Mississippi |
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General election in Mississippi |
Date: November 8, 2016 2016 winner: Donald Trump Electoral votes: 6 2012 winner: Mitt Romney (R) |
Democratic primary |
Date: March 8, 2016 Winner: Hillary Clinton |
Republican caucuses |
Date: March 8, 2016 Winner: Donald Trump |
Down ballot races in Mississippi |
U.S. House Mississippi judicial elections Mississippi local judicial elections School boards Click here for more elections in Mississippi |
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Mississippi held an election for the president of the United States on November 8, 2016. Democratic and Republican primaries took place on March 8, 2016.
The candidate list below is based on an official list on the Mississippi secretary of state website. The candidate names below appear in the order in which they were listed on the official list—not necessarily the order in which they appeared on the ballot in November. Write-in candidates were not included in the list below.
U.S. presidential election, Mississippi, 2016 | |||||
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Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | Electoral votes | |
Democratic | Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine | 40.1% | 485,131 | 0 | |
Republican | Donald Trump/Mike Pence | 57.9% | 700,714 | 6 | |
Libertarian | Gary Johnson/Bill Weld | 1.2% | 14,435 | 0 | |
Green | Jill Stein/Ajamu Baraka | 0.3% | 3,731 | 0 | |
Constitution | Darrell Lane Castle/Scott Bradley | 0.3% | 3,987 | 0 | |
American Delta | Rocky De La Fuente/Michael Steinberg | 0.1% | 644 | 0 | |
Prohibition | Jim Hedges/Bill Bayes | 0.1% | 715 | 0 | |
Total Votes | 1,209,357 | 6 | |||
Election results via: Mississippi Secretary of State |
Ballotpedia identified 206 counties that voted for Donald Trump (R) in 2016 after voting for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012, in 34 states.[1] Collectively, Trump won these Pivot Counties by more than 580,000 votes, and had an average margin of victory of 11.45 percent. The political shift in these counties could have a broad impact on elections at every level of government for the next four years.
Below is an analysis of Mississippi's voting record in presidential elections. The state's accuracy is based on the number of times a state has voted for a winning presidential candidate. The majority of statistical data is from the U.S. National Archives and Records Administration and was compiled, here, by Ballotpedia, unless otherwise noted.
Between 1900 and 2016:
Below is the list of the most accurate states and the least accurate states when it comes to voting for the winning presidential candidate.
Most accurate states, 1900-2016 | |
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State | Percentage of accuracy |
Ohio | 93.33% (28 out of 30 elections) |
New Mexico | 88.89% (24 out of 27 elections) |
Nevada | 86.67% (26 out of 30 elections) |
Missouri | 86.67% (26 out of 30 elections) |
Illinois | 83.33% (25 out of 30 elections) |
Least accurate states, 1900-2016 | |
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State | Percentage of accuracy |
Washington, D.C. | 42.86% (6 out of 14 elections) |
Mississippi | 46.67% (14 out of 30 elections) |
Alabama | 51.72% (15 out of 29 elections) |
Georgia | 53.33% (16 out of 30 elections) |
South Carolina | 53.33% (16 out of 30 elections) |
In 1948, Harry S. Truman ran as a Democrat, Thomas E. Dewey ran as a Republican, and J. Strom Thurmond ran under the States' Rights Democratic Party, also known as the Dixiecrats. Thurmond won Alabama, Louisiana, Mississippi, and South Carolina.[3] In 1960, Harry F. Byrd (D), running against Richard Nixon (R) and John F. Kennedy (D), took six unpledged electoral votes in Alabama and one in Oklahoma. He did win Mississippi with eight electoral votes.[4][5] In 1968, Richard Nixon ran as the Republican, Hubert H. Humphrey ran as the Democrat, and George Wallace ran under the American Independent Party and won Alabama, Arkansas, Georgia, Louisiana, and Mississippi.[6]
*An asterisk indicates that that candidate also won the national electoral vote in that election.
U.S. presidential election, Mississippi, 2012 | |||||
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Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | Electoral votes | |
Democratic | Barack Obama/Joe Biden Incumbent | 43.8% | 562,949 | 0 | |
Republican | Mitt Romney/Paul Ryan | 55.3% | 710,746 | 6 | |
Libertarian | Gary Johnson/James Gray | 0.5% | 6,676 | 0 | |
Green | Jill Stein/Cheri Honkala | 0.1% | 1,588 | 0 | |
Constitution | Virgil Goode/Jim Clymer | 0.2% | 2,609 | 0 | |
Reform | Barbara Dale Washer/ Cathy L. Toole | 0.1% | 1,016 | 0 | |
Total Votes | 1,285,584 | 6 | |||
Election results via: Mississippi Secretary of State |
U.S. presidential election, Mississippi, 2008 | |||||
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Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | Electoral votes | |
Democratic | Barack Obama/Joe Biden | 43% | 554,662 | 0 | |
Republican | John McCain/Sarah Palin | 56.2% | 724,597 | 6 | |
Independent | Ralph Nader/Matt Gonzalez | 0.3% | 4,011 | 0 | |
Libertarian | Bob Barr/Wayne Allyn Root | 0.2% | 2,529 | 0 | |
Green | Cynthia McKinney/Rosa Clemente | 0.1% | 1,034 | 0 | |
Constitution | Chuck Baldwin/Darrell Castle | 0.2% | 2,551 | 0 | |
Reform | Ted C. Weill/Frank McEnulty | 0% | 481 | 0 | |
Total Votes | 1,289,865 | 6 | |||
Election results via: Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives |
The president of the United States is not elected by popular vote but rather by electors in the Electoral College. In fact, when Americans vote for president, they are actually voting for a slate of electors selected by members of Democratic and Republican state parties or nominated in some other fashion. Under this system, which is laid out in Article 2, Section 1, of the Constitution, each state is allocated one electoral vote for every member of their congressional delegation, meaning one for each member of the U.S. House and one for each of their two Senators.
In 2016, Mississippi had six electoral votes. Mississippi's share of electoral votes represented 1.1 percent of the 538 electoral votes up for grabs in the general election and 2.2 percent of the 270 votes needed to be elected president.
The U.S. Constitution does not dictate how presidential electors are to cast their votes, but, in general, electors are expected to vote for the winner of the popular vote in their state or the candidates of the party that nominated them to serve as electors. Electors who choose not to vote for the winner of the popular vote or the candidates of the party that nominated them are known as "faithless electors." Faithless electors are rare. Between 1900 and 2012, there were only eight known instances of faithless electors.
Several states have passed laws against faithless electors and require electors to vote for the winner of the popular vote in their state, for the candidate of the party that nominated them to serve as electors, or in accordance with any pledge they may have been required to make at the time of their nomination. In states with these types of laws, faithless electors can be fined or replaced, or their votes can be nullified.[8][9]
Mississippi was one of 31 states in 2016—including the District of Columbia—with a law seeking to bind the votes of presidential electors.
Below is a list of down ballot races in Mississippi covered by Ballotpedia in 2016.
Democrats:
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Republicans
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Hillary Clinton won the Mississippi Democratic primary, beating Bernie Sanders 83 to 17 percent. Clinton won every county in the state. She won Hinds County, Mississippi's most populous county, 84 to 15 percent.[10] Exit polls, a representative sampling of voters as they left their precinct polling stations, show that Clinton performed well with nearly every major demographic in the state. Some groups backed her by large margins. More than 80 percent of female voters, who made up an estimated 61 percent of the Democratic primary electorate in Mississippi, supported Clinton. Eighty-nine percent of African-American voters, who made up roughly 71 percent of the Democratic primary electorate, supported her.[11] In polling from February, Clinton led Sanders by upwards of 40 points, and she received endorsements from more than 50 Mississippi mayors and eleven-term Rep. Bennie Thompson (D), whose district includes the state capital of Jackson.[12] Clinton lost the state in 2008 to Barack Obama 37 to 61 percent.[13]
Donald Trump won the Mississippi Republican primary with 47 percent of the vote.[10] Ted Cruz came in second place with 36 percent, followed by John Kasich and Marco Rubio in third and fourth place, respectively. Trump carried all but seven of Mississippi's 82 counties. He carried Hinds County 40 to 33 percent over Cruz. Trump won most of Mississippi's major voting groups, including men, women and voters of all educational backgrounds and personal incomes. Cruz, who received an endorsement from Mississippi governor Phil Bryant (R), outperformed Trump with voters between the ages of 30 and 39 and voters who viewed themselves as "very conservative." Sixty percent of Republican primary voters in Mississippi felt that the next president should be "outside the establishment," and 87 percent said they were "angry" or "dissatisfied" with the federal government. Trump won pluralities with both of those groups.[11] Rick Santorum won the Mississippi Republican primary in 2012.[14]
Three other states also held primaries or caucuses on March 8: Hawaii, Idaho and Michigan.
Mississippi Democratic Primary, 2016 | ||||
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Candidate | Vote % | Votes | Delegates | |
Hillary Clinton | 82.5% | 187,334 | 31 | |
Bernie Sanders | 16.6% | 37,748 | 5 | |
Martin O'Malley | 0.3% | 672 | 0 | |
Roque De La Fuente | 0.2% | 481 | 0 | |
Willie Wilson | 0.4% | 919 | 0 | |
Other | 0% | 10 | 0 | |
Totals | 227,164 | 36 | ||
Source: Mississippi Secretary of State and The New York Times |
Mississippi Republican Primary, 2016 | ||||
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Candidate | Vote % | Votes | Delegates | |
Jeb Bush | 0.4% | 1,697 | 0 | |
Ben Carson | 1.4% | 5,626 | 0 | |
Chris Christie | 0.1% | 493 | 0 | |
Ted Cruz | 36.1% | 150,364 | 15 | |
Carly Fiorina | 0.1% | 224 | 0 | |
Lindsey Graham | 0% | 172 | 0 | |
Mike Huckabee | 0.3% | 1,067 | 0 | |
John Kasich | 8.8% | 36,795 | 0 | |
George Pataki | 0% | 135 | 0 | |
Rand Paul | 0.2% | 643 | 0 | |
Marco Rubio | 5.3% | 21,885 | 0 | |
Rick Santorum | 0.1% | 510 | 0 | |
Donald Trump | 47.2% | 196,659 | 25 | |
Totals | 416,270 | 40 | ||
Source: Mississippi Secretary of State and The New York Times |
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Democratic Party presidential primary polling (Mississippi) | |||||||||||||||||||
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Poll | Hillary Clinton | Bernie Sanders | Unsure or Other | Margin of Error | Sample Size | ||||||||||||||
Magellan Strategies February 29-29, 2016 | 65% | 11% | 24% | +/-4.5 | 471 | ||||||||||||||
Public Policy Polling February 14-16, 2016 | 60% | 26% | 14% | +/-4.3 | 514 | ||||||||||||||
Note: A "0%" finding means the candidate was not a part of the poll. The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org. |
Republican Party presidential primary polling (Nevada) | |||||||||||||||||||
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Poll | Donald Trump | Ted Cruz | Marco Rubio | John Kasich | Ben Carson | Unsure or Other | Margin of Error | Sample Size | |||||||||||
Magellan Strategies February 29-29, 2016 | 41% | 17% | 16% | 8% | 5% | 13% | +/-3.1 | 995 | |||||||||||
Note: A "0%" finding means the candidate was not a part of the poll. The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org. |
Mississippi had 41 delegates at the 2016 Democratic National Convention. Of this total, 36 were pledged delegates. National party rules stipulated how Democratic delegates in all states were allocated. Pledged delegates were allocated to a candidate in proportion to the votes he or she received in a state's primary or caucus. A candidate was eligible to receive a share of the state's pledged delegates if he or she won at least 15 percent of the votes cast in the primary or caucus. There were three types of pledged Democratic delegates: congressional district delegates, at-large delegates, and party leaders and elected officials (PLEOs). Congressional district delegates were allocated proportionally based on the primary or caucus results in a given district. At-large and PLEO delegates were allocated proportionally based on statewide primary results.[17][18]
Five party leaders and elected officials served as unpledged delegates. These delegates were not required to adhere to the results of a state's primary or caucus.[17][19]
Mississippi had 40 delegates at the 2016 Republican National Convention. Of this total, 12 were district-level delegates (three for each of the state's four congressional districts). Mississippi's district-level delegates were allocated on a proportional basis. The first place finisher in a district won two of that district's delegates while the second place finisher received one.[20][21]
Of the remaining 28 delegates, 25 served at large. At-large delegates were allocated on a proportional basis; a candidate had to win at least 15 percent of the statewide primary vote in order to be eligible to receive any of the state's at-large delegates. In addition, three national party leaders (identified on the chart below as RNC delegates) served as bound delegates to the Republican National Convention.[20][21]
Mississippi presidential election results (1900-2020)
Year | 1900 | 1904 | 1908 | 1912 | 1916 | 1920 | 1924 | 1928 | 1932 | 1936 | 1940 | 1944 | 1948 | 1952 | 1956 | 1960[22] | 1964 | 1968 | 1972 | 1976 | 1980 | 1984 | 1988 | 1992 | 1996 | 2000 | 2004 | 2008 | 2012 | 2016 | 2020 |
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Winning Party | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | SR[23] | D | D | D | R | AI[24] | R | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
Demographic data for Mississippi | ||
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Mississippi | U.S. | |
Total population: | 2,989,390 | 316,515,021 |
Land area (sq mi): | 46,923 | 3,531,905 |
Race and ethnicity** | ||
White: | 59.2% | 73.6% |
Black/African American: | 37.4% | 12.6% |
Asian: | 1% | 5.1% |
Native American: | 0.4% | 0.8% |
Pacific Islander: | 0% | 0.2% |
Two or more: | 1.2% | 3% |
Hispanic/Latino: | 2.9% | 17.1% |
Education | ||
High school graduation rate: | 82.3% | 86.7% |
College graduation rate: | 20.7% | 29.8% |
Income | ||
Median household income: | $39,665 | $53,889 |
Persons below poverty level: | 27% | 11.3% |
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2010-2015) Click here for more information on the 2020 census and here for more on its impact on the redistricting process in Mississippi. **Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here. |
Mississippi voted Republican in all six presidential elections between 2000 and 2020.
Ballotpedia identified 206 counties that voted for Donald Trump (R) in 2016 after voting for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012. Collectively, Trump won these Pivot Counties by more than 580,000 votes. Of these 206 counties, two are located in Mississippi, accounting for 0.97 percent of the total pivot counties.[25]
In 2020, Ballotpedia re-examined the 206 Pivot Counties to view their voting patterns following that year's presidential election. Ballotpedia defined those won by Trump won as Retained Pivot Counties and those won by Joe Biden (D) as Boomerang Pivot Counties. Nationwide, there were 181 Retained Pivot Counties and 25 Boomerang Pivot Counties. Mississippi had two Retained Pivot Counties, 1.10 of all Retained Pivot Counties.
More Mississippi coverage on Ballotpedia
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tag; name "rollcallvote" defined multiple times with different content
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