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← 2022
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U.S. Senate, Pennsylvania |
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Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
Election details |
Filing deadline: February 13, 2024 |
Primary: April 23, 2024 General: November 5, 2024 |
How to vote |
Poll times: 7 a.m. to 8 p.m. Voting in Pennsylvania |
Race ratings |
DDHQ and The Hill: Lean Democratic Inside Elections: Tilt Democratic Sabato's Crystal Ball: Lean Democratic |
Ballotpedia analysis |
U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2024 |
See also |
U.S. Senate • 1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th • 5th • 6th • 7th • 8th • 9th • 10th • 11th • 12th • 13th • 14th • 15th • 16th • 17th Pennsylvania elections, 2024 U.S. Congress elections, 2024 U.S. Senate elections, 2024 U.S. House elections, 2024 |
Incumbent U.S. Sen. Bob Casey Jr. (D), David McCormick (R), and five other candidates are running for the U.S. Senate in Pennsylvania on Nov. 5, 2024.
According to the AP's Marc Levy, "McCormick’s candidacy is shaping up as the strongest challenge to Casey in his three reelection bids...The Senate candidates will share a ticket with candidates for president in a state that is critical to whether Democrats can maintain control of the White House and the Senate."[1]
Casey was first elected in 2006, defeating then-incumbent Rick Santorum (R) 56.7%-41.3%. As of September 18, 2024, The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter, Decision Desk HQ and The Hill, Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales, and Larry J. Sabato’s Crystal Ball rated the election as a lean or tilt Democratic. According to a July 11 New York Times poll, Casey Jr. led McCormick 50%-42%. The poll had a margin of error of plus or minus 3.8 percentage points.[2]
Casey received a bachelor’s degree from The College of the Holy Cross in 1982 and a J.D. from The Catholic University of America.[3] Casey worked as a teacher and a lawyer in Scranton, Pennsylvania before running for elected office.[4] He served as Pennsylvania Auditor General from 1997-2005 and as Pennsylvania Treasurer from 2005-2007.[5]
In a statement published on his website, Casey said he supports policies that combat terrorism, make it easier for small businesses to expand, and increase financial security for families, workers, and seniors. His website also says Casey supports policies he believes give a voice to those who he says "are threatened by Congressional Republicans' recent attempts to give tax cuts to the ultra-rich and to undermine Social Security, Medicare and Medicaid."[6][7]
McCormick received a bachelor's degree from the United States Military Academy at West Point and a Ph.D. in international affairs from Princeton University.[8] McCormick worked as the CEO of Bridgewater Associates, an investment management firm, and under secretary in both the Department of Commerce and Department of Treasury. He served in the Army’s 82nd Airborne Division during the Persian Gulf War.[8]
On his campaign website, McCormick says he will support policies that reduce China’s influence on the U.S., increase energy production in Pennsylvania, take on the culture of Washington to rein in federal spending and increase government accountability, reduce financial burdens on families, and strengthen national defense.[9][10][11][12]
As of April 3, 2024, Casey Jr. raised $23.8 million in campaign finance, and McCormick raised $11.1 million.
Marty Selker (Constitution Party), Leila Hazou (G), John Thomas (L), Hussein Tartour-Aguirre (Independent), and Quincy Magee (Independent, Write-in) are also running in the November general election.
For more information about the primaries in this election, click on the links below:
This section includes a timeline of events leading up to the election. The timeline is updated regularly as polling, debates, and other noteworthy events occur.
The following candidates are running in the general election for U.S. Senate Pennsylvania on November 5, 2024.
Candidate | ||
Bob Casey Jr. (D) | ||
David McCormick (R) | ||
Marty Selker (Constitution Party) | ||
Leila Hazou (G) | ||
John Thomas (L) | ||
Cory Widmann (R) (Write-in) | ||
Quincy Magee (Independent) (Write-in) |
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Incumbent Bob Casey Jr. advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. Senate Pennsylvania on April 23, 2024.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Bob Casey Jr. | 98.3 | 1,024,545 | |
Other/Write-in votes | 1.7 | 18,039 |
Total votes: 1,042,584 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
David McCormick advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. Senate Pennsylvania on April 23, 2024.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | David McCormick | 98.2 | 878,320 | |
Other/Write-in votes | 1.8 | 16,539 |
Total votes: 894,859 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
This section includes candidate profiles that may be created in one of two ways: either the candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey, or Ballotpedia staff may compile a profile based on campaign websites, advertisements, and public statements after identifying the candidate as noteworthy. For more on how we select candidates to include, click here.
Party: Democratic Party
Incumbent: Yes
Political Office:
Biography: Casey received a bachelor’s degree from The College of the Holy Cross in 1982 and a J.D. from Catholic University. Casey worked as a teacher and a lawyer in Scranton, Pennsylvania, before running for elected office.
Show sources
Party: Republican Party
Incumbent: No
Political Office: None
Biography: McCormick received a bachelor's degree from the United States Military Academy at West Point and a Ph.D. in international affairs from Princeton University. He worked as the CEO of Bridgewater Associates, an investment management firm, and under secretary in both the Department of Commerce and Department of Treasury. He served in the Army’s 82nd Airborne Division during the Persian Gulf War.
Show sources
Party: Constitution Party
Incumbent: No
Political Office: None
Submitted Biography: "Since my birth in 1957, Clarion County has always been my home. Within the embrace of our family enterprise alongside my father and uncle, I learned the value of hard work. When we lost my father, my brother and I stepped up to lead the business until its closure in 2010. Post-family business, I’ve laid bricks and mortar as a construction worker and currently keep the wheels turning as a truck driver for the natural gas sector. Which Pennsylvania has the second largest Natural Gas reserves in the world. My heart lies in the wilderness, where fishing, hunting, and camping are my retreats. My family is my pride—with a loving wife since 1985, three children, and five grandchildren to cherish. The 2020 election ignited my political activism, steering me towards the Constitution Party and their dedication to representing citizens without the influence of super PACs, foreign, or corporate funding resonated with. They are solely supported by the people’s contributions and adhere to the Constitution’s principles. In these pivotal times, it’s the hour for deeds, not just words."
Party: Libertarian Party
Incumbent: No
Political Office: None
Submitted Biography: "I am a husband, father, grandfather, educator, Christian, and church elder. I live in the small town of Kittanning in Armstrong County, PA. About 4,000 of my neighbors call Kittanning home. While our “Greatest City in the World,” is a small town, it's nearly twice as large as my hometown of Meyersdale, in Somerset County. I'd like to bring my small-town values to the US Senate. We believe in hard work and personal responsibility. When someone falls on hard times, our communities voluntarily come together to support. Bake sales, spaghetti dinners, and silent auctions provide a safety net in our towns, without government red tape. I have been an educator for 20 years. I have taught economics, history, geography, and government. Currently, I coordinate teacher professional development for Agora Cyber Charter School. My passion as an educator drove me to run for U.S. Senate. I recognize that running as a Libertarian does not put me into a winning position. But I am not going to be one of those politicians who lies to voters about my prospects; I know they are low. Running for U.S. Senate will allow me to educate Pennsylvanians about libertarianism and expand the window of allowable opinion. Too often, Democrats and Republicans restrict the range of opinion. They allow us to debate whether the top marginal income tax rate should be 37% or 42%. But they do not allow the discussion to be whether we ought to have an income tax. I intend to have forbidden discussions."
Party: Republican Party
Incumbent: No
Political Office: None
Submitted Biography: "I was born and raised in Pennsylvania, USA. I have a strong love for America and the values that bound us together. I believe in law & order with a strong police force keeping our streets safe and setting good examples for our citizenry. I believe in the American dream and it's still accessible today. I will not waiver in the fight for what I believe in."
Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. The section below shows responses from candidates in this race who completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well.
Survey responses from candidates in this race
Click on a candidate's name to visit their Ballotpedia page.
Note: Ballotpedia reserves the right to edit Candidate Connection survey responses. Any edits made by Ballotpedia will be clearly marked with [brackets] for the public. If the candidate disagrees with an edit, he or she may request the full removal of the survey response from Ballotpedia.org. Ballotpedia does not edit or correct typographical errors unless the candidate's campaign requests it.
Collapse all
|Marty Selker (Constitution)
John Thomas (L)
Cory Widmann (R)
Marty Selker (Constitution)
John Thomas (L)
Cory Widmann (R)
Marty Selker (Constitution)
John Thomas (L)
Cory Widmann (R)
Marty Selker (Constitution)
John Thomas (L)
— “The Law” by Frederick Bastiat — “Economics in One Lesson” by Henry Hazlitt — “Anatomy of the State” by Murray Rothbard
Additionally, I have written a short, quick-read ebook explaining libertarian views on current issues: https://linktr.ee/johnthomaspa. It is a free download; please help yourself!Cory Widmann (R)
Marty Selker (Constitution)
John Thomas (L)
Oftentimes, elections are centered on the issues of the day. However, tomorrow's issues might look very different. Voters need assurance that their senators will respond appropriately to future issues, as well as to current ones. A person who is grounded in a solid philosophical rationale for his or her positions sends a message of trustworthiness to constituents.
Sound character is important, because even if one is grounded in philosophical truths, voters need to trust that their elected officials will stand on those truths, especially when personal incentives tempt them to stray.
You will not have to guess with me. I will stand on the side of small government, personal responsibility, and individual freedom every time. Not only is this the position that will lead to the most prosperity for America, but it's also the position that is most morally sound.
I believe that my message of political and economic freedom will resound with people who desire peace and prosperity in Pennsylvania. It will resonate with people who are tired of government overreach and being fed the same-old, same-old empty promises. Your vote for me will send a message to Washington that we are ready to roll back government!Cory Widmann (R)
Marty Selker (Constitution)
John Thomas (L)
Cory Widmann (R)
Marty Selker (Constitution)
John Thomas (L)
Cory Widmann (R)
Marty Selker (Constitution)
John Thomas (L)
Cory Widmann (R)
Marty Selker (Constitution)
John Thomas (L)
The first historical event I really remember processing was the 1992 presidential election, when I was 13. I glued myself to the TV for speeches, conventions, and the horse race political polling. Ross Perot made a strong third-party run on a single issue, balancing the federal budget. At the time, nobody thought the federal budget could be balanced. In fact, few in Washington thought they could cut the rate of growth. Ross Perot said it should be balanced completely.
He got nineteen percent of the vote. He lost. But his issue did not lose; his issue came alive!
Both parties recognized that they could not win without Perot’s voters, so in 1994, Republicans added a balanced budget to their “Contract with America,” and in 1996, Bill Clinton signed it into law.
The impossible happened. Nineteen percent of voters changed history!
This is why I tell people I don't plan on winning the election, but I still hope to get their votes. We don't need to do something impossible to change the world. We need to do something within our grasp. We need to be bold and consistent and vote for that bold, consistent message.Cory Widmann (R)
Marty Selker (Constitution)
John Thomas (L)
My first paying job was at my grandparent's restaurant as a dishwasher. I got paid $4.25 per hour, and my mother told me before my first day of work, "You are being paid to work. If you go in and slack off, you are stealing. You are not giving your grandparents what they paid for. I didn't raise a thief.” I held that job throughout high school.
If Pennsylvania elects me to cut the size of government, I will work until the job is done. My mom didn't raise a thief.Cory Widmann (R)
John Thomas (L)
Cory Widmann (R)
Marty Selker (Constitution)
John Thomas (L)
Cory Widmann (R)
Marty Selker (Constitution)
John Thomas (L)
Cory Widmann (R)
Marty Selker (Constitution)
John Thomas (L)
Cory Widmann (R)
Marty Selker (Constitution)
John Thomas (L)
Cory Widmann (R)
Marty Selker (Constitution)
John Thomas (L)
So, we would have a choice between corrupt senators, who will rob you live on C-SPAN, or corrupt Washington insiders, who will rob you behind your back, in the dark corners of the Capitol Building.
Wanting to limit congressional terms stems from recognizing the corruption that career politicians display. However, we must be careful that the cure is not worse than the disease.
When there is a strict separation between economy and state, most Congresspeople, unable to exploit their position to make themselves wealthy, will choose to limit their own time in office.
In the meantime, I suggest that the voters limit the time of their own Senators and Congress people, by refusing to vote for them.
If I am elected, and if I do not carry through with my promises to cut government, I beg you to not reelect me. The power to limit terms of senators is already in your hands. Crooked politicians try to trick the people into thinking they don't already have this power. I want to remind you that you already have this power over your Senators!Cory Widmann (R)
Marty Selker (Constitution)
John Thomas (L)
Cory Widmann (R)
Marty Selker (Constitution)
John Thomas (L)
Cory Widmann (R)
Marty Selker (Constitution)
John Thomas (L)
Cory Widmann (R)
John Thomas (L)
Cory Widmann (R)
Marty Selker (Constitution)
John Thomas (L)
Look at Boaz from the Bible. Before he was married, he was ruthless.
(It takes a bit of Biblical literacy to get the punchline.)Marty Selker (Constitution)
John Thomas (L)
Cory Widmann (R)
Marty Selker (Constitution)
John Thomas (L)
Cory Widmann (R)
Marty Selker (Constitution)
John Thomas (L)
Cory Widmann (R)
Marty Selker (Constitution)
John Thomas (L)
Cory Widmann (R)
Marty Selker (Constitution)
John Thomas (L)
Marty Selker (Constitution)
John Thomas (L)
Cory Widmann (R)
Marty Selker (Constitution)
John Thomas (L)
Marty Selker (Constitution)
John Thomas (L)
Some well-intended politicians have tried to add layers upon layers of regulations to prevent this type of profiteering. However, this simply makes it more complicated for the people - who ought to be holding politicians accountable - to respond. In fact, these regulations have created a new group in the wealthy class: those who help politicians navigate the laws to still make their millions.
If we were to return to a place where Congress had only the powers listed for them by the Constitution, we would then be able to have that strict separation between economy and state. Their hands would be tied. Politicians couldn’t raise the value of one stock, or drop the value of another by changing regulations. Politicians couldn’t crush the competition of an established business, to protect their investments. They wouldn’t have these powers. They would only have the powers granted to them in the Constitution.
You can ask candidates in this race to fill out the survey by clicking their names below:
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This section includes links to debates, forums, and other similar events where multiple candidates in this race participated. If you are aware of any debates or forums that should be included, please email us.
Polls are conducted with a variety of methodologies and have margins of error or credibility intervals.[21] The Pew Research Center wrote, "A margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points at the 95% confidence level means that if we fielded the same survey 100 times, we would expect the result to be within 3 percentage points of the true population value 95 of those times."[22] For tips on reading polls from FiveThirtyEight, click here. For tips from Pew, click here.
Below we provide results for polls that are included in polling aggregation from FiveThirtyEight and RealClearPolitics, when available. Click here to read about FiveThirtyEight's criteria for including polls in its aggregation. We only report polls for which we can find a margin of error or credibility interval.
United States Senate election in Pennsylvania, 2024, general election polls | |||||||
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Poll | Date | Casey | McCormick | Undecided/Other | Margin of error | Sample size[23] | Sponsor[24] |
CNN/SSRS | Aug. 23-29, 2024 | 46% | 46% | 8% | ±4.7 | 789 | N/A |
Emerson College | Aug. 25-28, 2024 | 48% | 44% | 8% | ±3.6 | 950 | The Hill |
ActiVote | Aug. 3-23, 2024 | 55% | 45% | – | ±4.9 | 400 | N/A |
Fabriazo Wizard | Aug. 19-21, 2024 | 46% | 43% | 11% | ±4.9 | 400 | Pinpoint Policy Institute |
Cygnal | Aug. 14-15, 2024 | 46% | 42% | 12% | ±3.4 | 800 | N/A |
Click [show] to see older poll results | |||||||||||||||||||
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Poll | Date | Casey | McCormick | Undecided/Other | Margin of error | Sample size[25] | Sponsor[26] | ||||||||||||
The New York Times and YouGov | July 4-July 12, 2024 | 50% | 38% | 12% | ±3.4 | 1000 | N/A | ||||||||||||
The New York Times and Siena College | July 9-July 11, 2024 | 50% | 42% | 8% | ±3.7 | 872 | N/A | ||||||||||||
Remington Research Group | June 29-July 1, 2024 | 49% | 48% | 4% | ±3.1 | 1,000 | American Fuel & Petrochemical Manufacturers | ||||||||||||
Cygnal | June 27-June 28, 2024 | 46% | 42% | 12% | ±3.5 | 800 | N/A | ||||||||||||
The Bullfinch Group | June 14-June 19, 2024 | 48% | 36% | 14% | ±3.5 | 800 | Commonwealth Foundation |
Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:
Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[28][29][30]
Race ratings: U.S. Senate election in Pennsylvania, 2024 | |||||||||
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Race tracker | Race ratings | ||||||||
September 24, 2024 | September 17, 2024 | September 10, 2024 | September 3, 2024 | ||||||
The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter | Lean Democratic | Lean Democratic | Lean Democratic | Lean Democratic | |||||
Decision Desk HQ and The Hill | Lean Democratic | Lean Democratic | Lean Democratic | Lean Democratic | |||||
Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales | Tilt Democratic | Tilt Democratic | Tilt Democratic | Tilt Democratic | |||||
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Lean Democratic | Lean Democratic | Lean Democratic | Lean Democratic | |||||
Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week. |
This section lists noteworthy endorsements issued in this election, including those made by high-profile individuals and organizations, cross-party endorsements, and endorsements made by newspaper editorial boards. It also includes a bulleted list of links to official lists of endorsements for any candidates who published that information on their campaign websites. Please note that this list is not exhaustive. If you are aware of endorsements that should be included, please click here.
General election endorsements | |
---|---|
Endorser | Bob Casey Jr. |
Organizations | |
Democratic Majority for Israel PAC source | ✔ |
Name | Party | Receipts* | Disbursements** | Cash on hand | Date |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bob Casey Jr. | Democratic Party | $31,831,903 | $23,893,851 | $8,426,069 | As of June 30, 2024 |
David McCormick | Republican Party | $18,063,787 | $9,799,118 | $8,272,490 | As of June 30, 2024 |
Marty Selker | Constitution Party | $10,983 | $9,291 | $1,693 | As of June 30, 2024 |
Leila Hazou | Green Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
John Thomas | Libertarian Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2024. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." |
Satellite spending describes political spending not controlled by candidates or their campaigns; that is, any political expenditures made by groups or individuals that are not directly affiliated with a candidate. This includes spending by political party committees, super PACs, trade associations, and 501(c)(4) nonprofit groups.[31][32]
If available, satellite spending reports by the Federal Election Commission (FEC) and OpenSecrets.org are linked below. FEC links include totals from monthly, quarterly, and semi-annual reports. OpenSecrets.org compiles data from those reports as well as 24- and 48-hour reports from the FEC.[33]
Details about satellite spending of significant amounts and/or reported by media are included below those links. The amounts listed may not represent the total satellite spending in the election. To notify us of additional satellite spending, email us.
By candidate | By election |
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The table below details filing requirements for U.S. Senate candidates in Pennsylvania in the 2024 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Pennsylvania, click here.
Filing requirements for U.S. Senate candidates, 2024 | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
State | Office | Party | Signatures required | Filing fee | Filing deadline | Source |
Pennsylvania | U.S. Senate | Ballot-qualified party | 2,000 | $200.00 | 2/13/2024 | Source |
Pennsylvania | U.S. Senate | Unaffiliated | 2% of the largest entire vote cast for any elected statewide candidate in the last election | $200.00 | 8/1/2024 | Source |
The section below details election results for this state's U.S. Senate elections dating back to 2016.
The following candidates ran in the general election for U.S. Senate Pennsylvania on November 8, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | John Fetterman (D) | 51.2 | 2,751,012 | |
Mehmet Oz (R) | 46.3 | 2,487,260 | ||
Erik Chase Gerhardt (L) | 1.4 | 72,887 | ||
Richard Weiss (G) | 0.6 | 30,434 | ||
Daniel Wassmer (Keystone Party of Pennsylvania) | 0.5 | 26,428 | ||
Quincy Magee (Independent) (Write-in) | 0.0 | 0 | ||
Ronald Johnson (Constitution Party) (Write-in) | 0.0 | 0 |
Total votes: 5,368,021 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
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John Fetterman defeated Conor Lamb, Malcolm Kenyatta, and Alexandria Khalil in the Democratic primary for U.S. Senate Pennsylvania on May 17, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | John Fetterman | 58.6 | 753,557 | |
Conor Lamb | 26.3 | 337,498 | ||
Malcolm Kenyatta | 10.8 | 139,393 | ||
Alexandria Khalil | 4.2 | 54,460 |
Total votes: 1,284,908 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
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The following candidates ran in the Republican primary for U.S. Senate Pennsylvania on May 17, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Mehmet Oz | 31.2 | 420,168 | |
David McCormick | 31.1 | 419,218 | ||
Kathy Barnette | 24.7 | 331,903 | ||
Carla Sands | 5.4 | 73,360 | ||
Jeff Bartos | 5.0 | 66,684 | ||
Sean Gale | 1.5 | 20,266 | ||
George Bochetto | 1.1 | 14,492 |
Total votes: 1,346,091 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
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Incumbent Bob Casey Jr. defeated Lou Barletta, Dale Kerns, and Neal Gale in the general election for U.S. Senate Pennsylvania on November 6, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Bob Casey Jr. (D) | 55.7 | 2,792,437 | |
Lou Barletta (R) | 42.6 | 2,134,848 | ||
Dale Kerns (L) | 1.0 | 50,907 | ||
Neal Gale (G) | 0.6 | 31,208 |
Total votes: 5,009,400 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
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The race for Pennsylvania's U.S. Senate seat was one of nine competitive battleground races in 2016 that helped Republicans keep control of the upper chamber after the November 8 general election. Incumbent Pat Toomey (R), who began serving in the Senate in 2011, defeated Katie McGinty (D), Edward Clifford III (L), and write-in candidate Everett Stern (I) in the general election.
Toomey ran his campaign separately from Donald Trump, and he did not tell people who he would vote for on Election Day. Toomey said, “You know, I’m not campaigning with Donald Trump. He’s running his campaign. I’m running mine.”[34][35][36]
Hillary Clinton, who campaigned with McGinty in October, criticized Toomey for not rejecting Trump as his party’s nominee. She said, “How much does he have to hear or to see? If he doesn’t have the courage to stand up against Donald Trump after all of this, then how will he stand up to special interests and powerful forces that are going to be trying to have their way in Washington?”[36]
Speaking about his campaign strategy, Toomey said, “I am convinced that Pennsylvania voters are going to make a complete separation in their minds. … There’s a presidential race going on, quite obviously, lots of attention, lots of focus, everybody’s got their opinion about it, and then there’s a totally separate thing happening in the Senate race — an incumbent senator most people know and an opponent. Totally separate campaign and totally separate judgment.”[36] Toomey stated on Election Day that he voted for Trump.[37]
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Pat Toomey Incumbent | 48.8% | 2,951,702 | |
Democratic | Katie McGinty | 47.3% | 2,865,012 | |
Libertarian | Edward Clifford | 3.9% | 235,142 | |
Total Votes | 6,051,856 | |||
Source: Pennsylvania Department of State |
Candidate | Vote % | Votes | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
Katie McGinty | 42.5% | 669,774 | ||
Joe Sestak | 32.6% | 513,221 | ||
John Fetterman | 19.5% | 307,090 | ||
Joseph Vodvarka | 5.4% | 85,837 | ||
Total Votes | 1,575,922 | |||
Source: Pennsylvania Department of State |
Click the tabs below to view information about demographics, past elections, and partisan control of the state.
Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index for Pennsylvania, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
District | Incumbent | Party | PVI |
Pennsylvania's 1st | Brian Fitzpatrick | Republican | Even |
Pennsylvania's 2nd | Brendan Boyle | Democratic | D+20 |
Pennsylvania's 3rd | Dwight Evans | Democratic | D+39 |
Pennsylvania's 4th | Madeleine Dean | Democratic | D+7 |
Pennsylvania's 5th | Mary Gay Scanlon | Democratic | D+14 |
Pennsylvania's 6th | Chrissy Houlahan | Democratic | D+5 |
Pennsylvania's 7th | Susan Wild | Democratic | R+2 |
Pennsylvania's 8th | Matt Cartwright | Democratic | R+4 |
Pennsylvania's 9th | Dan Meuser | Republican | R+21 |
Pennsylvania's 10th | Scott Perry | Republican | R+5 |
Pennsylvania's 11th | Lloyd Smucker | Republican | R+13 |
Pennsylvania's 12th | Summer Lee | Democratic | D+8 |
Pennsylvania's 13th | John Joyce | Republican | R+25 |
Pennsylvania's 14th | Guy Reschenthaler | Republican | R+18 |
Pennsylvania's 15th | Glenn Thompson | Republican | R+21 |
Pennsylvania's 16th | Mike Kelly | Republican | R+13 |
Pennsylvania's 17th | Christopher Deluzio | Democratic | Even |
2020 presidential results in congressional districts based on 2024 district lines, Pennsylvania[38] | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
District | Joe Biden | Donald Trump | ||
Pennsylvania's 1st | 51.8% | 47.2% | ||
Pennsylvania's 2nd | 71.0% | 28.3% | ||
Pennsylvania's 3rd | 90.2% | 9.3% | ||
Pennsylvania's 4th | 58.9% | 40.0% | ||
Pennsylvania's 5th | 65.7% | 33.4% | ||
Pennsylvania's 6th | 56.8% | 42.0% | ||
Pennsylvania's 7th | 49.7% | 49.1% | ||
Pennsylvania's 8th | 48.0% | 50.9% | ||
Pennsylvania's 9th | 31.0% | 67.5% | ||
Pennsylvania's 10th | 47.2% | 51.3% | ||
Pennsylvania's 11th | 38.6% | 59.9% | ||
Pennsylvania's 12th | 59.4% | 39.5% | ||
Pennsylvania's 13th | 26.8% | 72.0% | ||
Pennsylvania's 14th | 33.7% | 65.2% | ||
Pennsylvania's 15th | 30.8% | 67.8% | ||
Pennsylvania's 16th | 39.0% | 59.7% | ||
Pennsylvania's 17th | 52.3% | 46.5% |
How a state's counties vote in a presidential election and the size of those counties can provide additional insights into election outcomes at other levels of government including statewide and congressional races. Below, four categories are used to describe each county's voting pattern over the 2012, 2016, and 2020 presidential elections: Solid, Trending, Battleground, and New. Click [show] on the table below for examples:
County-level voting pattern categories | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | |||||||
Status | 2012 | 2016 | 2020 | ||||
Solid Democratic | D | D | D | ||||
Trending Democratic | R | D | D | ||||
Battleground Democratic | D | R | D | ||||
New Democratic | R | R | D | ||||
Republican | |||||||
Status | 2012 | 2016 | 2020 | ||||
Solid Republican | R | R | R | ||||
Trending Republican | D | R | R | ||||
Battleground Republican | R | D | R | ||||
New Republican | D | D | R |
Following the 2020 presidential election, 47.2% of Pennsylvanians lived in one of the state's 10 Solid Democratic counties, which voted for the Democratic presidential candidate in every election from 2012 to 2020, and 41.7% lived in one of 53 Solid Republican counties. Overall, Pennsylvania was Battleground Democratic, having voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2012, Donald Trump (R) in 2016, and Joe Biden (D) in 2020. Use the table below to view the total number of each type of county in Pennsylvania following the 2020 election as well as the overall percentage of the state population located in each county type.
Pennsylvania county-level statistics, 2020 | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Solid Democratic | 10 | 47.2% | |||||
Solid Republican | 53 | 41.7% | |||||
Battleground Democratic | 2 | 4.5% | |||||
Trending Democratic | 1 | 4.1% | |||||
Trending Republican | 1 | 2.5% | |||||
Total voted Democratic | 13 | 55.8% | |||||
Total voted Republican | 54 | 44.2% |
Pennsylvania presidential election results (1900-2020)
Year | 1900 | 1904 | 1908 | 1912 | 1916 | 1920 | 1924 | 1928 | 1932 | 1936 | 1940 | 1944 | 1948 | 1952 | 1956 | 1960 | 1964 | 1968 | 1972 | 1976 | 1980 | 1984 | 1988 | 1992 | 1996 | 2000 | 2004 | 2008 | 2012 | 2016 | 2020 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Winning Party | R | R | R | P[39] | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | R | R | R | D | D | D | R | D | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | D |
This section details the results of the five most recent U.S. Senate and gubernatorial elections held in the state.
The table below details the vote in the five most recent U.S. Senate races in Pennsylvania.
U.S. Senate election results in Pennsylvania | ||
---|---|---|
Race | Winner | Runner up |
2022 | 51.2% | 46.3% |
2018 | 55.7% | 42.6% |
2016 | 48.9% | 47.2% |
2012 | 53.7% | 44.6% |
2010 | 51.0% | 49.0% |
Average | 53.6 | 44.9 |
The table below details the vote in the five most recent gubernatorial elections in Pennsylvania.
Gubernatorial election results in Pennsylvania | ||
---|---|---|
Race | Winner | Runner up |
2022 | 56.5% | 41.7% |
2018 | 57.8% | 40.7% |
2014 | 54.9% | 45.1% |
2010 | 54.5% | 45.5% |
2006 | 60.3% | 39.6% |
Average | 56.2 | 43.1 |
The table below displays the partisan composition of Pennsylvania's congressional delegation as of May 2024.
Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Pennsylvania | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | U.S. Senate | U.S. House | Total |
Democratic | 2 | 9 | 11 |
Republican | 0 | 8 | 8 |
Independent | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Vacancies | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Total | 2 | 17 | 19 |
The table below displays the officeholders in Pennsylvania's top four state executive offices as of May 2024.
State executive officials in Pennsylvania, May 2024 | |
---|---|
Office | Officeholder |
Governor | Josh Shapiro |
Lieutenant Governor | Austin Davis |
Secretary of State | Al Schmidt |
Attorney General | Michelle Henry |
Party | As of February 2024 | |
---|---|---|
Democratic Party | 22 | |
Republican Party | 28 | |
Independent | 0 | |
Other | 0 | |
Vacancies | 0 | |
Total | 50 |
Party | As of February 2024 | |
---|---|---|
Democratic Party | 101 | |
Republican Party | 100 | |
Other | 0 | |
Vacancies | 2 | |
Total | 203 |
The table below shows the state's trifecta status from 1992 until 2024.
Pennsylvania Party Control: 1992-2024
One year of a Democratic trifecta • Twelve years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Governor | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
Senate | R | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
House | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D |
The table below details demographic data in Pennsylvania and compares it to the broader United States as of 2022.
Demographic Data for Pennsylvania | ||
---|---|---|
Pennsylvania | United States | |
Population | 13,002,700 | 331,449,281 |
Land area (sq mi) | 44,741 | 3,531,905 |
Race and ethnicity** | ||
White | 77.1% | 65.9% |
Black/African American | 10.8% | 12.5% |
Asian | 3.6% | 5.8% |
Native American | 0.2% | 0.8% |
Pacific Islander | 0% | 0.2% |
Two or more | 5.1% | 8.8% |
Hispanic/Latino | 8.1% | 18.7% |
Education | ||
High school graduation rate | 91.7% | 89.1% |
College graduation rate | 33.8% | 34.3% |
Income | ||
Median household income | $73,170 | $75,149 |
Persons below poverty level | 8% | 8.8% |
Source: population provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "Decennial Census" (2020). Other figures provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2017-2022). | ||
**Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here. |
This is a battleground election. Other 2024 battleground elections include:
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