United States Senate election in Pennsylvania, 2024

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2022
U.S. Senate, Pennsylvania
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Democratic primary
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: February 13, 2024
Primary: April 23, 2024
General: November 5, 2024
How to vote
Poll times: 7 a.m. to 8 p.m.
Voting in Pennsylvania
Race ratings
Cook Political Report: Lean Democratic
DDHQ and The Hill: Lean Democratic
Inside Elections: Tilt Democratic
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Lean Democratic
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds
U.S. House battlegrounds
Federal and state primary competitiveness
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2024
See also
U.S. Senate, Pennsylvania
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Pennsylvania elections, 2024
U.S. Congress elections, 2024
U.S. Senate elections, 2024
U.S. House elections, 2024

Incumbent U.S. Sen. Bob Casey Jr. (D), David McCormick (R), and five other candidates are running for the U.S. Senate in Pennsylvania on Nov. 5, 2024.

According to the AP's Marc Levy, "McCormick’s candidacy is shaping up as the strongest challenge to Casey in his three reelection bids...The Senate candidates will share a ticket with candidates for president in a state that is critical to whether Democrats can maintain control of the White House and the Senate."[1]

Casey was first elected in 2006, defeating then-incumbent Rick Santorum (R) 56.7%-41.3%. As of September 18, 2024, The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter, Decision Desk HQ and The Hill, Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales, and Larry J. Sabato’s Crystal Ball rated the election as a lean or tilt Democratic. According to a July 11 New York Times poll, Casey Jr. led McCormick 50%-42%. The poll had a margin of error of plus or minus 3.8 percentage points.[2]

Casey received a bachelor’s degree from The College of the Holy Cross in 1982 and a J.D. from The Catholic University of America.[3] Casey worked as a teacher and a lawyer in Scranton, Pennsylvania before running for elected office.[4] He served as Pennsylvania Auditor General from 1997-2005 and as Pennsylvania Treasurer from 2005-2007.[5]

In a statement published on his website, Casey said he supports policies that combat terrorism, make it easier for small businesses to expand, and increase financial security for families, workers, and seniors. His website also says Casey supports policies he believes give a voice to those who he says "are threatened by Congressional Republicans' recent attempts to give tax cuts to the ultra-rich and to undermine Social Security, Medicare and Medicaid."[6][7]

McCormick received a bachelor's degree from the United States Military Academy at West Point and a Ph.D. in international affairs from Princeton University.[8] McCormick worked as the CEO of Bridgewater Associates, an investment management firm, and under secretary in both the Department of Commerce and Department of Treasury. He served in the Army’s 82nd Airborne Division during the Persian Gulf War.[8]

On his campaign website, McCormick says he will support policies that reduce China’s influence on the U.S., increase energy production in Pennsylvania, take on the culture of Washington to rein in federal spending and increase government accountability, reduce financial burdens on families, and strengthen national defense.[9][10][11][12]

As of April 3, 2024, Casey Jr. raised $23.8 million in campaign finance, and McCormick raised $11.1 million.

Marty Selker (Constitution Party), Leila Hazou (G), John Thomas (L), Hussein Tartour-Aguirre (Independent), and Quincy Magee (Independent, Write-in) are also running in the November general election.

For more information about the primaries in this election, click on the links below:

Election news[edit]

This section includes a timeline of events leading up to the election. The timeline is updated regularly as polling, debates, and other noteworthy events occur.

  • Aug. 29, 2024: CNN/SSRS released a poll of 789 likely voters showing Casey and McCormick tied, with both candidates at 46%. The margin of error was ±4.7 percentage points.[13]
  • Aug. 28, 2024: Emerson College released a poll of 950 likely voters showing Casey at 48% and McCormick at 44%. The margin of error was ±3.6 percentage points.[14]
  • August 23, 2024: ActiVote released a poll of 400 likely voters showing Casey at 55% and McCormick at 45%. The margin of error was ±4.9 percentage points.[15]

Candidates and election results[edit]

General election

General election for U.S. Senate Pennsylvania

The following candidates are running in the general election for U.S. Senate Pennsylvania on November 5, 2024.

Candidate
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Bob_Casey__Jr._113th_Congress-7_fixed.jpg
Bob Casey Jr. (D)
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/DavidMcCormick.jpeg
David McCormick (R)
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/MartyStelker24.jpeg
Marty Selker (Constitution Party) Candidate Connection
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Alexander_Casper_20240808_101012.jpeg
Leila Hazou (G)
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/JohnThomas2024.jpg
John Thomas (L) Candidate Connection
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/CoryWidmann2023.jpg
Cory Widmann (R) (Write-in) Candidate Connection
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Quincy_Magee.jpeg
Quincy Magee (Independent) (Write-in)

Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. Senate Pennsylvania

Incumbent Bob Casey Jr. advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. Senate Pennsylvania on April 23, 2024.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Bob_Casey__Jr._113th_Congress-7_fixed.jpg
Bob Casey Jr.
 
98.3
 
1,024,545
 Other/Write-in votes
 
1.7
 
18,039

Total votes: 1,042,584
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. Senate Pennsylvania

David McCormick advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. Senate Pennsylvania on April 23, 2024.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/DavidMcCormick.jpeg
David McCormick
 
98.2
 
878,320
 Other/Write-in votes
 
1.8
 
16,539

Total votes: 894,859
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Voting information[edit]

See also: Voting in Pennsylvania

Election information in Pennsylvania: Nov. 5, 2024, election.

What is the voter registration deadline?

  • In-person: Oct. 21, 2024
  • By mail: Received by Oct. 21, 2024
  • Online: Oct. 21, 2024

Is absentee/mail-in voting available to all voters?

Yes

What is the absentee/mail-in ballot request deadline?

  • In-person: Oct. 29, 2024
  • By mail: Received by Oct. 29, 2024
  • Online: Oct. 29, 2024

What is the absentee/mail-in ballot return deadline?

  • In-person: Nov. 5, 2024
  • By mail: Received by Nov. 5, 2024

Is early voting available to all voters?

Yes

What are the early voting start and end dates?

Varies to Oct. 29, 2024

Are all voters required to present ID at the polls? If so, is a photo or non-photo ID required?

N/A

When are polls open on Election Day?

7:00 a.m. to 8:00 p.m.


Candidate comparison[edit]

Candidate profiles[edit]

This section includes candidate profiles that may be created in one of two ways: either the candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey, or Ballotpedia staff may compile a profile based on campaign websites, advertisements, and public statements after identifying the candidate as noteworthy. For more on how we select candidates to include, click here.

Image of Bob Casey Jr.

WebsiteFacebookTwitterYouTube

Party: Democratic Party

Incumbent: Yes

Political Office: 

Biography:  Casey received a bachelor’s degree from The College of the Holy Cross in 1982 and a J.D. from Catholic University. Casey worked as a teacher and a lawyer in Scranton, Pennsylvania, before running for elected office.



Key Messages

The following key messages were curated by Ballotpedia staff. For more on how we identify key messages, click here.


Casey's campaign website said he had a record of delivering results as a senator. It said, "As a United States Senator, Bob Casey has established a long record of results on behalf of the people of Pennsylvania....From legislation to crack down on terrorists’ financing, to a law that makes it easier for small businesses to expand, Senator Casey has passed into law a wide range of measures to keep Americans safe and financially secure."


Casey's campaign website described him as a voice for middle-class families, workers, and seniors. It said, "He is committed to raising wages and creating and retaining jobs across Pennsylvania."


On congressional politics, Casey's campaign website said he would opposed congressional Republicans' efforts to reduce government programs. It said, "Bob Casey is a voice for those who are threatened by Congressional Republicans’ recent attempts to give tax cuts to the ultra-rich and to undermine Social Security, Medicare and Medicaid."


Show sources

Image of David McCormick

WebsiteFacebookTwitterYouTube

Party: Republican Party

Incumbent: No

Political Office: None

Biography:  McCormick received a bachelor's degree from the United States Military Academy at West Point and a Ph.D. in international affairs from Princeton University. He worked as the CEO of Bridgewater Associates, an investment management firm, and under secretary in both the Department of Commerce and Department of Treasury. He served in the Army’s 82nd Airborne Division during the Persian Gulf War.



Key Messages

The following key messages were curated by Ballotpedia staff. For more on how we identify key messages, click here.


On the economy, McCormick's campaign website said, "He knows what it’s like to be responsible for the bottom line, and in the Senate he’ll work to rein in government spending, oppose tax increases, and exercise fiscal responsibility to lessen the burden on the people of the commonwealth."


On immigration, McCormick's campaign website said, "As Senator, Dave will fight to secure the border, put an end to drug and human trafficking, and support our border patrol agents with the resources they need to do their jobs."


On international affairs, McCormick's campaign website said he would "work to restore America’s military might, strengthen our defense industrial base, reestablish deterrence of our adversaries, and make sure the world knows we’re not planning to relinquish our superpower status anytime soon. We must show peace through strength."


Show sources

Image of Marty Selker

WebsiteFacebookTwitterYouTube

Party: Constitution Party

Incumbent: No

Political Office: None

Submitted Biography "Since my birth in 1957, Clarion County has always been my home. Within the embrace of our family enterprise alongside my father and uncle, I learned the value of hard work. When we lost my father, my brother and I stepped up to lead the business until its closure in 2010. Post-family business, I’ve laid bricks and mortar as a construction worker and currently keep the wheels turning as a truck driver for the natural gas sector. Which Pennsylvania has the second largest Natural Gas reserves in the world. My heart lies in the wilderness, where fishing, hunting, and camping are my retreats. My family is my pride—with a loving wife since 1985, three children, and five grandchildren to cherish. The 2020 election ignited my political activism, steering me towards the Constitution Party and their dedication to representing citizens without the influence of super PACs, foreign, or corporate funding resonated with. They are solely supported by the people’s contributions and adhere to the Constitution’s principles. In these pivotal times, it’s the hour for deeds, not just words."


Key Messages

To read this candidate's full survey responses, click here.


I am one of you, not a politician.


Protect the Constitution.


Protecting the American family.

Image of John Thomas

FacebookTwitter

Party: Libertarian Party

Incumbent: No

Political Office: None

Submitted Biography "I am a husband, father, grandfather, educator, Christian, and church elder. I live in the small town of Kittanning in Armstrong County, PA. About 4,000 of my neighbors call Kittanning home. While our “Greatest City in the World,” is a small town, it's nearly twice as large as my hometown of Meyersdale, in Somerset County. I'd like to bring my small-town values to the US Senate. We believe in hard work and personal responsibility. When someone falls on hard times, our communities voluntarily come together to support. Bake sales, spaghetti dinners, and silent auctions provide a safety net in our towns, without government red tape. I have been an educator for 20 years. I have taught economics, history, geography, and government. Currently, I coordinate teacher professional development for Agora Cyber Charter School. My passion as an educator drove me to run for U.S. Senate. I recognize that running as a Libertarian does not put me into a winning position. But I am not going to be one of those politicians who lies to voters about my prospects; I know they are low. Running for U.S. Senate will allow me to educate Pennsylvanians about libertarianism and expand the window of allowable opinion. Too often, Democrats and Republicans restrict the range of opinion. They allow us to debate whether the top marginal income tax rate should be 37% or 42%. But they do not allow the discussion to be whether we ought to have an income tax. I intend to have forbidden discussions."


Key Messages

To read this candidate's full survey responses, click here.


Peace - Stop War Spending


Prosperity - Stop Inflation


Pennsylvania - Protect Civil Liberties

Image of Cory Widmann

Facebook

Party: Republican Party

Incumbent: No

Political Office: None

Submitted Biography "I was born and raised in Pennsylvania, USA. I have a strong love for America and the values that bound us together. I believe in law & order with a strong police force keeping our streets safe and setting good examples for our citizenry. I believe in the American dream and it's still accessible today. I will not waiver in the fight for what I believe in."


Key Messages

To read this candidate's full survey responses, click here.


I believe in Law & Order.


Strong National Defense to protect us from threats foreign & domestic.


Setting good moral standards is paramount to our success.

Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses[edit]

Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. The section below shows responses from candidates in this race who completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well.

Survey responses from candidates in this race

Click on a candidate's name to visit their Ballotpedia page.

Note: Ballotpedia reserves the right to edit Candidate Connection survey responses. Any edits made by Ballotpedia will be clearly marked with [brackets] for the public. If the candidate disagrees with an edit, he or she may request the full removal of the survey response from Ballotpedia.org. Ballotpedia does not edit or correct typographical errors unless the candidate's campaign requests it.

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Marty Selker (Constitution)

I am one of you, not a politician.

Protect the Constitution.

Protecting the American family.
Peace - Stop War Spending

Prosperity - Stop Inflation

Pennsylvania - Protect Civil Liberties
I believe in Law & Order.

Strong National Defense to protect us from threats foreign & domestic.

Setting good moral standards is paramount to our success.
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/MartyStelker24.jpeg

Marty Selker (Constitution)

National Security, Protecting the American family, Protecting and following the Constitution, Serving Pennsylvanians, Securing the Border, Balancing the Budget, Stopping Violent Crime, and Forging Policy and Defense.
Federal spending is out of control - especially spending on foreign wars. The federal government prints money to pay for this reckless spending. Those who have access to the money first, Bankers, Bureaucrats, and Barons - benefit. However, regular blue-collar workers suffer. By the time workers see their wages increase, they have often been paying higher prices for months.
Criminal Justice, Mental Health, National Defense, 2nd Amendment, Education, Constitutional Rights, State Funding.
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/MartyStelker24.jpeg

Marty Selker (Constitution)

I look up to my father as a significant role model. His example of integrity, hard work, and dedication to family and community values is something I strive to emulate. His influence has been instrumental in shaping my beliefs, work ethic, and approach to public service.
Politically, my hero is Ron Paul. Ron Paul never compromised over something that might be unpopular. He l would go to a heavily militarized state like South Carolina, and say that the military is bloated. He would go to a heavily agricultural state and criticize farm subsidies. The man is courageous. I also look up to my wife, Sara. She taught both of our daughters how to read, and set them up for success as a homeschool mom for many years. She always shows love and support to our entire family, including our church family. Every Sunday, she makes coffee for our congregation, one of those jobs that people rarely celebrate, but always appreciate. She is humble and kind. She has a smile that still makes my heart race, after 22 years of marriage. And she is committed to Christ. I couldn’t look up to anyone the way I look up to Sara.
I look up to the example of President Ronald Reagan and Senator Mitch McConnell.
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/MartyStelker24.jpeg

Marty Selker (Constitution)

To understand my political philosophy deeply, I'd recommend delving into the Federalist Papers. This collection of essays by Alexander Hamilton, James Madison, and John Jay articulates the rationale behind the structure and powers of the U.S. Constitution, emphasizing the importance of federalism and checks and balances in safeguarding liberty and preventing tyranny. These foundational principles closely align with my views on governance and constitutional adherence.
My three book recommendations for those new to libertarianism are:

— “The Law” by Frederick Bastiat — “Economics in One Lesson” by Henry Hazlitt — “Anatomy of the State” by Murray Rothbard

Additionally, I have written a short, quick-read ebook explaining libertarian views on current issues: https://linktr.ee/johnthomaspa. It is a free download; please help yourself!
W. (2008 film)
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Marty Selker (Constitution)

I believe the most important characteristics for an elected official are integrity, dedication to the principles of the Constitution, accountability to the electorate, and a strong commitment to fiscal responsibility. These principles ensure that the government operates within its means while safeguarding the liberties and rights of its citizens. Upholding these values is crucial for maintaining trust and delivering effective governance.
Elected officials must be of sound character and have a solid grounding in principled, limited government philosophy.

Oftentimes, elections are centered on the issues of the day. However, tomorrow's issues might look very different. Voters need assurance that their senators will respond appropriately to future issues, as well as to current ones. A person who is grounded in a solid philosophical rationale for his or her positions sends a message of trustworthiness to constituents.

Sound character is important, because even if one is grounded in philosophical truths, voters need to trust that their elected officials will stand on those truths, especially when personal incentives tempt them to stray.

You will not have to guess with me. I will stand on the side of small government, personal responsibility, and individual freedom every time. Not only is this the position that will lead to the most prosperity for America, but it's also the position that is most morally sound.

I believe that my message of political and economic freedom will resound with people who desire peace and prosperity in Pennsylvania. It will resonate with people who are tired of government overreach and being fed the same-old, same-old empty promises. Your vote for me will send a message to Washington that we are ready to roll back government!
Strength of character and experience.
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Marty Selker (Constitution)

I believe my integrity, commitment to the Constitution, ability to collaborate across party lines, and dedication to fiscal responsibility equip me well for public office. These qualities ensure that I can make decisions that are in the best interest of the public, uphold the principles of democracy, and work effectively with others to address the challenges facing our nation.
I don’t plan on holding the office of U.S. Senator. I plan on using this campaign to educate people on libertarianism, and the benefits of limited government, individual liberty, and personal responsibility. I plan on sharing how peaceful policies will strengthen purchasing power, leading to a more prosperous Pennsylvania. I plan to give voice to those who know that liberty holds our culture together, but who are frustrated with the lack of liberty-defending politicians. I am the right guy for that role. I am an educator; it is my life’s work. But my passion is liberty. This campaign is about combining my life’s work with my passion. I’ve trained my whole life for it! That raises the question, however, of why I want you to vote for me if I don't expect to win. The protest vote is the most powerful vote. When Republicans and Democrats see that over 5% of Americans refuse to vote for more of the same, and they also see that the margin of victory often comes down to less than 5%, they will change their actions to win back those voters. Rather than giving your vote to the Republicans and Democrats, and getting more of the same, by voting third-party, you are telling the establishment that they have to earn your vote. You will never give it away!
Strong character and self discipline.
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Marty Selker (Constitution)

In my view, the core responsibilities of a U.S. Senator include upholding the Constitution, representing the interests and welfare of the state's residents, and legislating in a way that prioritizes national security, economic stability, and the protection of individual freedoms. A Senator should also focus on ensuring transparency, advocating for fiscal responsibility, and fostering bipartisanship to address the nation's most pressing issues effectively.
Article 1 Section 8 of the United States Constitution limits the responsibility of Congress in several ways. Senators cannot use taxes for anything other than what is expressly listed in that section. In 2025, a core responsibility of any senator ought to be cutting back spending to align with the Constitution. In addition to taxation, the Constitution gives senators additional powers. One of those is the power of impeachment. Congress is obligated to hold federal officials accountable for their actions. When government officials abuse their power, the Senate should shine a light on their corruption. Any senator who is not actively seeking to investigate how the government handled COVID three years ago is neglecting his or her duties.
The responsibility of the person inhabiting the office should uphold the image of strength of the nation.
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Marty Selker (Constitution)

I aim to leave a legacy of principled leadership, characterized by a steadfast commitment to the Constitution, unwavering support for individual liberties, and a dedication to ensuring a prosperous, secure, and inclusive future for all citizens. My hope is to be remembered as someone who worked tirelessly to bridge divides, fostered unity, and made tangible contributions to the betterment of our nation and its people.
If I am remembered as someone who loved the Lord Jesus Christ to the end, that will be enough for me. But if I am also remembered as someone who relentlessly pursued peace and prosperity for Pennsylvania, that would be a bonus!
A legacy of love over hate.
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Marty Selker (Constitution)

The first historical event I vividly remember is the assassination of President John F. Kennedy. I was six years old at the time, attending Catholic school. The news broke while I was in the lunchroom, creating a profound and somber impact that has stayed with me since. This tragic event marked a significant moment in American history, shaping the nation's collective memory and my understanding of the world's complexities from a young age.
When I was 7-years-old, the Challenger space shuttle exploded. I was in second grade, and our teacher put the launch on TV, so we could view it live. It was a particularly exciting event for my teacher, because there was a teacher on the space shuttle. I remember how upset the adults were, although I was not quite old enough to process it.

The first historical event I really remember processing was the 1992 presidential election, when I was 13. I glued myself to the TV for speeches, conventions, and the horse race political polling. Ross Perot made a strong third-party run on a single issue, balancing the federal budget. At the time, nobody thought the federal budget could be balanced. In fact, few in Washington thought they could cut the rate of growth. Ross Perot said it should be balanced completely.

He got nineteen percent of the vote. He lost. But his issue did not lose; his issue came alive!

Both parties recognized that they could not win without Perot’s voters, so in 1994, Republicans added a balanced budget to their “Contract with America,” and in 1996, Bill Clinton signed it into law.

The impossible happened. Nineteen percent of voters changed history!

This is why I tell people I don't plan on winning the election, but I still hope to get their votes. We don't need to do something impossible to change the world. We need to do something within our grasp. We need to be bold and consistent and vote for that bold, consistent message.
9/11 was the first majorly impactful event in my lifetime and I was 7 years old.
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Marty Selker (Constitution)

My very first job was working for my father and uncle, a position I held for 40 years. This long-term role provided me with a deep understanding of hard work, commitment, and the values of family-run businesses, shaping my perspective on the importance of small businesses as the backbone of our economy.
My first unpaid job was helping at my parents' auto parts store. However, I would spend as much time playing with my friends in the store basement as I did working. They displayed great wisdom in not paying me.

My first paying job was at my grandparent's restaurant as a dishwasher. I got paid $4.25 per hour, and my mother told me before my first day of work, "You are being paid to work. If you go in and slack off, you are stealing. You are not giving your grandparents what they paid for. I didn't raise a thief.” I held that job throughout high school.

If Pennsylvania elects me to cut the size of government, I will work until the job is done. My mom didn't raise a thief.
Housekeeping at Motel Sleepers inc and it was for 3 months.
It sounds like such a politician's answer, but my favorite book is the Bible. I read it from cover to cover every 10 months. I read it each morning as part of my morning routine. But it is so much more than part of my routine. It gives me inspiration, comfort, guidance, and hope.
The adventures of Tom Sawyer.
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Marty Selker (Constitution)

If I could be any fictional character, I'd choose to be Atticus Finch from "To Kill a Mockingbird." He embodies integrity, courage, and a deep commitment to justice and equality, serving as a moral compass in challenging times. His character represents the ideal blend of wisdom, empathy, and standing up for what's right, qualities that resonate with my aspirations and values.
I would like to be John Galt. I wish we all had the courage to stop the motor of the world.
Anakin Skywalker.
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Marty Selker (Constitution)

The last song that got stuck in my head was "Same Boat" by Zac Brown Band. It's a catchy tune that talks about unity and the shared experiences we all have, regardless of our backgrounds. The song has a way of bringing people together, reminding us that we're all navigating life's challenges together.
Yesterday I watched a video project my daughter created using the Scooby-Doo theme song, and it’s now stuck in my head.
What lovers do - Maroon 5
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Marty Selker (Constitution)

Navigating the balance between my professional responsibilities and personal life has been a challenge, especially in striving to maintain a strong presence and support system for my family while also dedicating myself fully to public service. This dual commitment has required continuous adjustment and prioritization to ensure that both aspects of my life receive the attention and care they deserve.
Progressive statists. I struggle to understand how people can still count on the government to solve social and economic issues, when all of history demonstrates otherwise.
My struggle with mental health and addiction.
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Marty Selker (Constitution)

Addressing the United States' greatest challenges over the next decade involves securing our borders to ensure national security and manage immigration effectively, developing and improving infrastructure to support economic growth and enhance quality of life, combating violent crime and ensuring public safety, and addressing human trafficking to protect vulnerable populations. These priorities require comprehensive strategies, cross-sector collaboration, and a commitment to upholding the rule of law and human dignity.
The United States now pays over $600 Billion per year in interest on its national debt. Currently, we are preventing extreme inflation by keeping interest rates relatively high. However, there is only so much we can do with that, when we owe $35 Trillion. Either investors lose confidence in Treasuries, or people lose confidence in the dollar, or both. This would be disastrous for Americans. To minimize this harm, we need to cut federal spending today. Not only would this help to lessen the severity of the crash, it would also allow us to begin building the local resources to help our communities once the crash comes and the Federal government becomes powerless to address problems.
Mental Health and foreign threats.
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Marty Selker (Constitution)

I believe term limits can be an effective measure to ensure fresh perspectives in government and to prevent the entrenchment of power. They encourage a continual infusion of new ideas and approaches to governance, potentially reducing the influence of long-term incumbency and special interests. However, it's important to balance this with the need for experienced leadership and deep understanding of complex issues.
Much of the power in Washington is not held by elected officials, but rather by government staffers. When a politician first comes to Washington, he relies heavily on the advice of those staffers. While term limits would help to solve the problem of senators becoming too corrupt, they would also serve to make the career staffers more powerful.

So, we would have a choice between corrupt senators, who will rob you live on C-SPAN, or corrupt Washington insiders, who will rob you behind your back, in the dark corners of the Capitol Building.

Wanting to limit congressional terms stems from recognizing the corruption that career politicians display. However, we must be careful that the cure is not worse than the disease.

When there is a strict separation between economy and state, most Congresspeople, unable to exploit their position to make themselves wealthy, will choose to limit their own time in office.

In the meantime, I suggest that the voters limit the time of their own Senators and Congress people, by refusing to vote for them.

If I am elected, and if I do not carry through with my promises to cut government, I beg you to not reelect me. The power to limit terms of senators is already in your hands. Crooked politicians try to trick the people into thinking they don't already have this power. I want to remind you that you already have this power over your Senators!
I believe members of Congress have earned the right to have no restrictions on how many terms one can serve.
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Marty Selker (Constitution)

The U.S. Senate is unique due to its role in providing equal representation for all states, regardless of size, fostering a balance of power. It's tasked with ratifying treaties, confirming presidential appointments, and serving as the court for impeachment trials. This chamber emphasizes deliberation, allowing for thorough debate and consideration of legislation and national issues, reflecting its foundational purpose as a stabilizing, thoughtful body in the legislative process.
The United States Senate lost some of its uniqueness with the passage of the 17th Amendment, which required that Senators be directly elected.. Prior to that, Senators were chosen by the state legislatures. The Constitution’s authors built Congress so that the House of Representatives answered to the people, and the Senate answered to the states. But today, both houses answer directly to the people. Therefore, the Senate is a smaller version of the House of Representatives, with some unique powers to provide advice and consent on political appointments, and to try cases of impeachment.
I believe the few members that represent the body make it a highly honorable and unique institution.
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Marty Selker (Constitution)

While previous experience in government or politics can offer valuable insights and skills, it is not the only path to becoming an effective senator. Diversity of experience can enrich deliberations, bringing fresh perspectives and innovative solutions to complex issues. What matters most is a deep commitment to serving the public, upholding constitutional principles, and possessing a thorough understanding of the issues facing our nation.
That depends upon for whom it would be beneficial. It would likely be beneficial for the senators themselves to have previous experience, since politics corrupts. Experienced politicians have a leg up on other politicians, because they have already been corrupted, and therefore have fewer moral checks on their nefarious deeds. However, previous experience is not beneficial for the people. I would rather the crooks in Washington be amateurs than professional thieves.
I believe a person can garner experience from multiple sources.
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/MartyStelker24.jpeg

Marty Selker (Constitution)

The filibuster is a complex tool in the legislative process. While it can be seen as a means to encourage bipartisanship and protect minority rights by requiring a broader consensus for legislation, it also has the potential to hinder legislative progress and be used as a tool for obstruction. My stance on the filibuster would reflect a balanced consideration of these aspects, aiming to ensure it serves the best interests of democratic governance and effective policymaking.
Anything that slows down the growth of the state is wonderful!
I am in favor of the process of the fillibuster.
Rand Paul would be a good mentor. Rand's father, Ron Paul, although never a senator, is far and away the best lawmaker of my lifetime.
Sen Mitch McConnell
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Marty Selker (Constitution)

Why don't scientists trust atoms? Because they make up everything!
Marriage is vitally important to society. Men tend to be dangerous, overzealous creatures. Women provide us with a purpose and direction, and calm some of our more extreme qualities.

Look at Boaz from the Bible. Before he was married, he was ruthless.

(It takes a bit of Biblical literacy to get the punchline.)
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Marty Selker (Constitution)

I would evaluate a judicial nominee based on their legal qualifications, judicial philosophy, adherence to the Constitution, integrity, and impartiality. Understanding their previous rulings, writings, and statements would be crucial to assess their approach to law and justice. Their commitment to upholding the rule of law above personal or political considerations is paramount.
I would spend more time looking at his or her record than asking questions. When cameras are on, people can say anything. I would let their records speak for themselves. I would look for evidence that they believe in the Constitution as ratified. If their interpretation of the Constitution would be unrecognizable to the authors of the Constitution, relying more on progressive era politics than strictly following the historical evidence, I would reject them immediately. The Constitution and the Constitutional Ratification Debates should be the guide.
I would evaluate on the basis of strength of character.
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Marty Selker (Constitution)

I would strive to build respectful, collaborative relationships with other senators, emphasizing open communication, mutual respect, and a willingness to work across party lines. These relationships would be crucial for advancing legislation that serves the nation's best interests, addressing complex challenges, and fostering a productive and cooperative legislative environment.
Other Senators would never have to guess where I stood on issues. I will always stand on the side of individual rights, less government, and personal responsibility. Therefore, we could likely have cordial relationships. However, they may grow tired of me constantly blocking their attempts at corruption, and shining lights into the darkness of their schemes. (On second thought, our relationship might not be that cordial.)
I would build a relationship on trust and respect.
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Marty Selker (Constitution)

Yes, compromise is both necessary and desirable for policymaking. It is essential for navigating the complexities of diverse perspectives and interests, enabling legislators to achieve balanced and effective solutions. Through compromise, we can foster bipartisan cooperation, address a broader range of concerns, and enact policies that are more sustainable and widely accepted.
Not every hill is one worth dying on. However, if you don’t identify which hills are worth it, you will give up every hill. The hill I will die on is resisting government growth. I will compromise only on how much any particular bill or policy shrinks the government. For instance, I desire to get taxes as close to zero as possible. If someone wants to cut them by 5%, I will make that compromise, because it takes us in the right direction. I will not make the perfect the enemy of the good, but I will not support bad policies just for some future favors. Some hills are worth dying on.
Yes but not always.
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/MartyStelker24.jpeg

Marty Selker (Constitution)

The U.S. Senate should use its investigative powers responsibly, to oversee government operations, ensure accountability, and protect public interests. Investigations should be conducted with objectivity, focused on gathering facts, and aimed at improving governance and policy. This tool is vital for maintaining checks and balances within the federal government.
The Senate should investigate the COVID regime. The lockdowns of 2020 and 2021 and Biden’s vaccine mandates were low points in American history. But, as low as they were, it would even be worse if those responsible were to go unpunished. Justice is important to a healthy society. The Senate should investigate every aspect of how science was weaponized against the American people.
The Senate should seek full transparency in government.
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Marty Selker (Constitution)

Constitution Party
The Libertarian Party of Pennsylvania The Libertarian Medical Freedom Caucus
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Marty Selker (Constitution)

When deciding whether to confirm presidential appointees to their Cabinet, I would prioritize qualifications, integrity, and their ability to uphold the Constitution. Their track record in public service or relevant sectors would be scrutinized for effectiveness, leadership, and commitment to transparency and ethical standards. Additionally, their views and policies should align with ensuring the prosperity and security of the nation, while also respecting the principles of limited government and individual liberties.
For almost every cabinet-level position, I would ask the appointees how quickly they could get pink slips into the hands of every bureaucrat working for their department. I would also ask what real estate agency they would recommend for selling the building their agency occupies.
Strong character.
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Marty Selker (Constitution)

The Commerce, Science, and Transportation Committee interests me for its oversight on issues vital to economic growth and technological innovation. The Energy and Natural Resources Committee is crucial for addressing energy policy, conservation, and land use, aligning with my focus on sustainable development. Lastly, the Health, Education, Labor, and Pensions Committee is key for impacting public health, education quality, workforce conditions, and retirement security, reflecting my commitment to improving Americans' welfare and future.
I would like to serve on the Banking Committee, so I could help to dismantle the Federal Reserve, and the Foreign Relations Committee, so I could work to eliminate the bribes that we send to corrupt dictators around the globe.
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Marty Selker (Constitution)

I firmly believe in the utmost importance of financial transparency and government accountability. These principles are fundamental to ensuring public trust and effective governance. It's essential that elected officials and government entities are open about their financial dealings and decision-making processes, allowing for public oversight and scrutiny. This transparency helps to prevent corruption, fosters trust in government institutions, and ensures that public resources are used responsibly and in the best interest of the citizens.
There ought to be a strict separation between economy and state. When government policies profoundly impact industries, those industries see large fluctuations in their values. This allows corrupt government officials to make millions, or even billions of dollars. Meanwhile, regular Americans struggle to put food on the table and pay medical expenses.

Some well-intended politicians have tried to add layers upon layers of regulations to prevent this type of profiteering. However, this simply makes it more complicated for the people - who ought to be holding politicians accountable - to respond. In fact, these regulations have created a new group in the wealthy class: those who help politicians navigate the laws to still make their millions.

If we were to return to a place where Congress had only the powers listed for them by the Constitution, we would then be able to have that strict separation between economy and state. Their hands would be tied. Politicians couldn’t raise the value of one stock, or drop the value of another by changing regulations. Politicians couldn’t crush the competition of an established business, to protect their investments. They wouldn’t have these powers. They would only have the powers granted to them in the Constitution.


You can ask candidates in this race to fill out the survey by clicking their names below:


Campaign ads[edit]

Democratic Party Bob Casey Jr.[edit]
July 10, 2024
June 26, 2024
June 25, 2024

View more ads here:

Republican Party David McCormick[edit]
July 3, 2024
July 2, 2024
June 26, 2024

View more ads here:

Debates and forums[edit]

This section includes links to debates, forums, and other similar events where multiple candidates in this race participated. If you are aware of any debates or forums that should be included, please email us.

Polls[edit]

See also: Ballotpedia's approach to covering polls

Polls are conducted with a variety of methodologies and have margins of error or credibility intervals.[21] The Pew Research Center wrote, "A margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points at the 95% confidence level means that if we fielded the same survey 100 times, we would expect the result to be within 3 percentage points of the true population value 95 of those times."[22] For tips on reading polls from FiveThirtyEight, click here. For tips from Pew, click here.

Below we provide results for polls that are included in polling aggregation from FiveThirtyEight and RealClearPolitics, when available. Click here to read about FiveThirtyEight's criteria for including polls in its aggregation. We only report polls for which we can find a margin of error or credibility interval.


United States Senate election in Pennsylvania, 2024, general election polls
Poll Date Democratic Party Casey Republican Party McCormick Undecided/Other Margin of error Sample size[23] Sponsor[24]
CNN/SSRS Aug. 23-29, 2024 46% 46% 8% ±4.7 789 N/A
Emerson College Aug. 25-28, 2024 48% 44% 8% ±3.6 950 The Hill
ActiVote Aug. 3-23, 2024 55% 45% ±4.9 400 N/A
Fabriazo Wizard Aug. 19-21, 2024 46% 43% 11% ±4.9 400 Pinpoint Policy Institute
Cygnal Aug. 14-15, 2024 46% 42% 12% ±3.4 800 N/A


Race ratings[edit]

See also: Race rating definitions and methods

Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:

  • Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
  • Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
  • Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[27]
  • Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.

Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[28][29][30]

Race ratings: U.S. Senate election in Pennsylvania, 2024
Race trackerRace ratings
September 24, 2024September 17, 2024September 10, 2024September 3, 2024
The Cook Political Report with Amy WalterLean DemocraticLean DemocraticLean DemocraticLean Democratic
Decision Desk HQ and The HillLean DemocraticLean DemocraticLean DemocraticLean Democratic
Inside Elections with Nathan L. GonzalesTilt DemocraticTilt DemocraticTilt DemocraticTilt Democratic
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal BallLean DemocraticLean DemocraticLean DemocraticLean Democratic
Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week.

Noteworthy endorsements[edit]

See also: Ballotpedia: Our approach to covering endorsements

This section lists noteworthy endorsements issued in this election, including those made by high-profile individuals and organizations, cross-party endorsements, and endorsements made by newspaper editorial boards. It also includes a bulleted list of links to official lists of endorsements for any candidates who published that information on their campaign websites. Please note that this list is not exhaustive. If you are aware of endorsements that should be included, please click here.

General election endorsements
Endorser Democratic Party Bob Casey Jr.
Organizations
Democratic Majority for Israel PAC  source

Election spending[edit]

Campaign finance[edit]

Name Party Receipts* Disbursements** Cash on hand Date
Bob Casey Jr. Democratic Party $31,831,903 $23,893,851 $8,426,069 As of June 30, 2024
David McCormick Republican Party $18,063,787 $9,799,118 $8,272,490 As of June 30, 2024
Marty Selker Constitution Party $10,983 $9,291 $1,693 As of June 30, 2024
Leila Hazou Green Party $0 $0 $0 Data not available***
John Thomas Libertarian Party $0 $0 $0 Data not available***

Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2024. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).

* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee."
** According to the FEC, a disbursement "is a purchase, payment, distribution, loan, advance, deposit or gift of money or anything of value to influence a federal election," plus other kinds of payments not made to influence a federal election.
*** Candidate either did not report any receipts or disbursements to the FEC, or Ballotpedia did not find an FEC candidate ID.

Satellite spending[edit]

See also: Satellite spending

Satellite spending describes political spending not controlled by candidates or their campaigns; that is, any political expenditures made by groups or individuals that are not directly affiliated with a candidate. This includes spending by political party committees, super PACs, trade associations, and 501(c)(4) nonprofit groups.[31][32]

If available, satellite spending reports by the Federal Election Commission (FEC) and OpenSecrets.org are linked below. FEC links include totals from monthly, quarterly, and semi-annual reports. OpenSecrets.org compiles data from those reports as well as 24- and 48-hour reports from the FEC.[33]

Details about satellite spending of significant amounts and/or reported by media are included below those links. The amounts listed may not represent the total satellite spending in the election. To notify us of additional satellite spending, email us.

By candidate By election

Election context[edit]

Ballot access requirements[edit]

The table below details filing requirements for U.S. Senate candidates in Pennsylvania in the 2024 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Pennsylvania, click here.

Filing requirements for U.S. Senate candidates, 2024
State Office Party Signatures required Filing fee Filing deadline Source
Pennsylvania U.S. Senate Ballot-qualified party 2,000 $200.00 2/13/2024 Source
Pennsylvania U.S. Senate Unaffiliated 2% of the largest entire vote cast for any elected statewide candidate in the last election $200.00 8/1/2024 Source

Election history[edit]

The section below details election results for this state's U.S. Senate elections dating back to 2016.

2022

See also: United States Senate election in Pennsylvania, 2022

General election

General election for U.S. Senate Pennsylvania

The following candidates ran in the general election for U.S. Senate Pennsylvania on November 8, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/John-Fetterman.PNG
John Fetterman (D)
 
51.2
 
2,751,012
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/moz.jpg
Mehmet Oz (R)
 
46.3
 
2,487,260
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/ErikGerhardt.png
Erik Chase Gerhardt (L)
 
1.4
 
72,887
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/rweiss.jpg
Richard Weiss (G) Candidate Connection
 
0.6
 
30,434
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/DanielWassmer.jpg
Daniel Wassmer (Keystone Party of Pennsylvania)
 
0.5
 
26,428
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Quincy_Magee.jpeg
Quincy Magee (Independent) (Write-in)
 
0.0
 
0
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/RonaldJohnsonPA.jpeg
Ronald Johnson (Constitution Party) (Write-in) Candidate Connection
 
0.0
 
0

Total votes: 5,368,021
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. Senate Pennsylvania

John Fetterman defeated Conor Lamb, Malcolm Kenyatta, and Alexandria Khalil in the Democratic primary for U.S. Senate Pennsylvania on May 17, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/John-Fetterman.PNG
John Fetterman
 
58.6
 
753,557
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Conor_Lamb__Official_Portrait__115th_Congress_RESIZE_fixed.jpg
Conor Lamb
 
26.3
 
337,498
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Malcolm_Kenyatta_24.jpg
Malcolm Kenyatta
 
10.8
 
139,393
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/AlexandriaKhalil.jpeg
Alexandria Khalil
 
4.2
 
54,460

Total votes: 1,284,908
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. Senate Pennsylvania

The following candidates ran in the Republican primary for U.S. Senate Pennsylvania on May 17, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/moz.jpg
Mehmet Oz
 
31.2
 
420,168
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/DavidMcCormick.jpeg
David McCormick
 
31.1
 
419,218
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/KathyBarnette.jpg
Kathy Barnette
 
24.7
 
331,903
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/csands.jpg
Carla Sands
 
5.4
 
73,360
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/jbartos.jpeg
Jeff Bartos
 
5.0
 
66,684
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/seangale.jpg
Sean Gale
 
1.5
 
20,266
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/George_Bochetto.jpeg
George Bochetto
 
1.1
 
14,492

Total votes: 1,346,091
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

2018

General election

General election for U.S. Senate Pennsylvania

Incumbent Bob Casey Jr. defeated Lou Barletta, Dale Kerns, and Neal Gale in the general election for U.S. Senate Pennsylvania on November 6, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Bob_Casey__Jr._113th_Congress-7_fixed.jpg
Bob Casey Jr. (D)
 
55.7
 
2,792,437
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Lou-Barletta.PNG
Lou Barletta (R) Candidate Connection
 
42.6
 
2,134,848
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/DaleKerns2018.jpg
Dale Kerns (L) Candidate Connection
 
1.0
 
50,907
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Neal_Gale_.jpg
Neal Gale (G) Candidate Connection
 
0.6
 
31,208

Total votes: 5,009,400
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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2016

See also: United States Senate election in Pennsylvania, 2016

The race for Pennsylvania's U.S. Senate seat was one of nine competitive battleground races in 2016 that helped Republicans keep control of the upper chamber after the November 8 general election. Incumbent Pat Toomey (R), who began serving in the Senate in 2011, defeated Katie McGinty (D), Edward Clifford III (L), and write-in candidate Everett Stern (I) in the general election.

Toomey ran his campaign separately from Donald Trump, and he did not tell people who he would vote for on Election Day. Toomey said, “You know, I’m not campaigning with Donald Trump. He’s running his campaign. I’m running mine.”[34][35][36]

Hillary Clinton, who campaigned with McGinty in October, criticized Toomey for not rejecting Trump as his party’s nominee. She said, “How much does he have to hear or to see? If he doesn’t have the courage to stand up against Donald Trump after all of this, then how will he stand up to special interests and powerful forces that are going to be trying to have their way in Washington?”[36]

Speaking about his campaign strategy, Toomey said, “I am convinced that Pennsylvania voters are going to make a complete separation in their minds. … There’s a presidential race going on, quite obviously, lots of attention, lots of focus, everybody’s got their opinion about it, and then there’s a totally separate thing happening in the Senate race — an incumbent senator most people know and an opponent. Totally separate campaign and totally separate judgment.”[36] Toomey stated on Election Day that he voted for Trump.[37]


U.S. Senate, Pennsylvania General Election, 2016
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngPat Toomey Incumbent 48.8% 2,951,702
     Democratic Katie McGinty 47.3% 2,865,012
     Libertarian Edward Clifford 3.9% 235,142
Total Votes 6,051,856
Source: Pennsylvania Department of State

U.S. Senate, Pennsylvania Democratic Primary, 2016
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngKatie McGinty 42.5% 669,774
Joe Sestak 32.6% 513,221
John Fetterman 19.5% 307,090
Joseph Vodvarka 5.4% 85,837
Total Votes 1,575,922
Source: Pennsylvania Department of State



Election analysis[edit]

Click the tabs below to view information about demographics, past elections, and partisan control of the state.

  • Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the state.
  • Statewide elections - Information about recent U.S. Senate and gubernatorial elections in the state.
  • State partisanship - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.
  • Demographics - Information about the state's demographics and how they compare to the country as a whole.


See also: Presidential voting trends in Pennsylvania and The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index

Cook PVI by congressional district

Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index for Pennsylvania, 2024
District Incumbent Party PVI
Pennsylvania's 1st Brian Fitzpatrick Ends.png Republican Even
Pennsylvania's 2nd Brendan Boyle Electiondot.png Democratic D+20
Pennsylvania's 3rd Dwight Evans Electiondot.png Democratic D+39
Pennsylvania's 4th Madeleine Dean Electiondot.png Democratic D+7
Pennsylvania's 5th Mary Gay Scanlon Electiondot.png Democratic D+14
Pennsylvania's 6th Chrissy Houlahan Electiondot.png Democratic D+5
Pennsylvania's 7th Susan Wild Electiondot.png Democratic R+2
Pennsylvania's 8th Matt Cartwright Electiondot.png Democratic R+4
Pennsylvania's 9th Dan Meuser Ends.png Republican R+21
Pennsylvania's 10th Scott Perry Ends.png Republican R+5
Pennsylvania's 11th Lloyd Smucker Ends.png Republican R+13
Pennsylvania's 12th Summer Lee Electiondot.png Democratic D+8
Pennsylvania's 13th John Joyce Ends.png Republican R+25
Pennsylvania's 14th Guy Reschenthaler Ends.png Republican R+18
Pennsylvania's 15th Glenn Thompson Ends.png Republican R+21
Pennsylvania's 16th Mike Kelly Ends.png Republican R+13
Pennsylvania's 17th Christopher Deluzio Electiondot.png Democratic Even


2020 presidential results by 2024 congressional district lines

2020 presidential results in congressional districts based on 2024 district lines, Pennsylvania[38]
District Joe Biden Democratic Party Donald Trump Republican Party
Pennsylvania's 1st 51.8% 47.2%
Pennsylvania's 2nd 71.0% 28.3%
Pennsylvania's 3rd 90.2% 9.3%
Pennsylvania's 4th 58.9% 40.0%
Pennsylvania's 5th 65.7% 33.4%
Pennsylvania's 6th 56.8% 42.0%
Pennsylvania's 7th 49.7% 49.1%
Pennsylvania's 8th 48.0% 50.9%
Pennsylvania's 9th 31.0% 67.5%
Pennsylvania's 10th 47.2% 51.3%
Pennsylvania's 11th 38.6% 59.9%
Pennsylvania's 12th 59.4% 39.5%
Pennsylvania's 13th 26.8% 72.0%
Pennsylvania's 14th 33.7% 65.2%
Pennsylvania's 15th 30.8% 67.8%
Pennsylvania's 16th 39.0% 59.7%
Pennsylvania's 17th 52.3% 46.5%


2012-2020

How a state's counties vote in a presidential election and the size of those counties can provide additional insights into election outcomes at other levels of government including statewide and congressional races. Below, four categories are used to describe each county's voting pattern over the 2012, 2016, and 2020 presidential elections: Solid, Trending, Battleground, and New. Click [show] on the table below for examples:


Following the 2020 presidential election, 47.2% of Pennsylvanians lived in one of the state's 10 Solid Democratic counties, which voted for the Democratic presidential candidate in every election from 2012 to 2020, and 41.7% lived in one of 53 Solid Republican counties. Overall, Pennsylvania was Battleground Democratic, having voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2012, Donald Trump (R) in 2016, and Joe Biden (D) in 2020. Use the table below to view the total number of each type of county in Pennsylvania following the 2020 election as well as the overall percentage of the state population located in each county type.

Historical voting trends

Pennsylvania presidential election results (1900-2020)

  • 14 Democratic wins
  • 16 Republican wins
  • 1 other win
Year 1900 1904 1908 1912 1916 1920 1924 1928 1932 1936 1940 1944 1948 1952 1956 1960 1964 1968 1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020
Winning Party R R R P[39] R R R R R D D D R R R D D D R D R R R D D D D D D R D

This section details the results of the five most recent U.S. Senate and gubernatorial elections held in the state.

U.S. Senate elections[edit]

See also: List of United States Senators from Pennsylvania

The table below details the vote in the five most recent U.S. Senate races in Pennsylvania.

U.S. Senate election results in Pennsylvania
Race Winner Runner up
2022 51.2%Democratic Party 46.3%Republican Party
2018 55.7%Democratic Party 42.6%Republican Party
2016 48.9%Republican Party 47.2%Democratic Party
2012 53.7%Democratic Party 44.6%Republican Party
2010 51.0%Republican Party 49.0%Democratic Party
Average 53.6 44.9

Gubernatorial elections[edit]

See also: Governor of Pennsylvania

The table below details the vote in the five most recent gubernatorial elections in Pennsylvania.

Gubernatorial election results in Pennsylvania
Race Winner Runner up
2022 56.5%Democratic Party 41.7%Republican Party
2018 57.8%Democratic Party 40.7%Republican Party
2014 54.9%Democratic Party 45.1%Republican Party
2010 54.5%Republican Party 45.5%Democratic Party
2006 60.3%Democratic Party 39.6%Republican Party
Average 56.2 43.1
See also: Party control of Pennsylvania state government

Congressional delegation

The table below displays the partisan composition of Pennsylvania's congressional delegation as of May 2024.

Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Pennsylvania
Party U.S. Senate U.S. House Total
Democratic 2 9 11
Republican 0 8 8
Independent 0 0 0
Vacancies 0 0 0
Total 2 17 19

State executive

The table below displays the officeholders in Pennsylvania's top four state executive offices as of May 2024.

State executive officials in Pennsylvania, May 2024
Office Officeholder
Governor Democratic Party Josh Shapiro
Lieutenant Governor Democratic Party Austin Davis
Secretary of State Republican Party Al Schmidt
Attorney General Democratic Party Michelle Henry

State legislature

Pennsylvania State Senate[edit]

Party As of February 2024
     Democratic Party 22
     Republican Party 28
     Independent 0
     Other 0
     Vacancies 0
Total 50

Pennsylvania House of Representatives[edit]

Party As of February 2024
     Democratic Party 101
     Republican Party 100
     Other 0
     Vacancies 2
Total 203

Trifecta control

The table below shows the state's trifecta status from 1992 until 2024.

Pennsylvania Party Control: 1992-2024
One year of a Democratic trifecta  •  Twelve years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.

Year 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Governor D D D R R R R R R R R D D D D D D D D R R R R D D D D D D D D D D
Senate R D R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R
House D D D R R R R R R R R R R R R D D D D R R R R R R R R R R R R D D

The table below details demographic data in Pennsylvania and compares it to the broader United States as of 2022.

Demographic Data for Pennsylvania
Pennsylvania United States
Population 13,002,700 331,449,281
Land area (sq mi) 44,741 3,531,905
Race and ethnicity**
White 77.1% 65.9%
Black/African American 10.8% 12.5%
Asian 3.6% 5.8%
Native American 0.2% 0.8%
Pacific Islander 0% 0.2%
Two or more 5.1% 8.8%
Hispanic/Latino 8.1% 18.7%
Education
High school graduation rate 91.7% 89.1%
College graduation rate 33.8% 34.3%
Income
Median household income $73,170 $75,149
Persons below poverty level 8% 8.8%
Source: population provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "Decennial Census" (2020). Other figures provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2017-2022).
**Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here.

2024 battleground elections[edit]

See also: Battlegrounds

This is a battleground election. Other 2024 battleground elections include:

See also[edit]

Pennsylvania 2024 primaries 2024 U.S. Congress elections
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Pennsylvania congressional delegation
Voting in Pennsylvania
Pennsylvania elections:
2024202320222021202020192018
Democratic primary battlegrounds
Republican primary battlegrounds
U.S. Senate Democratic primaries
U.S. Senate Republican primaries
U.S. House Democratic primaries
U.S. House Republican primaries
U.S. Congress elections
U.S. Senate elections
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Special elections
Ballot access

External links[edit]

Footnotes[edit]

  1. Associated Press, "Casey and McCormick to face each other as nominees in Pennsylvania’s high-stakes US Senate contest," April 23, 2024
  2. FiveThirtyEight, "Latest Polls," July 11, 2024
  3. Bob Casey U.S. Senator for Pennsylvania, "About Bob," accessed July 16, 2024
  4. Britannica, "Bob Casey Jr.," accessed July 16, 2024
  5. C-SPAN, "Bob Casey Jr.," accessed July 16, 2024
  6. Bob Casey U.S. Senate, "Meet Bob," accessed July 16, 2024
  7. Bob Casey, U.S. Senator for Pennsylvania, "Casey: National Security Bill “Sends Clear Message to Our Adversaries," April 23, 2024
  8. 8.0 8.1 McCormick U.S. Senate, "Meet Dave," accessed July 16, 2024
  9. McCormick U.S. Senate, "Confronting China," accessed July 16, 2024
  10. McCormick U.S. Senate, "Unleashing PA Energy," accessed July 16, 2024
  11. McCormick U.S. Senate, "Shaking Up Washington," accessed July 16, 2024
  12. McCormick U.S. Senate, "Supporting Families," accessed July 16, 2024
  13. CNN Politics, "CNN polls across six battlegrounds find Georgia and Pennsylvania are key toss-ups," September 4, 2024
  14. Emerson College, "August 2024 Swing State Polls: Toss-up Presidential Election in Swing States," August 29, 2024
  15. Casey Has Significantly Lead in Pennsylvania," August 23, 2024
  16. Pinpoint, "Blue Wall Survey," August 1, 2024
  17. Cygnal, "Pennsylvania Poll: Despite political turbulence, McCormick remains within striking distance of Casey," August 15, 2024
  18. YouGov, "The Times / SAY Poll," July 15, 2024
  19. The New York Times, "Toplines: July 2024 Times/Siena Poll of Registered Voters in Pennsylvania," July 15, 2024
  20. American Fuel & Petrochemical Manufacturers (AFPM), "Voter Sentiment on Gas Car Ban and EV Mandate Policies Nationally and in Key States," July 8, 2024
  21. For more information on the difference between margins of error and credibility intervals, see explanations from the American Association for Public Opinion Research and Ipsos.
  22. Pew Research Center, "5 key things to know about the margin of error in election polls," September 8, 2016
  23. RV=Registered Voters
    LV=Likely Voters
  24. The sponsor is the person or group that funded all or part of the poll.
  25. RV=Registered Voters
    LV=Likely Voters
  26. The sponsor is the person or group that funded all or part of the poll.
  27. Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
  28. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
  29. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
  30. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
  31. OpenSecrets.org, "Outside Spending," accessed December 12, 2021
  32. OpenSecrets.org, "Total Outside Spending by Election Cycle, All Groups," accessed December 12, 2021
  33. Amee LaTour, Email correspondence with the Center for Responsive Politics, August 5, 2022
  34. Real Clear Politics, "Pennsylvania: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein," accessed October 24, 2016
  35. Real Clear Politics, "Pennsylvania Senate - Toomey vs. McGinty," accessed October 24, 2016
  36. 36.0 36.1 36.2 The Los Angeles Times, "A Republican Senator's strategy to save his seat in one of the country's tightest races: Avoid Trump," accessed October 24, 2016
  37. The New York Times, "Patrick Toomey Wins Re-election in Pennsylvania Senate Race," accessed November 11, 2016
  38. Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' presidential results by congressional district for 2020, 2016, and 2012," accessed December 15, 2023
  39. Progressive Party


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Democratic Party (11)
Republican Party (8)



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