2014 South Dakota gubernatorial election

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2014 South Dakota gubernatorial election

← 2010 November 4, 2014 2018 →
 
Nominee Dennis Daugaard Susan Wismer
Party Republican Democratic
Running mate Matt Michels Susy Blake
Popular vote 195,477 70,549
Percentage 70.47% 25.43%

Daugaard:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Wismer:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%
Tie:      40–50%

Governor before election

Dennis Daugaard
Republican

Elected Governor

Dennis Daugaard
Republican

The 2014 South Dakota gubernatorial election took place on November 4, 2014, to elect the Governor and Lieutenant Governor of South Dakota, concurrently with the election of South Dakota's Class II U.S. Senate seat, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

Incumbent Republican governor Dennis Daugaard ran for re-election to a second term in office. He won the Republican primary and ran again with incumbent lieutenant governor Matt Michels. The Democrats nominated State Representative Susan Wismer, who chose former state representative Susy Blake as her running mate. Independent Mike Myers also ran, whose running mate was former Republican state representative Lora Hubbel.

Republican primary

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Candidates

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Declared

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Declined

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Results

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Republican primary results[6]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Dennis Daugaard (incumbent) 60,017 80.87
Republican Lora Hubbel 14,196 19.13
Total votes 74,213 100

Democratic primary

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Candidates

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Declared

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Declined

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Results

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Democratic primary results[6]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Susan Wismer 15,311 55.49
Democratic Joe Lowe 12,283 44.51
Total votes 27,594 100

Independents and Third Parties

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Candidates

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Declared

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  • Running mate: Lora Hubbel, former Republican State Representative and Republican candidate for governor in 2014. Myers' initial running mate was Caitlin Collier, an attorney and Democratic candidate for the State House in 2008. After Collier announced her withdrawal from the race in June 2014 because of a family illness,[20][21] Myers attempted to replace her with Hubbel, who had run against Daugaard in the Republican primary. However, Secretary of State of South Dakota Jason Gant refused to remove Collier's name, saying that state law had no provision for replacing an Independent candidate on the ballot.[21] In July, Myers sued the Secretary of State to allow him to change his running mate[22] and on August 18, federal judge Lawrence L. Piersol of the United States District Court for the District of South Dakota ruled in Myers' favor.[23][24]

Failed to make the ballot

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General election

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Predictions

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Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[27] Solid R November 3, 2014
Sabato's Crystal Ball[28] Safe R November 3, 2014
Rothenberg Political Report[29] Safe R November 3, 2014
Real Clear Politics[30] Safe R November 3, 2014

Polling

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Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Dennis
Daugaard (R)
Susan
Wismer (D)
Mike
Myers (I)
Other Undecided
Monmouth University[31] October 24–27, 2014 429 ± 4.7% 68% 29% 1% 2%
SurveyUSA[32] October 21–26, 2014 611 ± 4% 54% 34% 5% 7%
Mason-Dixon[33] October 20–23, 2014 800 ± 3.5% 62% 26% 5% 7%
NBC News/Marist[34] October 19–23, 2014 730 LV ± 3.6% 67% 28% 1% 4%
990 RV ± 3.1% 67% 26% 2% 5%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov[35] October 16–23, 2014 527 ± 8% 54% 28% 3% 15%
Harper Polling[36] October 9–11, 2014 630 ± 3.9% 53% 35% 8% 4%
SurveyUSA[37] October 1–5, 2014 616 ± 4% 59% 30% 7% 5%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov[38] September 20–October 1, 2014 382 ± 7% 57% 31% 2% 10%
Nielson Brothers Polling[39] September 21–25, 2014 607 ± 3.35% 53% 28% 10% 9%
SurveyUSA[40] September 3–7, 2014 510 ± 4.4% 54% 34% 6% 7%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov[41] August 18–September 2, 2014 526 ± 6% 55% 28% 1% 16%
Nielson Brothers Polling[42] July 23–28, 2014 572 ± 4.07% 53% 29% 7% 12%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov[43] July 5–24, 2014 630 ± 4.5% 66% 27% 2% 5%
Rasmussen Reports[44] June 4–5, 2014 750 ± 4% 55% 35% 3% 7%
SurveyUSA[45] May 6–10, 2014 504 ± 4.5% 56% 23% 13% 9%
Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Dennis
Daugaard (R)
Joe
Lowe (D)
Mike
Myers (I)
Other Undecided
SurveyUSA[45] May 6–10, 2014 504 ± 4.5% 57% 21% 11% 10%
Rasmussen Reports[44] February 25–26, 2014 500 ± 4.5% 63% 23% 5% 9%

Results

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South Dakota gubernatorial election, 2014[46]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Dennis Daugaard (incumbent) 195,477 70.47% +8.96%
Democratic Susan Wismer 70,549 25.43% −13.06%
Independent Michael J. Myers 11,377 4.10% N/A
Total votes 277,403 100.0% N/A
Republican hold

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

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Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

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See also

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References

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  1. ^ Ellis, Jonathan (March 25, 2014). "Daugaard officially launches re-election bid in Sioux Falls". Argus Leader. Archived from the original on March 25, 2014. Retrieved March 25, 2014.
  2. ^ Montgomery, David (October 15, 2013). "Political Smokeout blog: Lora Hubbel running for governor". Political Smokeout. Archived from the original on October 16, 2013. Retrieved October 15, 2013.
  3. ^ "Could Rapid City's Stan Adelstein still run for Governor?". February 24, 2013. Retrieved June 26, 2013.
  4. ^ Ellis, Jonathan (January 2, 2014). "Health problem forces Stan Adelstein to resign from state Senate". Argus Leader. Archived from the original on January 27, 2014. Retrieved January 27, 2014.
  5. ^ "Stace Nelson to announce run for U.S. Senate". Argus Leader. August 13, 2013. Archived from the original on August 13, 2013. Retrieved August 13, 2013.
  6. ^ a b "Primary Election - June 3, 2014". South Dakota Secretary of State. Retrieved July 17, 2014.
  7. ^ "Former S.D. wildfire suppression manager running for governor as Democrat". Argus Leader. December 1, 2013. Archived from the original on December 11, 2013. Retrieved December 10, 2013.
  8. ^ Montgomery, David (January 28, 2014). "Rep. Susan Wismer, a Democrat, enters governor's race". Argus Leader. Archived from the original on February 26, 2014. Retrieved February 26, 2014.
  9. ^ Oster, Jerry (November 4, 2013). "SD Democrats Still Searching for A Governor Candidate". Radio 570 WNAX. Retrieved December 11, 2013.
  10. ^ "A sign from the MSM that Wismer might be the Democrat's candidate". South Dakota War College. October 24, 2013. Archived from the original on March 3, 2016. Retrieved December 11, 2013.
  11. ^ "Frerichs' political future". Political Smokeout. May 29, 2013. Retrieved July 9, 2013.
  12. ^ "Archived copy" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on March 25, 2014. Retrieved March 21, 2014.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)
  13. ^ "Now what about U.S. House and governor". May 13, 2013. Archived from the original on December 15, 2013. Retrieved July 1, 2013.
  14. ^ a b c "Clarity Polls SD Governor's Race: Herseth Sandlin, Huether, or Heidepriem?". February 27, 2013. Retrieved July 1, 2013.
  15. ^ "UPDATED: South Dakota's Stephanie Herseth Sandlin will not run for U.S. Senate seat". Chicago Tribune. May 13, 2013. Archived from the original on December 13, 2013. Retrieved December 11, 2013.
  16. ^ Atyeo, J.L. (November 11, 2013). "Huether files paperwork to run for re-election; Barth, Hildebrand considering bids". Argus Leader. Archived from the original on December 11, 2013. Retrieved December 11, 2013.
  17. ^ Heidelberger, Cory (January 26, 2014). "Jarding Not Running, Not Jumping to Support Robinson and Lowe". Madville Times. Retrieved January 27, 2014.
  18. ^ Montgomery, David (May 21, 2013). "Next up for SD politics — Pat O'Brien?". Political Smokeout. Retrieved August 13, 2013.
  19. ^ Ellis, Jonathan (August 17, 2013). "Former USD law professor to run for governor". Argus Leader. Archived from the original on August 19, 2013. Retrieved August 19, 2013.
  20. ^ "VERY QUIETLY, MIKE MYERS LOSES RUNNING MATE. MAYBE. COLLIER ATTEMPTS TO WITHDRAW FROM BALLOT, BUT MAY BE BARRED BY LAW FROM LEAVING". Dakota War College. June 26, 2014. Archived from the original on November 4, 2014. Retrieved November 4, 2014.
  21. ^ a b "A new lieutenant for Myers, but law doesn't allow switch". Argus Leader. July 3, 2014. Archived from the original on November 4, 2014. Retrieved November 4, 2014.
  22. ^ "Myers Plans Lawsuit To Get Running Mate Change On Ballot". Keloland Television. July 29, 2014. Retrieved November 4, 2014.[permanent dead link]
  23. ^ "Judge Rules In Favor Of SD Gubernatorial Candidate". KDLT. August 18, 2014. Archived from the original on November 4, 2014. Retrieved November 4, 2014.
  24. ^ "Judge orders Gant to add Lora Hubbel to LG ballot". Argus Leader. August 18, 2014. Retrieved November 4, 2014.
  25. ^ Montgomery, David (November 25, 2013). "Curtis Strong enters gubernatorial race". Political Smokeout. Retrieved December 11, 2013.
  26. ^ "South Dakota Constitution Party Gubernatorial Nominee's Primary Petition Rejected by Secretary of State". Ballot Access News. March 28, 2014. Retrieved December 11, 2013.
  27. ^ "2014 Governor Race Ratings for November 3, 2014". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved September 3, 2018.
  28. ^ "The Crystal Ball's Final 2014 Picks". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved September 3, 2018.
  29. ^ "2014 Gubernatorial Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved September 3, 2018.
  30. ^ "2014 Elections Map - 2014 Governors Races". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved September 3, 2018.
  31. ^ Monmouth University
  32. ^ SurveyUSA
  33. ^ Mason-Dixon
  34. ^ NBC News/Marist
  35. ^ CBS News/NYT/YouGov
  36. ^ Harper Polling Archived 2014-10-21 at the Wayback Machine
  37. ^ SurveyUSA
  38. ^ CBS News/NYT/YouGov
  39. ^ Nielson Brothers Polling
  40. ^ SurveyUSA
  41. ^ CBS News/NYT/YouGov
  42. ^ Nielson Brothers Polling
  43. ^ CBS News/NYT/YouGov
  44. ^ a b Rasmussen Reports
  45. ^ a b SurveyUSA
  46. ^ General Election - November 4.2014
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Official campaign websites (Archived)


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