Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Bob Casey Jr. (D) | 55.7 | 2,792,437 | |
Lou Barletta (R) | 42.6 | 2,134,848 | ||
Dale Kerns (L) | 1.0 | 50,907 | ||
Neal Gale (G) | 0.6 | 31,208 |
Total votes: 5,009,400 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
2022 →
← 2016
|
U.S. Senate, Pennsylvania |
---|
Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
Election details |
Filing deadline: March 20, 2018 |
Primary: May 15, 2018 General: November 6, 2018 Pre-election incumbent: Bob Casey, Jr. (Democrat) |
How to vote |
Poll times: 7 a.m. to 8 p.m. Voting in Pennsylvania |
Race ratings |
Inside Elections: Solid Democratic Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Democratic |
Ballotpedia analysis |
U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2018 |
See also |
U.S. Senate • 1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th • 5th • 6th • 7th • 8th • 9th • 10th • 11th • 12th • 13th • 14th • 15th • 16th • 17th • 18th • 7th (special) • 15th (special) • 18th (special) Pennsylvania elections, 2018 U.S. Congress elections, 2018 U.S. Senate elections, 2018 U.S. House elections, 2018 |
Voters in Pennsylvania elected one member to the U.S. Senate in the election on November 6, 2018.
The election filled the Class 1 Senate seat held by Bob Casey, Jr. (D). He was first elected in 2006.
Incumbent Bob Casey Jr. defeated Lou Barletta, Dale Kerns, and Neal Gale in the general election for U.S. Senate Pennsylvania on November 6, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Bob Casey Jr. (D) | 55.7 | 2,792,437 | |
Lou Barletta (R) | 42.6 | 2,134,848 | ||
Dale Kerns (L) | 1.0 | 50,907 | ||
Neal Gale (G) | 0.6 | 31,208 |
Total votes: 5,009,400 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Incumbent Bob Casey Jr. advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. Senate Pennsylvania on May 15, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Bob Casey Jr. | 100.0 | 752,008 |
Total votes: 752,008 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Lou Barletta defeated Jim Christiana in the Republican primary for U.S. Senate Pennsylvania on May 15, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Lou Barletta | 63.0 | 433,312 | |
Jim Christiana | 37.0 | 254,118 |
Total votes: 687,430 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Sen. Bob Casey, Jr. (D-Pa.) cast the following key votes—votes that help citizens understand where their legislators stand on major policy issues—during the 115th Congress, which convened on January 3, 2017, and adjourned on January 3, 2019.
Click show to see key votes for Sen. Bob Casey, Jr. (D-Pa.) → |
---|
Key votes: 115th Congress, 2017-2018[edit]
|
Race ratings: U.S. Senate election in Pennsylvania, 2018 | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Race tracker | Race ratings | ||||||||
October 30, 2018 | October 23, 2018 | October 16, 2018 | October 9, 2018 | ||||||
The Cook Political Report | Likely Democratic | Likely Democratic | Likely Democratic | Likely Democratic | |||||
Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales | Solid Democratic | Likely Democratic | Likely Democratic | Likely Democratic | |||||
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | |||||
Note: Ballotpedia updates external race ratings every two weeks throughout the election season. |
On October 6, 2018, the U.S. Senate voted to confirm the nomination of Judge Brett Kavanaugh to the U.S. Supreme Court. Fifty senators voted to confirm Kavanaugh's nomination, 48 voted against, and Sen. Lisa Murkowski (R-AK) voted present. A simple majority was required to confirm Kavanaugh.[43]
Casey voted against Kavanaugh's confirmation. He said in a statement, "Judge Kavanaugh’s confirmation further stacks the Supreme Court in favor of corporate special interests who already have far too much power. This is now a Supreme Court by and for the corporate right. As a result, workers, those with pre-existing conditions, individuals with disabilities and ordinary Americans seeking their day in court are more likely to be deprived of equal justice under law."[44]
Barletta said in a statement, "I applaud the United States Senate for confirming Justice Brett Kavanaugh in the face of unprecedented partisan attacks. The Senators who voted in favor of Justice Kavanaugh’s nomination stood up for civility and due process against shameful threats and smear tactics by Democratic Senators."[45]
Pennsylvania features five congressional districts that, based on boundaries adopted after the 2010 census, intersected with one or more Pivot Counties. These 206 Pivot Counties voted for Donald Trump (R) in 2016 after voting for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012.
The 206 Pivot Counties are located in 34 states. Iowa, with 31, had the most such counties. Heading into the 2018 elections, the partisan makeup of the 108 congressional districts intersecting with Pivot Counties was more Republican than the partisan breakdown of the U.S. House. Of the 108 congressional districts that had at least one Pivot County, 63 percent were held by a Republican incumbent, while 55.4 percent of U.S. House seats were won by a Republican in the 2016 elections.[46]
The chart below contains data from financial reports submitted to the Federal Election Commission.
Name | Party | Receipts* | Disbursements** | Cash on hand | Date |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bob Casey Jr. | Democratic Party | $21,790,926 | $21,412,915 | $488,018 | As of December 31, 2018 |
Lou Barletta | Republican Party | $7,407,079 | $7,760,182 | $44,356 | As of December 31, 2018 |
Neal Gale | Green Party | $882 | $866 | $15 | As of December 31, 2018 |
Dale Kerns | Libertarian Party | $214,703 | $202,163 | $0 | As of December 6, 2018 |
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2018. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." |
Casey's campaign website stated the following:
“ |
Bob has dedicated his career to serving the people of Pennsylvania, and has the record to prove it From legislation cracking down on terrorists’ financing to a law that makes it easier for small businesses to expand, Bob has a wide range of accomplishments for the people of Pennsylvania. He knows that too many families have been left behind, and is committed to bringing good jobs to Pennsylvania and to raising wages.
|
” |
—Bob Casey’s campaign website (2018)[48] |
Barletta's campaign website stated the following:
“ |
Saving Taxpayer Money Protecting Volunteer Firefighters and First Responders Leading the Fight Against Illegal Immigration Finding Solutions to the Opioid Crisis Stopping Waste, Fraud, and Abuse Standing up for Life Rescuing Vital After-School Programs Supporting the 2nd Amendment Championing Job Programs As a co-Chair of the Congressional Job Corps Caucus, Lou also protected funds for the Job Corps program from impending cuts. His persistence earned a commitment from Secretary of Labor Alexander Acosta to defend the program and work with the caucus to improve and strengthen the program. Defending Israel and the Jewish Community Lou also supported bills to condemn terrorist attacks and hostility toward Israel; punish Iran, Hezbollah, and Hamas; prohibit U.S. taxpayer assistance to the Palestinian Authority until they stop rewarding terrorists and their families when they kill Israelis and Americans; and, provide U.S. foreign assistance to Israel, particularly the annual security assistance funding, including support for Iron Dome and David's Sling. Lou remains an outspoken opponent of the disastrous Iran Deal, which gave Iran, the world’s leading state sponsor of terrorism, access to $100 billion dollars, paved the way for Iran to eventually achieve nuclear weapons capability, and puts the existence of Israel at risk. Promoting Fair Trade for American Workers |
” |
—Lou Barletta’s campaign website (2018)[49] |
Kerns' campaign website stated the following:
“ |
Abortion Historically, most criminal matters (including murder) have been decided at the state level, and abortion should be no different. No federal mandate can adequately gauge the interests of 330 million people. The principles of liberty and pursuit of happiness are useless without first protecting life. In order to reduce abortion, the easiest initial solution is to incentivize private businesses, schools, and charities to increase sex education and access to birth control. Even in states where abortion remains, it ought to be safe, legal, and most importantly, rare. The biggest driver of abortion is overwhelmingly poverty. To this end, the abortion issue is entangled with economic outcomes, particularly in impoverished urban areas. If abortion is to become rare or obsolete, we must first work toward establishing economic opportunity zones for those who are too often overlooked by our current economic system, including those of color. This would include reform of regulations and taxes levied on small businesses which prevent employers from taking on new hires. Americans overwhelmingly want to contribute to our economy, and we should give them that opportunity. Another important issue linked to abortion is the freedom of religion. Many religious beliefs speak against abortion, and as a central tenet of American liberty, no person should be forced to finance abortions with their tax dollars. Those who wish to peacefully protest in front of abortion clinics should be afforded that opportunity, as proscribed in the First Amendment. As your United States Senator, I will vote for judges who will overturn Roe v. Wade and Planned Parenthood v. Casey so that the issue of abortion can return to the state level. I will also vote to defund Planned Parenthood so that no one is required to send their money to an institution that performs a procedure which they find morally objectionable. Immigration The current immigration system is completely broken. Over 11 million immigrants live in the shadows, undocumented and afraid of what their futures might hold. Rather than castigating or demonizing these would-be Americans, we ought to welcome them into our communities and allow them to live peacefully among us, just as we have done in prior generations. Contrary to what some may believe, immigrants (including those who are undocumented) commit less crime than those who are native-born. They also take less in government benefits than they pay into the system. In addition to the positive effect these immigrants have on the prices of services and goods, American citizens benefit greatly from increased levels of immigration. The easiest way to solve the problem of illegal immigration is simple: make it easier to immigrate legally. A century ago, many of our ancestors came to Ellis Island with little but hopes and dreams. Following a criminal background check and disease check, they were allowed in with few questions asked. Today, those who wish to immigrate face a labyrinth of bureaucracy which stands in their way. In a best-case scenario, these immigrants can come into the country in five years. In other cases, it can be more than a decade. It’s time for us to return to the system of free immigration which our great-grandparents enjoyed. As your United States Senator, I will fight for immigration reform which allows entry to those who wish to contribute to our economy and help their families. I will present a plan which expands immigration visas and green cards while simplifying the current system so that anyone who yearns for the American Dream can attain it. Free Trade Tariffs are nothing but another way of levying taxes on those who can least afford them. When other countries decide to trade their goods at cheaper rates, there is no losing involved. The middle-class benefits immensely, as they can buy items they may not have been able to before. Those in the U.S. which cannot compete can relocate their resources so as to be more efficient, and all sides benefit. Every country is in different stages of economic development, and specializes in different areas. By allowing for each nation to pick different facets, the world economy efficiently allocates its resources in a way which best utilizes the talents of everyone. The most immediately noticeable benefit of trade throughout history is that it is the surest guarantee for peace. Simply put, when countries see the benefit in exchanging goods, they almost quickly realize the folly of engaging in armed combat against one another. By reaching and trading with as many nations as possible, the United States breaks out of the failed policy of isolationism which too often leads to war. As your United States Senator, I will vote against any tariffs or protectionist schemes, all of which only harm average Americans at the expense of wealthy elites. I will vote for any programs which expand trade among nations. When it comes to trade agreements, I will engage in vetting of the proposals to ensure that they are indeed promoting free trade and not a corrupt cronyist scheme. Foreign Policy Every year, the United States government uses the valor and heroism of thousands of young Americans to send them to engage in missions without American interests in mind. Many return home without limbs or other body parts. Far too many more lose their lives in wars without any clear goals. Perhaps most tragic of all is those who return to their communities with the invisible injury of PTSD, which can plague them for the rest of their lives. After their sacrifice, the government offers the lowest and poorest quality care at the VA, where many have died waiting for medical attention. Though not nearly as important as the human toll, the economic toll of foreign adventurism has made its mark. The U.S. currently spends more on the military than the next eight world countries combined. If this were being used responsibly to defend our citizens, perhaps it could be considered reasonable. However, as with nearly all government programs, the military budget is riddled with waste and bureaucracy. Further, the proliferation of the American military has led to an unnecessary presence around the world, with the U.S. holding an absurd 800 military bases in 70 countries. Too often, this continuous presence creates resentment among those in the nations where the U.S. is stationed, giving a propaganda tool to radical groups. This is of particular concern in the many nations where the U.S. government has toppled secular dictators, leaving a power vacuum. These troops should not be put in harm’s way any longer. Absent a significant, important national security reason, these military bases should be closed and these American heroes should be allowed to come home to their families. As your United States Senator, I will make sure that any declarations of war are voted on by the Congress, as proscribed in the Constitution. I will also ensure that any military missions which continue forward are given a clear, articulable mission and exit strategy before they begin. I will vote against any effort to restart or expand the military draft and will vote to reform the VA system and give our veterans the quality healthcare they deserve. Economy and Jobs The current federal tax code is thousands of pages of bureaucracy laced with loopholes for the biggest corporations. While the wealthiest have the resources to hire attorneys and accountants to find every advantage possible, everyday Americans struggle. The code is so complicated that not many citizens can ever be truly confident that they have correctly completed their tax returns. We must simplify this system so that Americans can more easily complete their taxes. This includes eliminating the IRS, abolishing the federal income tax, and transitioning into a consumption tax which is fair and treats all Americans equally. A less visible tax is the one which is levied through inflation. Since the founding of the Federal Reserve in 1913, the U.S. dollar has lost 96% of its value. Through its influx of paper money which has no real value, the Fed has stolen money from the pockets of the poorest in our country so that elites can receive more government spending. This action by the Fed has also contributed immensely to ever-growing disparities of wealth between the rich and poor, and directly led to the Housing Crisis in 2008 with its arbitrary setting of interest rates. Even with cuts in taxes, nothing will change if we do not address the issue of out-of-control spending. This begins with baseline budgeting, meaning that instead of the Washington status quo of simply cutting the rates of increase, our government must first freeze spending and then begin reductions from that point. Billions are wasted every year due to the inadequacies of government, and this has led to a $21 trillion deficit which we will be handing to our children. As your United States Senator, I will bring fiscal restraint to Washington, D.C. It is immoral and irresponsible to shackle future generations with ever-growing debt. I will introduce legislation to drastically simplify our tax code and will also sponsor the “Audit the Fed” bill which has previously been introduced to the Senate floor. I will also most importantly vote to cut wasteful spending, and will not take any programs off the table when it comes to debt reduction. War on Drugs When our friends and family face the painful struggle of addiction, government cannot solve that problem with more prisons, police, and punishment. Instead, we should shift our focus to solutions which incorporate compassion, community, and care. Over the last 40 years, the United States has spent over $1 trillion in taxpayer dollars, only to see the federal prison population increase by nearly 800%. Nearly half of current federal prisoners are serving their sentences for drug offenses. The U.S. leads the world in incarceration rates, topping the draconian regimes of China and Russia combined. In addition, the War on Drugs does not treat Americans equally. In spite of the fact that they use drugs at nearly the exact same rate, black Americans are six times more likely than white Americans to be imprisoned for drug crimes. Unquantifiable is the deterioration of trust between communities of color and police as governments have militarized and armed those in blue to fight a full-scale war on our own streets. As your United States Senator, I will fight for a system which addresses addiction as the medical problem it is, rather than a criminal issue. I will end the federal prohibition on marijuana and work to create a system like in Portugal or Switzerland, where drug use is not romanticized, but those with substance issues are given requisite care and empathy in their battles to overcome addiction. Both those countries saw a sharp turn against addiction issues with their reforms, and I believe we can see the same. The Democrats and Republicans always attempt to justify why they need to intervene in your life. They think they know what’s best for you. As your Senator, I will fight to defend your individual liberty. The government does not own you or your body — you do. The disastrous War on Drugs is a shining example of the pain and suffering that is caused when the government sticks their nose where it doesn’t belong. On March 12, 2017, Dale held a town hall meeting to mark the beginning of a grassroots bill drafted by the people most affected by the War on Drugs. The “Addiction Is Not A Crime” bill was born on that day in celebration of Dale’s cousin Dan’s birthday. Dan died of an overdose in 2015. Education The current system has completely failed students, teachers, and parents all across the country. The Department of Education has taken all of the power in deciding policies in schooling and put it into the hands of bureaucrats in Washington, rather than where it belongs: at our homes and in our local communities. Across all federal departments, spending on K-12 education has risen to over $80 billion annually, and our nation spends more than nearly any other in this worthy endeavor. But what have we got to show for it? Despite imposing costly and difficult rules on state education programs, the Department of Education supplies only about 11 cents of every dollar each state spends on education. Meanwhile, testing results have not improved, and students have felt the consequences. Families without the luxury to move their homes or pay for private education are trapped and forced to finance failing schools which provide sub-par services. This is prevalent nowhere more than in the poorest communities and in communities of color, where families long for the opportunity to send their children to schools where they can build better futures. I propose that we return these important decisions to the people. It begins with abolishing the Department of Education and making education a decision which is made with a full selection of options at our disposal. Whether through private, parochial, public, charter, or home schooling, every child is unique and deserving of individualized education which works for them. Rather than spending billions preparing students for new standardized tests which provide no real value, let’s create a market where different schools compete to innovate and revolutionize teaching methods. As your United States Senator, I will propose legislation to grant to families the right for their tax dollars to attach to their children and have this funding follow these students to whichever school districts they find to be the best. There is no one-size-fits-all policy in schooling, and families have the right to find those programs which harness their children’s strengths and improve upon their weaknesses. Health Care The current system is broken, and has been for some time. The Affordable Care Act (better known as ObamaCare) hasn’t done much to help, and Democrats and Republicans cannot agree on any sort of solution. Even before ObamaCare, government intervention in the market immensely drove up prices, with only about 13 cents of each dollar spent on health care coming from the actual consumers. These subsidies, while seemingly beneficial, provide no incentive for providers to lower their prices, leading to out-of-control costs as insurance companies and government reap the rewards. Also present in the health care market is protectionism and corruption produced by the FDA. By preventing new drugs and competitors from moving into the market, the status quo of higher prices and fewer options remains. It takes an average of 14 years and $1.4 billion for any potentially lifesaving medicine or treatment to navigate its way through the bureaucracy of the FDA. The FDA’s approval should be made advisory rather than compulsory. At the heart of increased cost lies a very fundamental issue of third-party costs. Because health insurance is now used to pay for a large portion of health care costs, there is no incentive for suppliers to lower their prices. While prices have skyrocketed and quality has stagnated in recent decades, an exception is in Lasik eye surgery, which is not coincidentally not covered by health insurance. Because consumers and doctors must actually gauge the cost and worthiness of engaging in such a procedure, they have reason to provide a better and cheaper service. As your United States Senator, I will reform our health care system so that it provides competition and quality for Americans. I will propose to change the tax treatment of employer-provided health insurance and expand Health Savings Accounts, so that insurance can become personal and portable, rather than provided at the whim of an employer. I will also promote for Americans the ability to purchase insurance across state lines so that companies cannot become cartels without competition. I would give seniors more options in Medicare by turning the program into vouchers supplied to each individual which they can then spend on private insurance. Lastly, I would allow the states more options in using their Medicaid funds through block grants, so that they can experiment to find the most effective ways to deliver care. Second Amendment Gun rights protect Americans against those who wish to do them harm. The impetus for the Second Amendment came during the Colonial era, when Americans wished to organize freely, but British soldiers soon declared their meeting “unlawful.” When the Americans again attempted to organize, and the British attempted to break up the meeting a second time, the Redcoats were surprised to find the colonists armed with muskets and instead retreated. Gun control schemes in other countries too often depend upon violations of civil liberties and human rights. Whether it involves a supposed “gun buyback” or listing of those unfit to own guns, government must necessarily trample the rights of the lawful majority to enact their plans. Every life lost due to gun violence is tragic. That does not justify suspending the rights of lawful gun owners. The issue of these outbursts, and particularly school shootings, ought to be centered around giving adequate treatment to those who are mentally ill, an overwhelming majority of whom do not engage in such heinous acts. Giving mentally ill Americans attention does not mean stigmatizing this group by placing them on an arbitrary list or suspending their rights entirely. Instead, we ought to give these people the attention which they so often need, not just for their own sake, but for the sake of their peers. As your United States Senator, I will protect the rights of gun owners. Each person is an individual and ought to be treated accordingly. With that in mind, we need to move toward solving the underlying root cause of the problem: mental health. Those who are crying out for help should receive the adequate resources before they do something which might harm themselves or others. “I think the Constitution speaks for itself. Nowhere does it read, hunting, gun collection, or target shooting. It also doesn’t read magazines of a certain size, having to leave your gun at home, or a restriction of any kind. I would oppose any and all restrictions on the second amendment. ” Career Politicians Despite the fact that nearly 80% of the country disapproves of the job Congress is doing, incumbents get re-elected 90% of the time. Democrats and Republicans gerrymander and maneuver to keep the status quo in place. Those in office care less about putting forward meaningful legislation and more about grandstanding and clinging to their positions of power. Voters see it every election cycle. The in-party enters with grandiose predictions, claiming to enact its agenda and help all Americans. However, when push comes to shove, there is always an excuse. Like clockwork, when that party finally stretches the patience of its constituents past its limit, the opposing party promises that it will be different. Of course, as the two teams point and blame one another for the state of politics, they agree on one thing: there are only two options. As is often the case, however, they are wrong again. As your United States Senator, I will bring an independent and tempered voice to Washington. My allegiance will be not to any party boss, but rather to the people of Pennsylvania and the U.S. Constitution. I will vote with whichever Senators are working to advance liberty. As the first Libertarian Senator, I will be in a unique position to act as an intermediary between the parties and build coalitions which expand individual liberty. Additionally, I pledge to serve only one term in the Senate, and will not accept a taxpayer-funded pension or healthcare. It is my hope that others will follow my example so that they may perform their jobs without worry about an endless number of future elections. After brief tenures in Washington, they can return to private life in their home states and again become valuable contributors to their communities. [47] |
” |
—Dale Kerns’ campaign website (2018)[50] |
Gale's campaign website stated the following:
This section shows advertisements released in this race. Ads released by campaigns and, if applicable, satellite groups are embedded or linked below. If you are aware of advertisements that should be included, please email us.
|
|
|
This race took place in one of twenty-two states that held elections for both governor and U.S. Senate in 2018.
A table of where these elections occurred, the names of incumbents prior to the 2018 elections, and links to our coverage of these races can be viewed by clicking "[show]" on the banner below:
The term wave election is frequently used to describe an election cycle in which one party makes significant electoral gains. How many seats would Republicans have had to lose for the 2018 midterm election to be considered a wave election?
Ballotpedia examined the results of the 50 election cycles that occurred between 1918 and 2016—spanning from President Woodrow Wilson's (D) second midterm in 1918 to Donald Trump's (R) first presidential election in 2016. We define wave elections as the 20 percent of elections in that period resulting in the greatest seat swings against the president's party.
Applying this definition to U.S. Senate elections, we found that Republicans needed to lose seven seats for 2018 to qualify as a wave election.
The chart below shows the number of seats the president's party lost in the 10 U.S. Senate waves from 1918 to 2016. Click here to read the full report.
U.S. Senate wave elections | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | President | Party | Election type | Senate seats change | Senate majority[52] | |
1932 | Hoover | R | Presidential | -13 | D (flipped) | |
1958 | Eisenhower | R | Second midterm | -12 | D | |
1946 | Truman | D | First midterm | -10 | R (flipped) | |
1980 | Carter | D | Presidential | -9 | R (flipped) | |
2014 | Obama | D | Second midterm | -9 | R (flipped) | |
1942 | Roosevelt | D | Third midterm | -8 | D | |
2008 | George W. Bush | D | Presidential | -8 | D | |
1926 | Coolidge | R | First midterm[53] | -7 | R | |
1930 | Hoover | R | First midterm | -7 | R | |
1986 | Reagan | R | Second midterm | -7 | D (flipped) |
The race for Pennsylvania's U.S. Senate seat was one of nine competitive battleground races in 2016 that helped Republicans keep control of the upper chamber after the November 8 general election. Incumbent Pat Toomey (R), who began serving in the Senate in 2011, defeated Katie McGinty (D), Edward Clifford III (L), and write-in candidate Everett Stern (I) in the general election.
Toomey ran his campaign separately from Donald Trump, and he did not tell people who he would vote for on Election Day. Toomey said, “You know, I’m not campaigning with Donald Trump. He’s running his campaign. I’m running mine.”[54][55][56]
Hillary Clinton, who campaigned with McGinty in October, criticized Toomey for not rejecting Trump as his party’s nominee. She said, “How much does he have to hear or to see? If he doesn’t have the courage to stand up against Donald Trump after all of this, then how will he stand up to special interests and powerful forces that are going to be trying to have their way in Washington?”[56]
Speaking about his campaign strategy, Toomey said, “I am convinced that Pennsylvania voters are going to make a complete separation in their minds. … There’s a presidential race going on, quite obviously, lots of attention, lots of focus, everybody’s got their opinion about it, and then there’s a totally separate thing happening in the Senate race — an incumbent senator most people know and an opponent. Totally separate campaign and totally separate judgment.”[56] Toomey stated on Election Day that he voted for Trump.[57]
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Pat Toomey Incumbent | 48.8% | 2,951,702 | |
Democratic | Katie McGinty | 47.3% | 2,865,012 | |
Libertarian | Edward Clifford | 3.9% | 235,142 | |
Total Votes | 6,051,856 | |||
Source: Pennsylvania Department of State |
Candidate | Vote % | Votes | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
Katie McGinty | 42.5% | 669,774 | ||
Joe Sestak | 32.6% | 513,221 | ||
John Fetterman | 19.5% | 307,090 | ||
Joseph Vodvarka | 5.4% | 85,837 | ||
Total Votes | 1,575,922 | |||
Source: Pennsylvania Department of State |
Bob Casey Jr. won re-election to the United States Senate in 2012.
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Bob Casey Jr. Incumbent | 53.7% | 3,021,364 | |
Republican | Tom Smith | 44.6% | 2,509,132 | |
Libertarian | Rayburn Douglas Smith | 1.7% | 96,926 | |
Total Votes | 5,627,422 | |||
Source: Pennsylvania Department of State |
This section details the partisan control of federal and state positions in Pennsylvania heading into the 2018 elections.
Pennsylvania held elections for the following positions in 2018:
Demographic data for Pennsylvania | ||
---|---|---|
Pennsylvania | U.S. | |
Total population: | 12,791,904 | 316,515,021 |
Land area (sq mi): | 44,743 | 3,531,905 |
Race and ethnicity** | ||
White: | 81.6% | 73.6% |
Black/African American: | 11% | 12.6% |
Asian: | 3.1% | 5.1% |
Native American: | 0.2% | 0.8% |
Pacific Islander: | 0% | 0.2% |
Two or more: | 2.1% | 3% |
Hispanic/Latino: | 6.4% | 17.1% |
Education | ||
High school graduation rate: | 89.2% | 86.7% |
College graduation rate: | 28.6% | 29.8% |
Income | ||
Median household income: | $53,599 | $53,889 |
Persons below poverty level: | 15.9% | 11.3% |
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2010-2015) Click here for more information on the 2020 census and here for more on its impact on the redistricting process in Pennsylvania. **Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here. |
As of July 2017, Pennsylvania had a population of approximately 12,800,000 people, with its three largest cities being Philadelphia (pop. est. 1.6 million), Pittsburgh (pop. est. 300,000), and Allentown (pop. est. 120,000).[58][59]
This section provides an overview of federal and state elections in Pennsylvania from 2000 to 2016. All data comes from the Pennsylvania Department of State.
This chart shows the results of the presidential election in Pennsylvania every year from 2000 to 2016.
Election results (President of the United States), Pennsylvania 2000-2016 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
2016 | Donald Trump | 48.6% | Hillary Clinton | 47.9% | 0.7% |
2012 | Barack Obama | 52.1% | Mitt Romney | 46.7% | 5.4% |
2008 | Barack Obama | 54.7% | John McCain | 44.3% | 10.4% |
2004 | John Kerry | 51.0% | George Bush | 48.5% | 2.5% |
2000 | Al Gore | 50.6% | George Bush | 46.4% | 4.2% |
This chart shows the results of U.S. Senate races in Pennsylvania from 2000 to 2016. Every state has two Senate seats, and each seat goes up for election every six years. The terms of the seats are staggered so that roughly one-third of the seats are up every two years.
Election results (U.S. Senator), Pennsylvania 2000-2016 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
2016 | Patrick Toomey | 48.8% | Katie McGinty | 47.3% | 1.5% |
2012 | Bob Casey | 53.7% | Tom Smith | 44.6% | 9.1% |
2010 | Patrick Toomey | 51.0% | Joe Sestak | 49.0% | 2.0% |
2006 | Bob Casey | 58.7% | Rick Santorum | 41.3% | 17.4% |
2004 | Arlen Specter | 52.6% | Joseph Hoeffel | 42.0% | 10.6% |
2000 | Rick Santorum | 52.4% | Ron Klink | 45.5% | 6.9% |
This chart shows the results of the four gubernatorial elections held between 2000 and 2016. Gubernatorial elections are held every four years in Pennsylvania.
Election results (Governor), Pennsylvania 2000-2016 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
2014 | Tom Wolf | 54.9% | Thomas Corbett | 45.1% | 9.8% |
2010 | Thomas Corbett | 54.5% | Dan Onorato | 45.5% | 9.0% |
2006 | Ed Rendell | 60.4% | Lynn Swann | 39.6% | 20.8% |
2002 | Ed Rendell | 53.4% | Mike Fisher | 44.3% | 9.1% |
This chart shows the number of Democrats and Republicans who were elected to represent Pennsylvania in the U.S. House from 2000 to 2016. Elections for U.S. House seats are held every two years.
A state government trifecta occurs when one party controls both chambers of the state legislature and the governor's office.
Pennsylvania Party Control: 1992-2024
One year of a Democratic trifecta • Twelve years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Governor | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
Senate | R | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
House | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D |
|