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U.S. Senate, New Jersey |
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Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
Election details |
Filing deadline: April 2, 2018 |
Primary: June 5, 2018 General: November 6, 2018 Pre-election incumbent: Bob Menendez (Democrat) |
How to vote |
Poll times: 6 a.m. to 8 p.m. Voting in New Jersey |
Race ratings |
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Likely Democratic Inside Elections: Likely Democratic |
Ballotpedia analysis |
U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2018 |
See also |
U.S. Senate • 1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th • 5th • 6th • 7th • 8th • 9th • 10th • 11th • 12th New Jersey elections, 2018 U.S. Congress elections, 2018 U.S. Senate elections, 2018 U.S. House elections, 2018 |
Incumbent Sen. Bob Menendez (D) defeated former biopharmaceutical executive Bob Hugin (R) and six others in the general election on November 6, 2018, for New Jersey's Class 1 Senate seat.
Thirty-five of the 100 seats in the United States Senate were up for election in 2018, including two seats up for special election. Republicans gained four previously Democratic-held seats and Democrats gained two previously Republican-held seats, resulting in a net gain of two seats for the Republican Party and a 53-seat majority in the chamber. This race was identified as a 2018 battleground that might have affected partisan control of the chamber in the 116th Congress. At the time of the election, Republicans held a 51-seat Senate majority. Democrats held 47 seats, and the two independents caucused with them. Democrats faced greater partisan risk in 2018, as they were defending 26 seats while Republicans were only defending nine. Democrats had to defend seats in 10 states Donald Trump (R) won. The GOP defended one Senate seat in a state Hillary Clinton (D) won.
Menendez had held the seat since 2006 when he defeated Thomas Kean Jr. (R) by nine percentage points. Menendez won re-election in 2012 by a margin of 18 percentage points. New Jersey hadn't elected a Republican to the U.S. Senate since 1972. Several media and ratings outlets, however, suggested that the 2018 Senate race could be competitive.[1][2] NBC News added Menendez's seat to their "Top 10 Senate takeovers list" on October 3, 2018, and on October 4, 2018, The Cook Political Report changed its rating of the race from Likely Democratic to Lean Democratic.[3][4]
Third party and independent candidates included Tricia Flanagan (New Day NJ), Madelyn Hoffman (Green Party), Kevin Kimple (Make it Simple), Natalie Lynn Rivera (For the People), Murray Sabrin (L), and Hank Schroeder (Economic Growth).
For more information about the Democratic primary, click here.
For more information about the Republican primary, click here.
The following candidates ran in the general election for U.S. Senate New Jersey on November 6, 2018.
Candidate |
% |
Votes |
||
✔ |
|
Bob Menendez (D) |
54.0
|
1,711,654 |
|
Bob Hugin (R) |
42.8
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1,357,355 | |
|
Madelyn Hoffman (G) |
0.8
|
25,150 | |
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Murray Sabrin (L) |
0.7
|
21,212 | |
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Natalie Rivera (For the People Party) |
0.6
|
19,897 | |
|
Tricia Flanagan (New Day NJ Party) |
0.5
|
16,101 | |
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Kevin Kimple (Make it Simple Party) |
0.3
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9,087 | |
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Hank Schroeder (Economic Growth Party) |
0.3
|
8,854 |
Total votes: 3,169,310 (100.00% precincts reporting) |
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= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
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Incumbent Bob Menendez defeated Lisa McCormick in the Democratic primary for U.S. Senate New Jersey on June 5, 2018.
Candidate |
% |
Votes |
||
✔ |
|
Bob Menendez |
62.3
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262,477 |
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Lisa McCormick |
37.7
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158,998 |
Total votes: 421,475 | ||||
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Bob Hugin defeated Brian Goldberg in the Republican primary for U.S. Senate New Jersey on June 5, 2018.
Candidate |
% |
Votes |
||
✔ |
|
Bob Hugin |
75.1
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168,052 |
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Brian Goldberg |
24.9
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55,624 |
Total votes: 223,676 | ||||
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Party: Republican
Incumbent: No
Political office: None
Biography: Hugin earned a bachelor's degree from Princeton University. After graduation, he joined the United States Marine Corps where he served as an active duty infantry officer from 1976 to 1983 and continued to serve as a Reserve Officer from 1983 to 1990. Hugin earned an MBA from the Darden School of Graduate Business Administration at the University of Virginia. Hugin was an at-large delegate to the 2016 Republican National Convention from New Jersey.[5] He acted as Chairman and CEO of the Celgene Corporation at the time of his 2018 Senate bid.[6]
Party: Democratic
Incumbent: Yes
Political office: U.S. Senate (Assumed office: 2007); New Jersey's 13th Congressional District (1993-2006}; New Jersey State Senate District 33 (1991-1993); New Jersey General Assembly District 33 (1988-1991); Mayor of Union City (1987-1991)
Biography: Menendez earned a B.A. in political science from Saint Peter's College and a Jurisdoctor from Rutgers Law. Prior to his election to the U.S. Senate, Menendez served in the U.S. House of Representatives. He was first appointed to the Senate in 2006.[9][10]
U.S. Senate election in New Jersey | |||||||||||||||||||
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Poll | Poll sponsor | Menendez | Hugin | Sabrin | Unsure/Someone else/Wouldn't Vote | Margin of Error | Sample Size | ||||||||||||
Quinnipiac University (October 29 - November 4, 2018) | N/A | 55% | 40% | 0% | 5% | +/-4.0 | 1,115 | ||||||||||||
Stockton University (October 25-31, 2018) | N/A | 51% | 39% | 3% | 6% | +/-4.0 | 598 | ||||||||||||
Vox Populi Polling (October 27-29, 2018) | N/A | 54% | 46% | 0% | 0% | +/-3.4 | 814 | ||||||||||||
Emerson College (October 24-26, 2018) | N/A | 47% | 42% | 0% | 7% | +/-4.0 | 659 | ||||||||||||
Rutgers University (October 12-19, 2018) | N/A | 51% | 46% | 0% | 4% | +/-5.1 | 496 | ||||||||||||
Note: A "0%" finding means the question was not a part of the poll. The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org |
Click [show] to see older poll results | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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This section provides the PredictIt market prices for this race during the three months leading up to the election. PredictIt is a site where people make and trade predictions on political and financial events. Market prices reflect the probability, based on PredictIt users' predictions, that a candidate will win a race. For example, a market price of $0.60 for Candidate A is equivalent to a 60 percent probability that Candidate A will win.
The chart below contains data from financial reports submitted to the Federal Election Commission.
Name | Party | Receipts* | Disbursements** | Cash on hand | Date |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bob Hugin | Republican Party | $39,236,111 | $39,113,138 | $122,973 | As of December 31, 2018 |
Bob Menendez | Democratic Party | $9,579,191 | $11,003,884 | $219,432 | As of December 31, 2018 |
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," .
* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." |
Satellite spending, commonly referred to as outside spending, describes political spending not controlled by candidates or their campaigns; that is, any political expenditures made by groups or individuals that are not directly affiliated with a candidate. This includes spending by political party committees, super PACs, trade associations, and 501(c)(4) nonprofit groups.[12][13][14]
This section lists satellite spending in this race reported by news outlets in alphabetical order. If you are aware of spending that should be included, please email us.
Ballotpedia provides race ratings from three outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:
Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[24][25][26]
Race ratings: U.S. Senate election in New Jersey, 2018 | |||||||||
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Race tracker | Race ratings | ||||||||
October 30, 2018 | October 23, 2018 | October 16, 2018 | October 9, 2018 | ||||||
The Cook Political Report | Toss-up | Lean Democratic | Lean Democratic | Lean Democratic | |||||
Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales | Likely Democratic | Likely Democratic | Likely Democratic | Solid Democratic | |||||
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Likely Democratic | Likely Democratic | Likely Democratic | Likely Democratic | |||||
Note: Ballotpedia updates external race ratings every two weeks throughout the election season. |
This section lists noteworthy endorsements issued in this election, including those made by high-profile individuals and organizations, cross-party endorsements, and endorsements made by newspaper editorial boards. It also includes links to endorsement lists published on campaign websites, if available. Please note that this list is not exhaustive. If you are aware of endorsements that should be included, please email us.
Noteworthy general election endorsements | ||||||
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Endorsement | Menendez (D) | Hugin (R) | ||||
Newspapers and editorials | ||||||
Burlington County Times[27] | ✔ | |||||
The Philadelphia Inquirer[28] | ✔ | |||||
The Star-Ledger[29] | ✔ | |||||
Elected officials | ||||||
Former Bayonne Mayor Richard Rutkowski (D)[30] | ✔ |
This section shows advertisements released in this race. Ads released by campaigns and, if applicable, satellite groups are embedded or linked below. If you are aware of advertisements that should be included, please email us.
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Former U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton (D) headlined a fundraiser for Menendez in Jersey City on October 15, 2018. Proceeds from the event also benefitted Menendez's leadership PAC and the state Democratic committee.[32]
On October 6, 2018, the U.S. Senate voted to confirm the nomination of Judge Brett Kavanaugh to the U.S. Supreme Court. Fifty Senators voted to confirm Kavanaugh's nomination, 48 voted against, and Sen. Lisa Murkowski (R-AK) voted present. A simple majority was required to confirm Kavanaugh.[33]
Menendez voted against Kavanaugh's confirmation on October 6, 2018. Menendez released a statement after the vote, saying, “I’m frustrated that our nation's progress towards women’s rights, civil rights, LGBTQ equality and so much more could be stalled by a Justice that far right interest groups have groomed to do their bidding."[34]
Hugin said he would have voted to confirm Kavanaugh. Ten days before the vote Hugin said, "I think he's clearly an incredibly qualified, talented jurist... but I want to watch the hearings tomorrow." "I'll make a judgment after that," he said. On October 6, 2018, Hugin tweeted, "Based on everything I know now, I would support Judge Kavanaugh as Senator."[35][36]
These were the policy positions stated in interviews or listed on the candidates' websites, if available.
Menendez's campaign website stated the following:
“ |
Education As a product of public schools, federal loans and grants to become the first in his family with a college education, Bob understands how important it is to give every kid the chance at a first rate education. Bob will never stop fighting to ensure every child has access to early education, opportunities to attend quality public schools, and affordable secondary education. He also knows that we can’t reach these goals until we support schools, teachers, and parents to encourage young people to build a the skill-set needed to excel in the 21st century economy. Environment & Climate Change Bob has consistently fought for dramatic action to reduce the effects of climate change. He is a champion for protecting New Jersey’s beaches, coastal communities and green spaces. Bob is also focused on making New Jersey a leader in responsible renewable energy development to lower our dependence on fossil fuels, reduce greenhouse gas emissions and reinvigorate our workforce in the 21st century global economy. Creating Good Paying American Jobs Bob’s number one priority is creating more good paying jobs for the people of New Jersey. For too long through the economy has benefited the very top at the expense of the middle class. Bob is fighting for economic policies that increase wages, empower the middle class and small businesses, and foster social mobility. That means investments in infrastructure to put construction workers back to work, job training to make sure New Jersey has a skilled workforce for the jobs of the future, and tax policy that brings jobs back to American and penalizes outsourcing. Health Care Bob has always been committed to fighting for high-quality, affordable health care for all. As a senior member of the Senate Finance Committee that sets national health policy, Bob has championed legislation to help families meet the challenges of autism, fought to protect a woman’s right to quality health services, advocated for investments in research funding for New Jersey’s hospitals and universities, and has been a champion for community health centers that provide care to underserved communities. Bob stood up against the Republicans’ misguided attempts to strip health care from millions of Americans, and said NO to a plan that hiked premiums for middle-class and working people, gutted the guarantee of essential benefits, disproportionately hurt women and the disabled and forced the most vulnerable to pay for a massive tax cut for the richest among us. Bob will continue fighting to defend and improve the Affordable Care Act while building on its success by working across the aisle so that millions of Americans can receive affordable coverage. |
” |
—Bob Menendez for U.S. Senate[39] |
Hugin's campaign website stated the following:
“ |
Standing with Israel Bob considers Israel among our most valued allies and supports officially recognizing Jerusalem as the undivided capital of Israel, as well as the Administration’s recent decision to relocate the United States Embassy to the city. On a recent trip to Israel, Bob had the chance to meet with members of the Knesset as well as former Israeli Ambassador Michael Oren to discuss ways to strengthen the relationship between our two nations. He supports a continued Israeli-Palestinian peace process that results in a two-state solution where the Palestinians unambiguously recognize Israel’s right to exist. Bob considers Israel a beacon of democracy and innovation in the Middle East and throughout the world, and as Senator he will seek to strengthen our commitment to Israel and the Israeli people. Energy Independence Bob is a strong proponent of American energy independence and supports a multi-faceted energy strategy that includes more domestic production of oil and natural gas and continued support of nuclear power, which currently provides nearly 40% of New Jersey’s net electricity generation. He also backs smart investment in renewable energy sources like solar and wind. Bob opposes all drilling off the east coast. Period. It’s bad for the environment and the risk is far too high for our successful fishing and tourism industries. Immigration Reform Bob agrees with former President Ronald Reagan, who said: “A nation that cannot control its borders is not a nation.” We need to fix our immigration system in a comprehensive and compassionate way. That means securing our borders, opposing so-called Sanctuary Cities, and supporting law enforcement as they keep our communities safe. It also means creating a path to citizenship for Dreamers and immigrants who may not have come here legally, but are building productive and constructive lives in America. We are a nation of immigrants. A nation that is made better, fuller, and stronger by the diversity and talents of our people. Protecting the Homeland As a former United States Marine, Bob strongly supports putting in place measures that protect America from foreign terrorists who seek to do us harm. Bob will work with the President and leaders in both parties to enhance our vetting process and reform our visa and green card programs to ensure that our homeland is secure and our citizens are safe. National Defense Bob spent 14 years in the United States Marine Corps, seven on active duty and seven in the reserves. In the Senate, he will be a proponent of increased defense spending to ensure a highly-prepared, trained, and effective armed forces. Bob will also fight to bring additional key missions to Joint Base McGuire-Dix-Lakehurst, Picatinny Arsenal, and Naval Weapons Station Earle, as well as the Air National Guard 177th Fighter Wing at Atlantic City Airport and the US Coast Guard Training Center in Cape May. Bob will vigorously oppose any future Base Realignment and Closure (BRAC) that targets New Jersey’s military installations, which are imperative to our national defense and a major source of jobs and economic investment throughout New Jersey. Tax Relief While the new tax reform bill will deliver real relief for many New Jerseyans and help spur economic growth and job creation, the fact remains that New Jersey is a high-tax state unfairly impacted by the $10,000 cap on state and local tax (SALT) deductions. Bob will fight to eliminate the cap, and make the individual tax cuts permanent, so New Jersey taxpayers can realize meaningful long-term relief. Health Care Reform As a board member of one of the country’s most forward-looking hospital and integrated clinical care systems and the leader of a major biotech company, Bob will be a driving force in the Senate to move us past the divisive partisan fights on health care. As Senator, Bob will promote policies that actually fix the system for patients and doctors, driving down costs, increasing consumer choice, and encouraging innovation. Bob believes we need to address the increasing inequality of health outcomes and the social and economic issues impacting health care in our communities, while ensuring that high-quality care is accessible, affordable and delivers better value to all Americans. Bob will push for reforms that stop the system from discriminating against the sickest Americans and advocate for making payment systems based on value, performance and evidence-based approaches that provide transparency on cost and patient outcomes. For the last two decades, Bob’s leadership has resulted in countless breakthroughs in treatment and cures. He will use this expertise to promote policies that incentivize bold experimentation and innovation that can find cures and lower costs. Getting New Jersey’s Fair Share New Jersey is currently 50 out of 50 – dead last – in the amount of federal investment we get back from Washington for the tax dollars we send there each year. The new SALT cap only makes it worse. It’s unacceptable. Bob will work across party lines and use his decades of private sector business experience to secure expanded investment in New Jersey’s priorities like transportation infrastructure, our military bases, higher education, healthcare, and beach replenishment. Environment Bob is an avid boater, fisherman, and conservationist who believes that climate change is real and that humans play a role in it. Bob will work with people in both parties to safeguard our air and water, and encourage the President to enter into agreements that protect our environment, while ensuring they are fair deals for American taxpayers and businesses. Additionally, he will support policies that encourage technological innovation and growing our renewable energy sector so that America will be a leader in clean, affordable energy. Jobs & the Economy As someone who has grown a business and helped to create thousands of good paying jobs right here in New Jersey, Bob understands the need for innovative policies that encourage economic growth and make our state more attractive for employees and employers. New Jersey is a high cost state that is becoming increasingly unaffordable. Millennials – those aged 18 to 34 – are leaving our state at the highest rate in the country, decimating our state’s future workforce. Seniors and high earners are leaving New Jersey at a rapid pace, taking with them the capital we need to create new enterprises and the tax revenue we need to support critical government functions and charitable giving. The future Bob envisions for New Jersey is a bright one where our economy is growing, businesses small and large are thriving, and people have good paying jobs to support themselves and their families. He will use his decades of experience as a job creator to ensure that New Jersey’s economy is a robust 21st century economy where everyone has the opportunity to succeed and pursue their dreams. Restoring Honesty & Integrity to Government Incumbent Senator Bob Menendez has been severely admonished by the Senate Ethics Committee – a rare and bipartisan action taken by the Committee – for violating federal law and abusing his position. His indictment on federal bribery and corruption charges for taking lavish gifts from his convicted felon “best friend” was an embarrassment to New Jersey and underscores the need for raising the ethical standards of our public servants and strengthening anti-corruption laws in our federal government. Bob Hugin believes that Congress should be held to a higher standard. As Senator, he will not accept any gifts from anyone, nor will he accept a taxpayer-funded salary. He has also committed to putting all of his assets in a blind trust, which will be restricted to investment and mutual funds. Neither he nor the Trustee will have access to any information on any specific investments being made. Bob will work with non-partisan, good government watchdogs, and honest people on both sides of the aisle to close the loopholes in current law and act to restore faith and trust in our government by making sure corrupt politicians are held accountable and are forced to live by the same laws the rest of us do. Infrastructure New Jersey’s infrastructure is in dire shape. It’s damaging our economy and our quality of life. In spite of all the federal tax dollars New Jerseyans send to Washington, we are 50 out of 50 in investment back. That means we’re helping support infrastructure in other states while our roads and bridges are crumbling. Bob will fight for projects like Gateway, which includes the Portal North Bridge and Hudson Tunnel projects serving New Jersey, New York City and the entire Northeast Corridor. Bob has called on President Trump and leaders in both parties to stop the partisan finger-pointing and move these important priorities forward. Bob will be New Jersey’s champion in Washington fighting to make sure our federal tax dollars are invested here to modernize our infrastructure, which will improve our economy, make our roads, bridges and tunnels safer, and create good-paying, high-skill jobs. Term Limits There is something wrong when Congress has approval ratings in the teens, but Senate and House incumbents are re-elected upwards of 90% of the time. That is why as Senator, Bob will support and sponsor legislation to pass term limits for both Members of the House of Representatives and the United States Senate. Gerrymandering and the powers of incumbency have protected ineffective career politicians for too long. In an era of partisan gridlock, Bob believes term limits will encourage more bipartisan cooperation and compromise in Washington by removing the pressure of re-election for a significant number of lawmakers in either party each year. Cuba Bob believes the previous Administration’s unilateral policy shift gave the Castro regime an economic lifeline, while doing little to improve the everyday lives of the Cuban people – for whom Bob has great admiration and respect. Bob would do everything in his power to gain extradition of escaped convict Joanne Chesimard, who was the first woman ever named to the FBI’s Most Wanted Terrorist list for the cold-blooded murder of New Jersey State Trooper Werner Foerster during a routine traffic stop in 1973. North Korea As a Marine, Bob was deployed to South Korea and performed joint military training exercises with the South Korean military called Team Spirit. That experience and the fact that both of his sons are in the Marine Corps today, gives Bob a deep appreciation of the current situation on the Korean peninsula. The Clinton, Bush, and Obama Administrations all failed when it came to preventing North Korea from building a nuclear arsenal capable of striking our allies and even the United States, which is why Bob supports recent negotiation efforts to achieve denuclearization, peace in the region and a better life for the North Korean people. However, Bob believes that any deal made with North Korea must hold the regime accountable, and their compliance with all terms of the agreement must be continually verified. [38] |
” |
—Bob Hugin for U.S. Senate[40] |
Tweets by Bob Hugin Tweets by Bob Menendez
Click the icons below to visit the candidates' Facebook pages.
New Jersey features two congressional districts that intersect with one or more Pivot Counties. These 206 Pivot Counties voted for Donald Trump (R) in 2016 after voting for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012.
The 206 Pivot Counties are located in 34 states. Iowa, with 31, had the most such counties. Heading into the 2018 elections, the partisan makeup of the 108 congressional districts intersecting with Pivot Counties was more Republican than the partisan breakdown of the U.S. House. Of the 108 congressional districts that had at least one Pivot County, 63 percent were held by a Republican incumbent, while 55.4 percent of U.S. House seats were won by a Republican in the 2016 elections.[41]
U.S. Senate, New Jersey General Election, 2014 | ||||
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Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
Democratic | Cory Booker Incumbent | 55.8% | 1,043,866 | |
Republican | Jeff Bell | 42.3% | 791,297 | |
Libertarian | Joe Baratelli | 0.9% | 16,721 | |
Independent | Jeff Boss | 0.2% | 4,513 | |
Independent | Antonio N. Sabas | 0.2% | 3,544 | |
Democratic-Republican | Eugene Lavergne | 0.2% | 3,890 | |
Economic Growth | Hank Schroeder | 0.3% | 5,704 | |
Total Votes | 1,869,535 | |||
Source: New Jersey Division of Elections |
U.S. Senate, New Jersey, General Election, 2012 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
Democratic | Robert Menendez Incumbent | 58.9% | 1,987,680 | |
Republican | Joe Kyrillos | 39.4% | 1,329,534 | |
Libertarian | Kenneth R. Kaplan | 0.5% | 16,803 | |
Green | Ken Wolski | 0.5% | 15,801 | |
Jersey Strong Independents | Gwen Diakos | 0.3% | 9,359 | |
Totally Independent Candidate | J. David Dranikoff | 0.1% | 3,834 | |
America First | Inder "Andy" Soni | 0.1% | 3,593 | |
Responsibility Fairness Integrity | Robert "Turk" Turkavage | 0.1% | 3,532 | |
Socialist Party USA | Gregory Pason | 0.1% | 2,249 | |
No Slogan | Eugene Martin Lavergne | 0.1% | 2,198 | |
Reform Nation | Daryl Mikell Brooks | 0.1% | 2,066 | |
Total Votes | 3,376,649 | |||
Source: New Jersey Secretary of State "Official Election Results, 2012 General Election" |
The term wave election is frequently used to describe an election cycle in which one party makes significant electoral gains. How many seats would Republicans have had to lose for the 2018 midterm election to be considered a wave election?
Ballotpedia examined the results of the 50 election cycles that occurred between 1918 and 2016—spanning from President Woodrow Wilson's (D) second midterm in 1918 to Donald Trump's (R) first presidential election in 2016. We define wave elections as the 20 percent of elections in that period resulting in the greatest seat swings against the president's party.
Applying this definition to U.S. Senate elections, we found that Republicans needed to lose seven seats for 2018 to qualify as a wave election.
The chart below shows the number of seats the president's party lost in the 10 U.S. Senate waves from 1918 to 2016. Click here to read the full report.
U.S. Senate wave elections | ||||||
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Year | President | Party | Election type | Senate seats change | Senate majority[42] | |
1932 | Hoover | R | Presidential | -13 | D (flipped) | |
1958 | Eisenhower | R | Second midterm | -12 | D | |
1946 | Truman | D | First midterm | -10 | R (flipped) | |
1980 | Carter | D | Presidential | -9 | R (flipped) | |
2014 | Obama | D | Second midterm | -9 | R (flipped) | |
1942 | Roosevelt | D | Third midterm | -8 | D | |
2008 | George W. Bush | D | Presidential | -8 | D | |
1926 | Coolidge | R | First midterm[43] | -7 | R | |
1930 | Hoover | R | First midterm | -7 | R | |
1986 | Reagan | R | Second midterm | -7 | D (flipped) |
This section details the partisan control of federal and state positions in New Jersey heading into the 2018 elections.
New Jersey held elections for the following positions in 2018:
Demographic data for New Jersey | ||
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New Jersey | U.S. | |
Total population: | 8,935,421 | 316,515,021 |
Land area (sq mi): | 7,354 | 3,531,905 |
Race and ethnicity** | ||
White: | 68.3% | 73.6% |
Black/African American: | 13.5% | 12.6% |
Asian: | 9% | 5.1% |
Native American: | 0.2% | 0.8% |
Pacific Islander: | 0% | 0.2% |
Two or more: | 2.5% | 3% |
Hispanic/Latino: | 19% | 17.1% |
Education | ||
High school graduation rate: | 88.6% | 86.7% |
College graduation rate: | 36.8% | 29.8% |
Income | ||
Median household income: | $72,093 | $53,889 |
Persons below poverty level: | 12.7% | 11.3% |
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2010-2015) Click here for more information on the 2020 census and here for more on its impact on the redistricting process in New Jersey. **Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here. |
As of July 2016, New Jersey had a population of approximately 9 million people, and its three largest cities were New Jersey (pop. est. 283,000), Jersey City (pop. est. 265,000), and Paterson (pop. est. 147,000).[44][45]
This section provides an overview of federal and state elections in New Jersey from 2000 to 2016.
This chart shows the results of the presidential election in New Jersey every year from 2000 to 2016.
Election results (President of the United States), New Jersey 2000-2016[46] | |||||
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Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
2016 | Hillary Clinton | 55.5% | Donald Trump | 41.4% | 14.1% |
2012 | Barack Obama | 58.4% | Mitt Romney | 40.6% | 17.8% |
2008 | Barack Obama | 57.2% | John McCain | 41.7% | 15.5% |
2004 | John Kerry | 52.9% | George W. Bush | 46.2% | 6.7% |
2000 | Al Gore | 56.1% | George W. Bush | 40.3% | 15.8% |
This chart shows the results of U.S. Senate races in New Jersey from 2000 to 2016. Every state has two Senate seats, and each seat goes up for election every six years. The terms of the seats are staggered so that roughly one-third of the seats are up every two years.
Election results (U.S. Senator), New Jersey 2000-2016 | |||||
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Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
2014[47] | Cory Booker | 55.8% | Jeff Bell | 42.3% | 13.5% |
2012[48] | Bob Menendez | 58.9% | Joseph Kyrillos | 39.4% | 19.5% |
2008[49] | Frank Lautenberg | 56.0% | Dick Zimmer | 42.0% | 14.0% |
2006[50] | Bob Menendez | 53.3% | Thomas Kean Jr. | 44.3% | 9.0% |
2002[51] | Frank Lautenberg | 53.9% | Doug Forrester | 44.0% | 9.9% |
2000[52] | Jon Corzine | 50.1% | Bob Franks | 47.1% | 3.0% |
This chart shows the results of the five gubernatorial elections held between 2001 and 2017. Gubernatorial elections are held every four years in New Jersey, and, unlike most states, they take place in odd years.
Election results (Governor), New Jersey 2000-2016 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
2017[53] | Phil Murphy | 56.0% | Kim Guadagno | 41.9% | 14.1% |
2013[54] | Chris Christie | 60.3% | Barbara Buono | 38.2% | 22.1% |
2009[55] | Chris Christie | 48.5% | Jon Corzine | 44.9% | 3.6% |
2005[56] | Jon Corzine | 53.5% | Doug Forrester | 43.0% | 10.5% |
2001[57] | Jim McGreevey | 56.4% | Bret Schundler | 41.7% | 14.7% |
This chart shows the number of Democrats and Republicans who were elected to represent New Jersey in the U.S. House from 2000 to 2016. Elections for U.S. House seats are held every two years.
Congressional delegation, New Jersey 2000-2016 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | Republicans | Republicans (%) | Democrats | Democrats (%) | Balance of power |
2016[58] | 5 | 41.7% | 7 | 58.3% | D+2 |
2014[47] | 6 | 50.0% | 6 | 50.0% | Even |
2012[48] | 6 | 50.0% | 6 | 50.0% | Even |
2010[59] | 6 | 46.2% | 7 | 53.8% | D+1 |
2008[49] | 5 | 38.5% | 8 | 61.5% | D+3 |
2006[50] | 6 | 46.2% | 7 | 53.8% | D+1 |
2004[60] | 6 | 46.2% | 7 | 53.8% | D+1 |
2002[51] | 6 | 46.2% | 7 | 53.8% | D+1 |
2000[52] | 6 | 46.2% | 7 | 53.8% | D+1 |
A state government trifecta occurs when one party controls both chambers of the state legislature and the governor's office.
New Jersey Party Control: 1992-2021
Ten years of Democratic trifectas • Eight years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
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