| ||||||||||||||||||||
| ||||||||||||||||||||
Brown: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Pierce: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 40–50% No data | ||||||||||||||||||||
|
Elections in Oregon |
---|
The 2016 Oregon gubernatorial special election took place on November 8, 2016, to elect the Governor of Oregon, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as elections for the U.S. Senate and U.S. House of Representatives, other gubernatorial elections and various state and local elections.
The election determined who would fill the remaining two years of the term of Democratic governor John Kitzhaber, who was re-elected in 2014 and resigned in February 2015. Incumbent Democratic governor Kate Brown, who as Oregon Secretary of State succeeded to the governorship, ran for election to the office. In primary elections held on May 17, Brown easily captured the Democratic nomination, and the Republicans picked Salem oncologist Bud Pierce.
Brown won the election and became the first openly LGBT person elected to a term as governor in U.S. history. This election was the first time since 1990 that a woman was elected Governor of Oregon.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Kate Brown (incumbent) | 494,890 | 83.03 | |
Democratic | Julian Bell | 49,313 | 8.27 | |
Democratic | Dave Stauffer | 16,108 | 2.70 | |
Democratic | Steve Johnson | 13,363 | 2.24 | |
Democratic | Kevin M. Forsythe | 10,147 | 1.70 | |
Democratic | Chet Chance | 5,636 | 0.95 | |
Democratic | Write-ins | 6,595 | 1.11 | |
Total votes | 596,052 | 100.00 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Allen Alley |
Bruce Cuff |
Bob Forthan |
Bob Neimeyer |
Bud Pierce |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
DHM Research Archived 2016-05-19 at the Wayback Machine | May 6–9, 2016 | 324 | ± 5.7% | 22% | 3% | 1% | 5% | 25% | 44% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | William C. Pierce | 171,158 | 47.66 | |
Republican | Allen Alley | 103,388 | 28.79 | |
Republican | Bruce Cuff | 41,598 | 11.58 | |
Republican | Bob Niemeyer | 35,669 | 9.93 | |
Republican | Bob Forthan | 4,290 | 1.19 | |
Republican | Write-ins | 3,020 | 0.84 | |
Total votes | 359,123 | 100.00 |
The Independent Party of Oregon officially qualified as a major party on August 17, 2015.[24]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Independent Party | Cliff Thomason | 9,806 | 34.89 | |
Independent Party | Patrick Barney | 6,840 | 24.34 | |
Independent Party | Write-ins | 11,460 | 40.77 | |
Total votes | 28,106 | 100.00 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[29] | Likely D | August 12, 2016 |
Daily Kos[30] | Safe D | November 8, 2016 |
Rothenberg Political Report[31] | Safe D | November 3, 2016 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[32] | Safe D | November 7, 2016 |
Real Clear Politics[33] | Likely D | November 1, 2016 |
Governing[34] | Safe D | October 27, 2016 |
Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Kate Brown (D) |
Bud Pierce (R) |
Other/Undecided [a] |
Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Real Clear Politics | October 4–29, 2016 | October 29, 2016 | 45.5% | 35.5% | 19.0% | Brown +10.0% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Kate Brown (D) |
Bud Pierce (R) |
Cliff Thomason (I) |
James Foster (L) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey | November 1–7, 2016 | 1,595 | ± 4.6% | 56% | 41% | — | — | — | 3% |
SurveyMonkey | October 31 – November 6, 2016 | 1,483 | ± 4.6% | 56% | 40% | — | — | — | 4% |
SurveyMonkey | October 28 – November 3, 2016 | 1,150 | ± 4.6% | 56% | 40% | — | — | — | 4% |
SurveyMonkey | October 27 – November 2, 2016 | 934 | ± 4.6% | 55% | 41% | — | — | — | 4% |
SurveyMonkey | October 26 – November 1, 2016 | 809 | ± 4.6% | 54% | 41% | — | — | — | 5% |
SurveyMonkey | October 25–31, 2016 | 743 | ± 4.6% | 54% | 42% | — | — | — | 4% |
FOX 12 Oregon/DHM Research Archived 2016-11-02 at the Wayback Machine | October 24–29, 2016 | 504 | ± 4.4% | 42% | 33% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 15% |
Clout Research (R) | October 20–21, 2016 | 928 | ± 3.2% | 45% | 43% | — | — | 6% | 6% |
KGW Oregonian/Riley Research Archived 2016-10-20 at the Wayback Machine | October 4–14, 2016 | 608 | ± 4.0% | 48% | 34% | — | — | — | 13% |
Oregon Public Broadcasting/DHM Research Archived 2016-10-18 at the Wayback Machine | October 6–13, 2016 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 46% | 33% | 4% | 3% | — | 12% |
KATU-TV/SurveyUSA | October 10–12, 2016 | 654 | ± 3.9% | 46% | 42% | — | — | 4% | 8% |
iCitizen | September 2–7, 2016 | 610 | ± 4.0% | 44% | 27% | 3% | 3% | — | 23% |
KATU-TV/DHM Research | September 1–6, 2016 | 517 | ± 4.3% | 43% | 35% | — | — | — | 18% |
Clout Research (R) | July 9–13, 2016 | 701 | ± 3.7% | 43% | 42% | 5% | 2% | — | 7% |
iCitizen | June 23–27, 2016 | 555 | ± 4.0% | 42% | 35% | — | — | — | 23% |
Action Solutions Archived 2016-06-22 at the Wayback Machine→ | June 1–2, 2016 | 600 | ± 5.7% | 39% | 37% | — | — | — | 24% |
Moore Information Archived 2015-04-28 at the Wayback Machine | April 20, 2015 | 500 | ± 4.0% | 45% | 27% | — | — | — | 28% |
→ Indicates an internal poll conducted on behalf of Bud Pierce.
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Kate Brown (D) |
Allen Alley (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Moore Information Archived 2015-04-28 at the Wayback Machine | April 20, 2015 | 500 | ± 4.0% | 47% | 32% | — | 21% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Kate Brown (D) |
Shane Bemis (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Moore Information Archived 2015-04-28 at the Wayback Machine | April 20, 2015 | 500 | ± 4.0% | 45% | 26% | — | 28% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Kate Brown (D) |
Dennis Richardson (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Moore Information Archived 2015-04-28 at the Wayback Machine | April 20, 2015 | 500 | ± 4.0% | 48% | 41% | — | 12% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Kate Brown (incumbent) | 985,027 | 50.62% | +0.73% | |
Republican | Bud Pierce | 845,609 | 43.45% | −0.68% | |
Independent Party | Cliff Thomason | 47,481 | 2.44% | N/A | |
Libertarian | James Foster | 45,191 | 2.32% | +0.83% | |
Constitution | Aaron Donald Auer | 19,400 | 1.00% | −0.08% | |
Write-in | 3,338 | 0.17% | -0.28% | ||
Total votes | 1,946,046 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
Democratic hold |
Brown won 3 of the state's 5 congressional districts. Pierce won the other two, including one that elected a Democrat.
District | Kate Brown |
Bud Pierce |
Elected Representative |
---|---|---|---|
1st | 53.68% | 40.52% | Suzanne Bonamici |
2nd | 38.14% | 55.10% | Greg Walden |
3rd | 68.44% | 26.31% | Earl Blumenauer |
4th | 46.87% | 46.41% | Peter DeFazio |
5th | 45.46% | 49.43% | Kurt Schrader |
Nominees
Primary candidates