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Regular election coverage |
2020 Congressional Elections 2020 U.S. Senate Elections 2020 U.S. House Elections |
Mark Kelly (D) defeated incumbent Sen. Martha McSally (R) and seventeen write-in candidates in the November 3, 2020, special election for United States Senate in Arizona. Kelly filled the rest of the 2017-2022 term former Sen. John McCain (R) won in 2016.
In the 2018 general election, McSally ran for Arizona’s other Senate seat, losing to Kyrsten Sinema (D) 47.6% to 50.0%. After the election, interim Sen. Jon Kyl (R) announced his resignation and Gov. Doug Ducey (R) announced McSally as Kyl's replacement in December 2018.[1] Mitt Romney (R) won Arizona in the 2012 presidential election, 54% to 45%. Donald Trump (R) won the state, 48% to 45%, in 2016.
According to quartlerly campaign finance reports released on Oct. 14, this was the third-most-expensive U.S. Senate race in the country with Kelly raising $90,000,000, followed by McSally with $57,000,000.[2] Both the National Republican Senatorial Committee and the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee targeted this race.[3][4]
Write-in candidates included Democrats Mohammad Arif, Adam Chilton, Perry Kapadia, and Buzz Stewart and Republicans Edward Davida, John Schiess, Debbie Simmons, and Patrick Thomas. Third-party write in candidates included Nicholas Glenn (Independent Republican), Matthew Dorchester (Libertarian), and Joshua Rodriguez (Unity). Independent or unaffiliated write-in candidates included Christopher Beckett (I), William Decker (I), Mathew Haupt (I), Frank Saenz (I), Benjamin Rodriguez (I), and Jim Stevens (None).
The outcome of this race affected partisan control of the U.S. Senate. Thirty-five of 100 seats were up for election, including two special elections. At the time of the election, Republicans had a 53-45 majority over Democrats in the Senate. Independents who caucus with the Democrats held the two remaining seats. Republicans faced greater partisan risk in the election. They defended 23 seats while Democrats defended 12. Both parties had two incumbents representing states the opposite party's presidential nominee won in 2016.
There were 10 special elections called during the 116th Congress. Eight were called for seats in the U.S. House, and two for seats in the U.S. Senate. From the 113th Congress to the 115th Congress, 40 special elections were held. For more data on historical congressional special elections, click here.
This race was one of 89 congressional races that were decided by 10 percent or less in 2020.
This page focuses on Arizona's United States Senate special general election. For more in-depth information on the state's partisan primaries, see the following pages:
United States Senate special election in Arizona, 2020 (August 4 Democratic primary)
United States Senate special election in Arizona, 2020 (August 4 Republican primary)
Ballotpedia provided comprehensive coverage of how election dates and procedures changed in 2020. While the majority of changes occurred as a result of the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, some changes occurred for other reasons.
Arizona modified its voter registration procedures for the November 3, 2020, general election as follows:
For a full timeline about election modifications made in response to the COVID-19 outbreak, click here.
The following candidates ran in the special general election for U.S. Senate Arizona on November 3, 2020.
Candidate |
% |
Votes |
||
✔ |
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Mark Kelly (D) |
51.2
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1,716,467 |
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Martha McSally (R) |
48.8
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1,637,661 | |
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Matthew Dorchester (L) (Write-in) |
0.0
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379 | |
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Nicholas Glenn (Independent Republican Party) (Write-in) |
0.0
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152 | |
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Debbie Simmons (R) (Write-in) |
0.0
|
98 | |
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John Schiess (R) (Write-in) |
0.0
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92 | |
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Christopher Beckett (Independent) (Write-in) |
0.0
|
69 | |
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Joshua Rodriguez (Unity Party) (Write-in) |
0.0
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69 | |
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Mohammad Arif (D) (Write-in) |
0.0
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68 | |
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Perry Kapadia (D) (Write-in) |
0.0
|
58 | |
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Mathew Haupt (Independent) (Write-in) |
0.0
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37 | |
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Patrick Thomas (R) (Write-in) |
0.0
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29 | |
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Edward Davida (R) (Write-in) |
0.0
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28 | |
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Jim Stevens (None) (Write-in) |
0.0
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23 | |
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Buzz Stewart (D) (Write-in) |
0.0
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22 | |
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William Decker (Independent) (Write-in) |
0.0
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21 | |
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Adam Chilton (D) (Write-in) |
0.0
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19 | |
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Benjamin Rodriguez (Independent) (Write-in) |
0.0
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17 | |
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Frank Saenz (Independent) (Write-in) |
0.0
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8 |
Total votes: 3,355,317 | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Mark Kelly defeated Bo Garcia in the special Democratic primary for U.S. Senate Arizona on August 4, 2020.
Candidate |
% |
Votes |
||
✔ |
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Mark Kelly |
99.9
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665,620 |
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Bo Garcia (Write-in) |
0.1
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451 |
Total votes: 666,071 | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Incumbent Martha McSally defeated Daniel McCarthy and Sean Lyons in the special Republican primary for U.S. Senate Arizona on August 4, 2020.
Candidate |
% |
Votes |
||
✔ |
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Martha McSally |
75.2
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551,119 |
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Daniel McCarthy |
24.8
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181,511 | |
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Sean Lyons (Write-in) |
0.0
|
210 |
Total votes: 732,840 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
No candidate advanced from the primary.
Candidate |
% |
Votes |
||
|
Barry J. Hess (Write-in) |
76.5
|
329 | |
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Alan White (Write-in) |
23.5
|
101 |
Vote totals may be incomplete for this race. |
||||
Total votes: 430 | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
This section includes candidate profiles created in one of two ways. Either the candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey or Ballotpedia staff created a profile after identifying the candidate as noteworthy.[5] Ballotpedia staff compiled profiles based on campaign websites, advertisements, and public statements.
Party: Republican Party
Incumbent: Yes
Political Office:
Biography: McSally graduated from the U.S. Air Force Academy and served in the Air Force for 26 years before retiring in 2010 as a colonel. She was the first woman fighter pilot to fly in combat. She earned a master's degree in public policy from the John F. Kennedy School of Government at Harvard University and a master's degree in strategic studies from the U.S. Air War College. McSally was a professor of national security studies at the George C. Marshall Center in Germany.
Sources: YouTube, "Martha McSally," accessed July 15, 2020; YouTube, "American Workers," June 5, 2020; YouTube, "Bonnie," September 16, 2020; YouTube, "Stronger than Ever," April 29, 2020; YouTube, "Fight Back," August 27, 2020; Martha McSally's 2020 campaign website, "About," accessed July 15, 2020; Vote Smart, "Martha McSally's Biography," accessed July 15, 2020
This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. Senate Arizona in 2020
Party: Democratic Party
Incumbent: No
Political Office: None
Biography: Kelly attended the U.S. Merchant Marine Academy and U.S. Naval Postgraduate School. He is a veteran of the Navy. Kelly was a NASA astronaut, a businessman, and a cofounder of GIFFORDS, which is, according to its website, “an organization dedicated to saving lives from gun violence.”
Sources: YouTube, "Mark Kelly Calls China an Adversary," July 20, 2020; Mark Kelly's 2020 campaign website, "Healthcare," accessed September 22, 2020; Mark Kelly's 2020 campaign website, "Economy and Jobs," accessed September 22, 2020; GIFFORDS, "About," accessed September 22, 2020; Mark Kelly's 2020 campaign website, "Biography," accessed September 22, 2020
This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. Senate Arizona in 2020
Special U.S. Senate in Arizona, 2020: General election polls | |||||||||
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Poll | Date | McSally | Kelly | Other | Margin of error | Sample size | Sponsor | ||
Data Orbital[6] | Oct. 28-30 | 46% | 47% | 7% | ± 4.2 | 550 | None | ||
Data for Progress[7] | Oct. 27 - Nov. 1 | 46% | 54% | 0% | ± 2.8 | 1,195 | None | ||
Emerson College[8] | Oct. 29-31 | 46% | 49% | 5% | ± 3.6 | 732 | None | ||
Siena College[9] | Oct. 26-30 | 43% | 50% | 6% | ± 3.0 | 1,252 | The New York Times | ||
SSRS[10] | Oct. 23-30 | 45% | 52% | 3% | ± 4.1 | 865 | CNN |
Click [show] to see older poll results | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | Date | McSally | Kelly | Other | Margin of error | Sample size | Sponsor | |||
Rassmussen Reports[11] | Oct. 27-29 | 43% | 48% | 9% | ± 3.5 | 800 | None | |||
Gravis Marketing[12] | Oct. 26-28 | 45% | 50% | 6% | ± 3.7 | 704 | None | |||
Ipsos[13] | Oct. 21-27 | 44% | 51% | 5% | ± 4.2 | 714 | Reuters | |||
Patinkin Research Strategies[14] | Oct. 21-24 | 46% | 53% | 2% | ± 3.6 | 729 | Arizona Research Consortium | |||
OH Predictive Insights[15] | Oct. 22-25 | 45% | 50% | 4% | ± 3.2 | 716 | None | |||
Susquehanna Polling & Research[16] | Oct. 19-22 | 50% | 47% | 3% | ± 4.3 | 500 | Center for American Greatness | |||
Basswood Research[17] | Oct. 3-5 | 49% | 47% | 4% | ± 3.5 | 800 | American Action Forum | |||
Ipsos[18] | Oct. 14-21 | 43% | 51% | 5% | ± 4.4 | 658 | Reuters | |||
RMG Research[19] | Oct. 14-19 | 39% | 46% | 15% | ± 3.5 | 800 | PoliticalIQ | |||
Rasmussen Reports/Public Opinion Research[20] | Oct. 18-19 | 44% | 46% | 10% | ± 3.5 | 800 | None | |||
Data Orbital[21] | Oct. 16-18 | 42% | 48% | 10% | ± 4.2 | 550 | None | |||
YouGov[22] | Oct. 13-16 | 41% | 52% | 7% | ± 4.1 | 1,087 | CBS News | |||
Monmouth University[23] | Oct. 9-13 | 42% | 52% | 5% | ± 4.4 | 502 | None | |||
OH Predictive Insights[24] | Oct. 4-8 | 45% | 50% | 5% | ± 4.0 | 608 | None | |||
IpsosCite error: Invalid <ref> tag;
invalid names, e.g. too many |
Oct. 7-14 | 41% | 52% | 8% | ± 4.3 | 667 | Reuters | |||
The Trafalgar Group[25] | Oct. 6-9 | 45% | 47% | 7% | ± 3.0 | 1,045 | N/A | |||
Ipsos[26] | Sept. 29 - Oct. 7 | 41% | 51% | 8% | ± 4.3 | 663 | Reuters | |||
Data Orbital[27] | Oct. 3-5 | 44% | 49% | 5% | ± 4.2 | 550 | N/A | |||
High Ground Inc.[28] | Sept. 28 - Oct. 5 | 44% | 50% | 6% | ± 4.9[29] | 400 | N/A | |||
Suffolk University | Sept. 26-30, 2020 | 40% | 49% | 11% | ± 4.4 | 500 | N/A | |||
Siena College | Oct. 1-3, 2020 | 39% | 50% | 11% | ± 4.2 | 655 | The New York Times | |||
Data For Progress[30] | Sept. 23-28, 2020 | 42% | 51% | 7% | ± 3.4 | 808 | Crooked Media/Indivisible | |||
Susquehanna Polling and Research[31] | Sept. 25-28, 2020 | 45% | 48% | 7% | ± 4.3 | 500 | Center for American Greatness | |||
Ipsos | Sept. 11-17, 2020 | 41% | 50% | 8% | ± 4.7 | 565 | Reuters | |||
Washington Post-ABC News | Sept. 15-20, 2020 | 48% | 49% | 3% | ± 4.5 | 579 | N/A | |||
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates | Sept. 14-16, 2020 | 46% | 48% | 6% | ± 3.5 | 800 | McSally campaign | |||
The New York Times/Siena College Research Institute | Sept. 12-16, 2020 | 42% | 50% | 8% | ± 4.1 | 653 | N/A | |||
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[32] | Sept. 12-16, 2020 | 35% | 52% | 13% | ± 3.4 | 855 | N/A | |||
Monmouth University | Sept. 11-15, 2020 | 44% | 50% | 6% | ± 4.8 | 420 | N/A | |||
YouGov/CBS News | Sept. 9-11, 2020 | 42% | 49% | 9% | ± 3.9 | 1,112 | N/A | |||
OH Predictive Insights[33] | Sept. 8-10, 2020 | 42% | 52% | 6% | ± 4.0 | 600 | N/A | |||
Gravis Marketing[34] | Sept. 10-11, 2020 | 43% | 48% | 5% | ± 3.8 | 684 | N/A | |||
Benenson Strategy Group/GS Strategy Group[35] | Aug. 30-Sept. 8, 2020 | 45% | 48% | 13% | ± 2.5 | 1600 | AARP | |||
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[36] | Aug. 30 - Sept. 4, 2020 | 38% | 53% | 9% | ± 3.4 | 830 | N/A | |||
Fox News | Aug. 29-Sept. 1, 2020 | 39% | 56% | 5% | ± 3.5 | 772 | N/A | |||
OnMessage Inc. | Aug. 29-Sept. 1, 2020 | 48% | 48% | 4% | ± 4.9 | 400 | Heritage Action | |||
OH Predictive Insights | Aug. 3-4, 2020 | 43% | 48% | 9% | ± 4.0 | 603 | N/A | |||
SSRS | July 18-24, 2020 | 43% | 50% | 4% | ± 3.8 | 873 | CNN | |||
Marist College | July 14-22, 2020 | 41% | 53% | 6% | ± 4.1 | 826 | NBC News | |||
Spry Strategies | July 11-16, 2020 | 41% | 48% | 11% | ± 3.7 | 700 | American Principles Project | |||
OH Predictive Insights | July 6-7, 2020 | 43% | 52% | 6% | ± 4.0 | 600 | N/A | |||
YouGov | July 7-10, 2020 | 42% | 46% | 12% | ± 3.8 | 1,099 | CBS News | |||
Data Orbital | June 27-29, 2020 | 41% | 48% | 11% | ± 4.0 | 600 | N/A | |||
Gravis Marketing | June 27, 2020 | 46% | 42% | 12% | ± 4.3 | 527 | One America News Network | |||
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | June 14-17, 2020 | 34% | 49% | 17% | ± 3.3 | 865 | N/A | |||
The New York Times/Siena College | June 8-16, 2020 | 38% | 47% | 16% | ± 4.3 | 650 | N/A | |||
Civiqs | June 13-15, 2020 | 42% | 51% | 7% | ± 4.3 | 1,368 | Daily Kos | |||
Fox News | May 30-June 2, 2020 | 37% | 50% | 13% | ± 3.0 | 1,002 | N/A | |||
Fox News | May 30-June 2, 2020 | 37% | 50% | 13% | ± 3.0 | 1,002 | N/A | |||
OH Predictive Insights | April 7-8, 2020 | 42% | 51% | 8% | ± 4.0 | 600 | N/A | |||
NBC News/Marist | March 10-15, 2020 | 45% | 48% | 7% | ± 2.7 | 2,523 | N/A | |||
Monmouth University | March 11-14, 2020 | 44% | 50% | 6% | ± 3.4 | 847 | N/A | |||
Univision/Arizona State University | March 6-11, 2020 | 44% | 50% | 6% | ± 3.0 | 1,036 | N/A | |||
OH Predictive Insights | March 3-4, 2020 | 42% | 49% | 9% | ± 4.0 | 600 | N/A | |||
OH Predictive Insights | Dec. 3-4, 2019 | 44% | 47% | 9% | ± 3.9 | 628 | N/A |
The Ballotpedia Power Index (BPI) is an election forecasting tool which factors in polling averages from RealClearPolitics and share prices on PredictIt to project the overall chances of each candidate winning election. It is updated every weekday. The following chart displays the BPI for this race dating back to August 20, 2020.
The chart below contains data from financial reports submitted to the Federal Election Commission.
Name | Party | Receipts* | Disbursements** | Cash on hand | Date |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Martha McSally | Republican Party | $73,553,299 | $74,361,789 | $115,304 | As of December 31, 2020 |
Mohammad Arif | Democratic Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available |
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," .
* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." |
Ballotpedia provides race ratings from three outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:
Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[38][39][40]
Race ratings: U.S. Senate election in Arizona, 2020 | |||||||||
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Race tracker | Race ratings | ||||||||
November 3, 2020 | October 27, 2020 | October 20, 2020 | October 13, 2020 | ||||||
The Cook Political Report | Lean Democratic | Lean Democratic | Lean Democratic | Lean Democratic | |||||
Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales | Tilt Democratic | Tilt Democratic | Tilt Democratic | Tilt Democratic | |||||
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Lean Democratic | Lean Democratic | Lean Democratic | Lean Democratic | |||||
Note: Ballotpedia updates external race ratings every week throughout the election season. |
This section lists noteworthy endorsements issued in this election, including those made by high-profile individuals and organizations, cross-party endorsements, and endorsements made by newspaper editorial boards. It also includes links to endorsement lists published on campaign websites, if available. Please note that this list is not exhaustive. If you are aware of endorsements that should be included, please email us.
Noteworthy endorsements | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Endorsement | McSally (R) | Kelly (D) | ||||
Newspapers and editorials | ||||||
Arizona Daily Star[41] | ✔ | |||||
Today's News-Herald[42] | ✔ | |||||
Elected officials | ||||||
President Donald Trump (R)[43] | ✔ | |||||
Vice President Mike Pence (R)[44] | ✔ | |||||
U.S. Sen. Kamala Harris (D-Calif.)[45] | ✔ | |||||
Gov. Doug Ducey (R-Ariz.)[46] | ✔ | |||||
Individuals | ||||||
Frmr. President Barack Obama (D)[47] | ✔ | |||||
Frmr. U.S. Sen. Jon Kyl (R-Ariz.)[48] | ✔ |
This section shows advertisements released in this race. Ads released by campaigns and, if applicable, satellite groups are embedded or linked below. If you are aware of advertisements that should be included, please email us.
Supporting McSally
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Opposing Kelly
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Opposing McSally
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Click "show" to the right to see satellite group ads. | ||||||||||||||
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Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee[edit]
MoveOn.org[edit]
Senate Leadership Fund[edit]
Senate Majority PAC[edit]
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On Oct. 22, 2020, McSally and Kelly participated in a candidate forum hosted by Univision Arizona.[50]
Click on the links below for summaries of the candidate forum from:
On Oct. 6, 2020, McSally and Kelly participated in a debate hosted by Arizona PBS, the Arizona Republic, KJZZ, and Arizona Public Media.[52]
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Click on the links below for summaries of the debate from:
McSally's campaign website stated the following:
“ |
Bipartisanship in a Partisan Time
COVID-19 Relief for Arizona Families
Border Security
Defense & Veterans
Economy
Health Care
Second Amendment
Public Safety
Sanctity of Life
|
” |
—Martha McSally's 2020 campaign website[63] |
Kelly's campaign website stated the following:
“ |
Mark Believes Health Care Is A Right
Mark Won't Rest Until Veterans Get What They Have Earned
Mark Will Be A Champion For Working Arizonans And Arizona's Middle Class
Mark Will Fight To Ensure That America Keeps Its Promise To Arizona Seniors
Mark Believes That We Need A Secure Border And To Fix Our Broken Immigration System
Public Education Should Prepare Arizonans To Thrive In A Rapidly-Changing Economy
As A Navy Pilot, Mark Swore An Oath To Defend The United States
Mark Supports The Kinds Of Policies That Empower Women
Mark Is A Gun Owner And Advocate For Commonsense Gun Laws
Climate Change Poses A Threat To Arizona's Economy And Our Way Of Life
|
” |
—Mark Kelly's 2020 campaign website[64] |
Arif's campaign website stated the following:
“ |
Mission and Vision Democrats Have A Mission And A Message |
” |
—Mohammad Arif's 2020 campaign website[65] |
Dorchester's campaign website stated the following:
“ |
The Republican, Democratic, and Independent Parties have failed in delivering the American dream.
Libertarian? Democrat? Independent?
Serving The Community
United By A Common Goal
|
” |
—Matthew Dorchester's 2020 campaign website[66] |
Glenn's campaign website stated the following:
“ |
My fellow Americans unfortunately we live in a country run by the two party system and it will take cooperation between the two political parties to resolve this country's greatest issues. A president has his/her administration can only move this country so far with executive orders and policy changes. With any positive gains and accomplishments that were achieved by any administration can be negated by the next administration. My goal is to move this country forward by getting enough center-right and center-left politicians to work together to legislative into law the president's successful polices and revisit some of the country's most controversial issues in history so that we can move forward and resolve our country's greatest problems. So what do I stand for, the long-term solution not a temporary political one. America you elected this president to drain the swamp so send me to Congress to stir the pot. "You must ask yourself as a future leader of America are you here to take on the burden of leadership or promise the world then do nothing and get rich." By Nicholas N. Glenn [62] |
” |
—Nicholas Glenn's 2020 campaign website[67] |
Kapadia's campaign website stated the following:
“ |
Help Me Help You Get Back What is Ours Get back our jobs, our money, our opportunity, our children's future, our freedom Perry Kapadia stands with the working poor, struggling small businesses, the honest people who are trying to make a living out of hard work and are unable to make ends meet. I WANT YOUR VOTE to be in the U.S. Senate and be able to ask these questions and seek answers for how to make things better for our families, and our future generations. Everyone deserves a fair chance to succeed, equal opportunity, quality education, commitment to hard work, comfortably adequate compensation, security, and the freedom to pursue our dreams. PERRY KAPADIA for the U.S. SENATE, a WRITE-IN CANDIDATE fights each and every day to ensure that the community is advancing towards meeting these principles. Read on to learn about some of the issues at hand Perry is passionate about and wants to do as your Senator. Family & Friends Perry, who lives with his wife Komal, their daughter Venus, and their son Mars, have called Arizona their home. Living few miles away from his parents, Perry in his household wears many hats: that of a husband, father, son, friend, visionary, handyman, dishwasher, landscaper, yard worker, and last but certainly not the least, other duties as assigned (this is the most called upon!). He wants to lead and facilitate the policies that encourage these family values in our society. Every decision that is made should be carefully seen as to how it impacts the hearts of our family & friends. More than ever, we now need PERRY KAPADIA for U.S. SENATE, a WRITE-IN CANDIDATE for his Unpolitical Decisive Arizona Family-Style Voice at the U.S. Capitol. High Paying Jobs is out future This particular issue has been increasingly gaining coverage all over the world. Why exactly? It is an issue that needs to be addressed and heavily discussed among politicians, lobbyists, and congressmen alike. The greatest nation in the world with an extremely high unemployment rate doesn't make any logical sense.Neither does Arizona with the most stable geological environment with low income and high unemployment make any sense. We are naturally saved from calamities like earthquakes, tornadoes, and hurricanes. And we have an abundance of untapped natural sunlight to generate clean solar electricity to power our state. The technology industry diversifying into tech, healthcare, education, and all phases of life has some of the highest paying jobs and they want to come to Arizona for our geologically stable geographic location, an abundance of sunlight, and great work ethics of the people of Arizona. All they want is a politically forward-thinking can-do attitude to safeguard their investment and growth. I am from the technology industry and am ready to provide insight on policies and persuasion needed to transform Arizona into a financially prosperous state with high paying jobs equipped via industry-leading technology certification.PERRY KAPADIA for U.S. SENATE, a WRITE-IN CANDIDATE is pushing for change and doing everything to see a brighter future. Join the cause of prosperity today and vote for Perry Kapadia. Health & Safety PERRY KAPADIA for U.S. SENATE, a WRITE-IN CANDIDATE, is truly passionate about the health and safety of our community, as it is one that impacts every Arizonan. I will not settle until our state and nation have a method in place to fight our health issues such as cancer and heart disease which is one of the highest in the nation. If we are guided by the needs of our people and backed by the scientific, evidence-based research of the experts. We shall have the necessary resources, all we need is a willing leadership like me to help us out in chartering policies that empower us for a healthy life. Education Education is the most fundamental reason for state advances. It is the lifeblood of an individual's future, the future of a family, the future generations, and the nation as a whole. We have the third-highest high school drop out rate, sixth-lowest median ACT score, and the highest student to teacher ratio in the nation. Arizona also has the second-lowest state for teacher pay. PERRY KAPADIA for the U.S. SENATE, a WRITE-IN CANDIDATE, has fought for change and will keep fighting for a debt-free education for those who seek to attain it. There are many ways to make a profit, but education and health are certainly not to be profited from. They are the building blocks of a prosperous society and should be encouraged and facilitated for all. Veteran Financial & Health Security Our Veterans are our heroes of this great state and nation. Our policies should reflect those sentiments in a way that reminds them for the rest of their lives that their nation is there for them as they were there for the nation. They should always have the confidence of a livable comfortable financial and healthy future. I will work towards eliminating the everyday struggle they have just to access what should be rightfully theirs. All we need as a nation is to thank them for their service sincerely in a meaningful way that they admire. [62] |
” |
—Perry Kapadia's 2020 campaign website[68] |
Schiess' campaign website stated the following:
“ |
A General Statement
Abortion and Stem Cell Research
Agenda 21
Alinsky
Barron County Sex Resolution
China Syndrome
Communism
Education
Flat Money/The Federal Reserve System
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Healthcare
Homosexuality
Illegal Invasion
Law & Order
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” |
—John Schiess' 2020 campaign website[69] |
The table below details filing requirements for U.S. Senate candidates in Arizona in the 2020 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Arizona, click here.
Filing requirements for U.S. Senate candidates, 2020 | ||||||||
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State | Office | Party | Signatures required | Signature formula | Filing fee | Filing fee formula | Filing deadline | Source |
Arizona | U.S. Senate | Democratic | 6,325 | 0.5% of qualified voters | N/A | N/A | 4/6/2020 | Source |
Arizona | U.S. Senate | Libertarian | 3,335 | 0.5% of qualified voters | N/A | N/A | 4/6/2020 | Source |
Arizona | U.S. Senate | Republican | 6,663 | 0.5% of qualified voters | N/A | N/A | 4/6/2020 | Source |
Arizona | U.S. Senate | Unaffiliated | 39,039 | 3% of qualified voters | N/A | N/A | 4/6/2020 | Source |
Kyrsten Sinema defeated Martha McSally and Angela Green in the general election for U.S. Senate Arizona on November 6, 2018.
Candidate |
% |
Votes |
||
✔ |
|
Kyrsten Sinema (D) |
50.0
|
1,191,100 |
|
Martha McSally (R) |
47.6
|
1,135,200 | |
|
Angela Green (G) |
2.4
|
57,442 | |
Other/Write-in votes |
0.0
|
566 |
Total votes: 2,384,308 (100.00% precincts reporting) |
||||
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U.S. Senate, Arizona General Election, 2016 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
Republican | John McCain Incumbent | 53.7% | 1,359,267 | |
Democratic | Ann Kirkpatrick | 40.7% | 1,031,245 | |
Green | Gary Swing | 5.5% | 138,634 | |
N/A | Write-in | 0.1% | 1,584 | |
Total Votes | 2,530,730 | |||
Source: Arizona Secretary of State |
U.S. Senate, Arizona General Election, 2012 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
Republican | Jeff Flake | 49.2% | 1,104,457 | |
Democratic | Richard Carmona | 46.2% | 1,036,542 | |
Libertarian | Marc Victor | 4.6% | 102,109 | |
Independent | Steven Watts (Write-in) | 0% | 290 | |
Independent | Don Manspeaker (Write-in) | 0% | 24 | |
Total Votes | 2,243,422 | |||
Source: Arizona Secretary of State "Official Election Results, 2012 General Election" |
Eight special elections for the U.S. House of Representatives occurred:
Two special election for the U.S. Senate occurred:
Three of these races resulted in partisan flips. The special elections for U.S. Senate in Arizona and Georgia resulted in Democratic gains, and the special election for California's 25th Congressional District resulted in a Republican gain.
Special elections to Congress occur when a legislator resigns, dies, or is removed from office. Depending on the specific state laws governing vacancies, a state can either hold an election within the same calendar year or wait until the next regularly scheduled election.
Results of special elections to the 116th Congress (House) | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Race | Election date | Incumbent | Winner | Election MOV | Previous election MOV | 2016 Presidential election MOV[70] |
Pennsylvania's 12th Congressional District | May 21, 2019 | Tom Marino | Fred Keller | R+36 | R+32 | R+37 |
North Carolina's 3rd Congressional District | September 10, 2019 | Walter Jones[71] | Greg Murphy | R+24 | R+100 | R+24 |
North Carolina's 9th Congressional District[72] | September 10, 2019 | Robert Pittenger | Dan Bishop | R+2 | R+16 | R+11 |
Maryland's 7th Congressional District | April 28, 2020 | Elijah Cummings | Kweisi Mfume | D+49 | D+55 | D+55 |
California's 25th Congressional District | May 12, 2020 | Katie Hill | Mike Garcia | R+12 | D+9 | D+7 |
Wisconsin's 7th Congressional District | May 12, 2020 | Sean Duffy | Tom Tiffany | R+14 | R+21 | R+20 |
New York's 27th Congressional District | June 23, 2020 | Chris Collins | Christopher Jacobs | R+5 | R+0.3 | R+25 |
Georgia's 5th Congressional District | December 1, 2020 | John Lewis | Kwanza Hall | D+8[73] | D+100 | D+73 |
Results of special elections to the 116th Congress (Senate) | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Race | Election date | Incumbent | Winner | Election MOV | Previous election MOV | 2016 Presidential election MOV |
U.S. Senate in Arizona | November 3, 2020 | Martha McSally[74] | Mark Kelly | D+3 | D+2 | R+4 |
U.S. Senate in Georgia | January 5, 2021 (runoff) | Kelly Loeffler[75] | Raphael Warnock | D+2.1 | R+14 | R+5 |
Fifty special elections to the United States Congress were held during the 113th through 116th Congresses. During that time, special elections were called for 16 seats vacated by Democrats and 34 vacated by Republicans.
The table below details how many congressional seats changed parties as the result of a special election between 2013 and 2020. The numbers on the left side of the table reflect how many vacant seats were originally held by each party, while the numbers on the right side of the table show how many vacant seats each party won in special elections.
Congressional special election vacancies and results, 113th Congress to 116th Congress | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Congress | Total elections held | Vacancies before elections | Seats held after elections | Net change | ||
Democrats | Republicans | Democrats | Republicans | |||
116th Congress | 10 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 6 | +1D, -1R |
115th Congress | 17 | 4 | 13 | 8 | 9 | +4 D, -4 R |
114th Congress | 7 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 5 | No change |
113th Congress | 16 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 9 | No change |
Averages | 13 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 7 | N/A |
U.S. Senate special election partisan change from special elections, 113th Congress to 116th Congress | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Party | As of special election | After special election | ||||
Democrats | 4 | 7 | ||||
Republicans | 6 | 3 | ||||
Total | 10 | 10 |
U.S. House special election partisan change from special elections, 113th Congress to 116th Congress | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Party | As of special election | After special election | ||||
Democrats | 12 | 14 | ||||
Republicans | 28 | 26 | ||||
Total | 40 | 40 |
The table below presents the results of special elections to Congress from 1986 to 2012. Contact Ballotpedia at editor@ballotpedia.org for access to earlier data.
Results of special elections to Congress (1986-2012) | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Election cycle | Total special elections | U.S. House elections | Seats changing partisan control | U.S. Senate elections | Seats changing partisan control | |
2011-2012 | 11 | 11 | None | None | None | |
2009-2010 | 15 | 10 | 3 (2 Democratic gains; 1 Republican gain) | 5 | 2 (all Republican gains) | |
2007-2008 | 14 | 12 | 3 (2 Republican gains; 1 Democratic gain) | 2 | None | |
2005-2006 | 12 | 12 | 3 (all Democratic gains) | None | None | |
2003-2004 | 6 | 6 | None | None | None | |
2001-2002 | 6 | 5 | 2 (all Democratic gains) | 1 | 1 (Republican gain) | |
1999-2000 | 9 | 8 | 1 (Republican gain) | 1 | 1 (Democratic gain) | |
1997-1998 | 3 | 3 | None | None | None | |
1995-1996 | 11 | 9 | 1 (Republican gain) | 2 | 1 (Democratic gain) | |
1993-1994 | 9 | 6 | 1 (Republican gain) | 3 | 3 (all Republican gains) | |
1991-1992 | 10 | 7 | 2 (all Republican gains) | 3 | 1 (Democratic gain) | |
1989-1990 | 10 | 8 | 1 (Democratic gain) | 2 | None | |
1987-1988 | 12 | 12 | 3 (2 Democratic gains; 1 Republican gain) | None | None | |
1985-1986 | 8 | 8 | 1 (Republican gain) | None | None | |
Total | 136 | 117 | 21 (11 Democratic gains; 10 Republican gains) | 19 | 9 (6 Republican gains; 3 Democratic gains) |
The information in this section was current as of May 7, 2019
Presidential voting pattern
Congressional delegation
State executives
State legislature
Arizona Party Control: 1992-2021
No Democratic trifectas • Twenty-one years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
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|
Demographic data for Arizona | ||
---|---|---|
Arizona | U.S. | |
Total population: | 6,817,565 | 316,515,021 |
Land area (sq mi): | 113,594 | 3,531,905 |
Race and ethnicity** | ||
White: | 78.4% | 73.6% |
Black/African American: | 4.2% | 12.6% |
Asian: | 3% | 5.1% |
Native American: | 4.4% | 0.8% |
Pacific Islander: | 0.2% | 0.2% |
Two or more: | 3.2% | 3% |
Hispanic/Latino: | 30.3% | 17.1% |
Education | ||
High school graduation rate: | 86% | 86.7% |
College graduation rate: | 27.5% | 29.8% |
Income | ||
Median household income: | $50,255 | $53,889 |
Persons below poverty level: | 21.2% | 11.3% |
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2010-2015) Click here for more information on the 2020 census and here for more on its impact on the redistricting process in Arizona. **Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here. |
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