Global distribution of the 4.2 kiloyear event. The hatched areas were affected by wet conditions or flooding, and the dotted areas by drought or dust storms.[1]
The 4.2-kiloyear BP aridification event was one of the most severe climatic events of the Holocene epoch.[2] It defines the beginning of the current Meghalayan age in the Holocene epoch.
Starting around 2200 BC, it probably lasted the entire 22nd century BC. It has been hypothesised to have caused the collapse of the Old Kingdom in Egypt as well as the Akkadian Empire in Mesopotamia, and the Liangzhu culture in the lower Yangtze River area.[3][4] The drought may also have initiated the collapse of the Indus Valley Civilisation, with some of its population moving southeastward to follow the movement of their desired habitat,[5] as well as the migration of Indo-European-speaking people into India.[6]
Some scientists disagree with this conclusion and point out that the event was neither a global drought nor did it happen in a clear timeline.[7]
Central Greenland reconstructed temperature. Unlike the 8.2-kiloyear event, the 4.2-kiloyear event has no prominent signal in the Gisp2 ice core that has an onset at 4.2 ka BP.[citation needed]
A phase of intense aridity about 4.2 ka BP is recorded across North Africa,[8] the Middle East,[9] the Red Sea,[10] the Arabian Peninsula,[11] the Indian subcontinent,[5] and midcontinental North America.[12] Glaciers throughout the mountain ranges of western Canada advanced at about this time.[13] Evidence has also been found in an Italian cave flowstone,[14] the Kilimanjaro ice sheet,[15] and in Andean glacier ice.[16] The onset of the aridification in Mesopotamia in about 4100 BP also coincided with a cooling event in the North Atlantic, known as Bond event 3.[2][17][18] Despite this, evidence for the 4.2 kyr event in Northern Europe is ambiguous, suggesting the origin and effect of this event is spatially complex.[19]
Some scientists disagree with this conclusion and point out that the event was neither a global drought nor did it happen in a clear timeline. Jessica Tierney, a paleoclimatologist at the University of Arizona in Tucson, assumes that scientists mistakenly "lumped together evidence of other droughts and wet periods, sometimes centuries away from the event".[24]
Effects
Iberian peninsula
On the Iberian Peninsula, the construction of motillas-type settlements in the period after 2200 BC is believed to be the consequence of the severe aridification that affected this area.
According to Mejías et al., who reported the first palaeohydrogeological interdisciplinary research in La Mancha, Spain,
Recent studies show that the "motilla" sites from the Bronze Age in La Mancha may be the most ancient system of groundwater collection in the Iberian Peninsula. ... These were built during the Climatic Event 4.2 ka cal BP in a time of environmental stress due to a period of severe, prolonged drought.[25]
The authors' analysis verified a relationship between the geological substrate and the spatial distribution of the motillas.
Ancient Egypt
In c. 2150 BC, the Old Kingdom, then ruled by the Ninth Dynasty, was hit by a series of exceptionally low Nile floods. This may have influenced the collapse of centralised government in ancient Egypt after a famine.[26]
Arabian peninsula
In the Persian Gulf region, there is a sudden change in settlement pattern, style of pottery and tombs at this time. The 22nd century BC drought marks the end of the Umm al-Nar culture and the change to the Wadi Suq culture.[11]
Mesopotamia
The aridification of Mesopotamia may have been related to the onset of cooler sea-surface temperatures in the North Atlantic (Bond event 3), as analysis of the modern instrumental record shows that large (50%) interannual reductions in Mesopotamian water supply result when subpolar northwest Atlantic sea surface temperatures are anomalously cool.[27] The headwaters of the Tigris and Euphrates Rivers are fed by elevation-induced capture of winter Mediterranean rainfall.
The Akkadian Empire, in 2300 BC, was the second civilisation to subsume independent societies into a single state (the first being ancient Egypt around 3100 BC). It has been claimed that the collapse of the state was influenced by a wide-ranging, centuries-long drought.[28][29] Archaeological evidence documents widespread abandonment of the agricultural plains of northern Mesopotamia and dramatic influxes of refugees into southern Mesopotamia, around 2170 BC.[30] A 180-km-long wall, the "Repeller of the Amorites", was built across central Mesopotamia to stem nomadic incursions to the south. Around 2150 BC, the Gutian people, who originally inhabited the Zagros Mountains, defeated the demoralised Akkadian army, took Akkad, and destroyed it around 2115 BC. Widespread agricultural change in the Near East is visible at the end of the 3rd millennium BC.[31]
Resettlement of the northern plains by smaller sedentary populations occurred near 1900 BC, three centuries after the collapse.[30]
A study of fossil corals in Oman provides evidence that prolonged winter shamal seasons, around 4,200 years ago, led to the salinization of the irrigated fields; hence, a dramatic decrease in crop production triggered a widespread famine and eventually the collapse of the ancient Akkadian Empire.[32][33]
South and Central Asia
In the 2nd millennium BC, widespread aridification occurred in the Eurasian steppes and South Asia.[6][34] On the steppes, the vegetation changed, driving "higher mobility and transition to the nomadic cattle breeding".[34][note 1][note 2] Water shortage also strongly affected South Asia:
This time was one of great upheaval for ecological reasons. Prolonged failure of rains caused acute water shortage in large areas, causing the collapse of sedentary urban cultures in south central Asia, Afghanistan, Iran, and India, and triggering large-scale migrations. Inevitably, the new arrivals came to merge with and dominate the post-urban cultures.[6]
Urban centers of the Indus Valley Civilisation were abandoned and replaced by disparate local cultures, due to the same climate change that affected the neighbouring regions to the west.[35](As of 2016), many scholars believed that drought and a decline in trade with Egypt and Mesopotamia caused the collapse of the Indus Civilisation.[36] The Ghaggar-Hakra system was rain-fed,[37][38][39] and water supply depended on the monsoons. The Indus Valley climate grew significantly cooler and drier from about 1800 BC, linked to a general weakening of the monsoon at that time.[37] The Indian monsoon declined and aridity increased, with the Ghaggar-Hakra River retracting its reach towards the foothills of the Himalayas,[37][40][41] leading to erratic and less extensive floods that made inundation agriculture less sustainable. Aridification reduced the water supply enough to cause the civilisation's demise, and to scatter its population eastward.[5][42][43][44]
China
The drought may have caused the collapse of Neolithic cultures around Central China during the late third millennium BC.[45] At the same time, the middle reaches of the Yellow River saw a series of extraordinary floods related to the legendary figure of Yu the Great.[46] In the Yishu River Basin, the flourishing Longshan culture was affected by a cooling that severely reduced rice output. This led to a substantial decrease in population and fewer archaeological sites.[47] In about 2000 BC, Longshan was displaced by the Yueshi culture, which had fewer and less sophisticated artifacts of ceramic and bronze.
↑Demkina et al. (2017): "In the second millennium BC, humidization of the climate led to the divergence of the soil cover with secondary formation of the complexes of chestnut soils and solonetzes. This paleoecological crisis had a significant effect on the economy of the tribes in the Late Catacomb and Post-Catacomb time stipulating their higher mobility and transition to the nomadic cattle breeding."[34]
↑Li, Chun-Hai; Li, Yong-Xiang; Zheng, Yun-Fei; Yu, Shi-Yong; Tang, Ling-Yu; Li, Bei-Bei; Cui, Qiao-Yu (August 2018). "A high-resolution pollen record from East China reveals large climate variability near the Northgrippian-Meghalayan boundary (around 4200 years ago) exerted societal influence". Palaeogeography, Palaeoclimatology, Palaeoecology512: 156–165. doi:10.1016/j.palaeo.2018.07.031. ISSN0031-0182. Bibcode: 2018PPP...512..156L.
↑ 5.05.15.2Staubwasser, M. (2003). "Climate change at the 4.2 ka BP termination of the Indus valley civilization and Holocene south Asian monsoon variability". Geophysical Research Letters30 (8): 1425. doi:10.1029/2002GL016822. Bibcode: 2003GeoRL..30.1425S.
↑Gasse, Françoise; Van Campo, Elise (1994). "Abrupt post-glacial climate events in West Asia and North Africa monsoon domains". Earth and Planetary Science Letters126 (4): 435–456. doi:10.1016/0012-821X(94)90123-6. Bibcode: 1994E&PSL.126..435G.
↑Bar-Matthews, Miryam; Ayalon, Avner; Kaufman, Aaron (1997). "Late Quaternary Paleoclimate in the Eastern Mediterranean Region from Stable Isotope Analysis of Speleothems at Soreq Cave, Israel". Quaternary Research47 (2): 155–168. doi:10.1006/qres.1997.1883. Bibcode: 1997QuRes..47..155B.
↑Booth, Robert K. (2005). "A severe centennial-scale drought in midcontinental North America 4200 years ago and apparent global linkages". The Holocene15 (3): 321–328. doi:10.1191/0959683605hl825ft. Bibcode: 2005Holoc..15..321B.
↑Drysdale, Russell (2005). "Late Holocene drought responsible for the collapse of Old World civilizations is recorded in an Italian cave flowstone". Geology34 (2): 101–104. doi:10.1130/G22103.1. Bibcode: 2006Geo....34..101D.
↑Stanley, Jean-Daniel (2003). "Nile flow failure at the end of the Old Kingdom, Egypt: Strontium isotopic and petrologic evidence". Geoarchaeology18 (3): 395–402. doi:10.1002/gea.10065.
↑Cullen, H. M. et al., "Climate change and the collapse of the Akkadian empire: Evidence from the deep sea", Geology, vol. 28, iss. 4, pp. 379-382, 2000
↑Riehl, S. (2008). "Climate and agriculture in the ancient Near East: a synthesis of the archaeobotanical and stable carbon isotope evidence". Vegetation History and Archaeobotany17 (1): 43–51. doi:10.1007/s00334-008-0156-8.
↑Watanabe, Takaaki K.; Watanabe, Tsuyoshi; Yamazaki, Atsuko; Pfeiffer, Miriam (2019). "Oman corals suggest that a stronger winter shamal season caused the Akkadian Empire (Mesopotamia) collapse". Geology (GeoScienceWorld) 47 (12): 1141–1145. doi:10.1130/G46604.1. Bibcode: 2019Geo....47.1141W.
↑Wu, Wenxiang; Liu, Tungsheng (2004). "Possible role of the "Holocene Event 3" on the collapse of Neolithic Cultures around the Central Plain of China". Quaternary International117 (1): 153–166. doi:10.1016/S1040-6182(03)00125-3. Bibcode: 2004QuInt.117..153W.
↑Chun Chang Huang (2011). "Extraordinary floods related to the climatic event at 4200 a BP on the Qishuihe River, middle reaches of the Yellow River, China". Quaternary Science Reviews30 (3–4): 460–468. doi:10.1016/j.quascirev.2010.12.007. Bibcode: 2011QSRv...30..460H.
↑Gao, Huazhong; Zhu, Cheng; Xu, Weifeng (2007). "Environmental change and cultural response around 4200 cal. yr BP in the Yishu River Basin, Shandong". Journal of Geographical Sciences17 (3): 285–292. doi:10.1007/s11442-007-0285-5.
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