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87 seats in the Legislative Assembly of Alberta 44 seats needed for a majority | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Opinion polls | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Turnout | 57.0%[1] | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Popular vote by riding. As this is a first-past-the-post election, seat totals are not determined by total popular vote, but instead by results in each riding. Riding names are listed at the bottom. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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The 2015 Alberta general election was held on May 5, following a request of Premier Jim Prentice to the Lieutenant Governor of Alberta Donald Ethell to dissolve the Legislative Assembly on April 7. This election elected members to the 29th Alberta Legislature. It was only the fourth time in provincial history that saw a change of governing party, and was the last provincial election for both the Alberta Progressive Conservative and Wildrose parties, which merged in 2017 to form the United Conservative Party (although each ran a token candidate in the 2019 election).
The provincial Election Act fixed the election date to a three-month period between March 1 and May 31 in the fourth calendar year after the preceding election day – in this case, April 23, 2012. However, the act does not affect the powers of the Lieutenant Governor to dissolve the Legislature before this period.[2]
As a result of the election, the Alberta New Democratic Party (NDP) were elected to a majority government under leader Rachel Notley. The NDP formed government for the first time in Alberta history since the NDP's founding in the early 1960s.
The 2015 election is sometimes called the "Orange Chinook", a reference to the province's dramatic swing to the NDP, the NDP's orange colour and the weather shifts occasioned by strong Chinook winds that southern Alberta commonly experiences.[3][4]
The NDP win ousted the PCs, who were reduced to third place in seats. Prentice resigned as PC leader and MLA for Calgary-Foothills on election night.[5]
The Progressive Conservatives (PCs) had a majority in the outgoing Assembly and had won every provincial election since the 1971 election, making them the longest-serving provincial government in Canadian history – being in office for 44 years. This was only the fourth change of governing party in Alberta since becoming a province in 1905, and one of the worst defeats a provincial government has suffered in Canada. 31 PC MLAs lost re-election to the legislature, the largest number in one election in Alberta history. It also marked the first time in almost 80 years that a left-of-centre political party had formed government in Alberta since the defeat of the United Farmers of Alberta in 1935 and the Depression-era radical monetary reform policies of William Aberhart's Social Credit government.[6]
The Wildrose Party under leader Brian Jean remained the Official Opposition, gaining four seats since 2012 despite winning 81,814 fewer votes and a 10.1% lower share of the popular vote than in the previous election. The Alberta Liberal Party and Alberta Party each won a single seat with Alberta Party leader Greg Clark becoming the party's first MLA. The Alberta Liberal Party lost four seats, only returning interim leader David Swann to the Legislative Assembly.
Following the election, Notley and her cabinet were sworn in on May 24.[7]
Overall, across the province, 1,488,248 valid votes were cast in this election.[8]
In the 2012 general election the PCs lost a portion of their caucus, but were able to continue as majority government, despite their share of the popular vote decreasing to under 50%. The Wildrose Party formed the official opposition for the first time, while the other two parties in the Assembly, the Alberta Liberal Party and Alberta New Democratic Party (NDP), both held official party status with five and four seats respectively.[9] On September 4, 2014, the PCs became the longest serving political dynasty in Canadian history, at 43 years, 5 days.[10]
Prentice, who succeeded former premier and interim leader of the Progressive Conservatives Dave Hancock in September 2014, was not obligated to call an election until 2016. However, seeking a new mandate to pass his budget, he asked Lieutenant Governor Donald Ethell to dissolve the legislature on April 7. In accordance with Canadian constitutional practice, Ethell granted the request, beginning a month long campaign.[11] The early election call was criticized by some as unethical, as it violated the fixed election dates specified in the Elections Act, but it was constitutionally valid and followed the general practice of the reserve powers of the Crown, specifically the constitutional convention of following the advice of the premier.[12]
The NDP received the most votes (more votes than any other party) overall and in 54 districts (more than half the districts), though did not receive a majority of the vote overall nor in many districts. It received 40.6 percent of the vote and captured 62 percent of the seats in the Legislature.
Due to First-past-the-post voting, the NDP swept the Edmonton seats, won a majority of the seats in Calgary and just less than half of seats in rural Alberta.[13] NDP MLAs were elected in all 21 Edmonton districts, 15 of the 26 Calgary districts and 18 of the 40 districts outside the major cities.[14]
NDP candidates received over 50% of the votes in each Edmonton riding as well as the ridings of Sherwood Park, St. Albert and Lethbridge-West. All opposition (non-NDP) candidates received less than half the votes in the riding where they ran, except for the Wildrose candidates in Cypress-Medicine Hat, Strathmore-Brooks and Olds-Disbury, each of whom captured a majority of the district votes.
The election produced some very close races and small leads for some winning candidates. In Calgary Glenmore the winning candidate won with a lead of six votes over her leading contender. In Calgary McCall an NDP candidate won with less than 30 percent of the vote; in Calgary Shaw an NDP candidate won with but 31 percent of the vote; in Calgary South-East a PC won with only 32.5 percent of the votes cast.
In many ridings the combined votes of the Progressive Conservative and the Wildrose candidates surpassed that of the NDP.
In some ridings such as Red Deer North, Spruce Grove-St. Albert, Calgary-Buffalo, Calgary-Varsity, Lethbridge East and Lethbridge West, the combined vote of the NDP and the Liberal candidates totalled more than 50 percent of the district's votes, thus overwhelming the combined vote of the Conservative and Wild Rose candidate. This also held true for Calgary Mountain View where a Liberal was elected.
In many ridings no Liberal ran, which probably aided the NDP victory in those ridings. These included Lesser Slave Lake, Peace River, Edmonton-McClung, Sherwood Park, West Yellowhead and Whitecourt.
Party | Votes | Seats | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
New Democratic | 604,518 | 30.8pp | 54 / 87 (62%)
| ||
Progressive Conservative | 413,610 | 16.2pp | 9 / 87 (10%)
| ||
Wildrose | 360,511 | 10.1pp | 21 / 87 (24%)
| ||
Liberal | 62,153 | 5.7pp | 1 / 87 (1%)
| ||
Alberta Party | 33,221 | 0.9pp | 1 / 87 (1%)
|
Party | Party leader | Number of candidates |
Seats | Popular vote* | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2012 | Dissol. | 2015 | % of Seats | # | % | Change (pp) | ||||
New Democratic | Rachel Notley | 87 | 4 | 4 | 54 | 62.1 | 604,518 | 40.62 | +30.77 | |
Wildrose | Brian Jean | 86 | 17 | 5 | 21 | 24.1 | 360,511 | 24.22 | –10.06 | |
Progressive Conservative | Jim Prentice | 87 | 61 | 70 | 9 | 10.3 | 413,610 | 27.79 | –16.17 | |
Liberal | David Swann | 56 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1.1 | 62,153 | 4.18 | –5.71 | |
Alberta Party | Greg Clark | 36 | — | — | 1 | 1.1 | 33,221 | 2.23 | +0.92 | |
Green[16] | Janet Keeping | 24 | — | — | — | — | 7,215 | 0.48 | +0.09 | |
Social Credit | Len Skowronski | 6 | — | — | — | — | 834 | 0.06 | +0.03 | |
Communist | Naomi Rankin | 2 | — | — | — | — | 182 | 0.01 | = | |
Alberta First[17] | Bart Hampton | 1 | — | — | — | — | 72 | 0.005 | = | |
Independent | 15 | — | 1 | — | — | 5,932 | 0.40 | +0.13 | ||
Vacant | 2 | 1** | 1.1 | |||||||
Total | 400 | 87 | 87 | 87 | 100.0% | 1,488,248 | 100.00% |
Party | 2012 | Gain from (loss to) | 2015 | |||||||
NDP | WR | PC | Lib | Alb | ||||||
New Democratic | 4 | 2 | 44 | 4 | 54 | |||||
Wildrose | 17 | (2) | 7 | (1) | 21 | |||||
Progressive Conservative | 61 | (44) | 1 | (7) | (1) | 9 | ||||
Liberal | 5 | (4) | 1 | |||||||
Alberta Party | 0 | 1 | 1 | |||||||
Total | 87 | (50) | 3 | (7) | 52 | (1) | 4 | (1) | 86 |
The election resulted in a majority government led by the New Democratic Party.
The result in Calgary-Glenmore remained unresolved on election night, as incumbent PC MLA Linda Johnson and NDP challenger Anam Kazim finished the vote count in an exact tie of 7,015 votes each,[20] necessitating a recount process.[20] On May 15, the recount determined NDP candidate Anam Kazim won the riding by six votes.
The Alberta NDP had been leading in most polls since late April. They had been expected to do well in Edmonton, which historically had been more favourable to centre-left parties and candidates than Alberta in general. However, in a result that exceeded even the most optimistic projections for the NDP, Edmonton swung dramatically to support Notley, who represents an Edmonton riding. The NDP took every seat in the city, all by very large margins (4,000 votes or more with absolute majority support). The NDP also won 15 of the 25 seats in Calgary, the power base of the PCs for most of the previous four decades. The NDP also swept the province's third and fourth-largest cities, Lethbridge and Red Deer. NDP support remained relatively lower in rural Alberta, where they won only a handful of ridings in the north of the province, as well as some rural ridings around Edmonton.[21]
Notley later said that she had known a week before the election that the NDP would win. She told the Canadian Press that she had been sitting in a hotel room in either Calgary or Lethbridge when she saw a very credible poll showing the NDP was poised to rebound from a mere four seats in the legislature – the minimum for official party status – to an outright majority. She was stunned at first, but recovered long enough to drop her plans for a whirlwind schedule to close out the campaign. Her original plan would have not only resulted in her looking extremely haggard in her first speech as premier-elect, but would have left her without time to begin a transition.[22]
The PCs finished second in the popular vote, 53,099 votes ahead of the Wildrose. However, their caucus was decimated due to a near-total collapse in the major cities, as well as a more pronounced split in the right-of-centre vote. They were completely shut out in Edmonton, Lethbridge, and Red Deer, and lost 12 of their 20 seats in Calgary. Since the first-past-the-post system awards seats solely on the basis of plurality district contests (not by proportional representation), the PCs were knocked down to third place with 10 seats, and only two outside Calgary. This was further reduced to nine when Prentice disclaimed victory in his riding. The PCs were reduced to their smallest presence in the Legislative Assembly since 1967. With a few exceptions, their support in the cities transferred to the NDP, while their rural support moved to the Wildrose. All but three members of Prentice's cabinet were defeated.
The Wildrose had its legislative caucus greatly reduced in 2014 when then-leader and Leader of the Official Opposition Danielle Smith and all but 5 Wildrose MLAs crossed the floor to sit with the governing PCs. In the 2015 general election, the party rebounded to 21 seats and retained Official Opposition status. All of their gains were in rural ridings taken from the PCs, and they failed to win a seat in Edmonton or Calgary.
Greg Clark, leader of the Alberta Party, won the first ever seat for his party in the Legislative Assembly. He won the seat of Calgary-Elbow.
For the first time the NDP won a majority of seats in Calgary, taking 15 of the city's 26 seats. This centre-left success was deepened by a Liberal candidate and an Alberta Party candidate also scoring wins in that city. Such had not happened since 1921, when Labour candidates and Independents took seats there.[23]
Bold indicates cabinet members, and party leaders are italicized. Candidate names appear as they appeared on the ballot.
Colour band in gulley indictes winner of the election.
All results are sourced from Elections Alberta.[24]
Electoral district | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PC | Wildrose | Liberal | NDP | Alberta Party | Other | |||||||||
Athabasca-Sturgeon-Redwater | Jeff Johnson 5,016 - 29.9% |
Travis Olson 4,973 - 29.6% |
Colin Piquette 6,797 - 40.5% |
Jeff Johnson | ||||||||||
Barrhead-Morinville-Westlock | Maureen Kubinec 4,876 - 26.6% |
Glenn van Dijken 7,206 - 39.3% |
Tristan Turner 6,232 - 34.0% |
Maureen Kubinec | ||||||||||
Bonnyville-Cold Lake | Craig Copeland 3,594 - 30.4% |
Scott Cyr 5,452 - 46.2% |
Josalyne Head 2,136 - 18.1% |
Rob Fox 628 - 5.3% |
Genia Leskiw† | |||||||||
Dunvegan-Central Peace-Notley | Rhonda Clarke-Gauthier 2,766 - 28.8% |
Kelly Hudson 3,147 - 32.8% |
Margaret McCuaig-Boyd 3,692 - 38.4% |
Hector Goudreau† | ||||||||||
Fort McMurray-Conklin | Don Scott 1,502 - 22.3% |
Brian Jean 2,950 - 43.9% |
Melinda Hollis 204 - 3.0% |
Ariana Mancini 2,071 - 30.8% |
Don Scott | |||||||||
Fort McMurray-Wood Buffalo | Mike Allen 2,486 - 25.9% |
Tany Yao 3,835 - 40.0% |
Robin Le Fevre 345 - 3.6% |
Stephen Drover 2,915 - 30.4% |
Mike Allen | |||||||||
Grande Prairie-Smoky | Everett McDonald 4,968 - 30.8% |
Todd Loewen 5,343 - 33.2% |
Kevin McLean 787 - 4.9% |
Todd Russell 5,009 - 31.1% |
Everett McDonald | |||||||||
Grande Prairie-Wapiti | Wayne Drysdale 6,229 - 35.6% |
Laila Goodridge 4,175 - 23.8% |
Mary Dahr 5,062 - 28.9% |
Rory Tarant 2,048 - 11.7% |
Wayne Drysdale | |||||||||
Lac La Biche-St. Paul-Two Hills | Darrell Younghans 3,004 - 24.4% |
David Hanson 4,763 - 38.7% |
Catherine Harder 4,214 - 34.2% |
Brian Deheer (Green) 339 - 2.8% |
Shayne Saskiw† | |||||||||
Lesser Slave Lake | Pearl Calahasen 1,944 - 21.5% |
Darryl Boisson 3,198 - 35.3% |
Danielle Larivee 3,915 - 43.2% |
Pearl Calahasen | ||||||||||
Peace River | Frank Oberle 3,529 - 36.4% |
Nathan Steinke 1,979 - 20.4% |
Debbie Jabbour 3,821 - 39.4% |
Sherry Hilton 376 - 3.9% |
Frank Oberle |
Electoral district | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PC | Wildrose | Liberal | NDP | Alberta Party | Other | |||||||||
Edmonton-Beverly-Clareview | Tony Caterina 2,524 - 15.5% |
Stephanie Diacon 1,248 - 7.6% |
Tomi Yellowface 359 - 2.2% |
Deron Bilous 12,049 - 73.8% |
Owais Siddiqui 147 - 0.9% |
Deron Bilous | ||||||||
Edmonton-Calder | Thomas "Tom" Bradley 3,222 - 17.8% |
Andrew Altimas 1,565 - 8.6% |
Amit "Sunny" Batra 527 - 2.9% |
David Eggen 12,837 - 70.7% |
David Eggen | |||||||||
Edmonton-Centre | Catherine Keill 2,228 - 13.5% |
Joe Byram 772 - 4.7% |
Laurie Blakeman[c] 4,199 - 25.4% |
David Shepherd 8,983 - 54.4% |
Greg Keating (Ind.) 295 - 1.8% Rory Joe Koopmans (Ind.) 40 - 0.2% |
Laurie Blakeman | ||||||||
Edmonton-Glenora | Heather Klimchuk 3,145 - 17.3% |
Don Koziak 1,394 - 7.6% |
Karen Sevcik 553 - 3.0% |
Sarah Hoffman 12,473 - 68.4% |
Chris Vilcsak 463 - 2.5% |
David Parker (Green) 195 - 1.1% |
Heather Klimchuk | |||||||
Edmonton-Gold Bar | David Dorward 4,147 - 18.6% |
Justin J. James 1,422 - 6.4% |
Ronald Brochu 702 - 3.2% |
Marlin Schmidt 15,349 - 68.9% |
Cristina Stasia 662 - 3.0% |
David Dorward | ||||||||
Edmonton-Highlands-Norwood | Jonathan Weiqun Dai 1,778 - 12.0% |
Joshua Loeppky 967 - 6.5% |
Matthew R. Smith 494 - 3.3% |
Brian Mason 11,555 - 78.1% |
Brian Mason | |||||||||
Edmonton-Mill Creek | Gene Zwozdesky 3,848 - 23.9% |
Saqib Raja 1,365 - 8.5% |
Harpreet Gill 1,896 - 11.8% |
Denise Woollard 9,025 - 55.9% |
Gene Zwozdesky | |||||||||
Edmonton-Mill Woods | Sohail Quadri 2,920 - 19.1% |
Baljit Sall 1,437 - 9.4% |
Roberto Maglalang 850 - 5.6% |
Christina Gray 9,930 - 64.9% |
Aura Leddy (Ind.) 129 - 0.8% Naomi Rankin (Communist) 44 - 0.3% |
Sohail Quadri | ||||||||
Edmonton-Riverview | Steve Young 3,732 - 19.3% |
Ian Crawford 1,350 - 7.0% |
Donna Wilson 1,416 - 7.3% |
Lori Sigurdson 12,108 - 62.8% |
Brandon Beringer 487 - 2.5% |
Sandra Wolf Lange (Green) 135 - 0.7% Glenn Miller (Ind.) 59 - 0.3% |
Steve Young | |||||||
Edmonton-Rutherford | Chris LaBossiere 3,940 - 22.5% |
Josef Pisa 1,644 - 9.4% |
Michael Chan 741 - 4.2% |
Richard Feehan 11,214 - 63.9% |
Fred Horne† | |||||||||
Edmonton-Strathcona | Shelley Wegner 2,242 - 13.6% |
Steve Kochan 658 - 4.0% |
Rachel Notley 13,592 - 82.4% |
Rachel Notley |
Electoral district | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PC | Wildrose | Liberal | NDP | Alberta Party | Other | |||||||||
Edmonton-Castle Downs | Thomas Lukaszuk 4,182 - 23.1% |
Gerrit Roosenboom 1,383 - 7.6% |
Todd Ross 880 - 4.9% |
Nicole Goehring 11,689 - 64.5% |
Thomas Lukaszuk | |||||||||
Edmonton-Decore | Janice Sarich 2,847 - 18.4% |
Dean R. Miller 1,289 - 8.3% |
Bradley Lawrence Whalen 691 - 4.5% |
Chris Nielsen 10,531 - 67.9% |
Trey Capnerhurst (Green) 150 - 1.0% |
Janice Sarich | ||||||||
Edmonton-Ellerslie | Harman Kandola 3,549 - 19.8% |
Jackie Lovely 2,499 - 13.9% |
Mike McGowan 839 - 4.7% |
Rod Loyola 11,034 - 61.6% |
Naresh Bhardwaj§ | |||||||||
Edmonton-Manning | Gurcharan Garcha 2,599 - 15.1% |
Atiq Rehman 1,475 - 8.6% |
Adam Mounzer 776 - 4.5% |
Heather Sweet 12,376 - 71.8% |
Peter Sandhu§ | |||||||||
Edmonton-McClung | David Xiao 4,408 - 25.9% |
Steve Thompson 2,373 - 14.0% |
Lorne Dach 9,412 - 55.4% |
John Hudson 808 - 4.8% |
David Xiao | |||||||||
Edmonton-Meadowlark | Katherine O'Neill 3,924 - 22.8% |
Amber Maze 1,972 - 11.5% |
Dan Bildhauer 1,507 - 8.8% |
Jon Carson 9,796 - 57.0% |
Raj Sherman† | |||||||||
Edmonton-South West | Matt Jeneroux 6,316 - 27.8% |
Cole Kander 2,290 - 10.1% |
Rudy Arcilla 1,199 - 5.3% |
Thomas Dang 12,352 - 54.4% |
Krishna Tailor 543 - 2.4% |
Matt Jeneroux | ||||||||
Edmonton-Whitemud | Stephen Mandel 7,177 - 32.2% |
Chad Peters 1,423 - 6.4% |
Steven Townsend 629 - 2.8% |
Bob Turner 12,805 - 57.4% |
Kathryn Jackson (Green) 182 - 0.8% John Baloun (Ind.) 73 - 0.3% |
Stephen Mandel | ||||||||
Sherwood Park | Cathy Olesen 5,655 - 25.9% |
Linda Osinchuk 4,815 - 22.1% |
Annie McKitrick 11,365 - 52.0% |
Cathy Olesen | ||||||||||
St. Albert | Stephen Khan 6,340 - 27.9% |
Shelley Biermanski 2,858 - 12.6% |
Bill Alton 778 - 3.4% |
Marie Renaud 12,220 - 53.9% |
Trevor Love 493 - 2.2% |
Stephen Khan |
Electoral district | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PC | Wildrose | Liberal | NDP | Alberta Party | Other | |||||||||
Drayton Valley-Devon | Diana J. McQueen 5,182 - 30.5% |
Mark Smith 6,284 - 37.0% |
Katherine Swampy 4,816 - 28.4% |
Connie Jensen 416 - 2.5% |
Jennifer R. Roach (Green) 276 - 1.6% |
Diana McQueen | ||||||||
Innisfail-Sylvan Lake | Kerry Towle 5,136 - 28.0% |
Don MacIntyre 7,829 - 42.7% |
Patricia Norman 4,244 - 23.1% |
Danielle Klooster 1,135 - 6.2% |
Kerry Towle | |||||||||
Olds-Didsbury-Three Hills | Wade Bearchell 5,274 - 26.3% |
Nathan Cooper 10,692 - 53.4% |
Glenn R. Norman 3,366 - 16.8% |
Jim Adamchick 685 - 3.4% |
Bruce Rowe† | |||||||||
Red Deer-North | Christine Moore 3,836 - 22.7% |
S.H. "Buck" Buchanan 4,173 - 24.7% |
Michael Dawe[d] 3,262 - 19.3% |
Kim Schreiner 4,969 - 29.4% |
Krystal Kromm 683 - 4.0% |
Mary Anne Jablonski† | ||||||||
Red Deer-South | Darcy Mykytyshyn 5,414 - 27.6% |
Norman Wiebe 4,812 - 24.6% |
Deborah Checkel 738 - 3.8% |
Barb Miller 7,024 - 35.9% |
Serge Gingras 1,035 - 5.3% |
Ben Dubois (Green) 274 - 1.4% Patti Argent (Ind.) 232 - 1.2% William Berry (Ind.) 60 - 0.3% |
Cal Dallas† | |||||||
Rimbey-Rocky Mountain House-Sundre | Tammy Coté 5,296 - 31.8% |
Jason Nixon 6,670 - 40.1% |
Hannah Schlamp 2,791 - 16.8% |
Joe Anglin (Ind.) 1,871 - 11.3% |
Joe Anglin | |||||||||
Spruce Grove-St. Albert | Rus Matichuk 6,362 - 25.6% |
Jaye Walter 4,631 - 18.7% |
Reg Lukasik 916 - 3.7% |
Trevor Horne 11,546 - 46.5% |
Gary Hanna 1,081 - 4.4% |
Brendon Greene (Green) 269 - 1.1% |
Vacant | |||||||
Stony Plain | Ken Lemke 4,944 - 25.7% |
Kathy Rondeau 5,586 - 29.1% |
Mike Hanlon 657 - 3.4% |
Erin Babcock 7,268 - 37.8% |
Sandy Simmie 538 - 2.8% |
Matt Burnett (Green) 220 - 1.1% |
Ken Lemke | |||||||
West Yellowhead | Robin Campbell 3,433 - 32.3% |
Stuart Taylor 3,055 - 28.8% |
Eric Rosendahl 4,135 - 38.9% |
Robin Campbell | ||||||||||
Whitecourt-Ste. Anne | George VanderBurg 4,721 - 31.1% |
John Bos 4,996 - 33.0% |
Oneil Carlier 5,442 - 35.9% |
George VanderBurg |
Electoral district | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PC | Wildrose | Liberal | NDP | Alberta Party | Other | |||||||||
Battle River-Wainwright | Blake Prior 5,057 - 31.2% |
Wes Taylor 6,862 - 42.3% |
Ron Williams 500 - 3.1% |
Gordon Naylor 3,807 - 23.5% |
Vacant | |||||||||
Drumheller-Stettler | Jack Hayden 5,388 - 33.9% |
Rick Strankman 7,570 - 47.7% |
Emily Shannon 2,927 - 18.4% |
Rick Strankman | ||||||||||
Fort Saskatchewan-Vegreville | Jacquie Fenske 5,527 - 28.3% |
Joe Gosselin 3,959 - 20.2% |
Peter Schneider 475 - 2.4% |
Jessica Littlewood 8,983 - 45.9% |
Derek Christensen 324 - 1.7% |
Allison Anderson (Green) 285 - 1.5% |
Jacquie Fenske | |||||||
Lacombe-Ponoka | Peter Dewit 5,018 - 27.6% |
Ron Orr 6,502 - 35.7% |
Doug Hart 5,481 - 30.1% |
Tony Jeglum 1,206 - 6.6% |
Rod Fox§ | |||||||||
Leduc-Beaumont | George Rogers 6,225 - 28.3% |
Sharon Smith 6,543 - 29.7% |
Shaye Anderson 8,321 - 37.8% |
Bert Hoogewoonink 612 - 2.8% |
Josh Drozda (Green) 301 - 1.4% |
George Rogers | ||||||||
Strathcona-Sherwood Park | Dave Quest 6,623 - 30.1% |
Rob Johnson 5,286 - 24.0% |
Estefania Cortes-Vargas 9,376 - 42.6% |
Lynne Kaiser 721 - 3.3% |
Dave Quest | |||||||||
Vermilion-Lloydminster | Richard Starke 5,935 - 47.4% |
Danny Hozack 4,171 - 33.3% |
Saba Mossagizi 2,428 - 19.4% |
Richard Starke | ||||||||||
Wetaskiwin-Camrose | Verlyn Olson 5,951 - 34.7% |
Bill Rock 3,685 - 21.5% |
Bruce Hinkley 7,531 - 43.9% |
Verlyn Olson |
Electoral district | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PC | Wildrose | Liberal | NDP | Alberta Party | Other | |||||||||
Calgary-Acadia | Jonathan Denis 4,602 - 29.0% |
Linda Carlson 4,985 - 31.4% |
Nicholas Borovsky 765 - 4.8% |
Brandy Payne 5,506 - 34.7% |
Jonathan Denis | |||||||||
Calgary-Buffalo | Terry Rock 3,738 - 28.1% |
Leah Wamboldt 1,351 - 10.2% |
David Khan 3,282 - 24.7% |
Kathleen Ganley 4,671 - 35.1% |
Sabrina Lee Levac (Green) 263 - 2.0% |
Kent Hehr† | ||||||||
Calgary-Cross | Rick Hanson 4,501 - 35.3% |
Moiz Mahmood 2,060 - 16.2% |
Manjot Singh Gill 1,194 - 9.4% |
Ricardo Miranda 4,602 - 36.1% |
Peter Meic (Green) 236 - 1.9% Katherine Le Rougetel (Ind.) 143 - 1.1% |
Yvonne Fritz† | ||||||||
Calgary-Currie | Christine Cusanelli 4,577 - 24.7% |
Terry DeVries 3,769 - 20.3% |
Shelley Wark-Martyn 1,441 - 7.8% |
Brian Malkinson 7,387 - 39.8% |
Tony Norman 1,006 - 5.4% |
Nelson Berlin (Green) 373 - 2.0% |
Christine Cusanelli | |||||||
Calgary-East | Moe Amery 3,971 - 28.3% |
Ali Waissi 3,633 - 25.9% |
Naser Al-Kukhun 806 - 5.7% |
Robyn Luff 5,506 - 39.2% |
Bonnie Devine (Communist) 138 - 1.0% |
Moe Amery | ||||||||
Calgary-Elbow | Gordon Dirks 6,254 - 30.3% |
Megan Brown 1,786 - 8.7% |
John Roggeveen 565 - 2.7% |
Catherine Welburn 3,256 - 15.8% |
Greg Clark 8,707 - 42.2% |
Larry R. Heather (Social Credit) 67 - 0.3% |
Gordon Dirks | |||||||
Calgary-Fish Creek | Richard Gotfried 6,198 - 32.9% |
Blaine Maller 5,568 - 29.6% |
Jill Moreton 6,069 - 32.2% |
Allison Wemyss 850 - 4.5% |
Martin Owen (Social Credit) 148 - 0.8% |
Heather Forsyth† | ||||||||
Calgary-Fort | Andy Bao Nguyen 3,204 - 22.7% |
Jeevan Mangat 3,003 - 21.3% |
Said Abdulbaki 476 - 3.4% |
Joe Ceci 7,027 - 49.8% |
Vic Goosen 410 - 2.9% |
Wayne Cao† | ||||||||
Calgary-Glenmore | Linda Johnson 7,015 - 33.2% |
Chris Kemp-Jackson 5,058 - 23.9% |
David Waddington 1,345 - 6.4% |
Anam Kazim 7,021 - 33.2% |
Terry Lo 719 - 3.4% |
Linda Johnson | ||||||||
Calgary-Klein | Kyle Fawcett 4,878 - 26.8% |
Jeremy Nixon 4,206 - 23.0% |
David Gamble 1,104 - 6.0% |
Craig Coolahan 8,098 - 44.3% |
Noel Keough[e] (Green) 0 - 0.0% |
Kyle Fawcett | ||||||||
Calgary-Mountain View | Mark Hlady 4,699 - 23.9% |
Terry Wong 2,070 - 10.5% |
David Swann 7,204 - 36.7% |
Marc Andrew Chikinda 5,673 - 28.9% |
David Swann | |||||||||
Calgary-Varsity | Susan Billington 5,700 - 30.2% |
Sharon Polsky 2,598 - 13.8% |
Pete Helfrich 1,862 - 9.9% |
Stephanie McLean 8,297 - 43.9% |
Carl Svoboda (Green) 424 - 2.2% |
Donna Kennedy-Glans† |
Electoral district | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PC | Wildrose | Liberal | NDP | Alberta Party | Other | |||||||||
Calgary-Bow | Byron Nelson 5,419 - 33.0% |
Trevor Grover 3,752 - 22.8% |
Matt Gaiser 682 - 4.2% |
Deborah Drever 5,669 - 34.5% |
Jonathon Himann 459 - 2.8% |
David Reid (Green) 448 - 2.7% |
Alana DeLong† | |||||||
Calgary-Foothills | Jim Prentice[f] 7,163 - 40.3% |
Keelan Frey 3,216 - 18.1% |
Ali Bin Zahid 1,271 - 7.2% |
Anne Wilson 5,748 - 32.4% |
Janet Keeping (Green) 363 - 2.0% |
Jim Prentice | ||||||||
Calgary-Greenway | Manmeet Bhullar 5,337 - 42.8% |
Devinder Toor 2,627 - 21.1% |
Don Monroe 4,513 - 36.2% |
Manmeet Bhullar | ||||||||||
Calgary-Hawkwood | Jason Luan 6,378 - 31.2% |
Jae Shim 4,448 - 21.7% |
Harbaksh Singh Sekhon 736 - 3.6% |
Michael Connolly 7,443 - 36.4% |
Beth Barberree 925 - 4.5% |
Polly Knowlton Cockett (Green) 455 - 2.2% Len Skowronski (Social Credit) 90 - 0.4% |
Jason Luan | |||||||
Calgary-Hays | Ric McIver 6,671 - 38.3% |
Bob Mailloux 4,562 - 26.2% |
Shawn Emran 722 - 4.1% |
Carla Drader 5,138 - 29.5% |
Graham MacKenzie (Green) 250 - 1.4% Zachary Doyle (Social Credit) 93 - 0.5% |
Ric McIver | ||||||||
Calgary-Lougheed | Dave Rodney 5,939 - 35.0% |
Mark Mantei 4,781 - 28.2% |
Leila Keith 817 - 4.8% |
Mihai Ion 5,437 - 32.0% |
Dave Rodney | |||||||||
Calgary-Mackay-Nose Hill | Neil Brown 4,587 - 27.4% |
Kathy Macdonald 4,914 - 29.3% |
Prab Lashar 768 - 4.6% |
Karen M. McPherson 6,177 - 36.9% |
Sandy Kevin Aberdeen (Green) 316 - 1.9% |
Neil Brown | ||||||||
Calgary-McCall | Jagdeep Kaur Sahota 2,317 - 18.2% |
Happy Mann 3,367 - 26.4% |
Avinash S. Khangura 2,224 - 17.5% |
Irfan Sabir 3,812 - 29.9% |
Burhan Khan (Ind.) 1,010 - 7.9% |
Darshan Kang† | ||||||||
Calgary-North West | Sandra Jansen 6,320 - 32.7% |
Jeff Callaway 5,163 - 26.7% |
Neil Marion 935 - 4.8% |
Karen Mills 5,724 - 29.6% |
Chris Blatch 1,176 - 6.1% |
Sandra Jansen | ||||||||
Calgary-Northern Hills | Teresa Woo-Paw 5,343 - 30.7% |
Prasad Panda 4,392 - 25.3% |
Harry Lin 1,000 - 5.8% |
Jamie Kleinsteuber 6,641 - 38.2% |
Teresa Woo-Paw | |||||||||
Calgary-Shaw | Jeff Wilson 5,348 - 30.7% |
Brad Leishman 5,301 - 30.4% |
Alexander Barrow 668 - 3.8% |
Graham Sucha 5,449 - 31.2% |
Evert Smith 661 - 3.8% |
Jeff Wilson | ||||||||
Calgary-South East | Rick Fraser 7,663 - 32.5% |
Brandon Lunty 6,892 - 29.2% |
Gladwin Gill 1,304 - 5.5% |
Mirical Macdonald 7,358 - 31.2% |
Jordan Mac Isaac (Green) 374 - 1.6% |
Rick Fraser | ||||||||
Calgary-West | Mike Ellis 8,312 - 46.8% |
Gerard Lucyshyn 4,512 - 25.4% |
Mizanur Rahman 4,940 - 27.8% |
Mike Ellis | ||||||||||
Chestermere-Rocky View | Bruce McAllister 7,454 - 36.0% |
Leela Sharon Aheer 7,676 - 37.0% |
William James Pelech 3,706 - 17.9% |
Jamie Lall (Ind.) 1,093 - 5.3% Coral Bliss Taylor (Green) 405 - 2.0% Matt Grant (Ind.) 391 - 1.9% |
Bruce McAllister |
Electoral district | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PC | Wildrose | Liberal | NDP | Alberta Party | Other | |||||||||
Airdrie | Peter Brown 6,181 - 28.9% |
Angela Pitt 7,499 - 35.1% |
Chris Noble 6,388 - 29.9% |
Jeremy Klug 912 - 4.3% |
Jeff Willerton (Ind.) 399 - 1.9% |
Rob Anderson† | ||||||||
Banff-Cochrane | Ron Casey 5,555 - 28.2% |
Scott Wagner 5,692 - 28.9% |
Cameron Westhead 8,426 - 42.8% |
Ron Casey | ||||||||||
Cardston-Taber-Warner | Brian Brewin 4,356 - 35.5% |
Grant Hunter 5,126 - 41.8% |
Aaron Haugen 2,407 - 19.6% |
Delbert Bodnarek 378 - 3.1% |
Gary Bikman§ | |||||||||
Cypress-Medicine Hat | Bob Olson 3,389 - 21.6% |
Drew Barnes 8,544 - 54.6% |
Eric Musekamp 528 - 3.4% |
Bev Waege 3,201 - 20.4% |
Drew Barnes | |||||||||
Highwood | Carrie Fischer 6,827 - 33.0% |
Wayne Anderson 8,504 - 41.1% |
Leslie Mahoney 3,937 - 19.0% |
Joel Windsor 892 - 4.3% |
Martin Blake (Green) 390 - 1.7% Jeremy Fraser (Social Credit) 187 - 0.9% |
Danielle Smith§ | ||||||||
Lethbridge-East | Tammy L. Perlich 4,743 - 25.3% |
Kent Prestage 3,918 - 20.9% |
Bill West 1,201 - 6.4% |
Maria Fitzpatrick 8,918 - 47.5% |
Bridget Pastoor† | |||||||||
Lethbridge-West | Greg Weadick 3,938 - 21.0% |
Ron Bain 3,063 - 16.3% |
Sheila Pyne 634 - 3.4% |
Shannon Phillips 11,144 - 59.3% |
Greg Weadick | |||||||||
Little Bow | Ian Donovan 4,793 - 35.3% |
David Schneider 4,803 - 35.4% |
Helen McMenamin 377 - 2.8% |
Bev Muendel-Atherstone 3,364 - 24.8% |
Caleb Van Der Weide (Social Credit) 249 - 1.8% |
Ian Donovan | ||||||||
Livingstone-Macleod | Evan P. Berger 6,404 - 34.7% |
Pat Stier 7,362 - 39.9% |
Alida Hess 464 - 2.5% |
Aileen Burke 4,338 - 22.9% |
Pat Stier | |||||||||
Medicine Hat | Blake Pedersen 3,427 - 21.1% |
Val Olson 5,790 - 35.6% |
Bob Wanner 6,160 - 37.9% |
Jim Black 731 - 4.5% |
David Andrew Phillips (Ind.) 137 - 0.8% |
Blake Pedersen | ||||||||
Strathmore-Brooks | Molly Douglass 4,452 - 27.0% |
Derek Fildebrandt 8,652 - 52.5% |
Ali Abdulbaki 200 - 1.2% |
Lynn MacWilliam 2,463 - 15.0% |
Einar B. Davison 304 - 1.8% |
Mike Worthington (Green) 322 - 2.0% Glen Dundas (Alberta First) 72 - 0.4% |
Jason Hale† |
The following is a summary of published polls of voter intentions.
Date of Polling | Polling Firm | Margin of Error (19 times out of 20) |
PC | Wildrose | Liberal | NDP | Alberta | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
May 5, 2015 | Election 2015 | 27.8 | 24.2 | 4.2 | 40.6 | 2.2 | 1.0 | ||
May 4, 2015 | Forum Research | ±3 pp | 23 | 23 | 4 | 45 | 3 | 2 | |
May 1–4, 2015[usurped] | Insights West | ±3.1 pp | 23 | 27 | 4 | 42 | 3 | 2 | 9 |
Apr. 29–May 3, 2015 | EKOS Research Associates | ±3.4 pp | 22.5 | 24.0 | 5.6 | 44.3 | 2.2 | 1.4 | |
May 2, 2015 | Forum Research | ±3 pp | 21 | 24 | 5 | 42 | 5 | 3 | |
April 29, 2015 | Mainstreet Research | ±1.85 pp | 21 | 26 | 5 | 44 | 3 | 14 | |
April 27–29, 2015 | Ipsos-Reid | ±4.1 pp | 24 | 26 | 9 | 37 | 3 | 1 | |
April 25–29, 2015 | EKOS Research Associates | ±3.7 pp | 23.1 | 21.3 | 6.3 | 42.2 | 4.6 | 2.6 | |
April 26–28, 2015 | ThinkHQ | ±2.1 pp | 20 | 27 | 9 | 39 | 4 | 1 | |
April 26–28, 2015 | Leger Marketing | ±2.8 pp | 30 | 24 | 6 | 38 | 1 | 1 | 16 |
April 25–28, 2015 | Return On Insight | ±3.6 pp | 24 | 21 | 10 | 38 | 4 | ||
April 23, 2015 | Televised leaders' debate | ||||||||
April 23, 2015 | Mainstreet Research | ±1.49 pp | 26 | 32 | 8 | 31 | 4 | 21 | |
April 22–23, 2015 | Forum Research | ±3 pp | 20 | 25 | 7 | 38 | 6 | 5 | |
April 20, 2015 | Mainstreet Research | ±1.78 pp | 25 | 35 | 4 | 31 | 4 | 19 | |
April 13, 2015 | Mainstreet Research | ±1.76 pp | 24 | 31 | 10 | 30 | 5 | 23 | |
April 7–9, 2015 | Forum Research | ±2 pp | 27 | 30 | 12 | 28 | 2 | 2 | |
April 7, 2015 | Dissolution of the 28th Alberta Legislative Assembly, campaign begins | ||||||||
April 7, 2015 | Mainstreet Research | ±1.78 pp | 27 | 31 | 12 | 26 | 3 | 24 | |
April 2–6, 2015 | ThinkHQ | ±2.3 pp | 25 | 31 | 12 | 26 | 5 | 1 | |
March 27–30, 2015[usurped] | Insights West | ±3.9 pp | 31 | 27 | 14 | 22 | 2 | 5 | |
March 29, 2015 | Mainstreet Research | ±1.8 pp | 30 | 30 | 17 | 18 | 5 | 20 | |
March 28, 2015 | Brian Jean becomes leader of the Wildrose Party | ||||||||
February 13–23, 2015 | Environics | 46 | 16 | 18 | 17 | 4 | |||
February 1, 2015 | David Swann becomes interim leader of the Liberal Party | ||||||||
January 26, 2015 | Raj Sherman resigns as leader of the Liberal Party | ||||||||
December 28–30, 2014[usurped] | Insights West | 42 | 14 | 19 | 18 | 7 | |||
December 21, 2014 | Heather Forsyth becomes interim leader of the Wildrose Party | ||||||||
December 21, 2014 | Mainstreet Research | 44 | 20 | 14 | 18 | 4 | |||
December 17, 2014 | Danielle Smith resigns as leader of the Wildrose Party, crosses the floor with 8 caucus members to the PCs | ||||||||
Nov. 28–Dec. 1, 2014[usurped] | Insights West | 35 | 29 | 15 | 16 | 5 | |||
October 18, 2014 | Rachel Notley becomes leader of the New Democratic Party | ||||||||
October 4–9, 2014 | Lethbridge College | 32.6 | 30.8 | 12.8 | 16.8 | 7.0 | |||
September 6, 2014 | Jim Prentice becomes leader of the Progressive Conservative Association and Premier | ||||||||
Aug. 27–Sep. 2, 2014 | Leger Marketing | 29 | 33 | 18 | 16 | 4 | |||
June 23–26, 2014 | Leger Marketing | 26 | 31 | 20 | 19 | 4 | |||
April 29, 2014 | Brian Mason resigns as leader of the New Democratic Party, becomes interim leader | ||||||||
April 23–26, 2014[usurped] | Insights West | 21 | 50 | 11 | 16 | 2 | |||
March 20, 2014 | Alison Redford resigns as Premier and leader of the Progressive Conservative Association, Dave Hancock becomes interim leader and Premier | ||||||||
March 10–16, 2014 | ThinkHQ | 19 | 46 | 16 | 15 | 3 | 1 | ||
March 3–9, 2014 | Angus Reid | 23 | 46 | 15 | 13 | 4 | |||
February 24–27, 2014 | Leger Marketing | 25 | 38 | 16 | 15 | 3 | 2 | ||
February 14–23, 2014 | Environics | 36 | 33 | 18 | 12 | 2 | |||
October 5–6, 2013 | Lethbridge College | 36.1 | 29.4 | 15.7 | 12.2 | 1.1 | 5.6 | ||
September 11–17, 2013 | Leger Marketing | 33 | 34 | 15 | 15 | 3 | |||
April 9–12, 2013 | Leger Marketing | 29 | 37 | 17 | 14 | 3 | |||
February 12–16, 2013 | ThinkHQ | 26 | 38 | 13 | 16 | 3 | 4 | ||
January 14–20, 2013 | Leger Marketing | 40 | 28 | 12 | 13 | 6 | |||
October 10–23, 2012 | Environics | 45 | 29 | 13 | 12 | 1 | |||
September 29–30, 2012 | Lethbridge College | 44.6 | 23.9 | 11.1 | 14.0 | 3.0 | 3.4 | ||
August 10–22, 2012 | Environics | 43 | 26 | 14 | 13 | 3 | |||
June 11, 2012 | Forum Research | 39 | 36 | 9 | 12 | 2 | 2 | ||
April 23, 2012 | Election 2012 | ±0.0 pp | 44.0 | 34.3 | 9.9 | 9.8 | 1.3 | 0.7 |
The following media outlets endorsed the Progressive Conservatives during the campaign:
No media endorsements were made for any of the other parties.
The Separation Party of Alberta made application to the Chief Electoral Officer to change the party name to "Alberta First Party". The request was received and approved, and the change was made effective May 14, 2013.