2018 New York Senate elections | |
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General | November 6, 2018 |
Primary | September 13, 2018 |
Past election results | |
2016・2014・2012・2010・2008 2006・2004・2002・2000 |
2018 elections | |
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Choose a chamber below: | |
Democrats gained control of the chamber and expanded their majority in the 2018 elections for the New York State Senate, winning 40 seats to Republicans' 23. All 63 Senate seats were up for election. At the time of the election, Democrats held 32 seats to Republicans' 31. However, Republicans controlled the chamber, as one Democratic state senator caucused with the Republican Party.
Ballotpedia identified 12 of the races as battlegrounds, including 10 Republican-held districts and two Democratic-held districts. Democrats won nine of those elections, including seven in Republican-held seats, while Republicans won the remaining three.
Heading into the election, New York had been under divided government since 2010 when Republicans took control of the state Senate. This broke the state's Democratic trifecta that first formed after the 2008 elections when Democrats won the state Senate for the first time since 1964. Democrats again won a numerical majority in the Senate in 2012, but the Republican-IDC-Felder coalition maintained control of the chamber.[1] Heading into the election, Democrats had controlled the governor's office since 2006 and the state Assembly since 1974.[2]
Democrats needed to win the state Senate to have a trifecta, while Republicans needed to win the state Assembly and the governorship. Other than the Democratic trifecta that formed after the 2008 elections, Democrats had not had a trifecta since 1934.[1][2] Had the Republican Party maintained control of the chamber, it would have prevented a Democratic trifecta from forming in New York.
The New York State Senate was one of 87 state legislative chambers holding elections in 2018. There are 99 chambers throughout the country. The New York State Senate was one of 22 state legislative battleground chambers identified by Ballotpedia in the 2018 elections. Read more below.
New York state senators serve two-year terms, with all seats up for election every two years.
For more information about the Democratic primaries, click here.
For more information about the Republican primaries, click here.
The Democratic Party gained control of both chambers of the New York State Legislature in the 2018 election after increasing their majority in the state Senate. The New York State Senate was identified as a battleground chamber. All 63 seats were up for election. Democrats increased their majority in the New York State Senate from 32-31 to 40-23. Seven Democratic incumbents were defeated in the primary, but six of the defeated incumbents advanced to the general election as Independence Party candidates. All six lost their bids for re-election in the general election. Five Republican incumbents were also defeated in the general election.
The New York State Assembly held elections for all 150 seats. The Democratic supermajority in the State Assembly increased. Before the election, Democrats held 104 seats, Republicans held 41 seats, an independent held one seat, and four seats were vacant. Following the election, Democrats held 106 seats, Republicans held 43 seats, and an independent held one seat. Three incumbents were defeated in the primary, two Democrats and one Republican. One defeated Democratic incumbent and one defeated Republican incumbent advanced to the general election as a Women's Equality Party candidate and an Independence Party candidate, respectively. They both lost their bids for re-election. Three Democratic incumbents and three Republican incumbents were also defeated in the general election.
On November 6, 2018, 87 of the nation's 99 state legislative chambers held regularly scheduled elections for 6,073 of 7,383 total seats, meaning that nearly 82 percent of all state legislative seats were up for election.
Want more information?
Use the interactive map below to find your district.
New York State Senate elections, 2018 |
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Office | Democratic | Republican | Other |
District 1 |
Kenneth LaValle (i) |
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District 2 |
John J. Flanagan (i) |
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District 3 |
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District 4 |
Philip Boyle (i) |
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District 5 |
Carl Marcellino (i) |
James Gaughran (Democratic Party, Women's Equality Party, Working Families Party) |
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District 6 |
Kemp Hannon (i) |
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District 7 |
Elaine Phillips (i) |
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District 8 |
John E. Brooks (i) |
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District 9 |
Todd Kaminsky (i) |
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District 10 |
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District 11 |
Tony Avella (i) (Independence Party) |
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District 12 |
Michael Gianaris (i) |
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District 13 |
Jose Peralta (i) (Independence Party) |
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District 14 |
Leroy Comrie (i) |
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District 15 |
Joseph Addabbo (i) |
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District 16 |
Vincent Pazienza (Reform Party) |
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District 17 |
Simcha Felder (i) |
Luis Rivera (Reform Party) Did not make the ballot: |
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District 18 |
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District 19 |
Roxanne Persaud (i) |
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District 20 |
Jesse Hamilton (i) (Independence Party) |
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District 21 |
Kevin Parker (i) |
Brian Kelly (Conservative Party) |
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District 22 |
Martin Golden (i) |
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District 23 |
Diane Savino (i) |
Jasmine Robinson (Working Families Party) |
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District 24 |
Andrew Lanza (i) |
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District 25 |
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District 26 |
Brian Kavanagh (i) |
Stuart J. Avrick (Conservative Party) |
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District 27 |
Brad Hoylman (i) |
Brad Hoylman (i) (Democratic Party, Working Families Party) |
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District 28 |
Liz Krueger (i) |
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District 29 |
Jose M. Serrano (i) |
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District 30 |
Brian Benjamin (i) |
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District 31 |
Marisol Alcantara (i) (Independence Party) |
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District 32 |
Luis Sepulveda (i) |
Migdalia Denis (Conservative Party) |
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District 33 |
Steven Stern (Conservative Party) |
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District 34 |
Jeffrey Klein (i) (Independence Party) |
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District 35 |
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District 36 |
Jamaal Bailey (i) |
Robert Diamond (Conservative Party) |
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District 37 |
Shelley Mayer (i) |
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District 38 |
David Carlucci (i) |
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District 39 |
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District 40 |
Terrence Murphy (i) |
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District 41 |
Susan Serino (i) |
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District 42 |
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District 43 |
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District 44 |
Neil Breslin (i) |
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District 45 |
Betty Little (i) |
Did not make the ballot: |
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District 46 |
George Amedore (i) |
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District 47 |
Joseph Griffo (i) |
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District 48 |
Patricia Ritchie (i) |
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District 49 |
James Tedisco (i) |
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District 50 |
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District 51 |
James L. Seward (i) |
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District 52 |
Fred Akshar (i) |
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District 53 |
David Valesky (i) (Independence Party) |
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District 54 |
Pamela Helming (i) |
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District 55 |
Rich Funke (i) |
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District 56 |
Joseph Robach (i) |
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District 57 |
Catharine Young (i) |
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District 58 |
Thomas O'Mara (i) |
Did not make the ballot: |
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District 59 |
Patrick Gallivan (i) |
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District 60 |
Did not make the ballot: |
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District 61 |
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District 62 |
Robert Ortt (i) |
Peter Diachun (Green Party) |
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District 63 |
Did not make the ballot: |
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Political party key:
Democratic
Republican
Conservative Party
Green Party
Independence Party
Reform Party
Tax Revolt Party
Women's Equality Party
Working Families Party
Fusion voting candidates
A margin of victory (MOV) analysis for the 2018 New York State Senate races is presented in this section. MOV represents the percentage of total votes that separated the winner and the second-place finisher. For example, if the winner of a race received 47 percent of the vote and the second-place finisher received 45 percent of the vote, the MOV is 2 percent.
The table below presents the following figures for each party:
New York State Senate: 2018 Margin of Victory Analysis | ||||
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Party | Elections won | Elections won by less than 10% | Unopposed elections | Average margin of victory[3] |
Democratic | ||||
Republican | ||||
Other | ||||
Total |
The margin of victory in each race is presented below. The list is sorted from the closest MOV to the largest (including unopposed races).
The below map displays each seat in the New York State Senate which changed partisan hands as a result of the 2018 elections, shaded according to the partisan affiliation of the winner in 2018. Hover over a shaded district for more information.
State legislative seats flipped in 2018, New York State Senate | |||
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District | Incumbent | 2018 winner | Direction of flip |
New York State Senate District 22 | Martin Golden | Andrew Gounardes | R to D |
New York State Senate District 3 | Tom Croci | Monica Martinez | R to D |
New York State Senate District 39 | William Larkin | James Skoufis | R to D |
New York State Senate District 40 | Terrence P. Murphy | Peter Harckham | R to D |
New York State Senate District 42 | John Bonacic | Jen Metzger | R to D |
New York State Senate District 5 | Carl Marcellino | James Gaughran | R to D |
New York State Senate District 6 | Kemp Hannon | Kevin Thomas | R to D |
New York State Senate District 7 | Elaine Phillips | Anna Kaplan | R to D |
Five incumbents did not run for re-election in 2018.[4] Those incumbents were:
Name | Party | Office |
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Tom Croci | Republican | Senate District 3 |
William Larkin | Republican | Senate District 39 |
John Bonacic | Republican | Senate District 42 |
Kathleen A. Marchione | Republican | Senate District 43 |
John DeFrancisco | Republican | Senate District 50 |
Ballotpedia identified the New York State Senate as one of 22 battleground chambers in 2018. These were chambers that we anticipated to be, overall, more competitive than other chambers and had the potential to see significant shifts in party control.
The chamber was selected because it met the following conditions:
Party control: 2006 - 2016 | |||||||||||||||
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Election Year: | 2006 | 2008 | 2010 | 2012 | 2014 | 2016 | |||||||||
Winning Party: | R | D | R | R* | R | R* |
New York State Senate Battleground races |
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Democratic seats |
District 8 |
District 9 |
Republican seats |
District 3 |
District 5 |
District 6 |
District 7 |
District 39 |
District 40 |
District 42 |
District 43 |
District 50 |
District 58 |
Ballotpedia identified 12 battleground races in the New York State Senate 2018 elections: two Democratic seats and ten Republican seats. Based on analysis of these districts' electoral histories, these races had the potential to be more competitive than other races and could possibly have led to shifts in a chamber's partisan balance.
To determine state legislative battleground races in 2018, Ballotpedia looked for races that fit one or more of the four factors listed below:
Other factors could also cause a race to be classified as a battleground. For example, Ballotpedia may have considered an election to be a battleground race if an outside group or a national or state party announced that they were targeting a specific seat in order to flip it. We may have also determined a race to be a battleground if it received an unusual amount of media attention. Two additional factors were open seats and districts impacted by redistricting.
Who won this race?
Democrat Monica Martinez defeated Republican Dean Murray. |
What party controlled the seat heading into the election?
The Republican Party |
Who were the candidates running?
What made this a battleground race?
Incumbent Tom Croci announced he would not seek re-election in May 2018.[5] Croci was first elected in 2014. In 2016, he won the seat by 17.3 points. District 3 was one of 23 New York Senate districts that Republican Donald Trump won in the 2016 presidential election. Trump carried District 3 by 6.0 points. Barack Obama (D) won the district in the 2012 presidential election by 12.0 points. Politico said this race slightly favored the Republican.[6] |
Who won this race?
Democrat James Gaughran defeated Republican incumbent Carl Marcellino. |
What party controlled the seat heading into the election?
The Republican Party |
Who were the candidates running?
James Gaughran |
What made this a battleground race?
This was a district where the incumbent won less than 55 percent of the vote in 2016 and the presidential candidate of the opposite party won. Incumbent Carl Marcellino (R) was first elected in 1995 in a special election. In 2016, he won the seat by 1.2 points. District 5 was one of 40 New York Senate districts that Democrat Hillary Clinton won in the 2016 presidential election. Clinton carried District 5 by 3.0 points. Mitt Romney (R) won the district in the 2012 presidential election by 1.6 points. Politico called the race a toss-up.[6] |
Who won this race?
Democrat Kevin Thomas defeated Republican incumbent Kemp Hannon. |
What party controlled the seat heading into the election?
The Republican Party |
Who were the candidates running?
Kevin Thomas |
What made this a battleground race?
This was a district where the incumbent won less than 55 percent of the vote in 2016 and the presidential candidate of the opposite party won. Incumbent Kemp Hannon (R) was first elected in 1989. In 2016, he won the seat by 7.7 points. District 6 was one of 40 New York Senate districts that Democrat Hillary Clinton won in the 2016 presidential election. Clinton carried District 6 by 2.7 points. Barack Obama (D) won the district in the 2012 presidential election by 10.4 points. Politico said this race was a likely Republican hold.[6] |
Who won this race?
Democrat Anna Kaplan defeated Republican incumbent Elaine Phillips. |
What party controlled the seat heading into the election?
The Republican Party |
Who were the candidates running?
Anna Kaplan |
What made this a battleground race?
This was a district where the incumbent won less than 55 percent of the vote in 2016 and the presidential candidate of the opposite party won. Incumbent Elaine Phillips (R) was first elected in 2016. She won the seat by 2.5 points. District 7 was one of 40 New York Senate districts that Democrat Hillary Clinton won in the 2016 presidential election. Clinton carried District 7 by 12.8 points. Barack Obama (D) won the district in the 2012 presidential election by 8.7 points. Phillips endorsements
Politico called the race a toss-up.[6] |
Who won this race?
Democratic incumbent John E. Brooks defeated Republican Jeffrey Pravato. |
What party controlled the seat heading into the election?
The Democratic Party |
Who were the candidates running?
John E. Brooks (incumbent) |
What made this a battleground race?
This was a district where the incumbent won less than 55 percent of the vote in 2016. Incumbent John E. Brooks (D) was first elected in 2016. He won the seat by 0.2 points, defeating the previous incumbent, Michael Venditto (R). District 8 was one of 40 New York Senate districts that Democrat Hillary Clinton won in the 2016 presidential election. Clinton carried District 8 by 2.8 points. Barack Obama (D) won the district in the 2012 presidential election by 12.4 points. Brooks endorsements
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Who won this race?
Democratic incumbent Todd Kaminsky defeated Republican Francis Becker Jr.. |
What party controlled the seat heading into the election?
The Democratic Party |
Who were the candidates running?
Todd Kaminsky (incumbent) |
What made this a battleground race?
This was a district where the incumbent won less than 55 percent of the vote in 2016. Incumbent Todd Kaminsky (D) was first elected in a 2016 special election to replace former Senate Majority Leader Dean Skelos (R). He won the special election by 1.2 points and then later won in the 2016 general election by 4.4 points. District 9 was one of 40 New York Senate districts that Democrat Hillary Clinton won in the 2016 presidential election. Clinton carried District 8 by 8.3 points. Barack Obama (D) won the district in the 2012 presidential election by 8.0 points. Politico said this race was a likely Democratic hold.[6] |
Who won this race?
Democrat James Skoufis defeated Republican Thomas Basile. |
What party controlled the seat heading into the election?
The Republican Party |
Who were the candidates running?
What made this a battleground race?
This was a district where the incumbent won less than 55 percent of the vote in 2016 and did not seek re-election in 2018. Incumbent William Larkin (R) was first elected in 1990. In 2016, he won his election by 5.7 points. He announced he would not seek re-election in May 2018.[9] District 39 was one of 23 New York Senate districts that Republican Donald Trump won in the 2016 presidential election. Trump carried District 39 by 3.5 points. Barack Obama (D) won the district in the 2012 presidential election by 6.6 points. Politico called the race a toss-up.[6] |
Who won this race?
Democrat Peter Harckham defeated Republican incumbent Terrence P. Murphy. |
What party controlled the seat heading into the election?
The Republican Party |
Who were the candidates running?
Peter Harckham |
What made this a battleground race?
This was a district where Gov. Andrew Cuomo (D) became involved.. In May 2018, the New York Daily News reported that Cuomo was recruiting former staffer Peter Harckham to run against incumbent Terrence P. Murphy (R). Murphy was first elected in 2014. In 2016, he was re-elected by 15.5 points. District 40 was one of 40 New York Senate districts that Democrat Hillary Clinton won in the 2016 presidential election. Clinton carried District 40 by 6.9 points. Barack Obama (D) won the district in the 2012 presidential election by 2.5 points. Politico said this race slightly favored the Republican.[6] |
Who won this race?
Democrat Jen Metzger defeated Republican Ann Rabbitt. |
What party controlled the seat heading into the election?
The Republican Party |
Who were the candidates running?
What made this a battleground race?
Incumbent John Bonacic (R) announced he would not seek re-election in April 2018.[10] Bonacic was first elected in 1998. In 2016, he won his election by 22.3 points. District 42 was one of 23 New York Senate districts that Republican Donald Trump won in the 2016 presidential election. Trump carried District 42 by 5.2 points. Barack Obama (D) won the district in the 2012 presidential election by 9.2 points. Politico said this race slightly favored the Republican.[6] |
Who won this race?
Republican Daphne Jordan defeated Democrat Aaron Gladd. |
What party controlled the seat heading into the election?
The Republican Party |
Who were the candidates running?
What made this a battleground race?
Incumbent Kathleen A. Marchione (R) announced she would not seek re-election in April 2018.[10] Marchione was first elected in 2012. In 2016, she won her election by 24.7 points. District 43 was one of 23 New York Senate districts that Republican Donald Trump won in the 2016 presidential election. Trump carried District 43 by 2.9 points. Barack Obama (D) won the district in the 2012 presidential election by 7.7 points. Politico said this race slightly favored the Republican.[6] |
Who won this race?
Republican Bob Antonacci defeated Democrat John Mannion. |
What party controlled the seat heading into the election?
The Republican Party |
Who were the candidates running?
What made this a battleground race?
Incumbent John DeFrancisco (R) announced he would not seek re-election in April 2018.[10] DeFrancisco was first elected in 1992. In 2016, he was unopposed. District 50 was one of 40 New York Senate districts that Democrat Hillary Clinton won in the 2016 presidential election. Clinton carried District 50 by 5.0 points. Barack Obama (D) won the district in the 2012 presidential election by 11.5 points. Politico called the race a toss-up.[6] |
Who won this race?
Republican incumbent Thomas O'Mara defeated Democrat Amanda Kirchgessner. |
What party controlled the seat heading into the election?
The Republican Party |
Who were the candidates running?
Amanda Kirchgessner |
What made this a battleground race?
This was a district where the incumbent won less than 55 percent of the vote in 2016. Incumbent Thomas O'Mara (R) was first elected in 2010. In 2016, he won his election by 9.3 points. District 58 was one of 23 New York Senate districts that Republican Donald Trump won in the 2016 presidential election. Trump carried District 58 by 8.9 points. Barack Obama (D) won the district in the 2012 presidential election by 3.5 points. Politico said this race was safe for the Republican.[6] |
On October 15, 2018, Gov. Andrew Cuomo (D) launched a $2 million television and advertising campaign to help Democrats take control of the state Senate. The $2 million came jointly from Cuomo's campaign and the state Democratic Party. Cuomo said, ""This election is not about red and blue, it's black and white — and we need a Democratic state Senate to protect New York and keep progress moving forward."
In response to the spending, a Senate Republican spokesperson said, "If Gov. Cuomo elects a Democrat majority in the Senate, there will be no accountability, no checks and balances, and no one to stop this administration from the corruption, bribery and pay-to-play schemes that have sent (former aides Joseph) Percoco, (Alain) Kaloyeros and other associates to jail."[11]
Newsday reported that the Democratic and Republican state committees spent the following amounts on Senate races in Suffolk and Nassau counties, both on Long Island.
Prior to April 2018, factions in the New York State Senate included the mainline Democratic Party, the Republican Party, and an offshoot of the Democratic Party called the Independent Democratic Conference (IDC). Republicans controlled the chamber from 2012 to 2018 through an alliance with the IDC and Democrat Simcha Felder. In April 2018, the eight members of the IDC rejoined the mainline Democratic conference, but Felder stayed with the Republicans, giving them an effective 32-31 majority in the chamber.
In the September 13 Democratic primaries, progressive primary challengers defeated former IDC leader Jeff Klein and former IDC members Tony Avella, Jose Peralta, Jesse Hamilton, Marisol Alcantara, and David Valesky. Felder and former IDC members Diane Savino and David Carlucci won their primaries. Read more here.
Click here to see more about what happened with the IDC in late 2017 and early 2018 | |||
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Click here to read more background on the conflict between the IDC and mainline Democrats | |||
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In the 2018 elections, Democrats gained full control of the New York State Senate.
New York State Senate | |||
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Party | As of November 6, 2018 | After November 7, 2018 | |
Democratic Party | 32 | 40 | |
Republican Party | 31 | 23 | |
Total | 63 | 63 |
In the 2016 elections, Democrats maintained their numerical majority in the New York State Senate but a power-sharing agreement between the Independent Democratic Conference and Senate Republicans has kept the state Senate under Republican control.
New York State Senate | |||
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Party | As of November 7, 2016 | After November 8, 2016 | |
Democratic Party | 31 | 32 | |
Republican Party | 31 | 31 | |
Vacant | 1 | 0 | |
Total | 63 | 63 |
A state government trifecta is a term that describes single-party government, when one political party holds the governor's office and has majorities in both chambers of the legislature in a state government. Democrats in New York held a state government trifecta for two years between 1992 and 2017.
New York Party Control: 1992-2021
Five years of Democratic trifectas • No Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
The term wave election is frequently used to describe an election cycle in which one party makes significant electoral gains. How many seats would Republicans have had to lose for the 2018 midterm election to be considered a wave election?
Ballotpedia examined the results of the 50 election cycles that occurred between 1918 and 2016—spanning from President Woodrow Wilson's (D) second midterm in 1918 to Donald Trump's (R) first presidential election in 2016. We define wave elections as the 20 percent of elections in that period resulting in the greatest seat swings against the president's party.
Applying this definition to state legislative elections, we found that Republicans needed to lose 494 seats for 2018 to qualify as a wave election.
The chart below shows the number of seats the president's party lost in the 10 state legislative waves from 1918 to 2016. Click here to read the full report.
State legislative wave elections | ||||||
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Year | President | Party | Election type | State legislative seats change | Elections analyzed[39] | |
1932 | Hoover | R | Presidential | -1,022 | 7,365 | |
1922 | Harding | R | First midterm | -907 | 6,907 | |
1966 | Johnson | D | First midterm[40] | -782 | 7,561 | |
1938 | Roosevelt | D | Second midterm | -769 | 7,179 | |
1958 | Eisenhower | R | Second midterm | -702 | 7,627 | |
2010 | Obama | D | First midterm | -702 | 7,306 | |
1974 | Ford | R | Second midterm[41] | -695 | 7,481 | |
1920 | Wilson | D | Presidential | -654 | 6,835 | |
1930 | Hoover | R | Presidential | -640 | 7,361 | |
1954 | Eisenhower | R | First midterm | -494 | 7,513 |
See statutes: Article 6 of the New York Election Law
Political party candidates seeking placement on the primary ballot must be nominated via designating petitions. Sample forms are provided by the New York State Board of Elections. A party may nominate a non-enrolled member by filing a certificate of authorization, signed by the presiding officer and secretary of the meeting at which such authorization was given. Only enrolled party members may sign designating petitions. Signature requirements vary according to the office being sought. Generally speaking, a candidate must collect signatures equaling at least 5 percent of the number of active enrolled voters in the political unit (e.g., the state for statewide offices, such as governor; the legislative district for state senate or assembly districts; etc.), or a fixed total established by statute, whichever is less.[42][43][44][45][46]
Designating petitions must be submitted to the appropriate county board of elections, with the following exceptions:[47]
Designating petitions must be filed between the 10th Monday and ninth Tuesday prior to the primary election. A candidate must file a certificate of acceptance or declination of the designation no later than the fourth day after the last day to file designating petitions.[48]
Enrolled party members may also circulate petitions to allow for the opportunity to write in a candidate for an office for which there is no contest for the party nomination at the primary. These are called opportunity to ballot petitions and are substantially the same as designating petitions (i.e., the petitions are held to the same signature and filing requirements, etc.), except that they do not require a candidate to be named.[42][49]
Independent candidates seeking placement the general election ballot must be nominated via nominating petitions. Sample forms are provided by the New York State Board of Elections.[42][50]
The group of voters making the nomination may designate a name for themselves, provided the name is rendered in English and does not suggest similarity with an existing political party or a political organization that has already filed a nominating petition.[51]
Signature requirements vary according to the office being sought. Generally speaking, candidates must collect signatures equaling at least 5 percent of the total number of votes cast for governor within the political unit at the last gubernatorial election, or a fixed total established by statute, whichever is less.[52]
Nominating petitions must be submitted to the appropriate county board of elections, with the following exceptions:[47]
Nominating petitions must be filed between the 12th and 11th week prior to the general election. A candidate must file a certificate of acceptance or declination of the designation no later than the third day after the last day to file nominating petitions.[48]
A write-in candidate for president or vice-president must file a certificate of candidacy with the New York State Board of Elections. Write-in candidates for other federal or state offices do not have to submit any filing paperwork.[53]
Article 3, Section 7 of the New York Constitution states: No person shall serve as a member of the legislature unless he or she is a citizen of the United States and has been a resident of the state of New York for five years, and, except as hereinafter otherwise prescribed, of the assembly or senate district for the twelve months immediately preceding his or her election; if elected a senator or member of assembly at the first election next ensuing after a readjustment or alteration of the senate or assembly districts becomes effective, a person, to be eligible to serve as such, must have been a resident of the county in which the senate or assembly district is contained for the twelve months immediately preceding his or her election. No member of the legislature shall, during the time for which he or she was elected, receive any civil appointment from the governor, the governor and the senate, the legislature or from any city government, to an office which shall have been created, or the emoluments whereof shall have been increased during such time.
State legislators | |
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Salary | Per diem |
$110,000/year | For non-overnight travel: $61/day. For overnight stays: $176/day. |
New York legislators assume office the first Wednesday in January. When the first Wednesday in January falls on January 1, it shall meet the next Wednesday.
Every year, Ballotpedia uses official candidate lists from each state to examine the competitiveness of every state legislative race in the country. Nationally, there has been a steady decline in electoral competitiveness since 2010. Most notable is that the number of districts with general election competition has dropped by more than 10 percent.
Below is Ballotpedia's 2016 competitiveness analysis. Click here to read the full study »
Uncontested elections: In 2014, 32.8 percent of Americans lived in states with an uncontested state senate election. Similarly, 40.4 percent of Americans lived in states with uncontested house elections. Primary elections were uncontested even more frequently, with 61 percent of people living in states with no contested primaries. Uncontested elections often occur in locations that are so politically one-sided that the result of an election would be a foregone conclusion regardless of whether it was contested or not.
Open seats: In most cases, an incumbent will run for re-election, which decreases the number of open seats available. In 2014, 83 percent of the 6,057 seats up for election saw the incumbent running for re-election. The states that impose term limits on their legislatures typically see a higher percentage of open seats in a given year because a portion of incumbents in each election are forced to leave office. Overall, the number of open seats decreased from 2012 to 2014, dropping from 21.2 percent in 2012 to 17.0 percent in 2014.
Incumbent win rates: Ballotpedia's competitiveness analysis of elections between 1972 and 2014 documented the high propensity for incumbents to win re-election in state legislative elections. In fact, since 1972, the win rate for incumbents had not dropped below 90 percent—with the exception of 1974, when 88 percent of incumbents were re-elected to their seats. Perhaps most importantly, the win rate for incumbents generally increased over time. In 2014, 96.5 percent of incumbents were able to retain their seats. Common convention holds that incumbents are able to leverage their office to maintain their seat. However, the high incumbent win rate may actually be a result of incumbents being more likely to hold seats in districts that are considered safe for their party.
Marginal primaries: Often, competitiveness is measured by examining the rate of elections that have been won by amounts that are considered marginal (5 percent or less). During the 2014 election, 90.1 percent of primary and general election races were won by margins higher than 5 percent. Interestingly, it is usually the case that only one of the two races—primary or general—will be competitive at a time. This means that if a district's general election is competitive, typically one or more of the district's primaries were won by more than 5 percent. The reverse is also true: If a district sees a competitive primary, it is unlikely that the general election for that district will be won by less than 5 percent. Primaries often see very low voter turnout in comparison to general elections. In 2014, there were only 27 million voters for state legislative primaries, but approximately 107 million voters for the state legislative general elections.
Eighteen of 62 New York counties—29 percent—are Pivot Counties. Pivot Counties are counties that voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012 and for Donald Trump (R) in 2016. Altogether, the nation had 206 Pivot Counties, with most being concentrated in upper midwestern and northeastern states.
Counties won by Trump in 2016 and Obama in 2012 and 2008 | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
County | Trump margin of victory in 2016 | Obama margin of victory in 2012 | Obama margin of victory in 2008 | ||||
Broome County, New York | 2.01% | 5.31% | 8.02% | ||||
Cayuga County, New York | 11.64% | 11.40% | 8.48% | ||||
Cortland County, New York | 5.58% | 9.11% | 9.96% | ||||
Essex County, New York | 1.14% | 18.77% | 13.32% | ||||
Franklin County, New York | 5.45% | 26.07% | 22.23% | ||||
Madison County, New York | 14.20% | 0.89% | 0.87% | ||||
Niagara County, New York | 17.75% | 0.84% | 1.00% | ||||
Orange County, New York | 5.50% | 5.65% | 4.13% | ||||
Oswego County, New York | 21.99% | 7.93% | 2.44% | ||||
Otsego County, New York | 11.13% | 2.72% | 5.91% | ||||
Rensselaer County, New York | 1.41% | 12.19% | 9.34% | ||||
St. Lawrence County, New York | 8.82% | 16.71% | 16.33% | ||||
Saratoga County, New York | 3.21% | 2.44% | 3.40% | ||||
Seneca County, New York | 11.01% | 9.08% | 2.60% | ||||
Suffolk County, New York | 6.84% | 3.69% | 5.99% | ||||
Sullivan County, New York | 11.23% | 9.02% | 9.46% | ||||
Warren County, New York | 8.47% | 2.32% | 2.64% | ||||
Washington County, New York | 18.40% | 1.90% | 0.81% |
In the 2016 presidential election, Hillary Clinton (D) won New York with 59 percent of the vote. Donald Trump (R) received 36.5 percent. In presidential elections between 1792 and 2016, New York voted Democratic 45.6 percent of the time and Republican 35 percent of the time. In the five presidential elections between 2000 and 2016, New York voted Democratic all five times.[54]
The following table details results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections by state Senate districts in New York. Click [show] to expand the table. The "Obama," "Romney," "Clinton," and "Trump" columns describe the percent of the vote each presidential candidate received in the district. The "2012 Margin" and "2016 Margin" columns describe the margin of victory between the two presidential candidates in those years. The "Party Control" column notes which party held that seat heading into the 2018 general election. Data on the results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections broken down by state legislative districts was compiled by Daily Kos.[55][56]
In 2012, Barack Obama (D) won 55 out of 63 state Senate districts in New York with an average margin of victory of 36.9 points. In 2016, Hillary Clinton (D) won 40 out of 63 state Senate districts in New York with an average margin of victory of 46.4 points. Clinton won nine districts controlled by Republicans heading into the 2018 elections. |
In 2012, Mitt Romney (R) won eight out of 63 state Senate districts in New York with an average margin of victory of 8.7 points. In 2016, Donald Trump (R) won 23 out of 63 state Senate districts in New York with an average margin of victory of 11.3 points. Trump won one district controlled by a Democrat heading into the 2018 elections. |
2016 presidential results by state Senate District | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
District | Obama | Romney | 2012 Margin | Clinton | Trump | 2016 Margin | Party Control |
1 | 50.90% | 47.88% | D+3 | 44.35% | 52.33% | R+8 | R |
2 | 45.97% | 52.77% | R+6.8 | 41.94% | 54.84% | R+12.9 | R |
3 | 55.37% | 43.36% | D+12 | 45.31% | 51.29% | R+6 | R |
4 | 52.92% | 45.94% | D+7 | 44.38% | 52.49% | R+8.1 | R |
5 | 48.65% | 50.29% | R+1.6 | 49.99% | 46.98% | D+3 | R |
6 | 54.70% | 44.28% | D+10.4 | 49.95% | 47.21% | D+2.7 | R |
7 | 53.84% | 45.19% | D+8.7 | 54.97% | 42.17% | D+12.8 | R |
8 | 55.72% | 43.33% | D+12.4 | 49.98% | 47.21% | D+2.8 | D |
9 | 53.52% | 45.56% | D+8 | 52.74% | 44.45% | D+8.3 | D |
10 | 94.32% | 5.43% | D+88.9 | 90.58% | 8.00% | D+82.6 | D |
11 | 64.43% | 34.54% | D+29.9 | 61.47% | 35.93% | D+25.5 | D |
12 | 82.58% | 15.75% | D+66.8 | 81.02% | 15.76% | D+65.3 | D |
13 | 86.00% | 13.09% | D+72.9 | 82.54% | 15.01% | D+67.5 | D |
14 | 92.63% | 6.95% | D+85.7 | 89.88% | 8.43% | D+81.4 | D |
15 | 59.80% | 39.13% | D+20.7 | 55.27% | 41.92% | D+13.4 | D |
16 | 74.05% | 24.93% | D+49.1 | 71.29% | 26.14% | D+45.2 | D |
17 | 40.75% | 58.27% | R+17.5 | 44.65% | 52.80% | R+8.1 | D |
18 | 93.65% | 5.10% | D+88.6 | 91.22% | 6.15% | D+85.1 | D |
19 | 88.72% | 10.99% | D+77.7 | 85.32% | 13.28% | D+72 | D |
20 | 94.22% | 5.00% | D+89.2 | 91.61% | 6.35% | D+85.3 | D |
21 | 94.22% | 4.83% | D+89.4 | 92.65% | 5.25% | D+87.4 | D |
22 | 51.91% | 46.79% | D+5.1 | 48.13% | 48.81% | R+0.7 | R |
23 | 68.53% | 30.54% | D+38 | 61.11% | 36.43% | D+24.7 | D |
24 | 40.33% | 58.66% | R+18.3 | 31.17% | 66.54% | R+35.4 | R |
25 | 96.45% | 2.40% | D+94 | 94.51% | 2.88% | D+91.6 | D |
26 | 81.80% | 16.47% | D+65.3 | 85.08% | 11.83% | D+73.3 | D |
27 | 82.55% | 15.85% | D+66.7 | 86.86% | 9.99% | D+76.9 | D |
28 | 69.41% | 29.42% | D+40 | 80.47% | 16.46% | D+64 | D |
29 | 90.81% | 8.46% | D+82.3 | 91.28% | 6.67% | D+84.6 | D |
30 | 95.32% | 3.84% | D+91.5 | 93.67% | 3.96% | D+89.7 | D |
31 | 90.22% | 8.61% | D+81.6 | 90.50% | 6.96% | D+83.5 | D |
32 | 96.69% | 3.09% | D+93.6 | 93.47% | 5.15% | D+88.3 | D |
33 | 95.86% | 3.81% | D+92 | 93.06% | 5.46% | D+87.6 | D |
34 | 74.28% | 24.79% | D+49.5 | 73.53% | 23.86% | D+49.7 | D |
35 | 71.95% | 27.13% | D+44.8 | 74.56% | 22.84% | D+51.7 | D |
36 | 95.08% | 4.59% | D+90.5 | 92.60% | 5.89% | D+86.7 | D |
37 | 53.95% | 44.97% | D+9 | 59.30% | 37.54% | D+21.8 | D |
38 | 53.82% | 45.17% | D+8.6 | 54.08% | 43.17% | D+10.9 | D |
39 | 52.65% | 46.04% | D+6.6 | 46.34% | 49.87% | R+3.5 | R |
40 | 50.60% | 48.13% | D+2.5 | 51.70% | 44.80% | D+6.9 | R |
41 | 53.27% | 45.04% | D+8.2 | 48.54% | 47.22% | D+1.3 | R |
42 | 53.76% | 44.52% | D+9.2 | 45.19% | 50.41% | R+5.2 | R |
43 | 52.88% | 45.21% | D+7.7 | 45.59% | 48.53% | R+2.9 | R |
44 | 67.28% | 30.57% | D+36.7 | 62.93% | 31.77% | D+31.2 | D |
45 | 56.26% | 41.95% | D+14.3 | 43.49% | 50.06% | R+6.6 | R |
46 | 53.64% | 44.32% | D+9.3 | 45.17% | 49.44% | R+4.3 | R |
47 | 48.55% | 49.76% | R+1.2 | 37.30% | 57.12% | R+19.8 | R |
48 | 51.45% | 46.82% | D+4.6 | 36.95% | 57.13% | R+20.2 | R |
49 | 51.16% | 46.87% | D+4.3 | 45.32% | 48.90% | R+3.6 | R |
50 | 54.90% | 43.37% | D+11.5 | 49.62% | 44.58% | D+5 | R |
51 | 50.06% | 47.79% | D+2.3 | 40.12% | 53.82% | R+13.7 | R |
52 | 49.19% | 48.63% | D+0.6 | 42.43% | 51.85% | R+9.4 | R |
53 | 62.30% | 35.77% | D+26.5 | 54.34% | 39.79% | D+14.5 | D |
54 | 49.68% | 48.41% | D+1.3 | 41.56% | 52.32% | R+10.8 | R |
55 | 56.53% | 41.45% | D+15.1 | 56.31% | 37.77% | D+18.5 | R |
56 | 59.96% | 38.41% | D+21.5 | 54.14% | 41.05% | D+13.1 | R |
57 | 42.64% | 55.49% | R+12.8 | 32.19% | 62.30% | R+30.1 | R |
58 | 50.71% | 47.19% | D+3.5 | 42.70% | 51.62% | R+8.9 | R |
59 | 45.03% | 53.16% | R+8.1 | 37.05% | 57.81% | R+20.8 | R |
60 | 56.05% | 42.01% | D+14 | 49.77% | 45.33% | D+4.4 | R |
61 | 50.21% | 48.08% | D+2.1 | 47.26% | 47.78% | R+0.5 | R |
62 | 47.60% | 50.61% | R+3 | 37.24% | 57.94% | R+20.7 | R |
63 | 75.27% | 23.14% | D+52.1 | 66.90% | 29.33% | D+37.6 | D |
Total | 63.43% | 35.22% | D+28.2 | 59.48% | 36.81% | D+22.7 | - |
Source: Daily Kos |
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