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November 8, 2016 |
March 15, 2016 |
Rob Portman |
Rob Portman |
Cook Political Report: Lean R[1] Sabato's Crystal Ball: Likely R[2] Rothenberg & Gonzales: Lean R[3] |
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Voters in Ohio elected one member to the U.S. Senate in the election on November 8, 2016.
In one of Ballotpedia’s races to watch, incumbent Sen. Rob Portman (R) won re-election, defeating former Ohio Governor Ted Strickland (D), Joseph DeMare (G), Thomas William Connors (I), and Scott Rupert (I) in the general election on November 8, 2016.
In his victory speech, Portman said, “Americans don’t want to just rewind the tape and live through four more years of the same tired and self-defeating routine. They expect better...we are capable of better. There will never be a better moment than now to stop the dysfunction in Washington and find that common ground.”[4]
Portman ran a solid campaign in Ohio by focusing on local issues and avoiding much of the drama of the presidential election, while Strickland was hurt by controversial comments that he had to apologize for and by a lack of funding.[5][6]
The Wall Street Journal predicted that Portman’s get out the vote effort in Ohio would provide “reverse political coattails, with big stakes for Mr. Trump. Ohio has backed the presidential winners in the past 13 elections, and no Republican in modern history has won the White House without capturing Ohio.” Portman did indeed help Trump secure victory in Ohio. Portman won 58.3 percent of the vote, while Trump won 52.1 percent, a 6.2 percent difference.[7]
HISTORICAL FACTS | |
Candidate Filing Deadline | Primary Election | General Election |
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Primary: A primary election is an election in which registered voters select a candidate that they believe should be a political party's candidate for elected office to run in the general election. They are also used to choose convention delegates and party leaders. Primaries are state-level and local-level elections that take place prior to a general election. Ohio utilizes an open primary system. In an open primary system, a voter does not have to register with a political party beforehand in order to vote in that party's primary. In Ohio, voters select their preferred party primary ballots at their polling places on Election Day.[8][9][10][11]
Incumbent: The election filled the Class 3 Senate seat held by Rob Portman (R). He was first elected in 2010.
U.S. Senate, Ohio General Election, 2016 | ||||
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Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
Republican | Rob Portman Incumbent | 58% | 3,118,567 | |
Democratic | Ted Strickland | 37.2% | 1,996,908 | |
Independent | Thomas William Connors | 1.7% | 93,041 | |
Green | Joseph DeMare | 1.6% | 88,246 | |
Independent | Scott Rupert | 1.4% | 77,291 | |
N/A | Write-in | 0% | 111 | |
Total Votes | 5,374,164 | |||
Source: Ohio Secretary of State |
U.S. Senate Democratic Primary, 2016 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Vote % | Votes | ||
Ted Strickland | 65% | 742,676 | ||
P.G. Sittenfeld | 22.3% | 254,232 | ||
Kelli Prather | 12.7% | 144,945 | ||
Total Votes | 1,141,853 | |||
Source: Ohio Secretary of State |
U.S. Senate Republican Primary, 2016 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Vote % | Votes | ||
Rob Portman Incumbent | 82.2% | 1,336,686 | ||
Don Elijah Eckhart | 17.8% | 290,268 | ||
Total Votes | 1,626,954 | |||
Source: Ohio Secretary of State |
General election candidates: Ted Strickland Joseph DeMare Thomas William Connors Scott Rupert |
Primary candidates:[12] |
Democratic P.G. Sittenfeld - City Council member in Cincinnati, Ohio[13][15][16][14] Ted Strickland - Former Governor of Ohio[13][17][14] |
Republican Rob Portman – Incumbent[13][18][14] |
Third Party/Other Joseph DeMare (Green)[13][14] Scott Rupert [20] |
Not running: |
Withdrew: Melissa Rose Strzala (Not certified.)[13][21] |
Portman provided a reverse coattails effect for President Donald Trump. Portman won 58.3 percent of the vote, while Trump won 52.1 percent, a 6.2 percent difference.
A full breakdown of the Republican presidential and Senate races appears below.
*Ballotpedia identified the highlighted races as battleground races and races to watch. The vote percentages are from CNN and will be updated after the final results are released.
2016 Republican Presidential and Senate election results | |||
---|---|---|---|
State | Presidential candidate vote % | Senate candidate vote % | Vote % Difference |
Alabama | Donald Trump | Incumbent Richard Shelby | |
Totals | 62.9% | 64.2% | Shelby +1.3% |
Alaska | Donald Trump | Incumbent Lisa Murkowski | |
Totals | 53.3% | 43.8% | Trump +9.5% |
Arizona | Donald Trump | Incumbent John McCain | |
Totals | 49.5% | 53.4% | McCain +3.9% |
Arkansas | Donald Trump | Incumbent John Boozman | |
Totals | 60.4% | 59.8% | Trump +0.6% |
Florida | Donald Trump | Incumbent Marco Rubio | |
Totals | 49.1% | 52.1% | Rubio +3.0% |
Georgia | Donald Trump | Incumbent Johnny Isakson | |
Totals | 51.4% | 55.1% | Isakson +3.7% |
Idaho | Donald Trump | Incumbent Mike Crapo | |
Totals | 59.0% | 66.0% | Crapo +7.0% |
Indiana | Donald Trump | Todd Young | |
Totals | 57.2% | 52.2% | Trump + 5.0% |
Iowa | Donald Trump | Incumbent Chuck Grassley | |
Totals | 51.7% | 60.1% | Grassley +8.4% |
Kansas | Donald Trump | Incumbent Jerry Moran | |
Totals | 57.2% | 62.4% | Moran +5.2% |
Kentucky | Donald Trump | Incumbent Rand Paul | |
Totals | 62.5% | +57.3% | Trump +5.2% |
Louisiana | Donald Trump | Multiple Republican candidates | |
Totals | 58.1% | (Race not called) | - |
Missouri | Donald Trump | Incumbent Roy Blunt | |
Totals | 57.1% | 49.4% | Trump +7.7% |
North Carolina | Donald Trump | Incumbent Richard Burr | |
Totals | 50.5% | 51.1% | Burr +0.6% |
North Dakota | Donald Trump | Incumbent John Hoeven | |
Totals | 64.1% | 78.6% | Hoeven +14.5% |
Ohio | Donald Trump | Incumbent Rob Portman | |
Totals | 52.1% | 58.3% | Portman +6.2% |
Oklahoma | Donald Trump | Incumbent James Lankford | |
Totals | 65.3% | 67.7% | Lankford +2.4% |
Pennsylvania | Donald Trump | Incumbent Pat Toomey | |
Totals | 48.8% | 48.9% | Toomey +0.1% |
South Carolina | Donald Trump | Incumbent Tim Scott | |
Totals | 55.6% | 61.2% | Scott +5.6% |
South Dakota | Donald Trump | Incumbent John Thune | |
Totals | 61.5% | 71.8% | Thune +10.3% |
Utah | Donald Trump | Incumbent Mike Lee | |
Totals | 45.5% | 67.4% | Lee +21.9% |
Wisconsin | Donald Trump | Incumbent Ron Johnson | |
Totals | 47.9% | 50.2% | Johnson +2.3% |
California | Donald Trump | No Republican on the ballot | |
Totals | 33.3% | No Republican on the ballot | - |
Colorado | Donald Trump | Darryl Glenn | |
Totals | 44.8% | 45.8% | Glenn +1.0% |
Connecticut | Donald Trump | Dan Carter | |
Totals | 41.6% | 35.3% | Trump +6.3% |
Hawaii | Donald Trump | John Carroll | |
Totals | 30.1% | 22.2% | Trump +7.9% |
Illinois | Donald Trump | Incumbent Mark Kirk | |
Totals | 39.4% | 40.2% | Kirk +0.8% |
Maryland | Donald Trump | Kathy Szeliga | |
Totals | 35.3% | 36.4% | Szeliga +1.1% |
Nevada | Donald Trump | Joe Heck | |
Totals | 45.5% | 44.7% | Trump +0.8% |
New Hampshire | Donald Trump | Incumbent Kelly Ayotte | |
Totals | 47.2% | 47.9% | Ayotte +0.7% |
New York | Donald Trump | Wendy Long | |
Totals | 37.5% | 27.5% | Trump +10.0% |
Oregon | Donald Trump | Mark Callahan | |
Totals | 41.3% | 33.9% | Trump +7.4% |
Vermont | Donald Trump | Scott Milne | |
Totals | 32.6% | 33.0% | Milne +0.4% |
Washington | Donald Trump | Chris Vance | |
Totals | 37.7% | 39.2% | Vance +1.5% |
Totals | Trump's average win: 55.4% | Republican senators' average win: 58.6% | Republican senators +3.2% |
During the final debate on October 20, 2016, the candidates, once again, criticized each other for supporting the Republican and Democratic presidential nominees. They also discussed the heroin epidemic in Ohio. Portman cited his effort to get Congress to pass the Comprehensive Addiction and Recovery Act, which allocated money for addiction and recovery programs. Strickland, who had a family member die of addiction, said that he would advocate for better addiction treatment resources. The conflict in Syria was also discussed. According to Cleveland.com, “Portman said that more work needs to be done to end homegrown terrorism, and said that work begins with a better relationship with the Muslim American community.” Strickland said that he supported using drones to fight the Islamic State in Iraq and Syria and opposes using ground troops.[22][23]
In the second debate on October 17, 2016, Portman and Strickland clashed over Trump and Clinton, their records on trade, the minimum wage, and the Second Amendment. Strickland said that he supported increasing the federal minimum wage, while Portman “said he supports raising the federal minimum wage to match Ohio’s minimum wage of $8.10 an hour and then indexing it to inflation,” according to The Dayton Daily News. Both agreed that Congress needed to pass comprehensive immigration reform and do a better job addressing the heroin epidemic.[24] The full debate can be viewed here.
Portman and Strickland met in the first of three debates on October 14, 2016. During the debate, Portman and Strickland attacked each other on their political records and argued over the Republican and Democratic presidential nominees. Strickland criticized Portman for voting for previous trade deals that he said hurt Ohioans. Portman criticized Strickland for job losses in Ohio while he was governor. The full debate can be viewed here.[25][23]
On October 7, 2016, while speaking about education and charter schools in Ohio, Strickland said, “Now we have seen Ohio taxpayers raped by the charter school for-profit entities in this state and the e-school. It’s shameful, it is shameful, it’s an embarrassment.”[26]
On October 8, 2016, Strickland apologized for his choice of words, saying, "I should have said they were robbing taxpayers. I should have said they were cheating taxpayers. It was a poor choice of words. But the truth is, charter schools have been taking money out of our public schools, and they've been enriching Republican donors, and it's been shameful. … We are an embarrassment because even people who are strong advocates for charter schools understand the way they've been managed in Ohio has been pathetic. That's what I was trying to convey."[27]
According to Cleveland.com, “Strickland added there are good charter schools, he just meant to condemn Ohio's failure to regulate them properly, particularly for-profit charter schools and online schools.”[27]
Portman defeated Don Elijah Eckhart in the Republican primary on March 15, 2016. Strickland defeated Kelli Prather and P.G. Sittenfeld in the Democratic primary. Demare was unopposed in his party’s primary.[28]
Portman and Strickland both opposed the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP), a trade deal between the United States and 11 Asia-Pacific countries. The deal seeks to promote trade and strengthen the relationships between the 12 nations by reducing and eliminating tariffs, fostering competition, and creating greater opportunities for businesses. The countries involved have also agreed to promote environmental protection practices and enforce laws protecting workers. Congress has not voted on the final agreement.
On February 4, 2016, after the Obama administration signed the TPP, Portman issued a statement explaining that he opposed the trade deal in its current form. His major concerns were the deal’s currency manipulation provisions, the rules of origin for automobiles, and the lack of pharmaceutical industry protections. In a statement, he said, “I am disappointed that the President made the decision to have Ambassador Froman sign the TPP agreement in New Zealand. From currency manipulation, to rules of origin for automobiles, to protection for US biologics – we can do better. And we need to do better for the sake of American workers who are depending on the Administration to give them a level playing field. When it is fair, American workers can compete and win. I cannot support the TPP in its current form because it doesn't provide that level playing field. I will continue to urge the Obama administration to support American workers and address these issues before any vote on the TPP agreement.”[29]
Strickland criticized Portman’s stance on TPP, saying, “The difference between Senator Portman and myself when it comes to trade is clear: He voted for eight trade deals and I opposed them.”[30]
Portman has supported previous trade agreements, including the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA). He also helped negotiate and win passage of the Central American Free Trade Agreement (CAFTA).
Strickland promised to oppose “bad trade deals,” like the TPP, if elected. According to his campaign website, “In the U.S. Senate, I will continue opposing these kinds of bad, give-away trade deals -- like the most recent Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) that Congress fast-tracked last year with Senator Portman’s support.”[31]
Portman stated that he thinks the Senate should wait until after the 2016 election to hold a vote on the next Supreme Court justice.
“ | I want to thank Judge Garland for his service. We had a very cordial meeting, and I enjoyed the opportunity to meet him. As I have said previously, however, I believe the American people should have a voice in this debate. This is a lifetime appointment that could reshape the Supreme Court for generations, and I believe the best thing for the country is to trust the American people to weigh in.
Instead of having a nomination fight in this partisan election-year environment, I believe awaiting the result of the election will give the nominee more legitimacy and better preserve the Court’s credibility as an institution. This is the same position that Vice President Biden and Senators Harry Reid and Chuck Schumer have outlined in the past. After the election, I look forward to considering the nominee of our new president. Whether the American people elect a Republican or Democrat, I will judge his or her nominee on the merits, as I always have.”[32] |
” |
—Sen. Rob Portman[33] |
“ | The president has every right to nominate a Supreme Court justice, and I’m certainly willing to meet with his nominee. But the founders also gave the Senate the exclusive right to decide whether to move forward on that nominee. For the reasons Biden described above, it has been common practice for the Senate to stop acting on lifetime appointments during the last year of a presidential term, and it has been 80 years since any president was permitted to fill a Supreme Court vacancy that arose in a presidential election year.
I have concluded that the best thing for the country is to trust the American people to weigh in and to have the confirmation process take place in a less partisan atmosphere. Awaiting the result of a democratic election, rather than having a nomination fight in this contentious election-year environment, will give the nominee more legitimacy and, as then-Senator Biden pointed out, better preserve the institutional credibility of the Senate and the court. I have supported some of President Obama’s federal court nominees and opposed others, based on their qualifications. I look forward to considering the nominee of our new president. Whether the American people elect a Republican or Democrat, I will judge his or her nominee on the merits, as I always have.[32] |
” |
—Sen. Rob Portman[34] |
“ | As I have said previously, I believe it is better for the country to allow the American people to have a voice in this debate. We are in the midst of a highly-charged presidential election that is less than eight months away, and this lifetime appointment could reshape the Supreme Court for generations. I believe the best thing for the country is to trust the American people and allow them to weigh in on this issue. This is the same position that Vice President Biden and Senators Harry Reid and Chuck Schumer have outlined in the past.
This is about the principle, not the person. I believe that awaiting the result of a democratic election, rather than having a nomination fight in this partisan election-year environment, will give the nominee more legitimacy and better preserve the Court’s credibility as an institution. After the election, I look forward to considering the nominee of our new president. Whether the American people elect a Republican or Democrat, I will judge his or her nominee on the merits, as I always have.[32] |
” |
—Sen. Rob Portman[35] |
Speaking about Justice Antonin Scalia's death during a campaign event, Strickland said, "My friends a lot of average citizens out there don't understand the importance of that court. I mean, the death of Scalia saved labor from a terrible decision. And I don't wish anyone ill, but it happened at a good time, because once that decision had been made it would have been tough to reverse it."[36]
Strickland later apologized for his comments, saying, "That was an insensitive remark and I apologize."[36]
Strickland, a longtime supporter of gun rights who was endorsed by the National Rifle Association during his re-election for governor, became a supporter of “background checks on firearm purchases and prohibiting gun sales to people on the federal terrorism watch list,” according to Cleveland.com.[37]
Strickland said that the 2012 Sandy Hook Elementary School mass shooting and other fatal shooting events caused him to re-evaluate his stance on gun control. He said that there should be "some common-sense efforts to curb gun violence in society. I feel, quite frankly, that it's reasonable for people as a result of life experiences to re-evaluate their positions. And I have re-evaluated my position, and I feel comfortable in having done that."[38]
As a member of Congress, Strickland voted against HR1025—the Brady Handgun Violence Prevention Act—which required background checks to purchase a firearm and HR 3355—the Violent Crime Control and Law Enforcement Act of 1994—which, among other things, included a ban on certain semi-automatic firearms.[39][40]
Strickland spokesman David Bergstein said that Strickland “respects the Second Amendment, but he also has, in his words, eyes, ears, a heart and a brain, and he can look around and see the epidemic. He understands we need to take some common-sense steps to make our country safer."[37]
Strickland said that he would support a ban "if it was possible to have an assault weapons ban that was enforceable, and that would be written in such a way that there wouldn't be constant modifications of weapons to be classified as an assault weapon or not an assault weapon."[38]
According to his campaign website, “Portman is a gun owner and avid hunter, and whether for protection, recreation, competition, or to ensure our freedoms granted by the Founders, he supports the right of the people to keep and bear arms. Senator Portman also believes we should work to reduce gun violence through better enforcement of current gun laws, enhancing school security, and ensuring that those who suffer from mental illness—a common thread in attacks—receive proper care.”[41]
In June 2016, after Democrats called for increased gun control measures, Portman voted against an amendment that would have required a background check for every firearm sale and an amendment that would have allowed the U.S. attorney general to prohibit individuals who were suspected of being involved in acts of terror during the previous five years from purchasing a gun. Both were rejected by the Senate. He voted for an amendment that proposed allowing the U.S. attorney general to "delay the transfer of the firearm or explosive for a period not to exceed 3 business days" to an individual "investigated as a known or suspected terrorist." The waiting period would have given the U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ) time to investigate an individual who was suspected of terrorist activities during the previous five years and would have allowed the DOJ to obtain a court order to prevent the individual from obtaining a firearm or explosive. He also voted for an amendment that proposed reauthorizing funding for the National Criminal Instant Background Check System and providing incentives for states that submitted mental health records to the federal government to prevent the sale of firearms to mentally ill individuals. Both amendments were rejected by the Senate.[42][43][44][45]
According to Cleveland.com, “Portman says he supports restricting gun sales to those on the terrorist watch list, but only if there is a process for those mistakenly added to the list to challenge their inclusion.”[37]
In April 2013, Portman voted against the Manchin-Toomey amendment which proposed expanding background checks to guns sold online and at gun shows.[46]
On April 17, 2013, after the amendment was introduced, Portman explained his reasoning for opposing the measure. He said in a statement, "Having carefully reviewed the Manchin-Toomey legislation, unfortunately, I do not believe it would be effective in preventing the kind of heartbreaking loss of life seen in Newtown or in other recent tragic incidents. It does, however, contain several provisions that would make it more difficult for law-abiding Ohioans to exercise their Constitutionally-guaranteed rights.” Portman added that he supports legislation to prevent the mentally ill from obtaining a firearm by “strengthening state reporting of individuals who courts have found to be mentally ill.” In addition, he said that he supports legislation that would prevent gun trafficking and “efforts to address the underlying problem of violence and the glorification of gun violence in popular culture."[47]
After Portman voted against the Manchin-Toomey proposal, he said, "I've looked at the data. You know that about three-quarters of those people, according to people who are incarcerated, got their guns (through) some illegal source and that's why we did support these provisions on straw purchasers. So we have to get at this underlying problem and if we don't, unfortunately, I don't think we're going to be able to address what I do think is the real issue in this country, which is gun violence."[48]
During the debate on October 14, 2016, Portman was asked why he had not rescinded his support for Trump before the 2005 video of Trump making comments about women was released. Portman said, “I’m proud of our party and he won our nomination fairly and squarely, and I think his policies are better on rebuilding the military and growing the economy. But for me, I could no longer support him.”[49]
Strickland called Portman's decision to wait to withdraw his support for Trump "cowardice." Strickland said, “He should have rejected this man while he was saying these outrageous things, and he didn’t because he was thinking about his own political career."[49]
In response, Portman criticized Strickland for failing to denounce Hillary Clinton for calling half of Trump’s supporters a “basket of deplorables.” Portman also criticized Strickland for saying that the Justice Scalia's death "happened at a good time."[49][36]
After Clinton revealed that she had pneumonia in September 2016, Strickland said that Kaine was "a wonderfully prepared person to be vice president, and to be the president if that ever became necessary.” Strickland also said, “Secretary Clinton by all reports is a healthy person. A lot of people get pneumonia. That’s not something to be terribly concerned about. There have been efforts for a long time to imply that she is not healthy. I think that is part of her political enemies' attempt to conjure up a rumor that could hurt her politically. I don’t think there’s any evidence she has any serious, chronic health conditions that could make it difficult for her to serve as president.”[55]
Ohio Senate - Rob Portman vs. Ted Strickland (October - November 2016) | |||||||||||||||||||
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Poll | Rob Portman | Ted Strickland | Margin of Error | Sample Size | |||||||||||||||
Emerson College October 26-27, 2016 | 49% | 35% | +/-3.4 | 800 | |||||||||||||||
Suffolk University October 17-19, 2016 | 46% | 31% | +/-4.4 | 500 | |||||||||||||||
Quinnipiac University October 10-16, 2016 | 54% | 41% | +/-3.9 | 624 | |||||||||||||||
Note: A "0%" finding means the candidate was not a part of the poll. The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org |
Ohio Senate - Rob Portman vs. Ted Strickland (2015 - October 2016) | |||||||||||||||||||
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Poll | Rob Portman | Ted Strickland | Margin of Error | Sample Size | |||||||||||||||
CNN/ORC October 10-15, 2016 | 56% | 40% | +/-3.5 | 744 | |||||||||||||||
NBC/WSJ/Marist October 10-12, 2016 | 55% | 37% | +/-3.6 | 724 | |||||||||||||||
Emerson College October 10-12, 2016 | 47% | 30% | +/-3.9 | 600 | |||||||||||||||
CBS News/YouGov October 5-7, 2016 | 49% | 38% | +/-3.9 | 997 | |||||||||||||||
Public Policy Polling October 5-6, 2016 | 51% | 36% | +/-3.5 | 782 | |||||||||||||||
Monmouth University October 1-4, 2016 | 54% | 39% | +/-4.9 | 405 | |||||||||||||||
Quinnipiac University September 27-October 2, 2016 | 55% | 38% | +/-4.4 | 497 | |||||||||||||||
Gravis Marketing September 22-23, 2016 | 44% | 36% | +/-3.4 | 850 | |||||||||||||||
Fox News September 18-20, 2016 | 51% | 37% | +/-3.5 | 737 | |||||||||||||||
Suffolk University September 12-14, 2016 | 39% | 31% | +/-4.4 | 500 | |||||||||||||||
CNN/ORC September 7-12, 2016 | 58% | 37% | +/-3.5 | 769 | |||||||||||||||
Bloomberg September 9-12, 2016 | 53% | 36% | +/-3.5 | 802 | |||||||||||||||
Quinnipiac University August 31-September 7, 2016 | 51% | 40% | +/-3.5 | 778 | |||||||||||||||
Emerson College August 25-27, 2016 | 40% | 25% | +/-3.4 | 800 | |||||||||||||||
Monmouth University August 18-21, 2016 | 48% | 40% | +/-4.9 | 402 | |||||||||||||||
CBS News August 17-19, 2016 | 46% | 39% | +/-3.9 | 997 | |||||||||||||||
Quinnipiac University July 30-August 7, 2016 | 49% | 40% | +/-3.4 | 812 | |||||||||||||||
NBC/Wall Street Journal/Marist August 3-7, 2016 | 48% | 43% | +/-3.3 | 889 | |||||||||||||||
Public Policy Polling July 22-24, 2016 | 43% | 38% | +/-2.7 | 1,334 | |||||||||||||||
Suffolk University July 18-20, 2016 | 37% | 33% | +/-4.4 | 500 | |||||||||||||||
NBC/Wall Street Journal/Marist July 5-10, 2016 | 44% | 44% | +/-3.4 | 848 | |||||||||||||||
Quinnipiac University June 30-July 11, 2016 | 47% | 40% | +/-3.2 | 1,015 | |||||||||||||||
Public Policy Polling June 22-23, 2016 | 40% | 39% | +/-3.7 | 708 | |||||||||||||||
Quinnipiac University June 8-19, 2016 | 42% | 42% | +/-3.1 | 971 | |||||||||||||||
Note: A "0%" finding means the candidate was not a part of the poll. The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org |
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The finance data shown here comes from the disclosures required of candidates and parties. Depending on the election or state, this may not represent all the funds spent on their behalf. Satellite spending groups may or may not have expended funds related to the candidate or politician on whose page you are reading this disclaimer, and campaign finance data from elections may be incomplete. For elections to federal offices, complete data can be found at the FEC website. Click here for more on federal campaign finance law and here for more on state campaign finance law.
Presidential elections have a significant impact on congressional elections, the most obvious of which is increased voter interest and participation. In the last two decades, presidential elections have led to roughly 15 to 20 percent higher turnout rates than in the corresponding midterm elections.[68] The following chart shows the disparity between voter turnout in presidential elections and midterms.
In the past decade, presidential elections have benefited the Democratic Party, while midterms have helped Republicans. The Democratic Party gained an average of 5 Senate seats in the last two presidential elections, and the Republican Party picked up an average of 7.5 seats in the last two midterms.[69] The fact that 2016 was a presidential election cycle was a cause of increased Republican vulnerability in the Senate.
On November 6, 2012, incumbent Sherrod Brown (D) won re-election to the United States Senate. He defeated Josh Mandel (R) and Scott Rupert (I) in the general election.
U.S. Senate, Ohio General Election, 2012 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
Democratic | Sherrod Brown Incumbent | 50.7% | 2,762,690 | |
Republican | Josh Mandel | 44.7% | 2,435,712 | |
Independent | Scott Rupert | 4.6% | 250,616 | |
Total Votes | 5,449,018 | |||
Source: Ohio Secretary of State "Official Election Results, 2012 General Election" |
On November 2, 2010, Rob Portman (R) won election to the United States Senate. He defeated Lee Fisher (D), Michael L. Pryce (I), Eric W. Deaton (Constitution), Daniel H. LaBotz (Socialist), and Arthur T. Sullivan (I) in the general election.[70]
The calendar below lists important dates for political candidates in Ohio in 2016.
Dates and requirements for candidates in 2016 | |||
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Deadline | Event type | Event description | |
December 16, 2015 | Ballot access | Deadline for partisan primary candidates to file declarations of candidacy | |
January 4, 2016 | Ballot access | Deadline for write-in primary candidates to file declarations of intent | |
January 29, 2016 | Campaign finance | 2015 annual report due | |
March 3, 2016 | Campaign finance | Pre-primary report due | |
March 14, 2016 | Ballot access | Deadline for independent candidates to file nominating petitions | |
March 15, 2016 | Election date | Primary election | |
April 22, 2016 | Campaign finance | Post-primary report due | |
July 29, 2016 | Campaign finance | Semiannual report due | |
August 29, 2016 | Ballot access | Deadline for write-in general election candidates to file declarations of intent | |
October 27, 2016 | Campaign finance | Pre-general report due | |
November 8, 2016 | Election date | General election | |
December 16, 2016 | Campaign finance | Post-general report due | |
January 31, 2017 | Campaign finance | 2016 annual report due | |
Source: Ohio Secretary of State, "2016 Ohio Elections Calendar," accessed June 12, 2015 Ohio Secretary of State, "2016 Ohio Campaign Finance Reporting Calendar," accessed October 28, 2015 |
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tag; name "potential" defined multiple times with different content
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tag; name "once" defined multiple times with different content
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For information about public policy issues in the 2016 elections, see: Public policy in the 2016 elections!