United States House elections in Oregon (May 15, 2018 Democratic primaries)
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May 15, 2018 |
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The 2018 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Oregon took place on November 6, 2018. Voters elected five candidates to serve in the U.S. House, one from each of the state's five congressional districts. This page focuses on the Democratic Party primary election taking place in each district on May 15, 2018.
Candidates[edit]
District 1[edit]
Democratic primary candidates
- Suzanne Bonamici (Incumbent) ✔
- Ricky Barajas
- Michael Stansfield
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
District 2[edit]
Democratic primary candidates
Did not make the ballot:
District 3[edit]
Democratic primary candidates
- Earl Blumenauer (Incumbent) ✔
- Eric Hafner
- Ben Lavine
- Charles Rand Barnett
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
District 4[edit]
Democratic primary candidates
- Peter DeFazio (Incumbent) ✔
- Daniel Arcangel
District 5[edit]
Democratic primary candidates
- Kurt Schrader (Incumbent) ✔
- Peter Wright
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
Pivot Counties[edit]
- See also: Pivot Counties by state
Two of 36 Oregon counties—5.6 percent—are Pivot Counties. Pivot Counties are counties that voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012 and for Donald Trump (R) in 2016. Altogether, the nation had 206 Pivot Counties, with most being concentrated in upper midwestern and northeastern states.
| Counties won by Trump in 2016 and Obama in 2012 and 2008 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| County | Trump margin of victory in 2016 | Obama margin of victory in 2012 | Obama margin of victory in 2008 | ||||
| Columbia County, Oregon | 11.46% | 5.16% | 12.02% | ||||
| Tillamook County, Oregon | 5.58% | 4.86% | 9.89% | ||||
In the 2016 presidential election, Hillary Clinton (D) won Oregon with 50.1 percent of the vote. Donald Trump (R) received 39.1 percent. In presidential elections between 1900 and 2016, Oregon cast votes for the winning presidential candidate 73.3 percent of the time. In that same time frame, Oregon supported Republican candidates for president more often than Democratic candidates, 56.7 to 43.3 percent. The state, however, favored Democrats in every election between between 2000 and 2016.
Presidential results by legislative district[edit]
The following table details results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections by state House districts in Oregon. Click [show] to expand the table. The "Obama," "Romney," "Clinton," and "Trump" columns describe the percent of the vote each presidential candidate received in the district. The "2012 Margin" and "2016 Margin" columns describe the margin of victory between the two presidential candidates in those years. The "Party Control" column notes which party held that seat heading into the 2018 general election. Data on the results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections broken down by state legislative districts was compiled by Daily Kos.[1][2]
| In 2012, Barack Obama (D) won 39 out of 60 state House districts in Oregon with an average margin of victory of 26.9 points. In 2016, Hillary Clinton (D) won 36 out of 60 state House districts in Oregon with an average margin of victory of 31.6 points. Clinton won four districts controlled by Republicans heading into the 2018 elections. |
| In 2012, Mitt Romney (R) won 21 out of 60 state House districts in Oregon with an average margin of victory of 20.3 points. In 2016, Donald Trump (R) won 24 out of 60 state House districts in Oregon with an average margin of victory of 24 points. Trump won three districts controlled by Democrats heading into the 2018 elections. |
| 2016 presidential results by state House district | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| District | Obama | Romney | 2012 Margin | Clinton | Trump | 2016 Margin | Party Control |
| 1 | 37.15% | 59.91% | R+22.8 | 30.45% | 63.42% | R+33 | R |
| 2 | 35.86% | 61.05% | R+25.2 | 27.65% | 65.58% | R+37.9 | R |
| 3 | 38.59% | 58.64% | R+20.1 | 32.16% | 60.97% | R+28.8 | R |
| 4 | 34.06% | 63.51% | R+29.4 | 27.52% | 66.33% | R+38.8 | R |
| 5 | 60.76% | 35.69% | D+25.1 | 58.86% | 33.66% | D+25.2 | D |
| 6 | 43.64% | 53.69% | R+10 | 40.10% | 52.36% | R+12.3 | R |
| 7 | 40.94% | 55.86% | R+14.9 | 32.79% | 59.77% | R+27 | R |
| 8 | 68.36% | 28.03% | D+40.3 | 65.84% | 26.50% | D+39.3 | D |
| 9 | 49.44% | 47.54% | D+1.9 | 40.23% | 52.56% | R+12.3 | D |
| 10 | 55.67% | 41.16% | D+14.5 | 47.25% | 45.02% | D+2.2 | D |
| 11 | 55.39% | 41.57% | D+13.8 | 50.86% | 41.87% | D+9 | D |
| 12 | 56.62% | 40.21% | D+16.4 | 49.34% | 41.70% | D+7.6 | D |
| 13 | 63.69% | 32.89% | D+30.8 | 62.35% | 29.39% | D+33 | D |
| 14 | 57.20% | 40.05% | D+17.1 | 51.09% | 40.77% | D+10.3 | D |
| 15 | 44.80% | 52.00% | R+7.2 | 39.46% | 51.33% | R+11.9 | R |
| 16 | 68.67% | 27.22% | D+41.4 | 69.48% | 20.98% | D+48.5 | D |
| 17 | 36.23% | 60.65% | R+24.4 | 27.71% | 64.47% | R+36.8 | R |
| 18 | 38.39% | 59.05% | R+20.7 | 33.45% | 58.97% | R+25.5 | R |
| 19 | 44.87% | 52.96% | R+8.1 | 42.46% | 50.19% | R+7.7 | R |
| 20 | 50.99% | 46.50% | D+4.5 | 49.71% | 42.02% | D+7.7 | D |
| 21 | 57.81% | 39.39% | D+18.4 | 53.19% | 38.56% | D+14.6 | D |
| 22 | 54.27% | 42.99% | D+11.3 | 52.07% | 40.38% | D+11.7 | D |
| 23 | 43.15% | 54.01% | R+10.9 | 36.74% | 55.52% | R+18.8 | R |
| 24 | 47.77% | 49.67% | R+1.9 | 44.83% | 46.73% | R+1.9 | R |
| 25 | 43.43% | 54.28% | R+10.8 | 40.87% | 50.61% | R+9.7 | R |
| 26 | 49.24% | 48.65% | D+0.6 | 51.80% | 40.43% | D+11.4 | R |
| 27 | 62.96% | 34.72% | D+28.2 | 66.84% | 25.48% | D+41.4 | D |
| 28 | 59.90% | 37.33% | D+22.6 | 59.87% | 31.58% | D+28.3 | D |
| 29 | 54.53% | 42.09% | D+12.4 | 52.00% | 38.65% | D+13.4 | D |
| 30 | 56.91% | 40.02% | D+16.9 | 57.59% | 33.00% | D+24.6 | D |
| 31 | 52.12% | 44.60% | D+7.5 | 44.06% | 47.64% | R+3.6 | D |
| 32 | 52.75% | 44.09% | D+8.7 | 45.64% | 46.09% | R+0.5 | D |
| 33 | 65.90% | 31.83% | D+34.1 | 72.64% | 20.98% | D+51.7 | D |
| 34 | 63.85% | 33.25% | D+30.6 | 67.22% | 24.53% | D+42.7 | D |
| 35 | 60.70% | 36.93% | D+23.8 | 63.83% | 28.39% | D+35.4 | D |
| 36 | 79.34% | 17.38% | D+62 | 82.77% | 11.05% | D+71.7 | D |
| 37 | 52.79% | 45.42% | D+7.4 | 57.22% | 35.31% | D+21.9 | R |
| 38 | 65.77% | 32.10% | D+33.7 | 71.88% | 22.01% | D+49.9 | D |
| 39 | 42.78% | 55.07% | R+12.3 | 38.83% | 54.39% | R+15.6 | R |
| 40 | 53.15% | 44.33% | D+8.8 | 49.14% | 42.74% | D+6.4 | D |
| 41 | 70.80% | 26.25% | D+44.5 | 70.28% | 22.34% | D+47.9 | D |
| 42 | 87.06% | 7.84% | D+79.2 | 87.10% | 6.08% | D+81 | D |
| 43 | 89.37% | 6.92% | D+82.5 | 89.00% | 5.40% | D+83.6 | D |
| 44 | 82.65% | 13.55% | D+69.1 | 81.66% | 11.41% | D+70.2 | D |
| 45 | 79.69% | 17.31% | D+62.4 | 80.42% | 13.55% | D+66.9 | D |
| 46 | 79.45% | 16.72% | D+62.7 | 80.06% | 13.10% | D+67 | D |
| 47 | 66.01% | 31.23% | D+34.8 | 63.57% | 29.15% | D+34.4 | D |
| 48 | 61.00% | 36.01% | D+25 | 59.27% | 32.83% | D+26.4 | D |
| 49 | 57.08% | 40.26% | D+16.8 | 51.57% | 40.49% | D+11.1 | D |
| 50 | 54.82% | 42.75% | D+12.1 | 51.27% | 41.12% | D+10.2 | D |
| 51 | 53.04% | 44.74% | D+8.3 | 50.91% | 41.90% | D+9 | D |
| 52 | 51.53% | 45.97% | D+5.6 | 46.57% | 45.78% | D+0.8 | R |
| 53 | 40.98% | 56.77% | R+15.8 | 39.36% | 53.26% | R+13.9 | R |
| 54 | 54.38% | 42.95% | D+11.4 | 55.64% | 35.94% | D+19.7 | R |
| 55 | 32.25% | 65.13% | R+32.9 | 24.43% | 69.92% | R+45.5 | R |
| 56 | 28.24% | 69.10% | R+40.9 | 23.76% | 69.30% | R+45.5 | R |
| 57 | 32.89% | 64.08% | R+31.2 | 27.24% | 65.33% | R+38.1 | R |
| 58 | 33.98% | 63.22% | R+29.2 | 27.37% | 65.78% | R+38.4 | R |
| 59 | 42.10% | 55.62% | R+13.5 | 36.82% | 56.07% | R+19.3 | R |
| 60 | 26.45% | 70.57% | R+44.1 | 20.38% | 73.39% | R+53 | R |
| Total | 54.64% | 42.46% | D+12.2 | 51.96% | 40.57% | D+11.4 | - |
| Source: Daily Kos | |||||||
See also[edit]
- United States House elections in Oregon (May 15, 2018 Republican primaries)
- United States House Democratic Party primaries, 2018
- United States House of Representatives elections, 2018
- U.S. House battlegrounds, 2018
- U.S. House primaries, 2018
Footnotes[edit]
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