The North Carolina gubernatorial election took place on November 6, 2012. The primary election was held on May 8, 2012.
Early in the election cycle, the 2012 race was shaping up to be a repeat of 2008, in which Beverly Perdue narrowly defeated Pat McCrory with roughly 50% of the vote. That changed in January 2012, though, when Perdue announced she would not seek a second term in office. Perdue, a first term Democrat and the first female governor in the history of the Tarheel State, had been slipping in the polls and at the time of her announcement was preparing to propose a budget that included a controversial sales tax increase for education. In explaining her decision, Perdue said a bid for re-election would "only further politicize the fight to adequately fund our schools."[1]
Perdue's lieutenant governor, Walter Dalton, declared his intention to run for governor the day after Perdue announced she would not seek re-election.[2] The primary season, short though it was, was a close match but Dalton managed to edge out former Congressman Bob Etheridge and four other candidates.
On the Republican side, Pat McCrory easily defeated five challengers in the primary. He went on to defeat Dalton in the general election on November 6, 2012.
Walter Dalton (Democrat)
Pat McCrory (Republican)
Barbara Howe (Libertarian)
Governor of North Carolina General Election, 2012 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
Democratic | Walter Dalton | 43.2% | 1,931,580 | |
Republican | Pat McCrory | 54.6% | 2,440,707 | |
Libertarian | Barbara Howe | 2.1% | 94,652 | |
Write-in | Various | 0% | 1,356 | |
Total Votes | 4,468,295 | |||
Election results via NC State Board of Elections |
Governor of North Carolina Democratic Primary, 2012 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Vote % | Votes | ||
Walter Dalton | 45.9% | 428,475 | ||
Bob Etheridge | 38% | 354,923 | ||
Bill Faison | 5.6% | 52,179 | ||
Gardenia Henley | 5.2% | 48,982 | ||
Gary M. Dunn | 2.9% | 27,358 | ||
Bruce Blackmon | 2.4% | 22,370 | ||
Total Votes | 934,287 | |||
Election results via The North Carolina Board of Elections. |
Governor of North Carolina Republican Primary, 2012 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Vote % | Votes | ||
Pat McCrory | 83.4% | 748,180 | ||
Paul Wright | 5.3% | 47,403 | ||
Scott Jones | 3.5% | 31,191 | ||
James Mahan | 3.4% | 30,056 | ||
Jim Harney | 3% | 26,485 | ||
Charles Moss | 1.5% | 13,822 | ||
Total Votes | 897,137 | |||
Election results via The North Carolina Board of Elections. |
Deadline | Event |
---|---|
Feb. 13 - Feb. 29 | Statewide candidate filing |
Apr. 13 | Voter registration for primary election |
May 8 | Primary election |
Oct. 12 | Voter registration for general election |
Nov. 6 | General election |
2012 Race Rankings - North Carolina Governor | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Race Tracker | Race Rating | |||
The Cook Political Report[3] | Toss-up | |||
Governing Politics[4] | Lean Republican | |||
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball[5] | Toss-up | |||
Rasmussen Reports Gubernatorial Scorecard[6] | No prediction yet | |||
The Rothenberg Political Report[7] | Lean Republican | |||
Overall Call |
Contents |
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1 General |
2 Primary |
2.1 Democratic |
2.2 Republican |
Governor of North Carolina (Dalton and McCrory only) | |||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | Walter Dalton | Pat McCrory | Undecided | Margin of error | Sample size | ||||||||||||||
Rasmussen Reports October 9, 2012 | 38% | 52% | 10% | +/-4.5 | 500 | ||||||||||||||
Rasmussen Reports September 13, 2012 | 38% | 51% | 10% | +/-4.5 | 500 | ||||||||||||||
Elon University August 25-30, 2012 | 37% | 52% | 11% | +/-3.0 | 1,089 | ||||||||||||||
Rasmussen Reports June 25, 2012 | 35% | 49% | 12% | +/-4.5 | 500 | ||||||||||||||
NBC News/Marist June 24-25, 2012 | 41% | 43% | 17% | +/-3.1 | 1,208 | ||||||||||||||
Public Policy Polling June 7-10, 2012 | 40% | 47% | 13% | +/-3.4 | 810 | ||||||||||||||
Public Policy Polling May 10-13, 2012 | 40% | 46% | 13% | +/-3.8 | 666 | ||||||||||||||
AVERAGES | 38.43% | 48.57% | 12.29% | +/-3.83 | 753.29 | ||||||||||||||
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org. |
Governor of North Carolina (all 3 candidates) | |||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | Walter Dalton | Pat McCrory | Barbara Howe | Undecided | Margin of error | Sample size | |||||||||||||
Public Policy Polling October 29-31, 2012 | 39% | 50% | 4% | 7% | +/-3.6 | 730 | |||||||||||||
Public Policy Polling (dead link) October 23-25, 2012 | 37% | 50% | 5% | 8% | +/-3.3 | 880 | |||||||||||||
Public Policy Polling October 12-14, 2012 | 37% | 47% | 5% | 11% | +/-3.0 | 1,084 | |||||||||||||
Public Policy Polling September 27-30 | 37% | 47% | 5% | 11% | +/-3.1 | 981 | |||||||||||||
Civitas Institute September 18-19 | 38% | 49% | 2% | 9% | +/-4 | 600 | |||||||||||||
Public Policy Polling August 31–September 2 | 39% | 45% | 5% | 11% | +/-3.1 | 1,012 | |||||||||||||
Public Policy Polling August 2-5, 2012 | 38% | 45% | 7% | 11% | +/-3.4 | 813 | |||||||||||||
Civitas Institute July 16-18, 2012 | 37% | 47% | 6% | 10% | +/-4.0 | 600 | |||||||||||||
Public Policy Polling July 5-8, 2012 | 36% | 43% | 9% | 12% | +/-3.5 | 775 | |||||||||||||
Civitas Institute June 29 - July 1, 2012 | 44% | 46% | 7% | 3% | +/-4.2 | 558 | |||||||||||||
AVERAGES | 38.2% | 46.9% | 5.5% | 9.3% | +/-3.52 | 803.3 | |||||||||||||
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org. |
Between March 8th and 11th, Public Policy Polling surveyed 804 North Carolina voters. The respondents were give hypothetical match-ups between Pat McCrory and the Democratic candidates, and asked which of the two candidates they would vote for.[8]
Hypothetical match-ups for Governor of North Carolina | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bruce Blackmon | Walter Dalton | Bob Etheridge | Gardenia Henley | ||||||
Percent of the vote | 33% | 35% | 36% | 29% | |||||
Pat McCrory's percent of the vote | 48% | 46% | 46% | 49% | |||||
Undecided | 18% | 19% | 18% | 22% |
On April 10, 2012, Pulse Opinion Research, LLC, conducted a telephone survey of 500 likely voters in North Carolina on behalf of Rasmussen Reports. Similar to the Public Policy Polling survey cited above, respondents were given three separate hypothetical situations that matched presumptive Republican candidate Pat McCrory and three Democratic candidates and asked how they would vote in each if the election were held that day.[9]
Hypothetical match-ups for Governor of North Carolina | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Walter Dalton | Bob Etheridge | Bill Faison | |||||||
Percent of the vote | 36% | 35% | 30% | ||||||
Pat McCrory's percent of the vote | 45% | 46% | 47% |
Democratic candidates for Governor of North Carolina | |||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | Bruce Blackmon | Walter Dalton | Gary Dunn | Bob Etheridge | Bill Faison | Gardenia Henley | Undecided | Margin of error | Sample size | ||||||||||
John W. Pope Civitas Institute April 20-23, 2012 | 3% | 32% | 3% | 27% | 4% | 2% | 27% | +/-4.7 | 448 | ||||||||||
Public Policy Polling April 20-22, 2012 | 4% | 26% | 4% | 25% | 5% | 2% | 35% | +/-4.4 | 500 | ||||||||||
Public Policy Polling March 23-March 25, 2012 | 5% | 15% | 4% | 26% | 3% | 2% | 45% | +/-4.36 | 505 | ||||||||||
Public Policy Polling February 29-March 1, 2012 | 5% | 19% | 2% | 26% | 2% | 4% | 41% | +/-4.4 | 499 | ||||||||||
AVERAGES | 4.25% | 23% | 3.25% | 26% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 37% | +/-4.47 | 488 | ||||||||||
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org. |
Democratic candidates for Governor of North Carolina (Pre-filing deadline) | |||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | Walter Dalton | Bob Etheridge | Bill Faison | Dan Blue | Not sure | Margin of error | Sample size | ||||||||||||
Public Policy Polling February 3-5, 2012 | 22% | 25% | 6% | 7% | 40% | +/-4.9 | 400 | ||||||||||||
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org. |
Republican candidates for Governor of North Carolina | |||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | Jim Harney | Scott Jones | Jim Mahan | Pat McCrory | Charles Moss | Paul Wright | Undecided | Margin of error | Sample size | ||||||||||
Public Policy Polling March 22-25, 2012 | 2% | 1% | 3% | 64% | 2% | 0% | 28% | +/-4.1 | 561 | ||||||||||
Public Policy Polling February 29-March 1, 2012 | 3% | 2% | 2% | 57% | 1% | 0% | 35% | +/-4.8 | 411 | ||||||||||
AVERAGES | 2.5% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 60.5% | 1.5% | 0% | 31.5% | +/-4.45 | 486 | ||||||||||
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org. |
Democratic candidates: |
Republican candidates: Libertarian candidate: |
Walter Dalton[edit] |
Pat McCrory[edit] |
Republican Governors Association[edit]North Carolina Citizens for Progress[edit] |
The North Carolina State Board of Elections administers campaign finance laws and maintains all records online.
Walter Dalton Campaign Finance Reports | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Report | Date Filed | Beginning Balance | Total Contributions for Reporting Period | Expenditures | Cash on Hand | ||||
2012 First Quarter Report (Amended)[10] | June 15, 2012 | $590,298.28 | $657,847.68 | $(577,789.82) | $670,356.14 | ||||
Second Quarter Report[11] | July 11, 2012 | $670,356.14 | $1,053,979.05 | $(1,009,992.83) | $714,342.36 | ||||
Third Quarter Report[12] | October 20, 2012 | $714,342.36 | $1,434,293.91 | $(1,880,402.41) | $268,233.86 | ||||
Running totals | |||||||||
$3,146,120.64 | $(3,468,185.06) |
Pat McCrory Campaign Finance Reports | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Report | Date Filed | Beginning Balance | Total Contributions for Reporting Period | Expenditures | Cash on Hand | ||||
First Quarter Report[13] | April 27, 2012 | $2,049,467.25 | $1,697,563.05 | $(604,157.22) | $3,142,873.08 | ||||
Second Quarter Report[14] | July 11, 2012 | $3,142,873.08 | $2,221,250.20 | $(1,003,095.07) | $4,361,028.21 | ||||
Third Quarter Report[15] | October 20, 2012 | $4,361,028.21 | $5,017,072.66 | $(7,694,695.81) | $1,683,405.06 | ||||
Running totals | |||||||||
$8,935,885.91 | $(9,301,948.1) |
Barbara Howe Campaign Finance Reports | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Report | Date Filed | Beginning Balance | Total Contributions for Reporting Period | Expenditures | Cash on Hand | ||||
First Quarter Report[16] | April 27, 2012 | $238.03 | $16,725.00 | $(62.57) | $16,900.46 | ||||
Second Quarter Report[17] | July 11, 2012 | $16,900.46 | $5,694.60 | $(5,954.47) | $16,640.59 | ||||
Third Quarter Report[18] | October 20, 2012 | $16,640.59 | $108,910.68 | $(76,091.59) | $49,459.68 | ||||
Running totals | |||||||||
$131,330.28 | $(82,108.63) |
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