Desecularization is the process by which religion reasserts its societal influence though religious values, institutions, sectors of society and symbols in reaction to previous and/or co-occurring secularization processes.[2] Desecularization can also occur through providential acts of God and in reaction to God granting Christian's prayers.[3]
Atheism is in decline worldwide in terms of its global market share, with the number of atheists falling from 4.5% of the world's population in 1970 to 2.0% in 2010 and projected to drop to 1.8% by 2020.[4] See: Global atheism statistics
On December 23, 2012, Professor Eric Kaufmann who teaches at Birbeck College, University of London wrote: "I argue that 97% of the world's population growth is taking place in the developing world, where 95% of people are religious.[5][6]
Kaufmann told a secular audience in Australia: "The trends that are happening worldwide inevitably in an age of globalization are going to affect us."[7]
There are a number of factors is causing the global resurgence of religion and the resulting global desecularization and some of them are given below.
See also: Militant atheism and Communism and religious persecution
According to the University of Cambridge, historically, the "most notable spread of atheism was achieved through the success of the 1917 Russian Revolution, which brought the Marxist-Leninists to power."[10]
Communist countries practice state atheism (See: Atheism and communism).
The historian Martin Van Crevel points out that sovereign states are losing power/influence due to technology democratizing access to information, welfare states increasingly failing, fourth-generation warfare being waged against countries and sovereign states increasingly losing their ability to maintain internal order.[11][12]
The fall of the former Soviet Union caused a significant drop in the percentage of people in the world who are atheists (see also: Collapse of atheism in the former Soviet Union).
In addition, Christianity is growing rapidly in communist China (See: Growth of Christianity in China).
See also: Atheism and its retention rate in individuals
In 2012, a Georgetown University study was published indicating that in the United States only about 30 percent of those who grow up in an atheist household remain atheists as adults.[13]
As noted above, many individuals are abandoning atheism in communist countries or former communist areas.
See: Global cultural/ideological convergence and desecularization
See also: Atheism and fertility rates
The higher rate of fertility rate of religious conservatives and the sub-replacement fertility rate of the irreligious and liberal Christianity is another source of desecularization (see: Atheism and fertility rates).
Michael Blume, a researcher at the University of Jena in Germany, wrote about the sub-replacement level of fertility among atheistic populations: "Most societies or communities that have espoused atheistic beliefs have not survived more than a century."[15] Blume also indicated concerning concerning his research on this matter: "What I found was the complete lack of a single case of a secular population, community or movement that would just manage to retain replacement level."[16] See also: Atheism and sexuality
The Washington Post wrote about the United States and fertility rates for various religious groups:
“ | According to Pew's data, the average Mormon can expect to make 3.4 babies in his or her lifetime. Jews, Catholics, and most flavors of Protestantism have fertility rates ranging from 2 to 2.5. At the low end of the baby-making spectrum you've got atheists, with 1.6 kids, and agnostics, who average only 1.3.[17] | ” |
See also: Atheism and women
Surveys throughout the world and other data indicate that women are less inclined to be atheists.[19] [20]
In 2016, Atheist Alliance International (AAI) conducted an annually reoccurring atheist census project and found:
“ | At the time of writing, the Atheist Census Project recorded that on average worldwide 73.2% of respondents were male. The result is consistent with other research... As such, the focus of many scholarly papers has been on seeking to explain this persistent observation."[21] | ” |
In November 2010, Discover Magazine published survey results published by the World Values Survey which showed significant differences between the percentage of men and women who are atheists for various countries with men outnumbering women in terms of adopting an atheist worldview.[22]
In 2015, BloombergView reported concerning the United States: "According to a much-discussed 2012 report from the Pew Research Center on Religion and Public Life, ...women are 52 percent of the U.S. population but only 36 percent of atheists and agnostics.[23]
See: Atheism and marriage
See also: Global atheism and aging populations
Global atheism is facing significant challenges in terms of aging populations in East Asia and Europe and this will be a significant cause of desecularization in the 21st century (see: Global atheism and aging populations).
As atheist populations rise in age, the fertility rates of atheistic countries could drop further. The Rand Corporation indicates, "Nearly all European nations are experiencing long-term downtrends in fertility, and consequently, ageing of their populations. These demographic trends could have potentially damaging consequences for European economies."[24]
See also: Global atheism and aging populations
The article Developed countries may become more religious in 20 years indicates:
“ | Researchers from HSE University and RANEPA found that in high-income countries, age, rather than the cohort effect, has more impact on religiosity. They predict that this may have an impact on societal structure in the future. The study was published in Journal for the Scientific Study of Religion.
It has long been observed that older people tend to be more religious than younger people. However, it is still disputable whether this fact should be attributed to people generally becoming more religious with age per se (age effect), or to the process of secularization, wherein earlier cohorts (to which the now older people belong) used to be more religious than those that appeared later, i.e. younger cohorts (cohort effect). HSE University scholars decided to analyze this issue using data from six waves of the World Values Survey (2016) in high-income OECD countries. A total of 16 countries were studied, including Australia, the USA, Canada, Great Britain, Israel, New Zealand, Japan, Germany, as well as other European countries. The researchers used logistic models and multiple linear regression to determine that the age effect has a higher impact on religiosity than the cohort effect. Older people are more inclined to believe in God, attend church, and believe it is important to instill religion in children.. The cohort effect impacts other factors analyzed by the scholars, such as church attendance and a belief in religion's importance in life, but the age effect still strongly prevails over the cohort effect... The transition from religious to secular values may slow by 2040 in high-income OECD countries and, probably, there will be a resurgence of religiosity, the symptoms of which can be observed in Japan. On the other hand, widely divergent socio-cultural settings in different countries have an impact on religious behavior and attitude, and this must be taken into account in further research.[25] |
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(See also: European desecularization in the 21st century and United States, irreligion vs. religion and demographics and American atheism and British atheism and Irreligion in Australia and Postsecularism and New Zealand in the 21st century and Canada and irreligion)
See: Religious immigrants to Europe resistant to secularization
Although atheists employ atheist indoctrination via governmental institutions and other methods, most atheists do not engage in personal evangelism (See: Atheism and apathy and Atheism and inspiration).
According Pew Research:
“ | In the 2014 Religious Landscape Study, self-identified atheists were asked how often they share their views on God and religion with religious people. Only about one-in-ten atheists (9%) say they do at least weekly, while roughly two-thirds (65%) say they seldom or never discuss their views on religion with religious people. By comparison, 26% of those who have a religious affiliation share their views at least once a week with those who have other beliefs; 43% say they seldom or never do.[26] | ” |
Doing overseas evangelism/outreaches in poor countries often requires significant hardships/persecution and western atheists by in large have been unwilling to endure such hardships in order to spread atheistic ideology - especially when compared to Christianity (see: Western atheists have not done a significant amount of outreach to poor countries).
Evangelical Christians are often zealous when it comes to evangelism and evangelical Christianity has seen rapid growth in the world (see: Growth of evangelical Christianity).
See also: Religion and migration
According to British anthropologist Edward Dutton, religious people are more likely to migrate (there are various reasons postulated, but it remains unclear why this is so).[28]
According to Dutton, this partly explains why the British people who left Britain and migrated to America in the colonial period were more religious.[29]
Currently, there are many evangelical Christians and Muslims moving to secular regions (See: Growth of evangelical Christianity in irreligious regions).
According to Pew Forum:
“ | About 3% of the world’s population has migrated across international borders. While that may seem like a small percentage, it represents a lot of people. If the world’s 214 million international migrants were counted as one nation, they would constitute the fifth most populous country on the globe, just behind Indonesia and ahead of Brazil.
Faith on the Move, a new study by the Pew Research Center’s Forum on Religion & Public Life, focuses on the religious affiliation of international migrants, examining patterns of migration among seven major groups: Christians, Muslims, Hindus, Buddhists, Jews, adherents of other religions and the religiously unaffiliated. Christians comprise nearly half – an estimated 106 million, or 49% – of the world’s 214 million international migrants, the total number of people who reside permanently in a country other than where they were born. (See Defining International Migrants box. All figures in this report are as of 2010.) Muslims make up the second-largest share of people who have migrated across borders – almost 60 million, or 27% Hindus (nearly 11 million) account for 5%) and Buddhists (about 7 million) account for 3%.[30] |
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See also: Atheism and international cooperation among atheists
In recent years, international cooperation among atheists has been low (see: Atheism and international cooperation among atheists).
See: Internet atheism has a small audience and an insignificant influence on the world
A Pew Forum study and other studies found an inverse relationship between societal wealth/stability and religiosity (Of course, if a country has a significant amount of religious freedom like the United States, it is certainly possible for a country to have significant societal wealth and religiosity).[32][33]
There is a significant amount of historical data and social science research indicating that conservative Protestantism and its attendant Protestant work ethic is a boon to economic productivity (see: Protestant Ethic and the Spirit of Capitalism). The atheist and Harvard University historian Niall Ferguson declared: "Through a mixture of hard work and thrift the Protestant societies of the North and West Atlantic achieved the most rapid economic growth in history."[34]
China has seen significant growth of Protestant Christianity and increased economic growth (see: Growth of Christianity in China). Desecularization in China is partly occurring due to its association with better education, individual freedom, equality and democracy (see: Asian atheism).[35]
The Australian Broadcasting Corporation's website RN reports in their article The rise of Christianity in Asia:
“ | Sebastian Kim of York St John University in the UK concurs. Unlike other Asian countries, Koreans, not foreign missionaries, planted the first seeds of Christianity in Korea. Yet, it was western missionaries who brought with them hospitals, schools and other social institutions that helped transform Korea.[36] | ” |
Many developed countries in secular Europe have aging populations and increasing sovereign debt which could cause economic problems in the future (see: Eurozone Crisis).
See also: European desecularization in the 21st century
Immigration to the European continent has a long history. In the latter part of the 20th century, immigration to Europe increased substantially - especially in Western Europe.
Legal and illegal immigration of religious immigrants to Western World nations is a source of desecularization - particularly Europe (see: Secular Europe). Aging European nations frequently seek workers for their businesses and to help support aging pensioners.
As far as illegal immigration to Europe, The American Interest website declares:
“ | Securing Europe’s vast land and sea borders—a task greater than that faced by the United States along its border with Mexico—is proving exceptionally challenging for the European Union (EU)....
Traffickers use small boats to reduce the chances of being picked up by patrol boats’ radars; migrants are often dropped off on stretches of inaccessible coastline, or left to drift ashore. In the case of illegal land crossings, small trucks are used to penetrate the most porous parts of eastern or southern Europe’s borders. Penalties for this are low or non-existent all around Europe, and traffickers are rarely caught anyway. Smuggling people across Europe has become easier and more profitable than anything other criminal activity, including drugs.[38] |
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The mainstream media has a pro-atheism bias (see: Atheism and the media). In short, it was an ally to atheist activists.
The Media Research Center released a study in 2008 reporting pro-atheism bias by major press outlets in the United States.[39] The study found that 80% of mainstream media coverage of atheism was positive and that 71% of Christian-themed stories had an atheist counterpoint or were written from an atheist perspective.[40]
The Daily Mail reported about Britain's influential broadcaster the BBC:
“ | The BBC employs more atheists and non-believers than Christians, an internal ‘diversity’ survey has found.
The new research has been seized on by critics who accuse the Corporation of bias against Christianity and marginalising the faith in its output. The survey found that just 22.5 per cent of all staff professed to be Christians.[41] |
” |
The 2017 Edelman Trust Barometer, published in January this year, reveals a “crisis in trust” around the world in four key institutions – business, NGO's, media and government – with media and government distrusted by more people than trusted (see: Lack of trust in media: 'magazine media could offer a blue print out' ).
Distrust of the media is at all-time high, but the media still does have some influence (see: Americans' Trust in Mass Media Sinks to New Low).
See also: Asian atheism and Growth of Christianity in China
According to Slate, "Protestant Christianity has been the fastest growing religion in China."[42] Evangelical Christianity is especially growing sharply in China.[43]
On November 1, 2014, an article in The Economist entitled Cracks in the atheist edifice declared:
“ | Officials are untroubled by the clash between the city’s famously freewheeling capitalism and the Communist Party’s ideology, yet still see religion and its symbols as affronts to the party’s atheism...
Yang Fenggang of Purdue University, in Indiana, says the Christian church in China has grown by an average of 10% a year since 1980. He reckons that on current trends there will be 250m Christians by around 2030, making China’s Christian population the largest in the world. Mr. Yang says this speed of growth is similar to that seen in fourth-century Rome just before the conversion of Constantine, which paved the way for Christianity to become the religion of his empire.[44] |
” |
Justin Wood wrote:
“ | Ten thousand Chinese become Christians each day, according to a stunning report by ...veteran correspondent John Allen, and 200 million Chinese may comprise the world's largest concentration of Christians by mid-century, and the largest missionary force in history...
I suspect that even the most enthusiastic accounts err on the downside, and that Christianity will have become a Sino-centric religion two generations from now. China may be for the 21st century what Europe was during the 8th-11th centuries, and America has been during the past 200 years: the natural ground for mass evangelization. If this occurs, the world will change beyond our capacity to recognize it. Islam might defeat the western Europeans, simply by replacing their diminishing numbers with immigrants, but it will crumble beneath the challenge from the East.[45] |
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There are a number of causes of desecularization in Asia (see: Factors related to growth of Christianity in Asia).
See: Atheism statistics and Atheism and culture
See also: History of atheism
Many theists, particularly in religious countries, have a very negative view of atheists and much of it stems from the behavior of atheists (see: Views on atheists and Atheist population and immorality).
The majority of philosophers of religion, or those who have extensively studied the issue of the existence of God, are theists (72 percent).[46]
In 2001, the atheist and philosopher Quentin Smith declared:
“ | Naturalists [atheists] passively watched as realist versions of theism … began to sweep through the philosophical community, until today perhaps one-quarter or one-third of philosophy professors are theists, with most being orthodox Christians…. God is not 'dead' in academia; he returned to life in the 1960's and is now alive and well in his last academic stronghold, philosophy departments."[47] | ” |
Christian apologetics is the defense of the Christian faith through logic/evidence based arguments.
There is a proliferation of Christian apologetics and creation apologetics in the world. For example, there is the Trinity Graduate School of Apologetics and Theology initiative which offers quality Christian apologetics for free to third world country students and charges extremely low costs for others. In addition, Ratio Christi is launching Christian apologetics clubs at college/university campuses.
In addition, there has been a growth of creationist apologetics (see: Creation apologetics and evangelicalism).
See also: Atheist apologetics
In 1990, the atheist philosopher Michael Martin indicated there was a general absence of an atheistic response to contemporary work in the philosophy of religion and in jest he indicated that it was his "cross to bear" to respond to theistic arguments.[48] Yet, in 1994, Michael Martin was criticized for his eleventh hour cancellation of his debate with Greg Bahnsen (see: Greg Bahnsen and debate and Bahnson-Martin debate press release).[49][50]
For more information, please see: Atheist apologetics
See: Rebuttals to atheist arguments and Atheist apologetics
See also: Atheists and the endurance of religion
In 1990, the atheist philosopher Michael Martin indicated there was a general absence of an atheistic response to contemporary work in the philosophy of religion and in jest he indicated that it was his "cross to bear" to respond to theistic arguments.[51] Yet, in 1994, Michael Martin was criticized for his eleventh hour cancellation of his debate with Greg Bahnsen (see: Greg Bahnsen and debate and Bahnson-Martin debate press release).[52][53]
The agnostic and academic Eric Kaufmann wrote in 2010:
“ | Worldwide, the march of religion can probably only be reversed by a renewed, self-aware secularism. Today, it appears exhausted and lacking in confidence... Secularism's greatest triumphs owe less to science than to popular social movements like nationalism, socialism and 1960s anarchist-liberalism. Ironically, secularism's demographic deficit means that it will probably only succeed in the twenty-first century if it can create a secular form of 'religious' enthusiasm." [54] | ” |
In recent years, there have been a notable number of cases of prominent atheists dodging debates (See also: Atheism and cowardice and Atheism and debate).
See also: Western atheism, schisms and political polarization
A number of atheists have declared that the "atheist movement is dead".[56]
In 2017, atheist David Smalley has indicated that leftist/progressive atheists were "killing the atheist movement" through being contentious and divisive (see also: Atheist factions).[57] Smalley indicated that the atheist movement was disintegrating.[58] Former new atheist PZ Myers, who subscribes to progressive politics, says he is no longer a member of the atheist movement.[59]
Post Atheism plus movement and post the Elevatorgate controversy, within Western atheism, there has been increased conflict between atheists who espouse political progressivism (feminism, identity politics, multiculturalism) and atheists who disagree with all or part of political progressivism (see: Western atheism, schisms and political polarization).
Christians, particularly evangelical Christianity, have invested in websites the purpose of spreading Christianity and creationism (see: Internet evangelism and Internet creationism).
The internet evangelism websites launched by Christians in the Western World have often made a strong focus on reaching people in developing countries and have had significant results (see: Internet evangelism).[60] Internet evangelism websites often feature video presentations of the gospel message and target audiences which are receptive to converting to Christianity.
The science journal Science Nordic wrote: "Creationism has particularly been on the rise in step with the internet, which according to Peter Kjærgaard has made it much easier for people to become activists..."[61]
See: Internet atheism
Post 2008 and the decline of New Atheism, internet atheism saw a significant decline (see: Internet atheism).
In addition, while Christian organizations that focus on internet evangelism often have sophisticated online evangelism efforts which target receptive audiences, generally online atheism caters to audiences in the Western World who are already atheists.
Atheists in predominately Islamic countries who engage in online advocacy of atheism often face imprisonment/censorship from governments and violence from Islamic zealots (see: Atheism vs. Islam).[62] While martyrdom against Christians has resulted in Christianity growing rapidly in areas of persecution, the martyrdom of atheists in Muslim countries has had little to no effect in spreading atheism in Muslim countries (see also: Ex-Muslim atheists are becoming more outspoken, but Muslim tolerance is still rare).
See also: Homeschooling
Jewish columnist Dennis Prager has stated that a causal factor of atheism is the "secular indoctrination of a generation."[64] Prager stated that "From elementary school through graduate school, only one way of looking at the world – the secular – is presented. The typical individual in the Western world receives as secular an indoctrination as the typical European received a religious one in the Middle Ages."[65] See also: Atheism and critical thinking
Homeschooling is growing worldwide.[66]
Nearly 7% of American college-educated parents homeschool their children.[67] In the United States, an estimated one to two million students are homeschooled, or nearly one out of every 30 students.[68]
In 2011, it was reported that homeschooling has grown by almost 75% in the last 8 years in the United States.[69] and in a recent survey "the average homeschooled student scored at the 88th percentile" in the core subjects of reading, language and math.[70] The most successful mathematician in contests in history, Reid Barton, was homeschooled.[71]
Private schooling per student cost less than public schooling.[72]
According to a news program by John Stossel, Belgium has a school system which funds students to attend primary and secondary schools and they can use those funds to attend any school or their choice whether it be a religious private school, a non-religious private school or a public school.
American government run public schools are increasingly facing budget cuts and there is growing criticism of public schools. Vouchers for private schools (including religious schools) and charter schools are increasingly being discussed and legislators are introducing and passing school choice bills.[73] America also has an aging population and Bill Gates indicates that state budgets are breaking schools in the United States.[74] Of course, constrained public school budgets includes constrained school legal budgets so many schools will be less able to engage in frivolous/unwarranted legal suits constraining religious free speech in their schools.
There appears to be a higher education bubble that will burst.[75] The Wall Street Journal reported in 2013 that the percentage of Americans going to college has been decreasing for 3 years in the USA.[76]
Europe faces an aging population and will also have challenges financing public schools.
Division is widespread within the atheist movement (see: Atheist factions) and numerous atheists have declared that the "atheist movement is dead" or that it is dying (see: Decline of the atheist movement)[77] In 2019, a writer at Freethought Blogs wrote: "Last month I looked at some postmortems of the atheist movement...".[78]
Citing the work of the French researcher Gilles Kepel who wrote the book The Revenge of God and the work of Harvard University political scientist Samuel Huntington, who authored the work The Clash of Civilizations, the Christian ministry Tomorrow's World declared:
“ | Growing numbers of people around the globe are becoming disenchanted with the effect of secularism on our modern world—the fragmentation of society, the weakening of social cohesion, the absence of noble ideals worth pursuing, the lack of solid values, the social acceptance of what was formerly considered perversion, the spread of crime and the lack of effective punishment, the emptiness of consumerism and materialism, the breakdown of the "welfare state," the failure of communism, the chaos in schools and the breakdown of families (Kepel, p. 5).
Once-formidable ideologies have been found unsatisfactory and have even collapsed. Millions are abandoning the depressing philosophical wasteland of theories that consider human beings mere animals with no future beyond death, and no purpose in life other than to survive. In place of communism and consumerism, many are searching for "new sources of identity, new forms of stable community, and new sets of moral precepts to provide them with a sense of meaning and purpose… there is a quest for some higher explanations about man's purpose, about why we are here" (The Clash of Civilizations, p. 97).[79] |
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See also: Atheism and loneliness
Loneliness has been linked to many physical and mental health problems.[80]
Compared to deeply religious cultures where an extended family and a sense of community often exists, secular countries are often lonelier societies. In addition, numerous studies and other data indicate that atheists often have lower emotional intelligence and lower social skills (see: Atheism and emotional intelligence and Atheism and social skills).
For more information, please see:
See also: Atheist factions
See also: Atheist movement and Atheism and anger and Atheism and bitterness
Blair Scott served on the American Atheists board of directors. Mr. Scott formerly served as a State Director for the American Atheists organization in the state of Alabama. On December 1, 2012 he quit his post as a director of outreach for the American Atheist due to infighting within the American atheist movement.[81]
Mr. Blair wrote:
“ | I have spent the last week mulling over what I want to do at this point in the movement. I’m tired of the in-fighting: at every level. I am especially tired of allowing myself to get sucked into it and engaging in the very behavior that is irritating..me.[82] | ” |
The atheist Neil Carter wrote:
“ | Friends of mine have noted lately how biting and critical the atheist community can be, not only toward outsiders, but even toward its own members. Has there ever been a subculture more prone to eating its own than this one? I really don’t know.[83] | ” |
See: Atheism and politics and Decline of the secular left and Militant atheism vs. Christianity, Islam and right-wing ideology and Desecularization and politics
In European politics right-wing parties are ascendant. There is growing satisfaction with moderate politics in America and the right has made some gains - particularly in state/local elections (see: Decline of the secular left).
The Guardian reported in March 2015, "Leftwing leaders in Brazil, Argentina and Venezuela are being knocked by dissent and stagnating economies. Poor governance and opposition from media and financial elites have sapped their popularity."[84] In May 2018, the Washington Post published an article entitled In Brazil’s political crisis, a powerful new force: Evangelical Christians.[85]
See also: Atheist fundraising vs. religious fundraising
The 21st century is expected to be a century of desecularization and religious organizations significantly outperforming atheist organizations in fundraising will contribute to this matter (see: Atheist fundraising vs. religious fundraising).