Mark Kelly (Democratic Party) is a member of the U.S. Senate from Arizona. He assumed office on December 2, 2020. His current term ends on January 3, 2023.
Kelly (Democratic Party) is running for re-election to the U.S. Senate to represent Arizona. He is on the ballot in the general election on November 8, 2022. He advanced from the Democratic primary on August 2, 2022.
Kelly is a retired astronaut and co-founder of Americans for Responsible Solutions, a nonprofit organization and super PAC that advocates for stricter gun laws and aims to support what its website calls "commonsense protections from gun violence."[1]
Mark Kelly served in the U.S. Navy. Kelly's career experience includes working as an astronaut with NASA and in aviation with the U.S. Navy. As an astronaut, he flew four missions to the International Space Station with the Space Shuttle Endeavour in 2001, 2006, 2008, and 2011. In the U.S. Navy, Kelly flew 39 combat missions from the aircraft carrier USS Midway.[2][3]
Kelly co-founded the advocacy group Americans for Responsible Solutions. He established the group with his wife, former Congresswoman Gabrielle Giffords, in 2013, two years after she was shot and six people were killed at a campaign event in Tucson, Arizona.[4][5][6][7][8]
Incumbent Mark Kelly (D) and Blake Masters (R) are running in the general election for one of Arizona's U.S. Senate seats on November 8, 2022.
Kelly won a November 2020 special election following the death of U.S. Sen. John McCain (R). Before joining Congress, Kelly served as a U.S. Navy pilot and a NASA astronaut. Kelly and his wife, former U.S. Rep. Gabrielle Giffords (D), founded Americans for Responsible Solutions (now known as Giffords) in 2013. Kelly said he was "focused on representing Arizonans – all Arizonans – and I’ll keep working with Republicans and Democrats to support hardworking families and get our economy back on track."[9] Kelly's campaign website highlighted affordable health care, providing competitive educational opportunities, increasing wages to cover the cost of living, and funding federal benefits like Social Security and Medicare as policy goals in Washington.[10] Based on pre-general election reports filed with the Federal Election Commission (FEC), Kelly cumulatively raised $81.8 million and spent $75.9 million.
Masters is a venture capitalist. He became president of the Thiel Foundation in 2015 and served as COO of Thiel Capital from 2018 to 2022. Masters' campaign website said he was running "because the same old establishment politicians and the same old establishment candidates have failed us. [Masters] brings a wealth of experience to the table on how to defeat not just the progressive Democrats, but also the weak and compromised RINO Republicans." Masters' campaign website listed public safety as his top priority. He wrote, "I am so sick of this crime and chaos. It’s time to turn this ship around. We need to get control of our border. We need to punish criminals severely. And we need to project strength and competence abroad."[11] Based on pre-general election reports filed with the FEC, Masters cumulatively raised $12.3 million and spent $9.7 million.
The previous two Senate elections—held in 2018 and 2020—were both decided by 2.4 percentage points. In 2020, Kelly defeated incumbent Sen. Martha McSally (R) in a special election 51.2% to 48.8%.[12] In 2018, Kyrsten Sinema (D) defeated McSally 50.0% to 47.6%.
The two most recent presidential elections in Arizona were similarly close. Joe Biden (D) won the state of Arizona by 0.3 percentage points in the 2020 presidential election. Donald Trump (R) won the state in the 2016 presidential election by 3.6 percentage points.
The outcome of this race will affect the partisan balance of the U.S. Senate. Thirty-five of 100 seats were up for election, including one special election.[13] Democrats have an effective majority, with the chamber split 50-50 and Vice President Kamala Harris (D) having the tie-breaking vote.[14] Democrats hold 14 seats and Republicans hold 21 seats up for election in 2022.
Kelly was assigned to the following committees:
Ballotpedia monitors legislation that receives a vote and highlights the ones that we consider to be key to understanding where elected officials stand on the issues. To read more about how we identify key votes, click here.
The 117th United States Congress began on January 3, 2021, at which point Democrats held the majority in the U.S. House of Representatives (222-213) and the U.S. Senate had a 50-50 makeup. Democrats assumed control of the Senate on January 20, 2021, when President Joe Biden (D) and Vice President Kamala Harris (D), who acts as a tie-breaking vote in the chamber, assumed office. We identified the key votes below using Congress' top-viewed bills list and through marquee coverage of certain votes on Ballotpedia.
Key votes: 117th Congress, 2021 | ||||||||
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Vote | Bill and description | Status | ||||||
Yea |
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Passed (50-49) | ||||||
Yea |
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Passed (88-11) | ||||||
Yea |
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Passed (69-30) | ||||||
Yea |
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Passed (94-1) | ||||||
Guilty |
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Not guilty (57-43) | ||||||
Yea |
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Passed (68-32) | ||||||
Yea |
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Passed (65-35) | ||||||
Yea |
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Passed (50-49) | ||||||
Yea |
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Passed (59-35) | ||||||
Yea |
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Passed (69-28) |
See also: United States Senate election in Arizona, 2022
The following candidates are running in the general election for U.S. Senate Arizona on November 8, 2022.
Candidate |
||
|
Mark Kelly (D) | |
|
Blake Masters (R) | |
|
Marc Victor (L) (Unofficially withdrew) | |
|
Ty McLean Jr. (D) (Write-in) | |
|
Todd Smeltzer (D) (Write-in) | |
|
William Taylor (D) (Write-in) | |
|
Sherrise Bordes (R) (Write-in) | |
|
Christopher Bullock (R) (Write-in) | |
|
Edward Davida (R) (Write-in) | |
|
Roxanne Rodriguez (R) (Write-in) | |
|
Lester Ralph Maul Jr. (Independent) (Write-in) |
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Incumbent Mark Kelly advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. Senate Arizona on August 2, 2022.
Candidate |
% |
Votes |
||
✔ |
|
Mark Kelly |
100.0
|
589,400 |
Total votes: 589,400 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
The following candidates ran in the Republican primary for U.S. Senate Arizona on August 2, 2022.
Candidate |
% |
Votes |
||
✔ |
|
Blake Masters |
40.2
|
327,198 |
|
Jim Lamon |
28.1
|
228,467 | |
|
Mark Brnovich |
17.7
|
144,092 | |
|
Michael McGuire |
8.7
|
71,100 | |
|
Justin Olson |
5.2
|
41,985 | |
|
David Bozic (Write-in) |
0.0
|
138 | |
|
Frank Bertone (Write-in) |
0.0
|
88 |
Total votes: 813,068 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Marc Victor advanced from the Libertarian primary for U.S. Senate Arizona on August 2, 2022.
Candidate |
% |
Votes |
||
✔ |
|
Marc Victor |
100.0
|
3,065 |
Total votes: 3,065 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Polls are conducted with a variety of methodologies and have margins of error or credibility intervals.[25] The Pew Research Center wrote, "A margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points at the 95% confidence level means that if we fielded the same survey 100 times, we would expect the result to be within 3 percentage points of the true population value 95 of those times."[26] For tips on reading polls from FiveThirtyEight, click here. For tips from Pew, click here.
Below we provide results for polls that are included in polling aggregation from FiveThirtyEight and RealClearPolitics, when available. Click here to read about FiveThirtyEight's criteria for including polls in its aggregation. We only report polls for which we can find a margin of error or credibility interval.
United States Senate election in Arizona, 2022: General election polls | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | Date | Kelly | Masters | Victor | Undecided/Other | Margin of error | Sample size[27] | Sponsor[28] |
KAConsulting | November 2-3, 2022 | 47% | 46% | — | 7%[29] | ± 4.4 | 501 LV | Citizens United |
InsiderAdvantage | November 2, 2022 | 48% | 48% | 2% | — | ± 4.2 | 550 LV | KSAZ-TV |
Remington Research Group | November 1-2, 2022 | 48% | 47% | 2% | 3% | ± 2.9 | 1,075 LV | N/A |
HighGround | November 1-2, 2022 | 46% | 45% | — | 8%[30] | ± 4.4 | 500 LV | N/A |
Marist | October 31-November 2, 2022 | 49% | 45% | — | 5% | ± 4.3 | 1,157 RV | N/A |
Click [show] to see older poll results | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | Date | Kelly | Masters | Victor | Undecided/Other | Margin of error | Sample size[27] | Sponsor[28] |
civiqs | October 29-November 2, 2022 | 49% | 49% | — | — | ± 4.2 | 852 LV | N/A |
Phillips Academy | October 29-30, 2022 | 47% | 47% | 2% | 5% | ± 3.1 | 985 LV | Abbot Academy Fund |
Wick Insights | October 26-30, 2022 | 49% | 47% | — | 4%[31] | ± 3.2 | 1,122 LV | N/A |
Beacon Research / Shaw & Company | October 26-30, 2022 | 47% | 45% | — | 9% | ± 3.0 | 1,003 RV | Fox News |
Fabrizio, Lee and Associates | October 24-26, 2022 | 47% | 46% | 3% | — | ± 3.5 | 800 LV | Club for Growth |
OH Predictive Insights | October 24-26, 2022 | 48% | 46% | 3% | 3% | ± 4.0 | 600 LV | N/A |
Siena College | October 24-26, 2022 | 51% | 45% | 1% | 3% | ± 4.4 | 604 LV | The New York Times |
BSP Research / Shaw & Company Research | October 19-26, 2022 | 44% | 40% | — | 11% | ± 3.1 | 1,000 RV | Univision |
Insider Advantage | October 24-25, 2022 | 45% | 43% | 6% | — | ± 4.2 | 550 RV | KSAZ-TV |
co/efficient | October 20-21, 2022 | 47% | 45% | 4% | 5% | ± 3.0 | 1,111 LV | N/A |
Susquehanna Polling and Research | October 14-18, 2022 | 48% | 45% | 2% | 6% | ± 4.0 | 600 LV | The Federalist |
Trafalgar Group | October 16-17, 2022 | 47% | 46% | 3% | 4% | ± 2.9 | 1,078 LV | The Daily Wire |
Data for Progress | October 11-17, 2022 | 47% | 47% | 3% | 4% | ± 3.0 | 893 LV | N/A |
Wick Insights | October 8-14, 2022 | 49% | 46% | —% | 5%[32] | ± 3.1 | 1,058 LV | N/A |
HighGround | October 12-13, 2022 | 42% | 40% | 5% | 13% | ± 4.3 | 500 LV | Arizona's Family |
Insider Advantage | October 11, 2022 | 46% | 42% | 5% | 7% | ± 4.2 | 550 RV | KSAZ-TV |
OnMessage | October 8-10, 2022 | 46% | 43% | 4% | 7% | ± 4.0 | 600 LV | Sentinel Action Fund |
OH Predictive Insights | October 4-6, 2022 | 46% | 33% | 15% | 6% | ± 3.8 | 674 LV | N/A |
YouGov | September 30-October 4, 2022 | 51% | 48% | — | 1% | ± 3.8 | 1,164 RV | CBS News |
SSRS | September 26-October 2, 2022 | 51% | 45% | — | 4%[33] | ± 4.6 | 795 LV | CNN |
Beacon Research / Shaw & Company | September 22-26, 2022 | 46% | 40% | — | 15%[34] | ± 3.0 | 1,008 RV | Fox News |
Suffolk University | September 21-25, 2022 | 49% | 42% | 2% | 7% | ±4.4[35] | 500 LV | Arizona Republic |
MaristPoll | September 19-22, 2022 | 51% | 41% | -- | 8% | ±3.6 | 1,260 RV | N/A |
Data for Progress | September 15-19, 2022 | 48% | 47% | 2% | 3% | ± 4.0 | 768 LV | N/A |
Trafalgar Group | September 14-17, 2022 | 47% | 45% | 3% | 5% | ± 2.9 | 1,080 LV | N/A |
Fabrizio Ward / Impact Research | September 8-15, 2022 | 50% | 42% | 4% | 4% | ± 4.4 | 1,332 LV | AARP Arizona |
OH Predictive Insights | September 6-9, 2022 | 47% | 35% | 6% | 12% | ± 3.8 | 654 LV | N/A |
Center Street PAC | September 6-9, 2022 | 55% | 35% | — | 9% | ± 3.5 | 563 LV | N/A |
Emerson College | September 6-7, 2022 | 47% | 45% | — | 9%[36] | ± 3.9 | 627 LV | N/A |
InsiderAdvantage | September 6–7, 2022 | 45% | 39% | 4% | 12% | ± 4.2 | 550 LV | FOX 10 Phoenix |
Echelon Insights | August 31-September 7, 2022 | 52% | 37% | — | 11% | ± 4.5 | 773 RV | NetChoice |
Trafalgar Group | August 24-27, 2022 | 48% | 44% | 4% | 4% | ± 2.9 | 1,074 LV | N/A |
RMG Research | August 16-22, 2022 | 50% | 43% | — | 7% | ± 3.6 | 750 LV | N/A |
Beacon Research / Shaw & Company | August 12-16, 2022 | 50% | 42% | — | 7% | ± 3.0 | 1,012 RV | Fox News |
Momentive | August 1-8, 2022 | 54% | 40% | — | 7% | ± 4.3 | 512 LV | Center Street PAC |
OnMessage | August 1-2, 2022 | 49% | 44% | — | 7% | ± 4.0 | 600 LV | N/A |
Fabrizio Lee | July 13-14, 2022 | 49% | 44% | — | 7% | ± 3.5 | 800 LV | Saving Arizona PAC |
The chart below shows RealClearPolitics polling averages in this race over time.
This section contains campaign finance figures from the Federal Election Commission covering all candidate fundraising and spending in this election.[37] It does not include information on fundraising before the current campaign cycle or on spending by satellite groups. The numbers in this section are updated as candidates file new campaign finance reports. Candidates for Congress are required to file financial reports on a quarterly basis, as well as two weeks before any primary, runoff, or general election in which they will be on the ballot and upon the termination of any campaign committees.[38] Click here to view the reporting schedule for candidates for U.S. Congress in 2022. The next campaign finance filing deadline is December 8, 2022.
U.S. Congress campaign reporting schedule, 2022 | ||
---|---|---|
Report | Close of books | Filing deadline |
Year-end 2021 | 12/31/2021 | 1/31/2022 |
April quarterly | 3/31/2022 | 4/15/2022 |
July quarterly | 6/30/2022 | 7/15/2022 |
October quarterly | 9/30/2022 | 10/15/2022 |
Pre-general | 10/19/2022 | 10/27/2022 |
Post-general | 11/28/2022 | 12/08/2022 |
Year-end 2022 | 12/31/2022 | 1/31/2023 |
Name | Party | Receipts* | Disbursements** | Cash on hand | Date |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mark Kelly | Democratic Party | $81,813,866 | $75,930,847 | $7,285,543 | As of October 19, 2022 |
Ty McLean Jr. | Democratic Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
Todd Smeltzer | Democratic Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
William Taylor | Democratic Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
Sherrise Bordes | Republican Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
Christopher Bullock | Republican Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
Edward Davida | Republican Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
Blake Masters | Republican Party | $12,250,588 | $9,655,900 | $2,594,687 | As of October 19, 2022 |
Roxanne Rodriguez | Republican Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
Marc Victor | Libertarian Party | $133,549 | $128,935 | $4,714 | As of October 19, 2022 |
Lester Ralph Maul Jr. | Independent | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2022.
* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." |
Satellite spending describes political spending not controlled by candidates or their campaigns; that is, any political expenditures made by groups or individuals that are not directly affiliated with a candidate. This includes spending by political party committees, super PACs, trade associations, and 501(c)(4) nonprofit groups.[39][40]
If available, satellite spending reports by the Federal Election Commission (FEC) and OpenSecrets.org are linked below. FEC links include totals from monthly, quarterly, and semi-annual reports. OpenSecrets.org compiles data from those reports as well as 24- and 48-hour reports from the FEC.[41]
Details about satellite spending of significant amounts and/or reported by media are included below those links. The amounts listed may not represent the total satellite spending in the election. To notify us of additional satellite spending, email us.
By candidate | By election |
---|---|
Click the links below to see endorsement lists published on candidate campaign websites, if available. If you are aware of a website that should be included, please email us.
This section lists noteworthy endorsements issued in this election, including those made by high-profile individuals and organizations, cross-party endorsements, and endorsements made by newspaper editorial boards. Please note that this list is not exhaustive. If you are aware of endorsements that should be included, please email us.
Noteworthy endorsements | ||
---|---|---|
Endorser | Mark Kelly | Blake Masters |
Government officials | ||
Gov. Doug Ducey (R) source | ✔ | |
Mesa Mayor John Giles source | ✔ | |
Glendale Councilman Bart Turner source | ✔ | |
Individuals | ||
Frmr. state Sen. Heather Carter source | ✔ | |
Frmr. Vice President Mike Pence source | ✔ | |
Venture capitalist Peter Thiel source | ✔ | |
Frmr. New Jersey Gov. Christine Todd Whitman source | ✔ | |
Frmr. Pres. Donald Trump source | ✔ | |
Frmr. Libertarian candidate Marc Victor source | ✔ | |
Frmr. state Sen. Bob Worsley source | ✔ | |
Organizations | ||
VoteVets source | ✔ |
See also: United States Senate special election in Arizona, 2020
United States Senate election in Arizona, 2020 (August 4 Republican primary)
United States Senate election in Arizona, 2020 (August 4 Democratic primary)
The following candidates ran in the special general election for U.S. Senate Arizona on November 3, 2020.
Candidate |
% |
Votes |
||
✔ |
|
Mark Kelly (D) |
51.2
|
1,716,467 |
|
Martha McSally (R) |
48.8
|
1,637,661 | |
|
Matthew Dorchester (L) (Write-in) |
0.0
|
379 | |
|
Nicholas Glenn (Independent Republican Party) (Write-in) |
0.0
|
152 | |
|
Debbie Simmons (R) (Write-in) |
0.0
|
98 | |
|
John Schiess (R) (Write-in) |
0.0
|
92 | |
|
Christopher Beckett (Independent) (Write-in) |
0.0
|
69 | |
|
Joshua Rodriguez (Unity Party) (Write-in) |
0.0
|
69 | |
|
Mohammad Arif (D) (Write-in) |
0.0
|
68 | |
|
Perry Kapadia (D) (Write-in) |
0.0
|
58 | |
|
Mathew Haupt (Independent) (Write-in) |
0.0
|
37 | |
|
Patrick Thomas (R) (Write-in) |
0.0
|
29 | |
|
Edward Davida (R) (Write-in) |
0.0
|
28 | |
|
Jim Stevens (Independent) (Write-in) |
0.0
|
23 | |
|
Buzz Stewart (D) (Write-in) |
0.0
|
22 | |
|
William Decker (Independent) (Write-in) |
0.0
|
21 | |
|
Adam Chilton (D) (Write-in) |
0.0
|
19 | |
|
Benjamin Rodriguez (Independent) (Write-in) |
0.0
|
17 | |
|
Frank Saenz (Independent) (Write-in) |
0.0
|
8 |
Total votes: 3,355,317 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
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Mark Kelly defeated Bo Garcia in the special Democratic primary for U.S. Senate Arizona on August 4, 2020.
Candidate |
% |
Votes |
||
✔ |
|
Mark Kelly |
99.9
|
665,620 |
|
Bo Garcia (Write-in) |
0.1
|
451 |
Total votes: 666,071 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Incumbent Martha McSally defeated Daniel McCarthy and Sean Lyons in the special Republican primary for U.S. Senate Arizona on August 4, 2020.
Candidate |
% |
Votes |
||
✔ |
|
Martha McSally |
75.2
|
551,119 |
|
Daniel McCarthy |
24.8
|
181,511 | |
|
Sean Lyons (Write-in) |
0.0
|
210 |
Total votes: 732,840 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Barry Hess and Alan White ran as write-in candidates in the race. Hess received 329 votes and White received 101 votes. Libertarian write-in candidates were required to receive at least 3,335 votes to make the general election ballot.
Party: Democratic Party
Incumbent: No
Political Office: None
Biography: Kelly attended the U.S. Merchant Marine Academy and U.S. Naval Postgraduate School. He is a veteran of the Navy. Kelly was a NASA astronaut, a businessman, and a cofounder of GIFFORDS, which is, according to its website, “an organization dedicated to saving lives from gun violence.”
Show sources
Sources: YouTube, "Mark Kelly Calls China an Adversary," July 20, 2020; Mark Kelly's 2020 campaign website, "Healthcare," accessed September 22, 2020; Mark Kelly's 2020 campaign website, "Economy and Jobs," accessed September 22, 2020; GIFFORDS, "About," accessed September 22, 2020; Mark Kelly's 2020 campaign website, "Biography," accessed September 22, 2020
This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. Senate Arizona in 2020
See also: Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection
Mark Kelly has not yet completed Ballotpedia's 2022 Candidate Connection survey. Send a message to Mark Kelly asking him to fill out the survey. If you are Mark Kelly, click here to fill out Ballotpedia's 2020 Candidate Connection survey.
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October 22, 2022 |
October 15, 2022 |
August 3, 2022 |
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Kelly's campaign website stated the following:
“ |
Mark Believes Health Care Is A Right
Mark Won't Rest Until Veterans Get What They Have Earned
Mark Will Be A Champion For Working Arizonans And Arizona's Middle Class
Mark Will Fight To Ensure That America Keeps Its Promise To Arizona Seniors
Mark Believes That We Need A Secure Border And To Fix Our Broken Immigration System
Public Education Should Prepare Arizonans To Thrive In A Rapidly-Changing Economy
As A Navy Pilot, Mark Swore An Oath To Defend The United States
Mark Supports The Kinds Of Policies That Empower Women
Mark Is A Gun Owner And Advocate For Commonsense Gun Laws
Climate Change Poses A Threat To Arizona's Economy And Our Way Of Life
|
” |
—Mark Kelly's 2020 campaign website[58] |
Influencers in American politics are power players who help get candidates elected, put through policy proposals, cause ideological changes, and affect popular perceptions. They can take on many forms: politicians, lobbyists, advisors, donors, corporations, industry groups, labor unions, single-issue organizations, nonprofits, to name a few.
In 2016, Ballotpedia identified Mark Kelly as a top influencer by state. We identified top influencers across the country through several means, including the following:
The following table details Kelly's ballot measure stances available on Ballotpedia:
Ballot measure support and opposition for Mark Kelly | |||
---|---|---|---|
Ballot measure | Year | Position | Status |
Tucson, Arizona, Proposition 205, Sanctuary City Initiative | 2019 | Opposed[59] | Defeated |
2022 Elections
Candidate U.S. Senate Arizona |
Officeholder U.S. Senate Arizona |
Personal |
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Political offices | ||
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Preceded by Martha McSally (R) |
U.S. Senate Arizona 2020-Present |
Succeeded by - |
|