D | Unopposed |
District 39 | D | Unopposed |
District 40 | D | Unopposed |
District 41 | R | Unopposed |
District 42 | R | 21.6 percent |
District 43 | D | Unopposed |
District 44 | D | 25.6 percent |
District 45 | R | 6.7 percent |
District 46 | D | 18.0 percent |
District 47 | R | Unopposed |
District 48 | R | 13.1 percent |
District 49 | R | Unopposed |
District 50 | R | 20.6 percent |
District 51 | R | Unopposed |
District 52 | R | Unopposed |
District 53 | R | Unopposed |
District 54 | R | Unopposed |
District 55 | D | 18.2 percent |
District 56 | D | 11.7 percent |
District 57 | D | Unopposed |
District 58 | D | 14.8 percent |
District 59 | D | 21.7 percent |
District 60 | D | 52.9 percent |
District 61 | R | 14.5 percent |
District 62 | D | 4.9 percent |
District 63 | R | 13.0 percent |
District 64 | R | Unopposed |
District 65 | R | Unopposed |
District 66 | R | 15.2 percent |
District 67 | D | Unopposed |
District 68 | R | 27.6 percent |
District 69 | R | 34.6 percent |
District 70 | R | Unopposed |
District 71 | R | 25.8 percent |
District 72 | D | 12.8 percent |
District 73 | R | Unopposed |
District 74 | R | 31.1 percent |
District 75 | R | 16.4 percent |
District 76 | R | 1.7 percent |
District 77 | D | 40.7 percent |
District 78 | D | Unopposed |
District 79 | R | 7.4 percent |
District 80 | D | Unopposed |
District 81 | R | 6.8 percent |
District 82 | R | Unopposed |
District 83 | D | Unopposed |
District 84 | D | 25.9 percent |
District 85 | D | Unopposed |
District 86 | D | Unopposed |
District 87 | R | Unopposed |
District 88 | R | Unopposed |
District 89 | R | Unopposed |
District 90 | R | Unopposed |
District 91 | R | Unopposed |
District 92 | D | Unopposed |
District 93 | R | 9.1 percent |
District 94 | R | 50.3 percent |
District 95 | R | 13.8 percent |
District 96 | D | Unopposed |
District 97 | R | Unopposed |
District 98 | D | Unopposed |
District 99 | R | 22.9 percent |
District 100 | R | Unopposed |
District 101 | R | 50.7 percent |
District 102 | R | Unopposed |
District 103 | D | Unopposed |
District 104 | R | Unopposed |
District 105 | R | Unopposed |
District 106 | R | Unopposed |
District 107 | R | Unopposed |
District 108 | R | Unopposed |
District 109 | R | Unopposed |
District 110 | R | 29.2 percent |
District 111 | D | 5.2 percent |
District 112 | D | 3.2 percent |
District 113 | D | 18.3 percent |
District 114 | D | 14.4 percent |
District 115 | R | 10.0 percent |
District 116 | D | Unopposed |
District 117 | R | 5.7 percent |
District 118 | D | 16.8 percent |
The calendar below lists important dates for political candidates in Illinois in 2016.
Dates and requirements for candidates in 2016 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Deadline | Event type | Event description | |
November 30, 2015 | Ballot access | Filing deadline for established party candidates | |
January 14, 2016 | Ballot access | Filing deadline for write-in candidates for the primary election | |
January 15, 2016 | Campaign finance | December quarterly report due | |
March 15, 2016 | Election date | Primary election | |
April 15, 2016 | Campaign finance | March quarterly report due | |
June 27, 2016 | Ballot access | Filing deadline for new political party candidates and independent candidates | |
July 15, 2016 | Campaign finance | June quarterly report due | |
September 8, 2016 | Ballot access | Filing deadline for write-in candidates for the general election | |
October 17, 2016 | Campaign finance | September quarterly report due | |
November 8, 2016 | Election date | General election | |
January 17, 2017 | Campaign finance | December quarterly report due | |
Source: Illinois State Board of Elections, "Election and Campaign Finance Calendar 2016," accessed August 7, 2015 |
In 72 of the 118 districts up for election in 2016, there was only one major party candidate running for election. A total of 45 Democrats and 27 Republicans were guaranteed election barring unforeseen circumstances.
Two major party candidates faced off in the general election in 46 of the 118 districts up for election.
Thirteen incumbents faced primary competition on March 15. Ten incumbents did not seek re-election and another 95 incumbents advanced past the primary without opposition.
Ten incumbent representatives did not run for re-election, while 108 (91.5%) ran for re-election. A list of those incumbents, five Republicans and five Democrats, can be found above.
There were 6,057 seats in 87 chambers with elections in 2014. All three aspects of Ballotpedia's Competitiveness Index—the number of open seats, incumbents facing primary opposition, and general elections between partisan candidates—showed poor results compared to the prior election cycle. States with elections in 2014 held fewer general elections between partisan candidates. Additionally, fewer incumbents faced primary opposition and more incumbents ran for re-election than in recent years.
Since 2010, when the Competitiveness Index was established, there had not been an even-year election cycle to do statistically worse in any of the three categories. See the following chart for a breakdown of those scores between each year.
Overall Competitiveness | |||
---|---|---|---|
2010 | 2012 | 2014 | |
Competitiveness Index | 36.2 | 35.8 | 31.4 |
% Open Seats | 18.6% | 21.2% | 17.0% |
% Incumbent with primary challenge | 22.7% | 24.6% | 20.1% |
% Candidates with major party opposition | 67.3% | 61.7% | 57.0% |
The following table details Illinois' rates for open seats, incumbents that faced primary challenges, and major party competition in the 2014 general election.
Illinois General Assembly 2014 Competitiveness | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
% Open Seats | % Incumbent with primary challenge | % Candidates with major party opposition | Competitiveness Index | Overall rank |
10.2% | 11.4% | 39.4% | 20.3 | 16 |
Uncontested elections: In 2014, 32.8 percent of Americans lived in states with an uncontested state senate election. Similarly, 40.4 percent of Americans lived in states with uncontested house elections. Primary elections were uncontested even more frequently, with 61 percent of people living in states with no contested primaries. Uncontested elections often occur in locations that are so politically one-sided that the result of an election would be a foregone conclusion regardless of whether it was contested or not.
Open seats: In most cases, an incumbent will run for re-election, which decreases the number of open seats available. In 2014, 83 percent of the 6,057 seats up for election saw the incumbent running for re-election. The states that impose term limits on their legislatures typically see a higher percentage of open seats in a given year because a portion of incumbents in each election are forced to leave office. Overall, the number of open seats decreased from 2012 to 2014, dropping from 21.2 percent in 2012 to 17.0 percent in 2014.
Incumbent win rates: Ballotpedia's competitiveness analysis of elections between 1972 and 2014 documented the high propensity for incumbents to win re-election in state legislative elections. In fact, since 1972, the win rate for incumbents had not dropped below 90 percent—with the exception of 1974, when 88 percent of incumbents were re-elected to their seats. Perhaps most importantly, the win rate for incumbents generally increased over time. In 2014, 96.5 percent of incumbents were able to retain their seats. Common convention holds that incumbents are able to leverage their office to maintain their seat. However, the high incumbent win rate may actually be a result of incumbents being more likely to hold seats in districts that are considered safe for their party.
Marginal primaries: Often, competitiveness is measured by examining the rate of elections that have been won by amounts that are considered marginal (5 percent or less). During the 2014 election, 90.1 percent of primary and general election races were won by margins higher than 5 percent. Interestingly, it is usually the case that only one of the two races—primary or general—will be competitive at a time. This means that if a district's general election is competitive, typically one or more of the district's primaries were won by more than 5 percent. The reverse is also true: If a district sees a competitive primary, it is unlikely that the general election for that district will be won by less than 5 percent. Primaries often see very low voter turnout in comparison to general elections. In 2014, there were only 27 million voters for state legislative primaries, but approximately 107 million voters for the state legislative general elections.
The following chart shows how many candidates ran for State House in Illinois in past years and the cumulative amount of campaign contributions in State House races, including contributions in both primary and general election contests.[5]
Illinois House of Representatives Donations | ||
---|---|---|
Year | Candidates | Amount |
2014 | 212 | $53,437,607 |
2012 | 238 | $48,808,946 |
2010 | 261 | $49,815,463 |
2008 | 224 | $41,775,350 |
2006 | 214 | $38,424,468 |
The map below shows the average contributions to 2014 candidates for state houses. The average contributions raised by state house candidates in 2014 was $59,983. Illinois, at $252,064 per candidate, is ranked two of 45 for state house chambers with the highest average contributions. Hover your mouse over a state to see the average campaign contributions for that state’s house candidates in 2014.[5][6]
Article IV of the Illinois Constitution states: "To be eligible to serve as a member of the General Assembly, a person must be a United States citizen, at least 21 years old, and for the two years preceding his election or appointment a resident of the district which he is to represent. In the general election following a redistricting, a candidate for the General Assembly may be elected from any district which contains a part of the district in which he resided at the time of the redistricting and re-elected if a resident of the new district he represents for 18 months prior to re-election."[7]