In 2010, elections were record-setting as Republicans picked up more than 660 seats with sweeping victories throughout the country. There were 6,125 seats contested in 2010. In 2011, 578 state legislative seats were up for regularly scheduled elections (Louisiana held elections for 25 undecided races on November 19, 2011). This was in addition to at least 90 special elections to fill vacancies that took place in 2011.
In the 50 states, there are 99 state legislative chambers altogether, and 8 of the 99 chambers held state legislative elections in November 2011.
Those eight chambers that held elections are the state senates and houses in the following states:
There were 171 of the country's 1,971 state senate seats up for election in November 2011, and 407 of the country's 5,413 state house seats were up for election. Altogether, 578 of the country's 7,384 state legislative seats were up for election in the off-election year.
Because Louisiana follows a unique elections schedule, three states held elections on the main 2011 date of November 8. A total of 434 seats were up for election in Mississippi, New Jersey and Virginia that night.
Before the election, Democrats held 287 of the 578 seats while Republicans controlled 285 seats. Republicans came out with 299 state legislative seats compared to the 250 seats Democrats won in the four states that held elections in 2011.
Heading into the 2011 elections, each political party controlled four chambers with November elections.
Partisan Balance of Chambers with 2011 Elections | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pre-election | Post-election | |||||
Legislative chamber | ||||||
State senates | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
State houses | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
Totals: | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
Partisan Balance of All 99 Chambers Before and After 2011 Elections | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pre-election | Post-election | |||||||
Legislative chamber | ||||||||
State senates | 19 | 29 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 29 | 2 | 1 |
State houses | 18 | 30 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
Totals: | 37 | 59 | 2 | 1 | 35 | 60 | 3 | 1 |
Of the 578 seats that were up for election, there were:
Thus, 49.7% of the seats were held by Democrats and, 49.3% by Republicans.
Overall, in the 50 states, Democrats controlled 37 chambers while Republicans were the majority in 59 chambers before the election. There were two chambers tied (Alaska State Senate and Oregon House of Representatives and one chamber that is nonpartisan (Nebraska State Senate).
After the election, Republicans gained control of 54.3% of the seats while Democrats controlled 45.4%.
Democrats controlled 35 total chambers while Republicans were the majority in 60 chambers. There were three tied chambers with the addition of the Virginia State Senate.
Partisan breakdown of state legislators in Louisiana, Mississippi, New Jersey and Virginia | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Before November 2011 election | After November 2011 election | ||||||||
Party | Senators | Representatives | Total state legislators | Senators | Representatives | Total state legislators | Gain/loss legislators | ||
87 | 200 | 287 | 79 | 180 | 259 | -23 | |||
83 | 202 | 285 | 94 | 226 | 320 | +26 | |||
0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -1 | |||
1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 |
Partisan breakdown of state legislators in all 50 states | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Before November 2011 election | After November 2011 election | ||||||||
Party | Senators | Representatives | Total state legislators | Senators | Representatives | Total state legislators | Gain/loss legislators | ||
879 | 2,454 | 3,333 | 875 | 2,439 | 3,310 | -23 | |||
1,028 | 2,912 | 3,940 | 1,032 | 2,926 | 3,966 | +26 | |||
53 | 12 | 65 | 53 | 11 | 64 | -1 | |||
2 | 9 | 11 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 0 |
In non-typical election years, voter turnout is lower than the usual presidential or mid-term elections. In October 2011, polls in the states that held elections in 2011 revealed a similar pattern emerging.[1]
An overview of the degree of competitiveness of the 2011 state legislative elections was conducted that examined three competitiveness factors:
According to our electoral competitiveness metric, the competitiveness ranking (from most to least) of the four states that held 2011 elections was as follows:
We arrived at these overall rankings by adding up the individual ranks from open seats, primary opposition, and major party general election challenge and then dividing by three.
Louisiana was the only state with term limits that held an election in 2011.
There were six state senators termed-out in 2011, making up 15.4% of the 39 state senate seats up for election in 2011.
There were ten state representatives termed-out in 2011, making up 9.5% of the 105 state representative seats up for election in 2011.
These 15 state legislators termed-out in 2011 made up 10.4% of the total legislative seats up for election in Louisiana.
In 2011, Democrats lost more seats in the state senate to term limits than Republicans
Here are the Louisiana Senators that were not eligible to run for election.
In 2011, Democrats lost more seats in the state house to term limits than Republicans or Independents.
These are the Louisiana representatives who were ineligible to run for re-election:
Partisan dominance in state legislatures heading into the 2011 state legislative elections |
The 2011 elections are the first general elections after redistricting, when each state's legislative redistricts are redrawn to account for updated population figures taken during the census.
Each state tackles redistricting in its own way -- some using commissions while still others simply vesting authority in the hands of the state legislators themselves. The process is historically contentious, with incumbents biding for a chance to protect their district -- typically referred to as gerrymandering.
The four states with elections in 2011 faced a stricter time restraint because they were required to have maps implemented in time for elections in 2011 -- whereas the 46 other states have until the 2012 elections to complete the job (unless an earlier deadline is mandated).
Party Impact in 2011
Prior to the 2011 elections, Republicans held the majority of seats in both chambers of the Louisiana State Legislature. During the elections, Democrats suffered more heavily from term limits than Republicans.
Chamber with limits | Majority party | Seats in chamber | Up for election in 2011 | Seats impacted by term limits | Party with most losses |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Louisiana: (Senate), (2011 elections) | 39 | 39 | 5 + 1 = 6 | ||
Louisiana: (House), (2011 elections) | 105 | 105 | 4 + 3 = 7 | ||
Totals: | (2) | 144 | 144 | 9 + 4 = 13 | 2 |
Impact on Party Control of Seats in 2010
After the 2010 election results were in, it was possible to see the effect that term limits had on party control of termed-out seats. While incumbents generally have an advantage in elections, elections for termed-out seats lack an incumbent running for re-election. In some cases, this preceded a change in party control of the termed-out seat.
Term-limited seats that changed party control in the 2010 elections | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
State | Senators Termed Out 2010 | Representatives Termed Out 2010 | Democratic Seats lost to other Parties - Senate | Republican Seats lost to other Parties - Senate | Democratic Seats lost to other Parties - House | Republican Seats lost to other Parties - House | Percent of Termed-Out Senate Seats that Changed Party | Percent of Termed-Out House Seats that Changed Party | Total Legislative Seats that Changed Party | |
Arizona | 10 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0 | |
Arkansas | 13 | 34 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 53.8% | 35.3% | 19 | |
California | 8 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0% | 11.1% | 2 | |
Colorado | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 12.5% | 1 | |
Florida | 7 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0 | |
Maine | 4 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 5, 1 | 2 | 25% | 40% | 9 | |
Michigan | 29 | 37 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 10.3% | 18.9% | 10 | |
Missouri | 10 | 52 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 10% | 11.5% | 7 | |
Montana | 15 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 13.3% | 26.7% | 6 | |
Nebraska | 1 | N/A[12] | 0 | 0 | - | - | 0% | - | 0 | |
Nevada | 4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0 | |
Ohio | 7 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0 | |
Oklahoma | 6 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 66.7% | 0% | 4 | |
South Dakota | 4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 25% | 25% | 3 | |
Total: | 121 | 254 | 19 | 0 | 34, 2 | 6 | 15.7% | 16.5% | 61 |
Elections were held in all 39 of Louisiana's senate districts on November 19, 2011.[13]
Louisiana's primary was held on October 22, 2011. If necessary, a general election runoff is scheduled for November 19, which is 11 days after the general election date for the majority of other states.
The Pelican State is a unique situation with respect to elections. Louisiana utilizes a "jungle primary" system in which a candidate can win election during the primary, if he/she receives more than 50 percent of the vote. Additionally, candidates of the same party can both advance to the general election, as the top-2 vote getters regardless of party advance if a runoff is needed.
Heading into the 2011 election, the partisan breakdown in Louisiana's two chambers is:
Louisiana State Senate | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | As of November 2011 | After the 2011 Election | |
Democratic Party | 17 | 15 | |
Republican Party | 22 | 24 | |
Total | 39 | 39 |
Louisiana House of Representatives | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | As of November 2011 | After the 2011 Election | |
Democratic Party | 46 | 45 | |
Republican Party | 57 | 58 | |
Independent | 2 | 2 | |
Total | 105 | 105 |
2007 was the last year that the state senate and state house held elections. In that year, the state senate had 90 candidates and raised a total of $18,266,324 in campaign contributions. The state house had 292 candidates running for office who raised a total of $23,068,639 in campaign contributions.
The top 10 donors were:[14]
Donor | Amount |
---|---|
Leach Jr., Claude (Buddy) | $293,669 |
Senate Democratic Campaign Cmte of Louisiana | $249,598 |
Leach, Claude Buddy | $237,000 |
Louisiana Republican Party | $230,380 |
Quinn, Patrick & Julie | $230,000 |
Peacock, Barrow | $229,782 |
Jack Donahue | $205,000 |
John A. Alario, Jr. | $200,000 |
Louisiana Republican Legislative Delegation Campaign Cmte | $185,000 |
Louisiana Association of Business & Industry | $174,344 |
The top 10 donors were:[15]
Donor | Amount |
---|---|
Louisiana House Democratic Campaign Cmte | $464,391 |
Leblank, Patrick L | $381,647 |
Louisiana Association of Business and Industry | $328,662 |
Louisiana Republican Legislative Delegation Campaign Cmte | $317,500 |
Brown, Troy | $276,738 |
Scott Simon | $201,288 |
Louisiana Manufacturers Association | $182,513 |
Louisiana State Farm Agents | $170,750 |
Crescent River Port Pilots Association | $168,650 |
Aycock, Michelle | $160,134 |
On September 12, 2011, Louisiana news organization Bayou Buzz issued a report on the top five Louisiana Senate races to watch. They are as follows:[16]
Elections were held in all 52 of Mississippi's senate districts on November 8, 2011.
The signature filing deadline was on June 1. Mississippi's primary was held on August 2, 2011.
On March 17, the NAACP filed an injunction to prevent elections from being held in 2011. The group alleges that the redistricting process has not produced maps that are current to reflect new population figures.[17][18] A mid-May court ruling ordered the elections proceed under the existing districts, with redistricting taken up again in 2012.
Whether special elections would be ordered in 2012 once redistricting was complete was left undecided by the court.
The Democratic Party has controlled the Mississippi House of Representatives since Reconstruction. This fall may present the first opportunity for the GOP to capture the chamber. Democrats have a 13-seat advantage heading into the election. In the 2010 elections Republicans enjoyed sweeping gains across the country and in particular in southern states. According to an August 2011 Wall Street Journal article, Republicans have identified 21 House seats to target on November 8, 2011. Tim Saler, executive director of the state GOP, said the party plans to spend more than $1 million supporting candidates.[19] Meanwhile, Richard Wilbourn, an attorney, is leading a tea party effort called "Move the House" to help candidates in Democratic-held districts where Governor Haley Barbour received at least 50 percent in 2007.[20]
Heading into the 2011 election, the partisan breakdown in Mississippi's two chambers is:
Mississippi State Senate | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | As of November 2011 | After the 2011 Election | |
Democratic Party | 24 | 21 | |
Republican Party | 27 | 31 | |
Vacancy | 1 | 0 | |
Total | 52 | 52 |
Mississippi House of Representatives | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | As of November 2011 | After the 2011 Election | |
Democratic Party | 68 | 58 | |
Republican Party | 54 | 64 | |
Total | 122 | 122 |
2007 was the last year that the state senate and state house held elections. In that year, the 119 candidates for state senate raised a total of $5,740,791 in campaign contributions. The 253 candidates for state house raised a total of $6,201,617 in campaign contributions.
The top 10 contributors were:[21]
Donor | Amount |
---|---|
Lawyers Involved for Mississippi Betterment | $242,696 |
Mississippi Republican Party | $175,000 |
Billy Hudson | $120,000 |
Mississippi Bankers Association | $96,170 |
Improve Mississippi | $94,540 |
Mississippi Hospital Association | $94,500 |
Home Builders Association of Mississippi | $75,700 |
Mississippi Medical Association | $74,000 |
Mississippi Association of Realtors | $69,950 |
AT&T | $53,400 |
The top 10 donors were:[22]
Donor | Amount |
---|---|
Mississippi House Democratic Leadership | $343,247 |
Mississippi Republican Party | $248,791 |
Mississippi Association of Realtors | $113,200 |
Mississippi Medical Association | $111,200 |
Reeves, John | $106,730 |
Lawyers Involved for Mississippi Betterment | $99,503 |
AT&T | $91,809 |
Mississippi Bankers Association | $90,500 |
Mississippi Hospital Association | $86,250 |
Improve Mississippi | $85,467 |
Elections were held in all 40 of New Jersey's senate districts on November 8, 2011. The primary election filing deadline for all candidates was April 11, at 4 p.m.[23]
Of the possible competitive seats, the most heavily watched appears to be in District 38, where Democratic incumbents Robert Gordon (State Senator), Connie Wagner and Timothy Eustace (Assembly members) defend their seats in races that have combined to raise the most campaign contributions in history for a single district -- $3.6 million. The final figure is expected to be above $4 million.[24]
New Jersey's primary was held on June 7, 2011. Third party candidates were added to the New Jersey Department of State's Senate (dead link) and General Assembly (dead link) candidate lists on June 7. This information is reflected on the New Jersey State Senate and New Jersey General Assembly election pages.
New Jersey has 40 legislative districts, leaving 80 possible primaries in each chamber -- 40 Democratic and 40 Republican. In the Senate, a primary is "contested" when at least two candidates are competing for their respective party’s nomination. In the General Assembly, a contested primary features at least 3 candidates since the top-2 vote getters advance to the general election.
There were only 9 contested primaries out of the 80 primaries in the Senate. In the General Assembly, only 15 of the 80 primaries were contested. All told, only 24 out of the 160 primaries on June 7 (15%) required voters to choose between multiple candidates. In the remaining 136 primaries (85%), the candidate (or candidates in the New Jersey General Assembly) automatically advanced to the general election.
Comparing Contested Primaries of past three NJ Elections | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democrats | Republicans | Total | |||||||
2007 | 2009 | 2011 | 2007 | 2009 | 2011 | 2007 | 2009 | 2011 | |
Open contested | 4 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 12 |
Open uncontested | 36 | 15 | 29 | 46 | 17 | 40 | 82 | 32 | 69 |
Incumbent contested | 7 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 12 |
Incumbent uncontested | 33 | 16 | 38 | 20 | 7 | 25 | 53 | 23 | 63 |
Total contested | 11 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 23 | 24 |
Total uncontested | 69 | 31 | 67 | 66 | 24 | 65 | 135 | 55 | 132 |
No Candidates | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 4 |
Note: In 2009, only the General Assembly held elections. Senators are elected to four-year terms (except in the year after redistricting, like 2011, when they receive two-year terms).
As of March 23, the voter registration totals in New Jersey are as follows:[25]
Unaffiliated | Democratic Party | Republican Party | Green Party | Libertarian Party | Reform Party | Constitution Party | Natural Law Party | Conservative Party | TOTAL | |
Registered Voters | 2,405,665 | 1,729,807 | 1,055,475 | 1,008 | 1,441 | 63 | 138 | 31 | 337 | 5,193,965 |
% of all voters | 46.32% | 33.30% | 20.32% | 0.02% | 0.03% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.01% | 100% |
The last time both chambers held elections -- in 2007 -- a total of 1,546,701 ballots were cast out of the 4,787,102 registered voters. Thus, turnout was 32% in the 2007 elections. Heading into the 2011 election, the partisan breakdown in New Jersey's two chambers is:
New Jersey State Senate | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | As of November 2011 | After the 2011 Election | |
Democratic Party | 24 | 24 | |
Republican Party | 16 | 16 | |
Total | 40 | 40 |
New Jersey General Assembly | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | As of November 2011 | After the 2011 Election | |
Democratic Party | 47 | 48 | |
Republican Party | 33 | 32 | |
Total | 80 | 80 |
2007 was the last year that the state senate and state house both held elections. In that year, the state senate had 98 candidates and raised a total of $30,156,484 in campaign contributions. The state house had 204 candidates who raised a total of $26,388,602 in campaign contributions.
The top 10 donors were:[26]
Donor | Amount |
---|---|
Senate Democratic Majority of New Jersey | $2,274,904 |
Public Fund | $1,285,395 |
Union City First | $870,637 |
Choice for Change | $461,800 |
Hudson County Democratic Organization | $409,971 |
New Jersey Republican Party | $291,187 |
New Jersey Democratic Party | $275,591 |
Genovese, Gina | $235,000 |
Manzo, Louis M | $224,293 |
Steven Oroho | $213,500 |
The top 10 donors were:[27]
Donor | Amount |
---|---|
Public Fund | $2,687,684 |
Panter & Mallet for Assembly | $935,740 |
Hudson County Democratic Organization | $803,942 |
New Jersey Republican Party | $573,008 |
New Jersey Regional Council of Carpenters | $269,750 |
New Jersey Association of Realtors | $268,700 |
New Jersey State Laborers | $248,850 |
New Jersey Business & Industry Association | $205,735 |
New Jersey Education Association | $194,885 |
Plumbers & Pipefitters Local 9 | $191,950 |
Elections were held in all 40 of Virginia's senate districts on November 8, 2011.[28]
The signature filing deadline for Democratic and Republican candidates was June 15, 2011 at 5 p.m.[29]
Virginia's primary was rescheduled to August 23, 2011 instead of its usual date of June 14, 2011[30][31].[32]
Heading into the 2011 election, the partisan breakdown in Virginia's two chambers is:
Virginia State Senate | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | As of November 2011 | After the 2011 Election | |
Democratic Party | 22 | 20 | |
Republican Party | 18 | 20 | |
Total | 40 | 40 |
Virginia House of Delegates | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | As of November 2011 | After the 2011 Election | |
Democratic Party | 39 | 32 | |
Republican Party | 58 | 67 | |
Independent | 2 | 1 | |
Vacancy | 1 | 0 | |
Total | 100 | 100 |
The total number of contested primaries has remained low from 2007 to 2011.
Comparing Contested Primaries in Past VA Senate Elections | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democrats | Republicans | Total | ||||
2007 | 2011 | 2007 | 2011 | 2007 | 2011 | |
Open contested | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 8 |
Incumbent contested | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
Total contested | 3 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 9 |
There are a total of 40 districts in the Virginia State Senate, meaning that normally there would be 80 primaries. However, some districts use a caucus or convention rather than a primary to decide which candidate to send to the general election. 17 out of the 80 potential primaries decide on a candidate this way, leaving 63 which use primaries. Of these 63 primaries, only 9 are contested (14.3%).
The following district/party combinations do not use a primary.
Democrats: Districts 7, 12, 13, 15, 21, 24, 25, 26, 27, 38, 39
Republicans: Districts 6, 17, 25, 29, 38, 40
The total number of contested primaries has remained low from 2009 to 2011.
Comparing Contested Primaries in Past VA House Elections | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democrats | Republicans | Total | ||||
2009 | 2011 | 2009 | 2011 | 2009 | 2011 | |
Open contested | 6 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 6 |
Incumbent contested | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
Total contested | 8 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 7 |
There are a total of 100 districts in the Virginia House of Delegates, meaning that normally there would be 200 primaries. However, some districts use a caucus or convention rather than a primary to decide which candidate to send to the general election. 39 out of the 200 potential primaries decide on a candidate this way, leaving 161 which use primaries. Of these 161 primaries, only 7 are contested (4.3%).
The following district/party combinations do not use a primary.
Democrats: Districts 2, 3, 4, 9, 10, 13, 15, 16, 18, 20, 21, 25, 31, 32, 33, 50, 51, 56, 57, 59, 67, 72, 73, 81, 82, 83, 84, 85, 86, 98
Republicans: Districts 1, 3, 15, 26, 47, 59, 64, 75, 88
2007 was the last year that the state senate and state house both held elections. In that year, the 77 candidates for state senate raised a total of $31,534,141 in campaign contributions. The 156 candidates for state house raised a total of $32,931,206 in campaign contributions.
The top 10 donors were:[33]
Donor | Amount |
---|---|
Democratic Party of Virginia | $2,472,021 |
Virginia Senate Democratic Caucus | $1,351,536 |
Virginia Senate Republican Leadership Trust | $1,333,782 |
Moving Virginia Forward | $914,467 |
Tom Davis for Congress | $784,635 |
Republican Party of Virginia | $760,699 |
Citizens for the Commonwealth | $475,000 |
Rensin, David | $394,500 |
Republican State Leadership Cmte | $327,221 |
Holtzman, William B | $308,747 |
The top 10 donors were:[34]
Donor | Amount |
---|---|
Democratic Party of Virginia | $2,187,401 |
Virginia House Democratic Caucus | $1,816,227 |
Republican Party of Virginia | $1,297,018 |
Dominion Leadership Trust | $794,000 |
Moving Virginia Forward | $429,990 |
Virginia Association of Realtors | $401,466 |
Dominion | $311,254 |
House Republican Campaign Cmte | $290,487 |
Virginia Bankers Association | $283,172 |
Virginia Automobile & Truck Dealers Association | $281,841 |
|